ECON National Debt tops $40 Trillion

Henry Bowman

Has No Life - Lives on TB

US National Debt Tops $40 Trillion​

US National Debt Tops $40 Trillion

The U.S. Capitol Building, the seat of the United States Congress, Washington, D.C. (Alan Lexa/AP)
By Newsmax Wires | Wednesday, 19 August 2026 04:39 PM EDT


The U.S. national debt has topped $40 trillion, roughly 100% of gross domestic product, a level last seen during World War II, The Wall Street Journal reports.

The nation’s outstanding public debt surpassed the $40 trillion mark Tuesday, reaching $40.047 trillion, up from $39.987 trillion the previous day, according to Treasury Department data released Wednesday.

Debt held by the public stands at about $32.3 trillion, or 101% of GDP, according to government data. That compares with just 31.5% of GDP in 2001, after four consecutive years of federal budget surpluses.


The dramatic increase in debt to reach the milestone of $40 trillion reflects more than two decades of wars, tax cuts, and economic crises.

The bursting of the dot-com bubble, military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq, and tax reductions pushed the federal budget off course in the early 2000s.

The 2007-09 recession then drained tax revenue and prompted Washington to approve costly stimulus programs.

The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated the borrowing surge as the government spent trillions of dollars on relief payments, business assistance, and other measures intended to support the economy.

At the same time, America's aging population has increased spending on Social Security and Medicare, while federal revenue has failed to keep pace with expenditures.

The imbalance is expected to worsen sharply.

The Congressional Budget Office projects debt held by the public will reach 120% of GDP by 2036, surpassing the previous record of 106% set in 1946.


U.S. debt is projected to hit a staggering 175% of GDP by 2056 if current laws generally remain unchanged.

Annual budget deficits are running near 6% of GDP, a level historically associated with wars or recessions. Yet the government is posting those shortfalls even without a major economic downturn.

The expanding debt has not caused a broad revolt in the Treasury market. Investors worldwide continue to view U.S. government securities as highly liquid safe-haven assets, allowing Washington to borrow without triggering a full-blown fiscal crisis.

But the cost of servicing the debt is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore.

The CBO projects annual net interest spending will rise from 3.3% of GDP in 2026 to 4.6% in 2036 and 6.9% by 2056. At that point, interest costs would exceed federal spending on either Social Security or Medicare.

Higher interest expenses leave lawmakers with less money for other priorities and make deficit reduction more difficult because those payments cannot simply be eliminated.

Meaningful spending cuts also remain politically challenging.

Much of the federal budget supports Social Security, Medicare, and other benefits for individuals, while the remainder — including federal salaries, buildings and law enforcement — represents a comparatively small share of total spending.

That leaves Washington facing increasingly difficult choices: raise taxes, reduce popular benefits, or continue borrowing at a pace the CBO says cannot be sustained indefinitely.

 
Something wrong with this article, for the current GDP vs Debt -

"The current nominal US GDP is approximately $32.5 trillion (annualized), as of August 2026. The real GDP, adjusted for inflation, stands at roughly $24.3 trillion (in chained 2017 dollars) for the second quarter of 2026."

"Current debt to GDP is approx 123%" - US Bureau of Economic Analysis (USBEA)
 
Something wrong with this article, for the current GDP vs Debt -

The current nominal US GDP is approximately $32.5 trillion (annualized), as of August 2026. The real GDP, adjusted for inflation, stands at roughly $24.3 trillion (in chained 2017 dollars) for the second quarter of 2026.

Current debt to GDP is approx 123% - US BEA
Yup, I noiced that too

Say you are a rather Unamerican person noticing things like that...we have our eyes on you.
 
And then there is this little tidbit


Bonds

Yields pull back from multi-year highs after Treasury Department says it will double government debt repurchase size​

Published Wed, Aug 19 20264:33 AM EDTUpdated 2 Hours Ago
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Sean Conlon@SeanAustin96
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Joseph Wilkins


In this article
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Adam Jeffery | CNBC
Longer-term U.S. Treasury yields pulled back on Wednesday, reversing course from this week’s major advance, after the Treasury Department announced an upscaled buyback operation of the nation’s debt.

The 30-year Treasury bond yield shed more than 10 basis points to 5.184%, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield lost more than 6 basis points to trade at 4.637%. On Tuesday, the 30-year yield hit a fresh high of above 5.33% — its highest level since June 2007.
 
It just matches in the country:

  • Record Mortgage debt
  • Record HELOC debt
  • Record Credit Card debt
  • Record Auto loan debt
  • Record College loan debt
  • Record BNPL debt..
 
The Ledger of Kings

As the old kings marched with iron and shield,
To claim the dirt of a blood-soaked field.
But the modern empire conquers with ink,
Pushing the world to the financial brink.
A throne constructed from promises made,
In the quiet halls where the currencies fade.
They print the future to pay for the past,
A towering castle not structured to last.
The children are born with a price on their head,
Inheriting deficits, IOUs, and dread.
For the wealth of today is a theft from tomorrow,
An endless expansion of state-sanctioned sorrow.
The legions are dollars, the fortresses banks,
More lethal than soldiers, more quiet than tanks.
Until the great ledger is balanced by time,
And the empire falls to its ultimate crime.


Author Grok and me

Note1: remember remember ,THE IDES OF October
 
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Maybe we need Bill Clinton … he was the last to balance the federal budget.

The last national debt being zero briefly was Andrew Jackson in 1835 … 191 years ago.

Doesn’t seem anyone takes it seriously
 
I can give first hand experience with why the debt is so high.

I work construction, and some jobs we take on are under what is called "Prevailing Wage". Meaning we get paid a higher than normal. So instead of doing government jobs for less, we get paid more than if we negotiated a price with a private entity.

We'll charge much less for the same job for a private entity than the government is what I'm getting at.

For those that do these jobs, you know what I mean.

In other words, the snake is eating itself is probably the most layman way of describing it.
 
By this point it simply doesn't matter. There is no way in heck the debt will ever be paid off, and neither party would risk the fallout of even trying to. That being the case, and assuming at some point there will have to be a reset anway, might as well spend as much as possible on what is arguably the most important investment going forward: military materiel and weapons systems, including defense, counter-measures, and stockpiles. A case can be made that lots of other things are more important, but not much of it would make a meaningful difference if we get our fannies handed to us in a real, actual war (unlike the current conflict with Iran). Maybe that was Trump's thinking when he proposed a budget-busting incease in military spending?
 
By this point it simply doesn't matter. There is no way in heck the debt will ever be paid off, and neither party would risk the fallout of even trying to. That being the case, and assuming at some point there will have to be a reset anway, might as well spend as much as possible on what is arguably the most important investment going forward: military materiel and weapons systems, including defense, counter-measures, and stockpiles. A case can be made that lots of other things are more important, but not much of it would make a meaningful difference if we get our fannies handed to us in a real, actual war (unlike the current conflict with Iran). Maybe that was Trump's thinking when he proposed a budget-busting incease in military spending?
tens of billions of our military spending goes to foreign aid.
That money should instead buy us munitions , drones, and missiles.
 
tens of billions of our military spending goes to foreign aid.
That money should instead buy us munitions , drones, and missiles.
I know it did prior to Trump/Musk, not sure how much now. A certain amount is justified if it helps keep potential adversaries at bay (e.g., Japan, S Kor, Philippines, Baltic states, etc), but beyond that I agree. Time for 'America First' for a change, and there is a lot that needs fixing
 
By this point it simply doesn't matter. There is no way in heck the debt will ever be paid off, and neither party would risk the fallout of even trying to. That being the case, and assuming at some point there will have to be a reset anway, might as well spend as much as possible.
Correct, except it’s no longer spending. Its grift. We’re at the “looting the treasury” stage of empire decline.

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And let’s not forget, the grift has inertia:

law of inertia, postulate in physics that, if a body is at rest or moving at a constant speed in a straight line, it will remain at rest or keep moving in a straight line at constant speed unless it is acted upon by a force.


And let’s not forget one of my favorites from Herb Stein:

If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” This famous observation was made by Herb Stein, Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. It became famous largely because it was just that, obvious. Yet, what is no less obvious is that public policy is commonly based on a wholly contrary assumption, that the future will be like the past, more or less.

This factually cannot continue. That “force” referenced in the law of inertia is coming, and it will not be pretty, nor nice.
 
Maybe we need Bill Clinton … he was the last to balance the federal budget
After Ruby Ridge, Waco, Blackhawk Down, Whitewater with Vince Foster's mysterious death and then Hillary's attempt to ram a nationwide socialized Healthcare system through that woke up the country in the 1994 elections.

The Clinton's called it the "Republican Revolution," this historic election marked the first time the Republican Party held majorities in both chambers of Congress simultaneously since 1954.

In early 1995 the Clinton's acknowledged the term "Angry White Males" to the resistance to their socialized Healthcare attempts causing the Republican Revolution stating that it was "psychologically a difficult time for a lot of white males...just before the OKC Bombing.

The newly elected Republican leadership was Representative Newt Gingrich becoming Speaker of the House, and Senator Bob Dole became the Senate Majority Leader.

The catalyst was the election driven by voters' frustration with the federal government and a unified Republican campaign platform known as the "Contract with America." to balance the budget and stop the Clinton's further attempts to ram socialized Healthcare down America’s throat.

Newt and Dole held the Clinton's feet to the fire and forced a balanced budget creating budget surpluses of hundreds of billions of dollars in 1998, 1999, 2000 and 2001. It was the first time America had a budget surplus since 1969.

In 2000, the US National Debt $5.6tln, price of gold $272.65 per ounce, average home cost $165,300.

After 911 the ME wars became unpopular and the Democrats and MSM grew frustrated that Bush was taking too long getting "bogged down in Iraq".

The Democrats took advantage of this and launched Moderate candidates in 2006 to unseat the Republicans in both houses and then got some of the more Moderate Democrats primaried out for Radical Democrats when Obama won in 2008 setting up Obamacare being rammed through and signed into law on March 30, 2010.

As we found out during the Obama Administration they would go and topple many more ME nations starting with the Arab Spring.

Also leading up to the 2008 election was Bill Clinton's FINANCIAL TIMEBOMB he activated right before leaving office by removing the Glass Steagall Act (1933) and replacing it with Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999). President Bill Clinton signed a law that ended the main parts of Glass-Steagall.

For the first time since the Great Depression it was legal for Banks to combine retail, investment, and insurance under one roof setting the stage for 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) with Barney Frank left in charge on the committee and then with congressional oversight fighting tooth and nail to keep it from being investigated and or audited for years while it collapsed setting up the second Great Depression and putting Obama in charge of Fundamentally Transforming the United States of America.

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Also leading up to the 2008 election was Bill Clinton's FINANCIAL TIMEBOMB he activated right before leaving office by removing the Glass Steagall Act (1933) and replacing it with Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (1999). President Bill Clinton signed a law that ended the main parts of Glass-Steagall.
By 2008 they knew what the problem was. Gutting Glass-Steagall Act. But then they only made things worse with Dodd-Frank. Private equity and credit got a big boost from that and they are now a major weakness.

I remember watching FDIC Chair, Sheila Bair (R) who was giving her final testimony to Congress. She pretty much made it clear that the problems were not solved and she was disappointed that even her own party hadn't supported her recommendations. And they hung their heads a bit in shame.
 
By 2008 they knew what the problem was. Gutting Glass-Steagall Act. But then they only made things worse with Dodd-Frank. Private equity and credit got a big boost from that and they are now a major weakness.

I remember watching FDIC Chair, Sheila Bair (R) who was giving her final testimony to Congress. She pretty much made it clear that the problems were not solved and she was disappointed that even her own party hadn't supported her recommendations. And they hung their heads a bit in shame.

They knew in 2008 that the extraordinary actions they took to save the ‘system’ had an end date and they also knew how long in a best case scenario they could keep the ponzi going. They also knew they would most likely be out of office or their positions before everything caught up with them. Many things now are telegraphing that this time is approaching rapidly. There is a reason why we’ve prepped up beforehand as we are soon to witness.
 
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