CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oGUCBpbqbk8
16:52 min
At-Home COVID-19 Deaths Rise In Houston, Many Not Counted In Coronavirus Death Toll | NBC News NOW

•Jul 8, 2020


NBC News

NBC News’ Mike Hixenbaugh breaks down data from the Houston fire department that shows an increasing number of people are dying from the coronavirus in their home before paramedics can get to them. Many of these deaths are not counted in the COVID-19 death toll.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JV-OJ4h94Os
8:57 min
Study identifies risk factors for COVID-19 deaths as PPE runs short again
•Jul 9, 2020


CBS News

As coronavirus cases continue to surge across much of the U.S., health care workers are once again facing shortages of emergency protective gear. Dr. Uché Blackstock joined CBSN to discuss that, plus a new U.K. study that confirms race, ethnicity, age and gender can raise a patient’s chances of dying from the disease.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Dz3YM32neE
4:23 min
When COVID-19 cut off supplies to a remote Alaska town, a hometown hero stepped up
•Jul 9, 2020


CBS This Morning

When a remote Alaska town's ferry shut down due to COVID-19 concerns, Toshua Parker, owner of the town's only grocery store, stepped up to transport supplies. He makes a 14-hour trip weekly. Parker doesn't hike up prices in his store, despite the extra costs to him. Dana Jacobson reports on this story of neighbors looking after neighbors during the pandemic.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dbgX7CNkTdE
26:03 min
Coronavirus in the USA: Trump's Downfall? | To the point
•Jul 9, 2020


DW News Germany

A superpower laid low by the coronavirus: Infections in the USA continue to rise and the economy is on life support. Will the pandemic cost President Trump the election? Guests: Soraya Sarhaddi Nelson (KCRW Radio Berlin), Matthew Karnitschnig (Politico), Daniel Hamilton (Johns Hopkins University)

Daniel Hamilton is a professor for Poltical Science at Johns Hopkins University. Currently he is a Robert Bosch-Fellow in Berlin. He says: "Pandemic, recession, systemic racism -- all made worse by Donald Trump. It's a combustible brew."

Matthew Karnitschnig is chief Europe correspondent for „Politico“. His view: „The pandemic is Trump’s Waterloo. The main question now is not if he will lose, but rather by how much.”

Soraya Sarhaddi Nelson is program director at KCRW, a Radio station based here in Berlin and affiliated with the US broadcaster NPR. And she says: „Donald Trump’s performance regarding COVID-19 may not matter, because recessions lead to reelection losers.“
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XViDB-LWi0c
4:21 min
White House names coronavirus "red zones," encourages them to scale back reopening
•Jul 9, 2020


CBS This Morning

Dr. Deborah Birx of the White House Coronavirus Task Force is urging some high-risk states to continue their rollbacks, even returning to Phase One in some cases. Meanwhile, several of those high-risk states continue to see their outbreaks accelerate. David Begnaud reports.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6zt8HowMbE
1:46 min
California sees record amount of new coronavirus cases
•Jul 8, 2020


CBS Evening News

The rising number of coronavirus cases is taking a toll on hospitals across the country. Arizona is down to the lowest number of available ICU beds since the crisis began, and medical workers in California are sounding the alarm about a shortage of personal protective equipment. Carter Evans reports.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ac1H8eqXWk0
7:02 min
The Ivy League cancels fall sports due to the coronavirus pandemic | Get Up
•Jul 9, 2020


ESPN

Paul Finebaum, Domonique Foxworth and Rece Davis join Mike Greenberg on Get Up to discuss the Ivy League's decision to cancel all fall sports due to the coronavirus pandemic and weigh in on how this could impact college football.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-gwLi_bY2o
6:15 min
CDC director speaks out about schools reopening l GMA
•Jul 9, 2020


Good Morning America


Dr. Robert Redfield reacts to criticisms from President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence on his agency’s guidelines for reopening schools amid COVID-19.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYaEEQ5k4hI
2:19 min
CDC won’t change school reopening guidelines
•Jul 9, 2020


Reuters

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention director said his agency will not revise its guidelines for reopening schools despite calls from U.S. President Donald Trump, instead his agency will provide 'additional reference documents' to aid communities.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=05O-f5JHKP0
1:02:09 min
Reopening America: Return to the Workplace Safely with Total Worker Health® Strategies
•Jul 8, 2020

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
The NIOSH Total Worker Health® Program is pleased to present strategies and recommendations for returning to work safely as organizations meet the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic. The speakers discuss how businesses in other sectors can apply NIOSH guidance. The webinar also covers Total Worker Health strategies, which are important as workplaces take steps to reopen and resume operations with the health and well-being of their workers and customers as a top priority.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a-HWoHVnMw0
1:53 min
Stay Safe At Summer Camp
•Jul 1, 2020


Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

Campers, get ready to stop COVID-19 in its tracks! Here are some tips on how to stay safe at summer camp.
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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QeMptESoB8
2:36 min
Stay Safe at Aquatic Venues
•Jul 1, 2020


Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
Looking to make a splash this summer? Here are some tips to help prevent the spread of COVID-19 for those who operate public pools, hot tubs, or water playgrounds
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JtBid-Y-JvA
.58 min
Antibody Test for COVID-19
•Jul 8, 2020


Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

Two kinds of tests are available for COVID-19: viral tests and antibody tests. An antibody test may tell you if you had a past infection with the virus that causes COVID-19. Whether you test positive or negative, always take steps to protect yourself and others.


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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gff4GkGvW-Q
1:00 min
Viral Test for COVID-19
•Jul 8, 2020


Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
Two kinds of tests are available for COVID-19: viral tests and antibody tests. A viral test may tell you if you have a current infection with the virus that causes COVID-19. Whether you test positive or negative, always take steps to protect yourself and others.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XoVFuGxlV5g
58:52 min
CDC COVID-19 Partner Update: What You Need to Know about Cloth Face Coverings
•Jul 8, 2020


Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)

Dr. Brooks provided a brief update on the COVID response at CDC, and some of the latest scientific developments and guidance. Dr. Michael Bell reviewed CDC's latest considerations for wearing cloth face coverings and understanding the importance of cloth face coverings and wearing them properly.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BVIiiiZKZfM
7:55 min

Second Stimulus Check Update and Stimulus Package Thursday July 9th
•Jul 9, 2020


ClearValue Tax

This is your Second Stimulus Check update and stimulus check 2 update as of Wednesday, July 8th. We cover the second stimulus check, the stimulus update, and also the next stimulus package. The stimulus package that passed under the Trump Administration earlier in March of 2020 was the HEROES Act. We discuss the stimulus check, the second stimulus check, stimulus unemployment, the SBA PPP Loan, the EIDL loan, the forgivable loan, and the upcoming stimulus package. We hope you enjoy this second stimulus check update.

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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pFfnfkhV9Zo
5:48 min
Economic data suggests V-shaped recovery: White House advisor Larry Kudlow
•Jul 8, 2020


CNBC Television


National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow told CNBC's "Squawk Box" on Wednesday he expects the U.S. economy to make a V-shaped recovery following the crisis. He also said another economic shutdown in order to slow the spread of coronavirus would do more harm than good.

President Donald Trump’s chief economic advisor, Larry Kudlow, said Wednesday he doesn’t believe the administration is underplaying the threat the coronavirus poses to everyday Americans.“No one’s denied we’ve had a huge jump in cases in certain hot spots. Particularly, it looks like the virus migrated south and then west, so you’re seeing difficult stories on the cases in Florida, I guess a bit in Georgia. Huge in Texas, Arizona, Southern California. I don’t know anybody that’s downplayed that,” Kudlow, who serves as Trump’s Director of the National Economic Council, said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” from the White House.

He told CNBC on June 22 that “there is no second wave” of coronavirus cases coming and that reports of accelerating infections at the time were “just hot spots.” The U.S. has confirmed more than 680,000 new cases since then, a jump of 29.6%. Kudlow also said Wednesday that despite uncertainty, current data suggests a robust, V-shaped economic recovery: “One cannot rule out: There’s a lot of scenarios here. We really don’t have any real experience in econometrics modeling for this type of things. Because so much is generated by the virus. At the moment, we’ve created 8 million new jobs the last couple of months. ... Virtually every piece of data shows a V-shaped recovery.”
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Hummm......

Posted for fair use.....

Science News
July 7, 2020 / 4:05 PM / a day ago
Scientists warn of potential wave of COVID-linked brain damage

Kate Kelland
3 Min Read

LONDON (Reuters) - Scientists warned on Wednesday of a potential wave of coronavirus-related brain damage as new evidence suggested COVID-19 can lead to severe neurological complications, including inflammation, psychosis and delirium.

A study by researchers at University College London (UCL)described 43 cases of patients with COVID-19 who suffered either temporary brain dysfunction, strokes, nerve damage or other serious brain effects.

The research adds to recent studies which also found the disease can damage the brain.
“Whether we will see an epidemic on a large scale of brain damage linked to the pandemic – perhaps similar to the encephalitis lethargica outbreak in the 1920s and 1930s after the 1918 influenza pandemic – remains to be seen,” said Michael Zandi, from UCL’s Institute of Neurology, who co-led the study.

COVID-19, the disease caused by the new coronavirus, is largely a respiratory illness that affects the lungs, but neuroscientists and specialist brain doctors say emerging evidence of its impact on the brain is concerning.

“My worry is that we have millions of people with COVID-19 now. And if in a year’s time we have 10 million recovered people, and those people have cognitive deficits ... then that’s going to affect their ability to work and their ability to go about activities of daily living,” Adrian Owen, a neuroscientist at Western University in Canada, told Reuters in an interview.

In the UCL study, published in the journal Brain, nine patients who had brain inflammation were diagnosed with a rare condition called acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) which is more usually seen in children and can be triggered by viral infections.

The team said it would normally see about one adult patient with ADEM per month at their specialist London clinic, but this had risen to at least one a week during the study period, something they described as “a concerning increase”.

“Given that the disease has only been around for a matter of months, we might not yet know what long-term damage COVID-19 can cause,” said Ross Paterson, who co-led the study. “Doctors need to be aware of possible neurological effects, as early diagnosis can improve patient outcomes.”

Owen said the emerging evidence underlined the need for large, detailed studies and global data collection to assess how common such neurological and psychiatric complications were.

He is running a international research project at covidbrainstudy.com where patients can sign up to complete a series of cognitive tests to see whether their brain functions have altered since getting COVID-19.

“This disease is affecting an enormous number of people,” Owen said. “That’s why it’s so important to collect this information now.”

Reporting by Kate Kelland; Editing by Alison Williams
 

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap
On CNN's homepage right now:

America's reopening derailed
MIAMI BEACH, FLORIDA - JULY 03: People walk past restaurants on Ocean Drive on July 03, 2020 in the South Beach neighborhood of Miami Beach, Florida. In order to prevent the spread of COVID-19, Miami-Dade county has closed beaches from July 3-7 and imposed a curfew from from 10pm to 6am. (Photo by Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images)

An uncontrollable surge in Covid-19 cases has experts urging states to pause reopening plans. Here's how things went off track.

Link goes to:

Americans made 'tremendous sacrifices.' The great reopening of the pandemic summer still got derailed
By Ray Sanchez, CNN

Updated 7:08 PM ET, Thu July 9, 2020

(CNN)The sprawling Camp Ozark in Mount Ida, Arkansas, was shuttered after an undisclosed number of campers and a counselor contracted the coronavirus.

Harvard University students will take courses online, even those living on campus.

In Florida, nearly 50 hospitals on Thursday had intensive care units at full capacity.

The big US reopening of the pandemic summer, it turns out, has gone way off track.

"Basically, we're seeing what happened in New York back in March, except it's happening in multiple metropolitan areas of the country," said Dr. Leana Wen, an emergency physician and public health professor at George Washington University.
"And we don't have the political will and the public willingness to impose the shutdowns as we did back in March."

There were consequences to reopening so soon

The first reported case of Covid-19 in the US was on January 21. By late April, more than one million Americans were infected. At the time, states like Florida were already outlining reopening plans even as New York, an early epicenter, had counted more than 22,000 deaths and 300,000 cases.

A couple of weeks into June, there were two million cases. On Wednesday, less than a month later, the country topped three million cases of the novel coronavirus. This was one day after reporting the highest single day tally so far with 60,000.
More than 90% of the US population was under stay-at-home orders.

in the early spring as the sheer number of cases brought the healthcare system in some states to the brink.
Still, the Trump administration was eager to get the economy restarted. Protests against shelter-in-place orders erupted from Washington state to western New York. In late May, many states began lifting restrictions despite warnings that expanded testing and contact tracing and better treatment options were needed.

Dr. Anthony Fauci, the nation's leading infectious disease expert, said "divisiveness" and partisanship across the country has contributed to a failure to halt the uncontrollable surge in cases.

"From experience historically ... when you don't have unanimity in an approach to something, you're not as effective in how you handle it," he said Thursday on FiveThirtyEight's weekly Podcast-19.

He added, "When you compare us to other countries, I don't think you can say we're doing great. I mean, we're just not."
Wen said most of the country is now living the consequences of reopening too soon -- and of a failure to have an adequate national coronavirus strategy in place.

"The American people have made tremendous sacrifices to get us to where we are," said Wen, Baltimore's former health commissioner.

"Tens of millions of people have lost their jobs. Kids were out of school and lost valuable time and unfortunately we are in this position where it appears that we have squandered the time that these sacrifices were supposed to buy us."

Continued here:

 

Binkerthebear

Veteran Member
Not high risk’: Bubonic plague outbreak in China is ‘well managed’ – WHO
Humh. I’m thinking “high risk” and “not well managed.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhyEBIpaIaM
50:08 min
Yes, You Can Get Covid-19 Twice
•Premiered 4 hours ago

Peak Prosperity

As we covered in a recent video, herd immunity is getting to look like a more elusive goal than originally hoped. In fact, we are now seeing convincing evidence of people contracting covid-19 more than once. If indeed the case, that suggests we may never be able to reach herd immunity. In today's video, Chris talks with the spouse of a patient still recovering from a second case of covid-19. Hearing of this family's harrowing experience with the virus gives a very personal proof that this virus is not "just the flu". It's time we start emotionally preparing for the potential that we may be living with covid-19...forever.

LINKS FROM THIS VIDEO: Getting it twice is now ‘a thing’ https://nypost.com/2020/06/25/wwe-ann... Yes, it’s a thing https://www.cnn.com/videos/health/202... Don’t know much yet about SARS2 immunity https://www.nature.com/articles/d4158... Common Colds https://www.lung.org/lung-health-dise... Implications – no herd immunity https://news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-he... About those neurological disorders https://www.theguardian.com/world/202...
9K views
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NQ0FaaJ73xc
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FGHsgkj97XE
30:20 min
China fireworks factory explodes; Village buried by mud; CCP-backed firms get millions US virus aid
•Premiered 2 hours ago


China in Focus - NTD


A Chinese city in the south-west was rocked by powerful blasts. This, after a fireworks factory exploded. Videos show the devastation.

Millions of federal dollars were given to companies with links to the Chinese regime. They were meant for American-owned small businesses to help keep their workers.

With a future in the U.S. market in jeopardy, some Chinese listed companies are looking to Hong Kong as an option. But one expert says the region’s core values could be shocked as a result.

The Chinese are losing trust in China's Red Cross. A Chinese NGO founder said unlike the Red Cross in other countries, the one in China is state-controlled and is used to cover for the regime - it gives out the communist party approved narrative on humanitarian disasters.

And on the fifth anniversary of China’s sweeping crackdown on human rights lawyers, the last lawyer to be released is calling for justice.

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NbEHsgE634A
2:06 min
82 COVID-19 Cases Confirmed at Missouri Summer Camp
•Jul 9, 2020


Inside Edition

A coronavirus outbreak at a Missouri sleep-away camp has forced it to shut down. Eighty-two campers and counselors at Kamp Kanukuk tested positive for COVID-19. The Christian camp near Branson, sent parents an email urging them and their children to quarantine for 14 days. Health officials in Tulsa, Oklahoma are blaming a surge in COVID-19 cases in part on President Trump’s June 20 rally and the protests surrounding it. Trump is preparing for his next big rally, in New Hampshire, this weekend.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GD71ZElw5Go
2:14 min
Dr. Anthony Fauci Calls COVID-19 A Public Health Official’s ‘Worst Nightmare’ | NBC News NOW
•Jul 9, 2020


NBC News

The nations leading infectious disease doctor Dr. Anthony Fauci, called COVID-19 a public health official’s “worst nightmare.” Fauci criticized state’s reopening plans and said, “We went from shutting down to opening up in a way that essentially skipped over all the guide posts.”
 

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

Research is coalescing around the idea that coronavirus antibodies may last just a few months
Aylin Woodward (Business Insider)
July 9, 2020

  • We don't know how long coronavirus antibodies last.
  • Recent research from Spain suggests they may disappear in some patients in a matter of weeks.
  • Other studies suggest antibodies last a few months.
Among the many lingering questions about the coronavirus, one of the most crucial is: How long do antibodies last?

With some diseases, like measles and hepatitis A, infection is a one-and-done deal. Once you get sick and recover, you're immune for life.

"For human coronaviruses, that's not the case," Florian Krammer, a vaccinologist at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, told Business Insider. "You can get repeatedly infected once your immunity goes down."

Increasingly, research is starting to coalesce around an unfortunate picture of COVID-19 immunity: People who develop antibodies might not keep them for very long.

Last month, a study showed that antibodies may last only two to three months. Then research published Monday suggested that antibodies could last only three to five weeks in some patients.

Such findings have implications for vaccine development, since the efficacy of a vaccine hinges on the idea that a dose of weakened or dead virus can prompt your body to generate antibodies that protect you from future infection. If those antibodies are fleeting, a vaccine's protection would be fleeting too.

Short-lived antibodies also diminish hopes of achieving widespread or permanent herd immunity.

In April, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, hypothesized that people who were recovering from COVID-19 at that time would likely be immune into the fall.

"If we get infected in February and March and recover, next September, October, that person who's infected — I believe — is going to be protected," Fauci said.

But the evidence from the June study suggests the time frame might be shorter.

The researchers tested for antibodies in 37 people who had fallen ill and recovered in Wanzhou, China. They also tested 37 others who had tested positive for the virus but never showed symptoms. About eight weeks after recovery, antibodies dropped to undetectable levels in 40% of the asymptomatic people and in 13% of those who had symptoms.

The most recent research on this topic, however — published this week in The Lancet — suggests that one in five people studied lost detectable levels of antibodies within five weeks.

The study tested 60,000 people in Spain for antibodies three times between April and June. About 7% of the participants who had antibodies during the first phase of the study (April 27 to May 11) no longer had them in the second phase (May 18 to June 1), according to CNN. About 14% of participants who had antibodies during the first stage no longer had them by the third phase (June 8 to 22).

Loss of immunity was most common among people who never developed symptoms, Reuters reported.

"Immunity can be incomplete. It can be transitory. It can last for just a short time and then disappear," Raquel Yotti, one of the study's coauthors, said during a news conference.

But Krammer said he was skeptical of the findings.

"It's physically not possible for antibodies to disappear in a matter of weeks," he said.

Krammer said the half-life for immunoglobulin (IgG), the most common antibody found in our blood, is one to three weeks. That's how long it takes for the number of those protective proteins to decrease by half.

"Within weeks, the amount of antibodies you have will be cut in half, not gone," he said.

We don't know what level of antibodies protects us from infection

The problem with studying how long antibodies last is that it's still unclear what level one needs to be considered immune in the first place.

"We do not know how much protection the antibodies may provide or how long this protection may last," the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said.

With many better-studied viruses like measles, Krammer said, "you know how many antibodies you need to be protected."

But we don't have a specific number for the coronavirus.

Identifying that threshold could be "extremely helpful for vaccine development," Krammer said — that way, researchers conducting trials would know whether their formula is going to work.
But even if antibodies disappear, that doesn't mean a vaccine is useless

The point of an effective vaccine is to produce antibodies in enough people to build up herd immunity within the population. To put the coronavirus in decline, at least 50% of the population would have to be immune, perhaps far more.

But it's not a deal breaker if people become susceptible to reinfection sometime after the initial shot, Krammer said.

"This happens for a lot of vaccines," he said. "It's not a problem. You can get revaccinated."

That's what booster shots are for. The question, however, is whether follow-up shots will be needed on the scale of months or years.

Your immunity to the virus isn't solely tied to antibodies

There's one other reason that the findings about antibody levels dropping shouldn't cause excessive concern: Your immunity doesn't just depend on these proteins.

White blood cells also have an impressive immunological memory that can help your body identify and attack the invading virus should it ever return. T cells can destroy infected cells, and B cells work to produce new antibodies.

"If you're reinfected after some time, it would be an attenuated disease. It will be not as severe as the first time because your B and T cells remember the virus and react quickly," Krammer said.

Some research has even shown that not everyone who gets sick develops detectable antibodies, which suggests their response to the virus could be tied up in a different layer of the immune system.

But neither recent study of antibodies — in China or Spain — tested participants to see how many T cells and B cells they developed.

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

Houston is starting to look like New York City before the peak of its COVID-19 crisis
Peter Weber
July 9, 2020

Texas reported a record 98 confirmed COVID-19 deaths on Wednesday and 9,979 new cases, just shy of Tuesday's record 10,028 cases. Austin is turning its convention center, more famous for hosting South by Southwest, into a field hospital. In Houston, hospitals took in 3,851 coronavirus patients on Tuesday, and a growing number of people are dying at home before the paramedics even arrive, ProPublica and NBC News reported Wednesday, citing Houston Fire Department data.

"The uptick in the number of people dying before they can even reach a hospital in Houston draws parallels to what happened in New York City in March and April," ProPublica and NBC News report. "These increases also echo those reported during outbreaks in Detroit and Boston, when the number of people dying at home jumped as coronavirus cases surged."

"In Houston, doctors who knew the situation in New York are saying that what's happening there looks like what happened in New York in early April," New York Times science reporter Donald MacNeil said on The Daily podcast over the weekend. "Not as many dying yet, but with people on oxygen and on ventilators they may find themselves in the situation where they have to park refrigerated trucks behind hospitals to hold the bodies, as they did in New York."

"It's certainly not as bad as it was in New York City," Dr. Hilary Fairbrother, a Houston emergency medicine doctor, told NBC News. "We are not at that point. That being said, everybody wants to prevent us getting to that point."

Houston has also benefited from New York's experience, Dr. Diana Fide, a Houston emergency room doctor and president of the Texas Medical Association, told Politico. "We did learn a lot going through things in March and April. We learned so much from problems in Washington State and New York." Even with more knowledge and stockpiled ventilators and protective equipment, she added, burnout is a real risk

"The fear is that nobody really knows what the trajectory is," reports New York Times correspondent Sheri Fink from Houston Methodist Hospital, the city's largest. "You can have models, but models only can do so much. It really, really depends on human behavior — whether they stay home more, whether they wear masks. And then there could just be mysteries that we don't even understand about how this virus passes. And those numbers for now, they just keep rising."

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Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)

CDC feels pressure from Trump as rift grows over coronavirus response
Lena H. Sun, Josh Dawsey (Washington Post)
4 hrs ago

The June 28 email to the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was ominous: A senior adviser to a top Health and Human Services Department official accused the CDC of “undermining the President” by putting out a report about the potential risks of the coronavirus to pregnant women.

The adviser, Paul Alexander, criticized the agency’s methods and said its warning to pregnant women “reads in a way to frighten women .?.?. as if the President and his administration can’t fix this and it is getting worse.”

As the country enters a frightening phase of the pandemic with new daily cases surpassing 57,000 on Thursday, the CDC, the nation’s top public health agency, is coming under intense pressure from President Trump and his allies, who are downplaying the dangers in a bid to revive the economy ahead of the Nov. 3 presidential election. In a White House guided by the president’s instincts, rather than by evidence-based policy, the CDC finds itself forced constantly to backtrack or sidelined from pivotal decisions.

The latest clash between the White House and its top public health advisers erupted Wednesday, when the president slammed the agency’s recommendation that schools planning to reopen should keep students’ desks six feet apart, among other steps to reduce infection risks. In a tweet, Trump — who has demanded schools at all levels hold in-person classes this fall — called the advice “very tough & expensive.”

“While they want them open, they are asking schools to do very impractical things. I will be meeting with them!!!” Trump tweeted Wednesday. The CDC was already planning to issue new guidelines in the coming days. But Vice President Pence on Wednesday explicitly tied the effort to Trump’s ire.

“The president said today we just don’t want the guidance to be too tough,” Pence told reporters. “And that’s the reason next week the CDC is going to be issuing a new set of tools.”

Analysts say the deepening divide is undermining the authority of one of the world’s premier public health agencies, which previously led fights against malaria, smallpox and HIV/AIDS. Amid the worst public health crisis in a century, the CDC has in recent months altered or rescinded recommendations on topics including wearing masks and safely reopening restaurants and houses of worship as a result of conflicts with top administration officials.

“At a time when our country needs an orchestrated, all-hands-on-deck response, there is simply no hand on the tiller,” said Beth Cameron, former senior director for global health security and biodefense on the White House National Security Council.

In the absence of strong federal leadership, state and local officials have been left to figure things out for themselves, leading to conflicting messaging and chaotic responses. Trump’s decision to pull the United States out of the World Health Organization further undermined efforts to influence global strategies against the coronavirus, including how vaccines will be distributed.

The CDC, meanwhile, is increasingly isolated — a function both of its growing differences with the White House and of its own significant missteps earlier in the outbreak.

Those stumbles include the botched rollout of test kits likely contaminated at a CDC lab in late January, which led to critical delays in states’ ability to know where the virus was circulating. And the CDC’s initial decision to test only a narrow set of people gave the virus a head start spreading undetected across the country.

During a May lunch with Senate Republicans, Trump told the group the CDC “blew it” on the coronavirus test and that he’d installed a team of “geniuses” led by his son-in-law Jared Kushner to handle much of the response, according to two people familiar with the lunch who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

“There is a view the CDC is staffed with ‘deep state’ Democrats that are trying to tweak the administration,” said one adviser who also spoke on the condition of anonymity to reveal private conversations.

White House officials, who see the president’s reelection prospects tied to economic recovery, also say they’ve been deeply frustrated by what they view as career staffers at the agency determined “to keep things closed,” according to a senior administration official who spoke on the condition of anonymity to reveal internal deliberations.

Trump believes the CDC is “ineffective” and a “waste of time” but doesn’t blame CDC Director Robert Redfield and generally likes him, said another official speaking on the condition of anonymity. “He just thinks he is a poor communicator,” the official added.

Joe Grogan, former head of the White House Domestic Policy Council, said Redfield had fans inside the White House who work on “addiction issues, on life issues, on HIV issues,” among other topics.

But he said Redfield has few political appointees to help him run a complex agency. “How do you run a place like that with .?.?. [few] appointees?” Grogan asked.

HHS Secretary Alex Azar called the director “a key scientific guide for the President and his administration, a trusted source for the American people, and a closely engaged partner of state and local governments.”

But Redfield is not a voice in coronavirus task force meetings, and “is never really in the Oval [Office] with the president,” said another senior administration official, who also spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the internal dynamics.

Even Redfield’s supporters say he has failed to be an effective advocate for the agency.

“Bob Redfield’s commitment to public health is completely strong,” said William Schaffner, a veteran infectious-disease specialist at Vanderbilt University. But he said Redfield lacks the standing, deftness and communication capacity to persuade skeptical audiences, including those in the White House, that protecting public health and fostering economic recovery are not opposing goals.

Redfield, for his part, downplayed Trump’s criticism of the CDC school reopening guidelines after a coronavirus task force briefing Wednesday, saying the agency and the president were “totally aligned.”

“We’re both trying to open the schools,” he said.

White House spokesman Judd Deere also disputed big differences, saying in a statement that the White House and the CDC “have been working together in partnership since the very beginning of this pandemic to carry out the President’s highest priority: the health and safety of the American public.

“The CDC is the nation’s trusted health protection agency and its infectious-disease and public health experts have helped deliver critical solutions to save lives. We encourage all Americans to continue to follow the CDC’s guidelines and use best-practices they have learned, such as social distancing, face coverings, and good hygiene, to maintain public health and continue our Transition to Greatness.”

But some health experts were indignant the agency had been ordered to rewrite guidance to reopen schools to “make it easier and cost less” — a demand that effectively “turns science on its head,” said Tom Inglesby, director of Johns Hopkins University’s Center for Health Security.

“CDC should be giving their best judgments on how to lower risks to make schools safer,” he said. “That’s their job. If they aren’t allowed to do that, the public will lose confidence in the guidance.”

The diminished role of the 74-year-old agency has bewildered infectious-disease experts, as well as members of the public seeking guidance.

After six states set one-day case records on July 3, Carlos del Rio, executive associate dean at Emory University’s School of Medicine, tweeted at Tom Frieden, a former CDC director, “Tom, where is @CDCgov ? Why are they not out there shouting ‘fire’?”

Frieden shot back: “They are still there, still doing great work, just not being allowed to talk about it, not being allowed to guide policy, not being allowed to develop, standardize, and post information that would give, by state and county, the status of the epidemic and of our control measures.”

Jeffrey Duchin, the health officer at Seattle and King County health department, added: “Agree. Muzzled, neutered and exiled.”

The agency has been largely invisible. After more than three months of silence, it resumed briefings for the public last month. There have been two.

By comparison, when the H1N1 swine flu pandemic hit the United States in the spring of 2009, the CDC held briefings almost every day for six consecutive weeks.

During this outbreak, the agency’s regular briefings ended abruptly after White House officials were angered when a top CDC leader warned that Americans could face “significant disruption” to their lives as a result of the virus’s spread to the United States.

CDC officials say they are still getting their message out, pointing to more than 2,000 documents providing pandemic-related information about reopening and staying safe for dozens of groups and venues, including funeral home directors, amusement parks and pet owners. Each Friday, the CDC also posts CovidView, a weekly report of selected data and trends on testing, hospitalizations and reported deaths.

But the information is posted without additional explanation or analysis.

“I want to hear a real person give me three minutes based on these findings,” said del Rio, also a global health and infectious-disease professor at Emory. “I want to see them in the news, being interviewed, giving us the data.”

Scientists at the CDC and former colleagues speak of deep frustration and low morale over its inability to fully share and explain scientific and medical information.

Researchers are fearful for their jobs and want to protect the integrity of the data they release. “If you want to say something, you’re thinking, ‘what’s the White House going to say and how are they going to use it,’ ” said one longtime scientist who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation.

The lack of briefings has fostered misunderstandings at times. In early April, for instance, when the agency reversed its position and recommended the use of cloth face coverings, CDC scientists gave no public briefings explaining why they made the change.

“It’s not rocket science,” said Nancy Cox, a virologist and former CDC official who led the influenza program for 22 years and was part of the agency’s response during the 2009 H1N1 swine flu pandemic. “But the reasoning behind those changes should be explained as clearly as possible and then you can get everyone on board.”

In the CDC’s absence, academic medical centers, public health and professional disease groups have filled the void by holding coronavirus briefings and providing analysis of key issues, data and research studies. Frieden, the president of Resolve to Save Lives, a New York nonprofit, has also been posting long Twitter threads analyzing the weekly CDC data released on Fridays.

Alarmed at the agency’s diminished role, nearly 350 public health organizations sent a letter Tuesday to Azar urging him to advocate for the CDC. The agency must be allowed to speak based on the best available science “and with an unfettered voice,” said John Auerbach, president and chief executive of Trust for America’s Health, a public health nonprofit that led the effort.

House Democrats echoed those concerns in a separate letter to Azar last month. Reps. Diana DeGette of Colorado and Frank Pallone Jr. of New Jersey, who chairs the House Energy and Commerce Committee, said they were troubled by reports that administration officials are considering narrowing the CDC’s mission and embedding more political appointees at the Atlanta-based agency.

Traditionally the CDC has one political appointee, the director. Now it has Redfield and five other political appointees, including two advisers added in recent weeks.

“Now more than ever, the American people need a robust and effective CDC that is not repeatedly undermined by others in the administration, including the President and the Vice President,” the letter said.

White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows views the agency as a problem and has criticized the CDC repeatedly to other administration officials, said a senior administration official.

White House and HHS officials are discussing what the CDC’s “core mission needs to be,” said one adviser familiar with the talks who spoke on the condition of anonymity to comment on policy deliberations. The discussions were first reported by Politico.

Over the years, the agency that was founded to fight malaria now works on virtually every aspect of public health. “It has tried to be everything to everyone,” the adviser said, suggesting the agency might need to refocus more narrowly.

On the global front, administration officials are also weighing a $2.5 billion initiative called the President’s Response to Outbreaks that would move a significant portion of national and international pandemic responses to the State Department, according to a draft obtained by The Post. Details were first reported by Devex.

“There is no clear leadership role for CDC” in this plan, said Jennifer Kates, a senior vice president for global health and HIV policy at the Kaiser Family Foundation. “In global health, you need an engaged CDC.”

Taken together, the administration efforts seem “designed to position CDC to the margins,” said one federal health official who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation.

The report that drew the email attack, accusing the agency of undermining the president, had provided detailed but incomplete information about pregnancy risks related to the coronavirus. It found pregnant women with covid-19 were more likely to be hospitalized, admitted to an intensive care unit, and to need ventilator support than infected women who are not pregnant.

The sender, Alexander, a specialist in health research methods, is a senior adviser to Michael Caputo, a longtime Trump ally who was recently appointed assistant HHS secretary for public affairs, which includes the CDC.

The email was directed to Redfield and Caputo.

Even amid the intense criticism of the agency, the email “crosses the line,” said the official, who was aware of the content.

Like all of the CDC’s reports, the analysis itself noted several limitations. One key one that researchers acknowledged was that they did not have data to indicate whether the pregnant women were hospitalized because of labor and delivery, or because they had covid-19.

Administration officials are “seeing political boogeymen where there aren’t any,” the federal health official said, adding that such narratives could further hamper the U.S. response.

“It could feed the fire to limit the flow of scientific data and communication to the general population,” the official said. “People are getting sick and dying. Can we just focus on the science?”

Alexander said in his email that the lack of data about why women were hospitalized was a “key issue.”

“The CDC is undermining the President by what they put out, this is my opinion and sense, and I am reading it and can see the subtle and direct hits,” he wrote.

Alexander, also a part-time assistant professor at McMaster University in Hamilton, Ontario, did not respond to emails and telephone calls seeking comment.

Caputo said in an interview that he agreed with Alexander. The CDC represents itself as the gold standard for public health agencies, he said, “but in the case of pregnancy analysis, it wasn’t even bronze.”

He called CDC’s track record “spotty” and “questionable,” pointing to Zika diagnostic testing errors in 2016.

“In many cases over the years, regardless of administration, the CDC has undermined presidents and themselves,” Caputo said, referring to leaked drafts of CDC guidances. “Who says the CDC is the sole font of wisdom when it comes to detecting and fighting deadly pathogens?”

Experts say that even with some big unanswered questions, the pregnancy findings represent the best available evidence and are important. The lack of data reflects decades of long-neglected national surveillance on pregnancy.

“I don’t think this is frightening women,” said Denise Jamieson, who heads the obstetrics and gynecology department at Emory University and Emory Healthcare. True, the report “suffers from completeness of data,” she said. But now doctors can be more confident that pregnant women are more likely to have severe disease and use “this really important information” to counsel patients, she said.

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Growing chorus pushes for renewed shutdown orders
Griff Witte (The Washington Post)
Published 8:44 pm EDT, Thursday, July 9, 2020

They raced to shut down their economies in March, and many opened them just as quickly in May.

Now, governors across the country are facing growing pressure from public health experts and local leaders to reimpose stay-at-home orders as the only way to regain control of coronavirus outbreaks that threaten to overwhelm hospitals and send the death count spiraling.

The push appeared to receive a boost from Anthony Fauci, the nation's top infectious-disease official, who suggested in comments released late Wednesday that struggling states "should seriously look at shutting down."

He took a more measured approach on Thursday, emphasizing that stay-at-home orders should remain a last resort and suggesting a pause in reopening plans instead.

So far, that has been the preferred method for governors seeking to arrest climbing caseloads while not alienating a virus-weary public. Yet, with scant evidence of progress in states across the Sun Belt - and beyond - experts are increasingly concluding that more drastic measures are necessary.

"Stay-at-home is a blunt instrument," said Farshad Fani Marvasti, director of public health at Arizona State University. "But when you're leading the world in new cases and things don't seem to be getting better, you may have to use that blunt instrument."

Studies have found that orders that closed nonessential businesses and forbid nonessential travel or gatherings prevented millions of coronavirus cases nationwide when they were imposed this spring. Researchers have also found such orders could have saved tens of thousands of lives had they been implemented earlier.

But with the economy reeling from a prolonged shutdown, and President Donald Trump agitating for a quick reopening, governors across the country lifted restrictions in May. That was despite the fact that most had not met the White House's own criteria for determining when it was safe to ease up.

Now, with caseloads hitting new peaks, the process for some states has been thrown in reverse.

Nationwide, more than a dozen states have paused their reopenings this summer as case numbers have climbed. Another half-dozen have rolled back previously announced reopenings. Several have reimposed bans on bars, which have been particularly hospitable spots for the virus to circulate.

Yet the majority of states have pressed ahead with reopenings.

As case numbers in the U.S. surge, that has unnerved public health experts who see a disaster in the making.

Fauci told the Wall Street Journal in a podcast released Wednesday that some states "went too fast" with their reopenings and suggested that the solution may be to go back to square one.

"I think any state that is having a serious problem, that state should seriously look at shutting down," he said in remarks that appeared to contradict Trump's push for the country's reopening to continue.

During an appearance Thursday, Fauci dialed back his remarks, saying that a "complete shutdown" would be "obviously an extreme."

"I would hope we don't have to resort to shutdown," he said at an event hosted by the Hill newspaper. "I think it would not be viewed very, very favorably, even by the states and the cities involved. So rather than think in terms of reverting back down to a complete shutdown, I would think we need to get the states pausing in their opening process."

But other public health specialists insist a pause is not enough, and that the U.S. won't be able to reopen to the extent that many other countries have until it learns how to do so safely.

"We see the hurricane coming. In some places, it's already here," said Thomas Tsai, a Harvard health policy researcher and surgeon. "The question is whether you're going to evacuate your citizens from the path."

The evidence so far, Tsai said, suggests not.

"We're watching this unfold and we're frozen," he said.

At the Harvard Global Health Institute, with which Tsai is affiliated, researchers recently put together a national tracker to assess the severity of the outbreak in all 50 states.

As of Thursday, 15 of them were in a state of "accelerated spread," meaning that stay-at-home orders should at least be considered, along with aggressive testing and tracing programs.

Another five - Arizona, Florida, Louisiana, South Carolina and Georgia - were flashing red. In those states, the outbreaks are so advanced that researchers say stay-at-home is no longer optional. It should be mandatory.

In all five, however, governors have waved off suggestions that people should be again told to stay at home, citing the economic costs of keeping people out of work.

In Arizona, cumulative deaths topped 2,000 on Thursday and daily hospitalizations hit another high. Gov. Doug Ducey, a Republican, has urged people to stay home when possible, and he has reinstated closures of bars, water parks, movie theaters and gyms.

But so far, that hasn't been sufficient. The case counts continue to rise in a way that public health experts say is reminiscent of the exponential growth that the world's worst-hit places experienced earlier this year, before stay-at-home orders kicked in.

"We don't want to become another New York, another Italy," said Marvasti. "But that's where we're headed. We need to learn our lesson from these places."

Steve Adler, the mayor of Austin, has come to the same conclusion. In Texas's capital city, cases have been surging and hospitals have been filling up.

This week, new coronavirus admissions surpassed an average of 70 per day - the low end of the trigger that health authorities had set for shutting down nonessential businesses, ending indoor restaurant dining and banning gatherings outside the home.

The situation, Adler said, is "precarious in terms of our ability to meet the intensive care surge that we could be facing."

A slowed growth rate has bought the city more time to consider whether a shutdown is truly necessary. But Adler said it remained an option he would need to consider.

"I have to do everything I can to protect the city," he said.

Authorities in Houston and Dallas have also asked for the authority to shut down, citing the pressure on hospitals and concern that there may not be enough medical staff to treat the sick.

Standing in their way, however, is Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, who has maintained that he alone has the authority to issue stay-at-home orders. And he has been a steadfast opponent, despite record caseloads - more than 10,000 new cases of the virus were reported Tuesday.

"To shut things down completely back into lockdown mode, that would really force Texans into poverty," Abbott said this week.

A return to stay-at-home orders could have severe political consequences. Although surveys showed strong support for such measures in the spring, a second round would inevitably spawn a backlash.

"People are tired of this and they're tired of the same message and they're tired of this disease," said Karen Landers, assistant state health officer in Alabama. "The weather looks nice and it's, 'Why should I be worried about sickness?' "

Alabama is one of at least five states that hit a single-day high of new cases Thursday. Nationally, the seven-day average was 52,820, up more than 7,100 cases from the same time last week, according to data tracked by The Post.

Many governors, Abbott included, have argued that targeted measures will be more effective than a blanket shutdown.

In Missouri, which reopened rapidly in early May, case numbers have risen sharply since mid-June. At least some of that increase has stemmed from increased testing. But there have also been significant outbreaks, including at meat processing plants in the state's southwest - with cases extending into the broader community.

But state health director Randall Williams said that rather than focus on shutdowns, the state's attention has been on "boxing in" hot spots with aggressive testing and isolation for those infected. He said promotion of social distancing, hand washing and mask wearing would also help to stem the spread.

In southwest Missouri, a conservative area where resistance to masks has run high, many have cited the president's example in refusing to wear one. But attitudes may be shifting as the peril posed by covid-19 hits home: The city council in Joplin, the region's hub, rejected a mandatory mask ordinance last week, only to reverse course Wednesday night and approve one.

Michigan health director Robert Gordon said his office, too, was focused on changing behavior and getting the public to follow medical advice.

"Part of it is what are the rules on the books. Equally important is what are people doing, whatever those rules are," Gordon said.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, who authorized some of the strictest stay-at-home rules nationwide before lifting them in June, has signaled that she won't be afraid to reimpose restrictions. Last week, she halted the state's reopening, and ordered bars to again be shuttered for indoor service.

Gordon said the difficulty in bringing down case numbers will only increase, with schools seeking to reopen next month and the weather forcing more people indoors in the fall.

A return to stay-at-home, he said, was the last resort. But it wasn't unimaginable, either.

"Our job is to do absolutely everything in our power," he said, "so we don't have to go back to that."

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Kentucky to mandate masks in public amid 'explosion' of coronavirus
By Zack Budryk
07/09/20 05:31 PM EDT

Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear (D) says the state will require all residents to wear masks in public for 30 days, beginning Friday, citing an "explosion" of cases of COVID-19.

“I believe if we’re clear, and we don’t have a lot of exceptions, and people absolutely know the expectation it gives us our very best chance of getting it done,” Beshear said in a press briefing Thursday, citing exemptions for children under 5 and people with health conditions such as asthma.

The mask mandate, he said, would apply to most forward-facing businesses such as retailers and restaurants, as well as outdoor spaces where social distancing is impossible.
— Governor Andy Beshear (@GovAndyBeshear) July 9, 2020

“I understand the [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] and the federal government told us different things” about masks’ effectiveness, Beshear said. “But that doesn’t get in the way of what the science tells us now … that a mask helps to stop the spread of COVID-19. It helps prevent other people from getting it from you, and now studies are showing it can help you stop from getting the virus in the first place.”

“We’re starting to see a real increase in Kentucky,” he noted, describing the mask order as essential to keep the cases from continuing to rise beyond the state’s control. Kentucky reported 333 new cases Thursday, bringing its total to at least 18,245.

“To folks that say ‘we’re not Arizona, we’re not Florida, we’re not Texas’… they weren’t at one point either,” Beshear said, noting that Arizona’s cases had increased exponentially since a time when it and Kentucky had a comparable amount.

“All of these states thought they had everything under control,” he said.

Beshear vowed to review state data on infections, positivity rates, mortality and hospitalizations once the 30-day period is over. Failure to comply could result in a fine, he added.

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Patients Swamp Sun Belt Hospitals With Covid-19 on a Rampage
Jonathan Levin and Emma Court (Bloomberg)
6 hrs ago

The coronavirus pandemic’s merciless march through the Sun Belt is killing record numbers of Americans there, overrunning hospitals and exhausting supplies. But even as some leaders fall ill themselves, they have failed to contain the disease’s spread.

On Thursday, Governor Ron DeSantis offered no new restrictions as Florida joined Texas and California in reporting record deaths. Arizona Governor Doug Ducey promised more testing and limited restaurant capacity after the state announced the most cases in six days. In Mississippi, where many lawmakers had resisted wearing masks in the Capitol, 26 of them tested positive, including the leaders of both legislative chambers.

New U.S. virus cases topped 60,000 in a day for the first time Thursday. And in states where the disease rages, a nightmarish paralysis hit institutions filling with the sick and dying. Quinn Snyder, an emergency physician in Mesa, near Phoenix, said patients were flooding in from other parts of Arizona and as far as New Mexico as smaller hospitals near the saturation point.

“We’ve been discussing putting people in fluoroscopy suites, in radiology suites, everything to housing people in tents,” Snyder said. “We’re rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic as we speak.”

The daunting numbers and reports of shortages make clear that state and federal governments have failed to prepare for the new onslaught four months after it emerged. Vivid videos and reports of suffering in the Northeast didn’t move Sun Belt states, many run by Republicans who support President Donald Trump, to prepare adequately.

Even when states take measures to tamp down the outbreaks, it takes time to see the effects. So the rising case and death counts are likely to continue.

“We’re not in a good situation. That may be a little too gentle. Probably what I really think is not fit to print,” said Jaline Gerardin, an expert in disease modeling and an assistant professor of preventive medicine in epidemiology at Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine in Chicago. “I’m very worried.”

Death Record


In Florida, where 120 more deaths were reported Thursday, the daily record went unmentioned at DeSantis’s media briefing in Jacksonville. Instead, he used the news conference to insist the state had to move the economy forward and reopen schools next month, as Trump has demanded.

“At the end of the day, we need our society to function,” DeSantis said. “We need our society to continue to move forward. We can take steps to be able to minimize risk when you’re talking about coronavirus, but we can’t just leave society on the mat.”

Florida’s new hospitalizations and the rate at which residents are testing positive also jumped sharply, and the number of virus patients on ventilators continued to climb in Miami-Dade, the most populous Florida county.

“Some of us are becoming a little speechless here at the status we’re in now,” said Jill Roberts, an associate professor at the University of South Florida College of Public Health who specializes in emerging diseases. “We’re in bad shape here.”

Houston Outbreak

Texas Covid-19 deaths topped 100 for the first time and rose 3.7% to a cumulative 2,918.

New cases are quickly filling beds in intensive-care units in Houston, site of the state’s worst outbreak. Houston’s Texas Medical Center hospitals filled up all ICU beds generally available last week and began tapping converted beds according to its crisis plan. As of Thursday, 17% of Phase 1 surge capacity had been filled, up from 9% the day before, the center reported.

The swelling numbers may presage widespread mortality, said Vivian Ho, a health economist at Rice University in Houston.

“I view deaths as sort of three weeks after, at the earliest, the unsafe behavior, and we just recently closed bars,” said Ho. “I would expect the number of deaths to rise more.”

Governor Greg Abbott expressed concern about the outbreak’s rapid advance in an interview on a Houston Fox television channel. “Today, for the first day, we had more than 100 deaths because of Covid,” he said. “And I gotta tell you, I think the numbers are going to look worse as we go into next week, and we need to make sure that there’s going to be plenty of hospital beds available in the Houston area.”

While health professionals are nearly unanimous in their prescriptions for containing Covid -- mandating masks, limiting movements and policing economic activity -- few state officials have been eager to return to widespread lockdowns. Circumstances are forcing some to reconsider.

In Maricopa County, Arizona’s most populous, 1 in 4 virus tests is positive, its health department tweeted Thursday. The state has seen a 50% increase in cases since June 21, Governor Ducey said Thursday. “We have had a brutal June,” he said.

On June 29, Ducey shut down bars, gyms, nightclubs and other businesses. Now, the state will limit indoor dining to less than 50% occupancy.

Ducey argued that containment measures are working. When he ordered the closings last month, each person infected with the virus in Arizona was estimated to infect 1.18 people, he said. That number is now 1.1, he said, calling it “dramatic movement.”

Anthony Fauci, the nation’s top infectious-disease official, said in a Wall Street Journal podcast released Wednesday that states have a responsibility to consider stringent measures. “Any state that is having a serious problem, that state should seriously look at shutting down,” said Fauci, who is director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. He said some states “went too fast.”

But Trump has made clear that he wants economies humming and schools open. Public health has become politicized while the disease reaches into statehouses and city halls.

Even as Texas set three new daily death records this week, the state Republican Party sued Houston’s Democratic mayor for ordering the cancellation of its convention next week. Mayor Sylvester Turner barred the in-person gathering -- expected to draw 6,000 people -- for fear it would contribute to the spread of the virus.

Leaders Stricken

Government officials in several states have reported catching Covid-19 recently. California’s legislature delayed a session that was supposed to start July 13, after Assemblywoman Autumn Burke said she had tested positive.

In a series of tweets Monday, Burke said the Assembly’s human resources department called her to warn that she may have received “mask to mask” exposure to an infected person. And in San Francisco, Mayor London Breed said Thursday she tested negative for Covid-19 after attending an event with someone who had contracted the virus, but would take another test next week as a precaution.

Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms, a Democrat, tweeted Wednesday that it took eight days to get test results for her and others in her household. One member of the household tested positive, but during the wait, the virus spread to others. “If we had known sooner, we would have immediately quarantined,” she wrote.

In Mississippi, where the state legislators tested positive, 10 staff members have also contracted Covid-19.

“It’s a real, live reminder that this virus will not stop, with anyone,” Governor Tate Reeves said at a news conference.

In Kentucky, which is seeing 200 to 400 new cases a day, Governor Andy Beshear said he would order mask-wearing statewide starting 5 p.m. Friday. The rule applies indoors and outdoors, to customers in retail stores and in restaurants until a person begins eating. Initial violations will come with a warning, but fines will follow, Beshear said.

“I hoped we wouldn’t have to get to a point where we needed to mandate things,” Beshear said. “It’s time to get serious. It’s time to push our numbers down now.”

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US Posts New Record Daily Virus Caseload Of More Than 65,000
AFP - Agence France Presse
July 9, 2020

The US on Thursday posted 65,551 new coronavirus cases, a record for a 24-hour period, according to a tally by Johns Hopkins University.

The country, the hardest-hit in the world by the pandemic, has a total caseload of more than 3.1 million, with 133,195 deaths.

The previous daily record was Tuesday, with more than 60,200 cases in one day.

The US has seen a spike in infections in recent weeks, particularly in the south and west, and health experts worry the death rate may soon follow the same trajectory.

According to the Johns Hopkins tracker at 8:30pm (0030 GMT Friday), 1,000 people died from COVID-19 in the US in the last 24 hours.

"We're in a very difficult, challenging period right now," top US infectious diseases expert Anthony Fauci said Thursday during a teleconference organized by news outlet The Hill.

As the country began reopening, many states "jumped over the benchmarks," Fauci said, referring to indicators of a slowing infection rate required for states to begin phasing out of lockdowns.

"I would think we need to get the states pausing in their opening process," he said, although he added: "I don't think we need to go back to an extreme of shutting down."

US President Donald Trump, who has openly said he disagrees with Fauci, has downplayed the spike in cases.

"For the 1/100th time, the reason we show so many Cases, compared to other countries that haven't done nearly as well as we have, is that our TESTING is much bigger and better," he tweeted Thursday.

"We have tested 40,000,000 people. If we did 20,000,000 instead, Cases would be half, etc."

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