ECON [FINANCE] 2023 Banking Crisis DEATHBURGER Thread 2023.2.0 will UBS actually eat Credit Suisse before the Open???

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night driver

ESFP adrift in INTJ sea
The REAL question is, what happens if UBS can't EAT CS in one gulp?

The DEATHBURGER GRILLE is warming, there is a metric tonne (2200 pounds of beef) on the sideboard, and I suspect some folks will be bringing their "A" Game for desserts.


Claiming the failure of UBS devouring CS here first.
 
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somewherepress

Has No Life - Lives on TB
View: https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1637568408060297222


Fed Panics; Announces "Coordinated" Daily US Dollar Swap Lines To Ease Banking Crisis​

BY TYLER DURDEN
SUNDAY, MAR 19, 2023 - 04:34 PM
"The market stops panicking when central banks start panicking"
In January 2022, just around the time the Fed was about to launch its most aggressive tightening campaign since Volcker, we warned "remember, every Fed tightening cycle ends in disaster and then, much more Fed easing"




Fast forward to just over a week ago, when the Fed tightening cycle indeed ended in disaster when SIVB became the first (of many) banks to fail, a chain of dominoes that culminated with today's collapse of Credit Suisse - a systematically important bank with $600BN in assets.

And then, at 5pm, the easing officially began, because while a bunch of laughable macrotourists were arguing on FinTwit whether last week's record surge in the Fed's discount window was QE or wasn't QE (answer: it didn't matter, because as we said, it assured what comes next), the Fed finally capitulated, just as we warned over and over and over that it would...




... and at exactly 5pm the Fed announced "coordinated central bank action to enhance the provision of U.S. dollar liquidity" by opening daily Dollar Swap lines with all major central banks, in a carbon copy repeat of the Fed's panicked post-covid crisis policy response playbook.

The Bank of Canada, the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, and the Swiss National Bank are today announcing a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity via the standing U.S. dollar liquidity swap line arrangements.
To improve the swap lines' effectiveness in providing U.S. dollar funding, the central banks currently offering U.S. dollar operations have agreed to increase the frequency of 7-day maturity operations from weekly to daily. These daily operations will commence on Monday, March 20, 2023, and will continue at least through the end of April.
The network of swap lines among these central banks is a set of available standing facilities and serve as an important liquidity backstop to ease strains in global funding markets, thereby helping to mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses.
And once the USD swap lines are reopened, the rest of the cavalry follows: rate cuts, QE (the real stuff, not that Discount Window nonsense), etc, etc. In fact, we have already seen a near record surge in reserve injections:

The Fed may as well formalize it now and at least preserve some confidence in the banking sector, even if it means destroying all confidence left in the "inflation fighting" Fed, with all those whose were in charge handing in their resignation for their catastrophic handling of this bank crisis.

Then again, maybe they should just wait until he Fed hikes its inflation target to 3% or more - something else we predicted...

... because now that we are back in liquidity injection mode, well, say goodbye to hopes of seeing affordable eggs ever again.
 
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somewherepress

Has No Life - Lives on TB
View: https://twitter.com/nationalpost/status/1637567516691005451


Bank of Canada joins Fed and other central banks in new liquidity measures to ease banking turmoil​

The move signals the depth of concern central bankers have over the recent trouble in the financial system
Author of the article:
Reuters

Reuters

Published Mar 19, 2023 • Last updated 5 minutes ago • 1 minute read

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The Bank of Canada has joined with the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Swiss National Bank in a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity through the standing U.S. dollar swap line arrangements.
The Bank of Canada has joined with the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Swiss National Bank in a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity through the standing U.S. dollar swap line arrangements. PHOTO BY REUTERS/CHRIS WATTIE/FILE PHOTO

Article content​

The U.S. Federal Reserve on Sunday said it had joined with the Bank of Canada, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, European Central Bank and Swiss National Bank in a coordinated action to enhance the provision of liquidity through the standing U.S. dollar swap line arrangements.
“To improve the swap lines’ effectiveness in providing U.S. dollar funding, the central banks currently offering U.S. dollar operations have agreed to increase the frequency of seven-day maturity operations from weekly to daily,” the Fed said in a statement issued alongside announcements from the other five central banks.



Operations will commence on Monday and will continue at least through the end of April, the Fed said.



“The network of swap lines among these central banks … serves as an important liquidity backstop to ease strains in global funding markets, thereby helping to mitigate the effects of such strains on the supply of credit to households and businesses,” the Bank of Canada said in a press release on March 19.



© Thomson Reuters 2023
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
This is all a confidence game of course. UBS supported by the Swiss central bank and government isn’t going to assuage the fears that something wicked this way comes. I’ll take bank runs for $500 Alex.
Discount window borrowing IS bank runs. No bank trusts another tonight. No bank will trust another for an indeterminate time into the future.
 

somewherepress

Has No Life - Lives on TB
View: https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1637577970909863938

Gold, Stocks, Bonds, & Bitcoin All Higher After Fed, SNB Panic​

BY TYLER DURDEN
SUNDAY, MAR 19, 2023 - 05:12 PM
The market is not yet convinced by this weekend's actions, but it's getting there as Michael Hartnett notes:
"The market stops panicking when central banks start panicking"
Equity futures are higher, but are fading back...


Treasury futures opened down in price but have ripped back into the green...

Gold is holding on to late Friday's gains...

And Bitcoin has surged back above $28,000...

It sure is a land of confusion for now.
But of course the two biggest things to watch are UBS CDS (which is quoted higher in very quiet early trading)...

And the pain felt when all of Credit Suisse's AT1 bonds are marked to zero...

Brace for more as we expect to see Fed rate-hike expectations collapse even further than they already are...

"I love the smell of central bank capitulation in the morning."
 

Griz3752

Retired, practising Curmudgeon
Wasn't it LAST Monday that Biden claimed everything was fine, the banking system was sound!

Wonder what they'll say this week...
Same frigging song & dance

They've slept since then so, fact-check-head-slaps will be needed to get JB back on track - as much as he can be anyway.

Heard my dear lady, one of the most gentle souls one could hope for, tell her sister the only person in the world she'd like to give a Slam Adjust is the current Oval Office incumbent.
 

AlfaMan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The REAL question is, what happens if UBS can't EAT CS in one gulp?

The DEATHBURGER GRILLE is warming, there is a metric tonne (2200 pounds of beef) on the sideboard, and I suspect some folks will be bringing their "A" Game for deserts.


Claiming the failure of UBS devouring CS here first.

Boy you called that one right! it happened less than 2 hours ago. That bank from some quickie research is over 163 years old. 16th largest bank in the WORLD and one of the cornerstones of the Swiss financial system. Credit Suisse, Nestle, SGS-icons of Swiss industry and finance for generations. And credit Suisse fails. Wow. i'm wondering how many Swiss bankers will be jumping out of high rise apartment windows in Basel tonight.

Every national bank and governmental finance administration in the world right now is quaking in their boots. 2008 was a bump in the road compared to how this current situation could go.
 

Milk-maid

Girls with Guns Member
In 2008 I was young, extremely busy, and not fully awake. I didn't keep up with these things nearly as closely as I do now.

For those who were more awake at that time, did the situation then seem as dire as it does now?

All I remember was that many people didn't know that Wall Street closed early that Friday because of a bank panic beginning. They had emergency meetings in NYC all that weekend and then I blanked out... Same here too. I was busy working and don't remember much after that.
 

rondaben

Veteran Member
In 2008 I was young, extremely busy, and not fully awake. I didn't keep up with these things nearly as closely as I do now.

For those who were more awake at that time, did the situation then seem as dire as it does now?
I think so. That one zerohedge chart:

1679267761985.png

Says it all...up what, 160 basis points? If they were smart they would bail. Of course with the Swiss suspending the stockholders ability to actually VOTE, who knows. My bet is their share price craps the bed at the european open if they haven't rescinded their offer.
 

rondaben

Veteran Member
Boy you called that one right! it happened less than 2 hours ago. That bank from some quickie research is over 163 years old. 16th largest bank in the WORLD and one of the cornerstones of the Swiss financial system. Credit Suisse, Nestle, SGS-icons of Swiss industry and finance for generations. And credit Suisse fails. Wow. i'm wondering how many Swiss bankers will be jumping out of high rise apartment windows in Basel tonight.

Every national bank and governmental finance administration in the world right now is quaking in their boots. 2008 was a bump in the road compared to how this current situation could go.
In good news, its going to be really cheap to visit the Alps this summer.
 

Great Northwet

Veteran Member
In 2008 I was young, extremely busy, and not fully awake. I didn't keep up with these things nearly as closely as I do now.

For those who were more awake at that time, did the situation then seem as dire as it does now?
Essentially what was going on in '08 was a loss of trust between banks doing intraday lending using 30 day commercial paper. What that means was that banks were beginning to refuse loans to each other to meet payroll obligations. You see, they all were supposedly lying about their assets so no one knew if the other one was going to be solvent the next week.

As an example, I knew a guy who owned a CruiseShip line. Not one of the big ones and all of their cruises were between Seattle and Alaska. It got to the point that when they went to the bank to get money for normal bi-weekly payroll the bank refused them so they had to sell stock or dig into personal savings to make payroll for 100 employees. Not knowing how long this situation might last they layed off 75 employees the next week and eventually had to close the company.

So if intraday lending seizes on a national scale then everything stops. The lights will stay on for awhile but cash will truly be king because everyone uses cards now. If you don't hold some cash then you would be stuck like everyone else.
 
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