Going into 'survival mode'

Maher

Inactive
Going into 'survival mode'
As economy slides, New Englanders hunker down, channel inner Yankee
By Don Aucoin, Globe Staff | March 25, 2008

<img src="http://cache.boston.com/bonzai-fba/Third_Party_Graphic/2008/03/25/1206433932_7057.gif" align=left hspace="15" vspace="5" border="1">When a recession hit in the 1970s, Kathleen Carter barely noticed it. She was young, single, working as a bar manager in a restaurant, and on the verge of buying a home. Economic gloom registered only as a distant echo.

Now she is 55, and the current slowdown is impossible to ignore. Its effects bear down on her every day. She has had to put every household expense under a microscope, and she is cutting back wherever she can.

"I've gone into survival mode," said Carter, a married mother of two who works part-time as a singer and lives in Kennebunk, Maine. "I'm asking: How much do we need, really need?"

It is a question that is echoing across New England, where economic anxieties are prompting many residents to pinch pennies and streamline their lifestyles in a kind of behavioral downsizing.

They bring their own lunch to work. They forsake dining out in restaurants and take part in neighborhood potluck dinners instead. They hang bed sheets and towels on racks to dry rather than popping them into the dryer. They repair torn clothing rather than replace it. They purchase food in bulk at the less expensive grocery stores. They buy books or CDs secondhand, or get them free from the library. They reduce their cable TV package from premium to basic. They cut back on gift-giving. They hold on to that old rattletrap of a car rather than buy a new one, or they give up driving altogether in favor of public transportation.

Some are embracing this new austerity in the spirit of that archetypal New Englander Henry David Thoreau, who enjoined his countrymen: "Simplify, simplify." For others, though, these quality-of-life trade-offs stem from a fear that they are one setback away from financial disaster. They are in no mood to split hairs about whether the slump meets the technical definition of a recession. It looks and feels like a recession to them.

In this, they reflect a national trend. The consumer confidence index is at its lowest level in five years. A recent USA Today-Gallup poll found a heightened sense of vulnerability even among those not in financial crisis themselves, with 42 percent of respondents rating economic conditions as poor and 55 percent saying that "someone close to them" had lost a job, filed for bankruptcy, faced foreclosure, or been turned down for credit in the preceding three months. That widespread feeling of vulnerability emerged in more than a dozen interviews and responses to an online query by the Globe.

Hilda Marshall, 46, of Somerville said she has had to take on more hours at her second job because her custom-jewelry business is slumping. "Sales are in the toilet because no one is spending any money," she declared. Meanwhile, Marshall says she seldom buys milk or eggs, because of their soaring prices, and has begun to make, rather than buy, bread. Jeanine, 39, who lives north of Boston and requested that her last name not be used, said she, too, is working two jobs and has largely stopped entertaining because of high food costs, adding: "Now, I simply eat to live and buy as I need."

To some, that doesn't sound like a bad idea, even in prosperous times.

"We have reached the stage where we have too much, so it's good for us in many ways to think about: 'Do I really need these sneakers? Do I really need a flat-screen TV?' " said Margaret Isham, 52, an artist and writer in Providence. "We all wanted so much: the best champagne and designer clothes and the latest computers. I'm guilty of it, too."

So Isham sold the kayak used only twice a year. She began to take friends up on their offers to stay with them when she traveled, rather than get a room in a hotel. She walks to the supermarket rather than drives, and says she has only used her car once in the past three weeks. She used to throw parties where she would buy all the food and drink; now she takes part in potluck dinners with neighbors and friends. "The honest truth is, this is a time when we come together in our communities, when you're tightening everything up," said Isham.

Necessity being the mother of invention, some have found ingenious ways to save money. For instance, Carter, an amateur gardener, didn't want to spend $100 or more for plant stands. So she bought a pair of used radiator covers for $5 apiece, and they did the job just fine.

Carter and her family moved from Massachusetts to Maine four years ago, but she has not been able to find a full-time job near Kennebunk. So a couple of times a week, she drives to Massachusetts to sing at church services, including weddings and funerals. Her husband also has to commute to his job in the Bay State, which means they have to shell out a total of $600 a month for gasoline.

After a semester at the University of Vermont, their older daughter transferred to the University of Maine, enabling the family to save money via in-state tuition rates. Even before college costs were added to the equation, the family was in debt, with the balance on their credit cards "out of hand," Carter admitted, because they had to use them for basic purchases. "When it comes right down to the bone of the matter, we're hurting," said Carter. "I say, 'Any day now, I'm going to find a job.' Well, I've been saying that for two years."

A music lover, she has given up attending Boston Symphony Orchestra concerts and now listens to ensembles that play for free. A Red Sox fan who was a regular at Fenway Park, she plans to stay home this summer and instead go to Hadlock Field, home of the Portland Sea Dogs, a minor-league team. "Nine dollars for a seat, and not even two bucks for a hot dog," she said. "I can splurge and get two."

Even people who have prided themselves on their spending discipline, like Ken and Stephanie Gosselin of Westford, are having to make tough choices.

"Here's the room we never finished," Stephanie Gosselin said as she led the way into her living room on a recent weeknight, before adding wryly: "We decided to pay oil bills instead."

It is a graciously appointed room, but its windows are bare, with no curtains. Gosselin, 47, and her 48-year-old husband have good jobs in relatively safe professions. She works in instructional technology at Westford Academy, and he is the academic administrator in the neurology department of UMass Memorial Health Care in Worcester.

But Ken Gosselin commutes 60 miles a day to and from his job, which really adds up when gas costs more than $3 a gallon, even though he sold his Lexus and now drives a Honda Civic. And their heating bills now exceed $2,500 a year, even though the house is well-insulated.

It helps that the Gosselins have long hewed to strict spending limits. They have gone out to dinner only once in the past six months. (They are not alone: The March edition of MarketBrief, which publishes consumer research for the restaurant industry, reported that customers are cutting back on visits to fast-food and full-service restaurants alike). The Gosselins have bare-bones cable TV, Internet, and phone packages. They upped the deductible on their auto insurance, reducing the premiums. They buy electricity from a wholesaler. Ken Gosselin summed up his attitude as: "Keep the money in your pocket. Be a good Yankee. Defer your gratifications. Get that Beemer after you retire."

But for those who switched from lucrative careers to more personally fulfilling ones, such as Scott Williams of Boston, it is not luxuries but the soaring cost of day-to-day necessities like food, heat, and gasoline that are jolting.

"It's nothing now to go to the store and spend $100 on basic groceries," said Williams, 40, who a few years ago left high tech, where his annual salary and bonuses came to $85,000, to become a teacher in Amesbury, which pays him in the mid-$50,000s. So when he needed to replace his car, he bought a used Volkwagen with 15,000 miles on it rather than a brand-new car. He also ran smack-dab into the real-estate slump when it took him nearly a year to sell his three-bedroom condo in Newburyport, and even then he had to settle for much less than his asking price. He now lives in a one-bedroom, 500-square-foot condo in Charlestown.

All in all, Williams has little patience with arcane debates about which benchmarks add up to a bona fide recession. "Highly paid government officials and experts in economics will paint a rosier picture than it really is," he said. "On Main Street, I think it's tougher. If a fourth-grade teacher can feel it, I don't know why the economists can't."

Don Aucoin can be reached at aucoin@globe.com

© Copyright 2008 The New York Times Company

http://www.boston.com/business/personalfinance/articles/2008/03/25/going_into_survival_mode/
 

45nut

Inactive
All in all, Williams has little patience with arcane debates about which benchmarks add up to a bona fide recession. "Highly paid government officials and experts in economics will paint a rosier picture than it really is," he said. "On Main Street, I think it's tougher. If a fourth-grade teacher can feel it, I don't know why the economists can't."

Well Duh, they are paid to gloss over how rough it is out here in meatworld.
 

Tristan

TB Fanatic
I think it's but a shadow of what may come.

We need to start building things to LAST. Oh wait, we don't build things here anymore...
 

Ben Sunday

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Very good article. It seems that some folks are, at last, waking up to the fact that the time of national gluttony is coming to an end.

I recall the winter of 1988-89, when my winter oil bill was $300 for the season. This year, it is hovering near $2,000, and winter seems to have more to go, even if the calendar says otherwise.

I have not bought a new car since 1978, relying instead on high mileage clunkers that last a year or two. The most I have paid for a vehicle since 1990 is $900, most, in fact, far less. My laptop computer is 13 years old. My grocery bill averages $16 a week, or less.

It can be done. Acceptance of the reality is a huge component.

Living with sharply diminished expectations is easy for me. The yuppies and those who crave restaurant food, the very latest entertainment, and the instant gratification of recent years, are going to find it really tough to cope in the times to come.
 

Tristan

TB Fanatic
The reality is if latte sippin', high-end resturant goin', Beemer drivin' yuppies have to cut back, they can. They have lots of 'slack' in their habits which can be modified to achieve a balance in costs/income.

Personally, I cannot muster much sympathy for those of high income that have even higher expenses, who wallow in debt, and want to whimper when the gravy train runs off the tracks. They should have paid attention to the old fable about the ant and the grasshopper.

The ones that will hurt the most are those that have already done the cutting and have no room in their budgets left to cut.

It's too bad we've allowed ourselves to develop into a 'consumer' society, as when the consumers quit consuming the effect on the economy is amplified.

- Tristan
 

Bubba Zanetti

Inactive
Yuppies? That's so '1980s'.

from wiki:

The word bobo, Brooks's most famous coinage, is a portmanteau of the words bourgeois and bohemian. The term is used by Brooks to describe the 1990s' descendants of the yuppies. Often of the corporate upper class, they rarely oppose mainstream society, claim highly tolerant views of others, buy lots of expensive and exotic items, and believe American society to be meritocratic.

Bobo is often used in place of the word yuppie, which has usually negative connotations. In fact, even Brooks uses yuppie in a negative sense throughout his book.

Brooks's thesis in Bobos in Paradise was that this "new upper class" represented a marriage between the liberal idealism of the 1960s and the self-interest of the Reagan era. Critics of Brooks's thesis argue that he did not provide an argument for why this elite was specifically "new," and that the bobo trend merely represents changing tastes and preferences of a pre-existing upper class (not a product of social mobility).

Bobos are noted for avoiding indulging in high acts of conspicuous consumption in favor of spending the greatest amount possible on the "necessities". Brooks argues that they feel guilty consuming in the way typical of the so-called "greed era" of the 1980s so they prefer to spend extravagantly on kitchens, showers, and other common facilities of everyday life. They "feel" for the labor and working class but may refuse to buy American made goods. The term "bobo chic" was applied to a style of fashion, similar to "boho chic", that became popular in uptown New York in 2004-5.

Bobos often relate to money as means rather than end; they do not disdain money but use it to achieve their ends rather than considering wealth as an achievable end in itself.

The New York Times has written about the changing tastes of bobos: "'Made in the U.S.A.' used to be a label flaunted primarily by consumers in the Rust Belt and rural regions. Increasingly, it is a status symbol for cosmopolitan bobos, and it is being exploited by the marketers who cater to them."[1]
 

Nuthatch

Inactive
Everything costs more....of course. Just ordered 25 baby chicks for $66 (including shipping). Could have saved $10 by getting a commercial breed, but got the ones I wanted and will try to sell 10 of them for $9-10 each (females) and therefore pay for mine.
 

shane

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Also, right now, preppers need to unload anything and everything they own that is not essential or does not either make them $ or save them $, while they can still get a good price for it before everybody begins to dump them.

A few toys I'd reluctantly released, I consoled myself with remembering that I'll be able to buy back bigger, better, later, and so much more cheaper, if I still even want to then.

Most all fellow Americans will be forced to try and liquidate most everything, too, eventually, but when they do, it'll be in a mass panic and far past any hope of ever getting anywhere near a fair price then, as everybody else will also be dumping everything at the same time, too. They will all be desperately trying to scrape together enough funds to cover their next insurance, tax, or mortgage payment to keep a roof over their heads.

This will be the coming shocking cover photo's of our national magazines and TV exposes, one of row upon row of suburban houses with tons of stuff (second cars, boats, jet-ski's, 4-wheelers, big screen TV's, exercise equip, etc.) piled up out front all with for-sale signs, though with nothing much at all selling; "The Great American Garage Sale!" they'll all sadly document and proclaim.

Bottom Line: Sell now everything that does not sustain life or save money or make money, and do it while you can still get a fair price for it. And, with that money, then pay down debt and/or buy what preps truly will sustain your family or save/make you money during the 'coming to a town near you' national economic/financial/monetary crisis.

Panic Early, Beat The Rush!

- Shane
 
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almost ready

Inactive
Boy oh boy

That's the easy stuff. Hope they/we never get to the really hard stuff.

Hear that California houses are selling at 45-50% discount. By my back of the napkin reckoning (bought & sold 3 houses there at one time), this should put them squarely back on a proper inflation-adjusted trend line.

Sincerely doubt this will hold. In busts of bubbles, the end is below fair value, whether stock market busts or RE.

We'll see.
 
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