Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

northern watch

TB Fanatic
We were watching the Farm Market Report yesterday. They said the Dakotas have lost 60% of the small grain harvest to drought. Those grains will be bailed for hay, but contain little food value. Corn is a little better because of a few rains. But the corn, including tassels, is only 5 feet tall in the best fields.

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From BAMWX

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TxGal

Day by day
To be, or not to be? Ice Age Ahead Ice_Age_is_Digital_Awake - Truth is Evergreen - Ice Age Now

To be, or not to be? Ice Age Ahead Ice_Age_is_Digital_Awake – Truth is Evergreen
July 30, 2021 by Visitor Submission

To be, or not to be?

Ice Ages are real, and digital in nature. The next one is close, but it remains an enigma for the lack of prior experiences. All that we have ever known – the entire history of civilization, occurred in the brief span of the current warm climate. We have no experiences of the time prior to that, as if the time prior, pertained to an incomparably different world. That’s the world we have again in 30 years when the Sun flips back from its current high-powered state, to its low-powered default state, by which the Earth becomes a largely uninhabitable planet of ice and deserts by today’s standards. The transition is rapid. It is an on-off type transition. That’s what we need to prepare for. But will we do it?

While it is possible for us to build us a technological new world for living in an Ice Planet environment, this option is blocked by the long-standing imperial depopulation doctrine that in modern time is expressed in the controlled disintegration of both economics and science. From the ‘great debate’ in imperial circles in the 1920s, of how to twist science and cosmology into knots, emerged a series of tragic dreamlike counter-science concepts about the universe, the Sun, and the Ice Age phenomena. This science perversion has put society to sleep at a time of its greatest existential challenge in the entire history of civilization.

Will we awake from this blocking factor and build ourselves a new world to live in, and to have a future? Or will we lay ourselves down to die, instead of building the greatest renaissance ever?

Ice Age Ahead Ice_Age_is_Digital_Awake.mp4
Life Blocked - Ice Age Denied
 

TxGal

Day by day
Here's a new one from Adapt 2030:

Where is China Going to Get its Food From ? - YouTube

Where is China Going to Get its Food From ?
23,259 views
Premiered 18 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/fHp9hAyNtN0
Run time is 17:10

Synopsis provided:

For the second year in row China has experienced a once in a 500 year seasonal flood that has destroyed a huge percentage of the country's food, both stored and in the fields. My question is where will China get more food imports? USA is down 60% on wheat, -20% corn, Canada almost zero, Australis reduced exports, Brazil record cold and crop losses of 50% then nations are forbidding exports like Argentina.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Here's one from Ice Age Farmer:

China Floods, Brazil Freezes, US Dry - Top Exporters Lose Crops as Grains Crisis Accelerates - YouTube

China Floods, Brazil Freezes, US Dry - Top Exporters Lose Crops as Grains Crisis Accelerates
7,734 views
Jul 31, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/ihh5ALoDqJU
Run time is 15:43

Synopsis provided:

As Brazil gets hit repeatedly by unusually low temperatures, destroying crops, the flooding in China, including Henan province -- which accounts for 10% of their grains production -- has damaged wheat, infrastructure, and thousands of large hog farms. All hopes are on US, which is also having its own issues. This signals a huge red flag for worldwide production as these are the #1/2/3 producers/exporters of many grains. In fact, Brazil has started importing! Christian explores what this means in this episode of the Ice Age Farmer broadcast.
 

TxGal

Day by day
And one from The Oppenheimer Ranch Project:

Have We Reached The Tipping Point? Drought Relief Continues - Record Cold Worldwide -Dr. Willie Soon - YouTube

Have We Reached The Tipping Point? Drought Relief Continues - Record Cold Worldwide -Dr. Willie Soon
6,195 views
Premiered 21 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/bjw_ZBgdweU
Run time is 13:17

Synopsis provided:

Climate Change Is Driving Deadly Weather Disasters From Arizona To Mumbai https://n.pr/3xfQbl0
Rising levels of carbon dioxide increasing extreme weather events in Australia, report finds https://bit.ly/378AKAD
Extreme weather is upending lives in the West. 'You walk around with this vague sense of terror. https://cnn.it/3l9GsdT
Thousands of scientists warn climate tipping points ‘imminent’ https://bit.ly/3ygjjtN
Climate change leads to extreme weather (video) https://bit.ly/3rGIJ1a
International Disaster Database https://bit.ly/2WDPWDZ
Wisconsin storms bring 3 tornados; 1 man dies in crash https://abcn.ws/2Vjt2RJ
Cleanup underway after monsoon storm brings intense flooding to Miami area https://bit.ly/3zQKCv3
Flash Flooding Possible in the Southwest; Very Hot in the South and Northwest https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Temperature Anomaly US https://bit.ly/3xiF7Ud GFS
Model Total Precipitated Water Us https://bit.ly/3ifokNy
Deepest Aussie July snowpack in 21 years https://bit.ly/3iXX71e
HISTORIC COLD CONTINUES TO BATTER BRAZIL https://bit.ly/2THral6
IGLOOS IN SOUTH AFRICA https://bit.ly/2WE0Ole
OppenheimerRanchProject on BitChute https://bit.ly/3BYTIrt
No single model for supersized eruptions and their magma bodies https://go.nature.com/3BZNlV9
USGS Raises Volcano Alert as Residents Report Shaking https://bit.ly/3iePNz4
Pagan Volcano Historical Data https://s.si.edu/3zOKYCD
Worldwide Volcano News https://bit.ly/3y58XgJ
Report of Coral Reef Condition https://bit.ly/3BZOls8
Does Machine Learning Reconstruct Missing Sunspots and Forecast a New Solar Minimum? https://bit.ly/3ifJMCp
Reconstruction and prediction of the total solar irradiance: From the Medieval Warm Period to the 21st century https://bit.ly/37eGzwg
Do Pleistocene rock paintings depict Sulawesi warty pigs (Sus celebensis) with a domestication character? https://bit.ly/3BWqWrC
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
Record Summer Chills Engulf the U.S., More Historic Cold and Snow Batter Brazil, as the Sun remains 'Blank' for the Third Consecutive Day (electroverse.net)

snow-brazil-3-e1627725705308.jpg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

RECORD SUMMER CHILLS ENGULF THE U.S., MORE HISTORIC COLD AND SNOW BATTER BRAZIL, AS THE SUN REMAINS ‘BLANK’ FOR THE THIRD CONSECUTIVE DAY
JULY 31, 2021 CAP ALLON

It may be mid-summer, but a polar invasion is forecast to blast much of the United States this weekend.

By sunrise Saturday, the mercury is expected to tumble into the 40s (sub 10C) across much of Upstate New York — such readings would break or at least near all-time low-temperature records for the final day of July.

The city of Binghamton is forecast to reach 47F (8.3C) and usurp its previous July 31 benchmark by a full 2 degrees Fahrenheit, according to National Weather Service (NWS) data.

Other nearby cities could be on the brink of a cold record, too:

Syracuse is expected to reach 50F (10C) — just 2F off the old record set in way back in 1965 (solar minimum of cycle 19).
And Albany also has a chance of breaking it’s July 31 low of 49F (9.4C).

The entire Northeast is incredibly cold right now, and records have already been tumbling: according to coolwx.com, a total of 9 daily low temperature records fell across the region over the past 24 hours alone:



This Northeast being so frigid right now is explained, paradoxically, by the West being hot.

According to Accuweather meteorologist Paul Walker, the “heat dome” parked above the West and western Plains is halting the normal flow of warm air from west to east across the country; basically, polar air from Canada is able to ‘slip around’ the heat dome and slide into the NE: “That has brought down cooler-than-normal air for Upstate New York,” added Walker.

This chilly setup has been around a number of days now, and it is expected to extend into next week.

There has been much made of Upstate New York’s warmer-than-average July, but putting it into perspective, Binghamton’s toasty summer -so far- doesn’t even see it enter the top 20, while Buffalo is only on for its ninth warmest July — these are hardly signs of the AGW catastrophe the MSM is always so keen to associate with any reading above average.

And now, as highlighted above, we have record summer COLD invading the region.

Such chills are typical of early October, not late July– and they aren’t just confined to the Northeast either, far from it.

South Dakota was forecast temperature departures 20C below the average overnight Friday (see GFS run below), meaning cold records will almost certainly have tumbled here, too:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Friday night [tropicaltidbits.com].

And looking elsewhere, and further ahead, the majority of the CONUS can expect below average lows well into next month…


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) July 31 – Aug 7 [tropicaltidbits.com].

…this is in spite the official Climate Prediction Center calling for a “warmer than normal” August:



However, NOAA are among the biggest warm-mongers on the planet.

They claim EVERY month is going to be hotter than average.

Remember their call for February, 2021? It was supposed to be warmer than normal across the CONUS; but in reality, the U.S. went on to suffer its coldest Feb since 1989, millions lost power, and a total 702 people died in Texas alone.


And a similar scenario played out in April, as well:


Every official forecast made by a government body needs to be taken with a huge grain of salt.

These agencies have agendas.

Their models are skewed to warmth.

And they lie.

Regularly.


MORE RECORD COLD STRIKES BRAZIL

Rare snow and subzero cold continues to strike vast regions of South America.

In Urupema, Brazil the thermometer sank to -8.9C (16F) on Friday morning, surpassing the -8.6C (16.5F) registered the previous day in Bom Jardim da Serra — both were record lows for the respective municipalities–both of which are located within the state of Santa Catarina.

As is often the case, Brazil’s lowest temperatures were logged in the mountains; however, the values across the lower elevations were equally jaw-dropping: Ponte Alta do Norte saw a minimum of -6.5C (20.3F), while Curitibanos suffered -6.6C (20.1F).

In addition, the thermometer at the Aurora station, located in the Caravaggio district of Nova Venezuela, registered an all-time low of 1.8C (35.2F) on Friday, July 30, 2021.

Unprecedented snow also continues to blanket large parts of the nation:

Brazil gets snow and ice, surprising residents | News | DW | 30.07.2021
Freezing lows and rare snows hit areas of Brazil, such as the southern state of Rio Grande do Sul.

View: https://youtu.be/Seyk5cZZelc
Run time is 1:57

The substantial snowfalls left many residents mesmerized, including truck driver Iodor Goncalves Marques:

“I am 62 years old and had never seen the snow, you know? To see nature’s beauty is something indescribable.”

More than 40 cities in the state of Rio do Sul have seen winter precipitation over the past few days, with at least 33 municipalities receiving snow:


The Antarctic air mass struck Brazil’s global agricultural powerhouse, decimating coffee, sugarcane and orange crops:



Additionally, the inclement conditions have led to authorities doing what they can to limit suffering among Brazil’s homeless.

“Last night, the cold was so bad that we lit a lighter in our hands to warm up, but it didn’t do anything,” said one local homeless woman. “Yesterday was painful,” she continued.

Unfortunately, the situation isn’t expected to improve as July draws to a close:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) July 30 -31 [tropicaltidbits.com].

THE SUN REMAINS ‘BLANK’ FOR THE THIRD CONSECUTIVE DAY

For the third day in a row, the sun is ‘blank’–no sunspots are peppering the Earth-facing solar disk.

Solar Cycle 25 is spluttering as July comes to an end, which is indicative of the historically deep solar minimum (of SC24, the weakest cycle of the past 100+ years) that our host star is working to drag itself out of.

However, the quiet isn’t expected to last long.

According to farside images from NASA’s STEREO-A spacecraft, a new sunspot appears set to rotate over the sun’s eastern limb over the next few days:




Despite a few outliers calling for a ‘record strong‘ solar cycle 25, so far, at least, the consensus is winning: SC25 remains on track to be another historically weak one (similar to SC24), and the past three ‘spotless’ days only adds further supports to this…


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
I'm going to post this here and on the Q thread.

Bjorn has some interesting things to say regarding the future. Succinctly said, he senses that something bigger than Covid is in the wings, and I think he's hinting at fourth-turning pressures, both political and environmental. I think this belongs here because his take hints at a lot of what we talk about with environmental changes and how overshadowing it will be when things really flip.

R/T 12:55

 

TxGal

Day by day
Very interesting, Searcher, thanks for posting this video. I'm still listening, I love his voice, it's very soothing. His message is an important one.
 

TxGal

Day by day
A new one from Adapt 2030

Global Grains Not Replenishing - YouTube


Global Grains Not Replenishing
4,424 views
Premiered 6 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/QXGlP7imb1I
Run time is 10:46

Synopsis provided:

Headlines speak of global grain supplies having any hope of replenishing by 2022. I pulled a bunch of graphs and export data from a dozen sources. It does appear we have a problem. This is where you need your moment of Zen in the doomroll.
 

TxGal

Day by day
This isn't good (GSMs are known for disease and crop/livestock losses):

African Swine Fever reaches Americas - Threatens #1 Pork Exporter, USA
26,324 views
Jul 31, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/wd1axeHgYe8
Run time is 12:56

Synopsis provided:

African Swine Fever, which destroyed 70% of China's pork, has been confirmed in the Americas. Though the USDA assures us all is well due to new biosecurity measures, failures to contain ASF in China, Germany, and elsewhere suggest otherwise. Could this lead to the shutdown of the #1 pork exporter in the world - and do unimaginable damage to farmers in the USA? Is traditional farming and ranching really too dirty and dangerous to continue, or is this part of the war on meat? Christian breaks it down in this Ice Age Farmer broadcast.
 

Publius

TB Fanatic
This isn't good (GSMs are known for disease and crop/livestock losses):

African Swine Fever reaches Americas - Threatens #1 Pork Exporter, USA
26,324 views
Jul 31, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/wd1axeHgYe8
Run time is 12:56

Synopsis provided:

African Swine Fever, which destroyed 70% of China's pork, has been confirmed in the Americas. Though the USDA assures us all is well due to new biosecurity measures, failures to contain ASF in China, Germany, and elsewhere suggest otherwise. Could this lead to the shutdown of the #1 pork exporter in the world - and do unimaginable damage to farmers in the USA? Is traditional farming and ranching really too dirty and dangerous to continue, or is this part of the war on meat? Christian breaks it down in this Ice Age Farmer broadcast.


So who brought it here? It did not get here by it self.
 

TxGal

Day by day
The grain shortages issues appear to be accelerating. For those that follow a 'back to basics' food storage kind of plan, the last time I checked the LDS folks still had wheat in #10 cans available online. There's also Pleasant Hill Grains, but they sell in buckets, and they do usually stock grain grinders. I believe Emergency Essentials also has some grains in #10 cans, but I haven't seen much in stock at Honeyville for at least a year. Properly stored, most grains will last upwards of 30 years plus.

---------------------------------------------------

"I haven’t seen anything like this": U.S. Wheat Farmer Woes, Decimated Corn Crops, no Feed for Livestock -- What Will We Eat? (electroverse.net)


farming-old-e1627899244126.jpeg

Crop Loss Extreme Weather GSM

“I HAVEN’T SEEN ANYTHING LIKE THIS”: U.S. WHEAT FARMER WOES, DECIMATED CORN CROPS, NO FEED FOR LIVESTOCK — WHAT WILL WE EAT?
AUGUST 2, 2021 CAP ALLON

Wavy jet streams are throwing farmers something of a curve ball in 2021, as global temperatures continue to fall in line with the ever-intensifying Grand Solar Minimum (GSM)… Prepare.

U.S. WHEAT FARMER WOES

Short stalks, thin rows and small bushels; Washington wheat growers are harvesting a mess this year.

“I haven’t seen anything like this,” said fourth generation farmer Kevin Klein, who grows in Sprague.

And whether you talk to a farmer, wheat breeder or economist, they’ve got one message about Washington’s 2021 wheat harvest: “Generally speaking,” said Glen Squires, CEO of the Washington Grain Commission; “for the winter wheat and spring wheat, yields are just down.”

Squires said average winter wheat yields last year were about 76 bushels per acre (with one bushel equaling about 60 pounds of wheat); this year, however, current projections show 55 bushels per acre, with that number expected to drop even further.

“The spring crop is really going to hurt this year,” said Klein, but at least he has something to harvest.

“There are some people that are not even harvesting,” added Squires. “They see two to three bushels and they just stop.”

“There’s no moisture left in the soil; we sucked out and it’s all gone,” said Arron Carter, a winter wheat breeder at Washington State University regarding the next wheat planting season.

“Even if we get normal rain in the fall and winter, we’re going into the driest soil we’ve ever had,” he added

Farmers will likely have to wait longer to plant if significant rain doesn’t arrive soon. And in addition to than less time to grow, delayed planting can mean that the wheat is too short to survive the winter.

Kevin Klein asked around the old-time farmers in the state, to see if there’s ever been a year like this one.

“I listen to the older farmers and they said 1977 is the last year it’s been like this.”

There are many comparison between 2021 and 1977.

Solar activity is the main driver of weather and climate on our planet.

It always has been, and it always will be.

This is why EVERY religion tells of the EXACT same story: a story of the sun.

For more than 400 years now, an accurate sunspot record has been kept.

This record allows us to draw tentative patterns between the Sun’s output and weather on Earth.

The Pacific Northwest’s hot and dry summer of 2021 has growers and meteorologists alike comparing it to the summers of the mid/late 1970s, and the below chart offers an explanation:

Solar Cycles www.electroverse.net
Solar activity proxy, running back to the 1940s.

Basically, the sun runs on 11-year cycles, with a solar maximum and a solar minimum within each cycle.

Looking at the chart above, we note that the year 1977 falls directly off the back of Solar Cycle 20 –a weak cycle of relatively low output– AND within a solar minimum. Forwarding to 2021, we see ourselves landing off the back of Solar Cycle 24 –the weakest cycle of the modern era– AND within another solar minimum –the deepest minimum of the past 100+ years.

Solar cycles 21, 22 and 23 resulted in the peak of the Modern Maximum: the consistently warm and predictable weather patterns this spell delivered brought-about the mass adoption of ‘monocropping’; however, with the climate now changing –in line with drastically reducing solar activity– these predictable days are over.

Some solar physicists see solar cycle 24 as the start of the next Grand Solar Minimum: a prolonged period of reduced solar output that sees the jet stream revert from its usual straight ZONAL flows to a weak and wavy MERIDIONAL one.


The impact this has on the ground is violent ‘swings between extremes’: intense bursts of heat will linger in one area, while a teeth-chattering chill will dominate nearby, and then the regions will ‘switch’ — it is this chopping and changing that will hasten the failure of our modern food production systems — crops will fail, on a large scale, and famine will ensue:


Following the West’s extreme summer of 1977 came a string of brutal winters.

North America, as a whole, recorded one of its worst winters ever in 1978 — it’s no coincidence that this came off the back of a weak solar cycle, and during a deep solar minimum.

As I’ve been warning for years, extremes will become the new normal as we move on from the Modern Maximum (21, 22 and 23) and plunge deeper and deeper into the next Grand Solar Minimum.

The poor wheat crop extends further than just Washington.

An annual U.S. crop tour on Thursday projected the average spring wheat yield in North Dakota –the top-producing state– at just 29.1 bushels per acre — this is the lowest in the history of tour records, which extend back to 1993.

The International Grains Council AGAIN cut its 2021/22 world wheat crop outlook this week, by another million tonnes to 788 million — but like the USDA, the Council’s job is to stabilize markets; they’re outlook ALWAYS leans on the optimistic side.

Expect further drops as the season progresses.

Also, look out for the USDA’s weekly crop condition ratings due today (Monday, Aug 2), and also those private estimates of U.S. corn and soy yields ahead of the USDA’s big August 12 crop supply/demand report.

2021’s wheat woes come off the back of a terrible 2019 growing season –particularly in the Midwest– as well as a disastrous 2020, during which sank U.S. wheat production to its lowest levels since USDA records began, back in 1919.

Likewise in China, the biblical flooding seen in Henan province –which accounts for 10% of China’s grains production– has destroyed the region’s wheat fields, its infrastructure, and thousands of its large hog farms.

DECIMATED CORN CROPS

The worst frosts since at least 1994 (solar minimum of cycle 22) are decimating South America’s second corn crop, and also its coffee crop–of which Brazil is the world’s largest exporter.

The extremely rare frost covering parts of Brazil has surprised residents, with some in their sixties seeing snow for the very first time — not since the mid-1950s has the snow been this severe and widespread (not since the solar minimum of cycle 18).

View: https://twitter.com/tx_marcelo/status/1420568751230099468
Run time is 0:32

The problems besetting the world’s largest producer and exporter of coffee have already been felt in New York, where coffee prices soared to above $2 per pound for the first time since 2014, with the climb expected to continue.

“It was worse than I imagined … It’s hard to see a field that hasn’t suffered any damage,” said agronomist Adriano de Rezende, technical coordinator at the Minasul coffee cooperative, on visiting coffee growing regions across Brazil.

Rezende said it’s too early to estimate production losses precisely, as yet more frosts are expected.

Workers collect coffee burned by frosts due to a strong cold snap that hit the south of the top Brazilian producer state of Minas Gerais, at a farm in Varginha, Brazil, July 30, 2021. REUTERS/Roosevelt Cassio
Workers collect coffee burned by frosts after the region’s worst freeze in decades [Reuters/ Roosevelt Cassio].

Failures of sugarcane and citrus crops are also ravaging South American economies.

Corn, as mentioned above, is also being decimated; so much so in fact, that Brazil has gone from exporter to importer.

Production numbers for Brazilian corn have continued to be slashed every time a new forecast is released — many agencies are coming in with well-under 90 million metric tons (mmt) of total corn production, down 20+% year on year.

The story is similar across Argentina, and, likewise, the corn belts of the U.S. are struggling, too.

The U.S., Argentina and Brazil are the world’s top three corn exporters — issues here have ramifications across the planet.

Ukraine is fourth, and despite what was on track to be a bumper harvest, adverse weather conditions during the first half of July threaten to take the gloss off crop quality and final yields.

Additionally, further bouts of potentially record breaking cold are forecast across much of Europe, including western Ukraine, during the first week of August:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Note also that France and Germany –Europe’s top wheat exporters, along with the Ukraine– are also copping anomalous cold AND record flooding.

These ever-mounting failure of harvests are impacting global food prices:



Shortages come next–and this is already been felt across livestock feed markets.

We’re being told that there simply isn’t enough grain for humans AND the animals, ‘they’ are pitting us against the livestock; and as a result, herds and flocks are being thinned or sold off altogether at an alarming rate, across the board. Our future is looking more and more like a meat-free one (unless you fancy chowing down on Bill Gates’ lab-grown monstrosities).

But the crops are failing anyhow, as documented above — and even if a large percentage of livestock was wiped off the planet, we would still struggle to feed ourselves given this year’s figures and estimates (also unmentioned is the fact that the animals usually receive the ‘poor’ harvests deemed unfit for human consumption — what happens to those yields if there are no animals?).

The overarching question here, with the Grand Solar Minimum only forecast to intensify as the years roll on, is what will we eat?

The answer is a simple one to understand, but a tricky one to master: grow your own!

You need to end your dependence on ‘the system’ — relying on government handouts and rationing as the supermarket shelves run dry is not a great spot to be in. Any external body in control your family’s food security is in control of you, they have you in the palm of their hands, and, in order to eat, you will buckle to any demand they choose to enforce.

You may, for example, be adamant that you’ll never take the vaccine, but what if you haven’t eaten for days and obtaining a supermarket ration card and/or being allowed entry to the shop is only available for the ‘jabbed’? You’ll have no choice but to comply.

Regain your food security from a failing and ever-desperate system.

History shows us that when food production fails, empires crumble — these past few years could be seen as the elites putting control mechanisms in place so as to avoid losing their totalitarian grip when the silos run empty: lockdowns, food rationing, queuing outside supermarkets; these have been the realities of the past 18 months, and it isn’t all that far-fetched to view these measures as a form of ‘social readying’–as preparations for the future as tighter and tighter restrictions are placed on the global food supply.

NEW SUNSPOT

Breaking a surprise string of 5 spotless days, a new sunspot is forming in the sun’s southern hemisphere:



It is potentially interesting because of its unusually high latitude.

Details to follow; that is, if the sunspot lasts long enough to receive an official number…


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Two new podcasts from The Oppenheimer Ranch Project, here's the first:

Solar Cycle 25 Predictions Based On Current Data, Machine Learning & More - And Their Implications - YouTube

Solar Cycle 25 Predictions Based On Current Data, Machine Learning & More - And Their Implications
2,573 views
Premiered 10 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/pDXdFqPEynk
Run time is 9:08

Synopsis provided:

Magnetic Reversal News
19.2K subscribers

The Sun is stirring from its latest slumber. As sunspots and flares, signs of a new solar cycle, bubble from the Sun’s surface, scientists wonder what this next cycle will look like. The short answer is, probably a lot like the last — that is, the past 11 years of the Sun’s life, since that’s the average length of any given cycle. But the longer story involves a panel of experts that meets once a decade, a fleet of Sun-studying satellites, and dozens of complicated models — all revolving around efforts to understand the mystifying behavior of the star we live with.

NASA scientists study and model the Sun to better understand what it does and why. The Sun has its ups and downs and cycles between them regularly. Roughly every 11 years, at the height of this cycle, the Sun’s magnetic poles flip — on Earth, that’d be like if the North and South Poles swapped places every decade — and the Sun transitions from sluggish to active and stormy. At its quietest, the Sun is at solar minimum; during solar maximum, the Sun blazes with bright flares and solar eruptions.

Solar cycle predictions give a rough idea of what we can expect in terms of space weather, the conditions in space that change much like weather on Earth. Outbursts from the Sun can lead to a range of effects, from ethereal aurora to satellite orbital decay, and disruptions to radio communications or the power grid. NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center is the U.S. government’s official source for space weather forecasts, watches, warnings, and alerts: With accurate predictions, we can prepare. https://go.nasa.gov/3mD3sPe
Solar Cycle 25 Predictions/Forecasts. 'The Panel' & 2. NASA https://bit.ly/3lmJVWn
New sunspot cycle could be one of the strongest on record https://bit.ly/3A4QAJa
Prediction of maximum amplitude of solar cycle 25 using machine learning https://bit.ly/3lnNZ8O
Solar Cycle Comparison Chart https://bit.ly/2WAgfIw
Solar Cycle 25 Is Here. NASA, NOAA Scientists Explain https://go.nasa.gov/3zYFgOo
Sunspot Index and Long-term Solar Observations https://bit.ly/37gKFUS
Composite Prediction Graphic https://bit.ly/2VrEIlg
 

TxGal

Day by day
And the 2nd from Oppenheimer:

HUNDREDS OF LIGHTNING STRIKES TO SOUTH OREGON SPARK FIRES - DROUGHT ENDS AS FLOODING THREAT LOOMS - YouTube

HUNDREDS OF LIGHTNING STRIKES TO SOUTH OREGON SPARK FIRES - DROUGHT ENDS AS FLOODING THREAT LOOMS
3,804 views
Premiered 7 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/j6sAjtOpVCE
Run time is 14:30

Synopsis provided:

FIREWATCH: THUNDERSTORMS BRING HUNDREDS OF LIGHTNING STRIKES TO SOUTHERN OREGON, SPARKING DOZENS OF FIRES https://bit.ly/3lrb62f
Hundreds of lightning bolts hit dry Oregon, start new fires https://bit.ly/3ymNjEy
New C.O. storms bring large hail, rain and lightning that sparks new fires https://bit.ly/2Va16jy
EVACUATION ORDERS ISSUED DUE TO LIGHTNING FIRES IN SISKIYOU COUNTY https://bit.ly/2VlDg3T
Bootleg Fire update: 413,762 acres with 84% containment https://bit.ly/3lq9XYQ
Hiker struck, killed by lightning near John Muir Trail in Sierra wilderness https://bit.ly/3rQTnTp
Man suffers shock through video game controller after lightning strike in Robertson County https://bit.ly/3A1Fcxy
Yosemite National Park Update on Lightning Ignited Fires for Monday, August 2, 2021 https://bit.ly/2VoM0WY
Powerful storm brings hail, flash flooding to Inland Empire https://bit.ly/2TVGM4M
Everything is Shaped Like Texas in Texas, Even the Hail https://bit.ly/3ik5Yvd
Colorado Flash Flood Shuts Down Highway Due to Damage 'Unlike Anything' Seen Before https://bit.ly/3C6I65Y
More heavy rain, flash flooding in forecast for parts of Colorado https://bit.ly/3frEmCt
Another round of flooding possible as new flood warnings, watches issued https://bit.ly/2WDGSif
“I HAVEN’T SEEN ANYTHING LIKE THIS”: U.S. WHEAT FARMER WOES, DECIMATED CORN CROPS, NO FEED FOR LIVESTOCK — WHAT WILL WE EAT? https://bit.ly/37hJGDW
As food prices soar, big agriculture is having a field day https://econ.st/3frEx0B UAH
Satellite Data Global Temps https://bit.ly/3lqhwPa
The official hurricane forecast track could be confusing the public https://cnn.it/2TVH7o4
Flooding Threats in the West and Southeast This Week https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Total Precip US https://bit.ly/2VhTPht
ICELAND GEOLOGY https://bit.ly/313mSWn
Volcanic activity worldwide https://bit.ly/37e7kB1
How Long Is A Day? https://bit.ly/31Mjui5
Possible link between Earth’s rotation rate and oxygenation https://go.nature.com/3foT3X0
Behind the Rise of U.S. Solar Power, a Mountain of Chinese Coal https://on.wsj.com/3CdJ94i
Space station situation with Russian module misfire more serious than stated https://bit.ly/3frmKGF
Solar Cycle Predictions https://bit.ly/2VrEIlg
 

TxGal

Day by day
Record Cold Sweeps Central/Eastern U.S., as many European Nations Suffered a Colder-than-Average July (electroverse.net)

cooling-e1627986419488.png

Extreme Weather GSM

RECORD COLD SWEEPS CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S., AS MANY EUROPEAN NATIONS SUFFERED A COLDER-THAN-AVERAGE JULY
AUGUST 3, 2021 CAP ALLON

The propagandizing mainstream media simply won’t report on the ‘cold’, which means a compliant and indoctrinated public aren’t privy to the record summer chills currently sweeping Siberia, Europe and now the U.S.; nor are they aware of the harvest-wrecking freezes to have torn through South America and South Africa of late, or the frogs dying of the cold in Australia…

This is the reality of Earth’s climate — it is one of cooling as the sun slips into its next 400 year Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) cycle, yet very few have been allowed to cotton on, and even fewer have heard the warnings from the likes of Dr. Zharkova and Dr. Soon:



In combination with a dimming sun, we also have our planet’s ever-waning magnetosphere to contend with.

Earth’s magnetic field strength has plummeted in recent years as our poles continue their wander, and this, in line with a GSM, is resulting in something of a double-whammy.

On top of that, though inextricably tied with the aforementioned phenomena, we have the ramp-up t the solar maxima of cycle 25 — a reality that brings with it a 50% probability of the sun hurling a powerful CME/solar flare our way by the year 2024–the ‘killshot’ that could take down our modern civilization’s electrical grid.

But we’d best stay clear of these topics.

We wouldn’t want to blow the narrow, inculcated minds of the masses now would we.

We’d best just stick to the cold

RECORD COLD SWEEPS EASTERN U.S.

Over the past 24 hours, a host of new low temperature records have tumbled across the Eastern United States.

From Texas up to South Dakota, and from Massachusetts down to Alabama, tens of daily low temperature records have fallen as an unusual mass of polar cold descended anomalously-far south on the back of a weak and wavy ‘meridional‘ jet stream flow.

Below are the new unofficial records, as visualized in a graphic created by coolwx.com:



A rare August cold front swept through the Acadiana region of Louisiana on Monday, August 3, is how klfy.com put it; however, they are one of only a handful of news outlets reporting on the North America’s unusual summer chills.

The MSM was all-too happy to ‘milk the heat’ in the Pacific Northwest last month, but have now fallen oddly quiet as temperatures across both the United States and Canada turn from ‘reds’ and ‘oranges’ to ‘blues’ and ‘purples’:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The cherry-picking should be clearer than ever.

And speaking of Canada, their July temperature data is in — and despite the barrage of EOTW rhetoric spouted by the likes of the WP, CNN, and the Guardian, the country’s average July temperature actually finished up just 0.23C above the norm, with central and eastern regions actually suffering a colder-than-average month.

Image
Canada’s Temperature Anomaly Map for July. Despite that brief burst of record-breaking heat, many locales suffered saw a colder than average month, most notably in Cambridge Bay which finished-up a full 2C below the norm.

Looking ahead, the frigid conditions will hang around for a little while longer, lingering into the weekend for many.

Here’s today, August 3 across the CONUS:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 3 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Such departures from the norm will see yet more low temperatures records fall.

As always, stay tuned for updates…

EUROPEAN NATIONS SUFFERED A COLDER-THAN-AVERAGE JULY

European weather agency’s are releasing their country’s climatological data for the month of July, and as we’ve seen above, despite MSM warm-mongering and cherry-picking, many nations just suffered a colder-than-average month.

Switzerland
logged a nationwide temperature anomaly of -0.3C below the old 1981-2010 baseline in July.

While precipitation exceeded the 1981-2010 norm by 180%. Damaging hailstorms were also a frequent occurrence (a phenomenon again tied to low solar activity, a waning magnetosphere + and an influx of Cosmic Rays).

Image

France also saw a chillier than normal July.

With an average temperature of 20.7C, July came out 0.1C below that previously used 1981-2010 baseline.

This was France’s coolest July since 2014.

Again, the cool month was the result of frequent cloudy and rainy days –conditions that prevailed ACROSS central-Western Europe– which again were brought about by low solar output and, more specifically, cloud nucleating cosmic rays.

View: https://twitter.com/GaetanHeymes/status/1421833243599458304

The majority of European nations are yet to finalize their July averages (so stay tuned for updates).


The final day of July was exceptionally cool across France.

July 31 brought extremely low highs for the time of year; in fact, in some cases the lowest July temperature maxes on record were broken — this occurring on the last day of the month, and so at the height of summer, makes it even more remarkable:

View: https://twitter.com/GaetanHeymes/status/1421559186513661958

Furthermore, Western/Central Europe’s chill has intensified during the first few days of August.

And looking ahead, those frigid lows appear set to spread eastward as the month progresses:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 1 – Aug 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Don’t fall for MSM lies and government agency statistical tricks and manipulations.

Earth is cooling in line with a drop off in solar activity.

STATISTICAL TRICKS AND MANIPULATIONS, AN EXAMPLE:

February, 2021 was a month of historic cold across large parts of the planet.

Even NOAA, with their crafty, data-fudging & UHI-ignoring ways, reveal that February was an exceptionally chilly month, although you wouldn’t get that impression if you all you had access to was their absurd “percentiles” map (shown below)–you know, the one that routinely does the rounds across the MSM:



However, when circumventing NOAA’s obfuscation and breaking down the agency’s data, it is revealed that North America actually suffered its coldest February since 1994 (the start of solar minimum of cycle 22), with the contiguous U.S. seeing its chilliest Feb since 1989, and its 19th coldest in books dating back to 1895.

Oceania witnessed its coldest February since 2012 — in fact, the entire Southern Hemisphere saw its chilliest month of Feb since 2012.

All of central and northern Asia froze.

While large parts of Africa, Southern Asia, and South America also experienced a colder-than-average month.

NOAA’s little promoted “departures from average map” (shown below) gives a far better representation of February, 2021:



And below I’ve included a direct comparison of the maps (in a slideshow) to help demonstrate NOAA’s blatant obfuscation.

Note: the two maps use the exact same data yet they give wildly differing impressions of the month (note also the ‘whiting out’ on the percentiles map where there is clearly “blue” on the departure map):

  • February-2021-Global-Departures-from-Average-Map-1.png
  • (Can't copy over the 2nd graphic, please go to the link to see)
The masses have no excuses anymore — the lies and obfuscating tactics are on show for ALL to see.

Moreover, even the official datasets now show irrefutable global cooling:


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Acropolis in Greece closes in the afternoon due to heat wave
Authorities in Greece have closed the Acropolis and other ancient sites during afternoon hours as a heat wave scorching the eastern Mediterranean worsened

By The Associated Press
3 August 2021, 05:49

People stand on rocks near a beach of Kavouri suburb, southwest of Athens, Greece, Monday, Aug. 2, 2021. The heat wave is expected to peak Monday, with temperatures inland ranging from 42 to 46 degrees Celsius (107.6 to 114.8 Fahrenheit). Temperature

Image Icon
The Associated Press
People stand on rocks near a beach of Kavouri suburb, southwest of Athens, Greece, Monday, Aug. 2, 2021. The heat wave is expected to peak Monday, with temperatures inland ranging from 42 to 46 degrees Celsius (107.6 to 114.8 Fahrenheit). Temperatures will remain at 40 Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) or above in much of Greece until at least Friday, meteorologists say. (AP Photo/Michael Varaklas)

ATHENS, Greece -- Authorities in Greece closed the Acropolis and other ancient sites during afternoon hours starting Tuesday as a heat wave scorching the eastern Mediterranean worsened.

Temperatures reached 42 degrees Celsius (107.6 Fahrenheit) in parts of the Greek capital, as the extreme weather fueled deadly wildfires in Turkey and blazes in Greece, Italy and across the region. Greek authorities have described the heat wave as the most intense in more than 30 years.

A wildfire north of Athens, which did not pose any immediate threat to homes, sent smoke over the capital.

The Acropolis, which is normally open in the summer from 8 a.m. to 8 p.m., will have reduced hours through Friday, closing from midday to 5 p.m.

The Greek Fire Service maintained an alert for most of the country Tuesday and Wednesday, while public and some private services shifted operating hours to allow for afternoon closures.

———

Follow all AP stories on climate change issues at Climate.

Acropolis in Greece closes in the afternoon due to heat wave - ABC News (go.com)
 

TxGal

Day by day

TxGal

Day by day
Two more from the Oppenheimer Ranch Project, here's the first"

Recent Effects From Minor CME Activity Raises Eyebrows - Our Magnetic Shield Is Weaker Than Ever - YouTube

Recent Effects From Minor CME Activity Raises Eyebrows - Our Magnetic Shield Is Weaker Than Ever
2,697 views
Premiered 8 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/ZQOQV3U2T88
Run time is 3:27

Synopsis provided:

Major effects from minor events have what we have been predicting and now it has arrived. Telemetry https://d3k7gxzd368ul3.cloudfront.net...
Kp-Index https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images...
Magnetometer https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/g...
 

TxGal

Day by day
And the 2nd from Oppenheimer:

Record Cold Sweeps Central & Eastern US - Antarctica @ Record Ice Levels - The Magnetosphere is Weak - YouTube

Record Cold Sweeps Central & Eastern US - Antarctica @ Record Ice Levels - The Magnetosphere is Weak
4,330 views
Premiered 7 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/j8ScTCdakq8
Run time is 14:47

Synopsis provided:

Tornado spotted Monday in New Smyrna Beach confirmed by forecasters https://bit.ly/3jkohQ1
RECORD COLD SWEEPS CENTRAL/EASTERN U.S., AS MANY EUROPEAN NATIONS SUFFERED A COLDER-THAN-AVERAGE JULY https://bit.ly/3A985rO
GFS Model Total Snow https://bit.ly/3ikWRKp
GFS Model Total Precipitation https://bit.ly/3imO1ff
GFS Model Temperature Anomaly https://bit.ly/3A4YsKD
Flash Flood Threats in the Southeast and Rockies; Excessive Heat in the Southwest https://www.weather.gov/
Rare Snowfall Blankets Cities Across Brazil https://bit.ly/3imrnDN
Record Antarctic Ice Extent https://bit.ly/3jp8PlN
Worldwide Volcano News https://bit.ly/3y58XgJ
32nd annual Crestone Energy Fair AUG 28 -29 19850 Camino del Oro, Moffat, CO 81143, United States https://www.facebook.com/events/36469...
https://crestoneenergyfair.org/
and more
 

TxGal

Day by day
Summer Snow hits the European Alps, + Australian and New Zealand Ski Fields see "Huge Dumps" (electroverse.net)

Snow-Aussie-3-e1628066605755.jpg

Extreme Weather GSM

SUMMER SNOW HITS THE EUROPEAN ALPS, + AUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND SKI FIELDS SEE “HUGE DUMPS”
AUGUST 4, 2021 CAP ALLON

Winter in the Southern Hemisphere is often a harbinger for the coming winter in the Northern Hemisphere; and if recent developments across ‘the upside down’ are anything to go by, then us northerners best literally ‘make hay while the sun shines’ as this SH winter has, thus far, been a doozy (particularly across South America and Southern Africa).

In fact, snow is already accumulating over the higher elevations of Europe…


SUMMER SNOW HITS THE ALPS


Substantial summer snowfall has been reported on glaciers across the European Alps over the past few days, at elevations around 3,000 meters (9,800 feet).

Stubai Glacier
, located near Innsbruck in Austria, is the latest resort to report a dusting of early-August snow:


Stubai Glacier, early-August, 2021.

This follows the Tirolean glacier’s Hintertux ski area, which saw hefty flurries last week:


Hintertux, late-July, 2021.

Summer snowfall at these altitudes is not unprecedented.

However, during these times of supposed ‘catastrophic global heating’, such sizable mid-summer accumulations are newsworthy–they simply shouldn’t be happening as per climatological predictions of years past.

In fact, the heavy snow looks set to see the early-opening of some ski fields, including Sutbai.

Hintertux is one of five European glaciers that have actually been able to remain open into August, thanks to a healthy snow cover — the others being Les 2 Alps in France, Zermatt and Saas Fee in Switzerland and Passo Stelvio in Italy.

European skiing was hampered by the pandemic in 2020 — and looking ahead, it again won’t be a lack of pow-pow keeping skiers and snowboarders off the slopes: according to the latest forecasts, further flurries –of as much as 33cm (1.1 feet)— are expected over the next 48 hours alone, adding to what are already very healthy bases.

NEW ZEALAND SKI FIELDS SEE “HUGE DUMPS”

New Zealand slopes received “huge dumps” of snow on Tuesday as an Antarctic front tore up the South Island, reports stuff.co.nz.

Canterbury skifields
received the largest accumulations over the past 24 hours, to Tuesday evening, according to the SnowNZ website.

The Arrowsmith, Ragged, and Palmer ranges led the way with a monster 62cm (2+ft) of fresh snow.

Tekapo’s Roundhill Ski Area received 50cm (1.64ft).

Mount Cook Heliski region saw 40cm (1.31ft).

Temple Basin ski area near Arthur’s Pass logged 20cm (7.9 inches).

While Ōhau got 15cm (5.9 inches).

Kevin Boekholt, director of Alpine Guides, which operates Methven Heliski, said despite recently losing the Australian market through the COVID debacle, the number of Kiwi visitors had “started to pick up”.

Boekholt attributed the recent large snowfalls as a contributing factor: “Now that the snow is coming we’re actually finding that all our bookings are actually filling in, and we’re expecting to have a really good season.

“These storms really benefit us, and so we’ve been able to offer as good a product as we can on any other year,” he said.


Tekapo’s Roundhill Ski Area received 50cm (1.64ft) of fresh snow on Tuesday.

As reported by stuff.co.nz back in May, New Zealand skifields saw “sensational early season snowfall” this year, but the dumpings came with avalanche warnings across the Southern Alps.


Looking ahead, frostier temperatures are forecast for the remainder of the week, even across NZ’s lower elevations.

The Queenstown, Wānaka and Alexandra areas are all expected to dip below zero overnight.

While Christchurch will see lows around the freezing mark, with frost expected.

By the weekend though, an more intense mass of polar cold looks set to sweep both islands, with the worst of the conditions expected to hit Sunday and Monday.

Stay tuned for updates.

AUSTRALIA SEES HEAVY SNOW

At the close of last month, the Aussie Alps were reporting their best snowfall in 21 years.

A monster 183.6cm (6+ft) was logged at Spencer’s Creek — its highest natural snow depth since 2000.

As meteorologist @Ben_Domensino tweeted (below): “Only 10 out of the last 68 years have had this much snow…”

View: https://twitter.com/Ben_Domensino/status/1420931782103367680


Here are Australia’s temperature anomalies for today, August 4:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) for Aug 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And here are the continent’s expected snowfall totals over the next 2-or-so weeks:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Aug 4 – 20 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Also, keep an eye on developments later in the month.

The GFS, though within the unreliable time frame, is seeing something of a monster polar blast beginning around August 18:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) for Aug 20 [tropicaltidbits.com].

As always, stay tuned for updates.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Minor CME Leads to Geomagnetic Storm: Grid Failure all but Guaranteed by 2024 - Electroverse

solar-grid-e1628073220366.jpg

Articles GSM

MINOR CME LEADS TO GEOMAGNETIC STORM: GRID FAILURE ALL BUT GUARANTEED BY 2024
AUGUST 4, 2021 CAP ALLON

The sun may have been quiet over the past week or so, but that didn’t stop our planet’s magnetic field allowing a minor CME to break its defenses and push the indexes into geomagnetic storm territory.

A minor coronal mass ejection (CME) erupted on the sun a few days ago, and, as expected, it impacted Earth on August 3; however, what wasn’t forecast by the observers at NOAA and NASA was the event sparking a geomagnetic storm.
The event was barely a blip as far the telemetry was concerned:


[NOAA]

The Bz (top red line) did pop a little.

As did the Phi Angle and the Density (blue and yellow lines, respectively).

However, the Plasma Speed (purple line) was dropping throughout the entire event.

Falling wind speed is usually indicative of solar quiet.

“I have never seen a geomagnetic storm when the plasma speed is 300km/sec,” says David (Diamond) Mauriello of the OPR, yet what we saw was a storm lasting approx. 3 hours, with geomagnetic instability lasting a further 9 hours:


[NOAA]

We also saw a massive shift on the Magnetometer, of approx. 100 NanoTesla:


[NOAA]

In years past, we’ve been accustomed to far stronger CMEs having far smaller impacts on the field, with many not even producing a storm at all.

The fact that this ‘nothing event’ led to such violent heavenly perturbations leads one to assume that Earth’s magnetic field has weakened further, far beyond the latest official datapoint from 2017.

These are changing times in our space environment.

“This spells very bad news,” continues Mauriello.

Soon after the ‘hit’, electrical problems began peppering the news feeds.

Electric glitches and fires both go up tenfold during space weather impacts, and this is what we saw again on August 3.

But this was a ‘nothing event’ — our planet’s magnetic field should have coped much better with such a tiny impact.

And while Tuesday’s KP5 event isn’t scary in of itself, the fact that Earth’s ever-waning magnetosphere (due to its shifting magnetic poles and the onset of the next GSM) couldn’t handle such a weak solar event is the number one cause for concern for our modern tech-driven civilization: Earth’s magnetic field is weaker than we’ve all realized.

In the year 2000, we knew the field had lost 10 percent of its strength since the 1800s.

Another 5 percent was lost by 2010.

Further accelerations occurred in recent years, 2015 and 2017, but we laymen were not privy to any additional loss data–with guesses on why that might be quickly sending you down a conspiracy rabbit hole.

View: https://youtu.be/rxo6L255Pp0
Run time is 0:09

Given the last solid data point we have –that of 2010– our magnetic field should have handled this week’s impact far better.

“The magnetic shield is now so weak that it can be perturbed in such an extreme way by such a minor event,” adds Mauriello.

“Based on what just occurred, very bad things are going to happen on this planet.

“Any large flare that heads our way is a grid down scenario,” concludes Mauriello.

As I’ve been warning for years now, the sun’s ramp-up into Solar Cycle 25 occurring in line with Earth’s drastically reducing magnetic field is the biggest threat we humans have faced in hundreds –potentially thousands– of years, particularly given how completely and utterly technologically-dependent the vast majority of this planets’ 8 billion inhabitants are.

When that earth-facing X-flare hits –which is a matter of ‘when’ and not ‘if’– there will be no more internet, no more ‘how-tos’ on YouTube, no more just in time deliveries, no more food, no more law and order; just chaos — and we’ll be on our own to survive.

This scenario has more than a 50 percent chance of playing out by the solar maximum of SC25 (currently expected in the year 2024), with localized grid failures all but guaranteed by then.

Prepare now.

Escape the cities.

And grow your own.


On top of all that, the COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

alpha

Veteran Member
In considering the future without internet or even AM radio for communication, I think one of the most devastating losses we, as preppers, will have to endure will be lack of weather forecast information. No matter how green our thumbs, even an unanticipated shower can ruin your day of hay harvesting. Enough surprise events and every aspect of our survival will be challenged. I don't like surprises!
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
I suspect the best of us will learn to read the skies and the "feel" of the weather and be able to know roughly what weather each day will bring. I think there are lots of things to help know what's coming, although likely not as long-range as we are accustomed to, nowadays. Farmers used to do this. Sailors used to do this.

I won't be around for any of this, unless things hit the fan in the very near future. Too bad, ini a way, as I'd love to try meeting and conquering those challenges. I have to be content by hoping that what I leave behind will help someone younger and stronger than I am to meet those challenges.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Farmers' Almanac Forecasts a 'Grand Solar Minimum' Winter for the U.S. (electroverse.net)

Almanac-2021-22.jpg

Articles Extreme Weather GSM

BELGIUM AND THE NETHERLANDS SUFFERED COLDER-THAN-AVERAGE JULYS, AS THE FARMERS’ ALMANAC FORECASTS A ‘GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM’ WINTER FOR THE U.S.
AUGUST 5, 2021 CAP ALLON

July 2021 in Belgium was much cooler than average.

The month delivered record amounts of rain, too.

Average temperature at the Uccle Observatory held at just 17.9C (64.2F) — that’s -0.8C (-1.4F) below the norm:

Image

It was also Belgium’s wettest July on record, and by some margin, too.

A total of 166.5mm (6.6 inches) of rain fell over the course of the month, versus the norm of 76.9mm (3 inches) — this busted previous record of 133.8mm (5.3 inches) set back in the year 2000.

Image

It was a similar story in the Netherlands, which also saw a cooler and wetter than normal month of July.

At the De Bilt Observatory, the average temperature finished up at 18C (64.4F), which is -0.3C (-0.5F) below the average.

Precipitation came out at 98mm (3.86 inches), against the norm of 85mm (3.35 inches).

COSMIC RAYS AND CLOUD NUCLEATION

Very briefly, cosmic rays (CRs) increase during times of low solar activity:



When cosmic rays hit Earth’s atmosphere, they create aerosols.

These aerosols seed clouds (Svensmark et al).

This makes CRs a key component in our weather and climate, and many scientists, across a multitude of disciplines, have concluded that clouds play the most crucial role in Earth’s climate.

These include Kauppinen & Malmi, Ueno et al, and Nikolov, to name just three.

Also, that quote from Dr. Roy Spencer again springs to mind:

“Clouds are the Earth’s sunshade, and if cloud cover changes for any reason, you have global warming — or global cooling.”

Increased cloud cover brings with it more than just cooling, of course: precipitation also increases, and this forcing (CRs) –in combination with the changing jet streams (see below)– is behind central/western Europe’s recent summer chills, as well as the historic rains.


EUROPE’S TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK

Further summer chills are forecast for Europe as August rolls on, particularly for central and western regions:

AUG 6:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 6 [tropicaltidbits.com].

AUG 8:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 8 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Although the chill looks set to spread eastwards as the month progresses:

AUG 17:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Aug 17 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Additional precipitation is also on the cards, with more summer snow set to blanket the continent’s higher elevations:


FARMERS’ ALMANAC 2021-22 WINTER OUTLOOK

“Grab Your Gloves! Fetch Your Fleece! Winter is going to be a season of flip-flop conditions with notable polar coaster swings in temperatures!” — the Farmers’ Almanac 2021-22 winter forecast is out, and it’s calling for a ‘Grand Solar Minimum’ winter.

Unlike the Old Farmers’ Almanac, which makes weather predictions through a combination of animal signals, chicken bones, pig spleens, and other weather lore, the Farmers’ Almanac bases its outlook on a “mathematical and astronomical formula” dating back to 1818 that takes sunspot activity and other astronomical anomalies into account.

All long-range forecasts need to be taken with grain or two or salt, but the Farmers’ Almanac is one worth paying attention to. Below is a snapshot of what it sees occurring across the U.S. this winter. Note: it stays well-clear of EOTW AGW rhetoric; in fact, it isn’t calling for above average temperatures anywhere (unlike warm-mongering government agencies, such as NOAA).

2022 US Farmers' Almanac Winter Forecast Map.

JANUARY — THE CHILL BUILDS

The Almanac sees winter 2021-22 starting out somewhat mild for much of the country, in January.

However, a trend to the frigid will begin during the middle to latter part of the month.

Overall, January will be stormy, especially along the Atlantic Seaboard where an active storm track will lead to a stretch of precipitation in various forms: rain, snow, sleet, and ice.

The Great Lakes, Midwest, and Ohio Valley are forecast to have more than their fair share of cold and flaky weather.

The Northern Plains and Rockies will also experience Old Man Winter’s wrath with stormy weather culminating to a possible blizzard later in the month.

And for the Southern Great Plains, including Texas and Oklahoma, the Almanac is sorry to report that late January may bring some potentially frigid and flaky weather, “like you experienced last winter”.

The Almanac hopes the freeze won’t be as robust, but urges Texans to “be prepared”.

FEBRUARY — QUIETER, PUNCTUATED BY A “WINTER WHOPPER”

February will average out to be a much quieter month in terms of storminess across much of the nation.

In the eastern-third of the country, for example, the Almanac calculates that on average there will be 57% fewer days of measurable precipitation compared to January, a significant drop-off.

However, that doesn’t necessarily mean that storminess will be completely absent.

The Almanac is forecasting a “winter whopper” for parts of the Northeast and Ohio Valley toward the end of February.

Another “atmospheric hemorrhage” from the Pacific could lash most of the far West, with everything from strong winds to heavy rains and snow.

MARCH — LATE WINTER STORMS, DELAYED START TO SPRING

From start to finish, the month of March will be full of stretches of uneventful weather, but when it turns stormy, the precipitation will come in big doses.

For the East and Midwest, for example, a late winter storm will blow in at mid-month followed by a nor’easter along the East Coast toward month’s end.

Winter is expected to stretch longer into spring next year.

OVERVIEW

This Almanac is “raising red flags” for potent winter storms for the Great Lakes and the Northeast during the second week of January, the final week of February, and second week of March on account of bouts of heavy snow, rain, or a wintry mix of both.

A possible blizzard is predicted for the Northern Plains and Rockies near the end of the third week of January.

What about the cold?

Winter temperatures are expected to range from near- to somewhat-below normal across the eastern-third of the nation, well below-normal over the Central US, and near-normal across the western US, especially in February.

“So if you’ve been putting off buying those sale long johns or portable hand warmers, you may want to rethink it.”

Especially come March, when most parts of the nation will be anxiously awaiting warmer days, the news is not all rosy: “they will be few and far between”.

In fact, around the time of the vernal equinox –March 20– unseasonably cold temperatures will grip many parts of the country.

To recap, this winter will be doing a lot of flip-flopping, with fluctuating temperatures and cold extending beyond March.

The Almanac, in essence, is forecasting a Grand Solar Minimum winter.

We haven’t long to see how it pans out — 137 days until it starts, and counting…

Prepare.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordinglylearn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

Slydersan

Veteran Member
Well, in the immediate near term after an event, if you can create your own power (from solar, generators, etc) you could always download weather satellite images yourself. You could see storms, hurricanes, cold/warm fronts, even smoke from forest fires I guess.

This is assuming that the satellites would still be operational. There are lots of different scenarios. So there is no REAL way of knowing if the weather satellites would be working or not after a flare until after the event is over and then seeing if they are "up". But you can do it now to play around with and then at least know how to do it.

Basically you just take a radio (heck I've used an old Uniden police scanner from the early 90's) to "hear" the satellite signals and then use your computer's sound card to decode the signals with some free software that is out there. I'd be willing to guess that almost all computers made within the last 20 years have enough "power" to do this.

Here is a webpage to get you started - Receiving weather satellite images but there is lots of information out there. Just do a search for "how to receive weather satellite images" or something similar.
 

TxGal

Day by day
I'd already started dreading this coming winter and this stuff from the Farmer's Almanac certainly isn't helping any!

I'm right with you there! I read that article before I posted it, and as I was posting it my stomach kept doing flips. Guess we'd best get all of our firewood lined up and our woodstove checked (we've never used it). Thanks heavens we've now got several Little Buddy propane heaters, a case+ of 1lb propane bottles, etc., in case the darn power goes off again like last Feb. I hate to say we're 'seeing signs' of a cold winter, but....
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Since I only heat with a little space heater in my kitchen, I think I'd best get my act together and start getting my winter clothing made. I have patterns and all I need to make three "suits" of pants and shirt of two layers of polar fleece fabric. They will look like pajamas but I don't care. I'll be wearing my knit long johns under them and I intend to stay WARM in spite of my poorly heated house. I can wear something a little more presentable when I go shopping, since the heater in my truck still works just fine. And the way things are looking, I might not be able to go into any stores anyway by the time real winter weather gets here. Could be I'll be living off what I already have here and just going to my little town on the 3rd of eaxh month to mail bills and get my Social Security money from the window of my truck.

The managers at both Dollar General and the grocery in my little town have told me they will shop for me if I call in orders, and I can pay for it with cash when I go in to pick up the order. The DG manager told me she already does this for a few seniors who do not have cell phones or debit and credit cards.

I HATE WINTER!!!!!
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Everyone might want to do a re-read of A Distant Mirror, at least the chapters about the horrific weather that caused the "Great Famine" of the 1320s that was so bad that people thought that God had left the Earth and that was BEFORE the Black Death hit in the 1340s.

I've said before our current weather (in Europe and the American Southwest/West) is typical of what records, tree rings, and ice cores suggest is normal for a solar minimum period.

It is also normal for a dropping South of the North Atlantic Oscillation - Art Bell wherever you are, you and Witney (who are still with us) saw this coming...(silly movies aside, while that movie is fun, the book is a much better read - The Coming Global Superstorm).

The real-life Day After Tomorrow: The Gulf Stream is at its weakest for over 1,000 YEARS due to climate change - and could cause temperatures in Britain to plummet 18°F if it collapses, study warns
  • Experts studied 'fingerprints' in ocean currents to explore Gulf Stream changes
  • This current brings warm water from the equator to the northern hemisphere
  • It keeps western Europe relatively mild and without it temperatures would fall
  • Experts predict that if it collapses winter temperatures could drop by up to 18F
By RYAN MORRISON FOR MAILONLINE

PUBLISHED: 16:00, 5 August 2021 | UPDATED: 16:00, 5 August 2021


The Gulf Stream is at its weakest in a millennia, approaching a 'tipping point' where it could collapse and push temperatures in Europe down by 18F, a new study has warned.

Human caused climate change is responsible for changes bringing the current - also known as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) - to the brink of collapse, according to the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany.

The Atlantic Ocean circulation system is responsible for the mild temperatures in the UK and Europe, moving heat from the tropics to the northern hemisphere.

Its underlying system has become destabilised, researchers discovered, which could eventually result in it switching to a 'weak mode' and lead to its collapse.

It is currently only approaching 'tipping
point', but when it happens warm water won't be moved up through western Europe, causing freezing cold winters.
Study authors can't say when it will happen as there is still the chance to stop it, but it would require a dramatic reduction in carbon emissions.

'At the moment we most likely haven't already crossed the critical threshold,' study author Niklas Boers told MailOnline, adding 'every single gram of CO2 we don't emit into the atmosphere will reduce the probability that we'll cross the threshold'.
46321191-9864405-image-a-18_1628166835853.jpg


The Gulf Stream is at its weakest in a millennia, approaching a 'tipping point' where it could collapse and push temperatures in Europe down by 18F, study reveals
It is currently only approaching 'tipping point', but when it happens warm water won't be moved up through western Europe, causing freezing cold winters


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It is currently only approaching 'tipping point', but when it happens warm water won't be moved up through western Europe, causing freezing cold winters
WHY ARE OCEAN CURRENTS SO IMPORTANT?
Ocean currents play a critical role in regulating the planet.

They are the continuous, predictable, directional movement of sea water by gravity, wind, and water density.
Water in the ocean moves in two directions - horizontally and vertically.

Horizontal movements are referred to as currents, while vertical changes are called upwellings or downwellings.
Slower circulation in the North Atlantic can yield profound change.

This is on both the North American and European climate but also on African and Asian summer monsoon rainfall.
This is through its effect on sea surface temperature, hydrological cycle, atmospheric circulation and variation in the intertropical convergence zone.

If the Gulf Stream, moving warm water up from the tropics, collapses Europe would be plunged into a deep freeze.


Disaster movie The Day After Tomorrow was based on the collapse of AMOC, the phenomenon that drives the gulf stream, carrying warm surface water from the equator and return it cold back tot he bottom of the Atlantic.

The AMOC is known to be at its weakest in more than 1,000 years based on an earlier study, and this new research explored whether it was due to an underlying stability.

A collapse was previously considered unlikely under current global warming levels, with the system slowly weakening over the last century.

Lead author Dr Niklas Boers, of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany, explored the underlying dynamical stability of the AMOC.

'The loss of dynamical stability would imply that the AMOC has approached its critical threshold beyond which an abrupt and potentially irreversible transition to the weak mode could occur,' he explained

The analysis was based on 'fingerprints' the AMOC leaves in surface temperature and salinity patterns.
It showed a 'critical threshold' is being reached beyond which the system may collapse, although we haven't reached that point yet.

The finding was both alarming and surprising, as the scenario was expected to occur at global warming levels much higher than the current increases.

'Most evidence suggests the recent AMOC weakening is caused directly by the warming of the northern Atlantic ocean,' said Dr Boers.


Mean early-warning indicators for the Atlantic ocean suggest that the Gulf Stream is still in its strong mode, but is at risk of switching to the weak mode then collapse


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Mean early-warning indicators for the Atlantic ocean suggest that the Gulf Stream is still in its strong mode, but is at risk of switching to the weak mode then collapse

'But according to our understanding, this would be unlikely to lead to an abrupt state transition.
'Stability loss that could result in such a transition would be expected following the inflow of substantial amounts of freshwater into the North Atlantic in response to melting of the Greenland ice sheet, melting Arctic sea ice and an overall enhanced precipitation and river runoff.'

Fresh water from melting ice - especially in Greenland - has accelerated in the last few decades, with regional destabilisation of the Greenland Ice sheet already detected.

Dr Boers added: 'To understand this in-depth we need to find ways to improve the representation of the AMOC and polar ice sheets in comprehensive Earth system models and to better constrain their projections.
'I hope that the results presented here will help with that.'

He said that while it is weakening, it hasn't reached the tipping point yet, and this study simply shows that the AMOC is still in its strong circulation mode.
Disaster movie The Day After Tomorrow was based on the collapse of AMOC, the phenomenon that drives the gulf stream, carrying warm surface water from the equator and return it cold back tot he bottom of the Atlantic


Disaster movie The Day After Tomorrow was based on the collapse of AMOC, the phenomenon that drives the gulf stream, carrying warm surface water from the equator and return it cold back tot he bottom of the Atlantic

ATLANTIC MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION (AMOC)
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a large system of ocean currents.
They carry warm water from tropics northwards into the North Atlantic.

Like a conveyor belt, driven by differences in temperature and salt content – the water's density.
As warm water flows northwards it cools and some evaporation occurs, which increases the amount of salt.
Low temperature and a high salt make the water denser, and this dense water sinks deep into the ocean.

The cold, dense water slowly spreads southwards, several kilometres below the surface.

Eventually, it gets pulled back to the surface and warms in a process called 'upwelling' and the circulation is complete.
This global process makes sure that the world's oceans are continually mixed, and that heat and energy are distributed around the earth.

This, in turn, contributes to the climate we experience today.
SOURCE: UK Met Office


'The weak circulation mode is much much weaker than the present day mode, even if that has slowed down,' Dr Boers told MailOnline.

The team discovered that the decline in strength over the last century is associated with a loss of stability, rather than just a linear change in its mean state.

'So we have been moving closer to the critical threshold, but we certainly haven't moved into the weak circulation mode already,' he said.

'The concern is that we have moved closer to the critical point where a collapse to the weak mode can occur,' adding it would have dramatic consequences in terms of cooling Europe by up to 18F and impact on tropical monsoon systems.
'I reveal significant signs of stability loss, but it's hard to estimate from that where exactly the critical threshold is,' he told MailOnline.

'This is because there are too many uncertainties in translating our CO2 emissions into global warming, translating that to the actual warming in the Arctic, then translating that to the freshwater inflow to the North Atlantic via Greenland Ice Sheet and Sea Ice melting.

'Then there are still uncertainties in the exact value of freshwater inflow at which the AMOC will tip over to the weak mode.
'What can be said for sure is that we haven't expected to see such clear signs of stability loss at this point already. Once we reach the critical point, the AMOC will likely collapse within a few decades.'

It isn't beyond hope though, as Dr Boers told MailOnline 'every single gram of CO2 that we don't emit to the atmosphere will reduce the probability that we'll eventually cross the threshold and thus trigger the AMOC collapse.'
'This is certain even if the numbers themselves are uncertain,' he added.
Researchers explored salinity fingerprints linked to changes in the Gulf Stream over the past 1,000 years to calculate the strength of the steam itself and risk of collapse


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Researchers explored salinity fingerprints linked to changes in the Gulf Stream over the past 1,000 years to calculate the strength of the steam itself and risk of collapse

David Alexander, Professor of Risk and Disaster Reduction at University College London, not involved in the research, said Britain is unprepared for a major disaster.

'Britain does not have a proper civil protection system,' he told MailOnline, with no national emergency operations centre, inadequate training an an 'excessive reliance on military assistance,' he said.

He added that 'almost all the vital areas have been starved of resources, there are no representatives of disaster science on SAGE and volunteer organisations are not properly incorporated into the system.'

NASA explore ocean currents through supercomputer simulation




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'There is a failure to learn from other countries' good practices and a strong desire to emulate the United States, which is possibly the worst example to follow.'
'Despite the presence of an enormous well of talent and expertise in Britain, almost all disasters over the last 35 years have been badly managed.'
The study is part of the EU's TiPES project which is investigating tipping points in the Earth system and is published in the journal Nature Climate Change.
What would the world look like if the Gulf stream collapsed?

If the AMOC was to collapse, far less heat would reach western Europe and the region would be plunged into very severe winters, the kind of scenario depicted in an extreme fashion in the movie The Day After Tomorrow.
Until the 1800s, it was relatively stable but the current declined after the so-called 'Little Ice Age' ended in 1850.
Temperatures dropped low enough that the River Thames completely froze over and records show Londoners crossing the waterway on foot.
The last shutdown was probably at the end of the last Ice Age, 12,000 years ago, and it prompted a temperature drop of 5°C to 10°C in western Europe.
In the event of another collapse, not only would European winters become much colder but summer droughts, storms and heatwaves would likely become more common.

Sea levels could rise up to nearly 20 inches around the North Atlantic Basin, which surrounds the eastern US coast.
This would eventually push people living along the coast further inland to escape flooding. A widespread collapse of deep-sea eco-systems would occur.
In the US, Florida would be particularly badly affected as the flow of water northwards would be halted, seeing it collect on the state's shoreline.

A study published last year looked at how the cessation of the AMOC may impact the UK specifically.
The Little Ice Age, a centuries-long cold period that lasted until about 1850. Experts believe that as the North Atlantic began to warm near the end of the Little Ice Age, freshwater disrupted the system. Pictured is Thames Frost Fair, 1683–84, by Thomas Wyke


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The Little Ice Age, a centuries-long cold period that lasted until about 1850. Experts believe that as the North Atlantic began to warm near the end of the Little Ice Age, freshwater disrupted the system. Pictured is Thames Frost Fair, 1683–84, by Thomas Wyke
University of Exeter researchers made a computer model and found that by 2080 the weather would be 3.4°C colder than it was last year.
Rainfall during the growing season is expected to drop by 123mm, they added.
This, Ars Technica reports, is enough to reduce the UK's arable land from 32 percent to just seven percent, greatly affecting food production.
The effects would be felt not in Europe and the United States, with forecasts also projecting that the collapse of the AMOC would also increase drought in the Sahel in Africa.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Texas might see another winter storm, says 2022 Farmers' Almanac (chron.com)

Farmers' Almanac predicted Texas' terrible winter storm. Another one is forecast for 2022.
Katie Friel
Aug. 4, 2021

A fountain along Aldine-Westfield at Bellchase Drive is covered with ice in Spring on Feb. 15.

A fountain along Aldine-Westfield at Bellchase Drive is covered with ice in Spring on Feb. 15.
Brett Coomer/Staff photographer

For over 200 years, the Farmers' Almanac has been a reference for farmers and gardeners, hobbyists and weather watchers.

Though much of its content has moved online (the publication's even on TikTok!), the Farmers' Almanac still releases a physical copy each year, just as it has since 1818. Before the 2022 edition is slated to hit shelves next week, the almanac released its upcoming winter storm predictions, sending a shiver down the spines of Texans across the state.

"The arctic outbreak in February 2021, which the Farmers' Almanac accurately predicted, brought frigid temperatures along with snow and ice to Texas and Oklahoma," says an August 4 release. "The Almanac is predicting similar cold and snowy conditions in late January, but fortunately, they shouldn't be as bad as last year."

Farmer's Almanac managing editor Sandi Duncan tells MySA that in 2022, our region is predicted to see a winter storm in late January.

The good news is we don't think it’ll be as bad as last year, but we do want people to be prepared," Duncan says.

The almanac is predicting a "frosty flip-flop winter" for the entire country, meaning that while precipitation levels will hit yearly averages, there will patterns of extreme cold and precipitation offset by more mild temps.

In our region, Duncan says Texas is likely to have a colder-than-normal winter with regular precipitation.

"We’re summarizing this winter to be really 'chilled to the bone,'" she says. "Near normal precipitation, but then if you look on our website where we break it into actual months, we do have some very cold temperatures predicted."

The almanac uses a 200-year-old formula that combines astronomical and mathematical factors that Duncan notes has been "fine-tuned" over the centuries. The exact equation is known by only one anonymous employee who goes by the moniker Caleb Weatherbee.

"People consult us for vacations, weddings, we're often called a bride’s best friend," Duncan adds.

Before San Antonians begin looking up real estate listings in Hawaii, it's important to note that weather prediction is just that — a prediction. Though the almanac did accurately predict Winter Storm Uri, it was off by a few days.

"We’re not 100-percent accurate, I don’t know any weather predictions that are," she says. "But you should be prepared.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
I suspect the best of us will learn to read the skies and the "feel" of the weather and be able to know roughly what weather each day will bring. I think there are lots of things to help know what's coming, although likely not as long-range as we are accustomed to, nowadays. Farmers used to do this. Sailors used to do this.

I won't be around for any of this, unless things hit the fan in the very near future. Too bad, ini a way, as I'd love to try meeting and conquering those challenges. I have to be content by hoping that what I leave behind will help someone younger and stronger than I am to meet those challenges.

Martinhouse,

Last weekend, I got a phone call from a man of whom, I have not spoken to for 40 years, just out of the blue. He lives in a very rural area and does not own a computer. He says that he is old fashioned.

I would think that he can read the clouds and the night sky.

Martinhouse, because you own a computer and have a internet connection, you a light-years ahead of him in technology.

He wants some information, so I will mail it to him, instead of emailing it to him.

There is always some-one worse off than you

Take care

NW
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Northern watch, that old friend has the knowledge that I was referring. He doesn't realize that he should be sending US information rather than asking that information be sent to HIM!!!!!

People are going to have to learn to do what he knows how to do. We CAN do it. It's the same ability that makes us post a thread on TB2K about how the "feel" of fall is in the air. We will learn which old wives tales are based on fact and which are not. We'll learn why there was a saying of "red sky at night, sailor's delight, etc." More of us will sniff the air and know that rain is coming within the hour. Or later today. Or maybe overnight. We CAN do it! It won't be perfect, but.....WE CAN!
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Northern watch, that old friend has the knowledge that I was referring. He doesn't realize that he should be sending US information rather than asking that information be sent to HIM!!!!!

People are going to have to learn to do what he knows how to do. We CAN do it. It's the same ability that makes us post a thread on TB2K about how the "feel" of fall is in the air. We will learn which old wives tales are based on fact and which are not. We'll learn why there was a saying of "red sky at night, sailor's delight, etc." More of us will sniff the air and know that rain is coming within the hour. Or later today. Or maybe overnight. We CAN do it! It won't be perfect, but.....WE CAN!

sure, and we already do. The local weather forecasts are SO BAD so much of the time. Just last week, the forecast was for ZERO precipitation. At 10 am, I said to hubby, "we're going to get rain"... he responded that the radar was clear and the forecast said clear and sunny. Three hours later, we got a pop up thunderstorm that dumped a quarter inch of rain.

But lacking weather radar and satellites, we're pretty much restricted to 48 hours out. I love it using the various weather maps and doing our own forecast. But things like hurricanes and major blizzards won't have the days in advance warnings..

Summerthyme
 
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mecoastie

Veteran Member
In considering the future without internet or even AM radio for communication, I think one of the most devastating losses we, as preppers, will have to endure will be lack of weather forecast information. No matter how green our thumbs, even an unanticipated shower can ruin your day of hay harvesting. Enough surprise events and every aspect of our survival will be challenged. I don't like surprises!

Buy quality analog weather equipment and learn how to use it. Barometer, good thermometer and a weather vane can give you a lot of info. Get a good weather book to identify clouds and patterns.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Buy quality analog weather equipment and learn how to use it. Barometer, good thermometer and a weather vane can give you a lot of info. Get a good weather book to identify clouds and patterns.
The first things we set up after the move was the barometer, indoor outdoor min-max thermometer and the rain gauge. It was driving me nuts to be without them.

Summerthyme
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
It rained, and pretty good from what I'm told, here in town around 6am. I took Jr. out to pee around 11:00ish and the ground was bone dry some five hours later. Central Iowa north of Des Moines.
 
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