ECON FUNG FYI: Dow Selloff as We Speak... (7/23/26)

There is also a report out that housing will make a comeback. If it does, it will be by market. I'm not sure it will be an over all trend. We'll have to see on that.
I don't think so either. Maybe in some selected markets. Rates will need to come down, to spur more interest.

I know inventory around here is still low, and very few houses are being bid up from the list price, like last year. Many are sitting a lot longer on the market.

We just unloaded my brother-in-laws house. Did get $10K over list, but it's in a shore community, and we had to do a complete interior make-over, due to a water line break in February.
 
I am half a perma-bear, but when this thing goes down it is going to make the destruction of Sodom look like a walk in the park. I’m too close to retirement for the level of implosion that is coming on this market. I’m happy for all of you cashing in, because real money has been made. I just can’t bring myself to participate in this charade.
 
Yeah, it's better...

View attachment 614846

BTW, how's that growth on your Silver doing this year? Gaining any wealth/money since January?
Once I built a railroad, made it run
Made it race against time
Once I built a rairoad, now it's done
Brother can you spare a dime?
Once I built a tower to the sun
Brick and rivet and lime
Once I built a tower, now it's done
Brother can you spare a dime?
Once in khaki suits
Gee, we looked swell
Full of that yankee Doodle De Dum
Half a million boots went slogging through hell
I was the kid with the drum
Say don't you remember, they called me Al
It was Al all the time
Say don't you remember, I'm your pal
Brother can you spare a dime?
Once in khaki suits
Gee, we looked swell
Full of that yankee Doodle De Dum
Half a million boots went slogging through hell
I was the kid with the drum
Say don't you remember, they called me Al
It was Al all the time
Say don't you remember, I'm your pal
Brother can you spare a dime?
Buddy can you spare a dime?
 
Blow off top?

A blow-off top refers to a chart pattern that indicates a rapid and significant increase in a security or asset’s price and trading volume, typically followed by a similarly sharp decline.

This pattern is typically associated with the climax of a bullish trend, where prices surge to unsustainable levels before succumbing to a sharp reversal.

The psychology behind a blow-off top involves extreme optimism and speculative trading, often detached from fundamental valuations.

Traders keep buying because it’s “hot” and extrapolate past conditions forward, which very typically aren’t sustainable.

 
Once I built a railroad, made it run
Made it race against time
Once I built a rairoad, now it's done
Brother can you spare a dime?
Once I built a tower to the sun
Brick and rivet and lime
Once I built a tower, now it's done
Brother can you spare a dime?
Once in khaki suits
Gee, we looked swell
Full of that yankee Doodle De Dum
Half a million boots went slogging through hell
I was the kid with the drum
Say don't you remember, they called me Al
It was Al all the time
Say don't you remember, I'm your pal
Brother can you spare a dime?
Once in khaki suits
Gee, we looked swell
Full of that yankee Doodle De Dum
Half a million boots went slogging through hell
I was the kid with the drum
Say don't you remember, they called me Al
It was Al all the time
Say don't you remember, I'm your pal
Brother can you spare a dime?
Buddy can you spare a dime?

Attribution? You? AI? Or what?
 

Little dramatic. The S&P wasn't even up a half a percentage point before it dipped. It has now bounced back to a little above break even in the green.

The DOW is still easily up in 54,000-point land. Up, at the time of this post, over 3/4 of a percentage.

NASDAQ is in the red by a small margin but that was expected given how close it was bouncing along break even. And the tech sector sell offs
 
grok

bag holders beware...

A stock market blow-off top is a rapid, parabolic surge in asset prices driven by intense euphoria and FOMO, followed by a sudden, severe drop. [1, 2]
For a quick look at how recent tech sector action mirrors historical bubble warnings:
1785957041035.png1785957041086.png

1:44

Tech selloff stirs bubble fears in US stock market
1.5K views · 1 month ago
1785957041132.png
YouTube · Reuters


Key Characteristics
    • Parabolic Moves: Prices accelerate upward at an unsustainable angle on charts.
    • Extreme Volume: Massive trading activity occurs as late-stage buyers rush in.
    • Overbought Indicators: Technical metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) push far past normal limits.
    • Sharp Reversal: A violent trend change happens once buyers are fully exhausted. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

Behavioral Causes
    • Euphoria: General greed and widespread media hype replace cautious optimism.
    • Greater Fool Theory: Investors buy overvalued assets assuming someone else will pay an even higher price later. [1, 2, 3]

Would you like to explore technical indicators used to spot tops or look at historical examples of this pattern?

Blow off top | Identify the #1 reason Bull Markets END - Tradervue
Behavioral finance theories, such as the “greater fool theory,” help explain blow-off tops. This theory suggests that during a market bubble, investors may buy
1785957041174.png
1785957041247.png
Tradervue

The Bull Case for Risk-On: Why a Blow-Off Top Is the Base Case
Markets don't peak on fear or deterioration — they peak when liquidity expectations, market euphoria, and a weakening business cycle converge. Henrik Zeberg. Fe...
1785957041290.png
1785957041329.png
Henrik Zeberg | Substack

5 Ways to Identify a Blow-Off Top in Stocks - TradingSim
A blow-off top is a sharp, climactic surge in price and volume that exhausts buyers and is usually followed by an equally violent reversal. The five tells: a st...
1785957041368.png
1785957041411.png
TradingSim

Blow-off top Definition - Nasdaq
Financial Terms By: B. Blow-off top. A steep and rapid increase in price followed by a steep and rapid drop. This is an indicator seen in charts and used in tec...
1785957041450.png
Nasdaq

What Is a Blow-Off Top in the Stock Market? - EBC Financial Group
Key Takeaways * A blow-off top is a rapid price surge followed by a sharp decline, typically marking the end of a bullish trend. * It is driven by eup
EBC Financial Group

Blow Off Top: Understanding Market Trends and Indicators
Definition & meaning. A blow off top refers to a sharp and rapid increase in the price of an asset, followed by an equally swift decline. This phenomenon is oft...
faviconV2

US Legal Forms

Blow-Off Top: Identifying the Indicators in Technical Analysis
In a Blow-Off Top pattern, prices rise with a very high force, creating a steep and parabolic curve on the chart. This surge is often unsustainable for the pric...
images

faviconV2

GTF - A Stock Market Institute

When Will the Stock Market Top: A Comprehensive Study
How do we define a stock market top? Euphoria sets in: Investors start piling into the market out of fear of missing out. Trading volume picks up as people chas...
images

faviconV2

TraderLion
 
grok

bag holders beware...

A stock market blow-off top is a rapid, parabolic surge in asset prices driven by intense euphoria and FOMO, followed by a sudden, severe drop. [1, 2]
For a quick look at how recent tech sector action mirrors historical bubble warnings:
View attachment 614996View attachment 614997

1:44

Tech selloff stirs bubble fears in US stock market
1.5K views · 1 month ago
View attachment 614998
YouTube · Reuters


Key Characteristics
    • Parabolic Moves: Prices accelerate upward at an unsustainable angle on charts.
    • Extreme Volume: Massive trading activity occurs as late-stage buyers rush in.
    • Overbought Indicators: Technical metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) push far past normal limits.
    • Sharp Reversal: A violent trend change happens once buyers are fully exhausted. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

Behavioral Causes
    • Euphoria: General greed and widespread media hype replace cautious optimism.
    • Greater Fool Theory: Investors buy overvalued assets assuming someone else will pay an even higher price later. [1, 2, 3]

Would you like to explore technical indicators used to spot tops or look at historical examples of this pattern?

Blow off top | Identify the #1 reason Bull Markets END - Tradervue
Behavioral finance theories, such as the “greater fool theory,” help explain blow-off tops. This theory suggests that during a market bubble, investors may buy
View attachment 614999
View attachment 615000
Tradervue

The Bull Case for Risk-On: Why a Blow-Off Top Is the Base Case
Markets don't peak on fear or deterioration — they peak when liquidity expectations, market euphoria, and a weakening business cycle converge. Henrik Zeberg. Fe...
View attachment 615001
View attachment 615002
Henrik Zeberg | Substack

5 Ways to Identify a Blow-Off Top in Stocks - TradingSim
A blow-off top is a sharp, climactic surge in price and volume that exhausts buyers and is usually followed by an equally violent reversal. The five tells: a st...
View attachment 615005
View attachment 615004
TradingSim

Blow-off top Definition - Nasdaq
Financial Terms By: B. Blow-off top. A steep and rapid increase in price followed by a steep and rapid drop. This is an indicator seen in charts and used in tec...
View attachment 615003
Nasdaq

What Is a Blow-Off Top in the Stock Market? - EBC Financial Group
Key Takeaways * A blow-off top is a rapid price surge followed by a sharp decline, typically marking the end of a bullish trend. * It is driven by eup
EBC Financial Group

Blow Off Top: Understanding Market Trends and Indicators
Definition & meaning. A blow off top refers to a sharp and rapid increase in the price of an asset, followed by an equally swift decline. This phenomenon is oft...
faviconV2

US Legal Forms

Blow-Off Top: Identifying the Indicators in Technical Analysis
In a Blow-Off Top pattern, prices rise with a very high force, creating a steep and parabolic curve on the chart. This surge is often unsustainable for the pric...
images

faviconV2

GTF - A Stock Market Institute

When Will the Stock Market Top: A Comprehensive Study
How do we define a stock market top? Euphoria sets in: Investors start piling into the market out of fear of missing out. Trading volume picks up as people chas...
images

faviconV2

TraderLion
Bagholders. Beware...

A stock market blow-off top is a rapid, parabolic surge in asset prices driven by intense euphoria and FOMO, followed by a sudden, severe drop. [1, 2]
For a quick look at how recent tech sector action mirrors historical bubble warnings:

1:44

Tech selloff stirs bubble fears in US stock market
1.5K views · 1 month ago
YouTube · Reuters


Key Characteristics
    • Parabolic Moves: Prices accelerate upward at an unsustainable angle on charts.
    • Extreme Volume: Massive trading activity occurs as late-stage buyers rush in.
    • Overbought Indicators: Technical metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) push far past normal limits.
    • Sharp Reversal: A violent trend change happens once buyers are fully exhausted. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

Behavioral Causes
    • Euphoria: General greed and widespread media hype replace cautious optimism.
    • Greater Fool Theory: Investors buy overvalued assets assuming someone else will pay an even higher price later. [1, 2, 3]

Would you like to explore technical indicators used to spot tops or look at historical examples of this pattern?

Blow off top | Identify the #1 reason Bull Markets END - Tradervue
Behavioral finance theories, such as the “greater fool theory,” help explain blow-off tops. This theory suggests that during a market bubble, investors may buy
Tradervue

The Bull Case for Risk-On: Why a Blow-Off Top Is the Base Case
Markets don't peak on fear or deterioration — they peak when liquidity expectations, market euphoria, and a weakening business cycle converge. Henrik Zeberg. Fe...
Henrik Zeberg | Substack

5 Ways to Identify a Blow-Off Top in Stocks - TradingSim
A blow-off top is a sharp, climactic surge in price and volume that exhausts buyers and is usually followed by an equally violent reversal. The five tells: a st...
TradingSim

Blow-off top Definition - Nasdaq
Financial Terms By: B. Blow-off top. A steep and rapid increase in price followed by a steep and rapid drop. This is an indicator seen in charts and used in tec...
Nasdaq

What Is a Blow-Off Top in the Stock Market? - EBC Financial Group
Key Takeaways * A blow-off top is a rapid price surge followed by a sharp decline, typically marking the end of a bullish trend. * It is driven by eup
EBC Financial Group

Blow Off Top: Understanding Market Trends and Indicators
Definition & meaning. A blow off top refers to a sharp and rapid increase in the price of an asset, followed by an equally swift decline. This phenomenon is oft...
faviconV2

US Legal Forms

Blow-Off Top: Identifying the Indicators in Technical Analysis
In a Blow-Off Top pattern, prices rise with a very high force, creating a steep and parabolic curve on the chart. This surge is often unsustainable for the pric...
images

faviconV2

GTF - A Stock Market Institute

When Will the Stock Market Top: A Comprehensive Study
How do we define a stock market top? Euphoria sets in: Investors start piling into the market out of fear of missing out. Trading volume picks up as people chas...
images

faviconV2

TraderLion
 

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Yeah, it's better...

View attachment 614846

BTW, how's that growth on your Silver doing this year? Gaining any wealth/money since January?
Why do you only mention a starting time of January for silver?

Why not use a one year chart for silver, like your post for the DOW.

In that time frame, silver is up about DOUBLE that of the DOW, about 55%, while the DOW is only up about 27.5%
 
looks like IMHO a euphoric blow off top...My prediction( my opinion) still stands..Oct. 19..2026...or before (political circumstances could prempt my Oct 19 th prediction. just sayin
 
Bagholders. Beware...

A stock market blow-off top is a rapid, parabolic surge in asset prices driven by intense euphoria and FOMO, followed by a sudden, severe drop. [1, 2]
For a quick look at how recent tech sector action mirrors historical bubble warnings:

1:44

Tech selloff stirs bubble fears in US stock market
1.5K views · 1 month ago
YouTube · Reuters


Key Characteristics
    • Parabolic Moves: Prices accelerate upward at an unsustainable angle on charts.
    • Extreme Volume: Massive trading activity occurs as late-stage buyers rush in.
    • Overbought Indicators: Technical metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) push far past normal limits.
    • Sharp Reversal: A violent trend change happens once buyers are fully exhausted. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

Behavioral Causes
    • Euphoria: General greed and widespread media hype replace cautious optimism.
    • Greater Fool Theory: Investors buy overvalued assets assuming someone else will pay an even higher price later. [1, 2, 3]

Would you like to explore technical indicators used to spot tops or look at historical examples of this pattern?

Blow off top | Identify the #1 reason Bull Markets END - Tradervue
Behavioral finance theories, such as the “greater fool theory,” help explain blow-off tops. This theory suggests that during a market bubble, investors may buy
Tradervue

The Bull Case for Risk-On: Why a Blow-Off Top Is the Base Case
Markets don't peak on fear or deterioration — they peak when liquidity expectations, market euphoria, and a weakening business cycle converge. Henrik Zeberg. Fe...
Henrik Zeberg | Substack

5 Ways to Identify a Blow-Off Top in Stocks - TradingSim
A blow-off top is a sharp, climactic surge in price and volume that exhausts buyers and is usually followed by an equally violent reversal. The five tells: a st...
TradingSim

Blow-off top Definition - Nasdaq
Financial Terms By: B. Blow-off top. A steep and rapid increase in price followed by a steep and rapid drop. This is an indicator seen in charts and used in tec...
Nasdaq

What Is a Blow-Off Top in the Stock Market? - EBC Financial Group
Key Takeaways * A blow-off top is a rapid price surge followed by a sharp decline, typically marking the end of a bullish trend. * It is driven by eup
EBC Financial Group

Blow Off Top: Understanding Market Trends and Indicators
Definition & meaning. A blow off top refers to a sharp and rapid increase in the price of an asset, followed by an equally swift decline. This phenomenon is oft...
faviconV2

US Legal Forms

Blow-Off Top: Identifying the Indicators in Technical Analysis
In a Blow-Off Top pattern, prices rise with a very high force, creating a steep and parabolic curve on the chart. This surge is often unsustainable for the pric...
images

faviconV2

GTF - A Stock Market Institute

When Will the Stock Market Top: A Comprehensive Study
How do we define a stock market top? Euphoria sets in: Investors start piling into the market out of fear of missing out. Trading volume picks up as people chas...
images

faviconV2

TraderLion

what's up with all the weird attached graphics? What were you copy and pasting that hoovered up all that space?
 
Feel free to post your own charts then..

Why do I have to do all the work?

Because they are a pain in the butt to find so they make any sense to the layperson. Here is the easiest to understand chart I've found. The one year chart shows the ginormous spike even better than the YTD charts do.


1785958962095.png
 
Because they are a pain in the butt to find so they make any sense to the layperson. Here is the easiest to understand chart I've found. The one year chart shows the ginormous spike even better than the YTD charts do.
Yep, but I think they are easy to find. Just about every financial news site, has access to one.

I think, some of these people would rather just complain and bloviate, versus put any effort in.... It's easier that way.

This chart is basically the same as yours.

Who was talking about a "Blow Off" top... they need to take a peek here:

1785959340007.png

Just a "normal" market..... LOL...

Why not use a one year chart for silver, like your post for the DOW.
There. Is that better now?

Does that chart make you just want to jump back in, and empty your wallet?
 
I’m just swinging by to see if the Dow was all sold off…
Not today... maybe tomorrow:

Dow jumps more than 250 points for record close and fifth winning day:​

The S&P 500 ended slightly lower on Wednesday, pulling back from record highs set earlier in the day, weighed by declines in some major tech stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke the trend and moved higher, boosted by strong earnings and an advance in Nvidia stock.

The broad market index lost 0.2%, while the 30-stock Dow gained 263 points, or 0.5%. The Nasdaq Composite lagged, falling 0.8%.

Wall Street is coming off a winning session, with the S&P 500 closing above 7,700 for the first time and the Dow notching a record high as well.

 
Yep, but I think they are easy to find. Just about every financial news site, has access to one.

I think, some of these people would rather just complain and bloviate, versus put any effort in.... It's easier that way.

This chart is basically the same as yours.

Who was talking about a "Blow Off" top... they need to take a peek here:

View attachment 615025

Just a "normal" market..... LOL...


There. Is that better now?

Does that chart make you just want to jump back in, and empty your wallet?
I don't have a wallet, so there is nothing, there, for me to empty.

Now, many of us know that for some reason you are fascinated with the price of silver in January of this year.


There is no reason for you to do the work on posting any charts, but knowing that in the timeline of one year, starting before the high of silver of $120+, buying near the low and selling near the high, silver is up 300+%. In that timeline, January of 2025 to January of 2026, is there any point in buying low and selling high, on a DOW index of stocks, that profits would come close to that 300+%?
 
Market close:



SYMBOLPRICECHANGE%CHANGE
US 10-YR4.615-0.012-0.259
EUR/USD1.155+0.002+0.182
*GOLD4,310+157.4+3.79
*OIL75.05-0.72-0.95
NASDAQ26,363.439-221.554-0.83
S&P 5007,723.55-12.97-0.17
DJIA54,349.12+263.24+0.49
VIX15.83-0.67-4.06

Stock Indexes​

SYMBOLPRICECHANGE%CHANGE
*NYSE24,527.75+64.88+0.27
UTIL1,101.01-10.96-0.99
*RUSS 2K3,020.515-16.461-0.54
TRAN21,577.33-202.58-0.93
NASDAQ 10029,487.791-245.37-0.83


Commodities​

SYMBOLPRICECHANGE%CHANGE
*SOYBEAN1,176.75-1-0.08
*WHEAT644+5.5+0.86
*SILVER62.255+2.01+3.34
*CORN460.75-4.75-1.02
*NAT GAS2.673-0.009-0.34
*RBOB GAS2.828-0.024-0.85
*ULSD HO3.774+0.003+0.09
*COPPER6.74+0.097+1.45


Treasurys​

SYMBOLYIELDCHANGE
US 1-MO3.68-0.003
US 3-MO3.82-0.003
US 6-MO3.944-0.016
US 1-YR4.029-0.014
US 2-YR4.183-0.011
US 10-YR4.615-0.012
US 30-YR5.17-0.019

Currencies​

SYMBOLPRICECHANGE%CHANGE
USD/CHF0.807-0.002-0.21
AUD/USD0.706+0.001+0.16
USD/CAD1.401-0.005-0.349
USD/SEK9.487-0.029-0.307
USD/JPY157.73+0.01+0.01
EUR/USD1.155+0.002+0.182
GBP/USD1.347+0.002+0.13
ICE US Dollar Index99.707-0.151-0.15
 
Now, many of us know that for some reason you are fascinated with the price of silver in January of this year.


There is no reason for you to do the work on posting any charts, but knowing that in the timeline of one year, starting before the high of silver of $120+, buying near the low and selling near the high, silver is up 300+%. In that timeline, January of 2025 to January of 2026, is there any point in buying low and selling high, on a DOW index of stocks, that profits would come close to that 300+%?
So, why are you so fixated on just the growth over a 6 month period, an abnormal spike, that crashed back down? Why not zoom out, over a longer timeline, to tell us what has performed better?


1785960855055.png

It all depends on where you jump on the ride, and get back off.
 
Because the numbers you posted weren't accurate. You can try again, if you like.
Silver wasn't about $40 within a year, prior to going to about $62.50+?

The numbers that I posted for the DOW were from your own posted chart (about 42,500 and about 54,085). Are you saying that your posted numbers are not accurate? If so, then yes my numbers would also not be acurate.
 
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