Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

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Senior Member
:jstr:My Accuweather report says Winter Storm Watch with 6-10 inches of snow. My local weather report says 1 inch of snow and some freezy drizzle. Well. Which is it?
 

TxGal

Day by day
:jstr:My Accuweather report says Winter Storm Watch with 6-10 inches of snow. My local weather report says 1 inch of snow and some freezy drizzle. Well. Which is it?

Plan for the worst, hope for the best? :-)

Our local wunderground forecast is often way off as compared to the closest mid-sized forecasting area that's an hr away and also does our 'official' forecast...sometimes drastically so. Winter storms seem to be the hardest for them to forecast. Good luck!
 

flame

Senior Member
Plan for the worst, hope for the best? :-)

Our local wunderground forecast is often way off as compared to the closest mid-sized forecasting area that's an hr away and also does our 'official' forecast...sometimes drastically so. Winter storms seem to be the hardest for them to forecast. Good luck!
well..looks like they finally got their act together..a couple inches of snow for now, and then Monday/Tuesday 6-10 inches of snow..then Wednesday, another inch or so. ugh.
 

TxGal

Day by day
well..looks like they finally got their act together..a couple inches of snow for now, and then Monday/Tuesday 6-10 inches of snow..then Wednesday, another inch or so. ugh.

Oh wow...so sorry to hear that (unless you really like it!). We literally got 8 inches last week+, heavy wet snow, near white out conditions with strong winds. Very rare here, not much in the way of road crews (none for back roads, only interstate). We lost power twice for 12 hrs each a day apart...neighbors went for food to replace their fridge, and lost it a 2nd time.

Our power repair folks were dealing with trees and branches snapping off and taking down power lines...not unusual at all in winter weather, but out here in the very rural ranch areas they couldn't get in with their vehicles. They literally had to carry what equipment they could and walk in to do repairs. Took a long time. Wonderful folks. We talked to our nearest hardware chain store folks, down that way they lost power for 4 days...temps down to the upper 20s at night. They completely ran out of propane and still haven't gotten any. Propane is still in very short supply to nonexistent in most areas around us now. Especially the little 1-lb size.

That was kind of our prep fail lesson. While our house stayed decently warm due to heavy thermal curtains, window blankets, and seriously good insulation we had put in when we had the house built, it was still miserable enough. It was chilly, but layers of clothes helped. We had some wood for our wood stove in a dry location, but not enough. We had a propane cook stove (big one), but none of us wanted to stand out in that weather to cook; and we have good porches, but the wind was relentless and swirling in from all directions.

So, we discussed a whole house generator going forward, got estimates. Nope. $10K just for the gennie, installation, permits, etc. And, we need to bring in propane...big tank and fill it, tack on another few K.

We just bought several of the small My Buddy propane heaters (finding them took some doing!), and with serious shopping, managed to find several propane cannisters for them (at a WalMart hrs away). That'll cover our kitchen (water pipes), bathroom (water pipes), and our living area...may get another for the master bedroom (small house). Also got a CO2 detector.

Have a Honda inverter generator (2200ITAG 2200) on order, one recommended here, $1100 if it comes in. Glad we ordered it when we did, the prices are up another $300 already. It'll be big enough to rotate around to fridge, freezer, small appliances as needed. Also picked up a Cuisinart hot plate with two burners (electric). It'll run our coffee pot, too...my gosh we were craving hot coffee!! We figure in summer the gennie can help run a small window ac we have, for summer power outages...more common by far than winter outages here.

And I'm babbling...I'll tell ya, though, this storm was a real shock to the system to us down here. We really learned a lesson or two! We were used to the Nor'easters in VA for half a century...down here, a different story....

I really hope you don't get a bad storm....just the thought is giving me flashbacks!
 
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northern watch

TB Fanatic
1611508522260.png

Esf4tI7XYAA3xun
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

6.9 Quake Triggered By Solar Flare Leads To Minor Tsunami In Antarctica - Snow Emergency Declared - YouTube

6.9 Quake Triggered By Solar Flare Leads To Minor Tsunami In Antarctica - Snow Emergency Declared
3,583 views • Premiered 10 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/GNwo14s9ja0
Run time is 12:08

Synopsis provided:

Strong earthquake strikes near Antarctica, causes small tsunami http://bit.ly/3qN8gUK
Chile regrets panic triggered by mistaken tsunami warning after quake http://bit.ly/2MgF89y
Snow moves in tonight to Wisconsin http://bit.ly/3qLZeaO
Snow emergency declared in Beloit http://bit.ly/3qQIf7h
N.J. weather: Some forecasters say 3 to 6 inches of snow could fall http://bit.ly/3ph8FhS
When Can You Expect Chicago's Biggest Snowfall of the Season? http://bit.ly/3p7XlER
The last time some Michigan cities saw this little snow was the winter of 1932 http://bit.ly/3c5ldFj
SNOWFALL ANALYSIS FROM THE LAST 48 HOURS https://www.weather.gov/crh/snowfall
GFS Model Total Snow US http://bit.ly/399EsvM
Stormy Weather in the West will Spread East https://www.weather.gov/
RARE SUMMER SNOW HITS NEW ZEALAND + GLOBAL COOLING SET TO INTENSIFY http://bit.ly/2NvIB4O
MONGOLIA SUFFERING “MOST EXTREME WINTER ON RECORD” + ANIMALS FREEZE SOLID IN NEIGHBORING KAZAKHSTAN http://bit.ly/3qH5BMg
Total Snowmass For The Northern Hemisphere http://bit.ly/2lAFomU
GFS Model Total Snow Europe http://bit.ly/332e83w
A minor #tsunami showing up offshore of #Antarctica https://bit.ly/39RmBZq
ACE Solar Wind https://bit.ly/3qZdfSH GOES X-Ray Flux http://bit.ly/2TWvzh3
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
Death toll from snow shoveling reaches 70 in Japan

The Japan Times
Sun, 24 Jan 2021 13:10 UTC

People remove snow from their house in Minakam
© KYODO
People remove snow from their house in Minakami, Gunma Prefecture, on Dec. 16.

The death toll related to snow shoveling has reached 70 this winter, a Jiji Press tally showed.

Deaths were reported in 10 prefectures — Hokkaido, Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata, Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui.

People aged 70 or over accounted for 48 of the deaths. In many cases, older people died after falling from a roof while removing snow.

Local officials say that people should avoid clearing snow from the roof by themselves.

View: https://youtu.be/YwUBLlaDMnc
Run time is 6:46

View: https://youtu.be/BMsthYv1vJ0
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The tally was based on information from local governments and police from Dec. 14 to Wednesday.

Niigata had the largest number of fatalities, at 14, followed by 13 in Akita, 10 in Hokkaido and nine in Yamagata.

An official of Yuzawa, Akita Prefecture, where four deaths linked to shoveling snow have been reported, said that the snow accumulated much earlier than usual in a short period of time.

"Older people had no choice but to clear snow by themselves as they had to wait for one month to receive support from a snow removal company," the official said.

An Akita disaster management official suggested that coronavirus travel restraints were one of the factors behind many of the fatalities.

Many residents found it difficult to remove snow from the roofs of their houses by themselves, with their family members unable to return to their hometowns during the New Year's holiday period, the Akita official said.

"The number of people who can help with snow removal work is declining due to the county's falling population. This is a problem for all of society," the official added.

A Niigata official noted, "Some fatal cases could have been prevented if necessary safety measures were taken during snow shoveling, such as wearing a helmet."

"Carrying out snow removal work alone is very risky as no one would notice even if an accident happens," the Niigata official said, calling on residents to seek help from neighbors.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Moderate to heavy snow expected across U.S. Southwest - Ice Age Now

Moderate to heavy snow expected across U.S. Southwest
January 24, 2021 by Robert

Also the Cascades, Great Basin, Central/Southern Rockies, California, Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes and parts of the Interior.
____________

NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
Sun Jan 24 2021

…Snow for the Cascades, Great Basin, Central/Southern Rockies, and the Southwest through Monday…

…Snow for the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes through Sunday evening…

A cold front pushing south and east into the northern-tier states will usher in snow to the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes region today along with a wintry mix/ice to parts of Mid-Mississippi Valley. Snow near the Great Lakes
is expected to taper off Sunday night into Monday.

Moderate to heavy rainfall will likely develop in areas along and ahead of the advancing front; which may lead to flash flooding conditions.

With cold air filtering into the central portion of the country, another round of mixed precip/ice is expected from the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma east to West Virginia by Monday and to parts of the Mid-Atlantic by Tuesday.
Travel may become hazardous for a couple of days.

Rain and mountain snow is expected across the Pacific Northwest, California and parts of the Interior today as a Pacific cold front tracks inland.

Snow will spread into the Rockies and Four Corners region tonight through Tuesday as the low pressure system deepens and continues moving east. Moderate to heavy snow is expected across the Southwest as well as parts of the Southern and Central Rockies.

WPC's Short Range Public Discussion
 

TxGal

Day by day
Fimbulwinter - The harsh winter that precedes the end of the world - Ice Age Now

Fimbulwinter – The harsh winter that precedes the end of the world
January 24, 2021 by Robert

Reader rurede rovides a recap of Norse mythology:

Someday – whenever the Norns, those inscrutable spinners of fate, decree it – there shall come a Great Winter (Old Norse fimbulvetr, sometimes Anglicized as “Fimbulwinter”) unlike any other the world has yet seen. The biting winds will blow snows from all directions, and the warmth of the sun will fail, plunging the earth into unprecedented cold. This winter shall last for the length of three normal winters, with no summers in between. Mankind will become so desperate for food and other necessities of life that all laws and morals will fall away, leaving only the bare struggle for survival. It will be an age of swords and axes; brother will slay brother, father will slay son, and son will slay father.

The wolves Skoll and Hati, who have hunted the sun and the moon through the skies since the beginning of time, will at last catch their prey. The stars, too, will disappear, leaving nothing but a black void in the heavens. Yggdrasil, the great tree that holds the cosmos together, will tremble, and all the trees and even the mountains will fall to the ground. The chain that has been holding back the monstrous wolf Fenrir will snap, and the beast will run free. Jormungand, the mighty serpent who dwells at the bottom of the ocean and encircles the land, will rise from the depths, spilling the seas over all the earth as he makes landfall.

These convulsions will shake the ship Naglfar (“Nail Ship”[2]) free from its moorings. This ship, which is made from the fingernails and toenails of dead men and women, will sail easily over the flooded earth. Its crew will be an army of giants, the forces of chaos and destruction. And its captain will be none other than Loki, the traitor to the gods, who will have broken free of the chains in which the gods have bound him.

Fenrir, with fire blazing from his eyes and nostrils, will run across the earth, with his lower jaw on the ground and his upper jaw against the top of the sky, devouring everything in his path. Jormungand will spit his venom over all the world, poisoning land, water, and air alike.

The dome of the sky will be split, and from the crack shall emerge the fire-giants from Muspelheim. Their leader shall be Surt, with a flaming sword brighter than the sun in his hand. As they march across Bifrost, the rainbow bridge to Asgard, the home of the gods, the bridge will break and fall behind them. An ominous horn blast will ring out; this will be Heimdall, the divine sentry, blowing the Gjallarhorn to announce the arrival of the moment the gods have feared. Odin will anxiously consult the head of Mimir, the wisest of all beings, for counsel.

The gods will decide to go to battle, even though they know what the prophecies have foretold concerning the outcome of this clash. They will arm themselves and meet their enemies on a battlefield called Vigrid (Old Norse Vígríðr, “Plain Where Battle Surges.

Odin will fight Fenrir, and by his side will be the einherjar, the host of his chosen human warriors whom he has kept in Valhalla for just this moment. Odin and the champions of men will fight more valiantly than anyone has ever fought before. But it will not be enough. Fenrir will swallow Odin and his men. Then one of Odin’s sons, Vidar, burning with rage, will charge the beast to avenge his father. On one of his feet will be the shoe that has been crafted for this very purpose; it has been made from all the scraps of leather that human shoemakers have ever discarded, and with it Vidar will hold open the monster’s mouth. Then he will stab his sword through the wolf’s throat, killing him.

Another wolf, Garm, and the god Tyr will slay each other. Heimdall and Loki will do the same, putting a final end to the trickster’s treachery, but costing the gods one of their best in the process. The god Freyr and the giant Surt will also be the end of each other. Thor and Jormungand, those age-old foes, will both finally have their chance to kill the other. Thor will succeed in felling the great snake with the blows of his hammer. But the serpent will have covered him in so much venom that he will not be able to stand for much longer; he will take nine paces before falling dead himself and adding his blood to the already-saturated soil of Vigrid.

Then the remains of the world will sink into the sea, and there will be nothing left but the void. Creation and all that has occurred since will be completely undone, as if it had never happened.
______________

Here’s how Wikipedia describes Fimbulvetr:

In Norse mythology, Fimbulvetr (or fimbulvinter), commonly rendered in English as Fimbulwinter, is the immediate prelude to the events of Ragnarök. It means “great winter”. In Old English it is pronounced as Fifelwinter.

Fimbulwinter is the harsh winter that precedes the end of the world and puts an end to all life on Earth. Fimbulwinter is three successive winters, when snow comes in from all directions, without any intervening summer. Innumerable wars follow.

The event is described primarily in the Poetic Edda. In the poem Vafþrúðnismál, Odin poses the question to Vafþrúðnir as to who of mankind will survive the Fimbulwinter. Vafþrúðnir responds that Líf and Lífþrasir will survive and that they will live in the forest of Hoddmímis holt.

The mythology might be related to the extreme weather events of 535–536, which resulted in a notable drop in temperature across northern Europe. There have also been several popular ideas about whether the particular piece of mythology has a connection to the climate change that occurred in the Nordic countries at the end of the Nordic Bronze Age from about 650 BC. [1]

In Denmark, Norway, Sweden and other Nordic countries, the term fimbulvinter is still used to refer to an unusually cold and harsh winter.[2] However in Sweden, another common word is “vargavinter” (“wolf winter”).[3]

 

TxGal

Day by day
london-snow-e1611575351137.jpg


“DO NOT TRAVEL” WARNINGS ISSUED AS HEAVY SNOW BLANKETS MAJORITY OF BRITAIN

JANUARY 25, 2021 CAP ALLON

According to the UK Met Office, snowfall in Britain will be a thing of the past by 2040-2060 — a ludicrous, fear-mongering prophesy, and one almost as stupid as the claims made by senior climatologist Dr David Viner of the Climate Research Unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia.

Back in 2000, and as reported by the Telegraph (since deleted), Viner said: within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event,” adding that “children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”

Frustratingly, these hacks are never called to task, their mistakes and dud-research seldom analysed or investigated. Instead, the cycle is simply one of rinse and repeat: the global warming cabal call-up their next set of “higher-educated” brainwashees who go on to use the exact same flawed upside down pyramid built on the work of just a few climate modelers to make the exact same tired-old doomsday predictions–such as “the end of snow”.

Just yesterday, January 25, a severe weather warning was in place across a large portion of the UK as heavy snow threatened.

The pow-pow duly arrived early Sunday morning with some regions, particularly those in central England and Wales, registering accumulations of 5+ inches (13+ cm) in just an hour and a half.

View: https://twitter.com/pauldicker4/status/1353228931801997317
Run time is 0:21

View: https://twitter.com/Sarahbellagri/status/1353628143739940864

By midday much of Britain was covered in white, including London:

View: https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1353296241506078720
Run time is 0:25

Roads soon became impassible.

And even a gritter lorry overturned in Devon, South West England:

View: https://twitter.com/DevonCC/status/1353271157882052609

View: https://twitter.com/lomelindi12/status/1353384621681987595

Emergency services are warning people to avoid travel unless absolutely necessary as bone-chilling temperatures and therefore ice has accompanied the snow.

The mercury bottomed out at around -15C (5F) late last night, with all four home nations registering temperatures well-below zero (C).

Furthermore, Central England –with its longest-running temperature record in the world– is currently on for its coldest month of January since 1997 (solar minimum of cycle 22), and its fourth coldest since 1980 — but apparently sub-zero temperatures and snowfall will be nonexistent in just 19 short years… um… no, just no: genuine scientific endeavors suggest the exact opposite will occur, with evidence at the start of 2021 only supporting the hypothesis.

View: https://twitter.com/ScottDuncanWX/status/1353657005618176000

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Record-Snowfall Cleanup Kills Almost 100 in Japan, and counting - Electroverse

snow-japan-school-e1611568782852.jpg


RECORD-SNOWFALL CLEANUP KILLS ALMOST 100 IN JAPAN, AND COUNTING
JANUARY 25, 2021 CAP ALLON

Data collected by the Mainichi Shimbun, supported by a Jiji Press tally, shows that nearly 100 people have died in Japan while clearing this season’s record-breaking snowfall.

Deaths were reported in 10 prefectures: Hokkaido, Aomori, Iwate, Miyagi, Akita, Yamagata, Niigata, Toyama, Ishikawa and Fukui, with people aged 65 or over accounting for three-quarters of the deaths. In many cases, older people died after falling from roofs while removing snow, reports japantimes.co.jp.

Already the number of dead has surpassed the figures seen in recent years with the worst of winter still to come. Snow-clearing deaths are increasing at an uncommonly fast pace, reports mainichi.jp.

snow-japan-school-2.jpg

An elementary school building in Yokote being cleared of snow by members of the Japan Ground Self-Defense Force (GSDF) on Jan. 6, 2021.

To put this season’s high death toll into perspective, 2019 saw only eight snow-clearing deaths; 2018 registered 40 deaths; 2016 clocked 45 deaths; while 2015 registered 23 deaths (I cant find the data for 2017). The all-time record for the highest number of deaths –since the start of the Heisei era (1989)– is held by the year 2005 when 113 people lost their lives, but this season looks certain to surpass that.

View: https://youtu.be/BMsthYv1vJ0
Run time is 1:09

An official of Yuzawa, in Akita Prefecture, where a number of deaths linked to shoveling snow have been reported, said that the snow accumulated much earlier than usual and in a short period of time, too.

“Older people had no choice but to clear snow by themselves as they had to wait for one month to receive support from a snow removal company,” the official said.

Compounding the issue, draconian coronavirus restrictions enforced by the Japanese government has meant family members aren’t permitted to travel in order to assist older relatives.

View: https://youtu.be/YwUBLlaDMnc
Run time is 6:46

Looking ahead, yet more bone-chilling cold and relentless snow is forecast to hit Japan before the end of the month, as northern Asia’s continent-spanning mass of historic Arctic air intensifies further, and expands to the southeast:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Jan. 29 [tropicaltidbits.com].


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Jan. 29 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Rare Snow in Malibu - Ice Age Now

Rare Snow in Malibu
January 25, 2021 by Robert

Malibu-Snow-23Jan21.jpg

Locals surprised and delighted.
_________

The first of a series of several storm systems moved into the Southern California region this weekend, bringing rain, hail and snow to many communities.

The Los Angeles Times reported on Saturday that locals were surprised and delighted by the snow along Malibu Canyon, a key artery connecting the coast to the San Fernando Valley:

A rare dusting of snow in Malibu on Saturday surprised locals, with some drivers so delighted they pulled over to frolic in the foreign whiteness.

Officer Stephan Brandt of the California Highway Patrol said shortly after 5 p.m. his department received a report of multiple drivers stopping and parking near the Malibu Canyon Tunnel.

“They were playing in the snow,” said Brandt, who advised such activities were “dangerous” and unwise.


Local KTLA-5 reported:

A second weather system will bring the possibility of additional rain along with mountain snow at lower elevations from Sunday night through Tuesday.

Forecasters warned that the storm could have a “major impact” on Monday and Tuesday,” bringing widespread rain and significant snow in the mountains.


Snow Falls in Malibu as Storms Ease California Drought
 

TxGal

Day by day
From Ice Age Farmer:

Seed Companies Warn of Shortages, Delays - So Find Them Locally! - YouTube

Seed Companies Warn of Shortages, Delays - So Find Them Locally!
9,993 views • Premiered 6 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/PDbe1Vudkt0

Run time is 8:43

Large seed companies are warning of shortages and shipping delays, and in some cases not taking orders. Your best bet is to find seeds locally, which are already adapted for your neck of the woods! Check with neighbors, seed libraries, seed swaps, county ag extensions, master gardeners clubs, and get more than seeds -- get stories!
 

TxGal

Day by day
Another from Ice Age Farmer:

Experts Sound Alarm: We Must Protect Our Food Supply - YouTube

Experts Sound Alarm: We Must Protect Our Food Supply
10,157 views • Jan 26, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/QtcFe-BTnQo
Run time is 12:15

The US continues to shovel grains out the door even as Argentina, Ukraine, and Russia impose export limits. Experts are now warming that they are concerned (on a scale of 1-10...12) and that we MUST stop China from buying out all of our food, or our livestock -- and ultimately we! -- will suffer the consequences.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Madrid's Record-Breaking Snowstorm Killed Half a Million Trees - Electroverse

Madrid-tree-4-1-e1611655927783.jpg


MADRID’S RECORD-BREAKING SNOWSTORM KILLED HALF A MILLION TREES
JANUARY 26, 2021 CAP ALLON

Madrid, Spain’s central capital, is a city of elegant boulevards and expansive, manicured parks such as the Buen Retiro–at least it was, before the Grand Solar Minimum slapped it silly.

A slew of new all-time cold and snow records have been set across Spain this January, snowfall so substantial that people even skied the streets of Madrid:


But it wasn’t all fun and games.

The paralyzing snowfall has taken a catastrophic toll on the Spanish capital’s trees, severely damaging up to 70% of those in its main parks.

The unprecedented snow and bone-chilling freeze, brought about by Storm Filomena’s meeting with a brutal Arctic air mass, are estimated to have caused at least €1.4 billion of damage and prompted Spain’s government to declare the city a disaster zone last week.



Madrid’s city council estimates that over 400,000 trees in the Casa de Campo park and 11,000 of the 17,000 trees in El Retiro park have been felled or badly damaged by the weight of the snowfall.



In addition, more than 20% of those in the city’s squares and streets are thought to have been killed, but “experts” have warned that the toll will likely end up being much higher, reports thetimes.co.uk.



“Global warming” is based wholly on junk science — tiene más agujeros que un queso Gruyere — and all those much-cited temperature datasets are cherry-picking embarrassments, at best. The newly-created field that is “climate science” is in absolute disarray. The field isn’t science. It is dogma. And the majority of its published papers purporting to support the narrative aren’t worth the paper they’re printed on. The theory is utter bunk, but one strategically propped-up by powerful ignorance and the desperate desire for acceptance, not to mention funding.

“Global cooling” is the next true epoch.

And it appears it’s already here.

Prepare.



The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Migratory birds wintering in northern Iran increased by 30% due to severe, premature cold in Siberia -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

Migratory birds wintering in northern Iran increased by 30% due to severe, premature cold in Siberia

Tehran Times
Mon, 25 Jan 2021 11:10 UTC

The population of migratory birds took flight

The population of migratory birds took flight to spend the cold season in the northern province of Mazandaran increased by 30 percent since the beginning of winter (December 21, 2020) compared to the same period last year, head of wildlife affairs at the provincial department of environment (DOE) has said.

The annual census for migratory birds in Iran begins in the middle of the Iranian calendar month of Dey (December 22- January 20) and ends in the middle of the month of Bahman (January 21- February 19), which will be a 1-month period since January 1 to 31.

The reason for the increase in the migration of wintering birds this year is due to the severe and premature cold in Siberia, Korous Rabiei stated, IRNA reported on Monday.

According to the wintering census last year, 90 species of migratory birds with a population of over 500,000 migrated to the three wetlands of Miankaleh, Sorkhrud, and Azbaran, reservoirs and protected areas of the province, which is predicted to reach up to 700,000 this [Iranian calendar] year, he explained.

He went on to say that the largest increase in the migratory birds' population is related to the whooper swan, whose number increased about 10 times compared to the same period last year, from 500 to about 5,000.


Due to having 800 reservoirs and wetlands, this province is considered as the main migration destination for aquatic birds in four seasons, which hosts more than 130 species of birds with a population of one million annually.

The migration growth, the severe and premature cold of the province and the outbreak of influenza virus have made the provision of nutrition to the main agenda of the DOE to prevent poaching, he stated.

"So far, about 20 tons of food for wintering birds have been provided with the participation of donors, environmental organizations and the DOE," he added.

Every year, from Early-September to Late-February, Iran hosts rare species of migratory birds heading from north to the southern countries due to reduced seasonal temperatures and food availability.

Among the various groups of migratory birds wintering in Iran, the largest population belongs to the group of geese, swans and ducks amounting to 781,499 and the smallest population of 7 are the long-tailed ducks or oldsquaw.

The provinces of Mazandaran and Golestan are the first provinces with the highest number of migratory birds for having sufficient resources, as the movement of migratory birds is closely linked to the seasonal availability of resources.

What pushes migratory birds toward disappearance?

Bird migration is the regular seasonal movement, often north and south along a flyway, between breeding and wintering grounds. Many species of bird migrate. Migration carries high costs in predation and mortality, including from hunting by humans, and is driven primarily by the availability of food.

Unsustainable development in Iran has resulted in habitat fragmentation posing a serious threat to the migratory birds; also anthropogenic disturbance such as agricultural expansion has resulted in dramatic global habitat loss and fragmentation.

Moreover, poaching, overgrazing, and long-standing drought spells have also impacted habitat destruction which ultimately results in birds' total extinction.

Dalmatian pelican, Siberian crane, lesser white-fronted goose, and white-headed duck are among the endangered migratory birds which migrate to Iran.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Ice covers the Sahara Desert for just fourth time in over 40 years
Nathan Howes
Digital Reporter
The Weather Network

Monday, January 25th 2021, 7:51 pm - The icy occurrence in the Sahara Desert doesn't typically last long, so photographer Karim Bouchetata was certainly in the right spot at the right time.

While the Sahara Desert is usually known for its hot, uninhabitable conditions, wintry-like phenomena has happened before. It just doesn't happen often.

In fact, when it occurred last week, it was only the fourth time in the last 42 years that a thin layer of ice formed in the Sahara
. Local photographer Karim Bouchetata was there to capture it on camera.

Bouchetata snapped photos of the ice on the dunes near the town of Ain Sefra, located in northwestern Algeria. Aïn Séfra is situated about 1,000 metres above sea level, with the Atlas Mountains surrounding it, not far from the Algeria-Moroccan border. And it has snowed there before.

Ice/Sahara Desert/Karim Bouchetata

Last week's surfacing of the ice was only the fourth time in the last 42 years that had formed in the Sahara. Photo: Karim Bouchetata.

The Sahara is the biggest hot desert in the world, encompassing 8.6 million kilometres (3.3 million miles) across North Africa -- from the Atlantic Ocean to the Red Sea. So to see the sand grazed in white is quite a spectacle.

While this latest sparkling of ice seems impressive, it pales in comparison to the snowfall that occurred in the Sahara in December 2016 -- the first time in 37 years -- or January 2018, when as much as 40.6 cm were reported in some places.

Sahara ice/Karim Bouchetata

Bouchetata snapped photos of the ice on the dunes near the town of Aïn Séfra, located in northwestern Algeria. Photo: Karim Bouchetata.

Unfortunately, the icy occurrence doesn't typically last long, so Bouchetata was certainly in the right spot at the right time.
To clarify any possible misconceptions about the photos, Bouchetata told The Weather Network in an email that it was ice, not snow, that had settled in the swirling sands of the Sahara.

Karim Bouchetata ice/Sahara

The Sahara is the biggest hot desert in the world, encompassing 8.6 million kilometres (3.3 million miles) across North Africa. Photo: Karim Bouchetata.
Thumbnail courtesy of Karim Bouchetata.


Source: IFLScience

The Weather Network - Ice covers the Sahara Desert for just fourth time in over 40 years
 

TxGal

Day by day
Des Moines digs out after record snowfall – Video
January 26, 2021 by Robert

Breaks record set more than 125 years ago.

____________

The more than 10 inches of snowfall in Des Moines, Iowa, on Monday, 25 Jan 2021, broke an accumulation record set in 1895.

(44 sec. video on the website that I can't bring over)

As of 6 p.m., the Des Moines metro had gotten between 4.9 inches and 7 inches, according to Cory Martin, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Des Moines.

Between Monday evening and Tuesday morning, central Iowa was expected to get another 4 to 8 inches of snow. Until midnight, the area was expecting at least an inch of snow each hour, Martin said.

Since 1884, only nine storms have dropped a foot of snow or more in a single day in Des Moines, according to the National Weather Service.

See lots and lots and LOTS of photos:
Des Moines digs out after record snowfall. The metro area sees 10-12 inches of accumulation

Iowa weather: What happened on Monday after snowstorm hit Des Moines
 

TxGal

Day by day

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

Record Breaking Snowstorm Wreaks Havoc Across The USA - Record Snow Predicted For The Sierras - YouTube

Record Breaking Snowstorm Wreaks Havoc Across The USA - Record Snow Predicted For The Sierras
3,808 views • Premiered 18 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/ERx1MRjVPLg

Run time is 7:18

Synopsis provided:

Des Moines breaks daily snowfall record set in 1895 http://bit.ly/3olK36g
Big winter storm slams metro Phoenix, bringing rain, snow, hail http://bit.ly/3r6JkIj
POWER OUTAGES: More than 30,000 lost power across the Valley Monday http://bit.ly/39hQIKK
Alabama tornado demolishes homes, killing 1 person and injuring dozens in the Birmingham area http://cnn.it/3cduMCr
Hail falls in Pasadena as cold spell grips Southland http://lat.ms/3iLfSEE
Wolf Creek Pass to close Tuesday morning for several hours http://bit.ly/3iOmiCK
Winter storms target Midwest, Northeast and the Southwest http://fxn.ws/3cfftJk
Snow piles up to 13 inches, setting January record in Lincoln http://bit.ly/3cebAo4
SNOWFALL ANALYSIS FROM THE LAST 24 HOURS https://www.weather.gov/crh/snowfall
Tracking Three Storms with Widespread Impacts this Week https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Total Snow US http://bit.ly/2MoDtyW Planetary K-Index https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pl...
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
China’s Vegetable Prices hit Record Highs due to Historically Cold Winter: "vegetables have frozen to death" - Electroverse


china-veg-prices-e1611742519347.jpg

CHINA’S VEGETABLE PRICES HIT RECORD HIGHS DUE TO HISTORICALLY COLD WINTER: “VEGETABLES HAVE FROZEN TO DEATH”
JANUARY 27, 2021 CAP ALLON

Asia’s energy prices aren’t the only commodity to have reached record highs this winter, the chill of solar minimum has also driven China’s fresh vegetable prices to unprecedented levels.

A lingering “dip” in the jet stream has seen Arctic air funnel into southern Asian since early-December, 2020. The resulting cold has hampered the efforts of farmers ACROSS the continent, including in China, where on Monday the nation’s wholesale price index for agricultural products –developed by China’s Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs– surged to a new all-time high of 139.

In addition, the sub-index dedicated solely to vegetables climbed even higher, to 145, also a new record. Among the 28 types of vegetables monitored by the index, the average price surged to 6.2 yuan (96 US cents) per kg on Monday, the highest since the data became available 10 years ago. The price of cauliflowers and cabbages almost doubled compared to a year earlier.

“In the beginning of 2021, we had three cold waves. This type of cold and frosty weather has a big impact on the production and growth of vegetables, their maturity periods and yields,” said a spokesman for Baishazhou Agricultural and Non-staple Products Marketplace, a major wholesale market in Hubei province.

“Some vegetables have frozen to death,” the spokesman continued, “even the vegetables growing in greenhouses may freeze badly, such as red cabbages and lettuces. The quality of a number of water spinach has dropped with declining supply.

“Even if the weather improves and temperature rebounds later, recovery of vegetable production needs more time, meaning vegetable prices will remain at a high level for a while,” the spokesman concluded.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Another Snowstorm Headed For Midwest, Northeast?

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
WEDNESDAY, JAN 27, 2021 - 17:00

AccuWeather meteorologists are focused on the atmospheric river emanating from over the Pacific Ocean and dumping rain and snow in California. These storms could reorganize over the Central states by this weekend, with the possibilities of wintry weather brewing for Midwest and Northeast states.

AccuWeather meteorologists anticipate Midwest and Northeast states could experience a winter blast on Saturday through Monday.

"This extensive cold air may help keep the precipitation as snow in many places, especially away from the immediate Atlantic coast," AccuWeather Forecasting Manager Dan DePodwin forecasted.

2021-01-27_10-30-44.png


"How much snow falls from the mid-Atlantic and central Appalachians to New England may depend on whether the storm re-strengthens or a secondary storm forms along the Atlantic coast on Monday," DePodwin said.

2021-01-27_10-31-03.png


"A stronger storm or near-coast secondary storm would have the potential to bring heavy snow to the Northeast while a weaker storm or no secondary storm might only bring light and easily managed precipitation," he added.

Natgas prices have been on the rise in recent sessions on the prospects of increased winter activity for the US.

2021-01-27_10-34-50.png


Maybe Goldman Sachs' bullish stance on natgas may finally play out.

But still, natgas bulls need a few things to go right before a sustainable cold blast is seen (read: "Here's What NatGas Bulls Are Betting On In The Next Month").

Another Snowstorm Headed For Midwest, Northeast? | ZeroHedge
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has several podcast out:

Merapi Volcano Spews Ash To 40,000ft (Java, Indonesia): Series Of Strong Pyroclastic Flows Recorded - YouTube

Merapi Volcano Spews Ash To 40,000ft (Java, Indonesia): Series Of Strong Pyroclastic Flows Recorded
4,025 views • Premiered 20 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/Zx8KSaVnVpw

Run time is 5:22

Synopsis provided:

Indonesia's Most Active Volcano Erupts http://n.pr/3iTPKas
Merapi volcano (Java, Indonesia): pyroclastic flow this morning http://bit.ly/2MpXaGu
Merapi Volcano Volcanic Ash Advisory: VA TO FL400 AT 27/0640Z OBS VA DTG: 27/0700Z to 40000 ft (12200 m) http://bit.ly/3aavIos
Merapi volcano (Java, Indonesia): series of strong pyroclastic flows this morning http://bit.ly/2NIRKHh
Evacuation of the residents! Powerful eruption of the Merapi volcano in Java, Indonesia. https://bit.ly/3pr2eJf
Mt Merapi erupted sending massive pyroclastic flow down its slopes https://bit.ly/3poXbsU
Merapi Info http://s.si.edu/3o9PPsE
Etna volcano update: Intense strombolian activity http://bit.ly/2M8iT61
 

TxGal

Day by day
Another:

David DuByne Adapt 2030 - Grand Solar Minimum Preparedness - Magnetic Reversal - Planetary Alignment - YouTube

David DuByne Adapt 2030 - Grand Solar Minimum Preparedness - Magnetic Reversal - Planetary Alignment
2,808 views • Premiered 7 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/vFsxl5ri8nU

Run time is 1:43:31

Synopsis provided:

David DuByne joins us for a in depth discussion about the things that will be transpiring in the near future. Magnetic reversal, grand solar minimum and societal collapse all are subjects of discussion! Join us to prepare for the inevitable...
David DuByne on Twitter @adapt2030 https://bit.ly/33RzeRc
David DuByne's Website https://www.oilseedcrops.org/
Mini Ice Age Conversations Podcast = Subscribe Now! http://bit.ly/3scIxqt Adapt 2030 http://bit.ly/39grpYk
 

TxGal

Day by day
And another:

Historic snowstorm in Des Moines breaks daily snowfall record previously set in 1895 - YouTube

Historic snowstorm in Des Moines breaks daily snowfall record previously set in 1895
1,538 views • Premiered 5 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/gknG-UcfW0g

Run time is 10:57

Synopsis provided:

Vegas-area ski, snowboard resort, Lee Canyon, reports 27 inches of snow in 72 hours http://bit.ly/3pqa6Lh
Historic snowstorm in Des Moines breaks daily snowfall record previously set in 1895 http://bit.ly/3olK36g
Omaha measures biggest daily snowfall since 1975 http://bit.ly/36iGFmJ
Another big snowstorm could take aim at Wisconsin this weekend http://bit.ly/3opzUWy
D.C. area sees increasing snow chances Sunday and Monday http://wapo.st/3pmkXFQ
Parts of the Southern U.S. Have Seen More Snow This Month Than Fairbanks, Alaska http://bit.ly/3pDsf8x
As Michigan heads deep into winter, 2 large storms to watch in next 10 days http://bit.ly/2NA4rE8
Atmospheric River Impacting California https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Total Snow US http://bit.ly/39relka
Scientists identify flank instability at a volcano with history of c
ollapse http://bit.ly/36jB5R0
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
What if a "Perfect CME" hit Earth? - Electroverse

cme_strip-1.jpg


WHAT IF A “PERFECT CME” HIT EARTH?
JANUARY 28, 2021 CAP ALLON

Dr. Tony Phillips is a professional astronomer and science writer, best known for his authorship of the always excellent spaceweather.com. Below is an abridged version of his article from Jan. 21, 2021 entitled: “What if … A Perfect CME Hit Earth?

You’ve heard of a “perfect storm.” But what about a perfect solar storm? A new study just published in the research journal Space Weather considers what might happen if a worst-case coronal mass ejection (CME) hit Earth.
Spoiler alert: You might need a backup generator.

For years, researchers have been wondering, what’s the worst the sun could do? In 2014, Bruce Tsurutani (JPL) and Gurbax Lakhina (Indian Institute of Geomagnetism) introduced the “Perfect CME” — it would be fast, leaving the sun around 3,000 km/s, and aimed directly at Earth. Moreover, it would follow another CME, which would clear the path in front of it, allowing the storm cloud to hit Earth with maximum force.


SOHO image of a coronal mass ejection (CME). MORE

None of this is fantasy.

The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) has observed CMEs leaving the sun at speeds up to 3,000 km/s. And there are many documented cases of one CME clearing the way for another.

Perfect CMEs are real.

Tsurutani and Lakhina showed that a Perfect CME would reach Earth in only 12 hours, allowing emergency managers little time to prepare, and slam into our magnetosphere at 45 times the local speed of sound.

In response to such a shock, there would be a geomagnetic storm perhaps twice as strong as the Carrington Event of 1859. Power grids, GPS and other high-tech services could experience significant outages.

Sounds bad?

Well, it turns out it could be even worse.

In 2020, a team of researchers led by physicist Dan Welling of the University of Texas at Arlington took a fresh look at Tsurutani and Lakhina’s Perfect CME. Space weather modeling has come a long way in the intervening 6 years, so they were able to come to new conclusions:



Sample results from computer modeling a Perfect CME impact. The images show the distortion and compression of Earth’s magnetic field as well as induced currents in the atmosphere. Source: Welling et al, 2020.

“We used a coupled magnetohydrodynamic(MHD)-ring current-ionosphere computer model,” says Welling. “MHD results contain far more complexity and better reflect the real-world system.”

The team found that geomagnetic disturbances in response to a Perfect CME could be 10 times stronger than Tsurutani and Lakhina calculated, especially at latitudes above 45 to 50 degrees. “[Our results] exceed values observed during many past extreme events, including the March 1989 storm that brought down the Hydro-Quebec power grid in eastern Canada; the May 1921 railroad storm; and the Carrington Event itself,” says Welling.

A key result of the new study is how the CME would distort and compress Earth’s magnetosphere. The strike would push the magnetopause down until it is only 2 Earth-radii above our planet’s surface. Satellites in Earth orbit would suddenly find themselves exposed to a hail of energetic charged particles, potentially short-circuiting sensitive electronics. A “superfountain” of oxygen ions rising up from the top of Earth’s atmosphere might literally drag satellites down, hastening their demise.

For specialists, Table 1 from Welling et al’s paper compares their simulation of a Perfect CME impact (highlighted in yellow) to past extreme events:




You don’t have to understand all the numbers to get the gist of it: a Perfect CME strike would dwarf many previous storms. And given the current state of play —with Earth’s rapidly waning magnetosphere now occurring at the same time as the ramp-up of Solar Cycle 25— the next big solar storm doesn’t necessarily need to be “Perfect” in order for it to cause significant and widespread damage–many researchers are also calling this ramp-up the ideal window for the next big one to hit (between now and 2025-or-so).

Earth is overdue for another Carrington-like Event.

In fact, we likely just missed one.

In July 2012 (during the ramp-up of Solar Cycle 24), NASA and European spacecraft watched an extreme solar storm erupt from the sun and narrowly miss Earth: “If it had hit,” announced Daniel Baker of the University of Colorado; “we would still be picking up the pieces.”

As Welling et al conclude in their paper, “Further exploring and preparing for such extreme activity is important to mitigate space-weather related catastrophes.”

There is still so much we don’t know.
 

Doc1

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I'm not a scientist, so understand that this is a purely local anecdotal report. Our little homestead is roughly fifty miles north of the Mississippi Gulf Coast. This location is usually a couple of degrees cooler than right on the coast. Over the course of a normal winter we'll see lots of sub-freezing days, a few episodes of sleet and maybe a slight drifting of snow. Once or twice a decade we'll have snow accumulation.

This winter has been amazingly mild. While we've had a relative few handful of freezing nights, there's been no sleet or even slight amounts of snow. Our temperatures have been generally warmer than usual as well.

Obviously this means nothing in the greater scheme of things, but cooler temps are not evenly distributed or predictable for any given location. Weather prediction is more sophisticated than it was a century ago, but at the end of the day it's still not too far removed from a witch doctor throwing bones ;-)

Best
Doc
 

nomifyle

TB Fanatic
I'm not a scientist, so understand that this is a purely local anecdotal report. Our little homestead is roughly fifty miles north of the Mississippi Gulf Coast. This location is usually a couple of degrees cooler than right on the coast. Over the course of a normal winter we'll see lots of sub-freezing days, a few episodes of sleet and maybe a slight drifting of snow. Once or twice a decade we'll have snow accumulation.

This winter has been amazingly mild. While we've had a relative few handful of freezing nights, there's been no sleet or even slight amounts of snow. Our temperatures have been generally warmer than usual as well.

Obviously this means nothing in the greater scheme of things, but cooler temps are not evenly distributed or predictable for any given location. Weather prediction is more sophisticated than it was a century ago, but at the end of the day it's still not too far removed from a witch doctor throwing bones ;-)

Best
Doc
I'm up to 300 miles from the Louisiana coast. We did have a snow day, yuck, up to 6 inches in some places around here. But overall I'm finding the temps relatively mild. And what you described Doc1, sounds typical in New Orleans or Slidell.

God is good all the time

Judy
 

BenIan

Veteran Member
20 miles from the gulf. We have had two frosts but other than that, very mild. Although it has been overcast and rainy.
 
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