WAR RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE - Consolidated Thread
- Thread starter danielboon
- Start date
jward
passin' thru
ChrisO_wiki reposted
Christian Keil
@pronounced_kyle
3h
This is wild... Russia seems to be threatening a *commercial* satellite that provides imaging services to Ukraine:
▸ starting about two weeks ago, Russia started maneuvering five (!) of their classified satellites to the same orbital inclination as the ICEYE satellite
▸ these burns were big, on the order of 100 m/s, clearly using chemical propulsion given the speed of the burns — very expensive and deliberate maneuvers
▸ as of last Friday, all five Russian satellites are now co-planar, at ~97.8° inclination, with three of ICEYE's satellites, and aligned in other orbital elements (e.g. RAAN) that make it clear they're specifically targeting this set
▸ I am a little skeptical that Russia is specifically targeting -X36 — there are two other satellites at the same inclination/RAAN (-X37 and -X38) — but the Russian sats are now all within striking distance of -X36, which is why people are concerned about it specifically; the closest cross-track distance is an estimated 500 meters (!!), all while the satellites are orbit 550 kilometers above Earth
▸ Russia has unleashed a cyberattack on a commercial satellite before (Viasat), and it is official Russian policy that commercially-owned infrastructure that aids in military efforts "may be legitimate target for a retaliatory strike.”
▸ there's speculation that this could be a precursor to an RPO mission (meaning: physically grabbing the satellite or some other kind of non-kinetic attack like blinding/jamming)
Worth tracking closely. And unfortunately more evidence that space is militarizing, fast.
View: https://twitter.com/pronounced_kyle/status/2059700621100642649?s=20
Christian Keil
@pronounced_kyle
3h
This is wild... Russia seems to be threatening a *commercial* satellite that provides imaging services to Ukraine:
▸ starting about two weeks ago, Russia started maneuvering five (!) of their classified satellites to the same orbital inclination as the ICEYE satellite
▸ these burns were big, on the order of 100 m/s, clearly using chemical propulsion given the speed of the burns — very expensive and deliberate maneuvers
▸ as of last Friday, all five Russian satellites are now co-planar, at ~97.8° inclination, with three of ICEYE's satellites, and aligned in other orbital elements (e.g. RAAN) that make it clear they're specifically targeting this set
▸ I am a little skeptical that Russia is specifically targeting -X36 — there are two other satellites at the same inclination/RAAN (-X37 and -X38) — but the Russian sats are now all within striking distance of -X36, which is why people are concerned about it specifically; the closest cross-track distance is an estimated 500 meters (!!), all while the satellites are orbit 550 kilometers above Earth
▸ Russia has unleashed a cyberattack on a commercial satellite before (Viasat), and it is official Russian policy that commercially-owned infrastructure that aids in military efforts "may be legitimate target
▸ there's speculation that this could be a precursor to an RPO mission (meaning: physically grabbing the satellite or some other kind of non-kinetic attack like blinding/jamming)
Worth tracking closely. And unfortunately more evidence that space is militarizing, fast.
View: https://twitter.com/pronounced_kyle/status/2059700621100642649?s=20
Zagdid
Veteran Member
View: https://twitter.com/KimDotcom/status/2059839584809398296?s=20
US Embassy staff say goodbye to Kiev
US Embassy staff say goodbye to Kiev
RUSSIAN MAP LEAK REVEALS TRUTH: 40% of Orikhiv Collapsed?️Zaporizhia Front Crumbling
Run Time 13 min
This video describes the military situation in Ukraine on the 28th of May 2026
00:00 Intro – Zaporizhia direction only
00:45 ️ Russian Ministry leaked a secret map
01:10 Map shows April 9, 2026 (1.5 months ago)
02:08 Russians controlled 40%+ of Orikhiv by April 9
03:11 Western Zaporizhia was under Russian control in April
06:10 Ukraine counterattacked – recaptured almost everything
07:42 Eastern flank – Russians captured Vozdvyzhevka
09:32 Russians improved positions near Rozdvyanka
10:33
Eastern defenses of Zaporizhia have COLLAPSED12:05 US embassy leaving Kyiv? Denied. Panic remains.
13:35 Outro
Zelensky Sends Urgent Letter to Trump
Europe Admits Russia Is Outproducing NATO
Run Time 19 min
Zelensky has sent a letter to Donald Trump and to the US Congress in which he has asked for more air defence missiles, especially Patriot Pac-3 interceptors and has stressed that the current pace of deliveries is actually falling behind Ukraine’s needs. Zelensky has also mentioned Russia’s latest Oreshnik strike in the letter. WSJ has reported that some European leaders believe that Putin may expand the war within the next 12 months. The article also claims that Russia is getting stuck in Ukraine and Vladimir Putin might have to look towards a second wave of mobilisation. EU Defence Commissioner Andrius Kubilius has stated that Europe is falling behind Russia and Ukraine in terms of weapons production because Europe is focused on producing highly sophisticated and expensive weapons, whereas Ukraine produces what the West calls “good enough”. It seems that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are putting a big emphasis on the next 6 months in this conflict, as there is a belief that the Russian Army is exhausted.
- 0:00 Intro
- 1:07 Letter to Trump
- 7:08 Old narrative revived
- 11:24 Reality hits Europe
- 15:08 Next 6 months for Ukraine
- 17:50 Magyar doesn't back down
Is Europe Trying to Deter or PROVOKE War with Russia? /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Col Jacques Baud
Run Time 1hr
Interview with Jacques Baud who is a former colonel in the Swiss Army and a strategic analyst specializing in intelligence and terrorism, who served with the United Nations and NATO.
Zagdid
Veteran Member
View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2060071249267601816
#BREAKING Hungary will not supply weapons to Ukraine, Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar said during a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
#BREAKING Hungary will not supply weapons to Ukraine, Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar said during a meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte.
jward
passin' thru
WarTranslated
@wartranslated
1h
It was stated that the first fighter jets from Sweden will arrive fully armed, specifically with Meteor missiles capable of hitting targets at a range of 200 km. To illustrate this, the military information portal In Factum showed the engagement radius of the Meteor missile if a Gripen were to launch it over Dnipro.
t.me
@wartranslated
1h
It was stated that the first fighter jets from Sweden will arrive fully armed, specifically with Meteor missiles capable of hitting targets at a range of 200 km. To illustrate this, the military information portal In Factum showed the engagement radius of the Meteor missile if a Gripen were to launch it over Dnipro.
Telegram
t.me
jward
passin' thru
Russian Forces Spotter
@TiaFarris10
Two shadow fleet tankers were reportedly struck by drones this morning while conducting a ship-to-ship transfer in the Black Sea off northern Turkey
ALTURA (9292199) and VELORA (9290373) were allegedly performing an STS operation, a method commonly used by Russia's shadow fleet to obscure the origin of sanctioned oil cargoes.
A third sanctioned tanker, JAMES II (9253909), was also reportedly attacked separately further offshore.
NEXTA
@nexta_tv
8h
Near Turkey, naval drones attacked three “shadow fleet” tankers linked to Russia — the strike occurred just 2–3 km off the Turkish coast.
Explosions were heard just a few kilometers from the shoreline and were reportedly audible even in Istanbul.
The vessels Velora, James II, and Altura were damaged.
@TiaFarris10
Two shadow fleet tankers were reportedly struck by drones this morning while conducting a ship-to-ship transfer in the Black Sea off northern Turkey
ALTURA (9292199) and VELORA (9290373) were allegedly performing an STS operation, a method commonly used by Russia's shadow fleet to obscure the origin of sanctioned oil cargoes.
A third sanctioned tanker, JAMES II (9253909), was also reportedly attacked separately further offshore.
NEXTA
@nexta_tv
8h
Near Turkey, naval drones attacked three “shadow fleet” tankers linked to Russia — the strike occurred just 2–3 km off the Turkish coast.
Explosions were heard just a few kilometers from the shoreline and were reportedly audible even in Istanbul.
The vessels Velora, James II, and Altura were damaged.
Last edited:
jward
passin' thru
Mario Nawfal
@MarioNawfal
·
48m
The Romanian Defence Ministry says the drone that hit the apartment building in Galați came from Russia.
This is the official government attribution, moving the incident past the wreckage based inference to a formal state finding.
A NATO member now officially blames Russia for a drone that struck a residential building and injured civilians on alliance soil.
On next steps: the likeliest move is Romania invoking Article 4, which lets any member convene the North Atlantic Council for consultations when its security is threatened.
Expect a NATO condemnation and probable reinforcement of eastern flank air defenses.
Article 5, the collective defense clause, is far less likely.
A single drone with light injuries, especially if judged spillover from strikes on Ukraine, has historically drawn consultations rather than collective military action.
Source: @officialrnintel
Media: @sentdefender
www.timebomb2000.com
@MarioNawfal
·
48m
The Romanian Defence Ministry says the drone that hit the apartment building in Galați came from Russia.
This is the official government attribution, moving the incident past the wreckage based inference to a formal state finding.
A NATO member now officially blames Russia for a drone that struck a residential building and injured civilians on alliance soil.
On next steps: the likeliest move is Romania invoking Article 4, which lets any member convene the North Atlantic Council for consultations when its security is threatened.
Expect a NATO condemnation and probable reinforcement of eastern flank air defenses.
Article 5, the collective defense clause, is far less likely.
A single drone with light injuries, especially if judged spillover from strikes on Ukraine, has historically drawn consultations rather than collective military action.
Source: @officialrnintel
Media: @sentdefender
INTL - Russian drone strikes Romanian apartment building, Romania says
cbsnews.com Russian drone strikes Romanian apartment building, Romania says May 28, 2026 / 9:57 PM EDT / CBS/AFP A Russian drone struck an apartment building in NATO-member Romania, its defense ministry said early Friday morning local time, wounding two people. "During the night of May...
EasyMoney
Senior Member
Putin Played The "Crimea Card"... And Walked Into A Massive TRAP in Transnistria
RT 18:11
Putin's attempt to repeat his infamous "Crimea playbook" in Moldova has completely backfired. By fast-tracking Russian passports in Transnistria and passing new laws to "protect" citizens abroad, Moscow thought it could easily justify a new military intervention. Instead, they walked into a massive, inescapable geopolitical trap. With Moldova decisively abandoning the 30-year-old negotiation format and accelerating its EU integration alongside Romania, Moscow is losing its grip. More importantly, Ukraine has built a massive AI-supported defense shield along the border. With Ukrainian forces cutting off all land connections and the airspace completely blocked, the 1,500-strong Russian garrison in Transnistria is now the most isolated military unit in the world. Watch how Putin's "masterplan" collapsed, leaving his troops completely stranded with zero hope of reinforcement.
Zagdid
Veteran Member
View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2060045845035102428
Russia orders Euroclear to pay €200bn
A Moscow arbitration court has granted the Bank of Russia’s request for the immediate enforcement of a ruling ordering Euroclear to pay around €200bn ($233bn)
It is a relatively unknown fact that arbitration courts are stronger than EU governments.
This is no laughing matter. The EU has been outmanoeuvred. Euroclear will repay the money and in turn, will claim the money from the Belgian government.
Belgium will claim parts of the money from the EU countries and EU taxpayers are screwed.
The EU (the guilty party) will just smile and say “hey, we warned you in the small print”.
Europe and Belgium are cooked. Russia accelerated the court ruling to allow Europe to stop transferring the rest of the recent $90bn support money.
Russia orders Euroclear to pay €200bn
A Moscow arbitration court has granted the Bank of Russia’s request for the immediate enforcement of a ruling ordering Euroclear to pay around €200bn ($233bn)
It is a relatively unknown fact that arbitration courts are stronger than EU governments.
This is no laughing matter. The EU has been outmanoeuvred. Euroclear will repay the money and in turn, will claim the money from the Belgian government.
Belgium will claim parts of the money from the EU countries and EU taxpayers are screwed.
The EU (the guilty party) will just smile and say “hey, we warned you in the small print”.
Europe and Belgium are cooked. Russia accelerated the court ruling to allow Europe to stop transferring the rest of the recent $90bn support money.
jward
passin' thru
NEXTA
@nexta_tv
1h
Missile Threat Reaches Yamal for the First Time — More Than 2,500 km from Ukraine
Residents of Russia’s Yamal-Nenets region received emergency text alerts from the Ministry of Emergency Situations. Missile threat warnings are now also in effect across the Sverdlovsk, Chelyabinsk, Kurgan, and Tyumen regions, as well as Perm Krai and the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug.
Airports in Yekaterinburg, Chelyabinsk, and Perm have been closed, while flights in Tyumen are being delayed.
The geography of Russia’s so-called “denazification” campaign continues to expand successfully.
View: https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/2060357491679232352?s=20
@nexta_tv
1h
Missile Threat Reaches Yamal for the First Time — More Than 2,500 km from Ukraine
Residents of Russia’s Yamal-Nenets region received emergency text alerts from the Ministry of Emergency Situations. Missile threat warnings are now also in effect across the Sverdlovsk, Chelyabinsk, Kurgan, and Tyumen regions, as well as Perm Krai and the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug.
Airports in Yekaterinburg, Chelyabinsk, and Perm have been closed, while flights in Tyumen are being delayed.
The geography of Russia’s so-called “denazification” campaign continues to expand successfully.
View: https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/2060357491679232352?s=20
jward
passin' thru
Clash Report
@clashreport
6h
Russia hit a Turkish-owned cargo ship in the Black Sea with a drone shortly after it departed Ukraine's Odesa region, injuring two crew members.
Ukrainian Navy teams extinguished the fire and evacuated the injured.
Kyiv called it a deliberate attack and said two other foreign merchant vessels were targeted in the same overnight wave of strikes.
@clashreport
6h
Russia hit a Turkish-owned cargo ship in the Black Sea with a drone shortly after it departed Ukraine's Odesa region, injuring two crew members.
Ukrainian Navy teams extinguished the fire and evacuated the injured.
Kyiv called it a deliberate attack and said two other foreign merchant vessels were targeted in the same overnight wave of strikes.
jward
passin' thru
Visegrád 24
@visegrad24
48m
Russian “Oreshnik” IRBM assembled from outdated components
Ukrainian specialists have examined the wreckage of the new Russian ballistic missile “Oreshnik” and found that it was built using old parts.
According to experts, many components were manufactured no later than 2016–2017, including Russian and Belarusian elements (from the Integral plant in Belarus). One of the units even bears a clear 2017 production date.
Despite Russian propaganda presenting the “Oreshnik” as a cutting-edge weapon, it is largely assembled from older parts.
Foreign components from China, the USA, Japan, Germany, and Switzerland were also discovered in the wreckage.
Source: @5channel
@visegrad24
48m
Russian “Oreshnik” IRBM assembled from outdated components
Ukrainian specialists have examined the wreckage of the new Russian ballistic missile “Oreshnik” and found that it was built using old parts.
According to experts, many components were manufactured no later than 2016–2017, including Russian and Belarusian elements (from the Integral plant in Belarus). One of the units even bears a clear 2017 production date.
Despite Russian propaganda presenting the “Oreshnik” as a cutting-edge weapon, it is largely assembled from older parts.
Foreign components from China, the USA, Japan, Germany, and Switzerland were also discovered in the wreckage.
Source: @5channel
RUSSIAN DRONE HITS NATO TERRITORY -️ Massive Strikes Begin - Frontline Collapse
Run Time 21 min
This video describes the military situation in Ukraine on the 29th of May 2026
00:00 - Intro
00:28 - 233 Russian drones overnight
01:28 - Russian drone hit Galați, ROMANIA (NATO territory)
03:10 -
3 Russian tankers attacked by Ukrainian naval drones04:24 - Russia retaliated – Odesa port infrastructure hit
07:40 - Massive strike on Kyiv expected in coming nights
08:49 - Ukraine hit Volgograd oil refinery
10:50 - ️ Russia allows commercial companies to buy air defense systems
12:21 - Karaichne adn Budarky captured
15:11 - ️ Kostiantynivka – central part under Russian control
17:51 - Lisne & Novopidhorodne captured
20:40 -
NATO may shoot down Russian drones over Ukraine21:00 - Outro
Europe Rejects US Neutrality — But Risks Trapping Itself
Run Time 18 min
Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barth Eide has stated that Europe needs to represent it’s interest at the negotiating table with Russia. He concluded that while Europe shares some interests with Ukraine, Europe’s interest actually go beyond Ukraine. He has also stressed that it’s important for the US to share the same position with Europe and Ukraine and not be a neutral mediator. Kaja Kallas also stated that Europe cannot be a mediator because it supports Ukraine. A drone has hit an apartment building in Galati, Romania and the media reports are saying that the drone was Russian, crossing into Romania from Ukraine. Von der Leyen is going to try to convince top European officials of the necessity to crack down on Chinese subsidised imports in order to protect certain European industries.
- 0:00 Intro
- 1:29 EU Traps Itself
- 12:37 Kallas's claims about US
- 14:30 Von der Leyen
- 16:19 Romania drone incident
RUSSIA WILL HUNT DOWN UKRAINE INTEL, KIEV REGIME HEADS – Andrei Martyanov
Run Time 30 min
Zelensky is begging the Trump Admin for Patriot missile interceptors that the U.S. doesn’t have, and Moscow is warning foreign citizens to evacuate Kiev immediately. We seem to be on the edge of a major escalation in the NATO vs. Russia war.
Veteran, Author and Russian Military Expert, Andrei Martyanov, noted that the Russian government appears to be preparing to escalate its targeting of Ukrainian intelligence, and command and control heads in Kiev. They may even go as far as assassinating Zelensky, after Ukraine’s latest terror attacks targeting Russian civilians pushed the war into a new stage.
jward
passin' thru
Special Kherson Cat
@bayraktar_1love
Russian sources are reporting the beginning of mine-laying operations along sections of the land corridor to Crimea, particularly on the Mariupol–Melitopol highway.
If implemented on a larger scale, such mining could significantly reduce the speed and density of military traffic moving through the corridor. Combined with ongoing drone strikes, it would force Russian forces to contend not only with threats from the air, but also with the constant risk of mines on the ground, further complicating logistics and movement.
View: https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/2060341266458566800?s=20
@bayraktar_1love
Russian sources are reporting the beginning of mine-laying operations along sections of the land corridor to Crimea, particularly on the Mariupol–Melitopol highway.
If implemented on a larger scale, such mining could significantly reduce the speed and density of military traffic moving through the corridor. Combined with ongoing drone strikes, it would force Russian forces to contend not only with threats from the air, but also with the constant risk of mines on the ground, further complicating logistics and movement.
View: https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/2060341266458566800?s=20
Record 297 Drones -️ FUEL COLLAPSE IN CRIMEA
Why no Protection Nets
Run Time 16 min
This video describes the military situation in Ukraine on the 30th of May 2026
0:00 - Intro
0:13 - Massive Russian attack begins
1:01 - 297 drones: record or imitation?
3:29 - Strikes on Rivne, Shostka, Chernihiv
4:10 - Ukraine's response: hundreds of drones hit Russia
5:08 -
Taganrog airfield hit: aircraft and Iskander destroyed6:08 - Taganrog port: tankers and fuel tanks on fire
6:44 -
FUEL CRISIS: Crimea & Kherson region7:00 - Gas rationing: 20 liters per person per day
8:20 - Huge lines at gas stations
9:07 -
Why no protection nets on Russian-held roads?9:40 -
Ground offensive: Kazachya Lopan10:39 - Karaichna captured, advancing toward Bilyi Kolodiaz
11:18 - Kramatorsk direction: possible encirclement
12:13 - Novoocheretuvate direction: most active
12:55 - Lysivka area: contradictory claims
14:26 - ️ Zelenskyy: prepare for massive strike May 30-31
15:10 -
OutroRussian BREAKTHROUGH in Kostiantynivka!
Run Time 30 min
For weeks, the Russian 3rd and 8th Combined Arms Armies were encircling Ukraine’s fortress city of Kostiantynivka. But in the last days, Russian forces took hold on key positions right at the center of the city.
- 0:00 Ukraine is about to lose Kostiantynivka
- 3:42 Shaping operations & first Russian breakthrough
- 6:22 Fall of Stepanivka
- 10:57 Russia gains a foothold in the citadel
- 15:56 Fall of Ivanivka
- 17:12 Kostiantynivka getting encircled
- 25:21 Russian forces storm the citadel
Alex Krainer: Russia Attacks Romania? Ukrainian False Flag or Russian Warning Shot?
Run Time 50 min
May 30, 2026
Alex Krainer is a market analyst, author & former hedge fund manager. Krainer discusses the possibility of the drone hitting Ukraine being either a Ukrainian false flag attack, a Russian warning shot, or an accident. Overall, the EU is either deliberately or accidentally pushing for a direct war with Russia.
EasyMoney
Senior Member
Putin Is Ending Belarus As Lukashenko Loses Control — Ukraine Just LOCKED The North
Putin's attempt to drain Ukraine's resources through a 5-scenario northern attack plan has hit a massive wall. By utilizing a "Ghost Front" tactic from Belarus, Moscow thought it could easily force Kyiv to divert vital troops from the eastern and southern fronts without firing a single bullet. Instead, the Kremlin's psychological strategy has completely backfired. As Belarusian leader Lukashenko loses his grip, desperately trying to play a double game between the Kremlin and the West to prevent the total economic collapse of his regime, Ukraine has been silently preparing. In stark contrast to 2022, Kyiv has transformed the northern border into an impenetrable 1,000-kilometer stronghold. With the "Polissya Fortress" now heavily mined and reinforced by drone networks and natural swamp barriers, any new Russian offensive faces catastrophic logistical odds. Watch how Putin's northern trap failed, leaving Lukashenko completely isolated and trapped.
Doc1
Has No Life - Lives on TB
I'm a bit out of my depth here, but I suggest that it doesn't really matter. First, 2016 through 2017 doesn't strike me as being especially old for missile components. We should all remember that the backbone of American nuclear ICBM power, the Minuteman, is many decades old. We fire one off every once in awhile and they still hit their targets.
Secondly, the Oreshnik is a kinetic energy weapon. It's my understanding that the warhead contains nothing more sophisticated than 'dumb' solid tungsten projectiles. The damage they inflict is due to the hyper velocities with which they hit the Earth.
Thirdly, there's a Cold War unit of measurement known as "circular error probable." This is a projection of how far from a target an ICBM warhead is likely to land. In the early days of ICBM development, the CEPs were quite large. This is why early ICBMs carried massive warheads in the multi-megaton range. As the CEPs were reduced, so was the power of the warheads.
It actually makes economic and strategic sense for the Russians to use older rocket components to power the Oreshniks, if they can achieve the required accuracy. I suspect they might do this with modern and more sophisticated warheads that include accurate targeting ability, with small, course-correcting rockets to ensure that the warheads land where they want them. IOW they might use the older ICBM rockets to do the heavy lifting and get the weapons package into space and then have the sophisticated warhead do any last minute course corrections.
Who knows? I suspect that we'll find out soon enough.
Best
Doc
von Koehler
** In Timeout **
Nuclear weapons have an inherent flaw: every scenario using them leads to mutual destruction.
Murder/suicide or suicide/murder has the same result in the end: death.
Murder/suicide or suicide/murder has the same result in the end: death.
AFAIK, the tungsten thing is speculation based on what we would use if we had built the weapon, not on what Russia has actually used. I'd very much like to read it if anyone has specific details on debris left behind by the three Oreshnik strikes, especially evidence of actual tungsten submunitions. This last Oreshnik strike was supposedly used against a control bunker, but did it in fact destroy the bunker or just chew up the ground around the bunker? And it would be interesting to know how many submunitions hit close enough to the bunker to do any damage (which is closely related to the subject of CEP). Not to mention only three uses in 18 months is a very low expenditure rate. As for the Oreshnik being uninterceptible, AFAIK none of the three uses came up against an anti-missile system designed to take on ballistic missiles.
Knoxville's Joker
Has No Life - Lives on TB
Due to all the information warfare going on at the moment I doubt we will find out for sure for a few decades at least. Unless Russia or Ukraine does a factually accurate report posted to the public that is not buried...
That's part of my problem with unquestionably accepting that the Oreshnik is a miracle weapon. Ukraine and Russia have both proved to be unreliable sources, and I have no idea why so many people are so willing to accept Russia's statements at face value about the Oreshnik. I think both sides wouldn't hesitate for a second to lie outright or deliberately mislead if it suited their military purposes.
All three Oreshnik missile strikes were launched from Kasptuin Yar, an experimental missile test range. If the Oreshnik has actually been actively deployed, why not test the mobile launcher system as well in a combat situation? I'm perfectly willing to accept that I could be wrong about everything I've said about the Oreshnik (I'm not an intelligence analyst), that every single thing that everybody else has said about the Oreshnik is all true, but I don't know that it's all true and I won't passively accept it as truth based solely on Putin's word. Heck, one author said the actual name of the missile is "Kedr," with "Oreshnik" being the development program's name (that's kind of like calling the Apollo-11 lunar mission "Moon rocket #11"), so apparently everyone worldwide is using the wrong name and maybe the Russians just bowed to the publicity and call it Oreshnik themselves. Or not. That's the problem with speculation ... it may turn out that it's not true.
Speaking of the Oreshnik, I just saw this (I don't do Facebook/X, so if somebody has access and it looks like a real story, I'd appreciate it if they could post the full text):
Oreshnik, which Russia used in a strike on Lviv in January, was ...
10 hours ago ... Ukraine's intelligence services say they destroyed a launch system for Russia's new Oreshnik ballistic missile at the Kapustin Yar range in ...
www.facebook.com
Speaking of the Oreshnik, I just saw this (I don't do Facebook/X, so if somebody has access and it looks like a real story, I'd appreciate it if they could post the full text):
Oreshnik, which Russia used in a strike on Lviv in January, was ...
10 hours ago ... Ukraine's intelligence services say they destroyed a launch system for Russia's new Oreshnik ballistic missile at the Kapustin Yar range in ...
United24 Media
Oreshnik, which Russia used in a strike on Lviv in January, was manufactured nine years ago, Reuters reports. “We were a bit surprised because it is presented as a very new missile, but when you...
www.facebook.com
So what is your opinion on the US Dark Eagle ?All three Oreshnik missile strikes were launched from Kasptuin Yar, an experimental missile test range. If the Oreshnik has actually been actively deployed, why not test the mobile launcher system as well in a combat situation? I'm perfectly willing to accept that I could be wrong about everything I've said about the Oreshnik (I'm not an intelligence analyst), that every single thing that everybody else has said about the Oreshnik is all true, but I don't know that it's all true and I won't passively accept it as truth based solely on Putin's word. Heck, one author said the actual name of the missile is "Kedr," with "Oreshnik" being the development program's name (that's kind of like calling the Apollo-11 lunar mission "Moon rocket #11"), so apparently everyone worldwide is using the wrong name and maybe the Russians just bowed to the publicity and call it Oreshnik themselves. Or not. That's the problem with speculation ... it may turn out that it's not true.
Speaking of the Oreshnik, I just saw this (I don't do Facebook/X, so if somebody has access and it looks like a real story, I'd appreciate it if they could post the full text):
Oreshnik, which Russia used in a strike on Lviv in January, was ...
10 hours ago ... Ukraine's intelligence services say they destroyed a launch system for Russia's new Oreshnik ballistic missile at the Kapustin Yar range in ...
United24 Media
Oreshnik, which Russia used in a strike on Lviv in January, was manufactured nine years ago, Reuters reports. “We were a bit surprised because it is presented as a very new missile, but when you...
That is also a Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon is that real?
The are effectively the same type of system. An older first stage with a new hypersonic terminal warhead - only difference the Russian system has several submunitions in its warhead.
Both depend on the hypersonic speed of the impact to do the damage.
As for being "experimental" the US announced they were deploying the DE to the ME while it is still under development (7+ years) and evaluation - BTW that is a grand total of 8 to 10 missiles - all that exist. On any new weapon system there is always an overlap from pure research to full deployment. However that does not change the fact the systems EXISTS. There have been 3 confirmed uses of the Oreshnik in combat - this is not fiction or PR. BTW we have yet to see the US DE in action - does that make it less real?
As for the name - yes the popular name is a bit backwards - but that changes nothing.
Yes -"Kedr" is the name of the missile system, while "Oreshnik" is the name of the research project behind it.
According to Ukrainian Military Intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov, "Oreshnik" is the codename of the research project, while the launch system itself is called "Kedr."
Oreshnik or Kedr: Ukrainian Intel Chief Explains Confusion Over the Name of Russia’s New Ballistic Missile
Ukrainian military chief Budanov clarifies that the missile used in Dnipro is called "Kedr," a medium-range ballistic system designed to carry nuclear warheads.
united24media.com
A Ukrainian presidential adviser suggested that "Oreshnik" is essentially Putin's own branding, while the missile fits into an existing classification system alongside other Russian missiles like "Yars," "Topol," "Kedr," and "Rubezh."
Bottom line:
The Oreshnik does exist - I recall you wanted to see it used again - well it has been.
Yes it likely is still being "fine-tuned" like any new weapon system (consider the 23 years for the F-35). Every weapon system undergoes constant updates.
Calling it the "Oreshnik" or "Kedr" or being launched from a fixed or mobile platform does not change the FACT it is still able to delivers at the other end some 36 sub-munition hitting at Mach 11 (8,400 mph) which gives its 1,500 kg of total mass~10.5 billion joules of energy
Compare this to the US Dark Eagle with a 350 kg glide body hitting at between Mach 5 and 8 delivers between 505 and 1.3 billion joules of energy.
That puts the Oreshnik delivering roughly 8x to 20x more raw kinetic energy than the Dark Eagle on target,
Both these systems EXIST - yes both are likely still being improved. However only one has actually been used in combat.
The Defense of Konstaha Has Collapsed - Massive Drone Strikes & Fuel Depots Destroyed
Run Time 14 min
This video describes the military situation in Ukraine on the 31st of May 2026
00:00 – 00:04 – Intro: Welcome to the Military Summary channel.
00:04 – 01:10 – Ukraine launches hundreds of drones deep into Russian territory to attack energy infrastructure.
01:10 – 02:30 – Ukraine uses trucks (3 drones each) to launch attacks, staying mobile and invisible.
02:30 – 03:15 – Russia strikes a truck parking lot in Chernihiv region, destroying many launch vehicles.
03:15 – 04:00 – Video shows the Russian attack on Shostka railway station, reducing it to ruins.
04:00 – 05:10 – Russian drones hit a Nova Poshta logistics hub in Dnipro, causing secondary explosions.
05:10 – 06:30 – Russia continues strikes on Rivne region, targeting fuel infrastructure for the second day.
06:30 – 07:10 – Russian drones destroy a gas infrastructure object in Poltava region.07:10 – 08:00 – Ukraine uses 216 drones against Russia; map shows their attack routes.
️ 08:00 – 10:30 – Saratov oil refinery is significantly damaged by Ukrainian drones; Russia had planned a massive attack (May 31–June 1) but may now change plans.
️ 10:30 – 12:00 – Konstantinovka front: Defense has collapsed
️ 12:00 – 13:00 – Updated map shows Russian FPV drone control along roads 0523 and N20
13:00 – 13:45 – Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi arrives in Konstantinovka sector to assess the critical situation. 13:45 – 14:00 – Prediction: Konstantinovka will fall within 2–3 weeks; battle for Sloviansk Kramatorsk may begin in August/September 2026.14:00 – End – Outro
jward
passin' thru
Jay in Kyiv
@JayinKyiv
9h
Russians in panic, saying Ukraine has destroyed all fuel storage infrastructure in Crimea, with an increasingly desperate situation and further voicing concern that the pace of Ukraine's strikes is only increasing.
They say the only solution is to move all infrastructure underground.
View: https://twitter.com/JayinKyiv/status/2061026182565429636?s=20
@JayinKyiv
9h
Russians in panic, saying Ukraine has destroyed all fuel storage infrastructure in Crimea, with an increasingly desperate situation and further voicing concern that the pace of Ukraine's strikes is only increasing.
They say the only solution is to move all infrastructure underground.
View: https://twitter.com/JayinKyiv/status/2061026182565429636?s=20
jward
passin' thru
Third World War Info
@WW3Info
May 30
#WorldWarThree: #Russia has reacted sharply to US #PresidentTrump’s announcement of deploying 5,000 troops to Poland. Russia warned that it will not accept any #NATO or foreign military deployments near its borders & said such moves would draw a firm response from Russia.
@WW3Info
May 30
#WorldWarThree: #Russia has reacted sharply to US #PresidentTrump’s announcement of deploying 5,000 troops to Poland. Russia warned that it will not accept any #NATO or foreign military deployments near its borders & said such moves would draw a firm response from Russia.
jward
passin' thru
Mario Nawfal
@MarioNawfal
May 30
Ukraine says its strike drones can now fly more than 3,500 km.
That would put some of Russia's most important military and industrial sites within reach.
Russia used to worry about its borders. Now it has to worry about its depth.
Source: Bloomberg
@MarioNawfal
May 30
Ukraine says its strike drones can now fly more than 3,500 km.
That would put some of Russia's most important military and industrial sites within reach.
Russia used to worry about its borders. Now it has to worry about its depth.
Source: Bloomberg
The issue with this is it isn’t one 1500 kg projectile hitting at Mach 11. It is 36 individual 41.67 kg projectiles hitting at Mach 11. When you do the math it is roughly the equivalent of 71 kg of TNT. That is less explosive then a standard Mk 82 500 lb bomb.So what is your opinion on the US Dark Eagle ?
That is also a Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon is that real?
The are effectively the same type of system. An older first stage with a new hypersonic terminal warhead - only difference the Russian system has several submunitions in its warhead.
Both depend on the hypersonic speed of the impact to do the damage.
As for being "experimental" the US announced they were deploying the DE to the ME while it is still under development (7+ years) and evaluation - BTW that is a grand total of 8 to 10 missiles - all that exist. On any new weapon system there is always an overlap from pure research to full deployment. However that does not change the fact the systems EXISTS. There have been 3 confirmed uses of the Oreshnik in combat - this is not fiction or PR. BTW we have yet to see the US DE in action - does that make it less real?
As for the name - yes the popular name is a bit backwards - but that changes nothing.
Yes -"Kedr" is the name of the missile system, while "Oreshnik" is the name of the research project behind it.
According to Ukrainian Military Intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov, "Oreshnik" is the codename of the research project, while the launch system itself is called "Kedr."
Oreshnik or Kedr: Ukrainian Intel Chief Explains Confusion Over the Name of Russia’s New Ballistic Missile
Ukrainian military chief Budanov clarifies that the missile used in Dnipro is called "Kedr," a medium-range ballistic system designed to carry nuclear warheads.
A Ukrainian presidential adviser suggested that "Oreshnik" is essentially Putin's own branding, while the missile fits into an existing classification system alongside other Russian missiles like "Yars," "Topol," "Kedr," and "Rubezh."
Bottom line:
The Oreshnik does exist - I recall you wanted to see it used again - well it has been.
Yes it likely is still being "fine-tuned" like any new weapon system (consider the 23 years for the F-35). Every weapon system undergoes constant updates.
Calling it the "Oreshnik" or "Kedr" or being launched from a fixed or mobile platform does not change the FACT it is still able to delivers at the other end some 36 sub-munition hitting at Mach 11 (8,400 mph) which gives its 1,500 kg of total mass~10.5 billion joules of energy
Compare this to the US Dark Eagle with a 350 kg glide body hitting at between Mach 5 and 8 delivers between 505 and 1.3 billion joules of energy.
That puts the Oreshnik delivering roughly 8x to 20x more raw kinetic energy than the Dark Eagle on target,
Both these systems EXIST - yes both are likely still being improved. However only one has actually been used in combat.
The 1500kg is the total of the 36 (as noted in my post) - just added it up to get a comparison to the DE which is just one projectile.,
Yes just looking at the TNT equivalent to a Mk 82 misses the key difference between a KE weapon and a conventional one.
A Mk 82 destroys a building by blast and fragmentation over a wide area in a 360 degree release of energy
- Blast wave
- Fragmentation
- Fireball
- Overpressure
At the impact point all the energy is directed / vectored into one direction
- Into penetration and cratering
- With much less area blast effect
One last factor - a missile in the Oreshnik class could be configured to carry fewer, larger reentry vehicles instead of the 36 many smaller ones.
Doc1
Has No Life - Lives on TB
I'm not sure that I understand how the Oreshnik weapons achieve such high reentry speeds, as they are apparently suborbital munitions. Orbiting spacecraft (and weapons) have reentry speeds of around 17,500 MPH. Suborbital spacecraft usually reenter the Earth's atmosphere at 2,500 to 3,000 MPH.
I suspect that the Oreshniks must use additional rocket boosters during their descent to achieve their high reentry speeds, but I'm not entirely sure of that. Perhaps they are flown to a higher altitude before making their descent which might give them more time for gravity alone to develop their hyper speeds.
Anyhoo, I haven't received any phone calls from the Russians sharing their deepest secrets...
Best
Doc
I suspect that the Oreshniks must use additional rocket boosters during their descent to achieve their high reentry speeds, but I'm not entirely sure of that. Perhaps they are flown to a higher altitude before making their descent which might give them more time for gravity alone to develop their hyper speeds.
Anyhoo, I haven't received any phone calls from the Russians sharing their deepest secrets...
Best
Doc
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Doc1
Has No Life - Lives on TB
Thus far the Russians have been fighting this war with one hand tied behind their back. Personally, I have questioned this approach, but I wasn't consulted. I've always been a "Pull the bandage off quickly," rather than pull it off slowly personality.
I do believe that this has lulled the Ukrainians into a false sense of security. The recent Ukrainian attack on the teacher's college and its associated deaths and maimings seems to have hardened the Russian public's resolve. I strongly suspect that if the Ukrainians do more deep penetrations into Russian territory or attacks on civilian institutions, the Russians may finally attack with overwhelming force and put an end to their Ukrainian problem permanently.
We shall see.
Best
Doc