HEALTH MAIN EBOLA DISCUSSION THREAD -09/01/14 - 09/15/14

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Melodi

Disaster Cat
This was in the UK Independent but looks like it may have originally been in the Washington Post - way too many pictures to post but I'm including the entire long article - Melodi (new month/new thread)


Ebola virus: It's ripped through towns – now the deadliest ever outbreak of the virus is heading for Africa's teeming cities


As the highly contagious virus continues to travel the continent, Africa is in the midst of a virological nightmare - and it could get worse
Todd C. Frankel

Sunday 31 August 2014

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...us-is-heading-for-africas-cities-9702252.html

The dreaded Ebola virus came to the children’s hospital in the form of a four-year-old boy.

His diagnosis became clear three days after he was admitted. The Ola During hospital — the nation’s only pediatric center — was forced to close its steel gates. Fear swelled. The boy died. The 30 doctors and nurses who had contact with him were placed in quarantine, forced to nervously wait out the 21 days it can take for the virus to emerge. And remaining staff so far have refused to return to work. They, along with millions of others, are facing the worst Ebola outbreak in history. Already, the hardest-hit West African nations of Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone have reported more than 3,000 cases, including the infections of 240 health-care workers.

Ebola is now spreading from the remote provinces and into the teeming cities such as Freetown, where 1.2 million people jostle for space. Previous outbreaks had been limited to remote vil*lages, where containment was aided by geography. The thought of Ebola taking hold in a major city such as Freetown or Monrovia, Liberia’s capital, is a virological nightmare. Last week, the World Health Organization warned that the number of cases could hit 20,000 in West Africa.

“We have never had this kind of experience with Ebola before,” David Nabarro, coordinator of the new U.N. Ebola effort, said as he toured Freetown last week. “When it gets into the cities, then it takes on another dimension.”

The hemorrhagic fever has no cure. Odds of survival stand at about 50-50. Detection is difficult because early symptoms are hard to distinguish from those of malaria or typhoid, common ailments during the rainy season. While Ebola is not transmitted through the air like the flu, it does spread by close contact with bodily fluids such as blood, saliva and sweat — even something as innocent as a tainted tear.


And so now it is headed to Freetown, where the streets hum with low-level panic. People long ago stopped shaking hands. Hugs are unheard of. Plastic buckets filled with a diluted chlorine solution are posted outside many businesses to encourage hand-washing. Some of these homemade solutions tingle and burn; others smell like aromatic cleansers. For a while, street peddlers, who normally sell peanuts or umbrellas from stacks balanced on their hands, sold surgical gloves, $1 each.

But the roads are still crammed with autos and people, stray dogs and wild chickens. Trucks with loudspeakers rumble down rutted roads.“Wash your hands!” they announce in Krio. “Ebola is real!” shout banners strung throughout the city. Radio ads detail the virus’s symptoms: headache, fever, nausea and vomiting. The Sierra Leonean government has been running these messages in the capital for months, just in case.

Sierra Leone’s first case appeared in late May, in the distance Kailahun district. A month later, the country had 158 total cases. In late July, it was up to 533 cases. A national state of emergency was declared. Soldiers erected roadblocks to cordon off the rural epicenter, raising memories of the country’s brutal civil war, which ended in 2002. Residents were ordered to stay at home for one day of prayer and reflection. An evangelist texted tens of thousands of people before dawn one morning, telling them to douse themselves in saltwater for protection from Ebola. People rushed into the streets, singing and washing.

“It looked like panic,” said Killian Doherty, an Irish architect living in Freetown. “It’s the kind of thing that makes you lose your bearings.”

The government has passed laws to limit close contact, altering the city’s daily rhythms. Riders in the city’s many “Poda Poda” minibuses, usually packed shoulder to shoulder, are now curtailed to four people per row. “Okara” taxi motorbikes are restricted at night. Even banks have cut hours to limit time spent in their crowded lobbies. And large public gatherings have been outlawed. The small cinemas where patrons would pay to watch foreign soccer matches on TVs have been shuttered. The popular clubs along Freetown’s Atlantic Ocean beaches are now empty.

Health care workers at Elwa hospital in Monrovia, Liberia Health care workers at Elwa hospital in Monrovia, Liberia

Recently, a group of 12 men sat on benches under palm trees along Lumley Beach. Technically, this was illegal. The men all knew about Ebola, even reciting how the virus got its name from a Congolese river near where the first outbreak was discovered in 1976. Still, they didn’t know what to think of this strange disease. This country, where doctors are few and over half the population lives in poverty, knows plenty about malaria and cholera and even Lassa fever, a more forgiving hemorrhagic fever spread by rats. But Ebola was new to Sierra Leone.

“I don’t believe 100 percent that Ebola is real,” said Moses Sensie, 32, who works in security for a construction company. The movies he has seen about the virus show victims bleeding out in the disease’s last stages. He hasn’t heard about that happening now, and experts acknowledge hemorrhages in this outbreak have been rare. “I believe in Ebola maybe 60 percent.”

But Anthony Jimmy, 30, was not taking chances. He times his commute to work on the Poda Podas so they are less crowded. He avoids people who look ill. But, he said, the worry was exhausting.

“People are fed up with the situation,” Jimmy said.

Many of the people who can afford to leave Freetown are gone — some on vacation, others to foreign countries to wait out the virus. But getting out has become harder as several airlines have stopped flying to Lungi International Airport. Air France, under orders from the French government, became the latest last week. The nation’s school year is supposed to begin Sept. 9, but few expect that date to hold.

At the Lighthouse Hotel, the usual executives from the mining, pharmaceutical and banking industries are absent. The hotel is running at 15 percent occupancy, said general manager Andrew Damoah. He is barely able to cover the cost of gas for the hotel’s generator — a necessity in a country with a shaky power grid. Most of his guests now are the international doctors and nurses responding to the outbreak.

“We are all running empty hotels,” Damoah said.

Sierra Leone President Ernest Bai Koroma faces a battle to contain the largest Ebola outbreak in history Sierra Leone President Ernest Bai Koroma faces a battle to contain the largest Ebola outbreak in history The city’s hospitals are empty, too. People avoid them over worries about catching Ebola. They would rather suffer at home and hope that what they have is just a mild case of malaria. It is not an unreasonable concern. The Kenema government hospital in the provinces has seen 40 staff members die of Ebola. At Connaught Hospital in Freetown, the doctor running the Ebola ward died two weeks ago. Shortly before that, the government issued a public alert for a 32-year-old hairdresser with an Ebola diagnosis who was pulled from Connaught by her family. They wanted her to be treated by a faith healer. All of them subsequently died of Ebola.

“Everyone is scared. Even I am scared,” said Michael Karoma, a gynecologist who heads Prince Christian Maternity Hospital in Freetown, where is he working to restore the confidence of his staff and the public. “Everyone is afraid of Ebola. This used to be in the villages. Now it is in the cities. What is happening in the world?”

Connaught Hospital, the city’s main health-care center, is in Freetown’s historic heart, not far from the massive cotton tree featured on Sierra Leone’s paper money. The hospital’s small Ebola isolation ward is part of the nation’s triage system. Patients suspected of having Ebola wait for lab results before being shipped to the country’s only two treatment centers, a facility in Kailahun run by the aid group Doctors Without Borders and the government hospital in Kenema.

At Connaught, the Ebola ward sits behind a gate with prison-like metal bars. Staff members are covered head to toe in protective scrubs. The unit recently had 12 beds for 13 patients. At first, one or two patients were being diagnosed with Ebola each day. That picked up to three a day. Now, lab results on up to seven people a day are coming back positive.

The virus’s march into Freetown was slow to start. The first case officially emerged in mid-
July. Six weeks later, the city had 30. The number is now over 40 and is expected to quickly shoot up.

The Ebola ward at Connaught is now run by Marta Lado, a Spanish doctor who arrived in March. A high-level delegation of World Health Organization officials visited her last week. Nabarro, the United Nations’ new Ebola point man, wanted to know what she needed.

“If you could get anything,” he asked her, “what would it be?”

Lado stood in her sweat-stained blue scrubs and thought.

More people and supplies, she said. “The health-care workers are really scared. This is hard work. We can’t tell them we don’t have enough supplies — to just come to work and later on you’ll have gloves.”

They go through 200 disposable gloves a day in the isolation room. They had enough for now, but the supply was running short.

This wasn’t a problem just at Connaught. Doctors Without Borders has warned about a worldwide shortage of the full-body protective suits worn by Ebola health-care workers. Sierra Leone’s Ebola emergency operations center said it faces a six-week wait for the specialized ambulances needed to transport Ebola patients.

A new Ebola treatment center — the country’s third — is expected to be constructed near Freetown. But it might not be ready for a month. Just outside Freetown in Lakka, a new Ebola isolation unit is almost open, on property shared by a tuberculosis hospital and housing for sufferers of leprosy. A mobile Ebola testing lab, flown in from South Africa, also just started up.

There have been over 3,000 cases across Africa There have been over 3,000 cases across Africa Outside the Ebola facility in Lakka, a single Sierra Leonean soldier stood guard, rifle slung over his shoulder. Balla Conteh, 35, did not like his new posting. His younger sister is being treated for Ebola in Kailahun. His 4-month-old niece died of the disease.

“It is real. It is very real. And it is killing people,” Conteh said. “It’s a very, very scary disease.”

That fear might explain how the young boy suffering from Ebola was admitted to Ola During Children’s Hospital.

The boy showed up at the hospital with his father, doctors recall. The child had a fever. He was vomiting and had diarrhea. These were textbook signs of Ebola. But 80 percent of pediatric patients here have similar complaints, usually pointing to malaria or a severe stomach bug, doctors say. They further screened the boy for the virus by asking his father some questions. Any travels? Any funerals? No, no, he said.

The boy was taken to a general ward inside the cramped hospital, which overlooks Destruction Bay on the city’s east end. The hospital’s open windows were covered by sheets to block out the sun and the smell of burning trash. A sign painted in red by the hospital entrance read, “Water from the well in the hospital compound is unsafe for drinking.”

Two days later, the boy’s gums started to bleed. He was transferred to the hospital’s isolation ward. A day later, his lab tests came back. He had Ebola. Doctors delivered the news to the boy’s stepmother and asked again about his travels. The stepmother said the boy had attended his grandmother’s funeral in the provinces.

The father had lied to us, said Sara Hommel, a German pediatrician with a foreign aid group, clearly upset.

She couldn’t understand it. Other doctors, too, have complained about patients not being forthcoming about possible exposure to Ebola. But facing a disease with no cure, perhaps the father and others were afraid to admit the truth.

The hospital had remained closed for several days as the remaining hospital staff members demanded to be taught the infection-control measures considered essential to guarding against this unforgiving virus. “We are not going to rush back to work,” a hospital administrator said. “We want to be protected.”

The wait dragged on. Hommel and another German doctor, Noa Freudenthal, wondered how many cases of malaria or typhoid were going untreated. Ola During once had been filled with 250 patients. Where were these sick children now? Recently, a charity hospital tried to deliver a 2-year-old child suffering from cerebral malaria to the children’s hospital but was turned away. The gates were closed.

And then, one day last week, an infectious disease specialist from the University of California at San Francisco walked into Ola During. Dan Kelly conducted days of training, teaching staff members how to sanitize the floors and how to put on and remove the personal protective gear.

“Fear of Ebola is just permeating everything right now,” Kelly said.

He hoped maybe the training might instill a little confidence.

In the coming days, the children’s hospital is expected to reopen its metal gates.

The only question is whether patients will be too scared to come.

Copyright The Washington Post
 
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Melodi

Disaster Cat
Bumping new thread again so people can see it -thanks Sacajawea, that was funny but now corrected
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
Saudi suspends labour visas for nations worst-hit by Ebola

Riyadh (AFP) - Saudi Arabia has stopped granting visas to workers from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, the countries worst-hit by the deadly Ebola virus, the labour ministry announced Monday.

The "preventive measure" is based on "directives from the foreign and health ministries to avoid" the spread of Ebola to the kingdom, the official news agency SPA reported.

The virus, for which there is no treatment or vaccine, has claimed 1,552 lives out of 3,069 reported cases -- 694 in Liberia, 430 in Guinea, 422 in Sierra Leon and six in Nigeria, according to latest figures from the World Health Organisation.

Saudi Arabia made a similar decision in April when it announced the suspension of visas for Muslim pilgrims from Guinea and Liberia.

The hajj annual pilgrimage, the world's biggest Muslim gathering, draws two million people to Saudi Arabia each year, including many from the West African countries affected by the Ebola outbreak. This year it falls in October.

The "temporary suspension" of labour visas from the three African nations "will not affect the labour market in Saudi Arabia" where the number of workers from these countries "is very little," SPA quoted deputy labour minister Mufrej al-Haqbani as saying.

He said laboratory tests before arrival were "strictly required" by the labour ministry for all foreigners coming from west Africa.

Apart from Nigeria, Ebola has also spread to Senegal.

http://news.yahoo.com/saudi-suspends-labour-visas-nations-worst-hit-ebola-144205929.html
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
Ebola: Female doctor tests positive in Port Harcourt

A female doctor who was on admission at the Green Hart hospital where late Port Harcourt doctor, Iyke Enemoah, was treated after he got infected with the deadly virus by an ECOWAS official, has tested positive to Ebola.

Minister of Health, Prof Onyebuchi Chukwu revealed this today September 1st during a meeting of the National Emergency Council on Ebola outbreak in Nigeria. Continue...



Speaking with all Commissioners for Health in Nigeria, Prof. Chukwu said the doctor who tested positive to Ebola is now being treated at the Ebola isolation ward in Rivers state.

This recent confirmation brings to three the number of confirmed Ebola cases in Rivers state; the index case which is the ECOWAS official, Oluibukun Koye; the late Dr Iyke Enemoah who died on Friday August 22nd and the recently diagnosed female doctor.

Prof Chukwu said more cases of the Ebola Virus Disease were still being expected in Rivers state

http://donlungumedia.blogspot.com/2014/09/ebola-female-doctor-tests-positive-in.html
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
Liberia: Ellen Rejects WHO's Prediction

By Winston W. Parley
President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf has rejected the World Health Organization's prediction that the Ebola outbreak in West Africa could infect more than 20,000 people before it is brought under control.

President Sirleaf, who chairs the National Ebola Taskforce here, said her objection to the experts' prediction does not imply that her government doesn't respect them, but argued that projections could be proven wrong, especially "When one has the will and commitment to overcome a battle."

She spoke on Saturday, August 30, when she visited the C.H. Rennie Hospital in Kakata City, Margibi County, just after witnessing the discharging of a Congolese Doctor Sengo Omeoga, and a Liberian Physician Assistant, Kandy Kobah, who survived treatment at the ELWA Hospital in Paynesville, outside Monrovia.

"I do not accept the prediction of some of the partners that say ten thousand, twenty thousand people will die, no! Say no to that. Tell them that may be, their arithmetic projection, but we will solve Ebola so that we do not have those kind of people dying. That's our challenge; that's our responsibility; that's our commitment that we must make to ourselves to prove them wrong," said the Liberian leader.

During a brief stop at the ELWA Hospital, President Sirleaf endorsed Health Minister Dr. Walter Gwenigale's statement that Liberia will not relinquish the Ebola fight to Non-Governmental Organizations as was being suggested by some members of the public.

"There's nobody that cares more for people than the people themselves," said President Sirleaf, stressing, the fact that Liberian doctors and nurses and health practitioners are taking care of their people, it shows that "We need to give them the support so that they can continue to do the good work."



ELWA's Acting General Administrator, Jerry Brown, told President Sirleaf that on Friday, 29 August, 30 patients who were tested positive have been discharged after being treated by local health workers.

Upon the arrival of the US experimental drugs, Mr. Brown said they stopped applying the Liberian method on the three doctors that received the Zmapp; and out of the three, he said Liberian Doctor Kandy Kobah and Doctor Sengo Omeoga of the Democratic Republic of Congo, survived. But as at Saturday, August 30, Mr. Brown said about 45 cases were at ELWA, 33 of them already confirmed positive.

"And I'm optimistic that not less than half of that number will come out," he said, adding that there were 12 persons in the suspect cases section. The two doctors that were discharged - Kandy and Omeoga, thanked the government for its support and promised to continue working despite being hit by the deadly Ebola virus. Madam Kandy however pleaded with President Sirleaf for more support to health workers, including adequate supplies.

Margibi County health authorities reported 160 Ebola cases since June to the end of August. They said the county's health morale was low because 21 health workers have died from a total of 29 that were infected by the virus.

Kakata had the highest percentage of the total cases, and Dolo Town has transferred 19 cases to the treatment center since it was quarantined. Margibi County Senator Oscar Cooper, says a final assessment will be made in Dolo Town, and the result will determine if a recommendation can made to the Ebola Taskforce to relax the quarantine there.
http://allafrica.com/stories/201409010984.html
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
Nigeria records another Ebola case in oil city, 16 cases in total

ABUJA (Reuters) - Nigeria has a third confirmed case of Ebola disease in the oil hub of Port Harcourt, bringing the country's total confirmed infections to 16, with around 200 people under surveillance, the health minister said on Monday.

A doctor in Port Harcourt died last week after treating a contact of the Liberian-American man who was the first recorded case of the virus in Africa's most populous country. That raised alarm that Ebola, which looked on the verge of being contained in the commercial capital, Lagos, may flare up again elsewhere.

Patrick Sawyer, the first case, came in from Liberia, then collapsed at Lagos airport on July 20.

The shift to Port Harcourt shows how easily containment efforts can be undermined. Nigeria's government acted quickly at the end of July, setting up an isolation ward and monitoring contacts closely. But one of Sawyer's contacts in Lagos avoided quarantine and travelled east to Port Harcourt.

He has since recovered from the disease, but he infected the doctor who treated him, who then himself died of Ebola. A third case in the oil city was a female patient in the same hospital as the doctor and caught the disease from him.

Health Minister Onyebuchi Chukwu said in a press conference that 72 people in Lagos, a city of 21 million people, were still under surveillance.

"Two other contacts of the late Port Harcourt doctor, one of the doctors who managed him and a pharmacy technician working in the doctor's hospital, are symptomatic and have been admitted to the isolation ward in Rivers," Chukwu said, although he added that preliminary tests had been negative for Ebola.

The outbreak of Ebola in West Africa is the world's worst ever. It has killed at least 1,550 people, and the World Health Organisation says it could infect 20,000 more.

http://af.reuters.com/article/topNews/idAFKBN0GW2EY20140901
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
Possible Ebola case in Malaga (Spain)

Included this one thinking of all the folks trying to escape by sea....the staff are NOT ready for this....
---------------------------------------------


Monday, 01 September 2014 10:35


A NIGERIAN resident of Antequera has been admitted to hospital in Malaga after potentially showing symptoms of the Ebola virus.

As a precaution, he has been quarantined in Carlos Haya hospital since the early hours of this morning, and will remain so until test results determine whether or not he is suffering from the virus.

Health authorities remain hopeful, however, as he seems to be responding well to treatment and sources have suggested that he could be suffering from Malaria.

So far, suspected cases of Ebola in Bilbao, Alicante, Almeria and Barcelona have all proved to be false alarms, although full isolation protocols have been enacted in every case. Suspicions were raised when the man informed hospital staff at his local health centre in Antequera that he had recently visited Nigeria, a country which together with Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea, has been ravaged by the epidemic which has swept through West Africa these past months.

Concerns have been raised, however, on whether or not containment and isolation procedures were carried out correctly in this case.

Although the patient will now remain in quarantine until his test results prove otherwise, it has been reported that although an ambulance was provided in which to transport him to Malaga’s Carlos Haya hospital, the man chose to drive himself in a private car.

Furthermore, he was accompanied by his wife and two children, raising questions as to whether or not they should be placed in isolation too. On arrival in Malaga, he walked into the A&E department of the hospital by himself, before he was transferred to the infectious diseases clinic.

This is not the only complaint on the matter. In general, Unionists representing health workers in Andalucía have said that they have not received sufficient preparation on how to tackle an outbreak of Ebola if it should occur.

A document informing doctors and nurses how to manage the virus has been criticised as being too short (at two pages long) and lacking in detail. Specialised equipment is arriving at the hospital in dribs and drabs: at the moment only a dozen isolation suits have been sent to the hospital when at least 200 were promised.

Andalucía’s health service (Servicio Andaluz de Salud) has said that enough equipment has been provided to deal with the threat in its present condition. If the threat were to increase, more supplies would of course be sent to the hospital.

https://www.euroweeklynews.com/news/costa-del-sol/item/122451-possible-ebola-case-in-malaga
 

Hfcomms

EN66iq
"I do not accept the prediction of some of the partners that say ten thousand, twenty thousand people will die, no! Say no to that. Tell them that may be, their arithmetic projection, but we will solve Ebola so that we do not have those kind of people dying.


That is what you call denial plain and simple. It would be difficult to eradicate even in a nation with a first world medical system let alone a backwards system that is in a state of chaos. Unfortunately the horse is already out of the barn and their is little that they can do about it. Fact of the matter is now it will probably have to run it's course no matter what the outcome is. Once you get past the first and second generation of cases it takes a life of it's own and it's too big to play 'whack a mole' anymore.
 

Kris Gandillon

The Other Curmudgeon
_______________
Thanks for starting the new thread, Melodi! I am out of town visiting relatives with very limited Internet access.
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
This is not good....

Zimbabwe Not Able to Detect, Identify Ebola

Zimbabwe government health services have no capacity whatsoever to conduct competent tests to detect and identify the deadly Ebola disease, it has emerged in a development that reveals suspected cases will be handled under a trial and error procedure.

The shock discovery announced last week reveals that specimens from suspected cases have be referred 1,000 kilometres away in South African laboratories for verification.

Despite the state media being silent about the development, Health ministry officials revealed to journalists that all suspected cases would be managed under trial and error, as Ebola patients and kept in isolation units while they wait for specimen feedback to return from South Africa – what will attract further cost to the taxpayer.

Health and Child Care minister David Parirenyatwa told journalists that the World Health Organisation (WHO) had already organised a courier service which would take any suspected Ebola case specimen to South Africa as it needed proper handling.

“We would like to thank our partners for supporting us, WHO, they have already arranged for courier services just in case we need to carry the specimens from here to South Africa,” Parirenyatwa said.

- See more at: http://www.zimeye.com/zimbabwe-not-capable-of-detecting-identifying-ebola/#sthash.jhz9NVMu.dpuf
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
Bayelsa denies Ebola rumour (will this become the norm?)

Bayelsa State Government on Monday denied rumours that the dreaded Ebola Virus Disease has been recorded in some parts of the state.
The state’s Commissioner for Health and Head of Ebola Task Force, Dr. Ayebatonye Owei, said there was no truth in the speculations.
He was reacting to rumours that three EVD cases were recorded over the weekend at the Niger Delta University Teaching Hospital (NDUTH), Okolobiri.
It was also speculated that some of the persons who had contacts with the dead doctor in Port Harcourt, Rivers State, escaped to Bayelsa.
Residents in the state have been in panic since some cases of Ebola were confirmed in Port-Harcourt.
But Owei said: “There is no Ebola case in Bayelsa” and described the speculations as “false.”
Also the Governor of the state, Mr. Seriake Dickson, urged the people of the state not to panic, explaining that proactive measures had been put in place to check the spread of Ebola.
The governor in a statement signed by his Chief Press Secretary, Mr. Daniel Iworiso-Markson, said he decided to appeal for calm because of the close proximity of Bayelsa to Rivers State and the fact that the people of the two states share a common historical and cultural heritage.
“Government has created 103 surveillance centres in all the local government areas as part of measures put in place to curtail the Ebola virus and the people have been put on red alert for suspected patients with the symptoms of the deadly virus to check its spread,” the governor said.
He reiterated the call for people to imbibe the culture of personal hygiene, noting that government had given adequate support to the 18-member task force set up to fight Ebola.

http://thenationonlineng.net/new/ba...Feed:+thenationonlineng/aDtp+(#gboru_markson)
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Gee a whole 18 people? Wonder if they can spare that many :rolleyes:

She
 

SheWoff

Southern by choice
'Nightmare scenario' as Ebola spreads to cities

The dreaded Ebola virus came to the children's hospital in the form of a four-year-old boy.

His diagnosis became clear three days after he was admitted. The Ola During Hospital in Sierra Leone - the nation's only paediatric centre - was forced to close its steel gates. Fear swelled. The boy died.

The 30 doctors and nurses who had contact with him were placed in quarantine, forced to nervously wait out the 21 days it can take for the virus to emerge. And remaining staff so far have refused to return to work.

They, along with millions of others, are facing the worst Ebola outbreak in history. Already, the hardest-hit West African nations of Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone have reported more than 3,000 cases, including the infections of 240 healthcare workers.

Ebola is now spreading from the remote provinces and into the teeming cities such as Freetown, where 1.2 million people jostle for space. Previous outbreaks had been limited to remote villages, where containment was aided by geography. The thought of Ebola taking hold in a major city such as Freetown or Monrovia, Liberia's capital, is a virological nightmare.

Last week, the World Health Organisation warned the number of cases could hit 20,000 in West Africa.

"We have never had this kind of experience with Ebola before," David Nabarro, coordinator of the new UN Ebola effort, said as he toured Freetown last week. "When it gets into the cities, then it takes on another dimension."
- See more at: http://www.independent.ie/world-new...-to-cities-30551172.html#sthash.bWVYIn3J.dpuf
 

ParanoidNot

Veteran Member
Two questions. First, has anyone seen a synopsis of typical progression of expressed symptoms starting on the first day that symptoms first appear? For example "Day one, mild nausea and no fever. Day two, low grade fever and increased nausea. Etc. . . ."

Second, Is there any new information on the typical asymptomatic incubation period (is it really 2 to 21 days, or is this new strain usually 21 days), and when do they suspect it becomes infectious?
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
President Sirleaf, who chairs the National Ebola Taskforce here, said her objection to the experts' prediction does not imply that her government doesn't respect them, but argued that projections could be proven wrong, especially "When one has the will and commitment to overcome a battle."

She spoke on Saturday, August 30, when she visited the C.H. Rennie Hospital in Kakata City, Margibi County, just after witnessing the discharging of a Congolese Doctor Sengo Omeoga, and a Liberian Physician Assistant, Kandy Kobah, who survived treatment at the ELWA Hospital in Paynesville, outside Monrovia.

"I do not accept the prediction of some of the partners that say ten thousand, twenty thousand people will die, no! Say no to that. Tell them that may be, their arithmetic projection, but we will solve Ebola so that we do not have those kind of people dying. That's our challenge; that's our responsibility; that's our commitment that we must make to ourselves to prove them wrong," said the Liberian leader.

Magic thinking... that's WHY this is such a mess over there! If they don't start fighting this with science and stop this sort of baloney (good grief!! She's the leader of the country- if she doesn't know better, they're toast!) 20,000 dead will be the tip of the iceberg.

They NEED to get pallets of personal protective equipment, IV fluids, disposable needles, bleach, and they must educate people. But even with all that, as long as people are going to "run away" and deny that they are ill (and lie about the fact that they had contact with someone who was ill with Ebola) this is going to explode and all the nice thoughts and words won't do anything at all to help.

Summerthyme
 

mala

Contributing Member
Two questions. First, has anyone seen a synopsis of typical progression of expressed symptoms starting on the first day that symptoms first appear? For example "Day one, mild nausea and no fever. Day two, low grade fever and increased nausea. Etc. . . ."

Second, Is there any new information on the typical asymptomatic incubation period (is it really 2 to 21 days, or is this new strain usually 21 days), and when do they suspect it becomes infectious?

The closest I've found is this:

http://jid.oxfordjournals.org/content/204/suppl_3/S810.full

It describes the clinical symptoms, time period for the old Zaire. Honestly, this one seems fairly close from what I've read so far.
 

Baloo

Veteran Member
Magic thinking... that's WHY this is such a mess over there! If they don't start fighting this with science and stop this sort of baloney (good grief!! She's the leader of the country- if she doesn't know better, they're toast!) 20,000 dead will be the tip of the iceberg.

They NEED to get pallets of personal protective equipment, IV fluids, disposable needles, bleach, and they must educate people. But even with all that, as long as people are going to "run away" and deny that they are ill (and lie about the fact that they had contact with someone who was ill with Ebola) this is going to explode and all the nice thoughts and words won't do anything at all to help.

Summerthyme

Here's a scary thought--there is a extreme shortage of IV fluids in US at the moment; imagine the shortage if ebola popped up here.
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
I do not accept the prediction of some of the partners that say ten thousand, twenty thousand people will die, no! Say no to that. Tell them that may be, their arithmetic projection, but we will solve Ebola so that we do not have those kind of people dying.

Ebola doesn't care what she accepts.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion. H/t Pixie
http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles...sister-chinyere-quarantined-in-rivers/187923/

Nigeria: Ebola: Late Doctor Enemuo’s Sister, Chinyere, Quarantined in Rivers

01 Sep 2014

The Rivers State Government has said sister to Dr. Iyke Samuel Enemuo, Chinyere, who fled to Abia State after her brother died of the ebola virus disease (EVD), has returned to Port Harcourt and has developed symptoms of the disease.

This came as the state also said the corpse of the late Enemuo would be buried this week in Port Harcourt "in accordance with World Health Organisation (WHO) protocol".

It said Chinyere has been quarantined at the Isolation Centre at Oduoha in Emuoha Local Government area of the state.

The State Commissioner for Health, Dr. Sampson Parker, made the disclosure Monday in Port Harcourt while briefing journalists on the disease.

Parker said, “She (Chinyere) earlier ran to Abia State apparently because of the stigma which people are arrogating to the Ebola virus. We were able to trace her with the help of our brother commissioner in Abia State. She developed feverish symptoms and she had been admitted at the isolation unit at Oduoha for observation and treatment.

“She is among the 50 high risk contacts in our list. We decided to take her to the isolation unit to make assurance surer. We are currently running a test on her and the result will be out by Tuesday, or thereabout. We chose to isolate her because we don’t want to go through the same experience we had with the diplomat, Olubukun Koye”.

Details to follow...
 

Caplock50

I am the Winter Warrior
People, re-read this...

"
"I do not accept the prediction of some of the partners that say ten thousand, twenty thousand people will die, no! Say no to that. Tell them that may be, their arithmetic projection, but we will solve Ebola so that we do not have those kind of people dying. That's our challenge; that's our responsibility; that's our commitment that we must make to ourselves to prove them wrong," said the Liberian leader."

It is not a declaration that they will fight it with witch doctors or any such nonsense. It is a 'pep talk'. She is trying to give her medical people new strength to continue the fight. Her people have been running on will power alone for a while now, and their 'tank' is running low on fuel. She is trying to 'refuel' them so they can and will continue to battle on. Maybe it would have been clearer and easier to see if she'd jumped on a tabletop and started yelling, "FIGHT ON!! FIGHT ON!! LET'S PROVE TO THEM THAT THEY HAVE UNDERESTAMATED OUR RESOLVE. FIGHT ON! FIGHT ON!"
 

NWPhotog

Veteran Member
People, re-read this...

"
"I do not accept the prediction of some of the partners that say ten thousand, twenty thousand people will die, no! Say no to that. Tell them that may be, their arithmetic projection, but we will solve Ebola so that we do not have those kind of people dying. That's our challenge; that's our responsibility; that's our commitment that we must make to ourselves to prove them wrong," said the Liberian leader."

It is not a declaration that they will fight it with witch doctors or any such nonsense. It is a 'pep talk'. She is trying to give her medical people new strength to continue the fight. Her people have been running on will power alone for a while now, and their 'tank' is running low on fuel. She is trying to 'refuel' them so they can and will continue to battle on. Maybe it would have been clearer and easier to see if she'd jumped on a tabletop and started yelling, "FIGHT ON!! FIGHT ON!! LET'S PROVE TO THEM THAT THEY HAVE UNDERESTAMATED OUR RESOLVE. FIGHT ON! FIGHT ON!"

A'Yah!
 

Mysty

Veteran Member
http://www.radioaustralia.net.au/in...den-discovers-suspected-case-of-virus/1362905

Posted 1 September 2014, 8:51 AEST

A suspected case of the Ebola virus has been discovered in the Swedish capital Stockholm, a local official told AFP on Sunday.


"So far it's just a suspected case," the official said, without giving more details.

The person fell ill after visiting an area known to be hit by the virus and is now being held in isolation, the newspaper Svenska Dagbladet reported on its website.

Aake Oertsqvist, a specialist in infection control responsible for the Stockholm area, was quoted as saying the risk of an Ebola outbreak in Sweden was "very low".

"The virus is not airborne, but is spread among humans through direct or indirect contact via blood and other fluids," he was quoted as saying.

More than 1,550 people have died in from Ebola in West Africa since it was was first detected in the forests of Guinea in March.

It is the worst outbreak of the hemorrhagic fever in history, with cases confirmed in Guinea, Liberia, Nigeria and Senegal.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion.
http://theextinctionprotocol.wordpr...ld-render-treatment-and-vaccines-ineffective/


Ebola becoming harder to treat —US experts: rapid mutation could “render treatment and vaccines ineffective”
Posted on September 1, 2014 by The Extinction Protocol

Ebola mutations

August 2014 – AFRICA - As countries across the world battle to contain the spreads of the Ebola Virus Disease (EVD), the killer ailment appears to be devising means of circumventing efforts to stop it, researchers have said. Experts claim that the virus is “rapidly and continually mutating, making it harder to diagnose and treat.” This is just as former President Olusegun Obasanjo declared, on Saturday, that the index case, Patrick Sawyer, in a “devilish” connivance with some Liberian authorities, intentionally brought the disease to Nigeria. He also noted that the disease, which he said had become a global problem, had been taking a toll on Nigeria’s economy, charging the Federal Government to partner the World Health Organization (WHO), European Union (EU) and government of America in containing the virus. Sunday Tribune’s finding showed that result of a research by a team of American scientists indicates that the initial patients diagnosed with the virus in Sierra Leone revealed almost 400 genetic modifications, concluding that this could render current treatment ineffective and put vaccines that are being worked on for its cure in danger. According to reports, the team of researchers, under the Broad Institute in Massachusetts and Harvard University, analyzed more than 99 Ebola virus genomes which were collected from 78 patients diagnosed with the disease in Sierra Leona in the first 24 days of the current outbreak. Dr Pardis Sabeti, a senior associate member at the Broad Institute and an associate professor at Harvard University, who was among leaders of the research, said “by making the data immediately available to the community, we hope to accelerate response efforts.

“Upon releasing our first batch of Ebola sequences in June, some of the world’s leading epidemic specialists contacted us, and many of them are now also actively working on the data. We were honored and encouraged. A spirit of international and multidisciplinary collaboration is needed to quickly shed light on the ongoing outbreak.” According to Daily Mail, the researchers’ findings, “reported in the journal, Science, could have important implications for rapid field diagnostic tests. “The team found more than 300 genetic changes that make the 2014 Ebola virus genomes distinct from the viral genomes tied to previous Ebola outbreaks. “They also found variations in the genome sequence indicating that, from the samples analyzed, the outbreak started from a single introduction into humans, subsequently spreading from person to person over many months. “To accelerate response efforts, the research team released the full-length sequences on the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI)’s DNA sequence database, in advance of publication. This means the data is available to the global scientific community.”

He advised Nigerians to brace up by tackling the economic effects of the disease in the country’ urging them to be aggressive with precautionary measures against the disease, since there was no cure yet. Obasanjo said that some Liberian authorities knew of the contagious and deadly illness in Sawyer and allowed him to visit Nigeria. “Ebola is taking economic toll. How do we handle people that are economically affected; not those that are dead or ill? The economic effect has started. How do we reduce, recoup the economic cost of Ebola on communities, nations and the West African region? “When HIV came, they said don’t talk about it. Now, it is Ebola and Ebola is even talking about HIV. We should be doing whatever we can and that is being aggressive in taking precautionary measures to prevent it. “So, it is devilish enough that Patrick Sawyer, in connivance with some authorities from his country, allowed the visit because they know he had it; and he came to Nigeria,” he said. He also called on the world’s pharmaceutical giants to intensify research efforts towards providing either vaccine or curative drugs for the virus. –Tribune
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Posted for fair use and discussion. Visit the link to view the graph.
http://news.sciencemag.org/health/2014/08/disease-modelers-project-rapidly-rising-toll-ebola

If spread continues at the current rate, a model by Alessandro Vespignani and colleagues projects close to 10,000 Ebola infections by 24 September. (The shaded area provides the projection's variability range.)

Disease modelers project a rapidly rising toll from Ebola
Kai is a contributing correspondent for Science magazine based in Berlin, Germany.
Email Kai
By
Kai Kupferschmidt
31 August 2014 10:00 am


Alessandro Vespignani hopes that his latest work will turn out to be wrong. In July, the physicist from Northeastern University in Boston started modeling how the deadly Ebola virus may spread in West Africa. Extrapolating existing trends, the number of the sick and dying mounts rapidly from the current toll—more than 3000 cases and 1500 deaths—to around 10,000 cases by September 24, and hundreds of thousands in the months after that. “The numbers are really scary,” he says—although he stresses that the model assumes control efforts aren't stepped up. "We all hope to see this NOT happening," Vespigani writes in an e-mail.

Vespignani is not the only one trying to predict how the unprecedented outbreak will progress. Last week, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimated that the number of cases could ultimately exceed 20,000. And scientists across the world are scrambling to create computer models that accurately describe the spread of the deadly virus. Not all of them look quite as bleak as Vespignani's. But the modelers all agree that current efforts to control the epidemic are not enough to stop the deadly pathogen in its tracks.

Computer models “are incredibly helpful” in curbing an outbreak, says infectious disease researcher Jeremy Farrar, who heads the Wellcome Trust research charity in London. They can help agencies such as WHO predict the medical supplies and personnel they will need—and can indicate which interventions will best stem the outbreak. Mathematical epidemiologist Christian Althaus of the University of Bern, who is also building Ebola models, says both WHO and Samaritan's Purse, a relief organization fighting Ebola, have contacted him to learn about his projections.

But the modelers are hampered by the paucity of data on the current outbreak and lack of knowledge about how Ebola spreads. Funerals of Ebola victims are known to spread the virus, for example—but how many people are infected that way is not known. “Before this we have never had that much Ebola, so the epidemiology was never well developed,” says Ira Longini, a biostatistician at the University of Florida in Gainesville. “We are caught with our pants down.”

To a mathematician, combating any outbreak is at its core a fight to reduce one number: Re, the pathogen’s effective reproductive rate, the number of people that an infected person in turn infects on average. An Re above 1, and the disease spreads. Below 1, an outbreak will stall.

Outbreak models typically assume that there are four groups of people: those who are susceptible, those who have been infected but are not contagious yet, those who are sick and can transmit the virus, and those who have recovered. A model, in essence, describes the rates at which people move from one group to the next. From those, Re can be calculated.

If the disease keeps spreading as it has, most of the modelers Science talked to say WHO’s estimate will turn out to be conservative. “If the epidemic in Liberia were to continue in this way until the 1st of December, the cumulative number of cases would exceed 100,000,” predicts Althaus. Such long-term forecasts are error-prone, he acknowledges. But other modelers aren’t much more encouraging. Caitlin Rivers of the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University in Blacksburg expects roughly 1000 new cases in Liberia in the next 2 weeks and a similar number in Sierra Leone.

Vespignani has analyzed the likelihood that Ebola will spread to other countries. Using data on millions of air travelers and commuters, as well as mobility patterns based on data from censuses and mobile devices, he has built a model of the world, into which he can introduce Ebola and then run hundreds of thousands of simulations. In general, the chance of further spread beyond West Africa is small, Vespignani says, but the risk grows with the scale of the epidemic. Ghana, the United Kingdom, and the United States are among the countries most likely to have an introduced case, according to the model. (Senegal, which reported its first Ebola case last week, was in his top ten countries, too.)

The models are only as good as the data fed to them; up to three-quarters of Ebola cases may go unreported. The modelers are also assuming that key parameters, such as the virus’s incubation time, are the same as in earlier outbreaks. “We might be missing the boat and we have no signal to indicate that,” says Martin Meltzer of the U.S. Centers for Disease Prevention and Control in Atlanta.

The biggest uncertainty is how much doctors, nurses, and others can slow the virus. There are many ways of pushing down Re, Farrar says—washing hands, wearing masks, or quarantining people, for example. “But given the complexity of this outbreak and the limited resources, we need to find out what are the two or three things that will most help drive down infections,” Farrar says, and that’s where models can help. For instance, would following up on all the contacts of every case be more effective than following up on the much smaller number who had a certain type of contact with a case, such as sharing a room?

Rivers is evaluating interventions, such as increased use of protective equipment or campaigns to isolate infected people. In the most optimistic scenario, every contact of infected people is traced, and transmission in hospitals is reduced by 75%. Even that, while drastically reducing the number of Ebola deaths, did not push Re below one.

The challenge varies by country, Althaus says. “In Guinea and Sierra Leone, Re is close to 1 and the outbreak could be stopped if interventions improve a bit.” In Liberia, Re has been near 1.5 the whole time. “That means work is only just beginning there.” But Meltzer says there is no reason to believe the situation is any better in Sierra Leone. “We are not seeing any change in the rate of the accumulation of cases,” he says.

As models get better at differentiating what is happening in places, Rivers says, “you might be able to put firelines around certain communities.” But such measures are very controversial. When Liberia last week barricaded off West Point, a sprawling slum with probably more than 100,000 inhabitants, it drew a largely negative response. “Quarantines and curfews tend to instill fear and distrust towards the whole of the outbreak response including health structures,” a representative for Doctors Without Borders told Science. Paul Seabright, a researcher at the Toulouse School of Economics in France who has studied such measures, says they are an incentive for people to keep it secret if they have had contact with a patient. Liberia’s harsh actions are “the last thing this epidemic needs,” he says.

People in West Africa will have to alter behaviors, Meltzer says. “We won’t stop this outbreak solely by building hospitals. There will have to be a change in the way the community deals with the disease.” Modeling that is easy enough, Vespignani says. “I can decrease the transmission at funerals by 40% easily in a model. That’s one line of code. But in the field that is really hard.”
 

Caplock50

I am the Winter Warrior
Something you really have to wonder about. Last week, the 'big' news was that the virus was spreading and infections and deaths were 'spiking'. Now, this week, the 'big' news is...there is no new news...

Whazzup with that?
 

Futira

Contributing Member
Something you really have to wonder about. Last week, the 'big' news was that the virus was spreading and infections and deaths were 'spiking'. Now, this week, the 'big' news is...there is no new news...

Whazzup with that?

Also,they have quit reporting on suspected cases in the US. A few weeks ago there were 68 cases. Were any positive for ebola? You know there are many more suspected cases with all of the Africans coming to the US to go to school.
 

Be Well

may all be well
Quick overview here. Niman at Rhiza Labs Forum is keeping track of resolved cases. This doesn't include the currently sick people. Stands at 76% for the West Africa outbreak.

The 50-50 number so lovingly stated in endless media reports assumes that everyone who is sick today will recover fully. This is just more fudging. That's what they do.

http://fluboard.rhizalabs.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=12188&start=1

Also the number who survive with supportive medical care is absolutely better odds than those who are sick without such care.
 
Posted at the PFI Forum.

Abuja, Nigeria:

Suspected Ebola Patient Dies In FCT

01 Sep 2014
http://www.thisdaylive.com/articles/suspected-ebola-patient-dies-in-fct/187925/?

The Federal Capital Territory Administration (FCTA) has announced that a patient suspected to have Ebola-like symptoms has died, days before his test results could be confirmed.

This was disclosed in a statement signed Monday by the Head, Public Relations Unit, Health and Human Services Secretariat (HHSS) of FCTA, Mr. Badaru Yakassai

According to Yakassai, the Family Medicine unit of Asokoro District hospital suspected Ebola disease in a patient on admission at the Accident and Emergency unit on August 28, 2014 and immediately isolated the patient.

He noted that strict infection control measures were immediately instituted.

He said: "Blood sample was then taken to the designated FCT Ebola testing laboratory which happens to be within the Hospital premises.

"The epidemiology unit of Public Health Department of the HHSS was notified and their response was immediate. The results of the Ebola testing was being expected from the Laboratory four days later, on Monday, September 1, 2014".

"The case also served as a drill case to test the preparedness of the Hospital to manage and contain Ebola disease. Clinical assessment however did not reveal any history of contact or travel", added.

Details to follow

MY COMMENT:

If this case turns out to be New Ebola, it will be the first of its kind with no known "contact or travel" which would mean that New Ebola is deeply embedding now in Nigeria.
 

Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
Two questions. First, has anyone seen a synopsis of typical progression of expressed symptoms starting on the first day that symptoms first appear? For example "Day one, mild nausea and no fever. Day two, low grade fever and increased nausea. Etc. . . ."

Second, Is there any new information on the typical asymptomatic incubation period (is it really 2 to 21 days, or is this new strain usually 21 days), and when do they suspect it becomes infectious?

I posted this on the last thread 8/16-8/31 http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...WEEK-OF-8-16-14-8-31-14&p=5320151#post5320151

It desribes her symptoms, progression, etc., but I suspect it varies per person.

As far as the number of days, early on, I saw a couple of things that said this strain (the first new ebola) could be as long as 25-30 days for symptoms to appear, but most appear within the 2-21 day window; but I never found the two items when I went back to look for them so I could post the info. Maybe I imagined it.
 

Caplock50

I am the Winter Warrior
""As far as the number of days, early on, I saw a couple of things that said this strain (the first new ebola) could be as long as 25-30 days for symptoms to appear, but most appear within the 2-21 day window; but I never found the two items when I went back to look for them so I could post the info. Maybe I imagined it. ""

Nope, you didn't imagine it. Let me see what I can come up with regarding those articles...
 

ainitfunny

Saved, to glorify God.
Thanks SheWolf for the twitter link!
I will post what notable things I come across there, like this:
Liberian's President orders Civil Servant in the country to stay at home another month to fight spread of #Ebola.
1:55pm - 1 Sep 14

Can you imagine if American government employees we given a two month holiday, while the citizens were just left to swing in the wind waiting for their interests and needs to be met? Those private sector workers who ARE NOT living off the taxpayer and MUST SHOW UP FOR WORK or lose their income totally have a harder path and few options, especially if below survival minimum wage has closed the chance to accumulate and emergency savings for such disasters.

CDC recommends cancelling or postponing education-related travel to countries affected by #Ebola. More for students: go.usa.gov/y2Zz
11:30am - 1 Sep 14
 
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Milk-maid

Girls with Guns Member

ainitfunny

Saved, to glorify God.
THIS IS THE CANARY in the mine DYING!
Sudan bans reporting on Ebola
http://en.starafrica.com/news/sudan-bans-reporting-on-ebola.html
Posted by: APA Posted date : August 31, 2014 at 11:36 am UTC 732 views In: Africa
The Sudanese authorities have prohibited local media from covering any news related to the Ebola virus.Press sources who asked not to be mentioned for security reasons confirmed to APA on Saturday that the security authorities have circulated warning to all media outlets not to publish any news or articles related to the transmission of the Ebola virus in Sudan.

The prohibition came after local media reported on some suspected cases of Ebola in the west of Sudan.

The Minister of Health Affairs for the Darfur Regional Authority, Firdos Abdel Rahman Yousif denied reports of the deadly Ebola virus disease in El Geneina, capital of West Darfur State.

The Sudan News Agency quoted the minister as saying the suspected case had come from Abeche in Chad.

The patient suffered from hemorrhagic fever, began taking treatment from the health center, and was then transferred to a hospital in El Geneina, she claimed.

The Ebola epidemic has killed over 1, 400 people in Guinea, Liberia, Sierra Leone and Nigeria since its outbreak in West Africa in February.

Over 2, 500 people are infected by the virus in the region according to the World Health Organization.

Signature : APA
 

Reborn

Seeking Aslan's Country
As Ebola spreads, World Bank president condemns West's inaction
September 1, 2014

http://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/...Bank-president-condemns-Wests-inaction-374158

DAKAR/LAGOS - The world's "disastrously inadequate response" to West Africa's Ebola outbreak means many people are dying needlessly, the head of the World Bank said on Monday, as Nigeria confirmed another case of the virus.

In a newspaper editorial, World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said Western healthcare facilities would easily be able to contain the disease, and urged wealthy nations to share the knowledge and resources to help African countries tackle it.

"The crisis we are watching unfold derives less from the virus itself and more from deadly and misinformed biases that have led to a disastrously inadequate response to the outbreak," Kim wrote in the Washington Post.

"Many are dying needlessly," read the editorial, co-written by Harvard University professor Paul Farmer, with whom Kim founded Partners In Health, a charity that works for better healthcare in poorer countries.

In a vivid sign of the danger posed by inadequate health provision, a man escaped from an Ebola quarantine centre in Monrovia on Monday and sent people fleeing in fear as he walked through a market in search of food, a Reuters witness said.

The patient, who wore a tag showing he had tested positive for Ebola, held a stick and threw stones at a doctor from the center in the Paynesville neighborhood who stood at a distance and tried to persuade him to give himself up.

At one point, he stumbled and fell, apparently weakened by illness. Healthcare workers wearing protective clothing forced him into a medical vehicle and returned him to the facility.

"We told the Liberian government from the beginning that we do not want an Ebola camp here. Today makes it the fifth Ebola patient coming outside vomiting," said a man who watched the scene. Another witness said patients at the treatment center did not receive enough food.

Ebola can only be transmitted by contact with the bodily fluids of a sick person, but rigorous measures are required for its containment. There is no proven cure, though work on experimental vaccines has been accelerated.

More than 1,500 people have been killed in West Africa in the worst outbreak since the disease was discovered in 1976 near the Ebola River in what is now Democratic Republic of Congo. More than 3,000 people, mostly in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia, have been infected.

Poor healthcare provision has exacerbated the challenge. Liberia had just 50 doctors for its 4.3 million people before the outbreak, and many medical workers have died of Ebola.

Shortages of basic goods, foodstuffs and medical equipment have been worsened by a decision by some airlines to stop flying to the worst hit countries. Several neighbouring states have closed their borders and many international organizations have pulled out their foreign staff.

The World Health Organization said last week that casualty figures may be up to four times higher than reported, and that up to 20,000 people may be affected before the outbreak ends. It launched a $490 million plan to contain the epidemic.

Kim and Farmer said that, if international organizations and wealthy nations mounted a coordinated response with West African nations using the WHO plan, the fatality rate could drop to below 20 percent - from 50 percent now.

"We are at a dangerous moment," they wrote. "Tens of thousands of lives, the future of the region and hard-won economic and health gains for millions hang in the balance."

Nigeria confirmed a third case of Ebola on Monday in the oil hub of Port Harcourt, bringing the total of confirmed infections nationwide to 17, with around 270 people under surveillance.

A doctor in Port Harcourt died last week after treating a contact of the Liberian-American man who was the first recorded case of the virus in Africa's most populous country. That raised alarm that Ebola, which looked on the verge of being contained in the commercial capital, Lagos, may flare up elsewhere.

Senegal, a transport hub and center for aid agencies, became the fifth African nation to confirm a case of Ebola on Friday, a 21-year-old Guinean student who had evaded surveillance in his homeland and arrived in Dakar.

"People should know that, if it were not for this boy's state of health, he would be before the courts," President Macky Sall told state television. "You cannot be a carrier of sickness and take it to other countries."

Some shops in the bustling Senegalese capital ran out of hand sanitizer on Monday as concerned residents stocked up.

The house and shop owned by the student's relatives in the densely populated Dakar neighbourhood of Parcelles Assainies was disinfected by health teams. Authorities placed 20 people who had come into contact with the student under surveillance and were giving them twice-daily health checks.
 

LightEcho

Has No Life - Lives on TB
20,000 is not a good number for estimating the deaths from this outbreak. It will be more like 100 times that. And if that many, then it could be 1,000 times that 20,000.
 

meandk0610

Veteran Member
As Ebola spreads, World Bank president condemns West's inaction
September 1, 2014

http://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/...Bank-president-condemns-Wests-inaction-374158

DAKAR/LAGOS - The world's "disastrously inadequate response" to West Africa's Ebola outbreak means many people are dying needlessly, the head of the World Bank said on Monday, as Nigeria confirmed another case of the virus.

In a newspaper editorial, World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said Western healthcare facilities would easily be able to contain the disease, and urged wealthy nations to share the knowledge and resources to help African countries tackle it.

"The crisis we are watching unfold derives less from the virus itself and more from deadly and misinformed biases that have led to a disastrously inadequate response to the outbreak," Kim wrote in the Washington Post.

"Many are dying needlessly," read the editorial, co-written by Harvard University professor Paul Farmer, with whom Kim founded Partners In Health, a charity that works for better healthcare in poorer countries.

In a vivid sign of the danger posed by inadequate health provision, a man escaped from an Ebola quarantine centre in Monrovia on Monday and sent people fleeing in fear as he walked through a market in search of food, a Reuters witness said.

The patient, who wore a tag showing he had tested positive for Ebola, held a stick and threw stones at a doctor from the center in the Paynesville neighborhood who stood at a distance and tried to persuade him to give himself up.

At one point, he stumbled and fell, apparently weakened by illness. Healthcare workers wearing protective clothing forced him into a medical vehicle and returned him to the facility.

"We told the Liberian government from the beginning that we do not want an Ebola camp here. Today makes it the fifth Ebola patient coming outside vomiting," said a man who watched the scene. Another witness said patients at the treatment center did not receive enough food.

Ebola can only be transmitted by contact with the bodily fluids of a sick person, but rigorous measures are required for its containment. There is no proven cure, though work on experimental vaccines has been accelerated.

More than 1,500 people have been killed in West Africa in the worst outbreak since the disease was discovered in 1976 near the Ebola River in what is now Democratic Republic of Congo. More than 3,000 people, mostly in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Liberia, have been infected.

Poor healthcare provision has exacerbated the challenge. Liberia had just 50 doctors for its 4.3 million people before the outbreak, and many medical workers have died of Ebola.

Shortages of basic goods, foodstuffs and medical equipment have been worsened by a decision by some airlines to stop flying to the worst hit countries. Several neighbouring states have closed their borders and many international organizations have pulled out their foreign staff.

The World Health Organization said last week that casualty figures may be up to four times higher than reported, and that up to 20,000 people may be affected before the outbreak ends. It launched a $490 million plan to contain the epidemic.

Kim and Farmer said that, if international organizations and wealthy nations mounted a coordinated response with West African nations using the WHO plan, the fatality rate could drop to below 20 percent - from 50 percent now.

"We are at a dangerous moment," they wrote. "Tens of thousands of lives, the future of the region and hard-won economic and health gains for millions hang in the balance."

Nigeria confirmed a third case of Ebola on Monday in the oil hub of Port Harcourt, bringing the total of confirmed infections nationwide to 17, with around 270 people under surveillance.

A doctor in Port Harcourt died last week after treating a contact of the Liberian-American man who was the first recorded case of the virus in Africa's most populous country. That raised alarm that Ebola, which looked on the verge of being contained in the commercial capital, Lagos, may flare up elsewhere.

Senegal, a transport hub and center for aid agencies, became the fifth African nation to confirm a case of Ebola on Friday, a 21-year-old Guinean student who had evaded surveillance in his homeland and arrived in Dakar.

"People should know that, if it were not for this boy's state of health, he would be before the courts," President Macky Sall told state television. "You cannot be a carrier of sickness and take it to other countries."

Some shops in the bustling Senegalese capital ran out of hand sanitizer on Monday as concerned residents stocked up.

The house and shop owned by the student's relatives in the densely populated Dakar neighbourhood of Parcelles Assainies was disinfected by health teams. Authorities placed 20 people who had come into contact with the student under surveillance and were giving them twice-daily health checks.

Has South Korea sent a team to help? Did he join them? It would be great if the medical world were ready for something like this, with lots of equipment prepped and ready to be moved, lots of doctors and nurses trained in how to deal with a Level 4 disease, and lots of people willing to put their own lives on hold and risk dieing so that they could help out. I can understand the lack of people. I can understand also that when roads need repair, budgets need to be justified, and bridges to nowhere have to be built, preparing for something as devastating as a global pandemic can seem so remote that it's not worth worrying about. Or maybe just too scary to even consider... Who wants to think about the possibility that everyone they know could be gone in the space of a month (90% fatality) and that the modern world would potentially be thrown back to the stone age due to not having either the numbers of people required to do certain jobs or no longer having anyone alive who knows how to do the things that sustain our civilization (e.g. work the power grid, make clean water, extract petroleum and turn it into gasoline/diesel, etc)? It's sad and illogical, but completely understandable.
 
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Caplock50

I am the Winter Warrior
I posted this on the last thread 8/16-8/31 http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/show...WEEK-OF-8-16-14-8-31-14&p=5320151#post5320151

It desribes her symptoms, progression, etc., but I suspect it varies per person.

As far as the number of days, early on, I saw a couple of things that said this strain (the first new ebola) could be as long as 25-30 days for symptoms to appear, but most appear within the 2-21 day window; but I never found the two items when I went back to look for them so I could post the info. Maybe I imagined it.


Here's what I've found so far...

A nurse has tested positive for Ebola infection in Lagos today, increasing the number of Ebola cases to 13 according to anonymous government sources.

The infected, whose name was given simply as “Nkechi”, had been under quarantine in Lagos. Doctors monitoring her said she initially tested negative and had been cleared to leave the center, but suddenly developed high temperatures that led to new tests which showed that she in fact had the virus.

The sudden discovery of her case caused a stir within the center as to the veracity of tested cases, and the safety of those cleared to leave the quarantine center by doctors at the center.

PIXIE COMMENTS:

Here's the thing.

Was this nurse one of those who initially treated Patrick Sawyer? He had contact with medical staff who were not aware he had the New Ebola from July 20 to sometime on July 22.

It's been 29 days since July 22. That's beyond the expected 21 day latency period. The nurse, if she had indeed taken care of Sawyer when no one knew he had Ebola, should have converted from negative to positive by August 11 -- a week ago -- because that would have been the extent of the 21 day window.

If this is true, this is bad because suddenly the expected isolation timeframe of 21 days has been called into question. If people can still convert from negative to positive on day 29, then yes there are people who they have assumed must be negative who've been released from quarantine back into the community. An additional problem is that, if this is true, exposed individuals will have to be quarantined for…..well for how long, exactly? For 29 days? A month? Is that sufficient? Of can someone convert even after the 29 period? We don't know a lot for certain - it's a new Ebola strain.
 

Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
Thanks for the links and info Cappy and Milk-maid, the two articles/sites I saw the info on were scientific/research/health (similar to the nhlm one MM posted), but it wasn't that particular article.

But, it does seem that I didn't imagine it.
 
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