CORP/BIZ Wiped out of toilet paper? Here’s why

Millwright

Knuckle Dragger
_______________
Finding toilet paper in a global pandemic is a struggle

What does toilet paper have to do with a global pandemic?

Nothing.

Yet millions of people have been panicking about their household supply. Stores shelves have been emptied. Amazon is often out of stock. And social media is bursting with jokes and pleas for a roll or two.

The good news: Things are calming down, at least in the U.S., after a buying spree in mid-March. But it’s not yet clear when — if ever — buying habits will get back to normal.

Here’s all you ever wanted to know about toilet paper during a pandemic:

WHY IS TOILET PAPER IN SHORT SUPPLY?

One reason is because people are hoarding. Some were stockpiling last month in advance of city and state lockdown orders. It’s a common reaction in times of a crisis, when consumers feel a need for control and security, says David Garfield, global leader of the consumer products practice at AlixPartners, a consulting firm.

NCSolutions, a data and consulting firm, said online and in-store U.S. toilet paper sales rose 51% between Feb. 24 and March 10, as buyers started getting uneasy about the growing number of virus cases. But sales rocketed a whopping 845% on March 11 and 12 as states announced lockdowns.

WHAT ARE SOME OTHER REASONS FOR THE SHORTAGES?

Toilet paper flows from paper mills to retail stores through a tight, efficient supply chain. Toilet paper is bulky and not very profitable, so retailers don’t keep a lot of inventory on hand; they just get frequent shipments and restock their shelves.

“You never noticed because it’s so well-managed,” said Jim Luke, an economics professor at Lansing Community College in Michigan, who used to be a strategist for a toilet paper distribution company.

The amount of toilet paper the average American uses hasn’t changed; it’s still around 141 rolls per year (compared to 134 rolls in Germany and just 49 rolls in China, AlixParters says). But even small changes in buying habits can throw everything into disarray.

With a regional disruption like a hurricane, stores can redirect some inventory to the affected area. But a global pandemic doesn’t leave a lot of wiggle room.

CAN’T COMPANIES JUST MAKE MORE TOILET PAPER?

The big three U.S. toilet paper companies — Georgia-Pacific LLC, Proctor & Gamble Co. and Kimberly-Clark Corp. — were already running their toilet paper plants 24 hours a day before the new coronavirus hit. That’s the only way they can make a profit on such a low-margin product.

The companies are trying to increase output by making fewer varieties of toilet paper. They’re also trying to get the product to stores more quickly. Atlanta-based Georgia-Pacific is working with packaging suppliers to get more materials and maximizing the number of deliveries it can ship from its facilities.

CAN SUPPLIES BE REDIRECTED TO HOUSEHOLDS INSTEAD OF BUSINESSES THAT ARE NOW CLOSED?

No. Commercial toilet paper uses a different kind of pulp and is produced on different machines. Many institutional rolls are intentionally larger, so cleaning staff don’t have to refill them as often and people don’t steal them, Luke said. Plusher toilet paper for home use also has different packaging requirements, Garfield said.

Prior to the coronavirus crisis, about half of U.S. toilet paper sales were commercial, while the other half were for homes, Garfield said. That’s changing; AlixPartners estimates U.S. household demand is up 40% as offices and schools close.

But Georgia-Pacific said commercial demand hasn’t yet fallen. It has seen a surge of orders from hospitals and other essential businesses that are still operating.

ARE SUPPLIES IN GROCERIES AND OTHER RETAILERS IMPROVING?

Demand has softened a bit since mid-March, so that should make it easier to find toilet paper. NCSolutions said sales are down 62% right now compared to the “extreme buying period” of March 11-24. But they’re still 6% higher than they were before the new coronavirus hit the U.S.

Kroger, the nation’s biggest grocery chain, said most of its stores are now getting truckloads of paper products every day or every other day. Kroger and other retailers have also established limits on the amount of toilet paper people can buy at one time.

WHEN WILL THINGS GET BACK TO NORMAL?

Nobody knows. For one thing, the new coronavirus could permanently increase the demand for household toilet paper.

“Will the workforce go back to work like they did before? If people work from home, this could be much more prolonged,” says NCSolutions CEO Linda Dupree.

Raising prices on toilet paper — as was done in 1973 during the oil embargo — might curb hoarding, Garfield said. But it would make it harder for some consumers to afford.

ARE THERE WAYS TO CUT DOWN ON TOILET PAPER USE?

U.S. searches for “bidet” reached an all-time high in March, according to Google Trends. Tushy, which makes a $100 bidet attachment for toilets, said its sales spiked in mid-March, hitting $1 million in a single day. Sales are still running 10 times ahead of projections, Tushy said.

 

1911user

Veteran Member
Based on the fragility of the toilet paper supply chain, I need to stock a lot more just to protect myself from their inability to adapt to changing circumstances. What if a toilet paper plant was destroyed by an asteroid? It could happen...
 

Zagdid

Veteran Member
Accountants have ruined us for sure. Excess capacity is seen as lost capital. Charmin was actually paying for advertising.

Oh to be able to produce twice as much and dare consumers/hoarders to part with their money in fits of frenzy. Around here the paper aisle is completely empty. Don't matter what, if its paper, it's gone! How it must hurt producers to know that anything they make they can sell in a heart beat and also know there is no way to quickly increase capacity.
 

jward

passin' thru
Hey, first, kimberly clark is family business, so hording is just good business for me :P
Secondly, I admit, I'm still on the same pack as I was when this chit um- situation began,
so perhaps having added a few rolls to the cart early on was an over abundance of caution :: shrug ::

Never under estimate the psychological value, and anxiety soothing property of "doing something"
when faced with a crisis. TP doesn't go bad, picking up a bit of abundance makes us feel more in control....
 

Blazen

Contributing Member
Hey, first, kimberly clark is family business, so hording is just good business for me :P
Secondly, I admit, I'm still on the same pack as I was when this chit um- situation began,
so perhaps having added a few rolls to the cart early on was an over abundance of caution :: shrug ::

Never under estimate the psychological value, and anxiety soothing property of "doing something"
when faced with a crisis. TP doesn't go bad, picking up a bit of abundance makes us feel more in control....
I feel like this is the Primary Reason for the Great Toilet Paper Depression. The Sheeple were suddenly awakened in the Middle of the Night to the possibility of a supply chain disruption. Theyimmediately became a Novice Prepper. Toilet Paper is the most essential prep that they could fathom.
 
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Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
The Jan 2020 economic system was tuned to perfection. No one overbought, there were no warehouses full of inventory "wasting money", JIT delivery was working just fine.

Then everyone panicked, as planned and BOOM. New World Ordure here we come.
 

dioptase

Veteran Member
I have to confess as to a bit of anxiety as to when (or if) things will get back to normal, and getting a pack of TP (particularly in our preferred brand/softness/size) from the store will be no problem. In the meantime, I've been scouring the web. Sometimes, if you are on the right site at the right moment, there is a fleeting opportunity to order some. It may not be your preferred brand or softness, but at least it will be a well known, made-in-America brand (say for example, Northern versus Charmin).

(The same is true, btw, for flour. Fleetingly available on one site or another, generally back-ordered but at least you can get an order in, so grab it when you see it.)
 

Tex88

Veteran Member
...
CAN SUPPLIES BE REDIRECTED TO HOUSEHOLDS INSTEAD OF BUSINESSES THAT ARE NOW CLOSED?

No. Commercial toilet paper uses a different kind of pulp and is produced on different machines. Many institutional rolls are intentionally larger, so cleaning staff don’t have to refill them as often and people don’t steal them, Luke said. Plusher toilet paper for home use also has different packaging requirements, Garfield said.
...

Amazingly few words of Spanish are required to chat up the cleaning lady, inquire about her well-being, make a remark about the weather, and ask her to avert her eyes for a second while you help yourself to some of her re-supplies. Felt silly back then, but damn if I hadn't run out of paper at home by now otherwise...

Still got five of these:

1586480707888.png

Not very plush, but beats using a corn cob.
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
Just learn to pick locks. And the supply closet is yours.... you don't have to hoodoo the cleaning staff that way :D

(And for the record the only thing I ever removed without authorization was a couple of extra towels for a room at a hotel when the kids went swimming)
 

energy_wave

Has No Life - Lives on TB
ES7WeUaXYAE8Hq0.jpg
 

pauldingbabe

The Great Cat
Based on the fragility of the toilet paper supply chain, I need to stock a lot more just to protect myself from their inability to adapt to changing circumstances. What if a toilet paper plant was destroyed by an asteroid? It could happen...


This comment along with the avi is hilarious

:D
 

Tex88

Veteran Member
Just learn to pick locks. And the supply closet is yours.... you don't have to hoodoo the cleaning staff that way :D

(And for the record the only thing I ever removed without authorization was a couple of extra towels for a room at a hotel when the kids went swimming)

It's amazing how those industrial tp holders simply jump open after you loosen this screw and press here and there at the same time.
 

cat killer

Senior Member
I don't usually go to my small town dollar store but I needed some batteries tonight and they were well stocked with paper products, there was a two package limit.
 

Knight_Loring

Veteran Member
Amazingly few words of Spanish are required to chat up the cleaning lady, inquire about her well-being, make a remark about the weather, and ask her to avert her eyes for a second while you help yourself to some of her re-supplies. Felt silly back then, but damn if I hadn't run out of paper at home by now otherwise...

Still got five of these:

View attachment 191334

Not very plush, but beats using a corn cob.

Had a friend decades ago, who frequently told me about his father hoarding tp. He said his father was a vice president for Northrup Grumman and when he retired he literally had a room full of tp, floor to ceiling. Seems he grabbed a roll to take home almost every day. My friend was disgusted about his father nabbing the rolls BTW.
 

Babs

Veteran Member
I had a lengthly conversation with the manager of one of our local grocery stores today. He told me that his store, and several of the other stores within a 40 mile range were scheduled to get a semi full of TP each. The Walmart 40 miles away pulled their weight and had all of those semis diverted to their stores. So, if someone up here in the small towns needs toilet paper, we've got to drive 40 miles, one way to get it, and we can ONLY get it from Walmart. I hate that effing store for more reasons than I can count.
 

Meemur

Voice on the Prairie / FJB!
Neighbor told me that the nearest Super Target had TP, limited to one pack per guest. The manager told her that they were now getting it every shipment. This is Central Iowa.
 

Delta

Has No Life - Lives on TB
A week ago (or so) went to grocery store that had TP stacked by the checkouts. Today (different store, but local) had TP on the regular shelves. The shelves weren't full, but there was no limit and no crowd. I still don't find the hand soap, but that may have more to do with my not knowing where it is.
 

Terriannie

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Good article Millwright and it explains a lot even though it still shows the TP supply won't get back to normal anytime soon.

I'm glad I started to use homemade terrycloth wipes weeks ago! Forget waiting, searching and sweating because the store shelves are empty. I would only dip into my "stash" that I saved strictly for company, sickness (if you know what I mean.) AND the upcoming HURRICANE season!

(Although I did SCORE on a pack last Thursday and we're happily using that until that windfall runs out. Then, it's back to the homemade wipes, for which I'm glad I've already gotten used to. ;) )
 
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