WEATHER Tropical weather, 2026

Now TS Edouard.


BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Edouard Intermediate Advisory Number 2A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
700 PM CDT Mon Aug 31 2026

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD...
...ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
THE NORTHWEST GULF COAST ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.4N 91.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Port Bolivar to the Vermilion/Iberia Parish Line

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* High Island to the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 hours.



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Tropical Storm Edouard Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052026
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 01 2026

It has been easy to track the center of Edouard this morning,
showing up as a well-defined core of shallow convection on shortwave
infrared satellite imagery and radar reflectivity from Lake Charles,
Louisiana (KLCH). While the final fixes from the prior Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance mission did not show an additional pressure
drop, their remarks did note a nascent low-level eyewall was trying
to form, which can also be seen from land-based radar. This
structure could prove important for Edouard's near-term
intensification prospects as deep convection begins to reform close
to the storm center. For now, the initial intensity remains 35 kt
this advisory, in agreement with radial velocity data from KLCH and
the 06 UTC TAFB Dvorak intensity estimate. Another Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance mission is scheduled to investigate Edouard again
this morning.

The intensity forecast today is problematic. Edouard has managed to
develop a small core that could be prone to rapid changes in
intensity. In addition, environmental conditions are quite favorable
for intensification while Edouard remains over water, with 31 C
sea-surface temperatures, and low vertical wind shear diagnosed at
4 kt by UW-CIMSS. The raw output from the hurricane-regional models
responds to these factors by showing substantial intensification
today, with both HMON and HAFS-A making Edouard a hurricane before
landfall. HAFS-B and HWRF show a somewhat more tempered rate of
intensification. Given Edouard's current structure, a rapid
increase in intensity before landfall is still anticipated, and the
latest NHC forecast shows a 55 kt intensity near landfall, which is
close to the raw model HAFS-B output at that time. Of note, this is
well above the interpolated intensity guidance which can struggle
to depict rapid short-term intensity changes in these cases close
to landfall. After landfall, Edouard should quickly weaken, likely
becoming post-tropical in 36 h and dissipating by 48 h.

Edouard continues to move off to the west-northwest at 300/7 kt. A
prominent low- to mid-level ridge centered over the southeastern
United States should continue to steer the tropical cyclone to the
west-northwest then turning more northwest after 24 h as the storm
rounds the ridge. On this track, Edouard should make landfall later
today near the Louisiana/Texas border, and then push inland over
eastern Texas by tonight. The track guidance remains in good
agreement, though with just a slight westward shift, and the NHC
track forecast is just a touch west of the previous advisory,
closest to the HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA).


Key Messages:

1. Edouard is expected to strengthen and it could approach hurricane
strength before it reaches the northwest Gulf Coast later today.
Tropical Storm conditions are expected along the northwest Gulf
Coast with hurricane conditions possible from High Island to
Cameron.

2. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from High Island, Texas to
the Vermilion/Cameron Parish Line, Louisiana where peak values of
3 to 5 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate
coast within the warning area.

3. Heavy rain will impact parts of the Upper Texas coast through
east-central Texas into far Southwest Louisiana today and
tomorrow as Tropical Storm Edouard tracks inland. Flash flooding is
likely across this region, especially in urban areas. River flooding
may also be possible.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 01/0900Z 29.0N 92.8W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 01/1800Z 29.7N 93.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...ON THE COAST
24H 02/0600Z 30.6N 95.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 02/1800Z 31.7N 95.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 03/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Papin
 
Power went out here mid afternoon. Some heavy rain for not a very long time. No accumulation in the ditches. A few substantial gust of wind, maybe 50 mph? Power outage map on the Entergy web site shows wide spread power out. I'm thinking it's going to be out for a few days. Mean time, I get to see how well my Solar power system performs. Right now, just refrigerator, lights, TV, starlink, cpap. Tomorrow, I'll hook up another battery bank and inverter. Hope the sun comes out tomorrow.
 
Power is still out here, and this general area where the storm moved in. I'm not hopeful of it getting restored today. The storm is almost stationary over East Texas, and is not moving much. Cloud cover is staying put, so probably not going to get much Solar charging today. We'll see. I do still have 4 of my 100AH batteries fully charged, with some charge left in my two battery banks from overnight.

Might need to pull the gas generator out to get some battery charging going on. The water well is next door, so no pressure to this house. No one lives in my old house, but that is where the well is. I do have plenty of 5 gallon blue jugs, full of fresh water to get by.

If the power does stay out for more than a couple of days, we might have to drag the generator over to the water well and get a cold shower and refill blue containers.
 
I'm charging two other battery banks that got depleted overnight on the gasoline generator. We've had a little sun earlier, but not enough to charge up full on Solar.

Power is still out, and don't see it coming back until tomorrow, maybe.

Anyhow, I just hooked up my new 24 vdc rig w/two 12 vdc 100 Ah batteries in series. I need to plug in two chest freezers and bring them up to temp.


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Txkstew said:
I'm charging two other battery banks that got depleted overnight on the gasoline generator. We've had a little sun earlier, but not enough to charge up full on Solar.

Power is still out, and don't see it coming back until tomorrow, maybe.

Anyhow, I just hooked up my new 24 vdc rig w/two 12 vdc 100 Ah batteries in series. I need to plug in two chest freezers and bring them up to temp.


View attachment 619159
Click to expand...
Wrap those freezers in sleeping bags or blankets, and they'll stay cold much longer...

Summerthyme
 
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