WAR Iran/ US/mideast war thread - 2/28/26 Open Hostilities (Thread for Off Topic discussion started, see post #13,751, page 344)

Mossad Commentary
@MOSSADil
1h

IRAN SAYS TALKS ARE SUSPENDED, NOT OVER

Iran told Pakistan it has suspended—not withdrawn from—talks and is willing to resume negotiations in Doha, Geneva, or Islamabad, according to Al Arabiya.

Tehran is rejecting a new Strait of Hormuz route and wants negotiations to follow the existing memorandum of understanding: Strait of Hormuz first, frozen funds second, and the nuclear issue last.
 
Eli Afriat
@EliAfriatISR
1h

| President Isaac Herzog has just spoken with the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa. The King of Bahrain initiated the call and its public announcement:

"I have just spoken with His Majesty the King of Bahrain, Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa.

In our conversation, we discussed strengthening the friendship and deepening ties between Israel and Bahrain, as well as the importance of the Abraham Accords—led by the United States—in bolstering security, stability, and prosperity across the entire Middle East. We also discussed recent developments and the importance of cooperation and dialogue among the countries of the region.

Bahrain is a key partner in shaping the future of the Middle East. I commended the King for his courageous leadership and vision, and expressed my appreciation for his contribution to deepening peace, stability, and cooperation between our nations."
 
trendingpoliticsnews.com

Trump Announces Decision On ‘Massive Escalation’ In Iran​



President Donald Trump has decided to hold off, at least temporarily, on plans for a major escalation of U.S. military operations against Iran this weekend.

The decision follows nearly two weeks of daily U.S. airstrikes, which commenced following the collapse of the Islamabad memorandum of understanding (MOU). The MOU, which was signed electronically by Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, established a 60-day framework for a cease-fire, gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, limited sanctions relief including oil export waivers, and negotiations toward a broader agreement on Iran’s nuclear program and related issues.
In the initial days after the signing, both sides took steps consistent with the document. The United States issued temporary waivers allowing Iranian oil sales, and shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz began to recover from wartime lows.

However, implementation faced immediate challenges, including differing interpretations of commitments on nuclear inspections and the precise terms for maritime access.
Tensions resurfaced in late June. On June 26, the United States reported an attack on a commercial vessel in the Strait of Hormuz and launched retaliatory strikes on Iranian military infrastructure, including drone facilities, surveillance systems, and air defenses.
The situation deteriorated further in early July. On July 7, attacks struck multiple commercial ships, including tankers linked to Qatar and Saudi Arabia, in the Strait of Hormuz. The United States responded with strikes on more than 80 Iranian targets, focusing on air defense systems, command networks, coastal radars, anti-ship missiles, and Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps vessels.

Concurrently, the U.S. Treasury revoked the oil export waiver granted under the MOU. On July 8, while attending a NATO summit in Turkey, Trump stated that the memorandum was “over” from his perspective and described further dealings with Iranian leaders as a “waste of time.”
By Friday evening, operations had continued for 13 nights, targeting military command centers, missile and drone storage, coastal surveillance, maritime assets, and logistics infrastructure. The naval blockade of Iranian ports was reinstated, and further sanctions were imposed on networks supporting Iranian financial activities.

Also on Friday, Trump indicated that he was considering a larger-scale operation, describing it as potentially “bigger than ever before.” He met with senior advisers and cabinet members that day to review options, while Pentagon assets, including additional forces and munitions, had been positioned in the region.
By Friday evening, however, plans for an immediate major escalation were set aside. Trump told reporters that forces remained prepared while talks with Iran continued and that Tehran appeared to be growing more serious in negotiations.
No U.S. strikes were announced for the night of July 24-25, marking the first pause after the recent sequence of operations.
POLL: Do You Approve Of Secretary Of War Pete Hegseth?
Trump Announces Decision On ‘Massive Escalation’ In Iran
 
Will Schryver
@imetatronink

Rumors are swirling that the Pentagon is pressuring Trump to call off the war with Iran because the US has nearly exhausted its stockpiles of air-defense interceptors and stand-off strike missiles. Imagine that.

View: https://twitter.com/imetatronink/status/2081170605664272718?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
That is certainly the current narrative. Maybe true, maybe not, definitely the most helpful mantra for the opposition at the present time.
 
Open Source Intel @Osint613
Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa:

Lebanon is always faced with two options: either an Israeli occupation or a civil war.

So, we are trying to discuss with the Lebanese government a set of solutions that could lead Lebanon to safety and for Lebanon to benefit from the current Syrian renaissance and the interest in Syria, by being part of this comprehensive reform happening in the region.
 
Nathan J Hunt reposted
BeamTracker | Military OSINT
@BeamTracker_
4h

BREAKING: Iran has launched a drone attack on Harir Air Base near Erbil, Iraq, a key U.S. military facility that hosts at least 1,000 American troops.

This attack comes after the IRGC’s announcement that it would halt attacks as long as Washington did the same.

This is an important escalation.
 
Saudi Aramco Targeted, Including Sprawling Abqaiq Facility



The ARAMCO refinery in Jizan, eastern Saudi Arabia, is still burning more than 2 days after the impact of ballistic missiles launched by the Houtis.

A massive trail of smoke which extends for about 70 km can be seen on Sentinel-2 satellite imagery, 26/07/2026. pic.twitter.com/v05cwhMRjY
— MoloMonitor (@MoloWarMonitor) July 27, 2026


Meanwhile there are emerging Monday reports that Saudi Aramco's Abqaiq oil processing facility in the kingdom's eastern province is on fire after probable drone and/or missile strikes by the Houthis, or from Iran-aligned Iraqi militias.

Newsquawk reports based on emerging Iranian state media that "Hours ago, the huge Abqaiq oil facility in eastern Saudi Arabia, one of the world's most important oil processing centers, was set on fire in drone and missile attacks, reports Tasnim citing sources and images."

Some various OSINT accounts are also seeking to verify the fires. If confirmed this would be a very serious development, which potential significant impact on the kingdom's crude output.

International reports commonly estimate that the sprawling Abqaiq facility - as the largest crude oil stabilization and processing facility in the world - has a maximum processing capacity of 7 million barrels per day (bpd) and typically operates at around 4.9 million bpd.

Houthi media has also been highlighting the fires at the site on Monday, following prior alleged Houthi attacks on key Aramco sites in Jizan and Yanbu over the weekend. The group's military spokesperson Yahya Sare identified that these sites were hit, with international press agencies citing, "There is no immediate Saudi confirmation, though footage shows plumes of black smoke rising into the air from the Aramco refinery in Jizan."
 
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Major damage to the Abqaiq oil processing facility, the world’s largest crude oil stabilization plant processing 7% of global oil supply, and a massive black plume of smoke rising following drone attacks, per Sentinel-2 imagery​




 
This is a "dot" that extends beyond the current conflict with Iran......

Posted for fair use......

Kuwait ratifies defence agreement with Pakistan as both nations negotiate broader strategic ties: foreign media reports​

News Desk•10 hrs ago
2 min read

News Desk•10 hrs ago
2 min read

Kuwait has ratified a broad defence cooperation agreement with Pakistan, three years after its initial signing in June 2023, media reports from the Gulf country have confirmed.

The agreement, approved through Decree-Law No. 73 of 2026 and published in Kuwait’s official gazette, Kuwait Al-Youm, establishes a framework for armed forces cooperation.

The pact focuses on military training, education, intelligence sharing, logistics, defence technology, research and technical exchanges.

The scope extends to military manufacturing, electronic communications systems, scientific research, military media and joint cultural and sports initiatives. A joint military committee will manage implementation through exercises, official visits and joint programs.

Carrying a five-year term that renews automatically, the agreement obligates both nations to safeguard confidential military information and resolve disputes via diplomatic channels.

The formal ratification came days after an international media outlet reported that Pakistan and Kuwait were negotiating an expanded defence agreement tied to investment and energy cooperation, citing five sources familiar with the discussions.

At the time of the report, those discussions were described as being at an early stage, with potential complications arising from ongoing military strikes between the United States (US) and Iran.

While Kuwait had held a limited defence arrangement with Pakistan for joint exercises and training dating back to 2023, it was seeking a broader framework similar to Pakistan’s agreement with Saudi Arabia.

A Pakistani official noted that Kuwait’s request included thousands of Pakistani troops on the ground, fighter jets, drones, air defence systems and related military facilities.

Uncertainty remained over whether Pakistan would accede to those terms, given the deep historical context of its alliance with Saudi Arabia.

“Kuwait’s wish list includes everything,” a Pakistani security official with knowledge of the negotiations stated. “But let me be clear about one thing: We are not and we cannot consider a deployment of combat troops at this stage.”

A Middle Eastern source confirmed that conversations surrounding defence procurement were active, while noting it was unclear if the dialogue would produce a formal defence pact per se.

Under the potential broader agreement, Islamabad aimed for energy security cooperation to support ongoing efforts by the Pakistani energy ministry to expand national oil and fuel reserves.
 
Posted for fair use......

Prepared to use force: Pakistan warns Houthi rebels over attacks on Saudi​

Pakistan has warned Yemen's Houthi rebels that it would use force against them after the Iran-backed group declared a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea. Pakistan also condemned the Houthis after they attacked two Saudi oil tankers. Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have a Nato-like defence pact.

India Today World Desk
New Delhi,UPDATED: Jul 23, 2026 20:26 IST
Written By: Avinash Kateel

Pakistan seems to be sucked into the crisis in the Middle East. After carefully worded statements and quiet balancing acts, Pakistan was forced to threaten Yemen's Houthi rebels with the use of force. That came after the Iran-backed rebels imposed a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia and attacked two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea.

On Thursday, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said that he had a phone conversation with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, condemning the "Houthi militia's attacks" and reaffirming Pakistan's "complete solidarity" with Riyadh.

"I condemn, in the strongest possible terms, the Houthi militia's attacks against Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea. Such actions are unacceptable, violate international law, threaten freedom of navigation, and undermine regional peace and security," Sharif posted on X after speaking with the Saudi Crown Prince.

Sharif added that he, along with Field Marshal Asim Munir and the Pakistani nation, stood "firmly and resolutely" with the Saudi leadership. He also said that Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have also agreed to work closely to maintain regional peace and ensure the uninterrupted flow of lawful maritime commerce through both the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz.

The statement marked a significant escalation from Islamabad's position a day earlier.

PAKISTAN WARNS YEMEN'S HOUTHI REBELS OF USE OF FORCE​


On Wednesday, Pakistan publicly warned that it was prepared to use force to defend its maritime interests if Houthi rebels targeted Pakistani-flagged vessels or commercial shipping linked to Saudi Arabia. Karachi-based Dawn news described the statement as one of Islamabad's strongest public declarations in recent years.

The warning came after the Houthis announced an immediate maritime embargo on Saudi Arabia, threatening shipping through the Red Sea and opening a new front in the widening Middle East conflict, according to Dawn.

Pakistan's Foreign Office condemned the Houthi threats as a violation of international law, saying threats against commercial shipping and trade with Saudi Arabia were "unacceptable" and warning that any hostile act against Pakistani vessels or maritime interests would be treated as "a grave threat" to Pakistan's sovereignty and national security.

Islamabad further declared that it reserved the right to "take all necessary measures, including lawful use of force" in self-defence, consistent with the United Nations Charter and international law, Dawn reported.

The unusually blunt language of Pakistan reflects far more than diplomatic support for Saudi Arabia.

PAKISTAN AND SAUDI ARABIA HAVE A NATO-LIKE DEFENCE PACT​


Pakistan and Saudi Arabia have maintained one of the closest defence partnerships in the Muslim world for decades. Thousands of Pakistani military personnel have served in the Kingdom in advisory and training roles, while defence cooperation has remained a cornerstone of Islamabad's Gulf policy.

That relationship between the two deepened in September 2025 when the two countries signed a Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement, under which an armed attack against either country is treated as an act of aggression against both. This is similar to what Nato member countries have.

According to Dawn, Pakistan had already invoked the defence arrangement through diplomatic intervention earlier this year to discourage heavier Iranian strikes against Saudi Arabia.

The immediate trigger for Islamabad's latest warning was the Houthis' threat to impose a maritime blockade targeting Saudi-linked shipping through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, the narrow chokepoint connecting the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden.

The Iran-backed rebels have repeatedly targeted commercial shipping in the waterway since the Gaza conflict began, but their latest declaration significantly widens the scope by directly threatening Saudi Arabia's trade routes.

According to the Riyadh-based Arab News, Pakistan described the Houthi threats as endangering regional security, freedom of navigation, rules-based maritime order and global commerce. Islamabad also stressed that threats against vessels engaged in lawful trade with Saudi Arabia violated international law.

RED SEA ROUTE CRUCIAL FOR PAKISTAN'S CRUDE SUPPLY​


For Pakistan, the blockade imposed by Houthis on Saudi Arabia is not merely strategic. It is also economic.

With the Strait of Hormuz effectively disrupted by the renewed US-Iran confrontation, Saudi Arabia has increasingly relied on its Red Sea ports to export crude oil. Pakistan, in turn, depends heavily on Saudi oil shipped through the same corridor. Any prolonged disruption could threaten Pakistan's energy security and force it to seek more expensive crude from alternative suppliers, according to Arab News.

The concerns are already being reflected in commercial shipping patterns.

According to a Reuters report, four oil tankers altered their routes in the Red Sea on Wednesday. Two diverted towards the Suez Canal while two others headed into open waters. A fifth vessel, which had signalled Saudi Arabia's port of Jeddah as its destination, also appeared to turn away in the Gulf of Aden.

Reuters on Tuesday (July 21) reported that three Saudi crude tankers bound for China and India similarly reversed course instead of sailing near Yemen's coast.

The Bab al-Mandab Strait remains one of the world's most critical maritime chokepoints. Any sustained disruption there would complicate Saudi Arabia's efforts to bypass the Strait of Hormuz, further tightening pressure on global energy supplies.

TRUMP'S 'WILL TAKE CARE' WARNING TO HOUTHIS​


The developments in the Middle East have also drawn Washington into the escalating crisis. US President Donald Trump had earlier warned that the United States would "take care of" the Houthis if they followed through on their threat to blockade Saudi Arabia's ports, according to the Associated Press.

Despite its unusually strong warning, Pakistan has continued to emphasise diplomacy.

Pakistan's Foreign Office reiterated Islamabad's commitment to dialogue, regional de-escalation and international law while urging all parties to ensure the safety of maritime commerce. At the same time, it expressed concern over attempts to draw Saudi Arabia deeper into the wider Middle East conflict.

For years, Pakistan's support for Saudi Arabia was largely conveyed through quiet diplomacy and military cooperation behind closed doors. The statements issued by Pakistan and Sharif's direct call to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman after the reported tanker attack suggest Islamabad is now finally prepared to publicly stand beside its closest defence partner as the Middle East conflict threatens to spill into one of the world's most vital energy corridors. Pakistan also risks getting sucked into the Middle East turmoil.


- Ends
 
Posted for fair use......


Drawing A Kinetic Line – OpEd​


July 26, 2026

By Nimra Khalil

Key Takeaways:


  • Shift from Mediator to Enforcer: After previously brokering a ceasefire framework between the US and Iran that temporarily reopened the Strait of Hormuz, Pakistan has now issued a direct kinetic threat to the Houthis against any attempt to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, invoking self-defense rights and its strategic mutual defence agreement with Saudi Arabia.
  • Severe Economic Stakes: Simultaneous closure of both Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb could trigger catastrophic global losses (estimated 5–10% GDP contraction), while for Pakistan it would disrupt critical energy imports, textile exports, and supply chains at a time of heavy debt and IMF pressures.
  • Regional and Global Implications: By extending deterrence over Saudi maritime interests, a nuclear-armed Pakistan is positioned as a key security guarantor for Gulf economies and international shipping lanes, filling gaps left by overstretched Western navies and underscoring a shift toward regional powers defending global chokepoints.

After proving itself as the sole diplomatic option for Iran and the US, since the start of the war, Pakistan’s patience for Middle Eastern diplomatic posture has finally hit a wall and it didn’t happen in a desert borderland. It happened on the water. The Middle Eastern theater took a dangerous turn on 22nd July, 2026, when Pakistan’s Foreign Office categorically threatened the Houthis in Yemen against any endeavor to chock the strait of Bab el Mandeb. The danger is twofold, first the only reliable mediator in Middle East might become a warring party and second, the world may see a third nuclear power entering the conflict.


In mid-June 2026, when a direct war between the United States and Iran threatened to incinerate the global economy, it was not Western statecraft that pulled the world back from the brink. It was Pakistan. Islamabad engineered a 14-point framework agreement that achieved the impossible: it got Washington and Tehran to sign a ceasefire. The MoU reopened the Strait of Hormuz for commercial shipping toll-free and halted a U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports. For a brief window, Pakistan saved global energy markets with a pen. It was the masterclass of a mature diplomatic anchor, quietly mediating a conflict the superpowers could not solve themselves.


However, the breakdown of Islamabad MoU and the resumption of attacks from both sides came with a new dilemma. The Houthi of Yemen, an Iranian backed militia, threatened the closure of the strait of Bab el Mandeb, unnerving the region and the world as Iran has already announced the blockade of the strait of Hurmuz in June 2026.

With the announcements of closing down both straits, the diplomatic efforts, spearheaded by Pakistan and Qatar were dumped, not because of there is no room for diplomacy now, but there is no time for it. The world can simply not afford to bear the closure of both the straits simultaneously. Simply, the economic loss to the world would be catastrophic, potentially activating a global GDP contraction of 5% to 10% (amounting to $5 trillion to $10 trillion in annual losses) and launching an unprecedented global depression. A dual closure would paralyze the primary arteries for over 40% of global seaborne oil and a third of all global maritime trade, severing the economic bridge between Europe, the Middle East, and East Asia.


For Pakistan, the math is severe. Saudi crude entering through western ports feeds domestic industry. European-bound textile shipments represent national export survival. A blocked sea route guarantees spiked freight insurance premiums, crippling delays, and an engineered energy crisis that would crater an economy already straining under heavy debt and IMF reforms. Concurrently seeking a $10 billion financial lifeline from the US Treasury, Islamabad simply cannot afford a supply chain shock.


The Pakistan’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs uncompromising kinetic threat to the Houthis is thus crucial for Pakistan, the Middle East and the whole world at large. Invoking the right to self-defense under the United Nations Charter, Islamabad warned that any hostile action against its flagged vessels or maritime interests would trigger the lawful use of force. This was the kinetic activation of the Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement signed with Saudi Arabia in September 2025. That pact formalized an absolute calculus: an attack on one nation constitutes an act of aggression against both.

Suddenly, a nuclear-armed power with deep naval capability shifted from diplomatic mediator to kinetic enforcer. In doing so, Pakistan has effectively stepped up as the indispensable savior for the Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, heavily reliant on its Red Sea pipeline infrastructure to bypass the blocked Strait of Hormuz, faces an existential economic threat without maritime security. By declaring a hostile act against Saudi-bound commerce a grave threat to its own national sovereignty, Pakistan extended its deterrence umbrella over the Kingdom. Islamabad is ensuring the physical survival of Gulf economies while securing its own.


Yet, Pakistan is also underwriting a paralyzed global system. Securing the Bab al-Mandeb suppresses container shipping rates for European markets. It prevents crude oil spikes that feed inflation across the West. Even Beijing quietly benefits; China relies heavily on these maritime routes to funnel goods to Europe, and its Belt and Road trade requires the stability Islamabad is enforcing. Most importantly, Pakistan’s intervention relieves overextended Western navies that lack the operational bandwidth to unilaterally police the oceans.


The comfortable post-war illusion was that American armadas would forever guarantee the safety of global trade. That era is dead. The defense of international supply chains has shifted from a centralized superpower monopoly to a decentralized web of self-interested, highly capable regional anchors.


When a nuclear-armed state with a battle-tested conventional military commits its forces to securing a vital global chokepoint, the decision may seem driven by national interest. In practice, however, that pursuit of self-preservation also safeguards regional security and the stability of the global economy. The global economy, perhaps shall survive, but not because the high stakeholders fulfilled their responsibilities, rather due to states like Pakistan, with real skin in the game, are willing to put their own metal on the line. The international community owes its current economic stability to a fleet enforcing order in the Red Sea.

About Nimra Khalil​


Nimra Khalil is a geopolitical analyst and opinion writer. Her research and commentary explore international relations, security strategy, and the shifting balance of power in an increasingly multipolar world, with particular attention to South Asia and the Asia-Pacific.


View all posts by Nimra Khalil →
 
Reports say cranes, security vehicles and scaffolding were moved into Alikhani Square overnight ahead of the executions.
"... There's now reports of a street war happening between the people and the regime, with the regime shooting and stabbing people.

I have no way to confirm this in either direction, but have deleted the posts about their hanging until I know for sure.

Pray that a miracle happened today and that the three men are still alive.
 
"... There's now reports of a street war happening between the people and the regime, with the regime shooting and stabbing people.

I have no way to confirm this in either direction, but have deleted the posts about their hanging until I know for sure.

Pray that a miracle happened today and that the three men are still alive.
I regret to say that Tousi has reported that the three men were executed later on in the day. It was also reported the regime was so scared by the protest they once again put Basij on the street, snipers on the roofs, and many protestors in jail. Probably to be executed at a future date.
 
BREAKING: IRAN JUST LAUNCHED A SURPRISE BALLISTIC MISSILE ATTACK ON U.S. FORCES
At 5:45 p.m. ET, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps fired multiple ballistic missiles from Iran in a direct attempt to hit American troops in the Middle East.
CENTCOM just confirmed: EVERY SINGLE MISSILE WAS INTERCEPTED.
Zero hits. Complete failure.
U.S. forces remain at maximum readiness. The message is clear — America will not be caught off guard.
This is the latest Iranian provocation. How should the U.S. respond?

RT 1:29
View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2082244178927611976
 
Related?

Doug Dunbar:

Major meltdown for @AmericanAir happening right now. FAA says every AA flight in the country is grounded right now. IT issue. App and website does not work. Next update per FAA comes at 6:30pm central time. @CBSNewsTexas

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2082239148153303494
American Airlines:

A technology issue briefly impacted connectivity for some of our systems on Tuesday evening. Systems are coming back online now and flights are departing again. We put a temporary ground stop in place while our teams worked to resolve the issue. We apologize to our customers for the inconvenience.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2082245028903051331
 
USCENTCOM:

TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command and the Saudi Arabian Armed Forces conducted precision strikes in Iraq, July 28, against Iran-aligned terrorists that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) directed to attack U.S. forces and Saudi energy infrastructure.

U.S. and Saudi fighter aircraft struck multiple terrorist logistics and weapons sites across eastern Iraq in a strong response to over 30 IRGC-directed aerial drone attacks in the last 72 hours.

The unwarranted attacks against U.S. forces were not successful.

From February through April 2026, there were more than 600 attempted attacks on U.S. citizens and facilities by Iran-aligned terrorist militias in Iraq.

The IRGC and its terrorist proxies must cease these attacks to avoid further U.S. military response.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2082260118930956482
 
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