WAR The Winds of War Blow in Korea and The Far East

jward

passin' thru
Paul McLeary
@paulmcleary
·
1h
DoD National Defense Strategy just dropped. Of note:

“although Europe remains important, it has a smaller and decreasing share of global economic power…we are and will remain engaged in Europe, we must—and will—prioritize defending the U.S. Homeland and deterring China.”
 

jward

passin' thru
Visioner
@visionergeo
1h

‼️‼️‼️ BREAKING - According to sources cited by Reuters and Bloomberg, reports are circulating that an attempted military coup took place in China aimed at overthrowing Xi Jinping. Two key generals have reportedly been detained, along with their families and up to 3,000 military personnel.

➡️ What is known at this stage:

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission) is suspected of organizing the coup against Xi Jinping.

A shooting reportedly occurred between troops loyal to Zhang and the presidential security detail, resulting in several of Xi Jinping’s guards being wounded or killed.

The plans of Zhang Youxia and the Chief of the Joint Staff, Liu Zhenli, allegedly included mobilizing troops to carry out a state coup against Xi Jinping.

The intended slogan was: “Save the Party, Save the Nation.”

The plan reportedly collapsed due to an alleged betrayal by individuals from within the inner circle.

Both generals are under strict control and investigator supervision; along with them, their families and up to 3,000 military personnel have reportedly been detained.

Following the exposure of the plan, heightened combat readiness was imposed, troop movements were halted, mobile phones were confiscated, and mass propaganda campaigns were launched.

All these events coincided with Chinese military exercises simulating strikes on Taiwan and the destruction of its governing authorities.

While China’s Ministry of National Defense of the People's Republic of China has officially confirmed the launch of an investigation into Generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli (the official reason cited being “serious violations of discipline and law,” a phrase often associated with corruption), information regarding an actual “attempted military coup” and “shootings” remains unconfirmed at this stage. Such claims are primarily circulating on social media and through opposition media outlets. Western agencies (Reuters, Bloomberg) tend to assess this more as another round of Xi Jinping’s purge of the military elite.

See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
Image
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Visioner
@visionergeo
1h

‼️‼️‼️ BREAKING - According to sources cited by Reuters and Bloomberg, reports are circulating that an attempted military coup took place in China aimed at overthrowing Xi Jinping. Two key generals have reportedly been detained, along with their families and up to 3,000 military personnel.

➡️ What is known at this stage:

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission) is suspected of organizing the coup against Xi Jinping.

A shooting reportedly occurred between troops loyal to Zhang and the presidential security detail, resulting in several of Xi Jinping’s guards being wounded or killed.

The plans of Zhang Youxia and the Chief of the Joint Staff, Liu Zhenli, allegedly included mobilizing troops to carry out a state coup against Xi Jinping.

The intended slogan was: “Save the Party, Save the Nation.”

The plan reportedly collapsed due to an alleged betrayal by individuals from within the inner circle.

Both generals are under strict control and investigator supervision; along with them, their families and up to 3,000 military personnel have reportedly been detained.

Following the exposure of the plan, heightened combat readiness was imposed, troop movements were halted, mobile phones were confiscated, and mass propaganda campaigns were launched.

All these events coincided with Chinese military exercises simulating strikes on Taiwan and the destruction of its governing authorities.

While China’s Ministry of National Defense of the People's Republic of China has officially confirmed the launch of an investigation into Generals Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli (the official reason cited being “serious violations of discipline and law,” a phrase often associated with corruption), information regarding an actual “attempted military coup” and “shootings” remains unconfirmed at this stage. Such claims are primarily circulating on social media and through opposition media outlets. Western agencies (Reuters, Bloomberg) tend to assess this more as another round of Xi Jinping’s purge of the military elite.

See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
Image

Begs the question of whether this makes Xi less or more likely to make a go at Taiwan?
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm........

Posted for fair use.......

Ousted Chinese General Accused of Leaking Nuclear Secrets to U.S.​

Julia Ornedo
Sun, January 25, 2026 at 2:53 PM PST

China’s top general was fired by President Xi Jinping following bombshell accusations of leaking top secrets to one of the Asian superpower’s biggest rivals, according to a report.

Gen. Zhang Youxia, 75, was ousted from his high-ranking role as vice chairman of the decision-making body Central Military Commission and placed under investigation as Xi purges the leadership of the People’s Liberation Army. Zhang was once seen as Xi’s most trusted military ally, ranking second only to the president in the chain of command.

The Chinese Defense Ministry announced Saturday that Zhang is “suspected of serious violations of discipline and law,” but did not disclose further details.

A Wall Street Journal report revealed that Zhang was accused of leaking information about China’s nuclear weapons program to the U.S. and accepting bribes, citing people familiar with a high-level briefing on Saturday morning.

Sources told the outlet that the most shocking allegation disclosed in the closed-door briefing, attended by high-ranking military officials, was that Zhang spilled core technical data on China’s nuclear weapons to the U.S.

The security breach was discovered during a probe into Gu Jun, the former general manager of the state-owned China National Nuclear Corp. that oversees the country’s civilian and military nuclear programs, according to the Journal. No further details on the leak were disclosed during the briefing, sources told the outlet.

Zhang was also accused of undermining party unity, abusing his authority within the Central Military Commission, and accepting large sums of money in exchange for promotions in the procurement system for military hardware.

The Chinese Embassy in Washington did not immediately return a request for comment from the Daily Beast on Sunday. In a statement to the Journal, spokesperson Liu Pengyu said the investigation into Zhang proves the party’s commitment to “a full-coverage, zero-tolerance approach to combating corruption.”

“This move is unprecedented in the history of the Chinese military and represents the total annihilation of the high command,” Christopher Johnson, a former CIA analyst and president of consulting firm China Strategies Group, told The New York Times. “The purging of even a childhood friend in Zhang Youxia shows there now are no limits to Xi’s anti-graft zeal.”
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

China's Sacked Top General Accused Of Leaking Nuclear Secrets To US: Report​

by Tyler Durden
Sunday, Jan 25, 2026 - 10:45 PM
On Saturday morning the world woke up to news that China's most senior military officer, who is second only to Xi Jinping, has been put under investigation over alleged "grave violations of discipline and the law." The detained Gen. Zhang Youxia is a vice chairman of the Central Military Commission, the Communist Party body that controls China's armed forces, and this was a major shock given he is widely regarded as President Xi's closest ally within the military, until now.

Another shock is just what he is being investigated for. While all the initial speculation focused on corruption, The Wall Street Journal on Sunday reveals the top general is accused of leaking information about the country’s nuclear-weapons program the United States. However, this has not yet been confirmed through official Chinese statements or sources.
Source: Russian Presidential & Information Office
He is also accused of taking bribes in exchange for official actions, including elevating an officer to the post of defense minister, according to individuals familiar with a senior-level briefing on the allegations cited in this latest Wall Street Journal report.

The accusation of passing Chinese nuclear secrets to the United States is alone quite the bombshell, obviously rising to the level of treason, which could elicit the death penalty - as this represents the most severe crime against national security.

Below are some key lines from the WSJ report, which cites its unnamed exclusive sources:

But the people familiar with the briefing—which hasn’t been reported until now—said Zhang is under investigation for allegedly forming political cliques, a phrase describing efforts to build networks of influence that undermine party unity, and abusing his authority within the Communist Party’s top military decision-making body, known as the Central Military Commission.
Authorities are also scrutinizing his oversight of a powerful agency responsible for the research, development and procurement of military hardware. Those familiar with the briefing said Zhang was alleged to have accepted huge sums of money in exchange for official promotions in this big-budget procurement system.
The most shocking allegation disclosed during the closed-door briefing, the people said, was that Zhang had leaked core technical data on China’s nuclear weapons to the U.S.
The reference to "undermining party unity" has by now become familiar in President Xi's ongoing purge of CCP sectors seen as potentially disloyal, or networks of power which present a challenge. In October this was largely the basis for the expulsion of nine senior generals, which marked one of the largest such crackdowns of top military officials in decades.

Currently there are reports that mobile devices have been confiscated within military ranks and among officials seen as close or under the influence of Gen. Zhang.

The WSJ report is receiving significant pushback from Chinese pundits and sources:

WSJ's chief China's correspondent Lingling Wei describes, "And this is far from the end. With thousands of officers having risen through the ranks under Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, these individuals now recognize they are primary targets for a systemic purge." She reports that "Mobile devices have been seized across ranks and all units are now on high alert."

Analyst Christopher Johnson, head of China Strategies Group, has meanwhile told WSJ of Zhang's rapid fall, "This move is unprecedented in the history of the Chinese military and represents the total annihilation of the high command."

(Tweet at the link.)
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane
Begs the question of whether this makes Xi less or more likely to make a go at Taiwan?
WSJ's chief China's correspondent Lingling Wei describes, "And this is far from the end. With thousands of officers having risen through the ranks under Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli, these individuals now recognize they are primary targets for a systemic purge." She reports that "Mobile devices have been seized across ranks and all units are now on high alert."

Analyst Christopher Johnson, head of China Strategies Group, has meanwhile told WSJ of Zhang's rapid fall, "This move is unprecedented in the history of the Chinese military and represents the total annihilation of the high command."
Seems unlikely but let's take nothing for granted!
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

How a purge of China’s military leadership could impact the army and the future of Taiwan​


By E. EDUARDO CASTILLO
Updated 5:03 AM EST, January 26, 2026

BEIJING (AP) — China made a major announcement over the weekend, saying it was investigating the army’s top general for suspected serious violations of discipline and law.

Gen. Zhang Youxia was the highest military member just below President Xi Jinping.

The Defense Ministry said Saturday that authorities were investigating Zhang, the senior of the two vice chairs of the powerful Central Military Commission, China’s top military body, and Gen. Liu Zhenli, a lower member of the commission who was in charge of the military’s Joint Staff Department.

The move shakes up virtually the entire commission, chaired by Xi, leaving only one of its six members intact.

“Xi Jinping has completed one of the biggest purges of China’s military leadership in the history of the People’s Republic,” said Neil Thomas, a fellow at the Asia Society Policy Institute’s Center for China Analysis.

For the army and China in general, the full impact of the changes is still unknown. But some experts say the moves also might have repercussions on Beijing’s next move on Taiwan, the self-ruled island that Beijing claims as its own territory.

Here are some elements to understand why Gen. Zhang’s removal is important.



What was behind the latest military purge​

The Defense Ministry announced the measures Saturday but provided no details on the alleged wrongdoing. The next day, the People’s Liberation Army Daily published an editorial that fell short of explaining the specific reasons, saying only that it was “for suspected serious violations of discipline and law” and showed China’s commitment to punish corruption. That is something Xi has pursued since the early days of his presidency.

Rumors have circulated on social media and there have been some media reports about the changes, but nothing official.

“I do not believe any evidence publicly released or selectively leaked by Chinese authorities would necessarily reflect the core reason for Zhang’s removal,” said K. Tristan Tang, nonresident Vasey Fellow at Pacific Forum. “The critical point is that Xi Jinping decided to move against Zhang; once an investigation is launched, problems are almost inevitably uncovered.”

Analysts have said the purges are designed to reform the military and ensure loyalty to Xi. They are part of a broader anti-corruption drive that has resulted in punishment for more than 200,000 officials since the Chinese leader came to power in 2012.

Before Zhang and Liu’s dismissal, the Communist Party expelled the other vice chair of the commission, He Weidong, in October. He was replaced with Zhang Shengmin, who is now the only commission member.

Since 2012, at least 17 Generals from the People’s Liberation Army, or PLA, have been removed from their military positions, among them eight who were former top commission members, according to a review of military statements and state media reports made by The Associated Press.

How a top military change can impact moves on Taiwan​

Some think the removals could have repercussions for China’s decisions on Taiwan, but it is far from clear.

China considers Taiwan its own territory and has threatened to take control of the island by force if necessary. China also has increased military pressure and, last month, launched large-scale military drills around Taiwan for two days after the U.S. government announced a major arms sales to Taiwan.

Thomas, from the Asia Society Policy Institute, said the latest purge “makes China’s threat toward Taiwan weaker in the short term but stronger in the long term.”

It would make a military escalation against the island riskier in the immediate term because of “a high command in disarray,” but in the long term would mean the army has a more loyal and less corrupt leadership with more military capabilities, he said.

Asked if this might reinforce the idea that removing top military brass might show China is not ready for war, Tang from the Pacific Forum said it “does not fundamentally change that assessment”.

“That said,” he added, “I also do not believe the PLA’s combat readiness has been severely disrupted.”

Military commission’s future remains unclear​

With the recent changes, the military commission will operate with only one of six members active and Xi at the top as the chair.

The PLA’s Daily editorial said that after the actions against Zhang and Liu, the party is moving to “promote the rejuvenation of the People’s Liberation Army, and inject powerful momentum into building a strong military force.”


But it’s not clear if the five vacant positions will be replaced soon or if Xi will wait until 2027, when there will be a selection of a new Communist Party Central Committee, the body in charge of also appointing the new military commission members.

Tang, from the Pacific Forum, doesn’t see any pressure on Xi to fill the positions in the short term.

“Unless the objective is to create an internal counterweight to Zhang Shengmin,” the only current member in the commission, he said.
 

jward

passin' thru
nationalpost.com
Kim Jong Un oversees test of new North Korean rocket system
Bloomberg News


North Korean leader Kim Jong Un oversaw the test of an upgraded large-caliber multiple rocket system designed for specific attacks as the nation seeks to raise its deterrent against nuclear war, state media reported on Wednesday.

Kim said upgrading the weapons system would allow North Korea to “employ its most powerful characteristics in a most appropriate and effective way, and thus made it possible to apply it in specific attacks,” the official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) said. He did not elaborate on what kind of attacks the rocket system is designed for.

A day earlier, South Korea and Japan reported that multiple short-range ballistic missiles were launched from north of Pyongyang toward waters off its east coast. North Korea said it fired four rockets that hit a target in waters 358 kilometres from the point of launch.
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“All the indexes have been improved to maximize its strike capability, and the mobility, intelligence and hitting accuracy of the rockets, in particular, have remarkably been upgraded,” Kim was quoted by KCNA as saying.

The report did not elaborate on the kind of upgraded technology entailed but said the weapon has a “self-steered precisely guided flight system, which can neglect any outside intervention.”

“As I have always emphasized, the relevant activities we conduct are clearly aimed at none other than further raising the level of our deterrent against a nuclear war,” Kim said.

The action comes as North Korea prepares to hold a party congress in coming weeks, a key event where Kim typically lays out his policy direction for the next five years. At the last congress of the ruling Workers’ Party, held in 2021, the North Korean leader declared the production of a nuclear sub to be one of his top weapons projects.

Kim said he will “clarify the next-stage plans for further bolstering up the country’s nuclear war deterrent” at the next party gathering.

The latest show of force comes after U.S. Undersecretary of Defence for Policy Elbridge Colby visited Seoul earlier this week and praised South Korea as a model ally ready to take a greater role for its own defence.

The new U.S. National Defence Strategy released last week urges South Korea to take the primary role in deterring North Korea as the Trump administration shifts its focus to prioritize protecting the U.S. homeland.

It was Pyongyang’s second ballistic missile launch of the year and came after North Korea accused the South earlier this month of having violated its airspace with drones.

The South Korean government has denied involvement in the alleged incident and launched an investigation into suspicions that the unmanned vehicle was sent by civilians. After the first launch in early January, the North said it had tested a hypersonic missile.

 

jward

passin' thru
Yaxue Cao
@YaxueCao
Jan 31

“Multiple sources have confirmed that Gen. He Weidong 何卫东 committed suicide.”

Suicide or otherwise, the former vice chairman of the Central Military Commission is reportedly dead. Imagine the shock waves rippling through the ranks. Imagine the fear and loathing gnawing at the hearts of every military officer in China.

Meanwhile, nothing is out of sorts — or so Xi Jinping pretends.
 

jward

passin' thru
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡
@shanaka86
·
3h
The most dangerous weapon China has built isn't a hypersonic missile.

It's a licensing delay.

In April-May 2025, China reduced rare earth magnet exports to Japan by 91% and South Korea by 93%.

No embargo was declared. No sanctions announced. No headlines.

They just... processed paperwork slowly.

The weapon is bureaucratic latency. A 45-day license review becomes 120 days. Just-in-time supply chains seize. F-35 production halts.

On January 6, 2026, China deployed this weapon against Japan over a single statement about Taiwan.

Now here's the collision nobody sees:

China controls 99% of heavy rare earth processing.

On January 1, 2027, US defense contractors must certify 0% Chinese content in their supply chains.

The arithmetic is structural impossibility.

The Pentagon knows. Wall Street doesn't.

The countdown started. 334 days remain.

Read the full deep dive institutional analysis here - https://open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans
 

jward

passin' thru
ⁿᵉʷˢ Barron Trump
@BarronTNews_
3h

Commentary account
NOW — REPORTER asks about the military purge in China.

Donald Trump didn’t flinch.

“China? As far as I’m concerned, there’s ONE boss in China and that’s Xi Jinping. THAT’S who I’m dealing with.”

Reporter presses on stability and Taiwan.

Trump shuts it down again.

“I think President Xi is the boss. I watch it very closely. He’s highly respected in China. HE’S THE BOSS.”

Clear. Direct. No media fluff.
This is how serious leaders talk to serious adversaries.
rt 33
View: https://twitter.com/BarronTNews_/status/2017943286086795650?s=20
 

jward

passin' thru
Shah Faisal AfRidi
@Sfaisalafridi
34m

Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Thomas G. DiNanno says the U.S. assessment indicates China conducted covert nuclear explosive tests with yields in the hundreds of tons using “decoupling,” a technique involving detonations inside large underground cavities.

The method is said to absorb shockwaves and weaken seismic signals to evade global monitoring systems, with the U.S. alleging one such test occurred on June 22, 2020.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Shah Faisal AfRidi
@Sfaisalafridi
34m

Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Thomas G. DiNanno says the U.S. assessment indicates China conducted covert nuclear explosive tests with yields in the hundreds of tons using “decoupling,” a technique involving detonations inside large underground cavities.

The method is said to absorb shockwaves and weaken seismic signals to evade global monitoring systems, with the U.S. alleging one such test occurred on June 22, 2020.

Arms Control Wonk has done a podcast on this as well.......

Posted for fair use......

Conscious Decoupling​


by ACW Podcast | 2026-02-07 | No Comments
RT: 00:36:38

U.S. Undersecretary of State Tom DiNanno accused China of conducting decoupled, low-yield nuclear tests including on June 22, 2020. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about seismic monitoring of nuclear tests, the role of hydronuclear testing, and what might be going on.
 

jward

passin' thru
Inevitable West
@Inevitablewest
4h

BREAKING: It's official, Japanese Pro-Trump populist Takaichi has WON an absolute majority in Japan's elections

She won 75% of all seats available!

Japan is BACK! The world is waking up and REJECTING the left-wing ideology.

All day Astronomy
@forallcurious
9h

Japan has successfully became the first nation to demonstrate space-based solar power generation, wirelessly transmitting energy from a 180kg orbital satellite down to a ground station. The OHISAMA ("sun") project used solar panels in low Earth orbit to convert sunlight into microwaves, which were beamed to Earth to provide a constant, clean energy source unaffected by weather or night cycles.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

World shares rally and Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumps after a big victory for PM Takaichi’s ruling party​

By ELAINE KURTENBACH
Updated 4:04 AM EST, February 9, 2026

BANGKOK (AP) — World shares advanced and Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 share index jumped as much as 5% to a record on Monday after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s governing party secured a two-thirds supermajority in a parliamentary election.

In early European trading, Germany’s DAX gained 0.6% to 24,864.59, while the CAC 40 in Paris edged 0.2% higher, to 8,288.06. Britain’s FTSE 100 was up 0.3% at 10,399.61.

U.S. futures edged higher after the U.S. stock market roared back on Friday as technology stocks recovered much of their losses from earlier in the week and bitcoin halted its plunge. The future for the S&P 500 added 0.1%, while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.2%.

On Friday, the S&P 500 rallied 2% for its best day since May. The Dow industrials soared 2.5%, topping the 50,000 level for the first time. The Nasdaq composite leaped 2.2%.

The combination of a rebound in tech shares, Wall Street’s rally and other upbeat news lifted shares early Monday.

In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 closed 3.9% higher at 56,363.94. Earlier in the day the benchmark hit a new intraday record of 57,337.07.

The dollar weakened slightly against the Japanese yen, trading at 156.71 yen, down from 157.10 yen late Friday.

The landslide election victory gives Takaichi a much stronger mandate to pursue market-friendly policies.

NHK, citing results of vote counts, said Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic Party, or LDP, alone secured 316 seats by early Monday, comfortably surpassing a 261-seat absolute majority in the 465-member lower house, the more powerful of Japan’s two-chamber parliament. That marks a record since the party’s foundation in 1955 and surpasses the previous record of 300 seats won in 1986 by late Prime Minister Yasuhiro Nakasone.



“So overall, as the LDP has gone from a very weak government that really couldn’t do anything to an extremely strong government now with the supermajority of the lower house, they really could call the shots,” said Neil Newman, managing director and head of strategy at Astris Advisory Japan.

Takaichi’s first major task when the lower house reconvenes in mid-February is to work on a budget bill, delayed by the election, to fund economic measures to address rising costs and sluggish wages.

“Japan just delivered the kind of election result markets instinctively embrace because it removes the one thing traders price at a premium: political ambiguity,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary.

“Politically, the win hands Prime Minister Takaichi freedom of movement and removes the need to bargain every decision down to the lowest common denominator,” he said.

Other markets across Asia also rallied.

In Seoul, the Kospi gained 4.1%, to 5,298.04, buoyed by strong buying of tech shares.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index climbed 1.8% to 27,027.16 and the Shanghai Composite index rose 1.4% to 4,123.09. Taiwan’s Taiex gained 2%.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 surged 1.9% to 8,870.10.

Gains for computer chip companies helped drive Wall Street’s widespread rally on Friday. Nvidia jumped 7.8% and Broadcom climbed 7.1%.

The S&P 500 still fell to its third losing week in the last four. Apart from worries about spending by Big Tech companies, which are Wall Street’s most influential stocks, concerns about AI potentially stealing customers from software companies also hurt the market. Software stocks were hit particularly hard after AI firm Anthropic released free tools to automate things like legal services.

In other dealings early Monday, bitcoin gained 1% to trade just below $70,000. A weekslong plunge sent it to close to $60,000 late Thursday, more than halfway below its record price set in October.


Prices in the metals market have calmed a bit following their own wild swings. Gold rose 1.4% to $5048.90 per ounce, while silver added 6.2% to $81.64.

U.S. benchmark crude oil shed 60 cents to $62.95 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, gave up 60 cents to $67.45 per barrel.

The euro rose to $1.1866 from $1.1814.

___

AP videojournalist Mayuko Ono in Tokyo contributed.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Inevitable West
@Inevitablewest
4h

BREAKING: It's official, Japanese Pro-Trump populist Takaichi has WON an absolute majority in Japan's elections

She won 75% of all seats available!

Japan is BACK! The world is waking up and REJECTING the left-wing ideology.

All day Astronomy
@forallcurious
9h

Japan has successfully became the first nation to demonstrate space-based solar power generation, wirelessly transmitting energy from a 180kg orbital satellite down to a ground station. The OHISAMA ("sun") project used solar panels in low Earth orbit to convert sunlight into microwaves, which were beamed to Earth to provide a constant, clean energy source unaffected by weather or night cycles.

Dr. O'Neil must be smiling.....
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Posted for fair use......

Navy Rare photos of 2 Navy submarines operating together off Guam draw attention
By Joseph Ditzler Stars and Stripes • February 12, 2026

Two U.S. Navy fast-attack submarines surfacing side by side off Guam — a rare sight for vessels designed to remain unseen — has drawn attention online and prompted discussion about undersea signaling in the Indo-Pacific.

The Los Angeles-class submarines USS Asheville and USS Annapolis were photographed cruising together on Dec. 17, according to images posted Monday on the Defense Visual Information Distribution System.

The submarines are among five assigned to Squadron 15 at Polaris Point, Naval Base Guam. “Renowned for their unparalleled speed, endurance, stealth, and mobility, fast-attack submarines serve as the backbone of the Navy’s submarine force,” the service said in a description accompanying the images, noting their role in safeguarding maritime interests worldwide. The Pacific Fleet Submarine Force in Hawaii did not respond to email and phone requests for comment this week.

Official images of two submarines operating together and released publicly are uncommon, and online defense analysts quickly seized on them.

Global Defense News/Army Recognition Group, a Belgian website, described the photos’ release as “more than a public affairs moment,” in an unsigned analysis on its website Tuesday. “It captures a deliberately uncommon posture for platforms built to stay unseen, and it offers a window into how the U.S. Navy is using Guam-based undersea forces to signal readiness in a region where warning times are shrinking,” the analysis said. “Operationally, it hints at surge depth: not one submarine on station, but multiple hulls available from a forward hub,” the analysis added.

Fast-attack submarines are designed to hunt enemy submarines and surface ships, strike targets ashore with Tomahawk cruise missiles, deploy special operations forces and gather intelligence, according to the Navy. The images emerged amid heightened military activity across the Indo-Pacific. A photograph of two submarines cruising together may be a rare event, but its lacks the scale of Chinese aircraft warships circling Australia or U.S. Navy warships passing through the Taiwan Strait, said Benjamin Blandin, a research fellow with the Yokosuka Council on Asia Pacific Studies.

The United States and China both “have engaged in a series of strategic signaling to show strength and test the other ones’ response,” he told Stars and Stripes by email Wednesday. “So, for me, this has nothing out of the ordinary and is actually far from provocative.”

The submarine images may carry a clear deterrent message, said Ian Chong, an associate professor of political science at the National University of Singapore. The photos “intend to demonstrate that the United States remains militarily committed to the Indo-Pacific and would like to discourage any actor who may wish to engage in military activity Washington considers to be against its interests,” he said by email Wednesday. “This demonstration of force occurs in the backdrop of increasing and intensifying [Chinese] military activity around Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, and elsewhere in the South China Sea,” Chong wrote.

Joseph Ditzler is a Marine Corps veteran and the Pacific editor for Stars and Stripes. He’s a native of Pennsylvania and has written for newspapers and websites in Alaska, California, Florida, New Mexico, Oregon and Pennsylvania. He studied journalism at Penn State and international relations at the University of Oklahoma.
 

jward

passin' thru
Insider Paper
@TheInsiderPaper
4h

BREAKING: Japan says it seized Chinese fishing boat, arrested skipper, according to fisheries agency
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
I hope she has good security. Isn't his sister looking for that job?

Considering his health issues, the Kims' will be lucky to get one more turn at the wheel when he's gone. I can see the sister in a "regency" position but how long that would be or whether the daughter took over later is likely on long odds.
 

jward

passin' thru
No.

His sister as a threat to his daughter- or him- is just one of those vacuous mischaracterizations that people here pulled out of their nether regions for clicks or an excuse to say something, regardless of how poorly reasoned or unfounded it was.

She's not seen as a rival, but if anything more of a stabilizing and complimentary role in the nations power hierarchy.


Others in the nations' cast of characters do need security and face or pose risk, but i'll not derail the thread further...
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Posted for fair use.......

Northeast Asia

Make Japan strong again: Takaichi’s plan to revive the military​


Takaichi’s spat with China over Taiwan is helping her overcome domestic opposition to her bold security agenda


by Sebastian Maslow February 17, 2026

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and her ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) got a historic landslide victory in last week’s parliamentary elections.

This marks the first time since its founding in 1955 that the conservative LDP controls a two-thirds supermajority in the lower house. If necessary, Takaichi’s cabinet could also overrule any opposition in the upper house of the Diet (Japan’s parliament), where her coalition still lacks a majority.

Given this, Takaichi now has a massive mandate to push her agenda. This includes boosting defence spending, strengthening the military and even potentially revising Japan’s pacifist constitution, which constrains the role of the Self-Defense Forces and forbids going to war.

So, does this mean Japan could become a more militarized state under Takaichi? And if so, what are the implications for regional security?

Countering China’s rise​


Takaichi has portrayed herself as Japan’s Margaret Thatcher and the standard-bearer of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s legacy.

Abe, who led the LDP back to power in 2012, had pledged to “restore a strong Japan.” During his eight-year rule, Japan adopted a so-called “proactive pacifism.” Under this new security strategy, Japan began to depart from its postwar pacifism through a number of ways:
  • strengthening the military
  • lifting bans on arms exports
  • building new security partnerships (including with NATO, the European Union and the Quad)
  • consolidating its alliance with the United States.

In 2014, a new interpretation of the constitution also permitted Japan to engage in “collective self-defense,” or aid an ally under attack. Takaichi now sees her job as continuing Abe’s work. And her direction is clear.

Shortly after becoming prime minister last year, Takaichi triggered a spat with Beijing when she suggested Japan would come to Taiwan’s defense if it was attacked by China. Beijing retaliated with economic pressure and coercive rhetoric, but Takaichi refused to back down.

Neither Takaichi nor China’s leader, Xi Jinping, are in a hurry to improve diplomatic relations. Beijing has urged Chinese tourists not to travel to Japan and warned that Takaichi’s moves threaten regional security and the international order.

Takaichi, meanwhile, is hoping an assertive China will help her overcome domestic opposition to her security agenda. So far, the public supports her government as well. In a poll after the election, 69% approved of her cabinet’s performance.

How Takaichi wants to transform Japan’s military​


Takaichi’s government will soon begin work on a revision of its National Security Strategy from 2022. It is likely to adopt her declared “crisis management” approach, combining security and economic objectives with industrial policy.

Despite mounting public debt, Takaichi has already increased defense spending to 2% of Japan’s GDP ahead of schedule, and has pledged to spend more. Her government is also considering acquiring nuclear submarines and has announced plans to further deregulate arms exports, ultimately allowing the transfer of lethal weapons.

Japan has already permitted the export of Patriot PAC-3 air defense missile systems to the United States to replenish stocks sent to Ukraine and Israel. Japan has also agreed to sell Mogami-class frigates to Australia and has signed deals with Italy and the United Kingdom to co-develop a next-generation fighter jet.

In addition, Japan is participating in a NATO-led initiative to supply Ukraine with military equipment. While Japan’s involvement is limited to non-lethal arms, this could lead to more defense cooperation with NATO overall.

On the domestic intelligence front, Takaichi has pledged to pass a new anti-spy law, establish a National Intelligence Bureau modelled on the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and issue a national intelligence strategy.

These initiatives are intended to bolster the country’s intelligence capabilities, which have often been hindered by bureaucratic infighting. The long-term aim is eventually joining the “Five Eyes” network.


Stronger ties with the Trump administration​


Faced with threats from China, North Korea and Russia, Japan has little choice but to maintain its security alliance with the US.

At the top of Takaichi’s agenda, therefore, is managing the US–Japan alliance in the era of the so-called “Donroe doctrine.” This is Trump’s new security strategy that shifts the focus of US security towards the Western hemisphere, potentially distracting from the Indo-Pacific.

Trump endorsed Takaichi during her election campaign. And when she goes to Washington on March 19, she will likely attempt to influence the White House’s China agenda before Trump visits Beijing in April.

In order to offset the potential impact of a trade deal between the US and China, Takaichi could also use her new political capital to accelerate the implementation of Japan’s own US$550 billion investment pledge in the US.

Ten years ago, Angela Merkel, then-chancellor of Germany, was hailed as the “new leader of the free world.” Now, Takaichi is being celebrated as the “world’s most powerful woman.”

How she uses her newfound power to maneuver in a world of great-power rivalry and uncertain alliances will define her legacy and shape the region for years to come.


Sebastian Maslow is associate professor of international relations and contemporary Japanese politics & society, University of Tokyo


This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.
 

jward

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5h

US to Deploy Additional Advanced Missiles Near China

The US is sending additional advanced missiles to the Philippines. The move strengthens America’s military presence near the South China Sea and comes as tensions with Beijing continue to rise.
 

jward

passin' thru
Japan u mean? They've been working on their nuclear stance past few years- still shy of admitting they have a closet full of components just awaiting the magic golden screw driver, but.......

I like that lady in charge, when things settle down it'l be interesting to see what other surprised the drummer and Thatcher fan-gurl bring to the table : )
 

jward

passin' thru
nknews.org
Kim Jong Un formally deploys 50 new tactical nuke launchers at ceremony


News

North Korean leader says 600mm MLRS now ‘incorporates AI’ and advanced guidance system

Kim Jong Un formally deploys 50 new tactical nuke launchers at ceremony

50 TELs for the 600mm MLRS were lined up in front of the April 25 House of Culture in Pyongyang | Image: Rodong Sinmun (Feb. 19, 2026)

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un officially deployed 50 new launch vehicles for the country's 600mm rocket system at a ceremony on Wednesday, according to state media, a type of missile primarily targeting South Korea that allegedly “incorporates artificial intelligence (AI)” and can be equipped with nuclear warheads.

The 50 wheeled transporter erector launch vehicles (TELs) were lined up for the ceremony in front of the April 25 House of Culture in Pyongyang, where the anticipated Ninth Party Congress is set to begin in the coming days, Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) photos published on Thursday show.

© Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved.
No part of this content may be reproduced, distributed, or used for commercial purposes without prior written permission from Korea Risk Group.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Former South Korean president receives life sentence for imposing martial law in 2024​

By KIM TONG-HYUNG
Updated 10:48 PM EST, February 19, 2026
Leer en español

SEOUL, South Korea (AP) — Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol was found guilty of leading an insurrection on Thursday and sentenced to life in prison for his brief imposition of martial law in 2024, a ruling that marks a dramatic culmination of the country’s biggest political crisis in decades.

The conservative leader was ousted from office after he declared martial law and sent troops to surround the National Assembly on Dec. 3, 2024, in a baffling attempt to overcome a legislature controlled by his liberal opponents.

Judge Jee Kui-youn of the Seoul Central District Court said he found Yoon, 65, guilty of rebellion for mobilizing military and police forces in an illegal attempt to seize the Assembly, arrest political opponents and establish unchecked power for an indefinite period.

Martial law crisis recalled dictatorial​

past​


Yoon’s martial law imposition, the first of its kind in more than four decades, recalled South Korea’s past military-backed governments when authorities occasionally proclaimed emergency decrees that allowed them to station soldiers, tanks and armored vehicles on streets or in public places such as schools to prevent anti-government demonstrations.

As lawmakers rushed to the National Assembly, Yoon’s martial law command issued a proclamation declaring sweeping powers, including suspending political activities, controlling the media and publications, and allowing arrests without warrants.

The decree lasted about six hours before being lifted after a quorum of lawmakers managed to break through a military blockade and unanimously voted to lift the measure.

Yoon was suspended from office on Dec. 14, 2024, after being impeached by lawmakers and was formally removed by the Constitutional Court in April 2025. He has been under arrest since last July while facing multiple criminal trials, with the rebellion charge carrying the most severe punishment.

Yoon’s lawyers reject conviction​

An expressionless Yoon gazed straight ahead as the judge delivered the sentence in the same courtroom where former military rulers and presidents have been convicted of treason, corruption and other crimes over the decades.

Yoon Kap-keun, one of the former president’s lawyers, accused the judge of issuing a “predetermined verdict” based solely on prosecutors’ arguments and said the “rule of law” had collapsed. He said he would discuss whether to appeal with his client and the rest of the legal team.

Former President Yoon claimed in court that the martial law decree was only meant to raise public awareness of how the liberals were paralyzing state affairs, and that he was prepared to respect lawmakers if they voted against the measure.

Prosecutors said it was clear Yoon was attempting to disable the legislature and prevent lawmakers from lifting the measure through voting, actions that exceeded his constitutional authority even under martial law.

The court also convicted and sentenced five former military and police officials involved in enforcing Yoon’s martial law decree. They included ex-Defense Minister Kim Yong Hyun, who received a 30-year jail term for his central role in planning the measure, mobilizing the military and instructing military counterintelligence officials to arrest 14 key politicians, including National Assembly speaker Woo Won-shik and current liberal President Lee Jae Myung.

In announcing Yoon and Kim’s verdicts, Jee said the decision to send troops to the National Assembly was key to his determination that the imposition of martial law amounted to rebellion.

“This court finds that the purpose of (Yoon’s) actions was to send troops to the National Assembly, block the Assembly building and arrest key figures, including the National Assembly speaker and the leaders of both the ruling and opposition parties, in order to prevent lawmakers from gathering to deliberate or vote,” Jee said. “It’s sufficiently established that he intended to obstruct or paralyze the Assembly’s activities so that it would be unable to properly perform its functions for a considerable period of time.”

Protesters rally outside court​

As Yoon arrived in court, hundreds of police officers watched closely as Yoon supporters rallied outside a judicial complex, their cries rising as the prison bus transporting him drove past. Yoon’s critics gathered nearby, demanding the death penalty.

There were no immediate reports of major clashes following the verdict.

A special prosecutor had demanded the death penalty for Yoon Suk Yeol, saying his actions posed a threat to the country’s democracy and deserved the most serious punishment available, but most analysts had expected a life sentence since the poorly-planned power grab did not result in casualties.

South Korea has not executed a death row inmate since 1997, in what is widely seen as a de facto moratorium on capital punishment amid calls for its abolition.

Jung Chung-rae, leader of the liberal Democratic Party, which led the push to impeach and remove Yoon, expressed regret that the court stopped short of the death penalty, saying the ruling reflected a “lack of a sense of justice.”

Song Eon-seok, floor leader of the conservative People Power Party, to which Yoon once belonged, issued a public apology, saying the party feels a “deep sense of responsibility” for the disruption to the nation.

The office of current President Lee Jae Myung did not immediately comment on the ruling.

Other officials sentenced for enforcing martial law​

Last month, Yoon was sentenced to five years in prison for resisting arrest, fabricating the martial law proclamation and sidestepping a legally mandated full Cabinet meeting before declaring the measure.

The Seoul Central Court had previously convicted two other members of Yoon’s Cabinet in connection with the martial law debacle. That includes Prime Minister Han Duck-soo, who received a 23-year prison sentence for attempting to legitimize the decree by forcing it through a Cabinet Council meeting, falsifying records and lying under oath. Han has appealed the verdict.

Yoon is the first former South Korean president to receive a life sentence since former military dictator Chun Doo-hwan, who was sentenced to death in 1996 for his 1979 coup, a bloody 1980 crackdown on pro-democracy protesters in Gwangju that left more than 200 people dead or missing, and corruption.


The Supreme Court later reduced his sentence to life imprisonment, and he was released in late 1997 under a special presidential pardon. He died in 2021.
 

jward

passin' thru
Bill Mitchell
@mitchellvii
15h

Wait, seriously...? Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi just declared her country will become the "shining beacon of democracy & freedom" Europe abandoned - vowing full free speech and unbreakable safety!

She's picking up the mantle the West dropped, promising Japan stays prosperous, secure, and true to its people.

No more failed open-border experiments or speech suppression.

In her words: Japan will be safe & prosperous, a shining beacon.

This is what real leadership looks like - assimilate to our culture or leave, protect freedom without compromise.

Europe's mistakes become Japan's lessons.

While the left pushes weakness, Japan builds strength.

Huge respect for a nation that refuses to fade.

America First patriots, this is the blueprint.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Xi Purge Latest: China's Top Legislature Abruptly Sacks 9 Top Military Officials​

by Tyler Durden
Friday, Feb 27, 2026 - 02:45 AM
China has removed nine military lawmakers from its national parliament, escalating President Xi Jinping's purge of senior defense officials, which has been a months-long trend, tracked closely by global headlines.

In this latest move, first reported internationally by Bloomberg Thursday, the country's top legislative body stripped Ground Force Commander Li Qiaoming and Information Support Force Political Commissar Li Wei of their seats, along with seven other officers.

The dismissals were handed down this week, with state-run Xinhua reporting from the 14th National People's Congress that those targeted include Ground Force's chief Ding Laifu; Central Military Commission officials Bian Ruifeng and Wang Donghai; Navy officers Shen Jinlong and Qin Shengxiang; Air Force's Yu Zhongfu; and Rocket Force's Yang Guang.

State media has not immediately issued details for the dismissals, or specifics on investigations. Back in late January, when Xi's own right-hand military man, Gen. Zhang Youxia - at the time vice chairman of the Central Military Commission - was abruptly removed, the charge was simply "grave violations of discipline and the law."

Such language is often presented in such crackdowns as a euphemism for corruption, which President Xi has in the recent past described as "the biggest threat". But critics as well as Western observers say this has served as a convenient and public PR mechanism for sidelining political rivals, and strengthening Xi's power and hold on the levers of power.

Such is likely also the case with the new firings of these nine military officials. In this fresh case, Beijing has only offered that the officials are suspected of "serious discipline and law violations" - again, just like with the ambiguous Zhang Youxia case.

Xi sent a campaign to eliminate corruption in the armed forces into overdrive around mid-2023, months after securing a precedent-defying third term. Since then, authorities have ousted two vice chairmen of the military commission, three CMC members, a former defense minister, and at least a dozen senior generals who commanded major military units, and possibly many dozens - or perhaps even hundreds - of other officers.

A former CIA analyst who follows Chinese elite politics, Christopher K. Johnson, recently told the NY Times of the ongoing purge trend, "This move is unprecedented in the history of the Chinese military and represents the total annihilation of the high command."

The PLA has seen significant internal turmoil, especially since the Communist Party’s 20th Congress in late 2022. Several top military figures - including Defense Ministers Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe, and CMC Political Work Department head Miao Hua - have disappeared or been removed, and many more followed.
Taiwan News 247
@TaiwanNews247

How Xi's military purges could hamper China's ability to fight Two new studies document the crackdown and raise questions about the People's Liberation Army's ability to carry out large-scale operations, such as a potential assault on Taiwan.
How Xi's military purges could hamper China's ability to fight

From nbcnews.com

1:27 AM · Feb 26, 2026
·
178
Views

View: https://twitter.com/TaiwanNews247/status/2026907054674526634?


In China, the military is controlled by the Communist Party, not the state, and survival at the top depends on absolute loyalty. Even the most senior and trusted officers are not safe in today's political climate.
 

mecoastie

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Bill Mitchell
@mitchellvii
15h

Wait, seriously...? Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi just declared her country will become the "shining beacon of democracy & freedom" Europe abandoned - vowing full free speech and unbreakable safety!

She's picking up the mantle the West dropped, promising Japan stays prosperous, secure, and true to its people.

No more failed open-border experiments or speech suppression.

In her words: Japan will be safe & prosperous, a shining beacon.

This is what real leadership looks like - assimilate to our culture or leave, protect freedom without compromise.

Europe's mistakes become Japan's lessons.

While the left pushes weakness, Japan builds strength.

Huge respect for a nation that refuses to fade.

America First patriots, this is the blueprint.
They need to figure out how to make babies again if they want to be part of the world and have a people in a few years.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

19 deputies of China’s legislature, including 9 military officers, removed before annual meeting​


By KEN MORITSUGU
Updated 4:29 AM EST, February 27, 2026
Leer en español

BEIJING (AP) — China’s legislature has dismissed 19 members, including nine who are military officers, one week ahead of the start of its annual meeting.

The late Thursday announcement did not say why the deputies had been removed, but such removals are generally tied to corruption investigations.

An anti-corruption campaign launched by Chinese leader Xi Jinping shows no sign of letting up after more than a decade. The military has been targeted in recent years, including the removal of its top general last month, as Xi seeks to reform and modernize the armed forces.

Analysts say the campaign is also a way for Xi, who is in his 14th year in power, to remove potential rivals and ensure loyalty among his subordinates.

The dismissals aren’t likely to have a major impact on the meeting of the National People’s Congress, which opens next Thursday and is expected to run for a week. The largely ceremonial legislature rubber stamps decisions that have been made by the ruling Communist Party.

The removed officers include two under the Central Military Commission, the military’s highest body, as well as others from the army, the navy, the air force and the rocket force. Three are generals. The rocket force, which overseas China’s nuclear arsenal, was an early target of the military purges.

The other dismissed deputies were regional representatives from several provinces. The removals leave the National People’s Congress with 2,878 members.

The dismissals were announced by the legislature’s Standing Committee, a smaller and more powerful group of members who meet periodically throughout the year and can approve legislation.


The Standing Committee, which met ahead of next week’s congress, also fired two officials, the president of the military court and Emergency Management Minister Wang Xiangxi. Authorities announced last month that Wang is the subject of a corruption investigation.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm...........

Posted for fair use.......

Iran strikes spotlight chances for North Korea to resume nuclear talks with Trump​

By Heejin Kim and Sebin Choi
March 2, 2026 12:21 AM PST Updated 55 mins ago

  • Summary
  • U.S. strikes on Iran reinforce N.Korea's nuclear ambitions
  • Speculation over Kim-Trump meet around March-end China visit
  • North Korea's nuclear arsenal estimated at 50 warheads
SEOUL, March 2 (Reuters) - U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran will reinforce the nuclear ambitions of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, say experts and former officials, as attention focuses on whether he might return to negotiations with President Donald Trump.

Talks to tackle Pyongyang's arsenal of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, subject to heavy international sanctions, broke down despite summits between Kim and Trump in 2018 and 2019, but the attacks on Iran could spur it to reconsider.

The Iran strikes, which killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, come two months after Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, another leader without a nuclear deterrent, was captured in a raid by U.S. special forces ordered by Trump.

"Kim must have thought Iran was attacked like that because it didn't have nuclear weapons," said Song Seong-jong, a professor at Daejeon University and a former official of South Korea's Defence Ministry.

The military operation was inevitable, given the "hegemonic and rogue" nature of the United States, a spokesperson for North Korea's foreign ministry said in a statement published by state media on Sunday.

Just a few days before the attack, Kim had pledged to build more nuclear weapons at a ruling party congress last week, though he left the door open for more talks, depending on Washington's attitude.

"If the United States withdraws its policy of confrontation with North Korea by respecting our country's current status ... there is no reason why we cannot get along well with the U.S.," state news agency KCNA cited Kim as saying.

Trump has repeatedly said he would like to hold fresh talks, prompting speculation the two leaders could meet when he travels to China from March 31 to April 2.

PREEMPTIVE STRIKES​

"The lesson the Trump administration wants pariah states to take is clear; stop threatening America and its allies and make a deal before it is too late," said Leif-Eric Easley, a professor of international studies at Ewha Womans University in Seoul. Nonetheless, North Korea is far more advanced than Iran in nuclear warhead development and delivery systems, including intercontinental ballistic missiles, he said.

In 2022, North Korea officially enshrined the right to use preemptive nuclear strikes in a law that Kim said made its nuclear status "irreversible".

Renewed talks with the United States have been a low priority for Kim, however, said Sydney Seiler, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

"President Trump's willingness to use military force and threats for negotiating leverage must make Kim nervous and less likely to hastily seek talks," added the former U.S. special envoy during six-party talks on the North's nuclear programme.

But Kim's heightened threat perception could push him back to the negotiating table, some analysts said.

"Unlike Iran, it's impossible to denuclearise North Korea," said Cho Han-bum, at the state-run Korea Institute for National Unification, citing the scattering of nuclear sites across the isolated state.

North Korea is reckoned to have assembled about 50 warheads and possess enough fissile material to produce up to 40 more, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute think-tank estimated last year.

MANAGE RELATIONS WITH TRUMP​

There could still be a window of opportunity for talks if Kim seeks "to leverage his personal rapport with President Trump to explore Washington's position on North Korea, while at the same time buying time to further advance the country’s nuclear capabilities," said Yang Moo-jin, professor at Seoul's University of North Korean Studies.

Kim may consider a conditional meeting with Trump if the United States acknowledges North Korea's nuclear status, said Nam Sung-wook, a professor at Sookmyung Women's University and a former head of a think-tank at South Korea's spy agency.

The North Korean leader is also likely to believe his ties with China and Russia offer protection, Nam said.

In September, Kim made a rare trip by armoured train to Beijing, where he stood shoulder-to-shoulder with Chinese President Xi Jinping and Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin at a major military parade.

Despite such ties, Kim may still want to reassure Trump that he will not use nuclear weapons against the United States, said Ko Young-hwan, a North Korean diplomat-turned-defector who has advised the South Korean government.

"The incident in Iran must have made him think he should manage relations with the United States better."

Reporting by Heejin Kim and Sebin Choi, Additional reporting by Joyce Lee and Hwawon Lee; Editing by Ed Davies and Clarence Fernandez
 
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