WAR Iran/ US/mideast war thread - 2/28/26 Open Hostilities (Thread for Off Topic discussion started, see post #13,751, page 344)

I'm leaving the above comment. Please DO NOT respond to it here! Take any discussion to the other thread.

However, I'm seeing more and more VERY questionable YouTube editorial stuff being posted here. Let's stick to reliable news sources, and not post AI dreck just because it happens to support your POV.

And remember the Fog of War... verify where possible, but *don't* believe anything completely.

Summerthyme
 
This all seems like dramatic claims. I checked on the podcasters backgrounds using both Grok and Perplexity AI; both responded with negative information (documented accusations of plagiarism, fabrications, association with Russian and Iranian state media for Pepe Escobar; no journalism or intelligence experience for Zulfiqar Ali).

I'm leaving the above comment. Please DO NOT respond to it here! Take any discussion to the other thread.

However, I'm seeing more and more VERY questionable YouTube editorial stuff being posted here. Let's stick to reliable news sources, and not post AI dreck just because it happens to support your POV.

And remember the Fog of War... verify where possible, but *don't* believe anything completely.

Summerthyme
Ahh C'mon, fair is fair. Remove the LL post.
If not, your slip is showing.

All The Best,
Tom
 
Sorry, Tom... she did research i would have done, if i wasn't busier than one armed paper hanger lately! I'd noted a trend over the past 10 days or so of more and more questionable propaganda getting posted, rather than verifiable news.

We'll be discussing it in the Lounge.

Meanwhile, folks...before you jack up your blood pressure (or, I guess, get too complacent! Although I haven't seen much unreasonably positive stuff posted...but the basic premise remains) CHECK THE SOURCE!

How long have they been on YouTube? How many followers do they have? What does the comment section look like? A majority of basically intelligent folks either asking questions or commenting on the content, or mostly dullards either losing their sh!t about the POV expressed or over-the-top expressions of support, usually with volunteering to do violence to "the other side"?

Let's at least try to pretend we care about Truth, whether we are personally happy about the trend.

Summerthyme
 
Okay. However the research presented does not line up with mine. So I conclude it is biased due to AI slant. I a human, have seen more reporting from these sources revealed as truth. This AI research is bought and paid for and IMHO... shpuld be discarded as to not pollute a factual thread. Which by the way, is a trend with the post in question. Consistently using AI to denigrate a source. I can back this assertion up with facts.

All the best,

Tom
 
If I may. AND if nobody objects, I’ll say most of what I’ve seen on Tousi today is analysis of groups and movements. Speculations at best. Most of which I won’t report on. However there were a couple of things worth mention. Israel’s bombing in Syria was to blow up Turkish weapons on the way to Hezbollah.

More interestingly, for some reason the IRGC wants 10,000 sheep, for a sacrifice. To my knowledge they haven’t given a reason for it. I didn’t think anyone did that anymore.
 
Google AI Overview...

A public fundraising campaign in Iran collected donations to sacrifice 10,000 sheep for the health and well-being of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei amid swirling concerns regarding his health following leadership transitions. [1, 2]

Context and Public Response
    • The Campaign: Text messages circulated in Tehran and other areas asking citizens to fund the massive livestock offering.
    • Public Backlash: Many citizens criticized the effort via Iran International outlets, noting that severe economic pressure and high food prices make it impossible for ordinary families to afford lamb while funds are solicited for state-linked rituals. [1]
 

Trump’s Economic Isolation Plan Risks Iran Strikes Across Gulf​

President Donald Trump is betting new sanctions, a naval blockade and ramped-up economic pressure against Iran’s trading partners can accomplish what thousands of bombs and missiles could not: force Tehran to accept a deal to end the war on US terms.

But like other US efforts to force Iran into capitulation, there’s one main problem: Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which has claimed control of the vital Strait of Hormuz and sent volleys of attack drones across the Persian Gulf, may be impervious to such pressure — and has plenty of ways to retaliate.

A key part of the US effort will come on Monday, when Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has promised to unveil details of a plan designed to shift the conflict from tit-for-tat strikes across the Middle East to full-blown economic isolation — a campaign that could touch nations ranging from China and India to Turkey and the United Arab Emirates.

Yet significant new economic pressure is likely to prompt Iran to retaliate with military strikes across the Gulf — including against energy infrastructure — in an attempt to push up oil prices and raise the cost of the US effort, forcing Trump to shift his approach once again.

“If this is actually effective, at some point, Iran will lash out again — they just will have no alternative,” said Nate Swanson, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council who worked on Iran issues at the State Department and White House National Security Council until last year. “Trump may see this as a different phase of the war, but I don’t think Iran does.”

Since the US and Israel first attacked Iran on Feb. 28, Iran has repeatedly shown the ability to endure airstrikes on thousands of targets, layers of sanctions and a US Navy blockade — yet still retain the ability to hit back.

Tehran has used Shahed attack drones and ballistic missiles to hit both US bases and civilian sites across the Gulf, including water and power infrastructure. That has kept Hormuz largely shut, raised global energy prices and forced wealthy Gulf nations to lobby the US into finding a diplomatic offramp to the unpopular conflict.

Iran’s grip on Hormuz also gives it immense leverage in any potential talks with the US.

Bessent suggested this week that the shift to an economic campaign “means that likely there will not be a large-scale kinetic restart.” But analysts aren’t so sure that Iran will refrain from a return to open hostilities, even if the US does.

“If this new economic pressure campaign works — and that’s a big if — it’s more likely that we would see military action coming out of Iran than that we would see capitulation, at least as a first step,” said Chris Kennedy, the economic statecraft lead at Bloomberg Economics. “Just because the US has decided to pause its full-blown military operation doesn’t mean Iran will follow suit.”

It’s not clear exactly how the US could meaningfully ramp up economic pressure on Iran, other than going after China — the main buyer of Iranian oil — and risking blowback. Going after smaller entities in countries such as Iraq, Turkey or the UAE would be unlikely to break Tehran’s will.

Still, the US economic pressure campaign is having an impact. It now risks triggering one of Iran’s worst ever economic crises, despite the country weathering years of broad isolation.

Even before the war, a slump in the Iranian rial triggered nationwide protests, with the government killing thousands. Since the war began, the nation’s citizens have seen their purchasing power evaporate under inflation that’s now above 80% and with a currency that’s lost almost 30% of its value this year alone.

This week, Iran’s central bank governor said the nation’s oil exports had “virtually stopped” under the US blockade, ending the government’s main source of revenue. The International Monetary Fund said in April it expected Iran’s economy to shrink 6.1% this year, the worst contraction in decades.

On Friday, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian urged an end to the war with the US. But his responsibilities are mostly limited to domestic economic policy, while hardline Iranian officials, including some in the nation’s powerful military leadership, have argued that Iran is winning and should continue the fight.

It’s possible the new measures Bessent will announce on Monday and the ongoing naval blockade will eventually spur Iran to return to the interim diplomatic deal it reached with the US in June, said David Schenker, a US diplomat for the Middle East during Trump’s first term.

But it could take six months for any measures to have a significant impact, testing the patience of the Trump administration, he said, noting the Iranian regime has shown it can endure major economic pain while largely ignoring the suffering of the nation’s people.

“It could drag on for some time,” said Schenker, now a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “The Iranian regime still sees itself as having leverage and being in a good position.”

 

Iran Demands Release of Three Pilots Allegedly Captured by Qatar During US-Iran War​


Qatar denies capturing three Iranian pilots after downing fighter jets​



Iranian official urges Qatar to move detained pilots to hospital on land, Tasnim says​

AUGUST 22, 2026 12:09

An Iranian military official called on Qatar on Saturday to transfer detained Iranian pilots to a hospital on land, saying they were being held on water and were in "poor physical condition," Tasnim news agency reported.

Mohammad Bagherzadeh, commander of the Committee for the Search for Missing Persons of Iran's Armed Forces General Staff, said the location where the pilots were being held was unsuitable and requested that the International Committee of the Red Cross send an air ambulance to Qatar to expedite the return of injured and sick detainees to Iran.

Qatar denied last week that it was holding Iranian pilots, saying they had violated Qatari airspace earlier this year and failed to respond to attempts to contact them.

In his latest statement, Bagherzadeh welcomed Qatar’s decision to receive a team of Iranian experts and called on Doha to provide them with the necessary cooperation.

Bagherzadeh had previously said an Iranian Air Force expert and fact-finding team had been waiting for months to enter Qatar and accused Qatari officials of repeatedly delaying the investigation.

Iran neglected to respond to Qatari request to coordinate handover of remains

Doha said it had contacted Iran to coordinate the handover of the remains of one pilot and had invited Tehran to review details of its search and rescue operations, but had received no response.

A foreign ministry spokesperson said on Tuesday that the invitation remained open for an Iranian delegation to visit over the pilots' issue.

 
LOL.... Desperate much...

Iran Says the World Has Accepted It Has Defeated the US​

Iranian state media reported Friday that President Masoud Pezeshkian said the war with the U.S. should end since the world has already accepted that Iran has won.

“The entire world approved our victory, and the U.S. is hated,” he said according to IRNA news agency.

The remarks came as the Trump administration is touting a crushing financial campaign against Iran, promising an “economic D-Day” against the country.

President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. would be imposing an “unprecedented” level of economic warfare and isolation on Iran, aiming to force its leadership to cave to demands to end its nuclear program and fully reopen the crucial Strait of Hormuz to oil and natural gas tankers.

 

Kay Bailey Hutchison to Newsmax: Iran's Victory Claim Masks Regime Desperation​

Former U.S. Ambassador to NATO Kay Bailey Hutchison said Friday that Iran's claim of victory reflects a regime trying to reassure an increasingly desperate population, as the Trump administration turns to economic pressure to force Tehran to abandon its nuclear ambitions and halt interference with shipping in the Strait of Hormuz.

"Well, this is clearly for the Iranian people, not for the rest of the world, because we see what's really happening there," Hutchison told "Wake Up America" in an interview. "And I think the regime is probably getting pretty desperate talking to its people and saying, well, we're really winning this when the people are probably near starvation."

Her comments came after Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian called for an end to the nearly six-month war while asserting that Iran was negotiating from a position of power.

President Donald Trump has intensified an economic campaign aimed at isolating Tehran and pressuring foreign governments and businesses that continue trading with it. The administration is preparing secondary sanctions that could affect countries including China and India, according to The Associated Press.

The U.S. military has established a shipping corridor allowing 15 to 20 tankers a night to move through Hormuz, although oil flows remain below prewar levels, Axios reported. Hutchison said the effort reduces Iran's leverage while allowing Trump to avoid deploying ground forces.

 
At risk of offending. I’m kinda busy maybe someone can get to it. A quick check with Tousi a while ago. Iran has officially withdrawn from the nuclear non proliferation treaty. No time to check right now, can someone else?
 
Looks like oil is moving...

Axios: 40 Tankers Transited Hormuz Friday Night​

Axios political reporter and Middle East correspondent Barak Ravid reported early Saturday that 40 tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz on Friday night, citing three unnamed US officials.

"Around 16 million barrels of oil moved out of the strait through the southern channel on Friday night," Ravid wrote on X.

1787439261043.png

The latest Bloomberg vessel-tracking data show that 13 ships transited the critical waterway on Saturday, with seven traveling east to west and six moving west to east.

Axios reported Wednesday that the US military had established a shipping corridor in the critical waterway, which carries millions of barrels of oil each day. There was no word from Ravid on whether the 40 tankers sailed through the new shipping corridor.

 
At risk of offending. I’m kinda busy maybe someone can get to it. A quick check with Tousi a while ago. Iran has officially withdrawn from the nuclear non proliferation treaty. No time to check right now, can someone else?
Not yet, seems they plan on it though.

Iran’s Nuclear Ultimatum': Lawmakers Push To Exit NPT & Rewrite Defence Doctrine After US Strikes
A formal Iranian exit would mark a historic break from international oversight, effectively ending IAEA safeguards and inspection access across the country

Iranian lawmakers have formally submitted a proposal to parliament demanding a complete exit from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) alongside a fundamental revision of the Islamic Republic’s national defence doctrine, reports indicate. The legislative push signals a dramatic escalation in regional security dynamics following military strikes by the United States and the killing of Iranian leadership, commanders, and civilians.

 
Traffic in Strait of Hormuz skyrockets nearly 400%, as analysts say Iran’s grip on critical waterway weakens

Iran appears to be losing its grip on the Strait of Hormuz while traffic through the critical waterway has exploded by nearly 400% over the last two weeks — as ships increasingly use a US-backed corridor to cross.

Nearly 200 ships navigated the strait last week, up from 150 the previous week and just 40 two weeks earlier, according to data from the UK Maritime Trade Operations Center.

The surge brings total traffic along the passage route to about 20% of pre-war levels, through which roughly 20% of the world’s seaborne oil flowed in peacetime.

Activity in Hormuz ground to a near halt after the Iran war began in late February, but vessels are now increasingly navigating through despite the ongoing standoff between Tehran and the US.

More than 80% of liquid cargoes transiting the Strait of Hormuz over the past two weeks have either taken the Omani route — a US-backed, UN International Maritime Organization-authorized channel Iran rejects — or gone “dark,” likely slipping through the same corridor, according to maritime intelligence firm Kpler.

“It increasingly looks like Iran has at least partially lost control of the strait,” Homayoun Falakshahi, head of crude oil analysis at Kpler, told CNN this week.

“The Oman route absolutely makes the most sense,” added Dan Pickering, founder of Pickering Energy Partners, noting it’s a way for vessels to avoid the possibility of paying a toll to Tehran.

Over the past seven days, 103 ships entered the strait and 89 exited it — a 27% jump from a week ago, when 76 ships entered and 75 exited.

The change is even more visible compared to two weeks ago — when just 18 ships entered and 21 ships exited the waterway at the center of the dispute between the warring countries.

Most vessels that passed through were US-flagged allies from Panama and Liberia — though the flags merely indicate where the ships are registered, not where the companies that own them are based. About half of the ships were oil tankers and the other dry cargo.

Five vessels were struck by Iranian projectiles over the past week, leaving two people injured or dead. The ships were reportedly damaged but not lost.

The US has been quietly shepherding oil tankers across Hormuz since May, using shadow fleet tactics like turning off their radars to sneak by undetected and navigating close to the coast of Oman.

A 60-day period for talks to end the war came to a close on Monday, and start-and-stop discussions to negotiate control of the Strait of Hormuz have sputtered.

Earlier this week, President Trump said the strait had been fully de-mined and reopened, in hopes of clearing the way for traffic to gradually resume — and announced that he plans to implement the “most crushing economic operation ever undertaken” on Iran in the form of sanctions.

“The Hormuz Strait is open and operating,” he declared on Truth Social Tuesday.

 
Not yet, seems they plan on it though.

Iran’s Nuclear Ultimatum': Lawmakers Push To Exit NPT & Rewrite Defence Doctrine After US Strikes
A formal Iranian exit would mark a historic break from international oversight, effectively ending IAEA safeguards and inspection access across the country

Iranian lawmakers have formally submitted a proposal to parliament demanding a complete exit from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) alongside a fundamental revision of the Islamic Republic’s national defence doctrine, reports indicate. The legislative push signals a dramatic escalation in regional security dynamics following military strikes by the United States and the killing of Iranian leadership, commanders, and civilians.

Many thanks, you are correct. Finally got a chance to watch the whole thing. I found tonight’s videos fascinating. The IRGC has apparently said if the Americans invade they are prepared to sacrifice southern Iran in exchange for southern Lebanon. They also sent a T.V. crew to southern Iran to do a piece on how good everything is down there. Once identified by a local man he began questioning the reporter.

“They say it is beautiful here? Show me the beauty! We have no water. Everything has dried up. How can the government do this to us. Show me the beauty.”

They cut off after that. Social media is getting videos from southern Iran, made by the folks who live there. One features three young ladies (maybe age 10 or so) kinda rapping and saying,

“THEY are Iranian, they live in the south! Long live the south and long live Iran.”

I wonder how many people they just pushed over the fence?
 

Questions rise as US claims deeper control of Strait of Hormuz​

The Hill
Ellen Mitchell
Sun, August 23, 2026

How much oil is actually getting through the Strait of Hormuz? And is the reward for the Pentagon worth the resources it is expending?

Those are some of the key outstanding questions as the Trump administration touts some success in steering tankers through a southern channel of the strait along the coast of Oman.

The operation has allowed the U.S. to claw back some control from Iran over the passage, which has been largely closed since late February. But these efforts require significant resources from the Pentagon, and the reward is just a fraction of gain in the amount of oil traversing the strait compared to pre-war levels.

The administration's latest measures appear to have at least prevented global oil prices form jumping even higher, though the Brent crude price stood at $94.39 going into this week — up from where it had begun the week prior.

It has not alleviated the pressures Republicans are feeling over the economy and the issue of affordability as the midterm elections in November inch closer.

Petras Katinas, a research fellow in energy and defense with the Royal United Services Institute, said Friday that only three or four vessels have passed through the strait on a daily basis in the month of August — far below the numbers in February, when 35 ships passed inbound and 39 outbound.

U.S. officials, however, told Axios that 40 tankers traversed the waterway Friday night through the southern channel off Oman. They also said the effort had facilitated the transit of about 16 million barrels to the global energy market.


Those figures would represent a major jump in ships transiting the waterway in recent weeks.

Katinas sounded a skeptical tone on the figures.

"I know the White House claims . . . around 15 to 20 vessels passed the Strait of Hormuz [per day], yet we've learned the White House math is not very strong," he told The Hill.

The United Kingdom's Navy's Maritime Trade Operations center also put out a lower estimate, stating that, since Aug. 7, very few vessels have openly transited the strait.


The costs of getting more ships out are expensive, and there are risks to the operation, most notably that it could draw fire from Iran.


"There is a challenge of, to the extent that this kind of covert shipping of oil is going on, the extent to which it starts to become more significant, therefore less easy to hide, and perhaps also therefore a more open provocation to Iran," said Mona Yacoubian, the director of the Middle East Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

She suggested the bigger the Pentagon's operation gets, the more it could attract Iranian attacks.

"We've seen the Iranians respond to this kind of a thing already in the past, so it could be that it's in a bit of a catch-22, where as long as the amounts that are being secreted out are not massive and significant, that type of an operation may be able to continue and . . . be done without enormous resources," Yacoubian said.

She added, "But it then doesn't really have much of an impact on the global markets, which is really the effort here."

The U.S.-led operation has helped empty tankers enter the Gulf from the Arabian Sea through the strait, pick up oil from countries in the Middle East and then exit, according to Axios.

Such an effort requires significant resources to get a limited amount of oil through the strait. Roughly 20 Navy warships are currently in the Gulf of Oman, including two aircraft carrier strike groups, as well as other military equipment needed to intercept Iranian drones and missiles.

The difficulties those duties carry was reflected in this month's drama surrounding the USS Abraham Lincoln, which recently returned to port after a lengthy deployment that triggered warnings about mental health crises and poor conditions on the ship.

What the U.S. is moving through the strait is also not enough to cover demand, regardless of the true amount.

"Time depletes global stockpiles further because there's still a deficit of oil coming out of the Strait of Hormuz every day, even with U.S. military power shuttling oil through, and nobody has a good read on how much is going through," said Rosemary Kelanic, the director of Middle East Engagement at Defense Priorities.

"Maybe it's 3 million barrels a day, maybe it's 5 million barrels a day, but it's not pre-war levels. And as long as that's the case, it's depleting U.S. and global inventories, and that is decreasing the buffer before prices spike," she continued.


In an attempt to more quickly bring an end to the conflict, President Trump this week promised an "economic D-Day" and a "crushing" operation to "cripple" Iran as he publicly stepped back from any diplomatic avenues with Tehran.

Those remarks seemed to contribute to oil prices rising at week's end, as markets feared it signaled a longer war.

On Friday, Trump said the U.S. has no lack of military options in the region, while expressing confidence again in U.S. control of the Strait of Hormuz.

"We're seeing what happens," he told reporters ahead of boarding Air Force One en route to South Carolina, adding that the U.S. has "total control of that entire region having to do with the Strait of Hormuz. And that means well into it, the land areas."

Yacoubian said these public reassurances are a part of the administration's public relations strategy but don't necessarily mirror reality.

"To be fair, we aren't seeing storage tanks run dry yet. We are not at that crisis moment that many have feared," she said. "Something is at play. What it is exactly and how sustainable it is, I think those have been questions from the start."



Copyright 2026 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to The Hill.
 
Open Source Intel @Osint613
Mohammad Marandi, close to Iran's negotiating team: "In the coming days, it is very likely that the military conflict will be renewed."

He warned that any regime cooperating with Trump and Bessent to "starve Iranian civilians" will be "severely punished," adding the global economy is "on the verge of collapse."
 
Looks like the economic warfare, is working, without dropping bombs...

Iran Parliament Speaker: 'We Are Hungry, We Cannot Survive'​

Iran's parliament speaker has issued an unusually stark warning about the country's deepening economic troubles, declaring that even a powerful military cannot protect the Islamic Republic if its people are hungry and the economy continues to deteriorate.

Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, speaker of Iran's parliament and one of the country's most senior political figures, made the comments during a meeting with Iranian and Iraqi economists in Baghdad, according to Middle East news outlet Al Bawaba.

"No matter how strong our military power becomes, if we are hungry, we will not be able to endure," Qalibaf warned, according to the report.

The comments represented a striking acknowledgment from inside Iran's leadership that the country's economic crisis could threaten its ability to maintain national security and political stability.

Qalibaf said military power cannot be separated from economic strength, describing security and the economy as "two wings" that depend upon one another.

Without security, he said, investors will not risk their capital. But without economic growth, domestic production, and sufficient income for ordinary citizens, the government cannot sustain security indefinitely.

His comments come as Iran continues to face severe economic pressures after years of international sanctions, regional conflict and enormous government expenditures on its military and regional allies.

Iran’s inflation has been reported at around 90%, while GDP has contracted sharply. More than 1 million jobs have been lost, and oil exports are now close to zero because of the U.S. naval blockade.

Meanwhile, Iran continues to invest heavily in ballistic missiles, drones and other weapons while also supporting armed groups and allies across the Middle East.

But Qalibaf's remarks suggest Iranian leaders are increasingly concerned that military capabilities offer little protection against growing economic hardship at home.

"We are hungry, we cannot survive," Al Bawaba summarized Qalibaf's warning in its headline Saturday.

Qalibaf, a former commander in Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, has long been considered a major figure in Iran's conservative political establishment.

His willingness to publicly link hunger and economic weakness to Iran's national security problems could therefore carry particular significance.

The parliament speaker emphasized that Iran needs economic growth, investment, financial activity, and increased domestic production if it hopes to remain resilient.

His message was straightforward: missiles and military power alone cannot guarantee the survival of the Iranian state.

For Iran to remain strong, Qalibaf argued, the government must also provide an economy capable of supporting its people.

Without both, he warned, Iran "will not be able to endure."

 
Sounds like the Iranians aren't talking to each other... LOL..

Iran Says New Sanctions Threatened by 'Desperate' US Will Fail​

Iran's foreign minister dismissed the threat of new U.S. sanctions as a sign of desperation on Sunday and said the expected new measures would fail to defeat Tehran.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who is due to hold a press conference at 2 p.m. EDT (1800 GMT) on Monday, has threatened to impose "the toughest sanctions in history" on Iran.

Iran's economy is already under huge pressure ‌from international sanctions, its infrastructure has been hit repeatedly and thousands of people have been killed in airstrikes on the Islamic Republic since the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on February 28.

But Tehran remains defiant after nearly six months of war and has brought shipping to a virtual standstill in the Strait of Hormuz, refusing to allow unauthorized oil tankers to transit a waterway ⁠that is vital for global oil shipments. The effective blockade of the strait has pushed up global oil prices.

Describing what he said were "repetitive scenarios," Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi said in a video posted on Telegram: "The fact that they (U.S. leaders) have moved on from military operations ... to ⁠bring up the same old plans shows that they are desperate."

"We have never been afraid. All of their actions - whether blockades or other military moves they have made - have failed, and this new issue of theirs will fail as well," he said.

 
Press conference is tomorrow
" — the single greatest financial offensive ever marshaled against an adversary.

The Islamic Republic has subsisted by dressing extortion as security guarantees. It has drawn strength from a calculus that regards Iranian retaliation as certain and American enforcement as negotiable.

Under President Trump, that era is over. And those who fear the danger of defying Tehran ought not to discount the cost of testing Washington.

The President has created the conditions to leverage every agency, every authority and action many assumed we would never summon. Our objective is to sever every economic lifeline that sustains the tyrannical regime until Tehran stands alone.
 
Open Source Intel @Osint613
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Iran:

“Now we are entering the endgame…”

“In 1943, the Allied powers convened the Tehran Conference to plot the course of an uncharted act.
As Roosevelt and Churchill weighed a campaign that would culminate in the Normandy landings, they asked themselves what could be done ‘to bring the greatest pressure to bear on the enemy’.

History has returned that question to Tehran.

And the moment has arrived to answer it with the full weight of American resolve.

President Donald Trump and the overwhelming might of our military have significantly dismantled Iran’s military capabilities and weakened its nuclear programme.

Now we are entering the endgame.

At dawn begins an economic D-Day — the single greatest financial offensive ever marshalled against an adversary.
For 47 years, the Islamic republic of Iran has been a malignant force in the world.

Within Iran, a corrupt regime has consigned what would be one of the world’s strongest economies to ruin and its enterprising people to repression.

President Trump has decimated Iran’s economy to a point where the rial has never been weaker and inflation has rarely been higher.

The regime’s final refuge now lies in the self-deception of fearful nations that still believe accommodating aggression can secure a durable peace.”
 

Iran Invited To Join ‘Islamic NATO’? Why Tehran’s Entry Into Mecca Pact Could Be A Geopolitical Shock

Published By :
Shuddhanta Patra, News18.com
Last Updated:
August 23, 2026

Iranian officials are considering the offer as regional powers look for security arrangements beyond the traditional US-led framework.

Iran, which has been fighting the US in the Middle East since February, has reportedly been invited to join the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan on August 7.

Iranian officials are considering the offer as regional powers look for security arrangements beyond the traditional US-led framework.

Mehdi Rahimi, head of Khaneh Mellat, the Iranian parliament’s official news agency, told Lebanon-based Al Mayadeen that Tehran had received an invitation and that “the matter is under consideration", Pakistan’s SAMAA TV reported on Sunday.

Who Invited Iran?

Details of the reported invitation remain unclear. Rahimi did not say which government had sent the invitation, when it was received or what conditions Iranian membership would involve. None of the three countries that founded the pact has publicly confirmed the reported approach.

The possibility of Iran joining is significant because the alliance emerged amid a regional war in which Iranian missiles and drones struck Gulf states, while Tehran’s allies threatened Saudi energy infrastructure and shipping.

If Iran were to join, the pact could shift from an alliance widely seen as protection against Tehran into a broader regional security forum that includes Iran itself.

What Is The Mecca Pact?

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement in Mecca. Its central provision says an armed attack against one member will be treated as an attack against all three.

The arrangement has been compared with Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, although its public text does not specify exactly what military action members would have to take following an attack.

The pact is often described by media and analysts as an “Islamic NATO".

Its framework includes four main areas: collective defence, defence industrial cooperation, joint military exercises and intelligence sharing.

The agreement calls for deeper cooperation in defence production, including technology transfer and joint manufacturing. It also provides for regular military exercises and mechanisms for sharing intelligence and strategic information.

However, the public text does not set out exact obligations for each member if one comes under attack. The degree, form and format of support would instead be decided through consultations.

The pact reportedly also contains an exclusionary provision under which a member that starts aggression or allows its territory to be used to attack another country would lose the pact’s protection.

Pakistan Wants Pact To Expand


Pakistan has indicated that the alliance should not remain limited to its three founding members.

Defence Minister Khawaja Asif said the pact should not become an “exclusive club", while Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar described it as “purely defensive in nature".

Egypt has been publicly identified as a possible future member. Syria and Bangladesh are also examining the pact.

Iran’s reported invitation would represent a much bigger geopolitical development.

Saudi-Iran Rivalry Complicates Move

Saudi Arabia and Iran restored diplomatic relations in 2023, but that reconciliation has faced renewed pressure amid the war.

Iran joining the pact could place two longtime rivals under the same defence framework. At the same time, it could expose the difficulties involved in expanding an alliance whose security purpose has been viewed in the context of regional threats involving Tehran.

The Mecca Pact was created as Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan sought closer security cooperation. An Iranian entry would significantly change the character of that arrangement and raise questions about how its collective defence commitments would operate with Tehran inside the framework.

Why Tehran’s Entry Into Mecca Pact Could Be A Geopolitical Shock?


Iran’s entry into the Mecca Pact would be a massive geopolitical shock because it could fundamentally alter the alliance’s original strategic purpose. A grouping created amid regional tensions and widely seen as a deterrent to Iranian influence would instead bring Tehran inside the security framework.

Iran’s inclusion would transform the pact from a grouping aimed at containing Tehran into a broader regional security arrangement that includes it. It could also deepen the push for strategic autonomy among Muslim-majority powers, reducing reliance on Western security guarantees.

For Saudi Arabia and Iran, membership could mark a major shift in their long-running rivalry and potentially encourage wider regional de-escalation.

If Tehran joins, the pact could reshape West Asian security, strengthen regional control over key energy routes and signal a move towards a more multipolar regional order.
 
Tousi said one thing that will cause a bit of comment. Please don’t do it here. The IRGC has announced they are considering paying a very large bounty for kidnapping of Baron Trump. It was also reported they released a video showing his school schedule, after class activities and/or hangouts, a lot of that sort of thing and much of it surprisingly accurate. For that reason they wouldn’t show it. I can’t imagine what kind of security that kid must have. Got to be pretty hard to get a date, let alone kidnapped.
 
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Iran TV Says 'Kill' Barron Trump, Claims $10 Million Bounty

Iranian media linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has escalated its threats against President Donald Trump's family, airing a video on state TV that purportedly tracks the movements of his 20-year-old son, Barron Trump.

Separate reports also claim a $10 million bounty has been placed on his head.

The video, reported Sunday by news outlet Al Bawaba, appeared on IRGC-linked media and Iran's state-run Channel 3 and carried the title, "Where to kill Barron Trump?"

According to Al Bawaba, the production purported to reveal information about Barron Trump's location and movements, presenting the president's youngest son as being within reach of potential attackers.

The outlet also reported claims of a $10 million bounty. The official status of the purported bounty could not immediately be independently confirmed.

The latest threat follows an earlier IRGC-linked propaganda campaign against first lady Melania Trump.

In July, the IRGC-affiliated Tasnim News Agency distributed a video titled "Where to Kill Melania?!" that discussed locations she frequents in New York and her shopping habits. The video alleged details about her Secret Service protection.

It encouraged would-be attackers to exploit supposed vulnerabilities.

The video concluded with a direct warning to the president's son: "Barron Trump, wait for us!" The Secret Service said it was aware of the threatening material and investigates threats against those under its protection.

The increasingly personal threats are part of a broader Iranian campaign directed at the president since the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war.

In July, a massive billboard appeared in Tehran's Islamic Revolution Square depicting Donald Trump apparently dead in a coffin. Written prominently across the display in English were the words, "We Kill Trump."

Other banners reportedly depicted American flag-draped coffins alongside images of Donald Trump, Melania Trump, and members of their family.

Iranian-linked media also previously circulated a video titled "Where to Kill Trump?!" purporting to map Trump's motorcade routes between airports and his residences in Florida and New York.

The Secret Service confirmed it was examining that material.

The threats represent a dramatic escalation from Tehran's long-standing vows of retaliation against Donald Trump and former U.S. officials over the 2020 killing of IRGC Quds Force Cmdr. Qasem Soleimani.


View: https://x.com/c14english/status/2091482886369067332?s=46&t=nGVgcONItgQOe_JoKFy5Ww

rt 2:41
 
I’m finding these little ‘side stories’ Tousi is telling, MOST telling. Started with videos of gas lines. Still stretching for miles. One guy filmed the little yellow dash light that means you’re about to walk was on and had been on for some time. He’s still a block away from the station and not moving. He was complaining he was at his fifth station today and all had the same story. No gas.

From there the report went to the national head of the police. (Regular cops, not Basij.) He is scared that with as bad as the economy has gotten another national uprising will take place at any time. How bad is it? Another clip of a Ministry of Finance official pacing, I think in front of a bank, demanding that someone be given 1,000,000 tomans. (Current exchange rate makes that about $100.) And if they didn’t he was going to ignite the half gallon of gas he had just poured on himself.

As reported before the IRGC is willing to sacrifice southern Iran to keep southern Lebanon, and the people aren’t pleased with that. The clip showed about twenty or so young men (college age) standing on a concrete stairway playing instruments and singing. The song is in praise of Reza Pahlavi. In Iran that is treason and they hang you for it.

Finally, it didn’t take long and is a bit stronger than expected. By now everyone knows about the economic D-Day. The U.S. says deal with Iran and we will hurt you. Irans’s responce is that within the next 48 hours they are going to launch a devastating attack on all Arab countries supporting the U.S. As I said, stronger than usual. Most times they say that and sooner or later launch a few missiles and drones. This time they say 48 hours.
 
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Open Source Intel @Osint613
IDF Chief of Staff: "The IDF is ready and alert across all sectors. We will not allow our enemies on the borders, with an emphasis on Gaza and Lebanon, to regroup and strengthen. We will continue to act offensively to weaken them. We will not allow terror infrastructures to take root. We will seize every opportunity to eliminate emerging threats. The IDF will not return to October 6th."

"The pursuit of the October 7 terrorists continues. Anyone who took part in the massacre will live in persecution until he is eliminated."
 
Open Source Intel @Osint613 Israeli military source to Al Arabiya: The battle with Hezbollah isn't over. Fierce fighting took place in and around Bint Jbeil. The group has taken heavy losses but remains intact as an organization.
 

'Bizarre strategic disaster': 4-star general says Iran 'will be a nuclear power' because of this war​

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbfwnzoVX3s

Run time - 8:07
Aug 24, 2026

The Trump administration is threatening total economic warfare on Iran. President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are expected to reveal new sanctions today. Former U.S. Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul, Staff Writer for The New Yorker Susan Glasser and retired Four-Star U.S. Army General Barry McCaffrey join Stephanie Ruhle to discuss the latest developments.
 

Trump says Strait of Hormuz has been demined, warns Iran not to plant more​

Aug 25 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that all mines ‌had been detonated or removed from international waters of the Strait of Hormuz and that Iran has been told that any ship or boat placing new mines will be destroyed.

In a post on Truth Social, ⁠Trump said the United States, through its Space Force, was watching "every square inch" of the Strait, a key waterway in the global energy supply chain.

"There is a Zero Tolerance policy on mine placement in full force and effect," Trump said.

The U.S. and Iran have not conducted air ‌strikes ⁠on each other's militaries for weeks, but attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz have continued as the two sides vie for control of the ⁠narrow maritime passage.

Oil transits through the strait were at 5 million barrels per day on Monday, provisional data ⁠from shiptracker Vortexa showed, down from more than 20 million per day before the ⁠war or about one of every five barrels consumed worldwide.

Reporting by Daphne Psaledakis and Ismail Shakil; editing by Michelle Nichols and Katharine Jackson


trump.JPG
 

China threatens Trump with retaliation over Iran sanctions


Beijing ‘will take all necessary measures’ to protect its interests as US aims to cut Tehran off from allies

Hans van Leeuwen
International Economics Editor
25 August 2026 12:47pm BST

Beijing has threatened to retaliate if China is hit by Donald Trump’s new Iran sanctions, raising fears of a fresh trade war between the two superpowers.

China’s ties with Iran “should not be interfered with or undermined”, foreign ministry spokesman Lin Jian warned on Tuesday, just hours after the White House vowed to target countries that refused to cut ties with Tehran.

“China is closely monitoring relevant developments and will take all necessary measures to firmly safeguard its own rights and interests,” he told a press conference in Beijing.

Mr Lin called for dialogue and negotiation rather than “economic warfare”. He said sanctions would “escalate tensions, create spillover risks, and disrupt the global economic and financial order”.

His comments came after Scott Bessent, Mr Trump’s treasury secretary, launched “Operation Economic Outcast” on Monday, which aims to fully isolate Iran from the global economy and financial system.

This could include using secondary sanctions to punish countries that trade with, invest in or lend to the Iranian regime.

“Our objective is to sever every economic lifeline that sustains this tyrannical regime until Tehran stands alone,” Mr Bessent said.

China is one of Iran’s major trading partners. Its network of small domestic refineries, known as “teapots”, bought about 80pc of seaborne Iranian crude oil exported last year.

Tehran and Beijing have a self-described “comprehensive strategic partnership” that included about $40bn (£29bn) of two-way trade last year.

The Iran-China oil trade has dwindled since the Strait of Hormuz closed. But Iran may still be importing Chinese machinery and technology, and using Chinese banks as a backdoor into the financial system.

Mr Bessent acknowledged on Monday that China could be a target of Washington’s bid to “economically asphyxiate” Iran.

He said: “No one is above the reach of US sanctions. … If they facilitate transactions and are part of the ecosystem that turns Iranian oil into money, into repression, they will be targeted.”

Mr Trump has spent much of this year rowing back his trade war with Beijing after President Xi Jinping curbed America’s access to vital Chinese-produced rare earths and magnets.

He paid a fence-mending trip to Beijing in May, and Xi is expected to visit Washington next month. Until this week, the two sides have been careful to avoid any new antagonism.

But Bloomberg reported on Monday that Mr Trump was considering a new 7.5pc “overcapacity” tariff on goods that Chinese factories are producing at market-flooding levels.

And the US treasury named a clutch of Hong Kong-based trading and shipping companies as targets for the Iran sanctions on Monday. It alleged that some of them were involved in procuring sensitive technology for Tehran.

So far, though, the initial sanctions salvo has avoided targeting big Chinese banks, which allow Tehran to bypass the longstanding Western financial blockade.

Mr Trump threatened secondary sanctions on buyers of Russian oil last year. The ensuing tariffs were slapped on India, but China was spared.

Beijing has already responded to the looming threat since Mr Trump returned to office last year. Enforcement agencies have been handed new powers to punish businesses that comply with sanctions deemed contrary to Chinese interests.
 
Posted for fair use......

Oil prices fall for second day as US shifts from Iran strikes to sanctions​


Economy

Oil prices fell for a second straight day on Tuesday as traders saw a reduced risk of renewed US military strikes on Iran after Washington instead threatened broader economic sanctions. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared an “economic D-Day” against Tehran but gave no timeline or details on countries that could face penalties.

Issued on: 25/08/2026 - 23:57 Modified: 25/08/2026 - 23:59

2 min Reading time



By:
FRANCE 24

Oil prices fell for a second day on Tuesday as tradersjudged the risk of renewed military strikes on Iran to have receded, after the United States instead threatened broader economic sanctions.


Although Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the White House was declaring an "economic D-Day" against Iran and its trade partners, the US gave no timeline for its new sanctions and did not name any other countries it would punish.


The measures were softer than analysts had expected and were accompanied by renewed shuttle diplomacy, with key Pakistani mediators reporting positive talks with Iran's president on Monday.


Pakistan Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi reported "a very positive and productive meeting," saying on X he believes the "momentum will help pave the way for further progress and lasting peace in the region."


Read moreUS economic D-Day sanctions: 'Repeated bombing attacks across Iran failed to change the calculus'


The news helped calm oil markets, with prices falling more than three percent and the international benchmark Brent back below $90 a barrel, following weeks of rising prices caused by deadlock in talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.


Wall Street stocks finished solidly higher, with the broad-based S&P 500 advancing 0.3 percent.


But FHN Financial's Chris Low warned that markets seemed to be shrugging off the US-Canada trade war, with Canada unveiling counter-tariffs on US goods ranging between 15 and 50 percent.


"There may be a mistaken belief that because there were already tariffs in place, that it won't make much difference," Low said. "But that is a mistake because the tariffs imposed over the weekend are much broader and much bigger than the tariffs that were there before."


Major European markets closed higher, aside from Paris, which slipped back slightly in late trading.


"European stock markets rebounded early Tuesday with some relief evident from the lack of any material increase in the economic pressure on Iran," said Neil Wilson, investor strategist at Saxo UK.


Markets were also boosted by German data showing the country's second-quarter growth was stronger than previously estimated.


Read moreIran discovers major new gas reserves amid war-hit energy sector


Investors are looking ahead to earnings Wednesday from artificial intelligence pace setter Nvidia.


The chipmaker's performance has become a key test of the AI boom, with concerns growing over whether the sector can match lofty expectations.


"The most actively traded stocks in the US right now are all the major AI names," said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB trading group.


She added that Nvidia's results "will be a key driver of price action, and potential volatility later this week".


Investors are also looking to the annual Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers, economists and finance chiefs beginning Thursday, where Federal Reserve boss Kevin Warsh is due to speak.


His comments will be parsed for clues about monetary policy, with US inflation still stubbornly high and after Bessent said the Treasury would buy back more of its own bonds to push down borrowing costs after the 30-year yield hit a 19-year high.


(FRANCE 24 with AFP)

Israel calls Erdogan an ‘anti-Semitic dictator’ after Turkey issues Netanyahu arrest warrant


As it happened

Middle East
 
Open Source Intel @Osint613 Iranian reports: Qatar has notified Tehran that it is unaware of the fate of the Iranian Sukhoi fighter jet pilots, and Tehran has called on Doha to step up its efforts to clarify what happened to them.

An Iranian military spokesman said contacts were carried out through the Foreign Ministry, the presidency, and the Qatari military. According to him, the only response received so far has been a declaration of no knowledge.
 
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