Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

TxGal

Day by day
Ice Age Farmer has a new podcast out this morning. While not a solid GSM subject, there are food-related discussions and oh my, Amsterdam banning wood stoves. There are a whole lot of people in the US that use wood stoves for heat.

Biden Ends Beef? 90% Reduction in Red Meat by 2030 for Climate Plan - #AbsoluteZero - YouTube

Biden Ends Beef? 90% Reduction in Red Meat by 2030 for Climate Plan - #AbsoluteZero
14,004 views • Premiered 7 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/zpX9KyZRqVU
Run time is 13:32

Synopsis provided:

Biden's new climate plan targets for 2030 include reducing red meat consumption by 90%, and all animal source foods & products by 50%. Christian shares the latest developments as governments around the world race to zero carbon emissions: France bans domestic flights, New Zealand stops shipping animals, Amsterdam banning wood stoves -- the race to enslave humanity is on, and we must fight back now.
 

TxGal

Day by day
New Paper uses AI to Predict the Sunspot Cycles: Low Solar Activity until 2050 - Electroverse

Machibne-Learning-Sun-e1619163502368.png


NEW PAPER USES AI TO PREDICT THE SUNSPOT CYCLES: LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY UNTIL 2050
APRIL 23, 2021 CAP ALLON

SCIENTIST USE AI TO PREDICT SUNSPOT CYCLES: For the first time, scientists have used artificial intelligence not only to predict sunspots but also to correct the incomplete record of past sunspot activity.

A new paper just published in Advances in Space Research by Dr Victor Velasco Herrera, a theoretical physicist at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, Dr Willie Soon, an award-winning solar astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, and Professor David Legates, a climatologist at the University of Delaware and former director of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, predicts that the new 11-year solar cycle that has recently begun will show near-record low sunspot activity that will last until mid-century.

Sunspots matter.

When there are many sunspots and the Sun is active, there is a danger that a strong solar ejection directed towards the Earth could damage or even destroy the thousands of satellites on which the world depends for everything from radio, telephone, television and internet communications to monitoring the climate and observing the farthest reaches of the universe.

Worse, a really strong solar storm could damage the largely unshielded terrestrial electricity grid. Most power lines and transformers are above ground and thus acutely vulnerable. Solar panels, too, could have their lives shortened by intense solar radiation.

The three scientists taught a machine-learning algorithm how to recognize underlying patterns and cycles in the past 320 years’ sunspot record. The algorithm then discovered a hitherto-unnoticed interaction between the 5.5-year solar half-cycles (blue) and the 120-year Gleissberg double cycles (red dotted lines) which allowed it to confirm the earlier predictions of a quiet half-century to come – predictions which are now shared by solar physicists.

That interaction between the two periodicities led the algorithm to indicate that from the 1730s to the 1760s, early in the modern sunspot record (the gray band below), sunspots appear to have been under-recorded: as the 120-year cycle approached its maximum amplitude, sunspots should have been more numerous than reported at the time.



Periods of minimum and maximum solar activity from 1700 to 2020 analyzed by machine learning.

The algorithm then predicted the sunspots from 2021 to 2100. It suggests that the current low solar activity is likely to continue until 2050:


The Sun may be quiet for half a century.

Dr Velasco Herrera said: “Not everyone agrees with our expectation that solar activity will continue to be low for another three solar cycles. A paper in Solar Physics by Dr Scott McIntosh of the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research, says the coming solar cycle will be unusually active, with a peak sunspot number of 233, compared with our estimate of less than 100. Place your bets in the Battle of the Solar Cycles!”

Dr Soon said, “The machine-learning algorithm, with its interesting interplay between the very short 5.5-year cycle and the long 120-year cycle, confirms our results of 10-15 years ago suggesting that the next three or four solar cycles will be comparatively inactive. This is the first time that the twin problems of hindcasting incomplete past records and forecasting the future have been combined in a single analysis.”

Dr Legates said: “President Trump realized the importance of space weather, and particularly of the Sun, in influencing global climate. It was he who signed the October 2020 ProSwift Act into law to assist in studying and forecasting space weather. Given the history of previous periods of comparative solar activity, the weather may get a little cooler between now and 2050. If we are right, our electricity grids and our satellites should be safe until then.”

You can download the new paper HERE.


The Sun painted by a machine-learning algorithm in the style of Van Gogh’s Starry Night
 

TxGal

Day by day
Minor-to-Moderate Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) Inbound: Impact on April 25 - Electroverse

April-25-e1619167718210.png


MINOR-TO-MODERATE CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME) INBOUND: IMPACT ON APRIL 25
APRIL 23, 2021 CAP ALLON

The Sun is stirring as we continue the climb toward Solar Maximum of Cycle 25. Over the past 24-hours, multiple C-flares have escaped its surface:

goes-x-ray-flux-1-minute-1.png

[swpc.noaa.gov]

Earth-facing sunspot AR2816 exploded into life on April 22, producing a C3.8-class solar flare.

NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory recorded a dramatic shock wave rippling away from the blast site:



This is a “solar tsunami.” It is a wave of hot plasma and magnetism, about 100,000 km tall, racing outward at approximately 250 km/s (560,000 mph). Such waves are usually associated with the launch of coronal mass ejections (CMEs)–and indeed, one has been observed.

Coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) detected a CME billowing away from the sun hours after the flare — it is faint, but definitely Earth-directed:



NOAA forecasters say that G2-class geomagnetic storms are possible on April 25 as the CME hits Earth’s magnetic field.

This is visualized in the ISWA model below:


[iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

“If the geomagnetic storm occurs as predicted, auroras could dip into northern-tier US states from Maine to Washington,” writes Dr Tony Phillips over at spaceweather.com

Additionally, given the weakened state of our ever-waning magnetosphere (due to the ever-intensifying pole shift/magnetic excursion), even a minor-to-moderate impact –such as is forecast here– could produce some noticeable perturbations to communications, satellites and even the electrical grid on the ground.

Stay tuned for updates.

Coronal Mass Ejections and their Increasing Threat Moving Forward - Electroverse
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Mexico's drought reaches critical levels as lakes dry up
Drought conditions now cover 85% of Mexico
By FERNANDO LLANO Associated Press
23 April 2021, 00:30


An aerial view of Villa Victoria Dam, the main water supply for Mexico City residents, on the outskirts of Toluca, Mexico Thursday, April 22, 2021. Drought conditions now cover 85% of Mexico, and in areas around Mexico City and Michoacán, the problem

Image Icon
The Associated Press
An aerial view of Villa Victoria Dam, the main water supply for Mexico City residents, on the outskirts of Toluca, Mexico Thursday, April 22, 2021. Drought conditions now cover 85% of Mexico, and in areas around Mexico City and Michoacán, the problem has gotten so bad that lakes and reservoirs are drying up. (AP Photo/Fernando Llano)

MEXICO CITY -- Drought conditions now cover 85% of Mexico, and residents of the nation's central region said Thursday that lakes and reservoirs are simply drying up, including the country’s second-largest body of fresh water.

The mayor of Mexico City said the drought was the worst in 30 years
, and the problem can be seen at the reservoirs that store water from other states to supply the capital.

Some of them, like the Villa Victoria reservoir west of the capital, are at one-third of their normal capacity, with a month and a half to go before any significant rain is expected.

Isaías Salgado, 60, was trying to fill his water tank truck at Villa Victoria, a task that normally takes him just half an hour. On Thursday he estimated it was taking 3 1/2 hours to pump water into his 10,000-liter tanker.

“The reservoir is drying up,” said Salgado. “If they keep pumping water out, by May it will be completely dry, and the fish will die.”

Mexico City Mayor Claudia Sheinbaum said that as the drought worsened, more people have tended to water their lawns and gardens, which worsens the problem.

The capital's 9 million inhabitants rely on reservoirs like Villa Victoria and two others — which together are at about 44% capacity — for a quarter of their water; most of the rest comes from wells within city limits. But the city’s own water table is dropping and leaky pipes waste much of what is brought into the city.

Rogelio Angeles Hernandez, 61, has been fishing the waters of Villa Victoria for the last 30 years. He isn’t so much worried about his own catch; in dry seasons of the past, residents were able to cart fish off in wheelbarrows as water levels receded.

But tourism at reservoirs, like Valle de Bravo further to the west, has been hit by falling water levels.

In the end, it is the capital that is really going to suffer.

“Fishing is the same, but the real impact will be on the people in Mexico City, who are going to get less water,” Angeles Hernandez said.

Farther to the west, in Michoacan state, the country is at risk of losing its second-largest lake, Lake Cuitzeo. About 75% of the lake bed is now dry, said Alberto Gómez-Tagle, a biologist and researcher who chairs the Natural Resources Institute of the University of Michoacán.

Gómez-Tagle said that deforestation, roads built across the shallow lake and diversion of water for human use have played a role, but three extremely dry years have left the lake a dusty plain.

“2019, 2020 and so far 2021 have been drier than average, and that has had a cumulative effect on the lake,” he said.

Michoacan Gov. Silvano Aureoles said so much of the lake has dried up that shoreline communities now suffer dust storms. He said communities might have to start planting vegetation on the lake bed to prevent the storms.

In a petition to the government, residents of communities around the lake said only six of 19 fish species once present in Cuitzeo now remain. They said the dust storms had caused tens of thousands of respiratory and intestinal infections among local residents.

Mexico's drought reaches critical levels as lakes dry up - ABC News (go.com)
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
Ice Age Farmer has a new podcast out this morning. While not a solid GSM subject, there are food-related discussions and oh my, Amsterdam banning wood stoves. There are a whole lot of people in the US that use wood stoves for heat.

Biden Ends Beef? 90% Reduction in Red Meat by 2030 for Climate Plan - #AbsoluteZero - YouTube

Biden Ends Beef? 90% Reduction in Red Meat by 2030 for Climate Plan - #AbsoluteZero
14,004 views • Premiered 7 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/zpX9KyZRqVU
Run time is 13:32

Synopsis provided:

Biden's new climate plan targets for 2030 include reducing red meat consumption by 90%, and all animal source foods & products by 50%. Christian shares the latest developments as governments around the world race to zero carbon emissions: France bans domestic flights, New Zealand stops shipping animals, Amsterdam banning wood stoves -- the race to enslave humanity is on, and we must fight back now.


There is that fake meat being forced upon us and where does he get off controlling private enterprise like that?
 

TxGal

Day by day
Record-breaking WINTER weather in Ontario - Ice Age Now

Record-breaking WINTER weather in Ontario
April 23, 2021 by Robert

Welcome to Earth Day, suckers. Could shatter both temperature and snowfall records.

“Winter weather making for record-breaking day in London, Ont,” reads the headline.

“A blast of winter weather in London, Ont., could shatter temperature records for the day and is already believed to have set a new snowfall record,” writes Jacquelyn LeBel.

“Environment Canada is forecasting a high of just 1 C on Wednesday, almost guaranteeing a new record low for the maximum temperature for April 21.

“The previous record for the lowest maximum temperature for the day in London is 5 C in 1945, recorded at the airport.
“Before 1941, data was recorded in nearby Lambeth, where the record low max for the day is 3.8 C recorded in 1936.

“It looks like we’re going to smash them both today because we’re barely at one degree,” says Global News Radio 980 CFPL weather specialist John Wilson.

The overnight low, meanwhile, is expected to fall to -5 C, approaching the current record low for April 21 of -5.9 C set in 1981 at the airport.

Meanwhile, Environment Canada issued a winter weather travel advisory for much of southwestern Ontario, including London and Middlesex County, ahead of the low pressure system that could bring up to 5 cm of snowfall.

The national weather agency said Londoners could face snow, slippery road conditions and reduced visibility due to falling snow starting Tuesday night and lasting into Wednesday morning.

Read more: Winter weather returns as snow set to fall in southern Ontario Wednesday
Meteorologists say due to the “uncertain track of the weather system and the warm ground temperatures,” actual snowfall amounts could change.

John Parsons, the city’s division manager of roadside operations, told Global News that sander and salter trucks wee available and ready to deploy if need be, with a focus on main roads and bus routes.

Winter weather travel advisory issued as London, Ont., prepares for snow
 

TxGal

Day by day
Ohio - Spring snowstorm for the record books - Ice Age Now

Ohio – Spring snowstorm for the record books
April 23, 2021 by Robert

From Toledo to Cincinnati to Cleveland. “Most of the records were from 1901,” says meteorologist.
___________

“Cincinnati joined Toledo with this distinction on April 21,” says meteorologist Erin Carroll. “Cincinnati picked up 2.7 inches of snow, which is almost the most and latest snowfall on record.”

“A two-inch snow event in Cleveland on or after April 21 has only happened three times: May 6, 1974 (2.0″), April 23-25, 2005 (12.4″) and now April 21, 2021 with (4.5”).

Oh spring, where art thou?

“Ohioans know spring is fickle, but how strange is it to get this much snow this late?

“It is rare. Most of the daily snowfall records were from 1901.

“Our average last snowfall of the season is March 25 in Cincinnati, March 30 for Columbus and April 9 for Cleveland.

“The latest snowfall on record happened in Cleveland last year on May 11. It was only 0.2 inch.

A spring Ohio snowstorm for the record books
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out, interesting:

Global Shipping Container Mystery as Crops Struggle - YouTube

Global Shipping Container Mystery as Crops Struggle
917 views • Premiered 17 minutes ago

View: https://youtu.be/JO4x4Wj2cJ4

Run time is 14:33

Synopsis provided:

At some point in the future the cold anomalies denting significant crop zones will be a part of daily life. Here are more examples from the last three days. Container shortage is not from delays at the Suez canal and slow turn around times, they are being filled and sent to facilities for continuity of each zone or government. These containers are disappearing because of being filled, sealed and stored for long term resilience. Excuses abound.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Ice Age Farmer has a new podcast out, another interesting one:

Oregon Bill to BAN Livestock - Stunning War on Farming/Ranching - YouTube

Oregon Bill to BAN Livestock - Stunning War on Farming/Ranching
20,149 views • Premiered 4 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/b98_Ue0sS2A

Run time is 12:56

Synopsis provided:

Oregon Bill IP13 would criminalize raising food animals in the state, and reclassify animal husbandry practices as "sexual assault." The bill specifies that animals can only be eaten after dying of natural causes (at which point, aged/diseased meat is not good). Oregon's 12,000 beef producers raising about 1.3 million head of cattle are slated for elimination, as traditional farming and ranching is shut down in favor of lab-grown meat and indoor farms owned by the technocrats -- a perfect way to force the population into perfect slavery. Christian breaks it down in this Ice Age Farmer broadcast.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
TxGal, I'm glad you're posting all of these latest videos about what's happening to food growing and the rules being set to govern it. Some of them might not specifically mention the GSM, but they can have a big influence on our own plans for growing our own food, which for me is VERY related to the GSM.

What do you think of that UK rule (I think) that animal manure can only be applied during growing season? Don't the fools know that it has to be applied well before crops are planted? They say it's because it's dirty, How can it be dirty to apply it during fall and winter but not dirty applied right onto growing crops. They have it exactly backwards and if those rules are started in theis country, I sure wouldn't want to b uy anything grown in that new manner! Although I wonder how much of the crops grown by the big companies even use animal manure?
 
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TxGal

Day by day
TxGal, I'm glad you're posting all of these latest videos about what's happening to food growing and the rules being set to govern it. Some of them might not specifically mention the GSM, but they can have a big influence on our own plans for growing our own food, which for me is VERY related to the GSM.

What do you think of that UK rule (I think) that animal manure can only be applied during growing season? Don't the fools know that it has to be applied well before crops are planted? They say it's because it's dirty, How can it be dirty to apply it during fall and winter but not dirty applied right onto growing crops. They have it exactly backwards and if those rules are started in theis country, I sure wouldn't want to b uy anything grown in that new manner! Although I wonder how much of the crops grown by the big companies even use animal manure?

Thanks, Martinhouse, you know how I struggle in trying to draw the line between GSM-related material and not so much material.

It sounds like they have a lot of people piping in on things they know nothing about :-)
 

TxGal

Day by day
Lots happening in the volcano world, Japan had one erupt today:

Volcanoes Today - summary of volcanic activity world-wide / VolcanoDiscovery

Volcanoes Today, 24 Apr 2021: Fuego volcano, Popocatépetl, Semeru, Dukono, Reventador, Sangay, Sinabung, Sakurajima
Sat, 24 Apr 2021, 19:00
19:00 PM | BY: VN
Satellite image of Ebeko volcano on 23 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Ebeko volcano on 23 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Suwanose-jima volcano on 24 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Suwanose-jima volcano on 24 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Sinabung volcano on 24 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Sinabung volcano on 24 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Semeru volcano on 23 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Semeru volcano on 23 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Dukono volcano on 23 Apr 2021

Satellite image of Dukono volcano on 23 Apr 2021

Ebeko (Paramushir Island): (24 Apr) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: ERUPTED AT 20210423/2328Z FL110 EXTD SE OBS VA DTG:23/2330Z

Sakurajima (Kyushu, Japan): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: EXPLODED AT 20210424/1609Z OVER FL070 STNR OBS VA DTG:24/1600Z

Suwanose-jima (Ryukyu Islands): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: EXPLODED AT 20210424/1030Z FL050 EXTD W OBS VA DTG:24/1020Z

Sinabung (Sumatra, Indonesia): (24 Apr) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: VA REPORTED TO FL140 AT 24/0015Z OBS VA DTG:24/0036Z

Semeru (East Java, Indonesia): (23 Apr) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: DISCRETE VA EMISSION REPORTED TO FL130 MOV S

Dukono (Halmahera): (23 Apr) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: CONTINUOUS VA EMISSIONS TO FL070 EXTD NE EST VA DTG:23/2240Z

Semisopochnoi (United States, Aleutian Islands): Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Anchorage warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 8000 ft (2400 m) altitude or flight level 080 and is moving at 10 kts in S direction.

The full report is as follows: LOW-LVL ERUPTION OCCUR AT APPROX 1530Z. to 8000 ft (2400 m)

Popocatépetl (Central Mexico): Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Washington warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 19000 ft (5800 m) altitude or flight level 190 .

The full report is as follows: NEW VA EM OBSD to 19000 ft (5800 m)

Fuego (Guatemala): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Washington (VAAC) issued the following report: VA NOT SEEN IN STLT.

Sangay (Ecuador): (23 Apr) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Washington (VAAC) issued the following report: VA NOT OBS

Reventador (Ecuador): Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Washington warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 15000 ft (4600 m) altitude or flight level 150 .

The full report is as follows: ONGOING VA EMS. to 15000 ft (4600 m)

Sabancaya (Peru): Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Buenos Aires warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 25000 ft (7600 m) altitude or flight level 250 .

The full report is as follows: continuous ash emissions to 25000 ft (7600 m)
 
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ktrapper

Veteran Member
There is that fake meat being forced upon us and where does he get off controlling private enterprise like that?
He will be dead shortly from dementia. You gotta remember he’s just a puppet. It’s not his idea. The man can barely think enough to feed himself. It’s TPTB pulling the strings. End red meat and health and testosterone levels in men decline and they are more easily controlled. End red meat and they take over the ranches in the west when the ranchers have to foreclose. End red meat and Bill Gates can push his fake meat more. There’s always a agenda behind what they are saying.
 

ktrapper

Veteran Member
They've been trying to cut red meat consumption since the 1970s. I hope they continue to be unsuccessful.
There’s no way their stupid plans can work in the shorter term. Oh they will try but unless the off us all, which may be what they are in the process of doing, they will not be successful.
First it was agenda 2020, now it’s 2030, next will be 2050. They have to raise the next generation to accept it, is the only way they can be successful. It’s their long game.
They are making great gains with this whole Covid thing though. The lockdowns the masks. Conditioning people to accept mandates, etc etc. Some are playing along but a lot aren’t.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Bismarck ND - Coldest Apr 24 since 1875 - Ice Age Now

Bismarck ND – Coldest Apr 24 since 1875
April 25, 2021 by Robert

Meanwhile, rain and snow are likely across much of the West through Monday. So much for Joe Biden’s global warming crisis.

Record-low-24-Apr-21.jpg


You don’t believe it’s snowing today? Look at these snow cams today (25 Apr 21):

https://cams.mtnfeed.com/fullsize/CRYM5_l_1280x720.jpg
https://www.timberlinelodge.com/snowcameras/lodge.jpg?nocache=1619356433
https://www.mtbachelor.com/api/v1/cams/mtn/14
https://cache.snow.com/mtncams/Cowboy Mountain.jpg
https://cams.jacksonhole.com/webcam/codybowl.jpg

Snow will also develop across higher elevations of the Northeast and the Pacific Northwest and thence into the Northern High Plains and parts of Northern/Central California.

By Sunday evening, the rain and higher elevation snow will expand into parts of the Great Basin while rain moves into parts of Southern California. Overnight Monday, the rain and higher elevation snow will move into parts of the Southwest.
Rain and snow are likely across much of the West through Monday…

Light snow will also develop across the higher elevations of the Northeast overnight Sunday that will
gradually taper off by Monday evening.

Furthermore, a deep upper-level trough just off the Northwest Coast will move onshore on Sunday, moving to the Great Basin by Tuesday. The energy will aid in producing rain and higher elevation snow over the Pacific Northwest eastward into the Northern High Plains and extending southward to parts of Northern/Central California on Sunday.

By Sunday evening, the rain and higher elevation snow will expand into parts of the Great Basin while rain moves into parts of Southern California. Overnight Monday, the rain and higher elevation snow will move into parts of the Southwest.

In addition, winter storm warnings, winter storm watches or winter weather advisories have been issued for parts of Oregon, Nevada, California, Montana, Utah and Wyoming.

National Weather Service

Western and Central Wyoming

Great Falls, MT

Reno, NV

WPC's Short Range Public Discussion
 

TxGal

Day by day
Germany - April brought frost and snow – to the suffering of fruit growers - Ice Age Now

Germany – April brought frost and snow – to the suffering of fruit growers
April 25, 2021 by Robert

“If the end of the month were now, we would have the coldest April since 1973 behind us.”
_____________

The real spring fever doesn’t want to settle in many parts of Germany. April brought frost and snow – to the suffering of fruit growers.

In the spring snow and cold are more the rule than the exception. But the spring of 2021 exaggerated its predilection for cold and snow as polar air flooded the continent. For the first time in decades, April will be too cold on average.

The year 2021 produced an April capricious and out of control. It may feel like a hot June day and then, shortly after, it feels like a gloomy February – which typical April weather. The current average temperature is 5.1°C, almost 4 degrees colder compared to the reference period from 1991 to 2020.

Even compared to the average of the years 1961 to 1990, the temperature is 2.3 degrees Celsius lower. The last time there was such a negative monthly deviation was almost 10 years ago.

If the end of the month were now, we would have the coldest April since 1973 behind us.

Cold air flooded large parts of Europe to the extreme south of Italy and Crete.

At the same time, further east, in parts of Russia, it was clearly too hot for that time of year.

The entry of cold air was caused by a special climatic constellation. A sharp rise in southern Iceland contrasted with a sharp drop over Scandinavia. As the top rotates clockwise, the air masses at the bottom move in the opposite direction. As a result, together they drove the Arctic air to the south in an intense northwest current. In a kind of balancing motion, on the other hand, hot air flowed over Russia to the Arctic: temperatures here were well above the average of previous years.

Wetter: Der April ist kalt, wie er will
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
There’s no way their stupid plans can work in the shorter term. Oh they will try but unless the off us all, which may be what they are in the process of doing, they will not be successful.
First it was agenda 2020, now it’s 2030, next will be 2050. They have to raise the next generation to accept it, is the only way they can be successful. It’s their long game.
They are making great gains with this whole Covid thing though. The lockdowns the masks. Conditioning people to accept mandates, etc etc. Some are playing along but a lot aren’t.

Truth above. And for those playing along, people are walking away at an accelerating pace.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Geomagnetic Storm WATCH Upgraded to Warning - Ice Age Now

Geomagnetic Storm WATCH Upgraded to Warning
April 25, 2021 by Robert

Coronal-mass-ejection.png


Yesterday, the National Weather Service’s Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) upgraded the Geomagnetic Storm Watch then in effect to a Geomagnetic Storm Warning after detecting the early arrival of a strong solar wind.

Coronal-Loops.jpg

Coronal Loops are one feature in the solar corona scientists hope to learn more about during the upcoming solar eclipse. Image: NASA/TRACE

The SWPC said minor to moderate geomagnetic storm levels were being observed which indicated the early arrival of an anticipated coronal mass ejection that left the Sun on Sunday, April 22. The enhancement in solar wind parameters were first observed by the DSCOVR spacecraft.

Large-CME.png

The GOES Solar Ultraviolet imager shows a large Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) exploding off the Sun. Image: NOAA

The strong solar wind was expected to cause auroral enhancements that might be visible at night in higher latitudes under favorable sky conditions. Due to the strength of this disturbance , aurora could be visible as far south as Idaho and New York.

While this storm is considered a moderate “G2” level storm, limited impacts are expected. These include voltage alarms for high-latitude power systems and possible disruptions to radio communications. There also could be transformer damage should this event last long.

Ground control teams for spacecraft above Earth may also need to move or orient their equipment in space in a way to reduce the threat of damage.

It all starts with a solar flare on the surface of the sun. According to NASA, solar flares are a sudden explosion of energy as a result of crossing or reorganizing magnetic field lines near sunspots. Solar activity, like flares, are not uncommon, but some periods of time are far more active than others. The intensity and size of each flare also varies.

When monitoring solar activity, scientists watch for a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) which is a giant bubble of radiation exploding into space at a fast speed. CMEs sometime happen with a solar flare when the sun’s magnetic fields reorganize.

See more:
Geomagnetic Storm WATCH Upgraded to Warning
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out. While not a direct, solid posting on the GSM, it does discuss the ongoing attack on the availability of food going forward. Food is and will be hugely impacted by the GSM.

Significant Society Reset Tracking - YouTube

Significant Society Reset Tracking
11,212 views • Apr 25, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/DDyQpjiXzLo
Run time is 15:36

Synopsis provided:

A recent episode of Mini Ice Age Conversations Radio Program from (STUDIO A 10pm-Midnight) on Revolution Radio. Ransom Godwin from 420FreedomistFilms1776 YT Channel and David DuByne from ADAPT 2030 discuss how the changing availability of food and goods is leading the International Monetary Fund to begin tracking all individual's online activities to determining "credit worthiness" when issuing new central bank digital currencies across the continents.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

Severe Weather Takes Aim at Plains & Midwest Midweek - CME Impact - Super Volcano Mechanism Revealed - YouTube

Severe Weather Takes Aim at Plains & Midwest Midweek - CME Impact - Super Volcano Mechanism Revealed
2,960 views • Premiered 9 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/9ATK5sD3tk8
Run time is 17:53

Synopsis provided:

Severe Weather Possible on Tuesday for Lubbock and South Plains https://bit.ly/3tQwzmI
Severe Storms, Heavy Rain in the Plains & Midwest Through Midweek https://bit.ly/2QvVf5E
GFS Forecast Model US https://bit.ly/3ewbRlF
GFS Model Total Precipitation US https://bit.ly/2RZgxZH
GFS Model Total Snow US https://bit.ly/3xoe8rN GFS Model Total Snow Europe https://bit.ly/332e83w
Space Weather https://spaceweathernews.com/
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Earthquake swarm in Krýsuvík volcano https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9354
Reykjanes peninsula - earthquakes https://bit.ly/3rprWPn
Scientists probe mysterious melting of Earth's crust in western North America https://bit.ly/3aET4Ua
The North American Cordilleran Anatectic Belt https://bit.ly/3vmVgHF
Eocene https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eocene
La Garita Caldera https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/La_Gari...
Fish Canyon Tuff https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fish_Ca...
San Juan Basin Volcanic Maps https://bit.ly/3vcYL3s https://bit.ly/3vgI8ny
Cosmic Rays And Geologic Time Graph https://bit.ly/3sXE9Li
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
Winter Arrives Early across the Southern Hemisphere - Electroverse

aussie-snow-sun-e1619426026924.jpg


WINTER ARRIVES EARLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
APRIL 26, 2021 CAP ALLON

The global warming narrative is collapsing like a flan in a cupboard. The serial prevaricators are leading the parroting masses ever-closer to that cliff edge, to that ground-shaking revelation that what they’ve been fed for the past four decades isn’t science, but is instead a pile of policy-driving hooey.

SOUTHERN AFRICA:
Winter is arriving early across much of the southern hemisphere, with rare April snow turning parts of Southern Africa into a “winter wonderland,” reports thesouthafrican.com.

View: https://twitter.com/SkiAfriski/status/1385871355002998784


Southern Africa’s first wintry dusting of 2021 actually occurred in the enclaved nation of Lesotho back on March 28 — an incredibly early date, said Afriski at the time. Since then, winter has been gaining pace, with a host of additional countries, including South Africa, now bracing for some rare out-of-season accumulations.

“Everything is definitely getting cooler, the light here has completely changed as well,” wrote one Lesotho resident on Twitter, with Afriski tweeting: “Winter has come early this year!”

Ventusky (using the ICON weather model) has reported that some higher elevations of South Africa could receive 6+cm (2.4+inches) of the global warming goodness over the coming days: a “decent amount,” according to official forecasts, especially along the Drakensberg Mountain Range on the Lesotho border.

Latest GFS runs (shown below) appear to support the influx of anomalous cold, with the mercury expected to plunge some 14C below the seasonal average across swathes of he continent as the calendar flips to May:

MAY 1:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for May 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].

MAY 2:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for May 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].

AUSTRALIA:
Aussies have also copped a couple of powerful wintry blasts of late, with further anomalous cold and snow expected this weekend.

Last week began with the southeast suffering a substantial polar outbreak.

View: https://twitter.com/BOM_au/status/1384270589876080645


By Wednesday, April 21, temperatures close to the freezing mark were registered in Tasmania, with the likes of Melbourne and Victoria also suffering unusual cold for the time of year — a staggering -5C (23F) was logged in alpine regions.

The Bureau of Meteorology was forced to issue frost warnings for many elevated regions.

According to reports from News Corp, parts of Victoria got so cold that the “feels like” plunged into negative territory: Mount Hotham and Falls Creek, for example, felt like -7.2C (19F) and -6.2C (20.8F), respectively — incredible feats for the time of year.

Unsurprisingly, out-of-season snow accompanied the out-of-season cold.

Below was the scene at Mt Buller early Wednesday morning:


Mt Buller snow, April 21

Looking ahead, the cold will return and intensify as we enter May.

Intense Antarctic air will push north beginning May 3, and will engulf the southern half of Australia by May 4:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for May 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The GFS sees substantial snowfall arriving at around the same time:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) for May 4 and 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Stay tune for updates.

CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME) UPDATE
As predicted, a CME hit Earth’s magnetic field over the weekend, on April 24 at 2307 UT–so a good few hours earlier than NOAA were predicting.

As well as being early, the impact also underwhelmed: the debris field largely missed us. And while a brief spell of G1-class geomagnetic storms was initiated, the event stopped short of the expected stronger G2-class storms. KP reached 5 for a short time, but the storm is long over, and only minor geomagnetic unrest is likely as Earth exits the CME’s wake.


[swpc.noaa.gov]

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Over the Past 7 Days, Thousands of Low Temperature Records Fell Across the United States - Electroverse

cold-record-us-e1619430811726.png


OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS, THOUSANDS OF LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS FELL ACROSS THE UNITED STATES
APRIL 26, 2021 CAP ALLON

‘Catastrophic Earth Overheating’ sure does come in peculiar guises these days. The hypothesis used to be a relatively simple one to understand, even a coherent one worthy of further investigation. But in 2021, as the planet shows unmistakable signs of cooling, and as real-world observations continue to leave scientists like Michael Mann and self-indulgent prophets such as AL Gore with serious egg on their big fat lying faces, ‘Devastating Terra Firma Broiling’ –as I like to call it– now constitutes EVERY WEATHER EVENT KNOWN TO MAN, including record-breaking SPRING COLD and unprecedented SNOW MASS TOTALS across an entire hemisphere. It is long time we dumped the hokey hypothesis, but I guess it’s just too darn effective.

According to unofficial data compiled by coolwx.com, thousands of new low temperature records fell across the United States this past week (from April 19 to April 26) — an embarrassment of riches for the cold hunters, and just a flat-out embarrassment for the proponents of AGW.



Even according to warm-mongers NOAA, with their obfuscating UHI-ignoring habits (more on that below), the U.S. has seen a total of 14,214 new low temperature records set in 2021 (to April 19–and so before this past week’s new influx of unprecedented cold), versus the 11,244 for high. Furthermore, and even more telling, 224 ALL-TIME low temperature records have fallen this year, versus the big fat ZERO all-time record highs.

THE URBAN HEAT ISLAND EFFECT
The Urban Heat Island effect (or UHI effect) is a scientifically proven phenomenon — what is argued is its level of impact on the climate; however, in recent years, even this bone of contention has leaned in the direction of the ‘skeptics.’

Research in China indicates that the UHI effect contributed to much of the observed “climate warming” over the past few decades, with the Sun responsible for the rest–it having just gone through its strongest Solar Maximum of the past 1000+ years.

One recent paper, entitled “The Effect of Urban Heat Island on Climate Warming in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration in China,“ presents evidence of a significant UHI effect on climate warming based on an analysis of the impacts of the urbanization rate, urban population, and land use changes on the warming rate of the daily average, minimal (nighttime) and maximal (daytime) air temperature in the YRDUA using 41 meteorological stations observation data.

The paper concludes that the average warming rates of huge cities and megalopolises are significantly higher than those of medium-sized cities and small cities, indicating that the UHI has a significant effect on climate warming: “Significantly positive correlations are found between the urbanization rate, population, built-up area and warming rate of average air temperature,” reads a passage from the paper’s abstract (linked here). “Urbanization has a measurable effect on the observed climate warming in the YRD aggravating the global climate warming,” concludes the researchers.

Another Chinese paper, “The footprint of urban heat island effect in China“, shows that from 2003 to 2012, the UHI effect decayed exponentially toward rural areas for the majority of the 32 Chinese cities: “We found an obvious urban/rural temperature ‘cliff,’ and estimated that the footprint of UHI effect (FP, including urban area) was 2.3 and 3.9 times of urban size for the day and night, respectively. We further revealed that ignoring the FP may underestimate the UHI intensity in most cases and even alter the direction of UHI estimates for few cities. Our results provide new insights to the characteristics of UHI effect and emphasize the necessity of considering city and time-specific FP when assessing the urbanization effects on local climate,” reads an excerpt from the study.



The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

Sierra Travelers Caught By Sudden Snow - GSM Much? Magnetic Excursion Whales - Maunder Minimum Data - YouTube

Sierra Travelers Caught By Sudden Snow - GSM Much? Magnetic Excursion Whales - Maunder Minimum Data
1,755 views • Premiered 6 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/Bd4EX4_zj4g
Run time is 24:34

Synopsis provided:

Sierra travelers caught off guard by sudden snow https://bit.ly/3dV5cm1
Record snow blankets Indiana county https://bit.ly/3aZrC3R
SNOWFALL ANALYSIS FROM THE LAST 72 HOURS http://bit.ly/37ZQHZh
May Weather Can Bring Tornadoes, Tropical Storms, Warmer Temperatures and Even Snow https://bit.ly/3gEmAgv
OVER THE PAST 7 DAYS, THOUSANDS OF LOW TEMPERATURE RECORDS FELL ACROSS THE UNITED STATES https://bit.ly/3xrie2n
12-plus inches of snow, quarter-sized hail possible in Colorado over upcoming days https://bit.ly/3nqIPYB
Near 80 degrees Monday; Major storm system arrives Tuesday-Wednesday with rain and snow https://bit.ly/3aImeSq
Near record heat fuels severe storms this week https://cnn.it/2Puq5v0
Colorado SNOTEL Watershed Time Series Snowpack Graphs https://bit.ly/32XAO3X
Severe Thunderstorms in the South; Critical Fire Weather Conditions Persist https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Total Snow US https://bit.ly/3evJMLu
WINTER ARRIVES EARLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE https://bit.ly/3tXeXWj
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Soufrière St. Vincent volcano update: eruption plumes travel around the world https://bit.ly/3sQ5WwR
RVK Newscast #98: Engineers Want To Change The Lava Flow In Fagradalsfjall https://bit.ly/3xlyu53
Global food prices are becoming dramatically more expensive https://bit.ly/3eub0Sy
Fifth whale washes up dead in San Francisco Bay in less than a month https://bit.ly/3exjo3Q
The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection https://bit.ly/32NRJWK
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
Europe Braces for Extreme May Freeze - Electroverse

gfs_T2ma_eu_39-1-e1619508468349.png

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM
EUROPE BRACES FOR EXTREME MAY FREEZE
APRIL 27, 2021 CAP ALLON

The models are in, and the models are grim: the majority of Europe is set on for an extreme May freeze with heavy snow forecast for Scandinavia, the Alps, Germany, and even the UK.

April, 2021 (to the 27th) has been one of the coldest of the past 100 years: not since the Centennial Minimum have Europeans suffered an April this chilly. As reported last week, the UK is on for its coldest April since 1922, with Germany set for its nippiest since 1917, with no signs that the anomalous freeze will let up as the month draws to a close:

APRIL 27:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for April 27 [tropicaltidbits.com].

APRIL 28:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for April 28 [tropicaltidbits.com].

In fact, the historic spring chill is forecast to run well-into May, as further Arctic air masses –riding south on the back of a low-solar-activity-induced meridional jet stream flow invade the lower latitudes:

MAY 3 TO MAY 8:
gfs_T2ma_eu_fh156-276.gif

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for May 3 to May 8 [tropicaltidbits.com].

There is simply no let-up in sight for the majority of the continent.

The “breadbasket of Europe” (the Ukraine) can expect its fertile lands to suffer temperature departures as much as 20C below the seasonal norm during the first week of May, leading to major crop losses/delayed planting.

Losses will be felt across many European growing regions, particularly in those French vineyards that have already been decimated by record April lows of -8C (17.6F), and beyond. Here, winemakers have taken to drastic action such as lighting thousands of ‘frost fires’ in a bid to stave off the big freeze — these controlled burnings are far from 100% effective though, and are expensive, costing up to €3,000 per hectare.

View: https://twitter.com/DaveQuinnCFP/status/1383161386642071553

It isn’t just tender grapes that have been struggling of late; even notoriously cold-hardy crops such as beets and rapeseed are dying-off. And, depressingly, another look at the weather models reveals that heavy May snow is on the cards for many, including incredibly rares inches across Scotland, northern England, and Wales:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) April 28 to May 13 [tropicaltidbits.com].

I don’t know for how much longer the AGW train can deliver that hot and steamy ‘global warming gravy’ to all those controlling elites; but to me at least, its days look numbered.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Temps plummet below zero, early snow falls in South Island, New Zealand -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

Temps plummet below zero, early snow falls in South Island, New Zealand

Star News
Tue, 27 Apr 2021 10:33 UTC

Mt Roy looking over Lake Wanaka on Tuesday morning.
Mt Roy looking over Lake Wanaka on Tuesday morning.

Winter has arrived slightly early in the South Island, with freezing temperatures and dustings of snow in many places this morning.

A midnight storm dumped about a centimetre of snow onto the Porters Alpine Resort near Castle Hill near Arthur's Pass early this morning.

And parts of inland Canterbury and Otago woke to below-zero temperatures, down to -3.2 deg C.

Porters operations manager Blair James hoped the cold snap was an early indicator of good snowfall this season.

He said the dump marked two weeks in a row of snowfall and cold temperatures - weather which makes him hopeful for a good season to come.

Christchurch dropped to 3 deg C early on Tuesday morning and was set to reach a modest high of 12 deg C.

The lowest temperature in Otago at 7.30am today was at Oturehua at -3.2 deg C.

Wanaka and Omarama dropped to -0.6 deg C, while Naseby and Glenorchy hit -0.5 deg C.

"A frosty start to the day for most South Islanders," said MetService this morning.

"Currently, Alexandra is -0.1 deg C, Aoraki Mt Cook -0.9 deg C and Pukaki -3.4 deg C."

MetService said maximum temperatures today will be "cooler than average for this time of year" for many spots across the South Island.

The agency said Dunedin, Queenstown and Wanaka will all only touch the 10 deg C mark.

"So be sure to keep your coat and scarf on hand," a forecaster tweeted.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Rare V-shaped sun halo captured over Florida -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

Rare V-shaped sun halo captured over Florida

Spaceweather.com
Tue, 27 Apr 2021 03:44 UTC

Sunvex Parry arc taken on April 23, 2021 @ Viera, Florida, USA
© Dan Gore
Sunvex Parry arc taken on April 23, 2021 @ Viera, Florida, USA

You don't see this every day, especially not in Florida. On April 23rd, a pair of glowing V's appeared above the setting sun, both caused by ice crystals in the air. Dan Gore photographed them from Viera, FL.

"They lingered for about 5 minutes, then they were gone," says Gore. "It was a beautiful sight."

These are sun halos, one rare and one common. The lower 'V' is a common upper tangent arc created by sunlight shining through pencil-shaped ice crystals. The upper 'V' is a rare Parry arc created by similar kinds of ice crystals, but... To make the Parry arc, the crystals had to be horizontal, not rotate, and have two faces horizontal, too. It sounds improbable, and it is. That's why the Parry arc is so rare.

What's all this ice doing in Florida air? The crystals were located in cirrus clouds 5 to 10 km above the ground where the air is always freezing--even in Florida. Parry arcs prefer cold climates, but they can appear in the Sunshine State, too.

Comment:
It is likely that atmospheric dust loading from increased comet and volcanic activity is contributing to the 'strange skies' we are witnessing, the cooling effect of which causes ice crystals to form. See also:
 

TxGal

Day by day
Midwest and Eastern Vineyards Hit by Historic Snow and Freeze Events - Electroverse

spring-snow-vineyard-e1619516712330.jpg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM
MIDWEST AND EASTERN VINEYARDS HIT BY HISTORIC SNOW AND FREEZE EVENTS
APRIL 27, 2021 CAP ALLON

North America’s deadly February freeze has been followed by a brutal late-April Arctic blast. The result has been millions of dollars worth of damage to key growing regions up and down the U.S., not least the nation’s vineyards.

Last week, a severe frost event delivered thousands of record-breaking low temperatures to the majority of the CONUS; and as a result, vineyards from North Texas and the High Plains to Missouri, from Michigan to New York and Pennsylvania have ALL suffered substantial losses.


Hardest hit were those vineyards in Missouri and Ohio, reports winebusiness.com.

According to Dr. Dean Volenberg, director of the Grape and Wine Institute at the University of Missouri, there was widespread damage because many of the grapes were ‘post bud swell,’ and there were not one, but two nights in a row of record-breaking freezing weather.

One grower north of Columbia told Volenberg that his Marechal Foch was post bud break and temperatures had dropped to 24F (-4.4C). Another grower in Macon County reported a historic April low of 21F (-6.1C). Needless to say, buds that have ‘broken’ (awoken from their winter dormancy) cannot survive such extremely low temps.


A frosted shoot during the freeze event on April 21-22 in Missouri. Credit: Dean Volenberg

Gene Sigel, vineyard manager at Debonné Vineyards in Madison, Ohio, told Wine Business Monthly that NE Ohio received as much as foot of snow on Tuesday April 20, adding that nighttime temperatures plunged to 28F (-2.2C). “Many vineyards [in the region] have wind machines, but we’re not prepared to use them when there’s snow on the ground,” said Sigel. “It was really atypical to have that much snow and be cold so long. Buds froze solid — they crumble in your fingers.”

Worryingly, the prevalence of these late-season freezes appears to be increasing.

North American growers suffered a similarly severe frost event around the same time last year, on April 18, 2020. Volenberg noted that growers, especially at the larger wineries, left 30% more buds than normal when pruning this year because of the low production after last year’s freeze.

These record low temperatures are proving a serious setback to the likes of peach and cherry orchards, too — these trees are in full bloom at this time of year, and it doesn’t take much to ruin an entire year’s harvest.

Growers up and down the United States are keeping their fingers crossed that the worst of the freeze is over.

Steve Shepard, winemaker and general manager of RayLen Vineyards and Winery in Mocksville, North Carolina, is hoping his region doesn’t get another frost in April, adding that by May 1, “We’re 95 percent out of the woods.”

We’ll see Shepard — mid-range models aren’t looking too favorable, mixed at best. They’re currently showing a strong possibility of further polar outbreaks into the second week of May, particularly for northern, central and eastern regions:



And please note, you can longer trust any forecast released by the likes of NOAA — the agency’s bias is skewed to warmth, and has been for years now. Just take a look at their April forecast (shown below), issued March 31. It shows no sign of the April freeze that blasted the country April 19 to April 26 — quite the opposite, NOAA’s official prediction called for “lots of warmth.”



The story is the repeated if you look back to February.

As late as Jan. 22, NOAA told the American people the month would turn out “comfortably above average”:


NOAA forecast for Feb, 2021.

But as we know, the United States wound-up suffering its coldest February in more than 30 years:


The REALITY for Feb, 2021.

There are agendas at play here.

Heat is a business, and even the mere forecasting of above average temperatures is enough to keep the global warming narrative alive — the lie is preserved, the damage is done, regardless of what the reality actually delivers.

“Some growers will get lucky,” concluded Volenberg regarding last week’s record-breaking freeze, but for many, “there will be widespread damage.”

TODAY’S OTHER ARTICLES:


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Top-Cited Dataset Reveals that of 68 Global Warming Models, Earth's Observed Temperature is BELOW 67 of them - Electroverse

68-models-vs-obs-1979-2021-oceans-Fig01-1-e1619521234159.jpg

Articles
TOP-CITED DATASET REVEALS THAT OF 68 GLOBAL WARMING MODELS, EARTH’S OBSERVED TEMPERATURE IS BELOW 67 OF THEM
APRIL 27, 2021 CAP ALLON

The claim by the Biden Administration that climate change has placed us in a moment of “profound crisis” ignores the fact that the energy policy changes being promoted are based upon computer model simulations which have produced average warming rates at least DOUBLE those observed in the last 40+ years.

This is according to Dr. Roy Spencer, climatologist and former NASA scientist, who also points out that just about every climate claim made by politicians, and even many vocal scientists, has been either an exaggeration or a lie. Real-world observations are in stark disagreement with the “official” climate models being promoted for the purposes of implementing expensive, economically-damaging, and poverty-worsening energy policies.

Let’s take Global Ocean Temperatures as one example–with SSTs providing our best gauge of how fast this supposed extra energy is accumulating in the climate system. The 42 years of observations since 1979 (bold black line on the chart below) shows that warming is occurring far more slowly than the models said it would: the ERSSTv5, one of the top-cited datasets, reveals that Earth’s oceans have warmed at ≈50% the rate official climate projections foretold. In fact, there has been barely any warming as of the latest datapoint, plotted on March 2021:

68-models-vs-obs-1979-2021-oceans-Fig01.jpg

68x CMIP6 climate model simulations of global average sea surface temperature (relative to the 5 year average, 1979-1983), compared to observations from the ERSSTv5 dataset (aka the reality).

To put it even more clearly –so alarmists can take it in– of the 68 model simulations that have been generated over the years, 67 are ABOVE the current observations, with the majority significantly above, by over a full 1 deg. C in some cases.

The global warming hypothesis has failed, that is clear for all to see, but criminally, it isn’t science that’s propping the charade up, at least not any longer; this is a political movement, and one that after decades of relentless indoctrination now has a large percentage of western populations fooled and radically onboard.

Helpfully, Dr. Spencer has provided us with another graph that might drag a few ‘brainwashed pawns’ back from that precipice. In terms of the linear temperature trends since 1979, the image below shows that the 2 top-cited ocean temperature datasets have trends at the bottom range of climate model simulations:

68-models-vs-obs-1979-2021-oceans-Fig02.jpg

Linear temperature trends, 1979-2020, for the various model and observational datasets, plus the HadSST3 observational record.

This should be a ‘head in hands’ moment for the climate modelers, but humility has never proved their strong point.

DEEP OCEAN WARMING COULD BE NATURAL
A related issue here is how much the deep oceans are warming.

The inarguable energy imbalance associated with deep-ocean warming in recent decades is only about 1 part (less than 1 Watt per sq. m) in 300 of the natural energy flows in the climate system. This is a minuscule energy imbalance. We know precisely NONE of the natural energy flows to that level of accuracy, writes Dr. Spencer, meaning global warming could be mostly/entirely natural, and we wouldn’t even know it:

“[There is a] level of faith involved in the adjustments made to climate models, which necessarily produce warming due to increasing CO2 because those models simply assume that there is no other source of warming. Seldom is the public ever informed of these glaring discrepancies between basic science and what politicians and pop-scientists tell us.”

Dr. Roy Spencer concludes: “There is no Climate Emergency.”

TODAY’S OTHER ARTICLES:


RELATED ARTICLE, REGARDING THE IGNORED BENEFITS OF HIGHER ATMOSPHERIC CO2


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Polar Chill Grips New Zealand + Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Holding Above 1979-1990 Average - Electroverse

gfs_nh-sat6_t2anom_1-day-e1619595273163.png

Extreme Weather GSM
POLAR CHILL GRIPS NEW ZEALAND + ANTARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT HOLDING ABOVE 1979-1990 AVERAGE
APRIL 28, 2021 CAP ALLON

Winter is arriving early across New Zealand, particularly in the South Island where well-below average temperatures and even a dusting of out-of-season snow have set in.

A midnight snowstorm delivered a healthy dumping to the Porters Alpine Resort near Castle Hill Tuesday morning, while parts of inland Canterbury and Otago woke to freezing temperatures, down to -3.2C.

The mercury had plunged even further by Wednesday morning, as an Antarctic air mass took charge.

The conditions led to a hard, widespread frost, according to stuff.co.nz, one that stretched from the Canterbury region down to the Lakes District, and beyond.

Lows of -5.1C and -6.4C were registered at Mackenzie Basin and a MetService weather station near Twizel, respectively — also note, Twizel’s low of -6.2C is some 8.8C below the average for the time of year.

Other South Island locales to report freezing temperatures included Lauder, which dropped to -2.7C; Ranfurly with -3.1C; Alexandra with -2.3C; and Mount Cook Village, which registered -1.9C.

A few negative readings were logged in the North Island, too: a weather station near Waiouru dipped down to -0.7C early Wednesday morning.

With regards to the snow, it has for now been restricted to the highest elevations; however, Porters operations manager Blair James believes the recent cold snap –which he says has brought snow and well-below average cold for the past two weeks now– could be an early indicator of a good snowfall season to come.

The below photo was snapped at Mt. Hutt on Wednesday.

The resort, according to @SnowForecast on Twitter, had just received “more pre-season snowfall.”


Mt. Hutt snow, Wednesday, April 28.

ANTARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT HOLDING ABOVE 1979-1990 AVERAGE
The Southern Hemisphere has been suffering an anomalous chill since the start of the year.

And as of today, April 28, that nip is continuing.

Data coming out of the Climate Change Institute at the University of Maine sees the entire hemisphere sitting -0.3C of the 1979-2000 average, with Antarctica some -3.3C of the norm:



Also note, Antarctica sea ice extent –with the s. pole holding 90 percent of our planet’s ice!– is currently riding comfortably ABOVE the 1979-1990 average, as it has been for the majority of 2021:


[NSIDC]

These are the data-led facts.

If they’re a bitter pill to swallow, then perhaps your faith in modern climate science needs a re-think…

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Energy unleashed by submarine volcanoes could power a continent - Ice Age Now

Energy unleashed by submarine volcanoes could power a continent
April 28, 2021 by Robert

“The size of megaplumes (above submarine volcanoes) is immense, with the volumes of water equivalent to forty million Olympic-sized swimming pools.”

– Press release from the University of Leeds, 21 April 2021

And we wonder what is heating our seas.
______________

Energy unleashed by submarine volcanoes could power a continent

West-Mato-Underwater-Volcano-Erupting.jpg

West Mato Underwater Volcano Erupting in 2009 – Image courtesy of NOAA

Volcanic eruptions deep in our oceans are capable of extremely powerful releases of energy, at a rate high enough to power the whole of the United States, according to research published today.

Eruptions from deep-sea volcanoes were long-thought to be relatively uninteresting compared with those on land. While terrestrial volcanoes often produce spectacular eruptions, dispersing volcanic ash into the environment, it was thought that deep marine eruptions only produced slow moving lava flows.

But data gathered by remotely operated vehicles deep in the North East Pacific and analysed by scientists at the University of Leeds, has revealed a link between the way ash is dispersed during submarine eruptions and the creation of large and powerful columns of heated water rising from the ocean floor, known as megaplumes.

“Efforts like these, in concert with continued mapping and sampling of the ocean floor means the volcanic character of our oceans is slowly being revealed”

– David Ferguson, School of Earth and Environment


The size of megaplumes is immense

These megaplumes contain hot chemical-rich water and act in the same way as the atmospheric plumes seen from land-based volcanoes, spreading first upwards and then outwards, carrying volcanic ash with them. The size of megaplumes is immense, with the volumes of water equivalent to forty million Olympic-sized swimming pools. They have been detected above various submarine volcanoes but their origin has remained unknown. The results of this new research show that they form rapidly during the eruption of lava.

The research was carried out by Dr Sam Pegler, from the School of Mathematics and Dr David Ferguson, from the School of Earth and Environment and is being published today in the journal Nature Communications.

Together they developed a mathematical model which shows how ash from these submarine eruptions spreads several kilometres from the volcano. They used the ash pattern deposited by a historic submarine eruption to reconstruct its dynamics. This showed that the rate of energy released and required to carry ash to the observed distances is extremely high – equivalent to the power used by the whole of the USA.

“The majority of Earth’s volcanic activity occurs underwater”

Dr Ferguson said: “The majority of Earth’s volcanic activity occurs underwater, mostly at depths of several kilometres in the deep ocean but, in contrast to terrestrial volcanoes, even detecting that an eruption has occurred on the seafloor is extremely challenging. Consequently, there remains much for scientists to learn about submarine volcanism and its effects on the marine environment.”

The research shows that submarine eruptions cause megaplumes to form but the release of energy is so rapid that it cannot be supplied from the erupted molten lava alone. Instead, the research concludes that submarine volcanic eruptions lead to the rapid emptying of reservoirs of hot fluids within the earth’s crust. As the magma forces its way upwards towards the seafloor, it drives this hot fluid with it.

Dr Pegler said: “Our work provides evidence that megaplumes are directly linked to the eruption of lava and are responsible for transporting volcanic ash in the deep ocean. It also shows that plumes must have formed in a matter of hours, creating an immense rate of energy release.”

Dr Ferguson added: “Observing a submarine eruption in person remains extremely difficult but the development of instruments based on the seafloor means data can be streamed live as the activity occurs.

“Efforts like these, in concert with continued mapping and sampling of the ocean floor means the volcanic character of our oceans is slowly being revealed.”

Further information

Rapid heat discharge during deep-sea eruptions generates megaplumes and disperses tephra is published in Nature Communications 22 April 10:00 GMT. DOI:10.1038/s41467-021-22439-y.

For media enquiries contact University of Leeds press officer Kersti Mitchell at k.mitchell@leeds.ac.uk

Thanks to Don Villenueve for this info

“If ONE volcano can put out that much energy in a plume, what could 100,000 put out?” asks Don. “And, what does it mean to long term ocean heating, cooling, currents, etc?”

(Don has read Not by Fire but by Ice, so he knows that I proposed – more than 20 years ago – that underwater volcanoes are heating the world’s oceans. Think about it! Did you know that there are more than three million underwater volcanoes? This new research lends yet more credence to that proposal.)
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
50 Million People In Pathway Of Severe Storms From Texas To New York

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
WEDNESDAY, APR 28, 2021 - 08:00 PM

A multi-day heavy rainfall and powerful storm threat will affect upwards of 50 million people across Southern Plains Wednesday and into the interior Northeast Thursday, according to CNN.

"Even though today may not look like a classic set up for a severe weather outbreak, there will be severe storms that break out from Texas all the way up to the Northeast," said CNN meteorologist Chad Myers. "We often talk about the ingredients for big storms and today's recipe includes an overabundance of warm air and humidity."

Current Radar (as of 1300 ET)

Snag_eea82d1.png


Storm Prediction Center (SPC) warned hailstones up to 4 inches in diameter for some areas in the Plains. Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Missouri will see severe weather on Wednesday.

"The stronger thunderstorms may produce large hail and wind damage. A tornado threat may also develop in the Southern Plains," warned SPC.
The Southern Plains through the lower Midwest will experience torrential rains this afternoon and into tonight.

Forecast Precipitation



"Locally heavy rainfall will be a bigger concern in our area by later today and tonight, with both flash flooding and main-steam river flooding possible depending on just where the heavier rain swathes set up," said the National Weather Service office in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

There will be an elevated risk for severe storms in parts of the interior Northeast by Thursday, especially the eastern Great Lakes region.

Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York, including Cleveland and Pittsburgh, could experience storms during the mid-to-late-afternoon hours, increasing into the evening.

Over 200 million people in the US are forecasted to have high temperatures of at least 80 degrees on Wednesday. All that warm and moist air have been fueling severe storms.

Thursday's Forecast High Temps

Snag_ee92aa4.png


So far, we don't see any price anomalies in Texas power prices nor any others across the South.
... and of course, climate change warriors will point to the temperature spike and severe weather as proof global warming exists.

50 Million People In Pathway Of Severe Storms From Texas To New York | ZeroHedge
 

TxGal

Day by day
That last forecast had it about right for Texas, I believe. Here in the Brazos Valley weather forecasters said we were under a strong atmospheric cap that should hold the severe weather off to the west of us, and they were right, thank heavens. We got a light rain overnight, which is desperately needed.

From San Antonio west into Hondo and up north through the Hill Country and into the DFW area, storms were severe. Plenty of photos of softball sized hail in San Antonio and Hondo, punching through roofs. There were tornado warned storms, but I don't think any touched down. Scary stuff.

View: https://twitter.com/KBTXShel/status/1387581638826205187
 
Last edited:

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

Why Is This Information Being Released Now In 2021? - YouTube

Why Is This Information Being Released Now In 2021?
20,018 views • Premiered 21 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/7xPZ5Gex8IY
Run time is 14:19

Synopsis provided:

Artificial Intelligence has forecast Grand Solar Minimum level sunspot activity beginning now through 2050, this has made it through the main stream media. Interestingly, the same information was released in 2015 by Valentina Zharkova but denied and dismissed. Why is this solar activity information being released at this moment ? Is it to explain why all continents are experiencing crop damage and yield reductions from abnormal cold? My findings and thoughts are explained in the video. Thank you for watching.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection: Part 1 - The Foreword by E.N.Parker - YouTube

The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection: Part 1 - The Foreword by E.N.Parker
1,721 views • Premiered 6 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/ZPq3wIgSfH8
Run time is 24:31

Synopsis provided:

The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection https://bit.ly/32NRJWK
Sunspot Numbers Since 1600 https://bit.ly/3eIHKYg
Observed AMO https://bit.ly/32ZZNnA
Observed PDO https://bit.ly/3nD0psD
Butterfly Effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterf...
GISP 2 Data (Greenland Ice Data) https://bit.ly/3e3O2CW
UAH Global Temps (Dr. Roy Spencer) https://bit.ly/3wvTHIX
The Dynamic Climate System https://bit.ly/3xrK9iN
Solar Irradiance Graph of the Little Ice Age https://bit.ly/3knEymo
Grand Minimas Sice The 1100's
https://bit.ly/3b5AapV
 

TxGal

Day by day
U.S. Ties Deadliest Avalanche Season on Record (also Breaks 1910 Benchmark for Deadliest Week) - Electroverse

The-Fin-Fredlund-online-1536x1155-1-e1619601775624.jpg

Articles Extreme Weather GSM
U.S. TIES DEADLIEST AVALANCHE SEASON ON RECORD (ALSO BREAKS 1910 BENCHMARK FOR DEADLIEST WEEK)
APRIL 28, 2021 CAP ALLON

In a season of pandemic lockdowns and abandoned slopes, the U.S. breaking a string of avalanche death-toll records is even more telling. Fewer people out on the mountains yet a deadly avalanche year? This is a reality global warming prevaricators are keen to sidestep, because it points to historic accumulations of SNOW. And while a host of outlets are using mere anecdotal evidence to suggest the excess deaths were caused by more people hitting the backcountry, due to to closed resorts (a narrative concocted by CNN), historic snowfall data should be considered a far more likely reasoning.

A total of 36 avalanche fatalities have occurred during the 2020-2021 season.

One-third of those were recorded in Colorado, which is known for its weaker snow pack.

“They’re just devastating to the communities,” said Alex Marienthal, a forecaster with the Gallatin National Forest Avalanche Center. “It’s never expected, and it always has a big ripple effect through quite a few people.”

WINTER 2020-21 AVALANCHE FATALITIES

[Map: Bella Butler]

A record-tying number of people died in the backcountry this season, in books dating back to 1950 (what is considered to be ‘the modern-era’).

That benchmark of 36 was first set during the 2009-2010 winter season (solar minimum of cycle 23); however, the 2020-21 season is far from over, meaning this year could claim the unenviable title all for itself.

Ethan Greene, director of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center, described this season as “difficult and challenging.” He says the main component here is the volume of snow. Colorado’s avalanche information center has ranked this year as an event that might occur once every 10 years (so once every solar minimum then?).

In addition, this avalanche year also delivered the deadliest week since 1910 (solar minimum of cycle 14, the Centennial Minimum), when an avalanche derailed a train in Washington killing 96.

Between Jan. 30 to Feb. 6 this year, a total of 15 people lost their lives in avalanches across the United States.

View: https://twitter.com/UniverCurious/status/1385648435882336259

Run time is 0:49

THE BIGGER PICTURE
At its seasonal peak, Total Snow Mass for the Northern Hemisphere (shown below) had climbed to an incredible 3,250 Gigatons — a reading some 500 Gigatons ABOVE the 1982-2012 average.

Also worth noting, while 500Gts was the departure from the average at the peak, snow mass actually exceeded the normal range (dotted black line) by a whopping 700-800 Gigatons throughout long stretches.




Looking ahead, further record-smashing snowfall is forecast for the mountains, even into the second week of May:



Colorado and Wyoming, for example, could easily be looking at totals registering in the feet over the next 14-or-so days:


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) April 28 – May 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Stay tuned for updates.

TODAY’S OTHER ARTICLES



The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 
Top