WAR Mike Yon. Money Quote: "The plant management has created an assembly line of PanFaWar components. We are going to war. Prepare yourself."

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ESFP adrift in INTJ sea
Amateurs talk tactics, professionals talk logistics, historians talk conditions


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Michael Yon myonmail@michaelyon-online.com via gmail.mcsv.net
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Amateurs talk Tactics, Professionals talk Logistics — Historians talk Conditions
Colorado
15 October 2021
Mind-dump, sans-edit

PanFaWar: Pandemic, Famine, War — traveling buddies from Hell.

When one arrives, the other two soon roar in.

They also are recursive and incredibly unpredictable. Recursive in the sense that big pandemic leads to more pandemic. Big war creates spinoff wars through space and time. Echos.
Irish potato famine was about Conditions, not potatoes. Potato shortage was a symptom. Part of that shortage came from pandemic. A blight that destroyed potatoes. But a food shortage is rarely enough to create famine. Study of Famine is essential in study of War.

Pick any famine. Any famine at all. Pick five famines randomly. Use darts. And in your study, you will always find there was plenty of food. Somewhere. Usually not far away. But Logistics often was broken due to war, or Famine was used as a weapon of war. There was plenty of food for the Irish, if the English would have let Americans and others ship the food in. And there were other solutions.

In human history, food shortage has always been local, so far. There has never been a global food shortage, so far. The famines result from Conditions. Logistics breaks down. Next thing you know things get Biblical and in the real sense. Look how many times the Bible mentions cannibalism.

Nothing we are experiencing now is new. Old People warned about it in books for centuries. It’s all happened many times before. This time on grander scale, but the patterns remain. A small circle and a big circle are nearly identical, and in most ways, are. It feels like cheating to read all these old books. Pi was pi then, and now.

Other aspects of the Conditions were English mistreating Irish, which of course feeds into War.
Famines lead to big and small migrations, and more food shortages. Migrations spread and create — or rather unleash — pandemic.

Famines reduce resilience, making home for Pandemic. Pandemic reduces resilience. Making people sick, who work and hunt less. Making them weaker still.

Pandemic and wars also create migrations, and migrations feed the PanFaWar Loop.
Thus it’s good to live far away from big metro areas when logistics collapses. Hungry masses will come to the where the food is. The closer you live to food production, the less you are directly effected by Logistics. And Logistics is in the vast majority of cases a key component of famine.

Examine your logistics vulnerabilities and strengths. Put some thought into your situation.
Learn to store food. To make your own canning. Back to Mason Jars. I got a lot right at the beginning of pandemic. Large amounts of salt, vinegar, etc.

Remember that famine is never forever. You just have to get through the hurricane and get back to work when the winds die down.

In the old days, it was good to live at least two days walk from such places where massive numbers of people may suddenly be hungry. Now, best to be a tank of gas away. (Not that most people can do this).

Remember the signs by towns during the Great Depression? Such as NO JOBS HERE. KEEP ON MOVING.


War is coming. And it’s not about sparks, but Conditions. Logistics are part of the higher-level matrix that is Conditions. Amateurs talk sparks. Professionals talk Conditions.
Production and Logistics are high-level aspects of Conditions.

And as Al Johnson Senior tells me from time to time, “Organizational structure dictates outcome.” Retired Army Colonel. This is one of those things that first time you hear it, truth of the statement flashes. Basically, we get the product of the assembly line we create.

The plant management has created an assembly line of PanFaWar components.

We are going to war. Prepare yourself.

https://www.michaelyon-online.com/donations-new.htm
https://www.michaelyon-online.com/donations-new.htm
 
Last edited:
PghPanther

PghPanther

Has No Life - Lives on TB
So if there is either a pandemic, famine or war........human history is showing that any one of them will often lead to the other two happening?

I Kind of want to throw out an old investment caveat to that claim and hope its true...

"Past performance is not indicative of future results"
 
D

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
A 2008 book-
===========

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Wealth, War and Wisdom

An intriguing look at how past market wisdom can help y…
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Wealth, War, and Wisdom
by Barton Biggs
3.90 · Rating details · 237 ratings · 31 reviews
An intriguing look at how past market wisdom can help you survive and thrive during uncertain times

In Wealth, War & Wisdom, legendary Wall Street investor Barton Biggs reveals how the turning points of World War II intersected with market performance, and shows how these lessons can help the twenty-first-century investor comprehend our own perilous times as well as choose the best strategies for the modern market economy.

Through these pages, Biggs skillfully discusses the performance of equities in both victorious and defeated countries, examines how individuals preserved their wealth despite the ongoing battles, and explores whether or not public equities were able to increase in value and serve as a wealth preserver. Biggs also looks at how other assets, including real estate and gold, fared during this dynamic and devastating period, and offers valuable insights on preserving one's wealth for future generations. With clear, concise prose, Biggs


Reveals how the investment insights of truly trying times can be profitably applied to modern day investment endeavors Follows the performance of global markets against the backdrop of World War II Offers many relevant lessons-about life, politics, financial markets, wealth, and survival-that can help you thrive in the face of adversity Wealth, War & Wisdom contains essential insights that will help you navigate modern financial markets during the uncertain times that will increasingly define this new century.
 
MinnesotaSmith

MinnesotaSmith

Membership Revoked
PghPanther said:
So if there is either a pandemic, famine or war........human history is showing that any one of them will often lead to the other two happening?

I Kind of want to throw out an old investment caveat to that claim and hope its true...

"Past performance is not indicative of future results"
Click to expand...
Correct. One of the top studies showing that would IMO be P.A. Sorokin's 1942 book Man and Society in Calamity.

Here is where you can download it for free (have to register, sorry):

Man And Society In Calamity

Read online and download Man And Society In Calamity in PDF, TXT, ePub, PDB, RTF, FB2 format
pdfgoal.com
 
Grumphau

Grumphau

Veteran Member
I agree, war is coming. The writing is one the wall. Look at all the pieces moving in the Pacific: Japanese ships being refitted to accept F35s, Aussies getting Nuke Subs, China practicing amphibious landings, US troops in Taiwan, (robotic gun dogs??)

Depending on how everything shakes out, I would point to the weeks following the expiration of the DoDs deadline for service member vaccinations. If they are kicking out large amounts of personnel and there is a reorganization in the works (purge), China may take advantage of our disorganization and make a grab. Look for another pandemic reaching our shores, large scale cyber attacks or large, sudden political scandals as warning signs.
 
The Snack Artist

The Snack Artist

Membership Revoked
Grumphau said:
I agree, war is coming. The writing is one the wall. Look at all the pieces moving in the Pacific: Japanese ships being refitted to accept F35s, Aussies getting Nuke Subs, China practicing amphibious landings, US troops in Taiwan, (robotic gun dogs??)

Depending on how everything shakes out, I would point to the weeks following the expiration of the DoDs deadline for service member vaccinations. If they are kicking out large amounts of personnel and there is a reorganization in the works (purge), China may take advantage of our disorganization and make a grab. Look for another pandemic reaching our shores, large scale cyber attacks or large, sudden political scandals as warning signs.
Click to expand...
Jyna is in charge of the purge.
 
blackguard

blackguard

Veteran Member
I've tended to look at life through the prism of logistics for a very long time. What is going on now should scare the dicken's out of anyone paying attention. Not to say panic but concern for sure. Container sizes are shrinking, prices are going up so our buying power is being steadily reduced. Good article
 
Hfcomms

Hfcomms

EN66iq
blackguard said:
I've tended to look at life through the prism of logistics for a very long time. What is going on now should scare the dicken's out of anyone paying attention. Not to say panic but concern for sure. Container sizes are shrinking, prices are going up so our buying power is being steadily reduced. Good article
Click to expand...

Amateurs talk tactics and professionals talk logistics. We are fooked and everything is about to become extremely local in nature. As much as I’ve prepped it’s still not enough and your greatest threat isn’t going to be the chicoms, jack booted fed thugs or local bureaucrats but hungry and increasingly desperate locals. One needs to be a grey man, not appear outwardly to be better off than anyone else and live in as low of a population density as possible.
 
blackguard

blackguard

Veteran Member
Hfcomms said:
Amateurs talk tactics and professionals talk logistics. We are fooked and everything is about to become extremely local in nature. As much as I’ve prepped it’s still not enough and your greatest threat isn’t going to be the chicoms, jack booted fed thugs or local bureaucrats but hungry and increasingly desperate locals. One needs to be a grey man, not appear outwardly to be better off than anyone else and live in as low of a population density as possible.
Click to expand...
Spot on assessment !!! Absolutely agree. Been saying for years that when things go downhill it's not the criminals that will be my largest concern. It will be my neighbors, there has always been and will always be crime but once it goes to heck in a handbasket the sheer number of regular people who become desperate will be staggering. Stay safe all!
 
O

Oreally

Right from the start
CaryC

CaryC

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Just food for thought:

It can also work the other way around. War, famine, pestilence.

That's the way it worked during the period 1860-1875 in the south. Not starting an argument just making a notation.

That may be the prevailing method for the losing side.
 
db cooper

db cooper

Resident Secret Squirrel
Grumphau said:
If they are kicking out large amounts of personnel and there is a reorganization in the works (purge), China may take advantage of our disorganization and make a grab.
Click to expand...
The saddest part of your comment is that it is likely true and correct as stated. Almost like the purge is purposely timed with all other events.
 
Squib

Squib

Veteran Member
None of this would be happening if this country - as a whole! - didn’t bring it on us.

For last generation or 3, the decadent, perverse, child sacrifice cult of America’s elite and Hollywood left have provoked the Almighty.

Were not going to continue to be blessed for ever with such an element of rot at the core of society.

Think about it: Would you prosper a people who

-allowed Biden/Harris to steal the election and there was no uprising?
-tolerated Hollywood, Washington D.C., Communist education in public education w/o rebellion?
-sexual perversion that would rival that of Sodom & Gomorrah sans a violent purge?

The country and it’s culture needs a giant enema…or else we’ll die.

For those who are believers - pray, repent, prepare, and never give up.
 
Vegas321

Vegas321

Live free and survive
Grumphau said:
I agree, war is coming. The writing is one the wall. Look at all the pieces moving in the Pacific: Japanese ships being refitted to accept F35s, Aussies getting Nuke Subs, China practicing amphibious landings, US troops in Taiwan, (robotic gun dogs??)

Depending on how everything shakes out, I would point to the weeks following the expiration of the DoDs deadline for service member vaccinations. If they are kicking out large amounts of personnel and there is a reorganization in the works (purge), China may take advantage of our disorganization and make a grab. Look for another pandemic reaching our shores, large scale cyber attacks or large, sudden political scandals as warning signs.
Click to expand...

Navy's around the World are building warships and new weapons systems at a much faster rate Everyone sees it coming.
 
D

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
Oh, we see it coming all right. It's just that we are the designated loser this time.

ETA - it's like the old poker game joke - if you sit down at the table and can't spot the sucker - it's you.
 
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T

TFergeson

Non Solum Simul Stare
TheSearcher said:
Any speculation why the different dates?
Click to expand...
Its because it takes the reserve longer to implement stuff, its just the way their bureaucracy operates. They have to bring their people on orders to do anything military related, so their is much more logistically involved in giving them the vax.
 
TheSearcher

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
TFergeson said:
Its because it takes the reserve longer to implement stuff, its just the way their bureaucracy operates. They have to bring their people on orders to do anything military related, so their is much more logistically involved in giving them the vax.
Click to expand...
Thank you!
 
M

mikeabn

Finally not a lurker!
TFergeson said:
Its because it takes the reserve longer to implement stuff, its just the way their bureaucracy operates. They have to bring their people on orders to do anything military related, so their is much more logistically involved in giving them the vax.
Click to expand...
Not exactly, it is more a matter of updating individual shot records. They can go to a civ provider. They do not have to be on orders.
 
artichoke

artichoke

Greetings from near tropical NYC!
Squib said:
None of this would be happening if this country - as a whole! - didn’t bring it on us.

For last generation or 3, the decadent, perverse, child sacrifice cult of America’s elite and Hollywood left have provoked the Almighty.

Were not going to continue to be blessed for ever with such an element of rot at the core of society.

Think about it: Would you prosper a people who

-allowed Biden/Harris to steal the election and there was no uprising?
-tolerated Hollywood, Washington D.C., Communist education in public education w/o rebellion?
-sexual perversion that would rival that of Sodom & Gomorrah sans a violent purge?

The country and it’s culture needs a giant enema…or else we’ll die.

For those who are believers - pray, repent, prepare, and never give up.
Click to expand...
I think the comparison to Sodom and Gomorrah is interesting, but with the opposite result. They had massive sexual perversion and so do we. But they were also just shitty people. Their laws required people to be unkind to strangers, etc. Abraham was told that less than 10% were salvageable.

This is not the situation we have in the USA. There are lots of jerks but lots of very genuine people too. If S&G were up to current USA standards, Abraham would have been able to argue a deal for their survival.

The enema from within is gradual and piecemeal. Remember all the BLM nonsense and shaming of men from just a few years ago? That's pretty much gone and it won't necessarily return on the other side of Covid.

As for election theft, it's a weird scenario. Even left-wing sources mentioned a landslide in 2022 "too big for anyone to deny." The language means to me that cheats will be in place, but like the 2016 presidential election, the scope of their ability to cheat is not infinite, and we can win back seats in Congress if we get a large enough majority of votes. The bizarre thing is that even though a majority of the people know they're cheating, it's become the system now and just happens in every election, all or nearly all the cheating in one direction.
 
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