Israel likely to attack Iran sooner than later...

I think I've deduced what Israel is up to regarding a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Essentially, Russia is forcing Israel to attack sooner than later because of a pending, and maybe imminent, delivery of the Russian SA-20 air defense system to Iran. Indeed, this is mentioned in the NY Times article regarding the recent Israeli exercise with Greece:

Iran is also taking steps to better defend its nuclear facilities. Two sets of advance Russian-made radar systems were recently delivered to Iran. The radar will enhance Iran’s ability to detect planes flying at low altitude.

Mike McConnell, the director of national intelligence, said in February that Iran was close to acquiring Russian-produced SA-20 surface-to-air missiles. American military officials said that the deployment of such systems would hamper Israel’s attack planning, putting pressure on Israel to act before the missiles are fielded.

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/20/washington/20iran.html?_r=1&pagewanted=all&oref=slogin

On this issue, the following Jerusalem Post article is of ciritical relevance:

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1212659749299&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull

Note this:

The concern in the defense establishment is based on talks Iran has been holding with Russia in recent years to purchase S-300 air defense missile systems. Israel believes that while Iran has not yet obtained the system, Iranian soldiers are already studying and training with it in Russia. Israel has been working diplomatically to prevent the sale and delivery of the systems.

The S-300 is one of the best multi-target anti-aircraft missile systems in the world today and has a reported ability to track up to 100 targets simultaneously while engaging up to 12 at the same time.

As for the giant air exercise purportedly as a dress rehearsal for a strike on Iran, this was most likely part of Israel's strategic deception of Iran and had nothing to do with a warning to other powers to get Iran to stop its nuke program or else:

While the recent exercise clearly served training (and diplomatic) purposes, we’d say it meet other needs as well. Given the mechanics of an actual raid against Iran, we believe the package would be significantly smaller, and incorporate deceptive elements not seen earlier this month. That’s why the early June drill may also support a disinformation campaign, aimed at confusing Tehran (and western intelligence) over the size, composition and tactics of a potential strike formation.

Here’s a historical fact: virtually every major IAF operation has been preceded by a carefully planned and executed deception effort. That’s why it would be a mistake for Tehran, the Europeans and the U.S. to accept this month’s exercise as the template for an actual strike. If past performance is any indicator, the Israelis still have a few tricks up their sleeve.

http://formerspook.blogspot.com/

My read of it all is that Israel had determined a long time ago that striking Iran's nuke operation was necessary and inevitable. They are simply pursuing the objective according to a plan and I'm afraid that plan is nearly completion. Israel's massive civil defense exercise in April was one of the final prepatory moves:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0dPOkx5KyGc

Recent Israeli statements of the need to strike Iran along with the recent large-scale air strike exercise with Greece suggest action will occur much sooner than later since these developments will pressure Iran to get Russia's SA-20 air defense system in place and/or fully prepare for war:

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1212659749299&pagename=JPost/JPArticle/ShowFull

I believe that Israel would not be making these moves unless an air-strike were imminent.

This, BTW, explains why the DJIA just broke below key support at the psychologically important 12,000 mark IMHO:

http://www.spiritoftruth.org/stockmarketcrash.htm

A worldwide panic of historic magnitude may be very near.

An important point to keep in mind here is how Russia has been fundamentally behind all the developments leading to this war including the development of Iran's nuclear program and the delivery of the air defense systems capable of repulsing an Israeli strike:

http://www.spiritoftruth.org/iraniannuclearbomb.htm

Please bear in mind if an all-out war in the Middle East does soon erupt, which an Israeli strike on Iran would pretty much guarantee, then this means the beginning of WW3 and the Biblical Apocalypse in my book. As I've highlighted in this forum and elsewhere for many years, I had a supernatural vision of a special report of a chemical SCUD missile attack on Israel that will mark the beginning of Armageddon:

http://www.spiritoftruth.org/truth.htm
 

Fleataxi

Inactive
SOT: This has already been discussed, and determined the Russia Radar systems aren't up to snuff, and can be defeated by technology WE sold Israel a couple of years ago.

If the radar can't lock on the missiles are impotent.

Fleataxi
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
Essentially, this is a universal mobile multichannel air defense system. It is intended to ensure highly efficient protection of major government and defense facilities from mass strikes of modern and future aircraft, strategic cruise missiles, tactical and theater ballistic missiles and other airborne weapons. It functions within the full range of altitudes and speeds of targets' combat employment, including in heavy electronic countermeasures environments.

The Favorit system comprises the 83M6E2 command post and up to six S-300PMU2 air defense missile systems. The command post consists of the 54K6E2 battle management center and the 64N6E2 acquisition radar. Each air defense missile system includes the 30N6E2 multifunctional illumination and guidance radar and up to 12 5P85SE (5P85TE) launchers. The S-300PMU2 system may also accommodate the 96L6E radar.

The 54K6E2 battle management center collects and analyzes aerial situation data from various sources, exercises fire control, receives commands and information on air targets from the air defense zone command post, prioritizes threats, distributes targets among air defense missile complexes and designates the targets to be destroyed. The battle management center can control any combination of S-300PMU2, S-300PMU1, S-300PMU and S-200VE air defense missile systems.

The fully-automatic 64N6E2 acquisition radar provides the command post with data on aerial targets within a range of 300 kilometers.
 

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Fleataxi

Inactive
RB: Nice C&P from the promo materials.

Russian equipment is ALWAYS the "Latest and Greatest" even if it's two generations behind US Technology.

Our Open Source materials are usually listing old obsolete systems, so the new system's true capability is never known until it's too late. Basically if recent history is any indicator, the Iranians are about to get their butts spanked hard by the Israelis!

Fleataxi
 

SarahLynn

Veteran Member
Didn't Israel's little "walk through the park" across Syria last September prove the worth of Russian hi-tech warning systems? Probably the reason the media was so silent on that is due to sheer embarassment on the part of the cheerleading left.
 

changed

Preferred pronouns: dude/bro
Whatever the status of the equipment, if and when the attack happens, expect the world to change as we know it. Gog and Magog war? Maybe?:popcorn1:

Think about what might happen if Israel strikes when Russia has scientists and military personnel at one of the Iran nuke sites.
 

denfoote

Inactive
It's about time!!

Israel was ordered by God to wipe out the Amalekites thousands of years ago!!
They "F"ed up and it's about time they did God's work!!
 

skip8

Inactive
SOT: This has already been discussed, and determined the Russia Radar systems aren't up to snuff, and can be defeated by technology WE sold Israel a couple of years ago.

If the radar can't lock on the missiles are impotent.

Fleataxi

Israel was unimpeded by the Russian Radar Systems when the IAF destroyed the Syrian Nuke facility.

Wasn't Syria using state-of-the-art Russian systems?

:shkr:
 

Fleataxi

Inactive
Skip: Exactly - probably the same units they're selling to Iran.

With the right software, you can turn a very expensive radar net into a pile of useless electronics.

Guess we sold Israel the right anti-radar software? :D

We've warned Iran for years to knock it off, and now it looks like Israel is going to do the job for us!

Fleataxi
 

RobinYyes

Inactive
Thank you SOT for the post. We 'might' have until August 1, but I don't see Israel holding back any longer than that.
:whistle:
 
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