Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Extreme Cold and Heavy Snow to smash South Africa, + 'The Year Without a Summer', by John Maunder (electroverse.net)


SA-chill-e1626078490333.jpg

Articles Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

EXTREME COLD AND HEAVY SNOW TO SMASH SOUTH AFRICA, + ‘THE YEAR WITHOUT A SUMMER’, BY JOHN MAUNDER
JULY 12, 2021 CAP ALLON

Another major Antarctic front will make landfall in Southern Africa today, Monday, July 12 — gale force winds, extreme cold, heavy snow, high waves, and torrential rains are ALL in the forecast.

It will be very cold in the Western and Northern Cape this week, warned the South African Weather Service (SAWS) on Sunday.

Snow as deep as 20cm (8 inches) is forecast to accumulate along the western mountains of the Western Cape, and SAWS has issued a rare ‘Level 4’ snowfall warning as a result — “Blimey, it’s not often we see one of these,” is how thesouthafrican.com puts it.

Power utility company Eskom has urged South African’s to reduce electricity usage during the big freeze.

The company has also warned that ‘load-shedding’ is likely, writing in a statement: “The cold front will increase the demand for electricity thereby putting pressure on the power system.”

View: https://twitter.com/Eskom_SA/status/1414471278094864384

The SA Weather Service has told farmers and growers to brace for significant livestock and crop losses.

“This is going to bring lots of very cold weather,” said Government spokesperson, James-Brent Styan.

“In the rural areas we want to caution people about the cold weather that can be expected, (which) poses a risk to people being outdoors as well as vulnerable livestock,” continued Styan, speaking to sabcnews.com.

View: https://twitter.com/SAWeatherServic/status/1414112598484791297

The cold front will enter Cape Town on Monday morning.

It will deliver strong winds from Cape Colombine to Cape Agulhas, reports sowetanlive.co.za, with infrastructure damage along the Western Cape coastline likely.

By Tuesday, July 12, extreme temperature anomalies of as much as 20C below the seasonal norm will have engulfed South Africa, Botswana, Namibia:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) for Tues, July 12 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Theses “blues” and “purples” will gain further territory northward as the week progresses — into Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Zambia, and Angola by Wednesday, July 14.

View: https://twitter.com/SAWeatherServic/status/1414114974495092736

SA meteorologists Wayne Venter and Kate Turner expect the polar blast to persist in the Northern, Eastern, and Western Cape throughout the week, with widespread frost forecast Wednesday through Friday.

The forecasters warned of rain leading to flooding in Cape Town, Drakenstein and Stellenbosch.

While rare level 4 snowfall warnings have also been issued for both Monday and Tuesday, most notably in Namakwa, in the Northern Cape, as well in Cederberg, Witzenberg and Breede Valley, in the Western Cape.

Garden Route should expect heavy snow totals on Tuesday afternoon.

LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD

The models are suggesting another extreme cold front will batter the region later in the month.

This one threatens to be even more intense than the first, and, as it stands, is on course to send the mercury across eastern South Africa and southern Mozambique some 22C below the winter norm.

It has the potential to deliver record cold to the region, and further debilitating snowfall.


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) for Weds, July 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) for Thurs, July 22 [tropicaltidbits.com].

An anomalously cold Antarctica has been firing numerous icy shots over Southern Hemisphere land masses in recent weeks — from South America to Australia, and from Southern Africa to New Zealand, wave after wave of powerful polar air masses have been engulfing the lower latitudes:


A unusually cold Antarctica has also seen the continent’s sea ice extent track well-above the 1979-1990 average this year, with the latest data point –from July 10 (or day 191)– actually accelerating that growth, to 15.707 million km2:


[NSIDC]

Stay tuned for updates.

THE YEAR WITHOUT A SUMMER, BY JOHN MAUNDER

Some of the answers to the complexities of the climate system are given John Maunder’s recently published book Fifteen shades of climate… the fall of the weather dice and the butterfly effect.

The following are extracts from pages 203- 207
:

The 19th Century weather disaster – dubbed “The Year Without a Summer” – happened in 1816, when the weather in Europe and North America took a bizarre turn which resulted in widespread crop failures and famine.

On April 10, 1815, Mount Tambora in Indonesia produced the largest eruption known on the planet during the last 10,000 years. The volcano erupted more than 50 cubic kilometres of magma. The eruption produced global climatic effects and killed more than 100,000 people, directly and indirectly. Pyroclastic flows reached the sea on all sides of the peninsula, and heavy tephra fall devastated croplands, causing an estimated 60,000 fatalities. Entire villages were buried under thick pumice deposits. Some of the settlements have recently been brought back to light by archaeological excavations, making a site called ‘Pompeii of Indonesia’. While the death toll of people living on Sumbawa and surrounding coastal areas was high enough, even more fatalities can be attributed to an indirect effect of global climate deterioration after the eruption.

These changes turned 1816 into ‘The Year without a Summer’ for much of Europe, causing widespread famine. The reason for the climatic changes was increased absorption of sunlight due to a veil of aerosols dispersed around both hemispheres by stratospheric currents from the tall eruption column. Global temperatures dropped by as much as 3°C in 1816.

UNPRECEDENTED WEATHER IN 1816

‘The Year without a Summer’ was well reported in the United States and Europe, as the following description suggests.

The weather in 1816 was unprecedented. Spring arrived but then everything seemed to turn backward, as cold temperatures returned. The sky seemed permanently overcast. The lack of sunlight became so severe farmers lost their crops and food shortages were reported in Ireland, France, England, and the United States. In Virginia, Thomas Jefferson retired from the presidency and farming at Monticello sustained crop failures that sent him further into debt.

It would be more than a century before anyone understood the reason for the peculiar weather disaster: the eruption of an enormous volcano on a remote island in the Indian Ocean one year earlier had thrown enormous amounts of volcanic ash into the upper atmosphere.

But before the cause was known, in Switzerland, the damp and dismal summer of 1816 led to the creation of a significant literary work. A group of writers, including Lord Byron, Percy Bysshe Shelley, and his future wife, challenged each other to write dark tales inspired by the gloomy and chilly weather. During the miserable weather Mary Shelley wrote her classic novel Frankenstein.

The Albany Advertiser went on to propose some theories about why the weather was so bizarre.

The mention of sunspots is interesting, as sunspots had been seen by astronomers. What’s fascinating is the newspaper article from 1816 proposes such events should be studied, so people can learn what is going on. For example:

“Many seem disposed to charge the peculiarities of the season, the present year, upon the spots on the sun. If the dryness of the season has in any measure depended on the latter cause, it has not operated uniformly in different places – the spots have been visible in Europe, as well as in the United States and yet in some parts of Europe, as we have already remarked, they have been drenched with rain.”

“Without undertaking to discuss, much less to decide, such a learned subject as this, we should be glad if proper pains were taken to ascertain, by regular journals of the weather from year to year, the state of the seasons in this country and Europe, as well as the general state of health in both quarters of the globe. We think the facts might be collected, and the comparison made, without much difficulty; and when once made, that it would be of great advantage to medical men, and medical science.”

VOLCANIC HAZARDS

Today, in 2021, we now know volcanoes can pose many hazards. One hazard is that volcanic ash can be a threat to jet aircraft where ash particles can be melted by the high operating temperature. The melted particles then adhere to the turbine blades and alter their shape, disrupting the operation of the turbine.

Large volcanic eruptions can affect temperature, as ash and droplets of sulphuric acid obscure the sun and cool the Earth’s lower atmosphere, or troposphere. However, they also absorb heat radiated up from the Earth, thereby warming the upper atmosphere, or stratosphere. Historically, socalled volcanic winters have caused catastrophic famines.

From Wood, Gillen D’Arcy, ‘1816, The Year without a Summer’. Britain, Representation and Nineteenth-Century History. Ed. Dino Franco Felluga. Extension of Romanticism and Victorianism on the Net, we read the following:

“To be alive in the years 1816-18, almost anywhere in the world, meant to be hungry. Across the globe during the so-called ‘Year without a Summer’ – which was, in fact, a three-year climate crisis – harvests perished in frost and drought or were washed away by flooding rains. Villagers in Vermont survived on hedgehogs and boiled nettles, while the peasants of Yunnan in China sucked on white clay. Summer tourists travelling in France mistook beggars crowding the roads for armies on the march.”

“Famine-friendly diseases cholera and typhus stalked the globe from India to Italy, while the price of bread and rice, the world’s staple foods, skyrocketed with no relief in sight. Across a European continent devastated by the Napoleonic wars, tens of thousands of unemployed veterans found themselves unable to feed their families. They gave vent to their desperation in town square riots and military-style campaigns of arson, while governments everywhere feared revolution. In New England, 1816 was nicknamed ‘Eighteen-Hundred-and-Froze-to-Death’ while Germans called 1817 ‘The Year of the Beggar’. ”

“In the scientific literature, the 1816’s cold summer was the most significant meteorological event of the nineteenth century. The global climate emergency period of 1816-18, as a whole, offers us a clear window onto a world convulsed by weather anomalies, with human communities everywhere struggling to adapt to sudden, radical shifts in weather patterns, and to a consequent tsunami of famine, disease, dislocation and unrest.”

SURPRISE AURORAS

There were no auroras in the forecast on July 10.

Then, unexpectedly, a ‘crack’ opened in Earth’s magnetic field.

This allowed solar wind to rush in and fuel this impressive display:


[MaryBeth Kiczenski July 10, 2021]

The image was captured by MaryBeth Kiczenski while on a boat just off Pictured Rocks National Lakeshore in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula — and it again hints at our planet’s ever-waning magnetosphere as its magnetic poles continue their excursion.

Click the below article for more on that:


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Book by John Maunder

41nbq05v4ML._SX331_BO1,204,203,200_.jpg


Fifteen Shades of Climate: The fall of the weather dice and the butterfly effect Paperback – Nov. 15 2020
by Dr John Maunder
 
Last edited:

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out. While not GSM material directly, it is covering food distribution issues, crop losses, gardening, and food storage:

You Cannot Wait Until You Need It - YouTube

You Cannot Wait Until You Need It
13,514 views
Jul 13, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/fuTKVOcVH8g
Run time is 30:06

Synopsis provided:

I sat down with Chef Keith Snow who served as Director of Food & Beverage at Sundance Mountain Resort and the author of The Harvest Eating Cookbook and host of the Harvest Eating Radio Podcast to discuss food storage and focusing on how people can make local and seasonal cooking a way of life.

• Open pollinated or hybrid seeds
• Food wholesalers struggling to deliver
• Almond industry losses
• Corn, Wheat and Soy losses
• Polyculture garden planting
• Food Dehydrating
• Jam It, Pickle It, Cure It
 

TxGal

Day by day
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent largest since 2015, and GROWING - Electroverse

Antartica-Bar-e1626251508245.jpg

Articles Extreme Weather GSM

ANTARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT LARGEST SINCE 2015, AND GROWING
JULY 14, 2021 CAP ALLON

According to the June, 2021 report recently released by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), it is revealed that the ice locked at Earth’s poles is actually GROWING.

The opening paragraph of the report reads: “Sea ice in the Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica was well above the 1981 to 2010 average extent in June, rising above the ninetieth percentile near the end of the month”.

But that’s as far as the NSIDC go…

They have plenty to say on the Arctic –which is experiencing its sixth lowest extent on record (big whoop)– but when it comes to Antarctica, I hear nothing but “crickets” — clearly, the icy continent GROWING in mass, and so offsetting the comparatively small losses registered by its northern cousin, is seen as a dampener to the AGW party.

Or perhaps the NSIDC are just letting the data speak for itself:


[NSIDC]

That magenta line running around edges of the Antarctic ice sheet is the 1981-2010 median ice edge.

As you can see, this year’s extent is riding comfortably above this benchmark.
Looking at the data another way…

arctic-sea-ice-extent-4.jpeg

[NSIDC]

… it is revealed that Antarctic sea ice extent, as of June 12 (or day 193), is at an impressive 15.808 million square kilometres (6.104 million square miles) — this is the largest extent at this time of year since 2015, and also sees it tracking well-above the 1979-1990 average.

This news, if you’re an alarmist, is surely something to be celebrated.

The icy continent holds 90% of Earth’s freshwater — so, if you’re one of the gullible that have been conditioned to lose sleep over ‘sea level rise’ then this latest datapoint should quell those fears.

Unfortunately though, alarmists selectively ignore ‘good news’ and instead accumulate only bad news–the news that supports their fears, which, thanks to the likes of the IPCC and their MSM lapdogs, is rammed down our collective throats on a daily basis — it is impossible to ignore.

It’s a type of cognitive dissonance, I guess — people are rejecting new information that conflicts with their existing beliefs, even when the new information is positive: this isn’t how science is supposed to work.

Oh, and the NSIDC has more.

Looking at their historical chart which runs back to 1979, an overall trend of growth is shown here, too.

According to the data, ice around the southern pole has been increasing at ≈1 percent per decade:


[NSIDC]

I can’t put this any clearer.

“Global Warming”, or “Climate Change”, or “Catastrophic Terra Firma Broiling” –or whatever you want to call it– is a failed theory, and one no longer grounded in science. It is instead an authoritative thumb looming over the masses, casting a doom-laden shadow upon every thought and dream for the future. It is a politicized weapon cynically wielded by our faceless elites in an attempt to reshape society in whichever way they see fit.

The media’s latest heat-induced tizzy is regarding the Pacific Northwest.

The MSM’s claim is that this heatwave is indicative of the rest of the planet, and is a sign of our ever-warming climate — a statement patently untrue.

According to the 15x NASA/NOAA AMSU satellites that measure every square inch of the lower troposphere (where us humans reside), while the west coast was “burning-up”, Earth’s average temperature actually dropped below the 30-year baseline — our planet was warmer back in 1983:


As is the story with polar sea ice extent, the ‘bigger picture’ is often an unalarming one.



Reject the politicized dogma of the day.
Instead follow the science, which suggest the coming epoch will one of global cooling, not warming.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Record Summer Chills sweep the US, as Sub-Polar Cold hits Africa (electroverse.net)

July-21-crop-1-e1626260055374.jpg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

RECORD SUMMER CHILLS SWEEP THE UNITED STATES, AS SUB-POLAR COLD HITS AFRICA–THREATENING “AN ACUTE MAIZE SHORTAGE”
JULY 14, 2021 CAP ALLON

It’s setting up to be a historically cool summer across much of the CONUS, particularly for the Midwest and the South, including states such as Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Kansas… among many others.

The Pacific Northwest’s heatwave is the anomaly here, not the norm.

Vast swathes of the United States have been holding unusually-cool for the majority of 2021 — the nation as a whole suffered its coldest February since 1989, while Texas’ “big freeze” that month resulted in a deathtoll of 702 with reports of people freezing to death in their beds.

And even now, with mid-summer fast-approaching, two-thirds of the CONUS is still holding below average.

In fact, record summer chills are threatening to descend from the Arctic, as a mass of polar air rides anomalously-far south on the back of a low solar activity-induced “meridional” jet stream flow.

Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), temperature departures some 16-20C below the seasonal average will continue to sweep central and southern regions as the month of July progresses.

Here’s the temperature outlook for Wednesday, July 14:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here’s Thursday, July 15:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 15 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Eyeing further ahead, these potentially record-setting lows are forecast to persist into late-July.
Below is Tuesday, July 20:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 20 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here is Wednesday, July 21–where some exceptional negative anomalies are forecast for central Texas:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].

As it stands, states like Texas are on for something of a ‘year without a summer’.

Also, and mercifully, the heat in the west looks set to soon subside.

Escaping the MSM’s attention though –and during the peak of the Pacific Northwest’s “catastrophic” heatwave– San Francisco actually neared historic low temperatures for July.

The city logged a daily max of just 58F (14.4C) on Sunday, July 11 — this reading was just a few degrees off the coldest-ever high on record for San Francisco in the month of July, and was its lowest-maximum since the 57F (13.9F) observed almost a decade ago (during the solar minimum of cycle 24).

The difference in temperatures between inland regions and a coastal city like San Francisco is a testament to the marine layer’s impact on the city, explained Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service (NWS).

Composed of clouds that shield sunlight and heat, San Francisco’s marine layer is responsible for keeping the city free of dangerous heat wave conditions.

“Essentially things are working the way they’re supposed to work as far as the marine influences keeping the coast cooler,” said Gass.


AFRICA MAIZE CONCERNS FOLLOWING COLD AND DROUGHT

The Kenyan government has warned of “an acute maize shortage” in the coming year due to reduced rainfall and unusually cold temperatures.

Maize is a staple food for most households, and its availability depends on weather patterns during planting.

John Kamanja, a senior officer from the Ministry of Agriculture, said many farmers planted late this year as they waited for the rains, but then anomalous-cold set in earlier than expected, in May, rather than during the expected month of July.


“I am not sure I will get anything much from my 25 acres under maize this season,” said Sammy Chemweno, a grower based in Moiben, Uasin Gishu County.

Chemweno estimates his production will drop from 25 bags of maize per acre to less than 10.

“The future looks bleak,” he continued. “The last time we witnessed this kind of a situation was 2009″ (during the solar minimum of cycle 24).

“There will be a maize shortage this season,” warned Kamanja.

NAMIBIA FREEZES

Namibia’s Meteorological Service has warned citizens to take the necessary precautions to “shield themselves” against “very cold conditions expected to hit during the course of this week”.

According to meteorologist Odillo Kgobetsi, these extreme lows are due to the arrival of a powerful polar front kicked up from an anomalously-cold Antarctica–which is currently holding some 4.2C below the 1979-2000 norm.


Extreme cold is expected in the south, central and eastern regions — with rare and heavy frosts setting in.

“Small stock and crop farmers should take the necessary precautions,” warned Kgobetsi, who expects lows of -3C (26.6F) in Gobabis, -2C (28.4F) at Rehoboth, Buitepos, and Windhoek, and 0C (32F) at Aroab.

HEAVY SNOW HITS SOUTH AFRICA

The same Antarctic air mass currently engulfing Namibia first swept South Africa, where it is still lingering.

Snowfall has been recorded over the Northern Cape, and in Sutherland.

Flakes have also settled in the Matroosberg Private Nature Reserve–located two hours outside Cape Town.

And a total of four mountain passes have been shut due to substantial flurries in the Eastern Cape, reports sabcnews.com, with the Eastern Cape Transport Department urging motorists to avoid all roads in high lying areas.

View: https://twitter.com/TheunsJonck/status/1414905621913210880

The South African Weather Service has warned of further freezing temperatures across large parts of the country from Tuesday onward, with record-challenging lows on the cards for Wednesday.

The cold has already infected parts of the interior, including in cities like Johannesburg and Pretoria.

While “alerts” have been issued for regions such as Guateng:

View: https://twitter.com/tWeatherSA/status/1414153096322854913

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Record Summer Chills sweep the US, as Sub-Polar Cold hits Africa (electroverse.net)

July-21-crop-1-e1626260055374.jpg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

RECORD SUMMER CHILLS SWEEP THE UNITED STATES, AS SUB-POLAR COLD HITS AFRICA–THREATENING “AN ACUTE MAIZE SHORTAGE”
JULY 14, 2021 CAP ALLON

It’s setting up to be a historically cool summer across much of the CONUS, particularly for the Midwest and the South, including states such as Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Kansas… among many others.

The Pacific Northwest’s heatwave is the anomaly here, not the norm.

Vast swathes of the United States have been holding unusually-cool for the majority of 2021 — the nation as a whole suffered its coldest February since 1989, while Texas’ “big freeze” that month resulted in a deathtoll of 702 with reports of people freezing to death in their beds.

And even now, with mid-summer fast-approaching, two-thirds of the CONUS is still holding below average.

In fact, record summer chills are threatening to descend from the Arctic, as a mass of polar air rides anomalously-far south on the back of a low solar activity-induced “meridional” jet stream flow.

Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), temperature departures some 16-20C below the seasonal average will continue to sweep central and southern regions as the month of July progresses.

Here’s the temperature outlook for Wednesday, July 14:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here’s Thursday, July 15:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 15 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Eyeing further ahead, these potentially record-setting lows are forecast to persist into late-July.
Below is Tuesday, July 20:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 20 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here is Wednesday, July 21–where some exceptional negative anomalies are forecast for central Texas:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].

As it stands, states like Texas are on for something of a ‘year without a summer’.

Also, and mercifully, the heat in the west looks set to soon subside.

Escaping the MSM’s attention though –and during the peak of the Pacific Northwest’s “catastrophic” heatwave– San Francisco actually neared historic low temperatures for July.

The city logged a daily max of just 58F (14.4C) on Sunday, July 11 — this reading was just a few degrees off the coldest-ever high on record for San Francisco in the month of July, and was its lowest-maximum since the 57F (13.9F) observed almost a decade ago (during the solar minimum of cycle 24).

The difference in temperatures between inland regions and a coastal city like San Francisco is a testament to the marine layer’s impact on the city, explained Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service (NWS).

Composed of clouds that shield sunlight and heat, San Francisco’s marine layer is responsible for keeping the city free of dangerous heat wave conditions.

“Essentially things are working the way they’re supposed to work as far as the marine influences keeping the coast cooler,” said Gass.


AFRICA MAIZE CONCERNS FOLLOWING COLD AND DROUGHT

The Kenyan government has warned of “an acute maize shortage” in the coming year due to reduced rainfall and unusually cold temperatures.

Maize is a staple food for most households, and its availability depends on weather patterns during planting.

John Kamanja, a senior officer from the Ministry of Agriculture, said many farmers planted late this year as they waited for the rains, but then anomalous-cold set in earlier than expected, in May, rather than during the expected month of July.


“I am not sure I will get anything much from my 25 acres under maize this season,” said Sammy Chemweno, a grower based in Moiben, Uasin Gishu County.

Chemweno estimates his production will drop from 25 bags of maize per acre to less than 10.

“The future looks bleak,” he continued. “The last time we witnessed this kind of a situation was 2009″ (during the solar minimum of cycle 24).

“There will be a maize shortage this season,” warned Kamanja.

NAMIBIA FREEZES

Namibia’s Meteorological Service has warned citizens to take the necessary precautions to “shield themselves” against “very cold conditions expected to hit during the course of this week”.

According to meteorologist Odillo Kgobetsi, these extreme lows are due to the arrival of a powerful polar front kicked up from an anomalously-cold Antarctica–which is currently holding some 4.2C below the 1979-2000 norm.


Extreme cold is expected in the south, central and eastern regions — with rare and heavy frosts setting in.

“Small stock and crop farmers should take the necessary precautions,” warned Kgobetsi, who expects lows of -3C (26.6F) in Gobabis, -2C (28.4F) at Rehoboth, Buitepos, and Windhoek, and 0C (32F) at Aroab.

HEAVY SNOW HITS SOUTH AFRICA

The same Antarctic air mass currently engulfing Namibia first swept South Africa, where it is still lingering.

Snowfall has been recorded over the Northern Cape, and in Sutherland.

Flakes have also settled in the Matroosberg Private Nature Reserve–located two hours outside Cape Town.

And a total of four mountain passes have been shut due to substantial flurries in the Eastern Cape, reports sabcnews.com, with the Eastern Cape Transport Department urging motorists to avoid all roads in high lying areas.

View: https://twitter.com/TheunsJonck/status/1414905621913210880

The South African Weather Service has warned of further freezing temperatures across large parts of the country from Tuesday onward, with record-challenging lows on the cards for Wednesday.

The cold has already infected parts of the interior, including in cities like Johannesburg and Pretoria.

While “alerts” have been issued for regions such as Guateng:

View: https://twitter.com/tWeatherSA/status/1414153096322854913

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal,

Are you really seeing way lower temperatures in Texas?
 

Seeker22

Has No Life - Lives on TB
TxGal,

Are you really seeing way lower temperatures in Texas?

I'll speak for South Texas (TxGal is farther East). It has been at least twenty degrees cooler this Summer. Not complaining one bit. Feels like late Summer/Early Fall here. The birds, insects, animals are already doing Fall things. The plants that usually bloom in late Summer bloomed in Spring and have kept at it. Everything is all out of whack according to the way the Cycles have been out here for years. But this year is markedly cooler. We haven't had near the rain that TxGal has seen, but we have had enough.
 

Windwood

Contributing Member
I'm southeast of TxGal in SW Louisiana. It has been unbelievably wet this year! We are over 10" above normal on rain. It's like SE Asia, and yes, it is cooler here too! No one is complaining about it. We are historically about about 93 to 95 degrees for highs at this time of year and for weeks now we are holding in the upper 80's to near 90! I believe this is due to extensive cloud cover and daily rains. Kinda makes you wonder if the winter will be colder too. We got the same ice storm/snow storm that TxGal got in February. Very unusual to have ice/snow on the ground for 5 consecutive days in deep southwest Louisiana.
 

TxGal

Day by day
TxGal,

Are you really seeing way lower temperatures in Texas?

We've been in the 80s for the most part the last few weeks with all the rain moving in. Normally this is our dry period and usually includes a lengthy drought. We should be in the upper 90s and often hitting the low 100s. We were in the low 70s just a while ago after showers moved in, going to 71 overnight. We often have nights this time of year where the temps sit in the upper 80s to low 90s. These low temps are not normal by a long shot; pleasant, but certainly not the usual pattern for here.

Next week we're going to repeat the pattern, as that article mentions. We've been moving into the 90-92 range for a few days, then another cold front moves down from the north bringing rain and the temps drop to the low 70s- very low 80s for days to almost a week....seems like meriodional flow often.

I'm really getting concerned about what winter is going to look like.
 
Last edited:

Laur

Veteran Member
We've been in the 80s for the most part the last few weeks with all the rain moving in. Normally this is our dry period and usually includes a lengthy drought. We should be in the upper 90s and often hitting the low 100s. We were in the low 70s just a while ago after shows moved in, going to 71 overnight. We often have nights this time of year where the temps sit in the upper 80s to low 90s. These low temps are not normal by a long shot; pleasant, but certainly not the usual pattern for here.

Next week we're going to repeat the pattern, as that article mentions. We've been moving into the 90-92 range for a few days, then another cold front moves down from the north bringing rain and the temps drop to the low 70s- very low 80s for days to almost a week....seems like meriodional flow often.

I'm really getting concerned about what winter is going to look like.
I have kept up with this guy since reading his stuff on the Old Farmer's Almanac message board which closed down probably 10 years ago. He has never wavered in his belief of global cooling. If nothing else, it is a very interesting read.


Theodore White, Astromet

Climate/Weather Forecast:
The Terrible Winter/Spring Climate of 2022
Western U.S. Drought To Briefly End Next Year
'Plus, Return of La Niña'
Forecast by Theodore White, astromet.sci

Solar and planetary transits confirm the return of La Niña as forecasted over 10 years ago by me for the 2021-2022 climate season in both hemispheres of the Earth.

I caution everyone to prepare for the coming long winter of 2022 that will cause early spring to disappear due to the length of the powerful winter season ahead.

Those who have read and trusted my previous seasonal forecasts will already know my general climate forecast; however, for those looking for advance knowledge I offer these tips to use during the summer & autumn seasons of 2021.

Know that according to my Astromet Forecast, winter will officially begin on November 5, 2021 and will last until May 5, 2022.

The primary problem will be precipitation of freezing rain, heavy snowfalls and ice storms due to the oscillation of low cold temperatures, at times, subzero temperatures with polar vortex intrusions into the middle latitudes of the northern hemisphere.

It will be followed by early to mid-spring floods due to snowmelt from heavy rains in April, May and June 2022.
The months of December 2021 and January 2022 will be active; weather-wise being colder and wetter than normal.

*February 2022 will be drier, but colder than normal featuring snowfall in late January 2022 and again in the third week of February.

*March 2022 will be wetter and colder than normal and looks to me to the be worst month of winter with thousands of records broken for precipitation and subzero temperatures. It will feature heavy snowfall and ice storms, particularly for the Midwestern and Southwestern U.S.

*April 2022 is another wet month of snow and ice storms. The accumulation of snow and ice will be countered with bright sun during the days melting the snow - only for colder than normal night temperatures freezing the melt. Then, the rains will begin to melt the snow faster, causing floods of streams and rivers.

Travel will be especially dangerous during the months of March and April 2022.

Snowmelt will cause the threat of floods - first the Hudson Bay and the Red River along North Dakota's border with Minnesota and then especially the long stretch of the Mississippi River bordering many states from the Upper Midwest down to the Gulf of Mexico.

'THE SNOWMELT FLOODS OF EARLY SPRING 2022'

The most dangerous time for flooding from ice jams and snowmelt will extend from April 12, 2022 to June 20, 2022.

I am forecasting significant flooding for some Canadian provinces and American states from April to June 2022. Preparation and caution is advised.

Though it may run counter-intuitive to conventional forecasters, as an astrometeorologist, I have determined that in the western half of the United States, winds transport water vapor from the Pacific Ocean eastward.

But in the eastern half of the U.S., weather patterns transport moisture primarily south to north from the Gulf of Mexico all the way to the Great Lakes and New England.

The Mississippi River is entirely within the U.S. and is the longest river in North America, draining with its major tributaries an area of approximately 1.2 million square miles (3.1 million square km) or about one-eighth of the entire continent.

It rises at Lake Itasca in Minnesota and flows almost due south across the continental interior as it collects the waters of its major tributaries - the Missouri River (to the west) and the Ohio River (to the east) - approximately halfway along its journey to the Gulf of Mexico through a vast delta southeast of New Orleans.

All of that equals a total distance of 2,340 miles (3,766 km) from its source.

With its tributaries, the Mississippi drains all or part of 31 U.S. states and two provinces in Canada.

Due to the length, breadth and strength of winter 2022 with its great precipitation and cold, I do not expect to not see early spring 2022 for two-thirds of North America.

A flood is considered a snowmelt flood when melting snow is a major source of the water involved.

The extreme snowmelt of 2022 will be caused by warming temperatures as the Sun rises higher in the skies after the vernal equinox of March 20, 2022.

For instance, after 2021, and into 2022 in parts of the Pacific Northwest and the northeastern U.S., the coming snowmelt events will be driven by precipitation of rain that will fall on the accumulated snow - causing swelling of streams and tributaries into rivers.

Unlike rainfall, which reaches the soil almost immediately, snow stores the water for some time until it melts, delaying the arrival of water at the soil for days, weeks, or even months.
Once it does reach the soil, the water either soaks into the ground or runs off.

But if more water runs off than soaks in - especially driven by rain melting the snow, then flooding occurs.

Snowmelt floods typically occurs every year in the northern United States, with most snowmelt events being minor and localized.

Eight of the most significant floods of the 20th century (in terms of area affected, property damage, and deaths) were related to snowmelt.

What causes snowmelt flooding?

High soil moisture conditions prior to snowmelt, frozen ground, heavy snow cover and widespread heavy rain during the melt period, and rapid snowmelt (unseasonably warm temperatures, high humidity, rainfall, etc.)

I divide the Mississippi River into four distinct sections:
From its headwaters, at its source to the head of navigation at St. Paul, Minnesota, the Mississippi begins as a fresh stream winding its way through low countryside dotted with lakes and marshes.

The upper Mississippi extends from St. Paul to the mouth of the Missouri River near St. Louis, Missouri where I expect floods in early spring 2022 as the Missouri River feeds into the Mississippi River at St. Louis.

Flowing past steep limestone bluffs and receiving water from tributaries of the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa, the river in this segment assumes the character that led Algonquian native Indians to name it the “Father of Waters” (literally misi, “big”; sipi, “water”.)

Below the Missouri River junction, the middle Mississippi follows a 200-mile (320-km) course to the mouth of the Ohio River, another region that will encounter floods in spring 2022.
The turbulent, cloudy-to-muddy, and flotsam-laden Missouri, especially when in flood, adds impetus as well as enormous quantities of silt to the clearer Mississippi.

Beyond the confluence with the Ohio River at Cairo, Illinois, where residents should prepare for spring 2022 flooding, the lower Mississippi attains its full grandeur.

At the point where the Ohio and Mississippi rivers met, the Ohio River will be larger that's because below the Ohio confluence the Mississippi swells to more than twice the size it is above.
In fact, temperatures will struggle to dry out and warm up significantly until mid-to-late May 2022 for the Plains and northern states and provinces as the ENSO phase of La Nina gradually retreats.

'ENSO & LA NINA: 2021-2022'

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (known as ENSO) is a variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean.

It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics.
The warm phase of ENSO is known as El Niño and the cold phase is called La Niña.

Back in 2006, I forecasted that by mid-2009 to mid-2010, there would be a El Niño which would be then followed by a strong La Niña in 2010-2011.

I have forecasted that a moderate El Niño would arrive in 2019 to be followed by a powerful La Niña that will dominate the weather of 2021-2022 - with an especially snowy, icy and long winter and spring season throughout the northern hemisphere.

My Climate Forecast - El Nino To Arrive in 2019
'WHAT IS ENSO?'

ENSO events are essentially caused by solar and planetary action. These are major decadal climate events that happen every 10-11 solar years.

The last ENSO, which I forecasted, was the El Niño of mid-2009 into 2010, that was then followed by the cold phase La Niña in 2010-11.

What people are witnessing is a large-scale variability in the Earth's climate circulatory system.

But when climate scientists try to predict ENSO they are removing a climate mechanism where the thermal/kinetic exchange to equilibrium is achieved.

ENSO is externally forced through the polar annular modes/AAM.
What confuses climate computer modellers about ENSO and its cycle is that the thermodynamic response to perturbation is not linear.

That's because El Niño and La Niña respond to fluctuations caused by the external forcing - primarily by the Sun.
ENSO is forced by the Sun externally because of the strength of the trade winds, that is a technical term for what is known as 'Walker Cell' dynamics and the AAM integrals which predate ENSO's sea surface temperature variations.

Know that the Earth's atmosphere with these perturbations is the less energetic body, so by definition there has to be an 'external' perturbation present that forces the atmosphere to respond.

Scientific evidence of the Sun's forcing of the atmosphere exists and the relationship is very significant:
For instance, the co-rotating coronal holes of the Sun induce fluctuations of the solar wind speed in the vicinity of the Earth.

These fluxes of solar wind speed are closely correlated with geomagnetic activity and the resultant geophysical climate and weather effects on Earth which is basic to Astrometeorology.
Solar wind speeds have been observed and monitored by orbiting Earth satellites since the mid-1960s.

The long-term series of solar wind speed clearly reveals enhanced amplitudes at the solar rotation period of 27.3 days and at its harmonics 13.6 and 9.1 days.

The amplitude series are modulated by a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) that has a period of 1.75a (that's 21 months) as bispectral analysis reveals.

A 1.75a QBO component is also present in the equatorial, zonal wind of the stratosphere at 30 hPa, in addition to the well-known QBO component at the period 2.4a (at 29 months.)

The solar wind QBO influences the stratospheric QBO, the global electric circuit, and cloud cover by modulation of ionospheric electric fields, cosmic ray flux and particle precipitation.
And the series of solar wind speed fluctuations are band pass-filtered at the period 1.75a.

The filtered series provide the amplitude of the solar wind QBO as function of time.

The maxima of the solar wind QBO series correlate with those of the ENSO Index. Analysis confirms that the solar wind QBO helps to trigger ENSO activity.

The solar forcing of ENSO is performed by changes in the meridional flux by means of the NAM/SAM. This is what also connects directly back to planetary wave action.

Low-lying regions with homes and commercial structures will be prone to flooding, especially in spring 2022 after the subzero temperatures and cold pressure of the winter/spring of that

Those looking to relocate to more favorable regions who want a forecast can contact me at astro730@gmail.com to get a personalized forecast for you and your family.

If you are reading this in July/August 2021 and considering relocation then I advise that you begin those plans to avoid the climate/weather of late 2021 into the first half of 2022.
In addition, I continue to forecast that the pandemic will be ongoing into 2022.

Those who engage in biased, narrow-minded ideology on the pandemic and mRNA vaccines are about to receive shocks going into January 2022 and beyond.

According to my astrological calculations, new virus variants created by the mass vaccinations, will see the vaccinated falling ill during the very cold climate and weather I have forecast for winter and spring 2022.

Again, mass vaccinations tell the virus to do one of two things - either find a solution or die. So the virus finds another solution and makes itself immune to vaccinations while simultaneously more people are infected by the vaccinations themselves, falling ill, and in some cases, dying.

It is advised to build up your natural immunity this summer into autumn 2021 before the horrendous winter and spring 2022 gets underway.

The adverse weather and climate conditions will be favorable for the new vaccine-caused mutated versions and variants of the coronavirus that I have forecast is about to spread more widely - featuring dueling influenza and the SARS-CoV-2 virus outbreaks when the long cold winter weather sets in for most of the country.

'DROUGHT TO BRIEFLY END AFTER 2021-2022 LA NINA'

The current drought in the Southwestern United States, and in particular, California, will come to an end with the wane of La Nina by mid-spring 2022. I expect the winter of 2022 to deposit enough snow on the Sierra Mountains to effectively ease the drought in the state of California.

But before that happens, two-thirds of North America will experience the very cold and wet winter and spring of 2022.
California, whose climate has naturally becoming more Mediterranean over the decades, will continue to experience spans of very wet and very dry climate conditions through the era of the Sun's Grand Minimum and global cooling.
Generally, from 2021 to 2025, western regions will oscillate from extremely dry to extremely wet - going from drought conditions to heavy rains.

Meanwhile, the Midwest, Southeastern U.S., as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. will see more precipitation by means of heavy rain and snow as numerous regions experience floods.

The Desert Southwest and Pacific Northwest will undergo extremes of either too much, or too little precipitation.
Farmers worldwide, in preparing for ENSO and living with the weather of global cooling must make significant changes in how they live and work to remain profitable.

Changes must include the ability to shift and adapt with the climate and weather conditions of global cooling; from the high irregularity of seasons; to below-average precipitation to drought conditions and from drought to above-average precipitation - the mainstay of the highly variable weather of global cooling.

The climate change to global cooling in late 2017, which I have been forecasting for well over a decade, has arrived, despite predictions for ever more 'man-made global warming' which does not exist.

Lies and propaganda spread by pseudo-climate change proponents continue to try to make people believe the myth that man-made global warming causes global cooling - a worldwide mini ice age under a quiescent Sun.

The fact is that 'man-made global warming' does not cause global cooling no more than a ball, when dropped, will automatically roll uphill in defiance of the laws of gravity.

Those who are in denial that the Sun causes climate change need to know that the last ice age from the 15th through 18th centuries saw average annual temperatures across much of the planet to plummet dropped for decades at a time.

During those spans of time which formed the heart of the Little Ice Age,' the weather of global cooling came about due to atmospheric and oceanic circulation that brought about highly irregular seasons, featuring extensive drought to some regions and torrential rains and great floods to other regions.
The failure of those who presume to forecast climate and weather is that they are not students of these ice ages - the weather of global cooling that sparked crop failures.

This led to ever worsening famines and epidemics that then causes rebellions, hue and cries and wars to emerge.
The climate of global cooling causes a worldwide crisis that led to the deaths of a third of the planet as tens of millions of people were unprepared for the mini ice age.

So, while the propaganda of a 'rapidly warming world' has caused nations, governments and populations to be complacent over the last 25 years; the fact is that that complacency will have serious consequences during the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s under a quiescent Sun.

No amount and foolish talk of 'geoengineering' is going to stop the power of the Sun which holds 99.86% of the mass of the entire Solar System.

As the Sun emits less and less ultraviolet energy throughout its soon-to-be Grand Minimum, it is incumbent upon all to prepare for the long haul because having a short-term outlook of weather and climate is fatal to survival.

North America, particularly Canada and the United States will have to slow down their exports of food to other nations by the mid-2020s because of crop failures due to the weather of global cooling.

The Sun's Grand Minimum and Global Cooling is a threat to those who have propagandized the lie of 'man-made global warming' with the hope that world temperatures will climb based on the falsity that CO2 emissions causes it.

Of course, that isn't going to happen and never has, because it violates all the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
What is happening is that with the advent of the climate of global cooling media coverage is being forced to pay attention.
And just not on how unusual the weather events are, but it is forcing discussion some do not like to hear which is against support for policies that are founded on the fantasy of 'man-made global warming.'

Climate and weather events which span from two to three standard deviation ranges are going to have to be reported to the general public against the weight of evidence which claims the cause is man-made global warming.

Standard deviations that range at 3 and higher will increase due to the fact that we have entered a new mini ice age, and so that means that the reporting on what this means is going to contrast the typical blame of everything on human-caused climate change.
The fact with man-made global warming is that it was never true. It has burdened the general public with the climate insight of an infant at the expense of preparing the public for the realities of climate change caused by a quiescent Sun.

As the unusual extreme weather events - ranging from great droughts to great floods - along with the irregularity of seasons; torrential rains, heavy snowfall, ice storms and radical temperatures fluxes continue to frequently make worldwide headlines the fact is that the climate community and media will be forced to talk increasingly about global cooling - caused by the activity of the quiescent Sun.

And with prices rising by means of inflation, it is wise to make your buys of winter supplies during summer as demand will be great going into the coming winter/spring of 2022.
 

TxGal

Day by day
I have kept up with this guy since reading his stuff on the Old Farmer's Almanac message board which closed down probably 10 years ago. He has never wavered in his belief of global cooling. If nothing else, it is a very interesting read.


Theodore White, Astromet

Climate/Weather Forecast:
The Terrible Winter/Spring Climate of 2022
Western U.S. Drought To Briefly End Next Year
'Plus, Return of La Niña'
Forecast by Theodore White, astromet.sci

Solar and planetary transits confirm the return of La Niña as forecasted over 10 years ago by me for the 2021-2022 climate season in both hemispheres of the Earth.

I caution everyone to prepare for the coming long winter of 2022 that will cause early spring to disappear due to the length of the powerful winter season ahead.

Those who have read and trusted my previous seasonal forecasts will already know my general climate forecast; however, for those looking for advance knowledge I offer these tips to use during the summer & autumn seasons of 2021.

Know that according to my Astromet Forecast, winter will officially begin on November 5, 2021 and will last until May 5, 2022.

The primary problem will be precipitation of freezing rain, heavy snowfalls and ice storms due to the oscillation of low cold temperatures, at times, subzero temperatures with polar vortex intrusions into the middle latitudes of the northern hemisphere.

It will be followed by early to mid-spring floods due to snowmelt from heavy rains in April, May and June 2022.
The months of December 2021 and January 2022 will be active; weather-wise being colder and wetter than normal.

*February 2022 will be drier, but colder than normal featuring snowfall in late January 2022 and again in the third week of February.

*March 2022 will be wetter and colder than normal and looks to me to the be worst month of winter with thousands of records broken for precipitation and subzero temperatures. It will feature heavy snowfall and ice storms, particularly for the Midwestern and Southwestern U.S.

*April 2022 is another wet month of snow and ice storms. The accumulation of snow and ice will be countered with bright sun during the days melting the snow - only for colder than normal night temperatures freezing the melt. Then, the rains will begin to melt the snow faster, causing floods of streams and rivers.

Travel will be especially dangerous during the months of March and April 2022.

Snowmelt will cause the threat of floods - first the Hudson Bay and the Red River along North Dakota's border with Minnesota and then especially the long stretch of the Mississippi River bordering many states from the Upper Midwest down to the Gulf of Mexico.

'THE SNOWMELT FLOODS OF EARLY SPRING 2022'

The most dangerous time for flooding from ice jams and snowmelt will extend from April 12, 2022 to June 20, 2022.

I am forecasting significant flooding for some Canadian provinces and American states from April to June 2022. Preparation and caution is advised.

Though it may run counter-intuitive to conventional forecasters, as an astrometeorologist, I have determined that in the western half of the United States, winds transport water vapor from the Pacific Ocean eastward.

But in the eastern half of the U.S., weather patterns transport moisture primarily south to north from the Gulf of Mexico all the way to the Great Lakes and New England.

The Mississippi River is entirely within the U.S. and is the longest river in North America, draining with its major tributaries an area of approximately 1.2 million square miles (3.1 million square km) or about one-eighth of the entire continent.

It rises at Lake Itasca in Minnesota and flows almost due south across the continental interior as it collects the waters of its major tributaries - the Missouri River (to the west) and the Ohio River (to the east) - approximately halfway along its journey to the Gulf of Mexico through a vast delta southeast of New Orleans.

All of that equals a total distance of 2,340 miles (3,766 km) from its source.

With its tributaries, the Mississippi drains all or part of 31 U.S. states and two provinces in Canada.

Due to the length, breadth and strength of winter 2022 with its great precipitation and cold, I do not expect to not see early spring 2022 for two-thirds of North America.

A flood is considered a snowmelt flood when melting snow is a major source of the water involved.

The extreme snowmelt of 2022 will be caused by warming temperatures as the Sun rises higher in the skies after the vernal equinox of March 20, 2022.

For instance, after 2021, and into 2022 in parts of the Pacific Northwest and the northeastern U.S., the coming snowmelt events will be driven by precipitation of rain that will fall on the accumulated snow - causing swelling of streams and tributaries into rivers.

Unlike rainfall, which reaches the soil almost immediately, snow stores the water for some time until it melts, delaying the arrival of water at the soil for days, weeks, or even months.
Once it does reach the soil, the water either soaks into the ground or runs off.

But if more water runs off than soaks in - especially driven by rain melting the snow, then flooding occurs.

Snowmelt floods typically occurs every year in the northern United States, with most snowmelt events being minor and localized.

Eight of the most significant floods of the 20th century (in terms of area affected, property damage, and deaths) were related to snowmelt.

What causes snowmelt flooding?

High soil moisture conditions prior to snowmelt, frozen ground, heavy snow cover and widespread heavy rain during the melt period, and rapid snowmelt (unseasonably warm temperatures, high humidity, rainfall, etc.)

I divide the Mississippi River into four distinct sections:
From its headwaters, at its source to the head of navigation at St. Paul, Minnesota, the Mississippi begins as a fresh stream winding its way through low countryside dotted with lakes and marshes.

The upper Mississippi extends from St. Paul to the mouth of the Missouri River near St. Louis, Missouri where I expect floods in early spring 2022 as the Missouri River feeds into the Mississippi River at St. Louis.

Flowing past steep limestone bluffs and receiving water from tributaries of the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa, the river in this segment assumes the character that led Algonquian native Indians to name it the “Father of Waters” (literally misi, “big”; sipi, “water”.)

Below the Missouri River junction, the middle Mississippi follows a 200-mile (320-km) course to the mouth of the Ohio River, another region that will encounter floods in spring 2022.
The turbulent, cloudy-to-muddy, and flotsam-laden Missouri, especially when in flood, adds impetus as well as enormous quantities of silt to the clearer Mississippi.

Beyond the confluence with the Ohio River at Cairo, Illinois, where residents should prepare for spring 2022 flooding, the lower Mississippi attains its full grandeur.

At the point where the Ohio and Mississippi rivers met, the Ohio River will be larger that's because below the Ohio confluence the Mississippi swells to more than twice the size it is above.
In fact, temperatures will struggle to dry out and warm up significantly until mid-to-late May 2022 for the Plains and northern states and provinces as the ENSO phase of La Nina gradually retreats.

'ENSO & LA NINA: 2021-2022'

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (known as ENSO) is a variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean.

It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics.
The warm phase of ENSO is known as El Niño and the cold phase is called La Niña.

Back in 2006, I forecasted that by mid-2009 to mid-2010, there would be a El Niño which would be then followed by a strong La Niña in 2010-2011.

I have forecasted that a moderate El Niño would arrive in 2019 to be followed by a powerful La Niña that will dominate the weather of 2021-2022 - with an especially snowy, icy and long winter and spring season throughout the northern hemisphere.

My Climate Forecast - El Nino To Arrive in 2019
'WHAT IS ENSO?'

ENSO events are essentially caused by solar and planetary action. These are major decadal climate events that happen every 10-11 solar years.

The last ENSO, which I forecasted, was the El Niño of mid-2009 into 2010, that was then followed by the cold phase La Niña in 2010-11.

What people are witnessing is a large-scale variability in the Earth's climate circulatory system.

But when climate scientists try to predict ENSO they are removing a climate mechanism where the thermal/kinetic exchange to equilibrium is achieved.

ENSO is externally forced through the polar annular modes/AAM.
What confuses climate computer modellers about ENSO and its cycle is that the thermodynamic response to perturbation is not linear.

That's because El Niño and La Niña respond to fluctuations caused by the external forcing - primarily by the Sun.
ENSO is forced by the Sun externally because of the strength of the trade winds, that is a technical term for what is known as 'Walker Cell' dynamics and the AAM integrals which predate ENSO's sea surface temperature variations.

Know that the Earth's atmosphere with these perturbations is the less energetic body, so by definition there has to be an 'external' perturbation present that forces the atmosphere to respond.

Scientific evidence of the Sun's forcing of the atmosphere exists and the relationship is very significant:
For instance, the co-rotating coronal holes of the Sun induce fluctuations of the solar wind speed in the vicinity of the Earth.

These fluxes of solar wind speed are closely correlated with geomagnetic activity and the resultant geophysical climate and weather effects on Earth which is basic to Astrometeorology.
Solar wind speeds have been observed and monitored by orbiting Earth satellites since the mid-1960s.

The long-term series of solar wind speed clearly reveals enhanced amplitudes at the solar rotation period of 27.3 days and at its harmonics 13.6 and 9.1 days.

The amplitude series are modulated by a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) that has a period of 1.75a (that's 21 months) as bispectral analysis reveals.

A 1.75a QBO component is also present in the equatorial, zonal wind of the stratosphere at 30 hPa, in addition to the well-known QBO component at the period 2.4a (at 29 months.)

The solar wind QBO influences the stratospheric QBO, the global electric circuit, and cloud cover by modulation of ionospheric electric fields, cosmic ray flux and particle precipitation.
And the series of solar wind speed fluctuations are band pass-filtered at the period 1.75a.

The filtered series provide the amplitude of the solar wind QBO as function of time.

The maxima of the solar wind QBO series correlate with those of the ENSO Index. Analysis confirms that the solar wind QBO helps to trigger ENSO activity.

The solar forcing of ENSO is performed by changes in the meridional flux by means of the NAM/SAM. This is what also connects directly back to planetary wave action.

Low-lying regions with homes and commercial structures will be prone to flooding, especially in spring 2022 after the subzero temperatures and cold pressure of the winter/spring of that

Those looking to relocate to more favorable regions who want a forecast can contact me at astro730@gmail.com to get a personalized forecast for you and your family.

If you are reading this in July/August 2021 and considering relocation then I advise that you begin those plans to avoid the climate/weather of late 2021 into the first half of 2022.
In addition, I continue to forecast that the pandemic will be ongoing into 2022.

Those who engage in biased, narrow-minded ideology on the pandemic and mRNA vaccines are about to receive shocks going into January 2022 and beyond.

According to my astrological calculations, new virus variants created by the mass vaccinations, will see the vaccinated falling ill during the very cold climate and weather I have forecast for winter and spring 2022.

Again, mass vaccinations tell the virus to do one of two things - either find a solution or die. So the virus finds another solution and makes itself immune to vaccinations while simultaneously more people are infected by the vaccinations themselves, falling ill, and in some cases, dying.

It is advised to build up your natural immunity this summer into autumn 2021 before the horrendous winter and spring 2022 gets underway.

The adverse weather and climate conditions will be favorable for the new vaccine-caused mutated versions and variants of the coronavirus that I have forecast is about to spread more widely - featuring dueling influenza and the SARS-CoV-2 virus outbreaks when the long cold winter weather sets in for most of the country.

'DROUGHT TO BRIEFLY END AFTER 2021-2022 LA NINA'

The current drought in the Southwestern United States, and in particular, California, will come to an end with the wane of La Nina by mid-spring 2022. I expect the winter of 2022 to deposit enough snow on the Sierra Mountains to effectively ease the drought in the state of California.

But before that happens, two-thirds of North America will experience the very cold and wet winter and spring of 2022.
California, whose climate has naturally becoming more Mediterranean over the decades, will continue to experience spans of very wet and very dry climate conditions through the era of the Sun's Grand Minimum and global cooling.
Generally, from 2021 to 2025, western regions will oscillate from extremely dry to extremely wet - going from drought conditions to heavy rains.

Meanwhile, the Midwest, Southeastern U.S., as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. will see more precipitation by means of heavy rain and snow as numerous regions experience floods.

The Desert Southwest and Pacific Northwest will undergo extremes of either too much, or too little precipitation.
Farmers worldwide, in preparing for ENSO and living with the weather of global cooling must make significant changes in how they live and work to remain profitable.

Changes must include the ability to shift and adapt with the climate and weather conditions of global cooling; from the high irregularity of seasons; to below-average precipitation to drought conditions and from drought to above-average precipitation - the mainstay of the highly variable weather of global cooling.

The climate change to global cooling in late 2017, which I have been forecasting for well over a decade, has arrived, despite predictions for ever more 'man-made global warming' which does not exist.

Lies and propaganda spread by pseudo-climate change proponents continue to try to make people believe the myth that man-made global warming causes global cooling - a worldwide mini ice age under a quiescent Sun.

The fact is that 'man-made global warming' does not cause global cooling no more than a ball, when dropped, will automatically roll uphill in defiance of the laws of gravity.

Those who are in denial that the Sun causes climate change need to know that the last ice age from the 15th through 18th centuries saw average annual temperatures across much of the planet to plummet dropped for decades at a time.

During those spans of time which formed the heart of the Little Ice Age,' the weather of global cooling came about due to atmospheric and oceanic circulation that brought about highly irregular seasons, featuring extensive drought to some regions and torrential rains and great floods to other regions.
The failure of those who presume to forecast climate and weather is that they are not students of these ice ages - the weather of global cooling that sparked crop failures.

This led to ever worsening famines and epidemics that then causes rebellions, hue and cries and wars to emerge.
The climate of global cooling causes a worldwide crisis that led to the deaths of a third of the planet as tens of millions of people were unprepared for the mini ice age.

So, while the propaganda of a 'rapidly warming world' has caused nations, governments and populations to be complacent over the last 25 years; the fact is that that complacency will have serious consequences during the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s under a quiescent Sun.

No amount and foolish talk of 'geoengineering' is going to stop the power of the Sun which holds 99.86% of the mass of the entire Solar System.

As the Sun emits less and less ultraviolet energy throughout its soon-to-be Grand Minimum, it is incumbent upon all to prepare for the long haul because having a short-term outlook of weather and climate is fatal to survival.

North America, particularly Canada and the United States will have to slow down their exports of food to other nations by the mid-2020s because of crop failures due to the weather of global cooling.

The Sun's Grand Minimum and Global Cooling is a threat to those who have propagandized the lie of 'man-made global warming' with the hope that world temperatures will climb based on the falsity that CO2 emissions causes it.

Of course, that isn't going to happen and never has, because it violates all the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
What is happening is that with the advent of the climate of global cooling media coverage is being forced to pay attention.
And just not on how unusual the weather events are, but it is forcing discussion some do not like to hear which is against support for policies that are founded on the fantasy of 'man-made global warming.'

Climate and weather events which span from two to three standard deviation ranges are going to have to be reported to the general public against the weight of evidence which claims the cause is man-made global warming.

Standard deviations that range at 3 and higher will increase due to the fact that we have entered a new mini ice age, and so that means that the reporting on what this means is going to contrast the typical blame of everything on human-caused climate change.
The fact with man-made global warming is that it was never true. It has burdened the general public with the climate insight of an infant at the expense of preparing the public for the realities of climate change caused by a quiescent Sun.

As the unusual extreme weather events - ranging from great droughts to great floods - along with the irregularity of seasons; torrential rains, heavy snowfall, ice storms and radical temperatures fluxes continue to frequently make worldwide headlines the fact is that the climate community and media will be forced to talk increasingly about global cooling - caused by the activity of the quiescent Sun.

And with prices rising by means of inflation, it is wise to make your buys of winter supplies during summer as demand will be great going into the coming winter/spring of 2022.

OMG, two words that will strike fear into most Texans after last winter, and I'm sure many in other states - Polar Vortex.

I'm going to read up on this guy, thanks so much for posting this!
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
I have kept up with this guy since reading his stuff on the Old Farmer's Almanac message board which closed down probably 10 years ago. He has never wavered in his belief of global cooling. If nothing else, it is a very interesting read.


Theodore White, Astromet

Climate/Weather Forecast:
The Terrible Winter/Spring Climate of 2022
Western U.S. Drought To Briefly End Next Year
'Plus, Return of La Niña'
Forecast by Theodore White, astromet.sci

Solar and planetary transits confirm the return of La Niña as forecasted over 10 years ago by me for the 2021-2022 climate season in both hemispheres of the Earth.

I caution everyone to prepare for the coming long winter of 2022 that will cause early spring to disappear due to the length of the powerful winter season ahead.

Those who have read and trusted my previous seasonal forecasts will already know my general climate forecast; however, for those looking for advance knowledge I offer these tips to use during the summer & autumn seasons of 2021.

Know that according to my Astromet Forecast, winter will officially begin on November 5, 2021 and will last until May 5, 2022.

The primary problem will be precipitation of freezing rain, heavy snowfalls and ice storms due to the oscillation of low cold temperatures, at times, subzero temperatures with polar vortex intrusions into the middle latitudes of the northern hemisphere.

It will be followed by early to mid-spring floods due to snowmelt from heavy rains in April, May and June 2022.
The months of December 2021 and January 2022 will be active; weather-wise being colder and wetter than normal.

*February 2022 will be drier, but colder than normal featuring snowfall in late January 2022 and again in the third week of February.

*March 2022 will be wetter and colder than normal and looks to me to the be worst month of winter with thousands of records broken for precipitation and subzero temperatures. It will feature heavy snowfall and ice storms, particularly for the Midwestern and Southwestern U.S.

*April 2022 is another wet month of snow and ice storms. The accumulation of snow and ice will be countered with bright sun during the days melting the snow - only for colder than normal night temperatures freezing the melt. Then, the rains will begin to melt the snow faster, causing floods of streams and rivers.

Travel will be especially dangerous during the months of March and April 2022.

Snowmelt will cause the threat of floods - first the Hudson Bay and the Red River along North Dakota's border with Minnesota and then especially the long stretch of the Mississippi River bordering many states from the Upper Midwest down to the Gulf of Mexico.

'THE SNOWMELT FLOODS OF EARLY SPRING 2022'

The most dangerous time for flooding from ice jams and snowmelt will extend from April 12, 2022 to June 20, 2022.

I am forecasting significant flooding for some Canadian provinces and American states from April to June 2022. Preparation and caution is advised.

Though it may run counter-intuitive to conventional forecasters, as an astrometeorologist, I have determined that in the western half of the United States, winds transport water vapor from the Pacific Ocean eastward.

But in the eastern half of the U.S., weather patterns transport moisture primarily south to north from the Gulf of Mexico all the way to the Great Lakes and New England.

The Mississippi River is entirely within the U.S. and is the longest river in North America, draining with its major tributaries an area of approximately 1.2 million square miles (3.1 million square km) or about one-eighth of the entire continent.

It rises at Lake Itasca in Minnesota and flows almost due south across the continental interior as it collects the waters of its major tributaries - the Missouri River (to the west) and the Ohio River (to the east) - approximately halfway along its journey to the Gulf of Mexico through a vast delta southeast of New Orleans.

All of that equals a total distance of 2,340 miles (3,766 km) from its source.

With its tributaries, the Mississippi drains all or part of 31 U.S. states and two provinces in Canada.

Due to the length, breadth and strength of winter 2022 with its great precipitation and cold, I do not expect to not see early spring 2022 for two-thirds of North America.

A flood is considered a snowmelt flood when melting snow is a major source of the water involved.

The extreme snowmelt of 2022 will be caused by warming temperatures as the Sun rises higher in the skies after the vernal equinox of March 20, 2022.

For instance, after 2021, and into 2022 in parts of the Pacific Northwest and the northeastern U.S., the coming snowmelt events will be driven by precipitation of rain that will fall on the accumulated snow - causing swelling of streams and tributaries into rivers.

Unlike rainfall, which reaches the soil almost immediately, snow stores the water for some time until it melts, delaying the arrival of water at the soil for days, weeks, or even months.
Once it does reach the soil, the water either soaks into the ground or runs off.

But if more water runs off than soaks in - especially driven by rain melting the snow, then flooding occurs.

Snowmelt floods typically occurs every year in the northern United States, with most snowmelt events being minor and localized.

Eight of the most significant floods of the 20th century (in terms of area affected, property damage, and deaths) were related to snowmelt.

What causes snowmelt flooding?

High soil moisture conditions prior to snowmelt, frozen ground, heavy snow cover and widespread heavy rain during the melt period, and rapid snowmelt (unseasonably warm temperatures, high humidity, rainfall, etc.)

I divide the Mississippi River into four distinct sections:
From its headwaters, at its source to the head of navigation at St. Paul, Minnesota, the Mississippi begins as a fresh stream winding its way through low countryside dotted with lakes and marshes.

The upper Mississippi extends from St. Paul to the mouth of the Missouri River near St. Louis, Missouri where I expect floods in early spring 2022 as the Missouri River feeds into the Mississippi River at St. Louis.

Flowing past steep limestone bluffs and receiving water from tributaries of the states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa, the river in this segment assumes the character that led Algonquian native Indians to name it the “Father of Waters” (literally misi, “big”; sipi, “water”.)

Below the Missouri River junction, the middle Mississippi follows a 200-mile (320-km) course to the mouth of the Ohio River, another region that will encounter floods in spring 2022.
The turbulent, cloudy-to-muddy, and flotsam-laden Missouri, especially when in flood, adds impetus as well as enormous quantities of silt to the clearer Mississippi.

Beyond the confluence with the Ohio River at Cairo, Illinois, where residents should prepare for spring 2022 flooding, the lower Mississippi attains its full grandeur.

At the point where the Ohio and Mississippi rivers met, the Ohio River will be larger that's because below the Ohio confluence the Mississippi swells to more than twice the size it is above.
In fact, temperatures will struggle to dry out and warm up significantly until mid-to-late May 2022 for the Plains and northern states and provinces as the ENSO phase of La Nina gradually retreats.

'ENSO & LA NINA: 2021-2022'

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (known as ENSO) is a variation in winds and sea surface temperatures over the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean.

It affects the climate of much of the tropics and subtropics.
The warm phase of ENSO is known as El Niño and the cold phase is called La Niña.

Back in 2006, I forecasted that by mid-2009 to mid-2010, there would be a El Niño which would be then followed by a strong La Niña in 2010-2011.

I have forecasted that a moderate El Niño would arrive in 2019 to be followed by a powerful La Niña that will dominate the weather of 2021-2022 - with an especially snowy, icy and long winter and spring season throughout the northern hemisphere.

My Climate Forecast - El Nino To Arrive in 2019
'WHAT IS ENSO?'

ENSO events are essentially caused by solar and planetary action. These are major decadal climate events that happen every 10-11 solar years.

The last ENSO, which I forecasted, was the El Niño of mid-2009 into 2010, that was then followed by the cold phase La Niña in 2010-11.

What people are witnessing is a large-scale variability in the Earth's climate circulatory system.

But when climate scientists try to predict ENSO they are removing a climate mechanism where the thermal/kinetic exchange to equilibrium is achieved.

ENSO is externally forced through the polar annular modes/AAM.
What confuses climate computer modellers about ENSO and its cycle is that the thermodynamic response to perturbation is not linear.

That's because El Niño and La Niña respond to fluctuations caused by the external forcing - primarily by the Sun.
ENSO is forced by the Sun externally because of the strength of the trade winds, that is a technical term for what is known as 'Walker Cell' dynamics and the AAM integrals which predate ENSO's sea surface temperature variations.

Know that the Earth's atmosphere with these perturbations is the less energetic body, so by definition there has to be an 'external' perturbation present that forces the atmosphere to respond.

Scientific evidence of the Sun's forcing of the atmosphere exists and the relationship is very significant:
For instance, the co-rotating coronal holes of the Sun induce fluctuations of the solar wind speed in the vicinity of the Earth.

These fluxes of solar wind speed are closely correlated with geomagnetic activity and the resultant geophysical climate and weather effects on Earth which is basic to Astrometeorology.
Solar wind speeds have been observed and monitored by orbiting Earth satellites since the mid-1960s.

The long-term series of solar wind speed clearly reveals enhanced amplitudes at the solar rotation period of 27.3 days and at its harmonics 13.6 and 9.1 days.

The amplitude series are modulated by a quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) that has a period of 1.75a (that's 21 months) as bispectral analysis reveals.

A 1.75a QBO component is also present in the equatorial, zonal wind of the stratosphere at 30 hPa, in addition to the well-known QBO component at the period 2.4a (at 29 months.)

The solar wind QBO influences the stratospheric QBO, the global electric circuit, and cloud cover by modulation of ionospheric electric fields, cosmic ray flux and particle precipitation.
And the series of solar wind speed fluctuations are band pass-filtered at the period 1.75a.

The filtered series provide the amplitude of the solar wind QBO as function of time.

The maxima of the solar wind QBO series correlate with those of the ENSO Index. Analysis confirms that the solar wind QBO helps to trigger ENSO activity.

The solar forcing of ENSO is performed by changes in the meridional flux by means of the NAM/SAM. This is what also connects directly back to planetary wave action.

Low-lying regions with homes and commercial structures will be prone to flooding, especially in spring 2022 after the subzero temperatures and cold pressure of the winter/spring of that

Those looking to relocate to more favorable regions who want a forecast can contact me at astro730@gmail.com to get a personalized forecast for you and your family.

If you are reading this in July/August 2021 and considering relocation then I advise that you begin those plans to avoid the climate/weather of late 2021 into the first half of 2022.
In addition, I continue to forecast that the pandemic will be ongoing into 2022.

Those who engage in biased, narrow-minded ideology on the pandemic and mRNA vaccines are about to receive shocks going into January 2022 and beyond.

According to my astrological calculations, new virus variants created by the mass vaccinations, will see the vaccinated falling ill during the very cold climate and weather I have forecast for winter and spring 2022.

Again, mass vaccinations tell the virus to do one of two things - either find a solution or die. So the virus finds another solution and makes itself immune to vaccinations while simultaneously more people are infected by the vaccinations themselves, falling ill, and in some cases, dying.

It is advised to build up your natural immunity this summer into autumn 2021 before the horrendous winter and spring 2022 gets underway.

The adverse weather and climate conditions will be favorable for the new vaccine-caused mutated versions and variants of the coronavirus that I have forecast is about to spread more widely - featuring dueling influenza and the SARS-CoV-2 virus outbreaks when the long cold winter weather sets in for most of the country.

'DROUGHT TO BRIEFLY END AFTER 2021-2022 LA NINA'

The current drought in the Southwestern United States, and in particular, California, will come to an end with the wane of La Nina by mid-spring 2022. I expect the winter of 2022 to deposit enough snow on the Sierra Mountains to effectively ease the drought in the state of California.

But before that happens, two-thirds of North America will experience the very cold and wet winter and spring of 2022.
California, whose climate has naturally becoming more Mediterranean over the decades, will continue to experience spans of very wet and very dry climate conditions through the era of the Sun's Grand Minimum and global cooling.
Generally, from 2021 to 2025, western regions will oscillate from extremely dry to extremely wet - going from drought conditions to heavy rains.

Meanwhile, the Midwest, Southeastern U.S., as well as the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern U.S. will see more precipitation by means of heavy rain and snow as numerous regions experience floods.

The Desert Southwest and Pacific Northwest will undergo extremes of either too much, or too little precipitation.
Farmers worldwide, in preparing for ENSO and living with the weather of global cooling must make significant changes in how they live and work to remain profitable.

Changes must include the ability to shift and adapt with the climate and weather conditions of global cooling; from the high irregularity of seasons; to below-average precipitation to drought conditions and from drought to above-average precipitation - the mainstay of the highly variable weather of global cooling.

The climate change to global cooling in late 2017, which I have been forecasting for well over a decade, has arrived, despite predictions for ever more 'man-made global warming' which does not exist.

Lies and propaganda spread by pseudo-climate change proponents continue to try to make people believe the myth that man-made global warming causes global cooling - a worldwide mini ice age under a quiescent Sun.

The fact is that 'man-made global warming' does not cause global cooling no more than a ball, when dropped, will automatically roll uphill in defiance of the laws of gravity.

Those who are in denial that the Sun causes climate change need to know that the last ice age from the 15th through 18th centuries saw average annual temperatures across much of the planet to plummet dropped for decades at a time.

During those spans of time which formed the heart of the Little Ice Age,' the weather of global cooling came about due to atmospheric and oceanic circulation that brought about highly irregular seasons, featuring extensive drought to some regions and torrential rains and great floods to other regions.
The failure of those who presume to forecast climate and weather is that they are not students of these ice ages - the weather of global cooling that sparked crop failures.

This led to ever worsening famines and epidemics that then causes rebellions, hue and cries and wars to emerge.
The climate of global cooling causes a worldwide crisis that led to the deaths of a third of the planet as tens of millions of people were unprepared for the mini ice age.

So, while the propaganda of a 'rapidly warming world' has caused nations, governments and populations to be complacent over the last 25 years; the fact is that that complacency will have serious consequences during the 2020s, 2030s and 2040s under a quiescent Sun.

No amount and foolish talk of 'geoengineering' is going to stop the power of the Sun which holds 99.86% of the mass of the entire Solar System.

As the Sun emits less and less ultraviolet energy throughout its soon-to-be Grand Minimum, it is incumbent upon all to prepare for the long haul because having a short-term outlook of weather and climate is fatal to survival.

North America, particularly Canada and the United States will have to slow down their exports of food to other nations by the mid-2020s because of crop failures due to the weather of global cooling.

The Sun's Grand Minimum and Global Cooling is a threat to those who have propagandized the lie of 'man-made global warming' with the hope that world temperatures will climb based on the falsity that CO2 emissions causes it.

Of course, that isn't going to happen and never has, because it violates all the laws of physics and thermodynamics.
What is happening is that with the advent of the climate of global cooling media coverage is being forced to pay attention.
And just not on how unusual the weather events are, but it is forcing discussion some do not like to hear which is against support for policies that are founded on the fantasy of 'man-made global warming.'

Climate and weather events which span from two to three standard deviation ranges are going to have to be reported to the general public against the weight of evidence which claims the cause is man-made global warming.

Standard deviations that range at 3 and higher will increase due to the fact that we have entered a new mini ice age, and so that means that the reporting on what this means is going to contrast the typical blame of everything on human-caused climate change.
The fact with man-made global warming is that it was never true. It has burdened the general public with the climate insight of an infant at the expense of preparing the public for the realities of climate change caused by a quiescent Sun.

As the unusual extreme weather events - ranging from great droughts to great floods - along with the irregularity of seasons; torrential rains, heavy snowfall, ice storms and radical temperatures fluxes continue to frequently make worldwide headlines the fact is that the climate community and media will be forced to talk increasingly about global cooling - caused by the activity of the quiescent Sun.

And with prices rising by means of inflation, it is wise to make your buys of winter supplies during summer as demand will be great going into the coming winter/spring of 2022.
Very interesting. As you have followed him, How accurate has he been in the past?
 

TxGal

Day by day
Another Adapt 2030 report on food/crop issues:

When Will Countries Start Fencing off Food Exports - YouTube

When Will Countries Start Fencing off Food Exports
6,298 views
Jul 14, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/OTZU7GvRX6I
Run time is 28:45

Synopsis provided:

Bob Kudla from Trade Genius and David DuByne of ADAPT 2030 discuss shortages occurring across the planet, how many are natural and how many are because of trade disputes and cross border restrictions. With rising fuel prices, what places that will weather the financial storm which Bob discusses. Ready to protect your family?

• Argentina suspends beef and corn exports
• Greenhouse and indoor vertical agriculture
• Lowest Oat production since records began
• Highest planted area of Sorghum in 100 years
• Oil and Food Resource Control Globally
• Uranium and Rare Earth Metals Production
• West African Monsoon Shift
• West African Monsoon Shift
 

TxGal

Day by day
Two new podcasts from the Oppenheimer Ranch Project:

Taal May Erupt Any Moment -Phivolcs: 185 Volcanic Earthquakes at Taal in 24 hrs - Scientists Worried - YouTube

Taal May Erupt Any Moment -Phivolcs: 185 Volcanic Earthquakes at Taal in 24 hrs - Scientists Worried
5,492 views
Premiered 16 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/OGjyBRzckFo
Run time is 5:25

Synopsis provided:

Taal volcano (Luzon Island, Philippines) activity update: elevated seismic activity, more than 180 volcanic quakes https://bit.ly/3hGoc9I
Phivolcs: 185 volcanic earthquakes at Taal in 24 hours https://bit.ly/3xG74Xp
Taal May Erupt Any Moment: Scientists Worried Due to Record-Breaking Gas Emissions https://bit.ly/2VJQw2z
2020–2021 Taal Volcano eruptions https://bit.ly/3kr6Yie
Taal Detailed Stats https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn...
TAAL VOLCANO ERUPTION 2020 | Je Ang Dumagat’s Actual Footage https://bit.ly/3hEVBBN
Volcanoes Live, Worldwide. #Taal https://bit.ly/36IoYMZ
 

TxGal

Day by day
The 2nd from Oppenheimer:

Toba Catastrophe Theory Rewritten - Scientific Evidence Show Varied Effects From The VEI8 Eruption - YouTube

Toba Catastrophe Theory Rewritten - Scientific Evidence Show Varied Effects From The VEI8 Eruption
1,803 views
Premiered 9 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/r8mNHHp7nJs
Run time is 16:42

Synopsis provided:

Huge Volcanic Eruption Disrupted Climate but Not Human Evolution https://bit.ly/3reqXCu
Global climate disruption and regional climate shelters after the Toba supereruption https://bit.ly/3yTXMa8
Ash from the Toba supereruption in Lake Malawi shows no volcanic winter in East Africa at 75 ka https://bit.ly/3kgvRgJ
Paleogeographic Climate Reconstruction https://bit.ly/3Bea8MD
Humans survived volcanic 'super-eruption' that caused '10-year winter' 70,000 years ago https://bit.ly/36DRiQW
Human occupation of northern India spans the Toba super-eruption ~74,000 years ago https://go.nature.com/3wG3HOL
Human populations survived the Toba volcanic super-eruption 74,000 years ago https://bit.ly/3hFnlGp
Supervolcano Map https://bit.ly/3B8yabQ
Volcano comparison chart https://bit.ly/36zywdg
Toba catastrophe theory https://bit.ly/3wmRzTQ
Yellowstone Supervolcano VS Toba Supervolcano Video https://bit.ly/36BROi9
 

TxGal

Day by day
Uh-oh, US wheat crops looking bad:

Winter Bites Hard in Australia, U.S. Wheat Crops in Serious Trouble, + more record GAINS posted across Greenland (electroverse.net)

greenland-ice-gains-e1626339463871.jpg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

WINTER BITES HARD IN AUSTRALIA, U.S. WHEAT CROPS IN SERIOUS TROUBLE, + MORE RECORD GAINS POSTED ACROSS GREENLAND
JULY 15, 2021 CAP ALLON

Earth’s average temperature is below the 30-year average.

Natural, solar-driven global warming is over.

There is no “climate emergency”.


WINTER BITES HARD IN AUSTRALIA

A surge of polar air is set to barrel across multiple Aussies states this weekend, driving temperatures well-below winter norms.

Senior BOM meteorologist Philip Perkins said a severe weather warning will be issued across South Australia, with damaging winds, heavy rain/snow, and anomalous-cold set to blast the state as a series of cold fronts pummel the south/southeast:

View: https://twitter.com/BOM_au/status/1415169872020054017
Run time is 1:03

“A system moving through South Australia on Friday is bringing a burst of cold polar air with it,” said Sky News Weather meteorologist Alison Osborne.

“It’s going to be a very chilly end to the week, with low-level snow forecast.”

According to the latest GFS run (shown below), that snow looks substantial.

The higher elevations of Victoria and New South Wales are on for something of a burial, with accumulations over a meter possible by the end of next week; while 70% of Tasmania is on course to be buried, too.

Even the southern stretches of Western Australia could see a few flurries, around July 24.


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) July 15 – July 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Here’s a closer look at those snowfall totals, expected by July 26:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) July 15 – July 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].

U.S. WHEAT CROPS IN SERIOUS TROUBLE

Farmers in the northern U.S. Plains are on track to harvest the smallest spring wheat crop in 33 years, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) said this week.

As reported by reuters.com, prices on the Minneapolis Grain Exchange surged more than 5% after the USDA slashed its 2021 spring wheat harvest outlook to 345 million bushels, down 41% from a year earlier and the smallest since 1988.

Soaring U.S. wheat prices will further pinch import-dependent nations that have struggled with food inflation and climbing costs for shipping grain around the world.

“The spring wheat production is a lot weaker than expected and has been heading south. There’s just nothing good to say about this spring wheat crop,” said Jack Scoville, analyst with the Price Futures Group in Chicago.

Delayed plantings due to record cold, persistent drought conditions, and a fierce Pacific Northwest heatwave have all contributed to a disastrous growing season.

The USDA has said that 68% of the Pacific Northwest’s spring wheat was in “poor or very poor” conditions — at this time last year, only 6% of the region’s crop was in such bad shape; and the troubles aren’t just confined to the Northwest — all told, the USDA found that 98% of the U.S. wheat crop is growing in areas hit by drought.

“The general mood among farmers in my area is as dire as I’ve ever seen it,” Idaho wheat farmer Cordell Kress told Reuters. “Something about a drought like this just wears on you. You see your blood, sweat, and tears just slowly wither away and die.”

The USDA is trying to downplay concerns –that’s their job after all, to stabilize the commodity markets– and they are claiming that the U.S. winter wheat harvest will offset some of the spring losses; however, and in the same breath, the Department is bracing us all for tighter wheat supplies, “the tightest in eight years”, in fact–although in reality, supplies will likely be far tighter, the USDA has history here, and in the same report they also rate just 16% of the U.S. spring wheat crop in “good-to-excellent” condition, the lowest early-July level since 1988.
The raw figures speak for themselves.

As always, the spin is, well, the spin.

Food shortages/price-rises are inevitable — grow your own.

MORE ALL-TIME SNOW & ICE GAINS LOGGED ON GREENLAND

On the back of substantial Surface Mass Balance (SMB) gains since 2016 (which coincide with a stark drop in Earth’s average temperature), the Greenland ice sheet is increasing that trend of GROWTH in 2021.

Despite MSM obfuscations, vast regions of Greenland are currently gaining record levels of snow and ice:


[DMI]

Back on May 26, a single day gain of more than 12 gigatons was logged sending the official SMB chart –courtesy of the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI)– into historic territory, that blue line literally shot off the charts.

Further record-breaking gains were logged throughout June, most notably on June 24 when a gain of 4 gigatons was logged, which was an astonishing accumulation for the time of year — never before in the month of June had the Greenland ice sheet grown by 4 Gts in a single day (according to DMI data which extends to 1981).

And now, this record-breaking growth is continuing into mid-summer.

Yesterday, July 14, Greenland actually gained mass (approx. 2 Gts) — an unprecedented feat this late into the year. Between early-June to early-August the ice sheet experiences its summer melt season, a time when the sheet, on average, loses around 4-6 Gts of mass a day; however, something unexpected is happening this year — the world’s largest island has actually been GAINING between 2-4 Gts of mass all summer:

SMB_curves_LA_EN_20210714.png

Greenland SMB (Gt/day), as of July 14 [DMI]..

Again, the raw data speaks for itself.

No spin necessary.

[I would have included another graph here, but the DMI website has just gone down — maybe those historic summer gains needed a little ‘adjusting’…?]


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
All, below is part of a 2nd article on Electroverse.com....every time I try to continue posting it, my screen is going black and freezing up, so I'm not going to continue. It happens after I post the 2nd pic, and I have no idea why. If you'd like to read it, please follow the link. If someone would like to attempt posting it, please do - but with caution.

Antarctic Air Engulfs Southern Africa: Heavy Snow hits SA, as Nations Log their Coldest July Temperatures Ever Recorded (electroverse.net)

rare-snow-SA-e1626346070894.jpg

Extreme Weather GSM

ANTARCTIC AIR ENGULFS SOUTHERN AFRICA: HEAVY SNOW HITS SA, AS NATIONS LOG THEIR COLDEST JULY TEMPERATURES EVER RECORDED
JULY 15, 2021 CAP ALLON

The majority of SA has seen a stark drop in temperatures this week, as a powerful Antarctic front grips the swathes of the southern African continent, including the nations of Namibia and Botswana.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
We've been in the 80s for the most part the last few weeks with all the rain moving in. Normally this is our dry period and usually includes a lengthy drought. We should be in the upper 90s and often hitting the low 100s. We were in the low 70s just a while ago after showers moved in, going to 71 overnight. We often have nights this time of year where the temps sit in the upper 80s to low 90s. These low temps are not normal by a long shot; pleasant, but certainly not the usual pattern for here.

Next week we're going to repeat the pattern, as that article mentions. We've been moving into the 90-92 range for a few days, then another cold front moves down from the north bringing rain and the temps drop to the low 70s- very low 80s for days to almost a week....seems like meriodional flow often.

I'm really getting concerned about what winter is going to look like.

I back up TxGal's report. Cool and wet south of Houston metro.
 

rolenrock

Senior Member
Record Summer Chills sweep the US, as Sub-Polar Cold hits Africa (electroverse.net)

July-21-crop-1-e1626260055374.jpg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

RECORD SUMMER CHILLS SWEEP THE UNITED STATES, AS SUB-POLAR COLD HITS AFRICA–THREATENING “AN ACUTE MAIZE SHORTAGE”
JULY 14, 2021 CAP ALLON

It’s setting up to be a historically cool summer across much of the CONUS, particularly for the Midwest and the South, including states such as Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Kansas… among many others.

The Pacific Northwest’s heatwave is the anomaly here, not the norm.

Vast swathes of the United States have been holding unusually-cool for the majority of 2021 — the nation as a whole suffered its coldest February since 1989, while Texas’ “big freeze” that month resulted in a deathtoll of 702 with reports of people freezing to death in their beds.

And even now, with mid-summer fast-approaching, two-thirds of the CONUS is still holding below average.

In fact, record summer chills are threatening to descend from the Arctic, as a mass of polar air rides anomalously-far south on the back of a low solar activity-induced “meridional” jet stream flow.

Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), temperature departures some 16-20C below the seasonal average will continue to sweep central and southern regions as the month of July progresses.

Here’s the temperature outlook for Wednesday, July 14:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here’s Thursday, July 15:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 15 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Eyeing further ahead, these potentially record-setting lows are forecast to persist into late-July.
Below is Tuesday, July 20:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 20 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here is Wednesday, July 21–where some exceptional negative anomalies are forecast for central Texas:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].

As it stands, states like Texas are on for something of a ‘year without a summer’.

Also, and mercifully, the heat in the west looks set to soon subside.

Escaping the MSM’s attention though –and during the peak of the Pacific Northwest’s “catastrophic” heatwave– San Francisco actually neared historic low temperatures for July.

The city logged a daily max of just 58F (14.4C) on Sunday, July 11 — this reading was just a few degrees off the coldest-ever high on record for San Francisco in the month of July, and was its lowest-maximum since the 57F (13.9F) observed almost a decade ago (during the solar minimum of cycle 24).

The difference in temperatures between inland regions and a coastal city like San Francisco is a testament to the marine layer’s impact on the city, explained Roger Gass, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service (NWS).

Composed of clouds that shield sunlight and heat, San Francisco’s marine layer is responsible for keeping the city free of dangerous heat wave conditions.

“Essentially things are working the way they’re supposed to work as far as the marine influences keeping the coast cooler,” said Gass.


AFRICA MAIZE CONCERNS FOLLOWING COLD AND DROUGHT

The Kenyan government has warned of “an acute maize shortage” in the coming year due to reduced rainfall and unusually cold temperatures.

Maize is a staple food for most households, and its availability depends on weather patterns during planting.

John Kamanja, a senior officer from the Ministry of Agriculture, said many farmers planted late this year as they waited for the rains, but then anomalous-cold set in earlier than expected, in May, rather than during the expected month of July.


“I am not sure I will get anything much from my 25 acres under maize this season,” said Sammy Chemweno, a grower based in Moiben, Uasin Gishu County.

Chemweno estimates his production will drop from 25 bags of maize per acre to less than 10.

“The future looks bleak,” he continued. “The last time we witnessed this kind of a situation was 2009″ (during the solar minimum of cycle 24).

“There will be a maize shortage this season,” warned Kamanja.

NAMIBIA FREEZES

Namibia’s Meteorological Service has warned citizens to take the necessary precautions to “shield themselves” against “very cold conditions expected to hit during the course of this week”.

According to meteorologist Odillo Kgobetsi, these extreme lows are due to the arrival of a powerful polar front kicked up from an anomalously-cold Antarctica–which is currently holding some 4.2C below the 1979-2000 norm.


Extreme cold is expected in the south, central and eastern regions — with rare and heavy frosts setting in.

“Small stock and crop farmers should take the necessary precautions,” warned Kgobetsi, who expects lows of -3C (26.6F) in Gobabis, -2C (28.4F) at Rehoboth, Buitepos, and Windhoek, and 0C (32F) at Aroab.

HEAVY SNOW HITS SOUTH AFRICA

The same Antarctic air mass currently engulfing Namibia first swept South Africa, where it is still lingering.

Snowfall has been recorded over the Northern Cape, and in Sutherland.

Flakes have also settled in the Matroosberg Private Nature Reserve–located two hours outside Cape Town.

And a total of four mountain passes have been shut due to substantial flurries in the Eastern Cape, reports sabcnews.com, with the Eastern Cape Transport Department urging motorists to avoid all roads in high lying areas.

View: https://twitter.com/TheunsJonck/status/1414905621913210880

The South African Weather Service has warned of further freezing temperatures across large parts of the country from Tuesday onward, with record-challenging lows on the cards for Wednesday.

The cold has already infected parts of the interior, including in cities like Johannesburg and Pretoria.

While “alerts” have been issued for regions such as Guateng:

View: https://twitter.com/tWeatherSA/status/1414153096322854913

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

Kenya straddles the equator! Their corn crop is struggling with cold temperatures? It's hard to grasp this and the implications.
 

TxGal

Day by day
More info on grain crop issues around the world.

The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

NWS Confirms EF-3 + 3 EF-1 Tornados In Iowa - Dozens Killed In Europe Due To 100 Year Floods = GSM - YouTube

NWS Confirms EF-3 + 3 EF-1 Tornados In Iowa - Dozens Killed In Europe Due To 100 Year Floods = GSM
3,049 views
Premiered 7 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/F3VxVjA-r-c
Run time is 14:53

Synopsis provided:

NWS confirms EF-3, three EF-1 tornados touched down in Iowa Weds https://bit.ly/3z55gXY
At least 12 confirmed tornadoes touched down Wednesday in Iowa https://bit.ly/3z225jL
Storm blows through metro Phoenix, brings heavy rain and hail https://bit.ly/2VNfEp8
Flash Flooding and Heat Threats Will Exist Into the Weekend https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Total Precip US https://bit.ly/3rqtQjL
Dozens killed in flooding by rainfall 'not seen in 100 years' in Europe https://cnn.it/36H57xL
ANTARCTIC AIR ENGULFS SOUTHERN AFRICA: HEAVY SNOW HITS SA, AS NATIONS LOG THEIR COLDEST JULY TEMPERATURES EVER RECORDED https://bit.ly/3B4O1Ip
RECORD SUMMER CHILLS SWEEP THE UNITED STATES, AS SUB-POLAR COLD HITS AFRICA–THREATENING “AN ACUTE MAIZE SHORTAGE” https://bit.ly/3khCaAv
WINTER BITES HARD IN AUSTRALIA, U.S. WHEAT CROPS IN SERIOUS TROUBLE, + MORE RECORD GAINS POSTED ACROSS GREENLAND https://bit.ly/3erKfii
Greenland Surface Mass Budget Showing Record Gains! https://bit.ly/2VNUk2N
Astronomers spot first activity on giant megacomet beyond Saturn https://bit.ly/3kq7Y6y C/2014 UN271
(Bernardinelli-Bernstein) https://go.nasa.gov/3Biysgn
New study confirms we're right on time for a complete societal collapse https://bit.ly/3xJi2LF
More Vaccinated People Are Dying of COVID in England Than Unvaxxed https://bit.ly/3enNqYz
We May Finally Know Where the Cannabis Plant Originated https://bit.ly/3kCrzAD
The Largest Comet Ever Found Comet C/2014 UN271
Bernardinelli-Bernstein - May Be An Electric Comet! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuiDc...
 

TxGal

Day by day
Climate Change is for Dummies - Electroverse

Al-Gore-AGW-e1626432105605.jpg

Articles

CLIMATE CHANGE IS FOR DUMMIES
JULY 16, 2021 CAP ALLON

Below are a few of the earthly events and phenomena blamed on “climate change” (aka global warming) this week — only the clinically indoctrinated could fall for such nonsense…

“CLIMATE CHANGE IS AFFECTING THE TASTE OF WINE”

In a garbage article coming out of the economist.com (written tomorrow, July 17???), a warming planet is making the timing of the harvest date for European wine more difficult, impacting the taste.

“Climate change threatens not only the flavor of wine, but the world’s wine supply,” continues the article, which then goes on to recall those Italian and French growers lighting thousands of bucket-sized candles in April to stave off the “killer frost”.

Despite farmers best efforts, the extreme cold wiped out 90% of crops in some regions, resulting in an estimated loss of €2 billion — the French government declared an “agricultural disaster,” and issued an emergency rescue package after rare freezing temperatures of -8C (17.6F) and beyond caused the worst damage in decades.

The article then makes the wild claim that “climate change may make such events more common”.

They offer no scientific support for this, and I can only assume their thought process went something along the lines of “a bad weather thing happened, it must have been global warming”.

Depressingly, this is the caliber of reporting these days, as journalist, like scientists, seem more interested in towing the AGW party line than objectively looking at the data, and questing discrepancies (of which there are many).

“CLIMATE CHANGE CRISIS: BRITONS URGED TO COUNT BUTTERFLIES AFTER RECORD-COLD SPRING”

Conservationists warn that the UK is experiencing an increasing number of extreme weather events as a likely consequence of climate change, reports a number of British publications this week.

Again though, as with the frosty winemaking article above, the blanket terminology “climate change” is used instead of the more accurate “record cold” — the headlines are all click-baiting rubbish, aimed to further propagandize an already well-conditioned public; however, the meat and potatoes of the content is actually on point.

As reported by news.sky.com: “Britons are being urged to take part in an annual count of butterflies amid fears their numbers have been hit by an unseasonably cold and wet spring.”

The UK endured its coldest April since 1922.

And one of its coldest Mays in its 362-year weather record.

While spring overall delivered a record number of frosts.

Aside from the BS headline, it is explained that cooling is the reason those British butterflies aren’t flapping about this year, laying caterpillars in people’s vegetable patches, stripping cabbages to shreds, and not warming — but why can’t they just say that?

“CLIMATE CHANGE ‘BENEFITS’ TAKEN OUT OF SQA GEOGRAPHY COURSE”

Once upon a time there were at least two sides to any story — but those days are long gone…

As reported by ‘king of the warm-mongers’ the BBC, a UK exams body will no longer ask pupils to give explanations on the “positive” effects of climate change.

The SQA made the update to the National 5 Geography course following pressure from the Scottish Green Party.
The decision was welcomed by the AGW Party –I mean the Scottish Greens– which said young people “need to be equipped with the skills and knowledge” to tackle the existential issue that is global heating.

The SQA said they “recognize the importance” of including references “to reflect the emergency we are facing”.

The previous geography course document gave examples of the alleged benefits of climate change such as “increased tourism to more northerly latitudes” and “improved crop yields”.

The exams body said they have worked with “experienced geography teachers to ensure the new wording is clear and appropriate”; but come on now, what does a geography teacher know?

Really?

Teaching isn’t the pinnacle of the field, far from it.

A teacher’s knowledge is finite.

A young person could find far more out from a source like Google than from any high school professor.

Analyzing all sides and views is the key to acquiring knowledge, but being parked behind a desk listening to an authoritative figure bleat on and on, and without the opportunity to interject and/or head off on interesting tangents (as
Google currently allows you to do), encourages blind acceptance, not dissent — and dissent is science.

But school has nothing to do with acquiring knowledge.
No, its purpose is to circle a child’s interesting, pointy edges and jam them into the round hole that is society.

“CLIMATE CHANGE THREATENS YOUR RETIREMENT SAVINGS”

“Global warming could incinerate people’s retirement savings,” reports cbsnews.com.

Pensions and 401(k) plans are “vulnerable,” along with the rest of the global economy, to climate risks, the Government Accountability Office told Congress in a recent report that looked at the potential threat to federal employees.

However, the report was released just as global average temperatures dipped below the 30-year baseline:


So, I guess the risk is over…?

Next!

“CHINA STEPS UP CLIMATE CHANGE FIGHT WITH CARBON EMISSIONS TRADING SCHEME”

This is perhaps the biggest joke of all — China launched its long-awaited emissions trading system on Friday, a key tool that it claims will drive down greenhouse gases and help the nations go carbon neutral by 2060.

The scheme was launched with China, the world’s biggest carbon emitter, seeking to hush its detractors in the lead up to a UN summit in November.

China has hailed the scam –I mean scheme– as “laying the foundations for what would become the world’s biggest carbon trading market, forcing thousands of Chinese companies to cut their pollution or face deep economic hits”.

The program was launched just days after the European Union unveiled its detailed plan to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050.

However, serious and obvious questions remain over the limited scale and effectiveness of China’s emission trading scheme, including the low price placed on pollution. More broadly, analysts and experts say much more needs to be done if China is to meet its environmental targets, which includes reaching peak emissions by 2030.

China has long prioritized economic growth over the so-called “climate crisis”, which makes perfect sense — it’s only us westerners that feel compelled to drive energy prices up and attach an existential threat to our mere existence.


Even this year, “China’s coal, cement and steel production have all gone up as the government pours in billions of dollars to energy-intensive sectors to boost growth after the pandemic,” said Lauri Myllyvirta, lead analyst at the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air

“Rules to limit emissions will disrupt this growth model,” and so they have quietly been put on the back-burner.

Another concern for those whiny environmentalists is the low price China is placing on pollution — the average carbon price in China is expected to hover around $4.60 this year, which is well-below the average EU price of $49.40 per ton, Citic Securities said in a recent research note.

OTHER NONSENSICAL GIBBERISH

“Climate change is making bugs hungrier,” apparently.

And perhaps my all-time favorite, ‘everywhere is warming twice as fast as everywhere else’:



IN REALITY

We are seeing changes with our weather patterns. Arctic outbreaks, for example, are becoming more common. But to claim these changes are ‘human-induced’ and ‘unprecedented’ is laughable.

Over the past decade+, the sun has been experiencing its lowest output in over 100 years.

Global warming proponents claim that this plays an insignificant role in earth’s climate system.
Some say it plays no role whatsoever.

But these statement are absurd, and again suggest a deep-rooted indoctrination.

The sun is key, to everything, and a prolonged reduction in its output –as we’re seeing now– will inevitably lead to climatic changes that even the staunchest climateer could only wet-dream about.

AGW proponents have been dead wrong for going on 4 decades…


…there’s now a new theory is in town, and it goes by the name of the Grand Solar Minimum:

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The sun Fires off its Third 'Halo CME' in as many days - Electroverse

halo-cme-july-16-e1626509611974.png

Articles

THE SUN FIRES OFF ITS THIRD ‘HALO CME’ IN AS MANY DAYS
JULY 17, 2021 CAP ALLON

On July 16, a powerful ‘halo CME’ escaped from the farside of the sun — the third such explosion in the last three days.

Imagine an explosion on the farside of the sun so powerful, we could feel it here on Earth, writes Dr Tony Philips over at spaceweather.com. Well, it just happened — for the third time in as many days.

The debris emerged in a circular cloud known as a ‘halo CME‘:


‘Halo CME’ from July 16, 2021 [imaged by SOHO coronagraphs].

When space weather forecasters saw the first explosion (from July 13/14), there was a moment of dread — the ejection appeared to be heading directly toward Earth; however, data from NASA’s STEREO-A spacecraft indicated otherwise — the CME was a farside event, and was, thankfully, travelling directly away from us:

View: https://twitter.com/halocme/status/1415385695959470081

Now for the interesting part, continues Dr Phillips…

Although the explosion occurred on the farside, separated from Earth by the massive body of the sun, it still peppered our planet with high-energy particles.

The Energetic and Relativistic Nuclei and Electron (ERNE) detector onboard SOHO recorded a surge in radiation not long after that first CME appeared:



How did this radiation reach Earth?

Rami Vainio, a professor of space physics at the University of Turku (Finland), who works with ERNE data, speculates that the lift-off of the CME may have created a global shock wave on the farside of the sun.

Particles spilling over the edge might have spiraled toward our planet:



Looking at the above ERNE chart again, of particular interest are the green data points (51 to 100 MeV).

These are the most energetic protons ERNE can detect, explains Dr Phillips. An uptick in green after the CME indicates unusually “hard” radiation–the kind accelerated in the leading edge of a fast-moving CME.

The source of the blast is thought to have been the same sunspot (AR2838) that produced the first X-flare of Solar Cycle 25 on July 3. That sunspot is currently transiting the farside of the sun approximately where the CME came from. Within the next week, AR2838 is expected to return to face earth–and then, maybe, the real fun begins.

The implications of an x-flare being fired directly at our planet are concerning, to say the least.

For more on that, click the article below:


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

AR2842 Kill Shot? - European Flooding Predicted - Major Wildfires - Tall Volcano - Perseid Meteors - YouTube

AR2842 Kill Shot? - European Flooding Predicted - Major Wildfires - Tall Volcano - Perseid Meteors
3,679 views
Premiered 8 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/1LghCR4o_PU
Run time is 16:04

Synopsis provided:

Rapidly growing Tamarack Fire in California prompts evacuations https://bit.ly/3er5JMk
Oregon wildfire causes miles-high ‘fire clouds’ as flames grow https://bit.ly/3kvJIja
Strong To Severe T'Storms This Evening, Weather Improves Sunday https://bit.ly/36GQn27
Heat and Fire Weather Concerns in the West https://www.weather.gov/
THE SUN FIRES OFF ITS THIRD ‘HALO CME’ IN AS MANY DAYS https://bit.ly/3iftSXm
CLIMATE CHANGE IS FOR DUMMIES https://bit.ly/2UWkRu5
Extreme heat and drought in Western Canada wreak havoc on food system https://bit.ly/3rjxATZ
Desperate search for survivors as western Europe reels from a 'catastrophe of historic proportion' https://cnn.it/3hStrU5
Worldwide Volcano News and Updates https://bit.ly/3y58XgJ
99 Volcanic Earthquake kabilang ang 90 volcanic tremors na may habang 1 hanggang 11 minuto + mahinang background tremor https://bit.ly/3z8XZ9B
Taal Facts https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn...
Farside Watch for July 17, 2021 https://www.solarham.net/farside.htm
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day

gfs_T2ma_samer_52-e1626682391444.png

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

SOUTH AMERICAN CROPS HEADED FOR CATASTROPHE AS ANTARCTIC BLASTS PERSIST
JULY 19, 2021 CAP ALLON

South American farmers are bracing for another round of harvest-wrecking polar cold.

A new mass of cold air began buffeting the region Saturday evening, according to Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) — and by Sunday, frost had again ravaged the midwest and southwest of Rio Grande do Sul, west of Santa Catarina, and south of Parana.

During the past two decades, Brazilian farmers have gotten used to “double-cropping” soybeans and corn.

This is the main reason Brazil has risen to become the main competitor to U.S. exports for both crops — double-cropping has allowed the country to efficiently use its unique climate to increase annual yields.

However, the window is tight.

And, as you’d expect, the Grand Solar Minimum appears to be closing that window.

Like most tropical locales, Brazil has a distinct wet and dry season. Over the past few decades, the wet season has lasted roughly September to May, allowing a good soybean crop in the spring and summer, followed by a good front-half to the corn season before turning drier.

If the season does not go as planned for any reason, catastrophe can easily strike — and this is the reality this season, as record-breaking cold has routinely buffeted the region.


The soybean season got off to a horribly late start due to late-arriving rains.

And when those rains did finally arrive, they persisted throughout the soybean harvest, delaying things even further — as a result, corn planting was typically delayed by around a month.

The rains quickly shut down in late-March/early-April, and the real worry set in.

Compounding the misery were those debilitating frosts.

Production numbers have continued to be slashed every time a new forecast is released — many private agencies are coming in with well-under 90 million metric tons (mmt) of total corn production, while CONAB recently reduced its forecast down to 93.4 mmt, with the USDA pegging expectations back to 93 mmt.

Note: the recent historic freezes were left out of these estimates, so further reductions are expected.

The second corn in Parana –the second-largest producer in Brazil– is down 19% year on year at 9.8 million mt, according to the latest Parana state agriculture department estimate; however, and as is the case with the agencies above, the department says their next report –released on July 29– will include another downward revision in Parana’s 2020-21 corn output due to “frost damages suffered in late June” (revisions which again won’t take into account the latest bout of polar cold).

“Overall, of the 2.46 million hectares to be harvested, 88% are in poor or average condition,” said the Parana state agriculture department. “In this scenario, we should have a significant reduction in expected production.”

Additional strong frosts are expected to sweep southern Brazil on Monday and Tuesday, extending from the south of Mato Grosso do Sul to the border between Sao Paulo and Parana.

Any corn that survived late-June’s/early-July’s Antarctic fronts will likely be finished off by this latest round.


The cold is forecast to intensify July 19-20 across the South American continent, meaning more heavy crop losses for not only southern Brazil but also Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia.

And looking further ahead again, yet more harvest-wrecking cold is forecast to sweep the continent as the calendar flips to August — temperature departures of more than 20C below the seasonal norm are expected:


GFS m Temp Anomalies (C) for July 30-31 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Skyrocketing corn and soybean prices mean the potential rewards of double-cropping still out-way the increasing risks dealt by earth’s changing climatic patterns — but you need luck to succeed, and this is a commodity in ever-reducing supply as the Grand Solar Minimum continues its intensification…


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
DMI datasets reveal Arctic Summers were warmer back in the 1950s/60s (electroverse.net)

arctic-1960-e1626694860538.jpg

Articles Extreme Weather GSM

DMI DATASETS REVEAL ARCTIC SUMMERS WERE WARMER BACK IN THE 1950S/60S
JULY 19, 2021 CAP ALLON

The world runs on dogma.

A population in fear is a population controlled.

The “climate crisis” is just the latest article of faith. It has no grounding in science. It is a political weapon.
But its time is almost up…

ARCTIC SUMMERS WERE WARMER BACK IN THE 1950S/60S

We are mid-way through summer in the Arctic, and the region’s official dataset –maintained by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI)– reveals that temperatures have been running below average ALL season.

Looking at the below chart, daily mean temperatures in the Arctic have been holding below the 1958-2002 average (yellow line) for the entirety of this melt season–so far, barely climbing above the 273.15K (0C) mark (blue line):

2021:


These colder than average Arctic temperatures mean any losses in ice ‘extent” this year can only be attributed to other causes –such as wind direction/speed etc.– and for this reason, many scientists consider ‘volume’ a far better metric when measuring the health of an ice sheet (extent is considered far too variable).

And as of July 18, Arctic sea ice volume (aka thickness) is comfortably within the normal range:



Additionally –and not meaning to go off on too much of a tangent here– but if MSM fear-mongerings of ‘ice loss’ and ‘catastrophic sea-level rise’ keep you awake at night, then turning your attention to the Antarctic should ease those masterminded anxieties.

Antarctica holds 90% of earth’s freshwater, and the icy continent has been found to be GROWING in mass –at a rate of ≈1 percent per decade since 1979, according to NSIDC data– an increase which is offsetting the smaller losses registered by its northern cousin — click below for more on that:


Proving that the Arctic was warmer in decades past is the historical DMI datasets–namely the ‘daily mean temperature of the Arctic area north of the 80th northern parallel’.

This documentation runs back to 1958, and, as explained by the DMI on their website, it uses the ERA40 reanalysis from ECMWF to calculate daily mean temperatures for the period from 1958 to 2002, with 2002-to-present utilizing the operational model from the ECMWF.

What the reanalysis reveals is that the Arctic summers were warmer during the 1950s and 1960s than they are today — below are the years 1958 and 1959, the first two years in the dataset:

1958:


1959:


Comparing these years to 2021, it is clear that Arctic summer temperatures are running colder this year:

2021:


The story is the same when comparing ALL years throughout the 1960s –and even the 1970s– to the majority of recent years, too — and below are two more years selected at random (you can check the data for yourself HERE):

1965:


1974:


It is true that winter temperatures in the Arctic have been trending warmer in recent decades…


[DMI]

…however, for substantial ice losses to occur, temperatures during the melt season (aka summer) are the crucial factor to consider. That horizontal blue line (in the numerous temp charts above) and the red line (in the historical chart directly above) is key — any reading below “0” indicates freezing conditions, i.e. no ice loss–at least not any that can be directly attributed to temperature.

Remember those catastrophic “ice free” predictions of times past?

Well, cooling polar summers have put pay to every single one of them.

The Arctic should have been ice free by the summer of 2013:


And then by 2014:


And by 2018:


Needless to say, NONE of these dire predictions materialized; instead, summer temperatures in the Arctic are currently cooler now than they were during the ‘global cooling’ scare of the 1960s/70s.

Climate alarmists have their beliefs grounded in dogma –whether they know it or not– and this is the reason that their “tipping point” prophesies continue to uneventfully pass by, year after year, decade after decade:


And while a –slightly- warming Arctic has indeed been the overarching trend in recent years, it is actually one of the phenomenons predicted to occur during bouts of otherwise ‘global cooling’.

Overall, Earth’s temperature trends colder during a Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) as the Sun’s output drops off a cliff. However, not ALL regions experience the chill. As with the previous GSM (the Maunder Minimum 1645-1715), areas such as the Arctic, Alaska, and S. Greenland/N. Atlantic actually warmed while the rest of the planet cooled — NASA reveals this pattern in their Maunder Minimum temperature reconstruction map:


Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.

Events are currently playing out exactly as predicted.

My advice, as always, is to prepare for the next Grand Solar Minimum/Magnetic Excursion.

Start now…



The Arctic was warmer in the 1940s, too — for more on government data-tampering and Arctic obfuscations, click the article linked below:


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Pretty slow out there in GSM news; most likely it will pick up as we move into fall.

NASA caught "adjusting" Global Temperature Graph - Electroverse

NASA-charts-4-e1626769179112.png

Articles

NASA CAUGHT “ADJUSTING” GLOBAL TEMPERATURE GRAPH — AGAIN
JULY 20, 2021 CAP ALLON

Geologist Dr. Roger Higgs (DPhil, Oxford, Geology, of geoclastica.com) has just released a new takedown of the anthropogenic global warming scam. Below is a summation of his findings–which you can find in full over at ResearchGate (Technical Note 2021-5).

In what Dr Higgs calls yet another manipulation of the data, in early 2021, NASA discreetly lowered the 2016 global average temperature –previously the highest on record– to make the year 2020 seem like the hottest.

NASA play these ‘games of adjustment’ all the time, and each and every time, without fail, their tweaks support the man-made global warming narrative.

Below are copies of NASA’s 1880-2020 global temperature chart ‘before & after’ their most recent “adjustment”:


data.giss.nasa.gov

And here’s a closer look:


[data.giss.nasa.gov]

This is a subtle change, but one crucial to maintaining the AGW narrative.

By reducing 2016’s annual temperature, government bodies have taken control of reality — they are able to fool the unquestioning masses into believing global average temperatures are linearly increasing and have increased since 2016, when the very opposite is true.

In actual reality –where those that apply critical thinking and logic reside– Earth’s temperature has dropped by approx.
0.7C since 2016
— this plunge is best reflected in datasets which aren’t subject to government data-fudging adjustments, such as the UAH satellite, which is maintained by former NASA scientist Dr. Roy Spencer:


But those ‘mainstream’ datasets see the decline, too — just to a lesser degree:


How is this for disingenuity bordering on dishonesty? asks Dr. Roger Higgs, putting it politely.

A NASA statement released Jan 14, 2021 informed the world that the globally averaged temperature in 2020 was “slightly warmer than 2016.”

“The last seven years have been the warmest on record, typifying the ongoing and dramatic warming trend,” said GISS Director Gavin Schmidt at the time, who added: “As the human impact on the climate increases, we have to expect that records will continue to be broken.”

The infamous Dr Schmidt did not mention the altered 2016 data-point; or that 2016 still included the highest monthly temperature on record (red circle below); or the overall cooling trend seen since Feb 2016 (blue arrow below), which is continuing today.



Somehow, even though NASA’s own Land-Ocean monthly chart appears to show stark cooling since 2016 (above), the agency’s annual sets –the ones the MSM use and promote– show warming (below)…



Below I’ve included a cringeworthy interview with NASA’s Gavin Schmidt from 2013.

Schmidt only agreed to speak if it “wasn’t a debate” — and while I urge you watch the entire video, particularly the parts with the excellent Dr Roy Spencer (a real climate scientist btw), skip to 1:46 and then to 5:39 if you’re interested in Schmidt’s “la la la, I’m not listening to you” evading tactics.

Here we have NASA flat-out refusing to debate an issue which supposedly negatively impacts every living organism on the planet–and 2013 should be considered the ‘good old days’; today, in 2021, the climateers have worked a position where so-called ‘skeptics’ have no platform at all.


And guess which MSM outlet was among the first to trumpet NASA’s Jan 14 announcement?

Yes, it was left-wing ultra-alarmist The Guardian who on the exact same day ran the headline: “2020 was hottest year on record by narrow margin, Nasa says.”


Look for Dr Roger Higgs’ next Technical Note, 2021-6, over at ResearchGate, due next week.

Or check out his previous slides HERE, which prove that NASA wildly overstated the 1975-2020 ‘global warming’.

Our star, the Sun, drives global warming, concludes Dr Higgs; not CO2.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
Pretty slow out there in GSM news; most likely it will pick up as we move into fall.

NASA caught "adjusting" Global Temperature Graph - Electroverse

NASA-charts-4-e1626769179112.png

Articles

NASA CAUGHT “ADJUSTING” GLOBAL TEMPERATURE GRAPH — AGAIN
JULY 20, 2021 CAP ALLON

Geologist Dr. Roger Higgs (DPhil, Oxford, Geology, of geoclastica.com) has just released a new takedown of the anthropogenic global warming scam. Below is a summation of his findings–which you can find in full over at ResearchGate (Technical Note 2021-5).

In what Dr Higgs calls yet another manipulation of the data, in early 2021, NASA discreetly lowered the 2016 global average temperature –previously the highest on record– to make the year 2020 seem like the hottest.

NASA play these ‘games of adjustment’ all the time, and each and every time, without fail, their tweaks support the man-made global warming narrative.

Below are copies of NASA’s 1880-2020 global temperature chart ‘before & after’ their most recent “adjustment”:


data.giss.nasa.gov

And here’s a closer look:


[data.giss.nasa.gov]

This is a subtle change, but one crucial to maintaining the AGW narrative.

By reducing 2016’s annual temperature, government bodies have taken control of reality — they are able to fool the unquestioning masses into believing global average temperatures are linearly increasing and have increased since 2016, when the very opposite is true.

In actual reality –where those that apply critical thinking and logic reside– Earth’s temperature has dropped by approx.
0.7C since 2016
— this plunge is best reflected in datasets which aren’t subject to government data-fudging adjustments, such as the UAH satellite, which is maintained by former NASA scientist Dr. Roy Spencer:


But those ‘mainstream’ datasets see the decline, too — just to a lesser degree:


How is this for disingenuity bordering on dishonesty? asks Dr. Roger Higgs, putting it politely.

A NASA statement released Jan 14, 2021 informed the world that the globally averaged temperature in 2020 was “slightly warmer than 2016.”

“The last seven years have been the warmest on record, typifying the ongoing and dramatic warming trend,” said GISS Director Gavin Schmidt at the time, who added: “As the human impact on the climate increases, we have to expect that records will continue to be broken.”

The infamous Dr Schmidt did not mention the altered 2016 data-point; or that 2016 still included the highest monthly temperature on record (red circle below); or the overall cooling trend seen since Feb 2016 (blue arrow below), which is continuing today.



Somehow, even though NASA’s own Land-Ocean monthly chart appears to show stark cooling since 2016 (above), the agency’s annual sets –the ones the MSM use and promote– show warming (below)…



Below I’ve included a cringeworthy interview with NASA’s Gavin Schmidt from 2013.

Schmidt only agreed to speak if it “wasn’t a debate” — and while I urge you watch the entire video, particularly the parts with the excellent Dr Roy Spencer (a real climate scientist btw), skip to 1:46 and then to 5:39 if you’re interested in Schmidt’s “la la la, I’m not listening to you” evading tactics.

Here we have NASA flat-out refusing to debate an issue which supposedly negatively impacts every living organism on the planet–and 2013 should be considered the ‘good old days’; today, in 2021, the climateers have worked a position where so-called ‘skeptics’ have no platform at all.


And guess which MSM outlet was among the first to trumpet NASA’s Jan 14 announcement?

Yes, it was left-wing ultra-alarmist The Guardian who on the exact same day ran the headline: “2020 was hottest year on record by narrow margin, Nasa says.”


Look for Dr Roger Higgs’ next Technical Note, 2021-6, over at ResearchGate, due next week.

Or check out his previous slides HERE, which prove that NASA wildly overstated the 1975-2020 ‘global warming’.

Our star, the Sun, drives global warming, concludes Dr Higgs; not CO2.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Thanks Txgal for your continued devotion to this critically important subject. All the threads here on Tb2k perform a valuable charting of the direction our civilization is headed, but very few are as important as this particular “canary in the mine”. I check this thread everyday. May God reward your selfless service to us all with blessings poured out daily!
 

TxGal

Day by day
Thanks Txgal for your continued devotion to this critically important subject. All the threads here on Tb2k perform a valuable charting of the direction our civilization is headed, but very few are as important as this particular “canary in the mine”. I check this thread everyday. May God reward your selfless service to us all with blessings poured out daily!

Thank you so much, jed turtle, that's very kind of you!
 

TxGal

Day by day
Interesting article below - toward the end it leans a bit toward global warming, I think, but the subject really is the changing weather patterns they can't seem to forecast:

Extreme summer weather's climate change links in Pacific Northwest, Europe - Axios

In summer of apocalyptic weather, concerns emerge over climate science blind spot
Andrew Freedman
Andrew Freedman


Illustration of a eye chart that reads climate science blindspot

Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios

The rapid succession of precedent-shattering extreme weather events in North America and Europe this summer is prompting some scientists to question whether climate extremes are worsening faster than expected.

Why it matters: Extreme weather events are the deadliest, most expensive and immediate manifestations of climate change. Any miscalculations in how severe these events may become, from wildfires to heat waves and heavy rainfall, could make communities more vulnerable.

Driving the news: The West is roasting this summer, with heat records falling seemingly every day. Forests from Washington State to Montana to California are burning amid the worst drought conditions of the 21st century.
  • Authorities in Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands are still searching for victims of a devastating flood event that killed at least 180.
The big picture: The discussions and studies under way focus on just how unusual each of the recent extreme events have been, and whether current advanced computer models and statistical techniques can properly anticipate them beforehand.
  • Another set of questions revolves around scientists' ability to evaluate these events' rarity as well as causes in hindsight.
  • For example, the Pacific Northwest heat wave in late June into early July, which sent temperatures soaring to 116°F in Portland and 108°F in Seattle and 121°F in British Columbia, was so far from the norm for these areas that it's causing experts to reevaluate what's possible.
The intrigue: Axios spoke to nine leading scientists involved in extreme event research for this report. The Pacific Northwest heat wave is being viewed with more suspicion than the European floods as a possible indicator of something new and more dangerous that researchers have missed: a climate science blind spot.
  • For example, Andrew Dessler, a climate scientist at Texas A&M University, said he is no longer sure if climate models are accurately capturing how global warming is playing out when it comes to regional extremes specifically.
  • "If you'd asked me this three months ago, I would have said 'models are doing fine,'" he said. "But this last string of disasters has really shaken my confidence in the models' predictions of regional extremes," he said.
  • "Perhaps we've just been very unlucky, but I think this is an open scientific question," he said.
Zoom in: Some scientists, such as Michael Mann of Penn State and Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany, have shown that even the most up-to-date climate models fail to capture one of the main mechanisms that's contributing to some of these extremes — a phenomena known as "planetary wave resonance."
  • Such weather patterns feature stuck, sharply undulating jet stream patterns, like a meandering river of air at high altitudes, which can lock weather systems in place for long periods. This type of weather pattern existed across the Northern Hemisphere in the run-up to and during the Pacific Northwest heat wave.
  • "We can either assume that the [Pacific Northwest heat] event was a remarkable fluke, or that the models are still not capturing the relevant processes behind these events," Mann told Axios. "Occam's razor, in my assessment, supports the latter of these two possibilities."
  • Meanwhile, Michael Wehner, who studies extreme events at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, said part of the problem may be the tendency for climate scientists to be overly conservative in their "projection and attribution statements," lest they be labeled alarmist. That may soon change, he said.
Of note: Society's vulnerability to extreme events is to some extent independent of whether climate scientists are missing a new dynamic in heat waves or heavy rain events.
  • Friederike Otto, a climatologist at the University of Oxford, told Axios the extreme weather events in Europe and the Pacific Northwest were exactly the types that scientists had been warning would become more likely and intense due to human-caused climate change.
  • Policy makers should act to improve public warning systems, she said. Failures of the warning network in Germany may have contributed to the high flooding-related death toll there.
The bottom line: Philip Duffy, the executive director of the Woodwell Climate Research Center, told Axios that any faster deterioration of extreme weather events "would only reinforce the message that current actions are not commensurate with the threat we face."
  • "We already know what we need to do: initiate rapid decarbonization, remove CO2 from the atmosphere, and improve resilience to future extreme events," he said. "The severity of recent weather-related events only underscores the urgency of this message."
 

TxGal

Day by day
Australian's brace for "Coldest-Ever July Temperatures" as Polar Front brings Snow to Sub-Tropical Queensland (electroverse.net)

cold-aussies-e1626855239629.jpg

Articles Extreme Weather GSM

AUSTRALIAN’S BRACE FOR “COLDEST-EVER JULY TEMPERATURES” AS POLAR FRONT BRINGS SNOW TO SUB-TROPICAL QUEENSLAND
JULY 21, 2021 CAP ALLON

Temperatures have once again plunged across southeast Australia with reports of snow falling in sub-tropical Queensland. Looking ahead, the BOM expects the cold to intensify as the week progresses, with all-time cold-records tumbling on Thursday.

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) has said a large high moving across southeast Australia, combining with a low in the southern Tasman, was leading to strong winds and intense cold across vast swathes of the country.

Snow has already fallen in the remote Queensland town of Eukey, south of Stanthorpe on July 21 — a rare event.

Weather chaser Ken Kato, who traveled to Eukey from Brisbane, described the wind as “brutal”.

“The windchill was probably next level even for this area’s standards,” he said.

“I was outside for a few minutes at a time, and my hands basically lost all sensation after a few minutes.”

Kato added that yesterday was one of the coldest days he has ever experienced.

“When I come here … I normally expect it to feel pretty damn cold … but this morning, the winds were gale force.

“In terms of the feels like temperatures and the wind chill factor, I would have say it would be right up there with some of the coldest feeling mornings.”


Bureau of Meteorology forecaster Felin Hannify said wind gusts of up to 60 km/h (37.3 mph) an hour would add to the cold.

“For Toowoomba, a high of nine degrees (C) today is going to feel like sub-five given the strength of the wind,” he said.
“We’re likely to see widespread frost through the southern, eastern and central parts of Queensland.”

And Queensland won’t be alone in suffering the big freeze.

Large pockets of Australia will be just as cold — a polar front is currently sweeping across the entire south-east of the country.

Hazardous winds and freezing conditions forecast to engulf the state of New South Wales by Thursday.

The BOM’s Dean Narramore said Victoria will see equally inclement weather, with hail and snow in the forecast.

“The front is currently racing across Victoria and Tasmania with a band of rain and cold winds,” he said.

“Much colder temperatures will follow the front with small hail, thunderstorms and snow to low levels.”

Here was the scene in Tasmania yesterday, where heavy snow was already settling:

View: https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=613624916282685
Run time is 0:28

The mercury is expected to tumble below 0C (32F) on Thursday across large parts of NSW, Victoria and even Queensland.

Hannify said many areas are currently forecast to suffer their “coldest-ever July temperatures” on Thursday:

Temperatures are expected to fall below 0C on Thursday morning for parts of central NSW, Victoria and even in Queensland, according to the BoM
The mercury is expected to fall below 0C on Thursday morning for parts of NSW, Victoria and even in Queensland, according to the BOM.

Switching attention to the west, Perth busted its all-time July rainfall record on Tuesday.

A total of 184.2mm (7.25 inches) of rain had fallen as of July 20, after 18 straight days of downpours — this eclipsed the previous record of 182.6mm (7.19 inches) in 2001 (partly attributable to increasing cosmic rays, which have been found to nucleate clouds).

View: https://twitter.com/BOM_WA/status/1417366580237905953
Run time is 0:30

Yet more cold and wet weather on the way for the Western Australian capital.

Stay tuned for updates.

COSMIC RAYS

GALACTIC Cosmic Rays are a mixture of high-energy photons and sub-atomic particles accelerated toward Earth by supernova explosions and other violent events in the cosmos. SOLAR Cosmic Rays are effectively the same, only their source is the Sun.

Researchers at the Sodankyla Geophysical Observatory have been monitoring Cosmic Rays (CRs) since 1964.

When these rays hit Earth’s atmosphere they produce a spray of secondary particles that rain down onto the surface.

Among these particles are neutrons.

Detectors on the ground –such as those in Oulu– count these neutrons as a proxy for cosmic rays.



Below is a look at the correlation between CRs and the Sun.

During solar minimums –the low point of the 11 year solar cycle– the Sun’s magnetic field weakens and the outward pressure of the solar wind decreases — this allows more CRs to penetrate the inner solar system, including our planet’s atmosphere.

Looking at the graphic below, the top panel demonstrates the natural waxing and waning of cosmic rays in correlation with the 11-year solar cycle. During Solar Maximum, cosmic rays are weak. During Solar Minimum, they are strong.



THE IMPLICATIONS

Cosmic rays are bad–and they’re going to get worse — that’s the conclusion of a 2020 study entitled “Galactic Cosmic Radiation in Interplanetary Space Through a Modern Secular Minimum.”

The type of radiation produced by CRs is the same used in medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

This radiation has increased by more than 20% in the stratosphere, according to spaceweather.com data.

Cosmic Rays can alter the electro-chemistry of Earth’s upper atmosphere, sparking lightning.

They also penetrate commercial jets, delivering whole-body dosages equal to one or more dental X-rays even on regular flights across the USA; and pose an even greater hazard to astronauts, as you would expect.

“During the next solar cycle, we could see cosmic ray dose rates increase by as much as 75%,” said lead author Fatemeh Rahmanifard of the University of New Hampshire’s Space Science Center.

“This will limit the amount of time astronauts can work safely in interplanetary space.”

No amount of spacecraft shielding can stop the most energetic cosmic rays.

This leaves astronauts exposed whenever they leave the Earth-Moon system.

Back in the 1990s, astronauts could travel through space for as much as 1000 days before they hit NASA safety limits on radiation exposure; but not anymore — according to the new research, cosmic rays will limit trips to as little as 290 days for 45-year old male astronauts, and 204 days for females (men and women have different limits because of unequal dangers to reproductive organs).

However, far more crucial than limiting jollies into space –and fantasies of colonizing Mars– cosmic rays hitting Earth’s atmosphere have been found to seed clouds (Svensmark et al).

Cloud cover plays the most important role in our planet’s short-term climate change — as well as increasing localized precipitation, “clouds are the Earth’s sunshade,” points out Dr. Roy Spencer, “and if cloud cover changes for any reason, you have global warming — or global cooling.”

And while an overturning of ocean currents, a reduction in TSI, an increase in ice/snow albedo, or a VEI 6+ volcanic eruption are all capable of reducing Earth’s terrestrial temperature, all that is required is an uptick in CRs (check) leading to an increase in cloud cover (check).

TO CONCLUDE

The upshot of the historically weak solar minimum of cycle 24 –the Sun’s deepest of the past 100+ years (NASA)– combined with the further waning that is forecast for cycles 25 and 26 (and beyond) will be a inescapable cooling of the planet.

And we’re already seeing the start of this: according to the satellites, the global average temperature dropped BELOW the 30-year baseline in June, 2021 (the latest datapoint):


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

nomifyle

TB Fanatic
Its the middle of July, well actually a little past the middle, here in my neck of the woods the actual temperature has yet to reach 100. Most gardens are over because of the constant rain. Watermelons and cantelops didn't do squat. My cousin has planted watermelons for over 50 and he's the person people go to for information about watermelons. Our tomatoes didn't do much this year, usually we have more than we want to handle.

Its 86 right now with heat index of 93. That's unusual this time of year. It seems like its getting a bit darker sooner.

Just reporting from my neck of the woods in north central Louisiana.

God is good all the time

Judy
 

TxGal

Day by day
Its the middle of July, well actually a little past the middle, here in my neck of the woods the actual temperature has yet to reach 100. Most gardens are over because of the constant rain. Watermelons and cantelops didn't do squat. My cousin has planted watermelons for over 50 and he's the person people go to for information about watermelons. Our tomatoes didn't do much this year, usually we have more than we want to handle.

Its 86 right now with heat index of 93. That's unusual this time of year. It seems like its getting a bit darker sooner.

Just reporting from my neck of the woods in north central Louisiana.

God is good all the time

Judy

That's about how it's been in our neck of the woods here in Texas. We gave up on the garden a good while ago. Way too much rain/not enough sun and too cool for most everything. Now, though, we're supposed to be in a traditional dry and hot pattern for a while.

It's just been odd.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
Its the middle of July, well actually a little past the middle, here in my neck of the woods the actual temperature has yet to reach 100. Most gardens are over because of the constant rain. Watermelons and cantelops didn't do squat. My cousin has planted watermelons for over 50 and he's the person people go to for information about watermelons. Our tomatoes didn't do much this year, usually we have more than we want to handle.

Its 86 right now with heat index of 93. That's unusual this time of year. It seems like its getting a bit darker sooner.

Just reporting from my neck of the woods in north central Louisiana.

God is good all the time

Judy

This mirrors my thoughts. I've felt that it was Fall the past few days. I don't mean "it feels like Fall", I mean in the back of my mind I feel emotionally, instinctively that the season has changed.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Oppenheimer has a new podcast out:

6.7 MAG Hits Panama - The Bootleg Fire in Oregon Is Creating Its Own Weather - Deadly China Flooding - YouTube

6.7 MAG Hits Panama - The Bootleg Fire in Oregon Is Creating Its Own Weather - Deadly China Flooding
5,416 views
Premiered 8 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/NxOcOPyUfYA
Run time is 20:22

Synopsis provided:

The Bootleg Fire in Oregon is so large, it's creating its own weather https://cnn.it/3xWBIvv
Air quality alert issued for Upstate NY due to Western wildfires https://bit.ly/3rrNUlE
Extreme weather fuels Oregon wildfires; outside help sought https://bit.ly/3kJx1kU
Drought-stricken Farmers Face Crop Failures https://bit.ly/2W94uLB
GOES X-Ray Flux https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g...
GOES Magnetometer https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g...
DSCOVR Solar Wind https://d3k7gxzd368ul3.cloudfront.net...
Deep earthquakes in Fagradalsfjall mountain https://icelandgeology.net/
Worldwide Volcano News and Updates https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volc...
NASA CAUGHT “ADJUSTING” GLOBAL TEMPERATURE GRAPH — AGAIN https://bit.ly/3xScgY9
ESA’s Solar Orbiter Encounters Tail of Fragmented Comet ATLAS https://bit.ly/2TxylMQ
New method predicts 'stealth' solar storms before they wreak geomagnetic havoc on Earth https://bit.ly/3iCso9I
Ancient 'sunken city' discovered in Egypt https://cnn.it/3zi9Baq
Long-period oscillations of the Sun discovered https://bit.ly/3Bw9KZG
So who made these amazing ancient artefacts - prehistoric Homo sapiens or Denisovans? https://bit.ly/3y0CHe8
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
Historic Cold Sweeps Eastern Australia - Electroverse


cold-Aus-e1626938370276.jpg

Extreme Weather GSM

HISTORIC COLD SWEEPS EASTERN AUSTRALIA (JUST AS THREDBO WEATHER STATION -THE COLDEST SPOT IN AUSTRALIA- CONVENIENTLY GOES OFFLINE)
JULY 22, 2021 CAP ALLON

Eastern Australia just woke to one of its coldest mornings in recorded history.

A teeth-chattering low of -7.2C (19F) was logged in sub-tropical Queensland (QLD) early Thursday, with many other of the state’s locales shivering through their lowest readings in more than 20 years.

Temperatures hit -4.4C (24.1F) in the town of Oakey, near Toowoomba — its coldest July morning since 2004.

And in Roma, Applethorpe and the Granite Belt, temperatures failed to climb above -4C (24.8F) before the sun came up.

View: https://twitter.com/LukeBradnam/status/1417964682162294786
Run time is 0:19

The mercury also plunged across New South Wales (NSW).

In western and southern regions of the state, historic lows of -7C (19.4F) and -8 (17.6C) have been registered.

MISSING STATION DATA

I would likely have been reporting on a new ALL-TIME July low this morning, or at least a record challenging one.

Conveniently though, and ahead of the arrival of this week’s powerful mass of polar cold, Thredbo Top Station –an automatic weather station that records observations every 10 minutes, which is almost always the coldest place in Australia– went offline.

Looking at the screen shot below, data from Thredbo Top Station is inexplicably missing from July 18 onward–just as the Antarctic blast entered the region.

On what was forecast to be Australia’s coldest July day in history, the coldest spot in Australia is missing from the observations:


[weatherzone.com.au]

Chalk this one up to ‘conspiracy theory’, I guess.

But what a convenient situation for the warm-mongering Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) to find themselves in–who, upon contact, uttered some double-talk about using nearby stations as a proxy (the -9.3C (15.3F) at Perisher?), but weren’t able to give an explanation as to why the coldest place in Australia is missing observations on the coldest July day in decades, potentially ever.

Thanks to M. for bringing this to my attention.


LOOKING AHEAD

The southeast can expect something of a wintry burial over the next 7-or-so days, with heavy snow in the forecast.

The latest GFS run (shown below) reveals the states of Victoria and NSW will be notching accumulations of above and beyond 1.1 m (3.6 ft) –the highest the key goes– with the island state of Tasmania set for a whiteout:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) for July 22 – July 29 []

The southeast’s unusually low temperatures will also stick around, as reduced solar activity continues to impact the jet streams, reverting their usual tight ZONAL flow to more of a weak MERIDONAL — a setup which drives Antarctic cold into Southern Hemisphere land masses, including not only Australia, but Southern Africa and also South America:




The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
There is no Scientific Consensus on a Warming Arctic and Extreme Weather - Electroverse


Jet-stream-e1626947047491.webp

Articles Extreme Weather GSM

THERE IS NO SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS ON A WARMING ARCTIC AND EXTREME WEATHER
JULY 22, 2021 CAP ALLON

The impact of global warming on individual weather patterns is at the very limit of science — this is the mainstream position.

“It’s kind of like having a jigsaw but most of the pieces are missing,” said Dr Andrew King from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes at The University of Melbourne.

“We have really incomplete observations in many parts of the world and they don’t go back long enough in time to really track the climate for long enough.”

That missing data –often from remote places like the Arctic– is needed to build computer models of unprecedented detail that can better predict weather patterns, said Dr. King.

“We really need high-resolution simulations … But we just don’t have enough data to really make conclusive statements.”

WAVY JET STREAM THEORY

There are belts of high-altitude wind that encircle the globe, called the jet stream, and weather systems often follow these tracks, explained Dr King — these winds are related to temperature differences between the cold polar regions and the warm tropics.

If the world is indeed warming, as is the alarmist claim, and if the warming is indeed more pronounced over the higher latitudes versus the equator, as is detailed in the “Polar Amplification” theory, then that reduced temperature difference between the poles and the lower latitudes should “reduce the strength of the jet stream … and you might make it wavier or slower,” said Dr King.

A slower, wavier jet stream may allow storms to stick around longer, leading to more extreme weather; but there is no conclusive evidence that the jet stream is slowing due to anthropogenic global warming.

“There are a variety of studies looking into this, some of which find evidence to suggest this is happening –particularly from the model-based studies– [and] others which suggest this isn’t happening,” Dr King said.

One recent study used detailed computer modelling to show how a warmer world would lead not only to more intense rain in Europe but also to slower storm movement; however, its lead author –Abdullah Kahraman, from Newcastle University in the UK– was at pains to qualify the limits of the study, saying it related to one very detailed computer simulation.

“This study does not really tell you that this will definitely be happening like that, because this is one scenario,” Dr Kahraman reluctantly admitted, illustrating the issue with climate models: the majority are pure fantasy.

THEORIES ARE ABOUNDING
…but there isn’t anything like the ‘consensus’ the MSM would have you believe.

“It’s basically an area of very active research, there are quite a few people around the world looking into this. And there is a diversity of views among scientists,” Dr King said.

“At the very least, I think we can say that we don’t have a great deal of confidence that this is a clear effect of climate change.

“But there is some indication that there might be more persistence of weather systems, as the jet stream may be allowing them to remain in place for longer.

“This could be contributing to some extreme weather events,” Dr King concluded.

THE MISSING LINK: THE SUN
Studying the jet stream has long been an indicator of the weather to come, and to study the jet stream attention must turn to the sun.

When solar activity is HIGH, the jet stream is tight and stable and follows somewhat of a straight path.

But when solar activity is LOW, that meandering band of air flowing 6 miles above our heads becomes weak and wavy, it effectively buckles which diverts frigid Polar air to atypically low latitudes and replaces it with warmer tropical air.

Scientifically, the jet stream reverts from a Zonal Flow to a Meridional Flow and, depending on which side of the jet stream you’re on, you’re either in for a spell of unseasonably cold or hot weather and/or a period of unusually dry or wet conditions.



Activity on the sun has been historically low in recent years.

The solar cycle just gone (SC24) turned out to be the weakest of the past 100+ years:



Reduced solar output –and reduced solar output alone– is behind the climatic changes we’re currently witnessing, which range from increasing polar outbreaks; an influx of cloud-nucleating cosmic rays; and an uptick in ‘sun-shading’ volcanic eruptions — increasing carbon dioxide emissions have nothing to do with the climate.

Both polar outbreaks AND intense bursts of heat are becoming more common, as weather patterns become “locked” in place; but overall, global temperatures are falling as the Grand Solar Minimum continues its deepening, with terrestrial temps forecast to continue the downward trend observed since 2016:


For more on low solar activity and the changing jet streams, click the link below:


POLAR AMPLIFICATION” DOESN’T STACK UP
And finally, if AGW/Polar Amplification is indeed a thing, then why aren’t its impacts being felt in Antarctica?

Modern climate science states that “because the Earth’s polar regions are warming more quickly than the rest of the world, the temperature contrast that drives jet streams has decreased” which makes for a weak and wavy jet stream flow.

However, satellite data reveals that sea ice extent around the southern pole has actually GROWN over the past 40+years, and also shows that temperatures across the continent have had no real trend.


According to the AGW ‘Polar Amplification’ theory (touched-on above by Dr King), Antarctica should be mirroring the trends seen in the Arctic — i.e., warming global temperatures should be melting sea ice exposing the darker sea beneath, absorbing the heat and increasing temperatures.

But this simply isn’t happening, and yet polar outbreaks in the southern hemisphere are also on the increase (as they are in the Arctic), meaning that a different forcing must be at play here — rising temperatures cannot be blamed for the observed weakening of the jet streams, at least not globally, as the Antarctic continent is actually cooling.

The AGW theory is junk, whichever way you look at it.

The predominate forcing behind these wavier/slower jet streams is, was, and always will be low solar activity.


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

BenIan

Veteran Member
Its the middle of July, well actually a little past the middle, here in my neck of the woods the actual temperature has yet to reach 100. Most gardens are over because of the constant rain. Watermelons and cantelops didn't do squat. My cousin has planted watermelons for over 50 and he's the person people go to for information about watermelons. Our tomatoes didn't do much this year, usually we have more than we want to handle.

Its 86 right now with heat index of 93. That's unusual this time of year. It seems like its getting a bit darker sooner.

Just reporting from my neck of the woods in north central Louisiana.

God is good all the time

Judy
I'm south of you. Start planting your tomatoes obscenely early. I started doing this last year and by March I had more tomatoes that I could eat. I started my seeds in December.

We've been consistently in the low 90s here, but you are right...usually we have a stretch of mid-90 to upper-90s days with 100 thrown in every so often. Haven't had that this year.

I've noticed somewhat of a pattern in the last 3 years or so. We seem to be having longer, milder springs. In the past, spring was relatively short and hot/humid. Now it is absolutely beautiful...sunny, cool, low humidity. Makes it a great gardening time. Just have to start super early.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Ice Age Farmer has a new podcast out:

Global Wheat Supplies Short as Drought/Flood Ravage Crops & Supply Chain Falters - YouTube

Global Wheat Supplies Short as Drought/Flood Ravage Crops & Supply Chain Falters
37,089 views
Premiered 19 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/HNry6K908xw
Run time is 20:33

Synopsis provided:

Wheat crops are failing in the US, Canada, and Russia--the "breadbasket" top exporters that feed the rest of the world--as other exporters like Kazakhstan restrict their exports to protect their own people. Engineered attacks on supply chains continue from South Africa to Vietnam. Food prices are exploding as shortages can no longer be hidden, and the true crisis of global food shortages lies ahead. Grow your own food now!
 

TxGal

Day by day
From Ice Age Now as they continue after Robert Felix's death:

Ice Age Now - The next ice age could begin any day

The Future of the Site
July 22, 2021 by Dan Hammer

I want to apologize for taking so long to get to this. I’ve been out of town on a business trip and didn’t leave myself a way to access the site. Brilliant move, right?

I have talked to Mrs. Felix about the future of the site, and we will keep it up and running. There will be a few changes made. Most will be small, but there will be a few big changes as well. For starters, I will be moving the website (in addition to Evolutionary Leaps) over to my server this coming weekend. You may experience brief outages during the move. We are going back to the roots of the website in terms of content. That means the focus will be on climate, weather, and geology related news. Probably sprinkle in some space news. Gone from the site moving forward will be posts of a political nature. The exception being political news that relates directly to weather, climate, and geology. There will be no more political fighting on the site. If you want to fight about that, I’m sure you’ll be quite happy on Facebook and/or Twitter. There will be no more posts about Covid-19. Again, take it to Facebook/Twitter. There is so much to cover in the world that is interesting and enlightening. We do not need to bring toxic discussions to this place.

I am going to be setting up a news story submission page. It will be a simple form where you can include a link and a brief summary of the story. I will be looking for a few long-time members that are interesting in being news moderators. They would be responsible for monitoring news submissions and creating content on the homepage the way Robert did for so many years. I will be looking for someone (or two) who is interested in comment moderation. The person or persons would need to be able to set aside personal opinions and approve or delete comments based strictly on the community guidelines. We aren’t going to agree on everything, and frankly the site would get boring if we did.

I’m considering adding a component to the site that allows you to have your own account/profile. You’d be able to add friends on here and communicate with them if you wish. I would like to hear your thoughts on this. This would be something experimental. Hopefully it wouldn’t get abused. I have a few other things I want to try out as my schedule allows it. Your thoughts?
 
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