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northern watch

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Saudi Arabia, U.S. on High Alert After Warning of Imminent Iranian Attack; Saudis said Tehran wants to distract from local protests, and the National Security Council said the U.S. is prepared to respond

Tuesday, November 1, 2022, 12:25 PM ET
By Dion Nissenbaum
Wall Street Journal

Saudi Arabia has shared intelligence with the U.S. warning of an imminent attack from Iran on targets in the kingdom, putting the American military and others in the Middle East on an elevated alert level, Saudi and U.S. officials said.

In response to the warning, Saudi Arabia, the U.S. and several other neighboring states have raised the level of alert for their military forces, the officials said. They didn’t provide more details on the Saudi intelligence.

Saudi officials said Iran is poised to carry out attacks on both the kingdom and Erbil, Iraq, in an effort to distract attention from domestic protests that have roiled the country since September.

The White House National Security Council said it was concerned about the warnings and ready to respond if Iran carried out an attack.

“We are concerned about the threat picture, and we remain in constant contact through military and intelligence channels with the Saudis,” said a National Security Council spokesperson. “We will not hesitate to act in the defense of our interests and partners in the region.”

Iran has already attacked northern Iraq with dozens of ballistic missiles and armed drones since late September, one of which was shot down by a U.S. warplane as it headed toward the city of Erbil, where American troops are based. Tehran has publicly blamed Iranian Kurdish separatist groups based there for fomenting the unrest at home.

Iranian authorities have also publicly accused Saudi Arabia, along with the U.S. and Israel, of instigating the demonstrations.

Write to Dion Nissenbaum at dion.nissenbaum@wsj.com

Saudi Arabia, U.S. on High Alert After Warning of Imminent Iranian Attack - WSJ
 

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Iran International English
@IranIntl_En
5h

Head of Tehran’s Khomeini International Airport says the reports and allegations that the families of Islamic Republic officials are fleeing Iran on chartered and private flights are groundless and worthless.
 

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Apex
@Apex_WW
1m

The United States will try to remove Iran from the 45-member U.N. Commission on the Status of Women over the government's denial of women's rights and brutal crackdown on protests, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris said Wednesday. - Reuters
 

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EndGameWW3
@EndGameWW3

Update: American envoy to Iran Robert Malley: We are working to prevent Iran from attacking our forces, and we have presented the military option to Biden.

9:12 PM · Nov 2, 2022
·Twitter Web App
 

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Iran International English
@IranIntl_En
5m

Forty Iranian lawyers have, in a statement, said that "the absolute majority of Iranian people don't want the Islamic Republic anymore," calling on fellow lawyers and jurists to enter the fray as the children of Iranian nation.


Jason Brodsky
@JasonMBrodsky
5m

The level of fearlessness of the Iranian protesters is extraordinary. Today they set fire to an #Iran police kiosk in Karaj. On Saturday, the IRGC commander-in-chief said it was the last day of “riots.” The Iranian people’s answer on Thursday: #MahsaAmini
View: https://twitter.com/JasonMBrodsky/status/1588122578106945541?s=20&t=jaBbJpVcbnFq4PQLkM0K9A
 

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Apex
@Apex_WW

The threat of an Iranian attack on Saudi Arabia or other Middle East neighbors has eased, U.S. and Persian Gulf officials say - WSJ

3:28 PM · Nov 3, 2022
·Twitter for iPhone
 

jward

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So the threat of Iran attacking is gone and in unrelated news, Israels beginning to soften toward provision of Ukrainian support. :hmm:


bloomberg.com
Iran’s Weapons Are Slowly Dragging Israel to Ukraine’s Defense
ByBloomberg News
1 minute

Iranian involvement is changing the calculation of risks, as fears grow that Iran could be honing its capacity to strike Israel

Israel's Iron Dome System has a good track record of halting short-range rocket attacks.

Israel's Iron Dome System has a good track record of halting short-range rocket attacks.
Photographer: Jack Guez/AFP/Getty Images

November 4, 2022, 1:00 AM UTC

After months of reluctance, Israel is softening its opposition to providing military aid to Ukraine, as Iran’s deepening support for Russia’s invasion evolves into a threat to Israeli security.

A turning point came late last month, when Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz took a long-requested call from his Ukrainian counterpart Oleksii Reznikov. Israel committed to help Ukraine develop an early-warning system, similar to one that alerts Israelis to incoming fire from the Gaza Strip.
 

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Israel Radar
@IsraelRadar_com
1h

#Iran seeks Russia’s help to bolster nuclear program, @CNN
reports citing US intel; this could further shorten Tehran’s breakout time to atomic weapon, report says. If this happens, #Israel will need to make some very difficult decisions in 2023.
 

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Israel Radar
@IsraelRadar_com

Netanyahu will order attack to destroy Iran’s nuclear project if talks on new nuke deal fail, Likud party’s Tzachi Hanegbi estimates (via @N12News)

1:38 PM · Nov 4, 2022
·Twitter Web App
 

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EndGameWW3
@EndGameWW3
·
7m
America's Special Representative for Iran: Tehran will not get away with aiding Russia's brutal aggression against Ukrain
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
ENG_CON_MO_634_Complete_6000pix-INT.jpg


7cb7d8eddab807d4327aad69ba00d1c4--iran-persian.jpg

 

jward

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Good to know we're NOT attacking Iran tonight
Better if our chief thief o' office would stop misspeaking and requiring "explainers" :eek:

Jason Brodsky
@JasonMBrodsky

“He was expressing, again, our solidarity with them,” said John Kirby, the communications coordinator at the National Security Council. He said #Iran’s leadership is “facing problems of their own making.” #MahsaAmini
View: https://twitter.com/JasonMBrodsky/status/1588594069424418816?s=20&t=GDi-E8eSwFVq9NtClYI0jg
 

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Iran sentences first anti-government protester to death​


By AP​





Iran’s Revolutionary Court has sentenced an anti-government protester to death, and handed down jail terms to five others, state media says, against the backdrop of persistent unrest in the country.
The ruling likely marks the first death sentence in the trials of those arrested for participating in protests that have swept Iran over the past weeks demanding an end to clerical rule.
Mizan, a news website is linked to Iran’s judiciary, says the death sentence follows on the heels of charges that the protester set fire to a government building. The five prison terms range from five to 10 years, given various alleged national security and public order violations.

Mizan says separate branches of the Revolutionary Court issued the verdicts, but did not share further details of the protesters on trial, who can appeal the decisions.
The court was established following the 1979 Islamic Revolutions and is known for meting out harsh punishments to those who oppose Iran’s clerical rulers.


Israeli politics told straight


 

Babs

Veteran Member

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Zagdid

Veteran Member

Israeli-linked tanker hit by bomb-carrying drone off Oman​

JON GAMBRELL, Associated Press
Nov. 16, 2022Updated: Nov. 16, 2022 6:25 a.m.

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — An oil tanker associated with an Israeli billionaire has been struck by a bomb-carrying drone off the coast of Oman amid heightened tensions with Iran, officials told The Associated Press on Wednesday.

The attack on the Liberian-flagged oil tanker Pacific Zircon happened Tuesday night off the coast of Oman, one Mideast-based defense official said. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity as they did not have authorization to discuss the attack publicly.

The Pacific Zircon is operated by Singapore-based Eastern Pacific Shipping, which is a company ultimately owned by Israeli billionaire Idan Ofer.

In a statement, Eastern Pacific Shipping said the Pacific Zircon, carrying gas oil, had been “hit by a projectile” some 150 miles (240 kilometers) off the coast of Oman

“We are in communication with the vessel and there is no reports of injuries or pollution. All crew are safe and accounted for,” the company said. “There is some minor damage to the vessel’s hull but no spillage of cargo or water ingress.”

An Israeli official, who spoke to the AP on condition of anonymity to discuss unpublicized details of the attack, said that it appeared Iran carried out the attack with a Shahed-136 exploding drone. Iran has supplied those drones to Russia, which has been using them to target infrastructure and civilian targets in Ukraine.

"It is an Iranian attack, there is a consensus on this in the Israeli intelligence and defense community,” the official said.

Iran's government did not acknowledge the attack on the Pacific Zircon. Iran's mission to the United Nations did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Oil prices rose slightly as news of the attack spread, with benchmark Brent crude trading above $94 a barrel.

While no one immediately claimed responsibility for the attack, suspicion immediately fell on Iran. Tehran and Israel have been engaged in a yearslong shadow war in the wider Middle East, with some drone attacks targeting Israeli-associated vessels traveling around the region.

The United States also blamed Iran for a series of attacks occurring off the coast of the United Arab Emirates in 2019. Tehran at the time had begun escalating its nuclear program following the unilateral U.S. withdraw from Iran's atomic deal with world powers.

In 2021, a suspected Iranian drone strike hit the Israeli-associated oil tanker Mercer Street off Oman, killing two people onboard.

It wasn't immediately clear where the vessel was Wednesday. Satellite-tracking data from late Tuesday provided by MarineTraffic.com put the vessel deep in the Arabian Sea after leaving the Omani port of Sohar.

Since the collapse of Iran's nuclear deal, nonproliferation experts warn the Islamic Republic now has enough enriched uranium to make at least one nuclear weapon if it chose, though Tehran insists its program is peaceful.

Iran also has been lashing out at its perceived enemies abroad amid monthslong nationwide protests now challenging its theocracy.

Torbjorn Soltvedt, an analyst at the risk intelligence company Verisk Maplecroft, said the attack “does not come as a surprise.”

“The risk of attacks against shipping and energy infrastructure in the wider region is rising mainly due to the lack of progress in U.S.-Iranian nuclear diplomacy and the decision by the Washington to apply further sanctions pressure on Iran,” he said. “Since 2019, Iran has consistently responded to new U.S. sanctions with covert military action in the region.”

“There is not just an increasing risk of disruptive attacks against energy infrastructure in the region, but also a growing risk of a wider military confrontation with more serious consequences for world energy markets," he added.

The oil tanker attack also comes comes just days ahead of the FIFA World Cup in Qatar. While Doha maintains good relations with Tehran, with whom it shares a massive natural offshore natural gas field, Israelis will be attending the tournament. Iran's national team also will face Britain and the U.S. in first-round matches, two countries it accuses of fomenting the unrest in Iran.
 

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Officials: Drone that hit Israeli-owned tanker near Oman was launched from IRGC base
By Emanuel Fabian


An Iranian explosive-laden drone that struck an oil tanker associated with an Israeli billionaire off the coast of Oman this week was launched from an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps base in Iran, officials said Thursday.

The Liberian-flagged oil tanker Pacific Zircon was struck by a Shahed-136 on Tuesday night, causing damage but no injuries. Pacific Zircon is operated by Singapore-based Eastern Pacific Shipping, which is a company ultimately owned by Israeli billionaire Idan Ofer.

According to a BBC report, a Western official said the drone was launched from the IRGC’s Air Force regional command in the southeastern city of Chabahar.

An Israeli defense source separately told Army Radio that the drone was launched from Iranian territory, saying, “The Iranians are no longer hiding behind their proxies. They have made a mistake and will not be able to evade [blame] for the action.”

Gen. Michael Erik Kurilla, the head of United States Central Command, said in a statement that Iran was behind the attack.

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“This unmanned aerial vehicle attack against a civilian vessel in this critical maritime strait demonstrates, once again, the destabilizing nature of Iranian malign activity in the region,” Kurilla said.

Liberian-flagged oil tanker Pacific Zircon, operated by Singapore-based Eastern Pacific Shipping in Jebel Ali port, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, on August 16, 2015. (AP Photo/Nabeel Hashmi)

Israeli officials, speaking anonymously to reporters, said Iran carried out the attack with a Shahed-136 loitering munition, also known as a suicide drone.

Iran has supplied the same model of drones to Russia, which has been using them to target infrastructure and civilian targets in Ukraine.

In a statement, Eastern Pacific Shipping said the Pacific Zircon, carrying gas oil, had been “hit by a projectile” some 150 miles (240 kilometers) off the coast of Oman.

“We are in communication with the vessel and there are no reports of injuries or pollution. All crew are safe and accounted for,” the company said. “There is some minor damage to the vessel’s hull but no spillage of cargo or water ingress.”

This undated photograph released by the Ukrainian military’s Strategic Communications Directorate shows the wreckage of what Kyiv has described as an Iranian Shahed drone downed near Kupiansk, Ukraine. (Ukrainian military’s Strategic Communications Directorate via AP, File)

Tehran and Israel have been engaged in a yearslong shadow war in the wider Middle East, with some drone attacks targeting Israeli-associated vessels traveling around the region.

The US also blamed Iran for a series of attacks occurring off the coast of the United Arab Emirates in 2019. Tehran at the time had begun escalating its nuclear program following the United States’ unilateral withdrawal from its atomic deal with world powers.

Israeli businessman Idan Ofer taking part seen in September 2010. (Moshe Shai/Flash90)

Iran’s government did not acknowledge the attack on the Pacific Zircon.

Since the collapse of Iran’s nuclear deal, nonproliferation experts warn, the Islamic Republic has enough enriched uranium to make at least one nuclear weapon if it chose, though Tehran insists its program is peaceful.

Iran also has been lashing out at its perceived enemies abroad amid monthslong nationwide protests now challenging its theocracy.

The oil tanker attack also comes just days ahead of the FIFA World Cup in Qatar. While Doha maintains good relations with Tehran, with which it shares a massive natural offshore natural gas field, Israelis will be attending the soccer tournament. Iran’s national team also will face Britain and the US in first-round matches, two countries it accuses of fomenting the local unrest.

“Iran undermines security in the Gulf and, along the way, undermines stability during the World Cup,” an Israeli official told reporters on Wednesday.

The Associated Press and Times of Israel staff contributed to this report.
 

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OSINTdefender
@sentdefender
1h

It’s been reported that within the last few hours Iranian Military Forces have entered the City of Mahabad in Northwestern Iran, the use of Heavy Weaponry can be heard throughout the City and there are many Disturbing Claims beginning to coming out that include Massacres.
View: https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1594109941295370241?s=20&t=N4ay6WlUjrykYfGUNyP2Hg


Internet and Cellular Outages are also now being reported in the Region around Mahabad.
 

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Aleph א
@no_itsmyturn
2m
Replying to
@no_itsmyturn

November 19, 2022
Mahabad, West Azerbaijan Province

Regime forces have cut the electricity and are reportedly storming protestors' houses
View: https://twitter.com/no_itsmyturn/status/1594126367221813250?s=20&t=N4ay6WlUjrykYfGUNyP2Hg


Aleph א
@no_itsmyturn
1m
Replying to
@no_itsmyturn
November 19, 2022

Mahabad, West Azerbaijan Province
View: https://twitter.com/no_itsmyturn/status/1594125986542792704?s=20&t=N4ay6WlUjrykYfGUNyP2Hg



Aleph א
@no_itsmyturn
2m
Replying to
@no_itsmyturn
November 19, 2022

Mahabad, West Azerbaijan Province
View: https://twitter.com/no_itsmyturn/status/1594126121758756865?s=20&t=N4ay6WlUjrykYfGUNyP2Hg
 

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Iran enriching uranium to 60% at Fordow, stepping closer to bomb​


By REUTERS



Iran has started enriching uranium to 60% purity at its underground Fordow nuclear site, according to state media on Tuesday, which described the action as a response to the UN nuclear watchdog's demand for more cooperation from Tehran.
Iran is already enriching uranium to up to 60% purity elsewhere, well below the roughly 90% needed for weapons-grade material but above the 20% it produced before a 2015 agreement with major powers to cap enrichment at 3.67%.
"In a letter to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran has informed the agency that it has started enriching uranium to 60% purity at Fordow site," the semi-official ISNA news agency reported, adding that it was a "strong response" to the agency's latest resolution.

The IAEA 35-nation Board of Governors on Thursday passed a resolution ordering Iran to cooperate urgently with the agency’s investigation into uranium traces found at three undeclared sites, diplomats at the closed-door vote said.
The semi-official Fars news agency said Tehran had also started the process of "replacing the first-generation centrifuges (IR-1) with advanced IR-6 ones" at Fordow, a site buried inside a mountain.
The 2015 nuclear pact between Iran and six world powers lets Iran use only first-generation IR-1 centrifuges but, as the deal unraveled after then-President Donald Trump ditched it in 2018, Tehran installed cascades of more efficient advanced centrifuges, such as the IR-2m, IR-4 and IR-6.

Tehran escalating its uranium enrichment​

In June, Reuters reported that Tehran was escalating its uranium enrichment further by preparing to use IR-6 centrifuges, which can easily switch between enrichment levels, at the Fordow site.
Iran's SNN television network said Tehran had begun installing new cascades, or clusters, of advanced centrifuges at its Natanz and Fordow nuclear sites, adding that doing so was a "strong response" to the IAEA's latest resolution.
"Iran has started the process of injecting gas into two cascades of IR-2m and IR-4 advanced centrifuges at the underground Natanz site," SNN reported.

The IAEA resolution is the second this year targeting Iran over the investigation, which has become an obstacle to talks on reviving the 2015 Iran nuclear deal because Iran has demanded that the probe be ended.
Iran's foreign ministry on Monday dismissed the resolution as "politically motivated."
Indirect talks between Tehran and US President Joe Biden's administration to revive the 2015 accord have been at a stalemate since September, with both sides demanding more flexibility.
Iran's crackdown on anti-government protests sparked by Mahsa Amini's death in custody and the sale of drones to Russia have turned the United States' focus away from reviving a nuclear deal, US special envoy for Iran Robert Malley said on Monday.
 

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EndGameWW3
@EndGameWW3
·
7h
Israel and the Americans plan to hold next week a series of air exercises simulating scenarios against Iran and the Shiite militias in the Middle East.
 

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AFP News Agency
@AFP
Official


#UPDATE The United Nations Human Rights Council on Thursday condemned Iran's repression of peaceful demonstrators and voted to create a high-level investigation to probe all violations connected with Iran's response to the ongoing protests.
 

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Israel Conflict News
@IsraelGazaICN
7h

Warning of attacks on senior Mossad officials abroad. Israel has increased security for senior members of the defense establishment residing abroad, with an emphasis on former Mossad officials. The move comes against the backdrop of tensions with Iran and a series of actions
 

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Iranian hackers release footage of Jerusalem attack from security camera
By JERUSALEM POST STAFF

Iranian hackers released footage of Jerusalem attack from security cameras - report
One of the published videos was accompanied by a caption in Hebrew, saying: "For a long time we have control over all your activities, step by step and moment by moment."

Published: NOVEMBER 24, 2022 09:23

Updated: NOVEMBER 24, 2022 21:05



The Iranian computer-hacking group “Moses Staff” on Thursday published video clips taken from security cameras at the site of one of Wednesday’s attacks in Jerusalem, according to reports from Hebrew media.

The group published the video clips on the Telegram messaging app that captured the moment of the bomb explosion at a bus stop at the city’s entrance.

One of the videos was accompanied by a caption in Hebrew that said, “For a long time we have [had] control over all your activities, step by step and moment by moment.”

Wednesday’s twin attacks in Jerusalem killed one and injured 19.
Details on the "Moses Staff" group and what they claim

The group has previously published threats against Israel. It even distributed photos about a year ago that were allegedly taken at Defense Minister Benny Gantz’s home. The group has also published details of Israeli soldiers, personal documents from Israeli companies and published leaks and details of hundreds of thousands of Israelis, according to Ynet.


The leaks the hacker group published were also accompanied by aggressive texts. One said, “We will follow you where you don’t think we will. This is just the beginning.”

Another message, referencing Gantz, said, “We know all your decisions and we will hit where you don’t think. We have secret documents from the Defense Ministry and of Benny Gantz. We have news, reports, operational maps and information about your units and forces. We will publish this information to inform the whole world of your crimes.”

The report, citing the hackers, said the group also has high-quality satellite photos of Israel.

“We know all your decisions and we will hit where you don't think. We have secret documents from the Defense Ministry and of Benny Gantz. We have news, reports, operational maps and information about your units and forces. We will publish this information to inform the whole world of your crimes.”
Moses Staff hacker group

 

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The West is finally waking up to the real problem in Iran​


Masih Alinejad

5-6 minutes



Masih Alinejad is an Iranian journalist, author and women’s rights campaigner. A member of the Human Rights Foundation’s International Council, she hosts “Tablet,” a talk show on Voice of America’s Persian service.
The anti-regime protests in Iran — triggered by the death in police custody of the 22-year-old Kurdish woman Mahsa Amini — are now in their third month. More than 400 protesters have been killed since then; at least another 15,000 have been arrested. Iran is aching for change. The streets are filled with those who are willing to risk losing everything for their freedom.

That the unrest continues is itself a remarkable tribute to those overwhelmingly young Iranians who refuse to back down in the face of brutal violence from the regime. Western leaders have been slow to acknowledge the full significance and depth of what has been happening inside Iran — not least because of their fixation on persuading the regime to agree to a deal on Tehran’s nuclear program. But now, at last, there are welcome signs of change.
Earlier this month, I had a chance to persuade French President Emmanuel Macron to back what many of us are calling the “revolution” in Iran. At first, as a uniformed guard escorted me through the gilded corridors of the Élysée Palace, I had to keep my anger in check. Just two months earlier, Macron had shaken hands with Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, who earlier in his career ordered the execution of thousands of political prisoners in the 1980s.

Yet, Macron was sending a huge message to the clerics in Tehran by meeting me. The Islamic republic regards me as an “enemy of the state” and has launched plots to kidnap me and assassinate me at my home in Brooklyn over the past two years. I was grateful for the French president’s signal of support — but even more I wanted to see him register his appreciation for the Iranian protesters.
Macron is very intelligent and curious. He is charming and asks pointed questions. But he shrugged off the Raisi handshake. For Macron, diplomacy means that you sometimes have to meet people you don’t agree with.
Fair enough, I said. But France, I responded, also has a history of respecting revolutionary thoughts and deeds. It was long overdue, I argued, for the world to recognize that the events in Iran fall into precisely this category.
But what truly moved Macron was the delegation of Iranian women who accompanied me: Roya Piraei, a young girl who became a symbol of the protests after her mother was recently shot and killed by the regime; Ladan Boroumand, a veteran human rights activist and researcher; and Shima Babaei, an activist opposed to compulsory hijab who recently fled Iran. Piraei, clutching a picture of her mother, had a simple request for Macron: She asked him not to shake hands with the killers of her mother.

For Macron, this was an eye-opening experience. It was the first time he had come face-to-face with Iranian civil society, embodied by women who had all lost members of their own families. It was reassuring to hear that the French president agreed that compulsory hijab was forced on Iranian women and that it was time to abolish it.
Support for this revolution is not limited to Macron. Within the past few weeks, both Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz have expressed support for the protesters and condemned the brutality and harsh tactics used against them by the regime. The European Union and Canada have imposed additional sanctions on the Islamic Republic of Iran for its brutal crackdown on peaceful protesters.
Even before the protests began, negotiations between Europe and Iran on Tehran’s nuclear program had stalled. Now the talks are widely regarded as dead — and rightly so. Democratic leaders need to rethink their relationship with a barbaric regime that has no compunction about killing its own citizens. For too long, rather than placing the emphasis on Iranians’ human rights, the West has naively prioritized short-term goals of containing the Islamic republic’s nuclear ambitions through diplomacy. (The United States, sadly, remains something of a laggard in this regard: President Biden still hasn’t made a strong and decisive public statement in favor of the protesters.)

At every available opportunity, leaders in Iran have benefited from this naivete. They have used it to spread their tentacles of terror across the region and impose a strict form of religious dictatorship. The West looked away from the horrors of the Tehran regime in the hopes that the system would reform slowly. Not only did that evolution not happen, but the Islamic Republic of Iran has become an even greater security threat for the world — just look at the Iranian drones blowing up Ukrainian infrastructure in support of Putin’s invaders. Iran’s reckless support for Moscow — which has outraged the international community — is potentially bringing the Islamic republic closer to conflict with NATO.
Macron expressed his admiration for the protesting Iranian women and men who are fighting for freedom from the regime in Tehran. We need more world leaders to recognize the new Iranian revolution.

 
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