WAR Iran/ US/mideast war thread - 2/28/26 Open Hostilities (Thread for Off Topic discussion started, see post #13,751, page 344)

auxman

Deus vult...
USCENTCOM:

CENTCOM Statement on Recently Fallen, Missing U.S. Service Members

TAMPA, Fla. — On July 17, two U.S. service members in Jordan were killed in action as U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) and partner forces defended against Iranian ballistic missile and drone attacks. Additionally, one service member is currently missing.

Four American service members were medically evacuated to Jordanian hospitals. They have since been discharged. Other personnel who were evaluated for minor injuries have returned to duty.

Out of respect for the families, CENTCOM will withhold additional information, including the identities of the fallen warriors, until 24 hours after the next of kin have been notified.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2078530691109974522
 

auxman

Deus vult...
TravelGov:

Worldwide Caution: Due to heightened tensions in the Middle East, the security environment remains complex with the potential for unforeseen escalation. We remind Americans in the region of the continued need for caution and encourage them to monitor the news for breaking developments.  The Department of State advises Americans worldwide, and especially in the Middle East, to exercise increased caution. Americans abroad should follow the guidance in security alerts issued by the nearest U.S. embassy or consulate. Flight cancellations and periodic airspace closures may cause travel disruptions. U.S. diplomatic facilities, including outside the Middle East, have been targeted. Groups supportive of Iran may target other U.S. interests overseas or locations associated with the United States and/or Americans throughout the world. Please read carefully our Travel Advisory, country information, and any recent security alerts when planning travel at travel.state.gov/destination. Full alert: https://travel.state.gov/en/interna...visories/global-events/worldwide-caution.html

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2078567441089593444
 

day late

money? whats that?
(One question. With what???)


Iran Threatens ‘Full-Scale Offensive … No Political Border Will Be Safe’ if U.S. Airstrikes Don’t Stop
Kathianne Boniello
Jul 18th, 2026, 8:39 am

The Iran conflict threatened to boil over Saturday after a senior Iranian advisor threatened a “full-scale offensive operation” if U.S. airstrikes didn’t stop.

The ominous statements from Major General Mohsen Rezaei, a senior military adviser to Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, came after the United States finished a seventh day of airstrikes.

“If US strikes continue for several more days, we will move into a phase of full-scale offensive operations,” said Rezaei, who once served as the head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards.

“Iran will no longer limit itself to retaliatory, like-for-like responses…and no political border will be safe,” he was quoted as saying by Iran’s news agency IRIB.

The two sides traded strikes which targeted bridges and other infrastructure, with Iran striking water and desalination plants in Kuwait, CNN reported.

Several American service members were injured in Iran’s retaliatory attacks, CBS News said Friday.

CNN’s Nic Robertson outlined the latest in the conflict Saturday morning, including Iranian strikes on Kuwait and attempts to target Saudi Arabia:

Kuwait is one of the countries that’s really been taking a hammering in these latest Israeli — latest Iranian strikes overnight and the water and desalination plant there hit significant enough damage and the government wanting to bring enough attention to it that their minister of electricity, water and renewable energies actually visited the site today.

Another serious and significant impact reported by Kuwaiti authorities saying that a site that significant damage was done to vital equipment at one of their main oil facilities, and that’s going to have an impact on its production capability several people there also injured.

Another significant change overnight was that Iran escalating in its strikes, trying to target two places in Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia had not been hit up until now.

They were trying to hit, it appears the Red Sea port of Yanbu, that is and has been a red line for the Saudis in the past because it is their vital way of getting energy, oil out to the rest of the world via the Red Sea.

It’s on the west coast of Saudi Arabia, but also, it appears the Iranians are trying to strike an air base, Prince Sultan Air Base, where the U.S. Military has, until very recently at least, had military operations out of.

Now, the Iranians saying that water desalination plant there has been damaged, affecting a number of villages.
 

auxman

Deus vult...

danielboon

TB Fanatic
Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork Iran rushed out $6 billion of oil during its brief truce with the US, sending about 20 tankers to waters off Malaysia after Washington lifted its blockade on Iranian ships. Analysts say the oil’s ultimate destination is China - WSJ
 

danielboon

TB Fanatic
Faytuks Network @FaytuksNetwork Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi and Iraqi counterpart Fuad Hussein held a phone call to discuss the Middle East situation and bilateral cooperation
 

danielboon

TB Fanatic
EndGameWW3 @EndGameWW3 The U.S. should aim to decapitate the chain of command in #Iran   's regime responsible for the deaths of two American servicemembers, including the commander of the Khatam al-Anbiya's Central Headquarters Ali Abdollahi, the commander-in-chief of #IRGCterrorists Ahmad Vahidi, and the commander of #IRGCterrorists Aerospace Force Majid Mousavi, including their deputies. Targeting should also include Defense Council members and Supreme National Security Council members.
 

day late

money? whats that?

Iran’s hardliners warn of a ‘coup’ as US truce comes under pressure
Story by Mostafa Salem, CNN

As Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian walked alongside the coffin of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Tehran last week, some of the black-clad mourners surrounding him chanted not in tribute to the late leader, but directly at him – “death to the compromiser.”

Not far from that site, Abbas Araghchi, Iran’s top diplomat who negotiated a ceasefire with the Trump administration and lifted some sanctions on the Islamic Republic, was forced to flee the funeral after a mob pelted him with rocks amid death chants accusing him of being a “traitorous sellout.”

The hostility directed at top officials during the funeral reflects a theory that has been gaining traction within the Islamic Republic’s most radical factions for months: that Iran’s wartime leaders who negotiated and signed the agreement with Washington are staging a soft coup against the Islamic Republic and its revolutionary ideals while the new supreme leader remains largely invisible for fear of his life – or, as some have suggested, because he is incapacitated.

The hardline factions that attended the funeral in large numbers believe that instead of avenging Khamenei’s killing, Iranian officials have surrendered by signing an agreement that defies the orders of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, the late leader’s son and successor. But Khamenei has remained hidden from public view, neither addressing the nation directly nor visibly asserting his authority, even as officials negotiate or govern in his name.

Hardliners have accused Iran’s visible leadership – those running and representing the country as Khamenei remains in hiding – of plotting to consolidate power by suspending parliament, defying his orders in negotiations and attempting to disperse the nightly street rallies that had become a potent power base for fundamentalists.

“Warning to the people of Iran: Is a coup on the way??” Mahmoud Nabavian, an outspoken radical lawmaker, asked on X days before Khamenei’s funeral.

“In these moments of farewell to the martyred Imam (Khamenei), we raise the banner of vengeance for his blood and stand firm against the coup,” he wrote days later.

In Mojtaba’s absence, chief negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Pezeshkian and Araghchi have become the most visible faces in charge of post-war Iran. Without access to the new supreme leader, hardliners who are unhappy with their performance have instead accused them of plotting a coup, Arash Azizi, a US-based Iran expert and author of the book “What Iranians Want,” told CNN.

“Mojtaba’s continued absence means that they don’t have access to him and also that Ghalibaf and allies are effectively in charge of the country… the ultra-hardliners have thus accused Ghalibaf and Pezeshkian of plotting a ‘coup’ against Mojtaba,” Azizi said.

‘Us, the blade and your throat’​

Despite widespread calls for wartime unity across Iran, the weeklong grand funeral for Khamenei, killed in late February in Israeli airstrikes coordinated with the United States, became a powerful showcase for the Islamic Republic’s most hardline supporters. They used the occasion to amplify demands to avenge their leader through renewed war with Washington and to declare their rejection of any agreement with Trump.

Their wish now appears to have been fulfilled. A fragile ceasefire between Iran and the US all but collapsed this week after the Revolutionary Guards launched attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz to assert control over the waterway. That prompted retaliatory strikes by Washington and fresh demands by Iranian hardliners to scrap the truce.

In the weeks before hostilities broke out, hardliners turned their fury on the leaders who signed the deal with the US.

“Mr President, if the leader’s conditions are not fulfilled, then it will be us, the blade and your throat,” Mohammad Ali Bakhshi, a security-linked “Maddah” – or religious singer who is loyal to the Iranian regime – warned Pezeshkian during a ceremony. “We will bring hell upon you.”

The open threat to kill the president was widely criticized, but Bakhshi is not known to have faced any legal repercussions.

Other officials under hardline scrutiny include Iran’s chief negotiator with the US, Ghalibaf, a former Revolutionary Guard commander with deep political experience whose credentials enabled him to step up and take charge during the war, emerging as the regime’s de-facto lead operator with broad acceptability.

“They are trying to elevate the role of the Supreme Council for National Security while diminishing the role of the supreme leader and parliament,” Kamran Ghazanfari, a hardline parliamentarian, said in a video statement early July, referring to the council now deciding the country’s most sensitive wartime affairs. “This is the political coup they have designed and are carrying out step by step.”

Sidelining the radicals​

On Tuesday, Nabavian, the hardline lawmaker who fiercely opposes the agreement and has been one of the leading voices warning of a “coup,” was removed from his position on the parliament’s National Security Commission, along with another parliamentarian critical of the deal.

Nabavian, who was part of Iran’s negotiating delegation before turning against the talks and attempted to derail the agreement by leaking the text to the media before it was signed last month, claimed that Iran’s negotiating team were defying the supreme leader’s red lines in their talks with the US. CNN could not reach Nabavian for comment.

He and others echo the views of “Jebhe-ye Paydari” (the Endurance Front) whose hardline members are often described by observers as “Super Revolutionaries.” They see themselves as the guardians of the values of the 1979 revolution that overthrew the pro-Western monarch and established an Islamic theocracy.

Experts say Iran’s visible leaders are actively trying to marginalize them.

“We’re seeing Ghalibaf exerting influence to sideline these hardline elements,” Hamidreza Azizi, a visiting fellow at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, told CNN. “They are too costly for the system and they’re bringing their rivalries out in the open especially as the situation in Iran becomes unstable.”

Their numbers are small, but they hold influential positions across the country, including in parliament and at the national broadcaster IRIB, which launched its own campaigns against the president.

It’s unclear how much support the group commands, but one of its most prominent figures – former national security chief Saeed Jalili – garnered more than 13 million votes in the 2024 elections, finishing second. Iran’s population is around 93 million.

Over the months of war and diplomacy with Iran, Trump has repeatedly described the Islamic Republic as “seriously fractured,” arguing that internal divisions have hindered any agreement. Yet despite the visible splits between the new leaders and the hardliners, observers say the regime remains unified around a core objective of ending the war on terms that deliver sanctions relief and preserve Tehran’s control over the Strait of Hormuz.


Still, Khamenei’s continued absence, his conditional support for the truce, the growing empowerment of the Revolutionary Guards, and the massive attendance at his father’s funeral have emboldened hardliners who instead are now pushing their own aggressive agenda to continue the war with the US and Israel.

“My suggestion is that we go to one of the US bases in the region, where there are hundreds, maybe thousands of these American terrorists,” former Iranian foreign minister and hardline figure Manouchehr Mottaki said in a televised interview on Wednesday. “It would be enough if we take 100 soldiers and bring them back to Iran.”

For more CNN news and newsletters create an account at CNN.com
 

auxman

Deus vult...

wait-n-see

Veteran Member
There is a lot going on depending on which sources a person decides to check. Next Monday appears to be setting up as a possible a major event for the war and the World.

@@@

BREAKING: LARRY & PEPE -China's 72-HOUR Ultimatum to the US -Fix the Iran DEAL by Monday Or It's WAR​

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0AKrkAmmcw4

Run time - 36:30
Jul 17, 2026

In this emergency Friday briefing, Pepe Escobar, Larry Johnson and Zulfiqar Ali break down why Iran’s missiles have suddenly become accurate — the panel reports a shift from US GPS to China’s BeiDou satellite guidance — and why the next 72 hours may decide whether the Iran–US war stays regional or goes global. According to sources cited on the show, China has set a Monday deadline for Pakistan to restore the collapsed 14-point US–Iran MOU. The panel also covers the Saudi strike on Sana’a’s runway that nearly downed an Iranian civilian flight, Iran’s signal that it may revise its nuclear doctrine and leave the NPT, the US strike on Iran’s Chabahar port, and Pakistan’s new red line. Several claims are developing and source-based; framing throughout reflects their verification status. Transition Protocol is a serious, source-driven geopolitical analysis channel focused on evidence-based breakdowns of great-power rivalry, energy, and de-dollarization. Support us on Substack ($5/mo). Guests: Pepe Escobar (veteran war correspondent), Larry Johnson (former CIA/State analyst), hosted by Zulfiqar Ali.
 

auxman

Deus vult...
US Embassy Jordan:

Security Alert: U.S. Embassy Amman - July 19. 2026

Due to a specific and credible threat, Jordanian authorities evacuated the international airport and seaport in Aqaba. We strongly advise all Americans to refrain traveling to either the airport or seaport. Continue to follow all Jordanian authorities’ security directives.

U.S. Embassy Amman continues to advise all Americans to avoid travel to military bases in Jordan.

On March 2, 2026, the Department of State ordered non-emergency U.S. government employees and their family members to leave Jordan due to safety risks.

Actions to Take:

Please visit Jordan’s National Center for Security and Crisis Management website for public safety guidelines, including explanations of emergency sirens in Jordan.
Avoid all demonstrations and large gatherings.
Avoid all areas where there is a heavy police presence.
Monitor local media.
Follow the instructions of local authorities.
Contact your airline directly for flight change details if your flight is affected.
Exercise caution and stay alert at locations publicly associated with the United States.
Keep a low profile.

Enroll in the Department of State’s Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP). STEP enrollment connects you to the U.S. embassy or consulate so you get the latest security updates. It also makes it easier for the U.S. Embassy or consulate to contact you in an emergency.

Assistance:

U.S. Embassy – Amman, Jordan

Al-Umawyeen 37, Amman, Jordan

Phone number (emergencies during business hours): +962 6 590-6000

Phone number (emergencies after business hours): +962 6 590-6500

Email: Amman-ACS@state.gov

State Department – Consular Affairs

+1 202-501-4444 from abroad
1-888-407-4747 from the U.S./Canada

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/2078777693370200223
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

Iran's Reliance On China's Beidou Satellite System Is A Game-Changer In War With US​

by Tyler Durden
Saturday, Jul 18, 2026 - 11:20 PM
Authored by former CIA officer Larry Johnson
During the 12-day war in June 2025, Iranian missiles and drones struggled against sophisticated Israeli and American electronic warfare. GPS jamming and spoofing repeatedly disrupted their guidance systems, limiting their effectiveness during the intense 12-day conflict. Fast-forward to early 2026, and the battlefield dynamics had shifted dramatically. Iran’s precision strikes began threading through advanced air defenses, hitting high-value targets across the Gulf with surprising accuracy.

Intelligence analysts pointed to one key factor: Iran had ditched GPS for China’s Beidou satellite navigation system.

The US unwittingly provided the spark that ignited China’s quest for the Beidou. The story begins in 1993 when a single Chinese container ship, the Yinhe, sailing to Iran, the vessel was accused by the CIA of carrying chemicals for weapons production.

Middle Eastern ports, under pressure from the US, refused entry and the ship was stranded in the Indian Ocean. The US not only pressured allies but reportedly disabled the ship's GPS access, forcing it to drop anchor for weeks. Inspections in Saudi Arabia eventually cleared the vessel, but China received no apology or compensation.

This humiliation—losing navigation mid-ocean due to reliance on a foreign-controlled system—became a pivotal lesson for Beijing. It accelerated development of an independent satellite navigation network: Beidou (BDS).

  • BDS-1 (2000s) provided initial regional coverage.
  • BDS-2 expanded capabilities.
  • BDS-3 (completed around 2020) transformed it into a global powerhouse with dozens of satellites, far more ground stations (especially in the Global South), and superior accuracy in many regions compared to GPS.

Today, Beidou outperforms GPS in coverage and precision across roughly 165 countries, offering a resilient alternative that cannot be unilaterally jammed or spoofed by Western powers.

After the 2025 conflict exposed vulnerabilities in GPS-dependent systems, Iran moved decisively. By late 2025 or early 2026, it integrated Beidou into its missile and drone arsenals. Reports from March 2026 already highlighted dramatic improvements: Iranian munitions evaded electronic countermeasures that had worked months earlier.

Key advantages of Beidou for Iran include:
  • Resistance to jamming/spoofing — Advanced frequency-hopping and anti-interference tech.
  • Higher accuracy — Circular error probable under 5 meters in key regions, enabling precise strikes with fewer munitions.
  • Real-time command — Secure messaging allows mid-flight adjustments over long distances.
This upgrade has contributed significantly to Iran’s ability to penetrate US defenses in the Gulf countries and dramatically improved Iran’s ability to strike critical targets, which has undermined confidence in US security guarantees in the Gulf.

R/T 9:47

View: https://youtu.be/Yt43PAnSsAc?si=3E9QuKqz1LOVZYp7


The US decision to use GPS as a weapon in 1993 has backfired spectacularly—proof that humiliating China inspired a technological leap that now gives China and its allies a strategic advantage over the US.
 

danielboon

TB Fanatic
The Iranian letter @the Iranian g3z
BREAKING: Israel is threatening an immediate military response after Iran’s latest missile launch.

Defense Minister Israel Katz declared that if Iran fires missiles at Israel, the IDF will strike back with force, without dependence or conditions.

According to Israeli authorities, four missiles were launched. Three were intercepted, while debris reportedly fell near Aqaba Airport in Jordan and into the sea between the two countries. Israeli officials say the fourth missile drifted off course and landed in a remote mountainous area inside Jordan.
 
Top