9/23-29 | Weekly Bird Flu Thread:Michael Osterholm details dangers of avian flu

JPD

Inactive
Dr. Michael Osterholm

Speaker details dangers of avian flu

'We will see bodies pile up,' physician cautions​

http://www.venturacountystar.com/vcs/county_news/article/0,1375,VCS_226_5013019,00.html

Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota and associate director of the Department of Homeland Security's National Center for Food Protection and Defense, said a potentially deadly bird flu pandemic is coming.

He doesn't know when or where it will land in the United States, but, he said, a serious effort should be mounted "right now" by federal, state and local agencies to prepare for it.

"If the pandemic is caused by H5N1, the avian influenza virus strain currently circulating in Asia, it could kill as many as 1.9 million Americans and infect 30 to 60 percent of the population," he said, adding that H5N1 is the most powerful influenza virus detected in modern history.

Osterholm told the approximately 150 people at Wednesday's dinner meeting in Westlake Village that H5N1 has many similarities to the H1N1 virus.

That virus killed an estimated 50 million people worldwide in 1918-19, the National Institutes of Health says on its Web site. A report on a Stanford University Web site says about 675,000 of them were Americans.

Currently, H5N1 can be passed from bird to animal to human, and the virus could evolve to a stage where it could be passed from human to human, Osterholm said.

According to the World Health Organization, bird flu has infected 247 people since 2003 and killed at least 144 of them. United Nations and Nigerian health officials suspect Nigeria may be the first country in Africa to have bird flu casualties. A search is being conducted in areas where it is known that chickens live with families.

For people who doubt the looming danger, Osterholm said, "I wouldn't bet my family's life that it's not going to happen."

Currently, there is no bird flu vaccine, he said.

"We're still using 1950s vaccine," he said. "Over the decades there has been only one major modification to it. And H5N1 vaccine research results generally have been disappointing.

"We may be years away from a modern influenza vaccine with enough production capacity for the world."

When the pandemic hits, what will it be like?

"Imagine a 12-to-18-month global blizzard," he said.

Osterholm said areas to be concerned about include worker and patient protection (from the virus), and medical devices and staffing.

Even the dead will be contagious.

"Corpse management, the handling of the dead and how we grieve, will be very important," he said.

"We will see bodies pile up right here in Ventura County. You've got to start planning, locally, now."

Individuals and families should stockpile a six- to 12-week supply of food and water in their homes, he said. Business and education areas must prepare to protect employees and students.

Planning should cover quarantine, border closings, social distancing (such as working from home instead of the office), infection control and respiratory protection, Osterholm said.

Also, the pharmaceutical industry should be encouraged to increase its medication inventory in pharmacies and other outlets.

Otherwise, monthly prescriptions will not be filled.

"There are many areas to be considered," he said.

Before Osterholm's talk, Ventura County Sheriff Bob Brooks and Ventura County Health Officer Dr. Robert Levin addressed the pandemic issue.

Brooks said his department is working with public health in planning for pandemic influenza, a smallpox outbreak, a chemical attack and a nuclear attack.

The department also participates in the Public Health Bio Medical Advisory Council and in mass evacuation planning.

It is also dealing with issues of providing security at vaccination sites; responding to public disorders because of a breakdown in the distribution of food or other critical shortage. Also, plans are being made on how to provide public services despite losing 30 percent to 40 percent of personnel to the flu virus.

Levin said a critical part of his department's planning is to tell the public things may collapse around them.

"That is where they come in," he said. "The antidote for closed grocery stores is a full pantry of dry and canned goods at home. The treatment for a power shortage is flashlights and radios that crank up or run on batteries."

Levin recommended going to an American Red Cross Web site that has information on preparing for a disaster, which is at http://www.prepare.org/.
 

JPD

Inactive
Bird flu 'may strike' in winter

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/china/2006-09/23/content_695303.htm

By Zhang Feng (China Daily)
Updated: 2006-09-23 09:04

Top influenza scientists warned on Friday of the big possibility of a major bird flu outbreak in China this winter or next spring.

Such an outbreak, which would hit poultry and human beings, would probably take place as common flu cases reach their peak, said Zeng Guang, chief epidemiology scientist at China's Centre for Disease Control and Prevention.

Zeng said that the three major bird flu outbreaks over the past three years had all taken place during the winter or spring.

Great attention must be paid to the possible occurrence of common flu and bird flu peaks at the same time, Zeng told a forum jointly held by Sanofi Pasteur and the Chinese Preventive Medicine Association in Beijing.

It remains difficult to determine how the H5N1 virus will develop, said Zeng, but he noted there was a possibility it may form a hybrid with other flu viruses.

Possible crossbreeding may result in a new form of virus which could be transmitted between humans, he noted.

Currently, all human cases of bird flu have been infected by sick birds. There is no evidence to suggest that the virus can be passed from person to person, according to World Health Organization (WHO).

WHO experts have repeatedly warned there is a major risk that the bird flu virus may be transmitted between humans, which would result in a global pandemic.

Zeng said that the three flu pandemics over the past century were all caused by a hybrid virus.

Flu pandemics generally take place three or four times per century.

The last major pandemic took place in 1918-1919 and killed an estimated 40-50 million people across the globe.

Flu viruses can be divided into three groups A, B and C. Only A, which infects many animal species such as birds and swine, and B, which only affects humans, can cause severe disease and lead to epidemics.

Bird flu is an infectious disease caused by A viruses.

Highly pathogenic bird flu, such as that caused by the H5N1 strain currently circulating in Asia and other parts of the world, is characterized by its sudden onset, severe illness, and generally quick death.

The H5N1 strain is of particular concern because it mutates rapidly and can acquire genes from viruses infecting other animal species. This highly pathogenic strain is now known to cause severe disease and death in humans.

As the disease increases among birds and humans, the likelihood also increases that a human concurrently infected with human and bird flu strains will serve as the "mixing vessel" for a new influenza subtype that can be transmitted easily from person to person, thus sparking a flu pandemic, according to the WHO.

At present, there remains one prerequisite for the start of a pandemic that the current H5N1 virus has yet to meet sustained and efficient transmission among humans.

Currently, about 250,000 to 300,000 people die across the globe every year as a result of complications caused by various types of influenza, he said.

In this regard, it is vital to prevent common influenza in the war against a possible bird flu epidemic or pandemic, he added.

In China, around 130 million people are infected with influenza every year.

From November 2003 to September 14 this year, a total of 246 people had been infected by H5N1 in 10 countries, resulting in 144 fatalities. A total of 21 people in China have been infected by the virus, with 14 losing their lives.

Evidence to date indicates that close contact with sick or dead birds, such as slaughtering or de-feathering, is the principal source of infection.

Worldwide, about a dozen companies are currently conducting clinical trials on bird flu vaccines.

As scientists still do not know enough about the virus, public education is an important way to prevent a bird flu outbreak, said Zhang Bin, an official from the Ministry of Health.
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Another Fatal H5N1 Bird Flu Case in Tulungagung Indonesia
Recombinomics Commentary
September 22, 2006

The child was 11 years old blew out the breath the last time around struck 22.45 WIB. That is when being treated intensively in the room of the isolation in RSUD Tulungagung Orchid space.

The casualty arrived in the Serious Installation the Emergency (IRD) RSUD Dr Iskak Tulungagung on Monday struck 19.00. When being brought to the hospital, his condition was very critical. The temperature of his body was very high, achieved 39 levels celcius. The casualty also experienced breathless and coughs.

claimed still could not confirm whether casualties really tertular bird flu or not. The reason is, when being brought to casualties's hospital in the diarrhoea situation

Initially, Abram only fevers to Jum’at then. And the illness subsided after taking medicine to the village midwife. The midwife's words, Abram was sentenced only was ill typus.

"But suddenly on Monday early afternoon was sick my child suddenly relapsed again. Because of his condition apparently serious finally was brought by me to this hospital,"

The above translation provides more detail on the latest confirmed H5N1 bird flu fatality in Indonesia. The patient was diagnosed as having typhus initially, and an H5N1 infection was questioned because the fever was associated with diarrhea. However, two local tests confirmed the H5N1.

Wire reports mention association with dead or dying poultry, but to date there has been no reported poultry isolates with the novel cleavage site in East Java.
The isolate A/Indonesia/554H/2006 from an earlier case in Kediri in East Java is listed on the HA phylogenetic tree, and it is clearly on the arm with the other human cases from Java.

Although the sequence has not been released from East Java, a partial sequence of A/Indonesia/177H/2005 has been released, and the sequence is an exact match of the two chicken isolates on Sumatra, and includes the novel cleavage site. The sequence of the other closely related isolate A/Indonesia/557H/2006 has also not been released, but the location on the tree and the identity with 177H, including the HA cleavage site, indicates that the human sequence is in East Java, in the absence of any reported match in poultry. Moreover, this is the second confirmed case in Tulungagung.

Thus, the number of human cases in Java continues to increase, and contact with poultry continues to be cited, yet the absence of matching sequences in a significant portion of poultry isolates on Java continues to be cause for concern.


http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09220601/H5N1_Tulungagung.html

:vik:
 

JPD

Inactive
East Africa: Border Districts On Alert Over Bird Flu

http://allafrica.com/stories/200609220253.html

UN Integrated Regional Information Networks

September 22, 2006
Posted to the web September 22, 2006

Kampala

Uganda authorities have asked officials in districts bordering Sudan to be on alert following confirmed cases of avian flu in the southern Sudanese capital of Juba, officials said on Friday.

"We have sent out a warning to all districts especially those bordering Sudan and the national task force on bird flu is meeting every week to assess the situation," Paul Kaggwa, the spokesman for the Ministry of Health, said.

The districts include Adjumani, Apac, Arua, Gulu, Kaabong, Kitgum, Koboko, Kotido, Lira, Moroto, Moyo, Nebbi, Pader and Yumbe. They were asked to set up and strengthen task forces on bird flu to enhance surveillance and public education.

Uganda, Kagwa added, had also embarked on training medical personnel to handle the situation if the disease, which was confirmed in local chickens on 6 September, appeared across the border in Uganda.

"Juba, being a two-hour drive from the Ugandan border, makes it possible for the deadly virus to easily spread across into Uganda," he said.

A communication strategy has been developed in local languages to raise public awareness about the disease. The Uganda Wildlife Authority was also monitoring the movement of birds from the north. "We have set up eight special sites to pick samples," said Patrick Atimnedi, spokesman for the authority.

According to wildlife officials, six species of migratory birds have been cited at Queen Elizabeth National Park, in the west of the country. Uganda lies on major migratory routes of birds moving to southern Africa from Europe and West Africa. There was cause to worry thanks to increased business traffic between Uganda and the southern Sudan town, the officials said.

Although the H5N1 virus has not been known to spread from human-to-human, people coming into contact with infected birds could easily contract the disease. Cases of avian influenza have been reported in several countries in Africa, including Djibouti.
 

JPD

Inactive
Ran across this today, downloaded it, looks like a good thing to have.

http://www.pandemicreferenceguides.com/

Pandemic Reference Guides

Pandemic Influenza
Influenza (Flu)
Flu Treatment
Flu Prevention
Protective Equipment
Infection Control
End Of Life
Emergency Preparedness
Individual
Community
Business
Food
Water
Sanitation
Healthcare
Related Issues
Avian Influenza
Pets and Wildlife
Quarantine
Homeschool
Emotional Support
Commercial Websites

This a collection of documents that may be useful in the event of a pandemic. This website is available on a compact disc with all documents predownloaded. This may simplify distribution of important information. Please reproduce this cd freely and give it to anyone who may be interested. Begin by sharing this information with others in your community, workplaces, unions, schools, churches, professional associations, volunteer groups, etc. Contact your state and local Department of Health and share your concerns. Speak with your supermarkets, utility companies and politicians.

Deadly strains of influenza viruses have spread around the world very quickly. Hundreds of millions of birds and other animals have died in a short amount of time. Most of the people infected with this disease died within a few days. There is no vaccine and there is no cure widely available to the public at this time. Experts predict millions of people could die from the spread of the virus.

"Any community that fails to prepare with the expectation that the federal government will come to the rescue will be tragically wrong."
- Secretary Michael Leavitt, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, March 2006

People need to take responsibility for their own needs. These include food, water, energy, and security. As individuals and communities we need to work together to find the resources to be self sufficient. To survive a disaster it is important to be prepared.

The most important way to prevent the spread of communicable disease is to wash your hands thoroughly for 15 seconds and dry thoroughly with a disposable paper towel. Always wash your hands before and after touching your face. Avoid touching your eyes, nose, and mouth. That is how a virus enters the body.

What is needed is a detailed operational blueprint for how to get a population through one to three years of a pandemic. Such a plan must involve all the key components of society. In the private sector, the plan must coordinate the responses of the medical community, medical suppliers, food providers, and the transportation system. In the government sector, the plan should take into account officials from public health, law enforcement, and emergency management at the international, federal, state, and local levels. It is better to be prepared and not face an emergency than to be caught unprepared.

You can download the CD version of this website from http://www.pandemicreferenceguides.com/pandemicreferenceguides.iso. This is a 500mb file and will take several hours to download. Save in a directory on your hard drive, burn (copy) the ISO image to a CD using recording software such as Easy CD Creator or Nero.

Each document has 3 listings.
1- The title of a document is shown in bold. This links to the pre-downloaded pdf file on the Pandemic Reference Guides CD. This link will not work without the cd.
2- The name of the publishing organization is linked to their site. There is often additional and more current information avilable online.
3- The web address URL is provided for use of these pages as an internet website.

You may want to print some information and put it in a 3 ring binder for reference. Documents which are recommended for printing are marked with a star *. These have been combined into one document in the
Summarized list of documents to print. You may find others useful to print depending on your situation.

Most files are in Adobe Acrobat’s pdf format. If you do not have that software there is a Windows version under the Associated Programs folder here. There is a feature in version 7 that will read aloud a pdf file if you have a sound card and speakers. You can download a free viewer for other operating systems from … http://www.adobe.com/products/acrobat/readstep2_allversions.html

Some audio and video files require a media player. Microsoft Windows Media Player will work. If you do not have that, Real Player for Windows is included under the Associated Programs folder here.

This information is not meant to replace the medical advice of a doctor. If you are ill you are encouraged to consult a licensed physician.
 

BREWER

Veteran Member
Thanks

Good catch, JPD. With all that has been going on all around us and on the board lately I'm really glad you've kept up with this extremely important issue. The link to
http://www.pandemicreferenceguides.com/ looks like a treasure trove. I'll download tonight and check it out tomorrow. This shoud be going out to others next week. Thank you for you diligence. We really appreciate you.
 
=





<B><font size=+1 color=red><center>Vaccines Prepared for Possible Flu Outbreaks </font>

http://www.china.org.cn/english/2006/Sep/182046.htm </center>
Chinese health officials are preparing 23 million to 25 million doses of flu vaccine, after experts warned the H5N1 bird flu could break out again with other flu strains during winter and spring.

The vaccines would be available from mid September, when an inoculation campaign began, said a statement by the China Preventive Medicine Association. The quantity of doses is 20 percent more than last year.</b>

Six million to seven million doses will contain no preservative, about eight times as many as last year, according to Sanofi Pasteur, the major provider of flu vaccines to China.

The preservative in the other vaccines was a mercuric compound used to prevent contamination in production and transportation. It has proved harmless so far, but some US organizations have recommended minimal use of the preservative in production.

About three million doses of flu vaccine will be provided for babies below three years old this year, nearly 30 percent more than last year, according to the company.

The H5N1 outbreaks since 2003 around the globe all happened in winter and spring, so it was highly possible another outbreak might occur if the trend continued. It coincided with the high prevalence season for human flu, said an expert quoting epidemiological research results released by the World Health Organization (WHO) in June.

It was difficult to predict future mutation of the bird flu virus, but one possibility was that the virus mixed with human flu viruses, creating a new type which could trigger a human pandemic, said Zeng Guang, an expert with the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

Zeng said no major flu outbreaks had occurred in China in the past few years, but localized outbreaks happened constantly, including some in schools, in the first quarter of this year.

Figures from the Ministry of Health showed a 13 percent rise in the flu incidence rate in the first quarter compared with the same period of last year.

As human flu outbreaks always occurred suddenly and were hard to predict, it was crucial to take preventive measures, especially when the H5N1 strain was still occurring, he said.

China has reported 21 human infections of bird flu since 2003, including 14 deaths.

The country's bird flu vaccine for human use had been proved safe and effective in preliminary clinical tests, announced the government in August.

Experts fear the H5N1 bird flu virus could mutate into a form able to spread among people, causing a global pandemic. It had infected 247 people and killed 144 throughout the world by Sept. 19, according to WHO figures.

(Xinhua News Agency September 23, 2006)
 
=





<B><font size=+1 color=brown><center>Uganda sounds bird flu alarm after cases in south Sudan </font>

Saturday 23 September 2006 03:00.
http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article17756 </center>
Sept 22, 2006 (KAMPALA) — Ugandan authorities have stepped up surveillance measures to prevent possible cross-border transmission of the deadly H5N1 bird flu after cases were confirmed in neighboring southern Sudan.</b>

Health ministry spokesman Paul Kaggwa said officials in the country’s northern districts bordering Sudan were on alert and medical teams were being trained for a possible outbreak of the virus which can be deadly to humans.

"We have sent out a warning to all districts, especially those bordering Sudan, and the national task force on bird flu is meeting to assess the situation," Kaggwa said.

On September 13, health authorities in Juba, the capital of autonomous southern Sudan, confirmed an H5N1 outbreak among domestic poultry in the town and said they were investigating two likely other cases.

The outbreak, confirmed by laboratories in the federal capital, Khartoum, and Britain, has not infected any people but it was the first to be reported in south Sudan and sparked deep concern in Uganda.

"Juba, being a two-hour drive from the Ugandan border, makes it possible for the deadly virus to easily spread across into Uganda," Kaggwa said.

Sudan shares a lengthy border with Egypt, which has suffered more from bird flu than any other country outside Asia, from which the virus began spreading earlier this year.

H5N1, which has killed more than 140 people, mostly in Asia, since 2003, was reported in northern and central Sudan in April but had not spread to the south.

The only human case thus far reported in sub-Saharan Africa has been in the Red Sea state of Djibouti.

Health authorities warn Africa is at particular risk because of the close proximity of people and poultry and the large numbers of migratory birds it hosts.

Cases have also been reported in west Africa, including Nigeria, Niger and Cameroon.

Although the flu does not spread easily between people, those who come in contact with sick birds can contract it and scientists say millions of people worldwide could die if the strain mutates into a disease communicable among humans.

(AFP/ST)
 
=





<B><font size=+1 color=green><center>Bird flu: A threat to humanity</font>

By Mehdi Pervez
Sat, 23 Sep 2006, 10:07:00
http://nation.ittefaq.com/artman/publish/article_30984.shtml </center>
Over centuries natural calamities have hit this earth in many shapes. Sometimes in the form of floods sometimes in the form of volcanic eruptions and sometimes in the form of epidemic of deadly diseases. Every instance has caused the lives of hundreds and thousands of human lives. Even at the prime time of medical science an old disease is re-emerging with its deadliest threats. We are thinking about none other than bird flu. Bird flu is nothing new or uncommon. </b>

It first pandemically occurred in 1918 immediately after World War I and killed more than 40 million people. The later outbreaks were in 1957 and 1968. All of the attacks from bird flu killed about 100 million people around the world. Though this is not actually a human disease but its scourge of killing 10 crore people in only 87 years is a fearful matter. For more than a century, bird flu has circulated among birds, particularly domesticated fowl, but recent attention has been called to avian influenza since some strains infected humans. No longer is bird flu relegated to pigs and birds, as the virus has strengthened and mutated, resulting in a contagion that can move from bird to human. Human cases of bird flu have caused infections and death across the globe as scientists struggle to identify the dangerous strains and prevent a fatal pandemic.

Now let us discuss some of the microbiological aspects of Flu Virus. "Flu" is short for "influenza". The name goes back hundreds of years when the disease was thought to be caused by supernatural "influences". Many describe any nasty lung infection as flu, but only specific lab tests can give a proper diagnosis. There are several different viruses (and bacteria) which may infect the lung, but true flu is caused by orthomyxoviruses, of which there are three types, designated A, B, and C. An influenza virion has about 500 "spikes" sticking out from its lipid envelope. About 80% of the spikes are a glycoprotein peplomers-rod shaped viral protein called hemagglutinin (or simply, HA) which are homotrimers of class I membrane glycoprotein's. This was first identified by its ability to cause red blood cells, which carry a molecule called "heme", to agglutinate (stick together). We now know that HA is influenza's receptor-binding protein. It plays the critical role of attaching the virus to the host cell. The other 20% of the spikes are a mushroom shaped viral protein called neuraminidase (NA), which is tetramer of a class II membrane protein. This protein is an enzyme that destroys a host cell molecule called neuraminic (or sialic) acid. NA might play a part in getting the virus into the cell, but its most important function is that it helps the newly made influenza virions to easily escape from the host cell so they can infect others[1]. The virulent avian influenza H5N1 strains differ from other avian strains in that, there lies a link between HA cleavage and degree of virulence. In virulent strains the HAs contain multiple basic amino acids at the cleavage site, which are cleaved intracellularly by endogenous proteases. In contrast, in case of avirulent avian strains as well as non-avian influenza A viruses, the HAs lack the basic amino acid residues, hence not subjected to cleavage by such proteases. Moreover, all types of influenza A viruses are antigenically labile, well adapted to evade host defenses and lack mechanisms for "proof reading"; hence constant, permanent and small changes in antigenic composition are very common, which is known as antigenic drift. Another important characteristic of great public health concern is antigenic shift which results from reassortment of genetic material from different species resulting in variability of HA spikes, keeping the basic structure of the virus constant [2].

Influenza viruses that infect birds are called avian influenza viruses. Only influenza A viruses infect birds, and all known subtypes of influenza A viruses can infect birds. However, there are substantial genetic differences between the subtypes that typically infect both people and birds. Within subtypes of avian influenza A viruses there also are different strains. 13 different kinds of HA and 9 different kinds of NA genes in type A influenza is known[3].

They evolve! Molecular evolution (the evolution of molecules) is a fascinating area of evolution and of prime concern to any scientist wanting to understand viruses and how they spread. All genetic material can mutate, that is change its nucleic acids. The mutations are random, but their selection is not. "Selection" is another word for how well they survive and reproduce. Selection ensures that the mutations that increase a virus' ability to survive and reproduce will be represented in even greater numbers in the next generation. Mutations are the "fuel" for evolution because they provide the genetic variation on which selection acts. This is simply Darwin's old theory of evolution by means of natural selection, but on a microscopic scale.

All influenza viruses (all orthomyxoviruses) have RNA as their genetic material. When RNA is replicated it tends to have more errors than when DNA is replicated. These extra errors provide extra mutations upon which selection may act. That means RNA viruses (not just influenza viruses but all RNA viruses) have a high mutation rate and can evolve quickly - faster than a DNA virus or even a DNA human! Over time these mutations accumulate and eventually the virus evolves into a new strain. This progressive accumulation of individual mutations is called antigenic drift, because the shape of the antigen (the viral protein) slowly drifts into a different shape with each generation of virus. Eventually they drift so much that the original antibody can no longer bind to it.. All viruses show antigenic drift, but RNA viruses mutate faster so they drift faster. Antigenic drift is responsible for many of the localized outbreaks of different strains of influenza, especially influenza B.

Importantly, type A - but not B or C - undergo a kind of gene swapping or genetic reassortment to give it its proper name. If a cell is simultaneously infected by two different strains of type A influenza, the offspring virions may contain mixtures of each parents' genes! This really complicates things and makes it very easy for influenza A to quickly evolve new combinations of HA and NA genes. To better understand what I mean you need to learn a little bit about how we keep track of all this reassortment. We know of 13 different kinds of HA and 9 different kinds of NA genes in type A influenza. All these different kinds have evolved by antigenic drift as described earlier. Any one virion can contain only one HA and one NA. For example then an influenza A strain designated H1N1 can be produced. (We drop the "A"s at the end to make it clearer.) Along comes another virus with different kinds of HA and NA genes, let's say it is H3N7. If these two different virions infect the same cell at the same time they may produce offspring not only like themselves (H1N1 and H3N7) but also with a mixed combination (H1N7 and H3N1).

This is only a small sample of the many possible new combinations that might be made. All eight segments may take part in the reassortment. These newly created mixed genomes are very different from their parents and (probably) have never been "seen" by your immune system - or for that matter, anyone else's. This form of viral evolution is called antigenic shift, to differentiate it from antigenic drift (which occurs slowly and without a change in the gene associations). These new combinations present us with such a unique strain of virus that our immune system has to start all over to make new antibodies to combat it[1].

Since now we have seen that there are many strains of flu virus. But the strain that is mostly infecting people since 1997 is the H5N1 strain. This strain, in many ways, different and dangerous from other flu strains which we will try to explain below.

A report by a World Health Organization (WHO) committee says avian flu may have a longer incubation period and is more likely to cause diarrhea than typical flu viruses are, among other differences.

Published in the Sep 29 New England Journal of Medicine, the review was written by experts from several countries, including Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, the United States, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, and Myanmar. They reviewed 71 published studies and reports, including details on 41 confirmed human cases from Vietnam, Thailand, Cambodia, and Hong Kong.

Researchers from Hong Kong report that lung cells growing in a laboratory responded much more intensely to the H5N1 virus than to an ordinary flu virus, even though the viruses reproduced at about the same rate, according to the report published online by Respiratory Research.

The H5N1 viruses were "more potent inducers" of cytokines and chemokines-chemical messengers that trigger inflammation-than H1N1 viruses were, says the report by a team led by J.S.M. Peiris of the University of Hong Kong. A flood of inflammation-triggering chemicals released by the immune systems has been referred to as a "cytokine storm."

They found that all the H5N1 viruses caused cells to secrete significantly higher levels of IP-10 (interferon-gamma-inducible protein 10), interferon beta, a type of T cell known as RANTES, and interleukin-6 than the H1N1 virus did. In addition, the 2004 versions of H5N1 caused cells to release more IP-10 at 6 hours than the 1997 version did.

"We have found that infection with H5N1 viruses led to the production of 10 times higher levels of cytokines from human cells than normal human flu viruses," said Peiris, as quoted Nov 12 in The Standard, a Chinese business newspaper.

The most alarming news about this H5N1 virus is that, Scientists reported findings which may help explain what made the 1918 pandemic influenza virus so deadly and that reveal similarities between that virus and the H5N1 avian influenza virus now circulating in Asia. The 1918 flu pandemic, regarded as the worst in history, killed as many as 100 million people

"The new studies could have an immediate impact by helping scientists focus on detecting changes in the evolving H5N1 virus that might make widespread transmission among humans more likely," the statement said[4].

Avian influenza viruses circulate among birds worldwide. Certain birds, particularly water birds, act as hosts for influenza viruses by carrying the virus in their intestines and shedding it. Infected birds shed virus in saliva, nasal secretions, and feces. Susceptible birds can become infected with avian influenza virus when they have contact with contaminated nasal, respiratory, or fecal material from infected birds. Fecal-to-oral transmission is the most common mode of spread between birds.

Most often, the wild birds that are host to the virus do not get sick, but they can spread influenza to other birds. Infection with certain avian influenza A viruses (for example, some H5 and H7 strains) can cause widespread disease and death among some species of domesticated birds[3].

Domesticated birds may become infected with avian influenza virus through direct contact with infected waterfowl or other infected poultry, or through contact with surfaces (such as dirt or cages) or materials (such as water or feed) that have been contaminated with virus[3]. Avian influenza A viruses may be transmitted from animals to humans in two main ways:

Ø Directly from birds or from avian virus-contaminated environments to people. Almost all these casualties were directly exposed to infected fowl, making contact with the virus through the birds' saliva, nasal secretions and feces, which become dry, pulverized and are then inhaled.

Ø Through an intermediate host, such as a pig[3].

A new study indicates that H5N1 avian influenza viruses are becoming less deadly to ducks, permitting them to carry the viruses for days or weeks and spread them to more susceptible birds and potentially to humans.

The findings "suggest that the duck has become the 'Trojan horse' of Asian H5N1 influenza viruses," says the report by an international team led by researchers from St. Jude Children's Research Hospital in Memphis. "The ducks that are unaffected by infection with these viruses continue to circulate these viruses, presenting a pandemic threat."

The researchers experimentally infected ducks with various H5N1 viruses, most of them dating to 2003 and 2004. About half of the infected ducks survived while shedding the virus for as long as 17 days, according to the report, published online today by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences[4].

Avian influenza virus lacks the ability to 'hop' easily between people, which have probably helped to contain the problem. However, in the future, it is possible that the process of genetic reassortment could occur in a human who is co-infected with avian influenza A virus and a human strain of influenza A virus. The genetic information in these viruses could reassort to create a new virus with a hemagglutinin from the avian virus and other genes from the human virus. Theoretically, influenza A viruses with a hemagglutinin against which humans have little or no immunity that have reassorted with a human influenza virus are more likely to result in sustained human-to-human transmission and pandemic influenza. Therefore, careful evaluation of influenza viruses recovered from humans who are infected with avian influenza is very important to identify reassortment if it occurs[3].

Symptoms of Avian Influenza

Infected bird will get fever with rigor; diarrhea, paralysis then the bird will be unable to stand and keep the head up and ultimately die in 1-2 days[5].

The reported symptoms of avian influenza in humans have ranged from typical influenza-like symptoms:

1. fever (usually high)

2. headache

3. extreme tiredness

4. dry cough

5. sore throat

6. runny or stuffy nose

7. muscle aches

8. Stomach symptoms, such as nausea, vomiting, and diarrhea, also can occur but are more common in children than adults

9. Conjunctivitis is seen in some patients

Life threatening complications like viral pneumonia, respiratory distress syndrome, worsening of chronic medical conditions, such as congestive heart failure, asthma, or diabetes and multi organ failure may result in the death of the patient[3].

Laboratory Testing Procedures

Rapid antigen detection by immunofluorescence assay and enzyme immunoassay, virus isolation by culture in HeP-2, RD cells or MDCK cell lines and identification by immunofluorescence assay using specific monoclonal antibody and haemagglutination inhibition assay have been used for diagnosis. Detection of influenza- specific RNA by reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction, by using primer sets specific for HA sequence of influenza A/H5 and of N1 are some of the other tests that have been developed. Serological identification by measuring the specific antibodies by haemagglutination inhibition test, enzyme immuno assay and the virus neutralisation test, more specifically the micro neutralisation test, have also been developed. Following kits are presently available:

1. Immunoflourescence assay- WHO influenza reagent kit for the identification of Influenza A/H5 virus (1997-1998, 2003 or 2004 version) which includes influenza type A/H5- specific monoclonal antibody pool along with influenza B, A/H1 and A/H3 subtype specific monoclonal antibodies.

2. Virus culture - Madin-Darby Canine Kidney cells (MDCK). ATCC CCL34.

· Inactivated virus, goat serum to A/Term/South Africa/61/H5, and chicken pooled serum to A/Goose/Hong Kong/437-4/99.

· WHO influenza reagent kit: reference antigens and reference antisera.

· Receptor destroying enzyme (RDE)[3].

Highly pathogenic avian influenza A (H5N1) is classified as a select agent, and culturing of clinical specimens for influenza A (H5N1) virus must be conducted under laboratory conditions that meet the requirements for Biosafety Level (BSL) 3 with enhancements. These enhancements include controlled access double-door entry with change room and shower, use of respirators, decontamination of all wastes, and showering out of all personnel. Laboratories working on these viruses must be certified by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. 4 recommends that virus isolation studies be conducted on respiratory specimens from patients who meet the above criteria only if requirements for BSL 3 with enhancements can be met[3].

3. Polymerase chain reaction - Gene primers from Hong Kong, Government Virus Unit.

All laboratory results for influenza A/H5N1 should be confirmed by a WHO collaborating center for influenza or by another WHO- recommended reference laboratory. The WHO reference laboratories are as below:

1. Queen Mary Hospital, University of Hong Kong.

2. National Influenza Center, Kowloon, Hong Kong.

3. National Institute of Infectious disease, Tokyo, Japan.

4. National Institute of Medical Research, UK.

5. Department of Infectious disease, Memphis, USA.

6. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, USA[2].

Clinical specimens from suspect influenza A (H5N1) cases may be tested by PCR assays under standard BSL 2 conditions in a Class II biological safety cabinet. In addition, commercial antigen detection testing can be conducted under standard BSL 2 conditions used to test for influenza[3].

The range of antiviral drugs is small, but especially so when it comes to bird flu. Four different influenza antiviral drugs (amantadine, rimantadine, oseltamivir, and zanamivir) are approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the treatment of influenza; three are approved for prophylaxis. All four have activity against influenza A viruses. (4). Two of them, amantadine and rimantadine, are ineffective against H5N1. The other two are zanamavir (commercialized as Relenza) and the widely-stockpiled oseltamivir, commercialized as Tamiflu. These medications are called neuraminidase inhibitors, which block the virus from replicating. If taken within a couple of days of the onset of illness, they can ease the severity of some symptoms and reduce the duration of sickness[6].

No definitive vaccine against the viral threat is available, because no-one knows the precise shape that it will take after mutating to the feared highly contagious form. Several prototypes are being explored, but the risk is that they could be only partially effective or even useless because the virus' genetic shape will have changed and will not be recognized by antibodies. If a pandemic does occur, one worry is about manufacturing capacity and distribution: making enough of the vaccine and getting it on time and to the right people, without causing panic or a black market or leaving poor countries helpless[6].
 
=





<B><font size=+1 color=blue><center>Migration spurs fresh bird flu alert</font>

Sep 23 2006
Madeleine Brindley, Western Mail
<A href="http://icwales.icnetwork.co.uk/0100news/health/tm_objectid=17805238%26method=full%26siteid=50082%26headline=migration%2dspurs%2dfresh%2dbird%2dflu%2dalert-name_page.html">icwales.icnet.co.uk</a></center>
A MASSIVE scheme to test birds in a bid to reduce the risk of deadly avian flu has been launched in Wales as experts revealed the areas that lie on autumn migratory paths.

Health officials have also called on the public to continue reporting dead birds, particularly in the higher risk areas of Torfaen, Anglesey and Wrexham.</b>

The three areas could be hotspots for avian flu - if it arrives in Wales - as they are havens for migrating wild birds and have large domestic poultry populations.

Experts are particularly interested in reports of dead ducks, swans, geese, waders and gulls in these three areas of Wales.

Despite the heightened surveillance and testing programme, Dr Christianne Glossop, Wales' chief veterinary officer, said the risk of highly pathogenic H5N1 bird flu virus arriving in Wales, or in Britain, remains low.

The last confirmed case in Europe was on July 31, and the only bird to be infected with avian flu in the UK is a dead swan found in Scotland in April.


But this strain of avian flu is still epidemic and circulating in Vietnam, Thailand and other parts of South East Asia.


And the World Health Organisation still considers H5N1 to be the most probable source of pandemic flu, which could kill 50,000 people in the UK if it succeeds in crossing the species barrier.


Dr Glossop said, "The risk of incursion of avian influenza into the UK is still regarded as low.


"Our message to the public is that this is a disease of birds and that transmission to humans occurs rarely.


"We could be at this level of alertness for years and years - in South East Asia it has been going on for the past 10 years.


"This targeted approach ensures our surveillance is as effective as possible."


The new programme, introduced at the start of the autumn migratory season, has been developed in conjunction with the Department for the Environment, Farming and Rural Affairs. It will see domestic poultry flocks tested for avian flu every year.


Samples will also be taken from captured wild birds, before they are released, and from shot birds.


Dead birds found by members of the public will also be tested under the scheme.


But in the higher risk areas only certain birds - ducks, geese, swans, gulls and waders - will be tested.


Dr Glossop said, "We will be targeting areas with high numbers of migratory birds and large poultry populations, as this is the type of situation that may result in domestic poultry being affected.


"This year, although we are asking the public to report dead birds - because they are our eyes out there - the birds may not be picked up.


"Last year we were swamped by dead birds but that level of collection was not sustainable, and our staff need to concentrate on the most likely places that we will find disease."


People who own birds, whether it be a few chickens or large poultry firms, are also being advised to increase their bio-security measures, including disinfecting footwear.


Dr Glossop said, "The autumn and spring migrations for wild birds are the times of highest risk of introduction of infection.


"But a tourist could come home from a country in South East Asia any day with an illegal chicken in their bag, or they may have walked through a bird market and they just happen to be someone who goes onto a poultry farm.


"We also don't know what the next infection is going to be and when it's going to arrive, so surveillance is key.


"And if we have bio-security systems in place anyway, it will limit the spread."


If you find a dead bird, call the helpline on 08459 33 55 77
 
=





<B><center>September 23, 2006

<font size=+1 color=green>Businesses plan for worst-case scenario</font>

<font size=+0 color=purple>Flu season puts area companies, workers on alert</font>

By Mike Hoeft
mhoeft@greenbaypressgazette.com
<A href="http://www.thenorthwestern.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060923/GPG03/609230551/1247/OSHbusiness">www.thenorthwestern.com</a></center>
It pays to be ready for the worst-case scenario this flu season, says Kelly Coles, vice president of operations for Tosca Ltd., Green Bay.


The average flu season costs the U.S. economy $10 billion in lost productivity and direct medical expenses, with about 40,000 annual deaths and 200,000 people hospitalized, experts say. So the costs of a feared avian flu pandemic could be staggering: 500,000 deaths, 2 million hospitalized and economic losses of $70 billion to $160 billion. </b>


Tosca — which manufactures and services returnable containers for the cheese, beer and produce industries — developed its own business plan in the event of a pandemic with suggestions from its team of employees, Coles said.


"It outlines how to shuffle resources," he said.


The plan envisions many workers calling in sick. Personal tips like washing hands, covering coughs would help limit spread of the disease, he said.


Tosca will be one of two Wisconsin companies to share its business plan on Oct. 24 at a Green Bay Area Chamber of Commerce seminar called Pandemic Planning for Business.


"We rely on individuals and businesses to help themselves," said Brown County emergency director Cullen Peltier. "The more prepared citizens and businesses are, the easier it will be to coordinate resources."


About 175 people may attend the seminar. Peltier said he's been getting lots of calls requesting pandemic planning.


Health officials are concerned that the avian flu from Asia could mutate to a new strain of flu against which humans have no natural immunity. The World Health Organization said a bird flu pandemic could infect 25-30 percent of the world's population. With that much population affected, a pandemic flu could disrupt or shut down some businesses.


The program will offer participants:

Information on pandemic influenza by local and state health officials.

Business continuity plans developed by two Wisconsin businesses, Johnson Controls and Tosca Ltd.

Personal preparedness recommendations to protect employee health.

Ron Hieronimczak, Bellin Health safety officer, said emergency preparedness plans to protect against terrorism have been adapted to fit any incident.

"We're trying to prepare for anything, whether it's chemical radiation, natural disaster, flu, to terrorism," he said.
 

JohnGaltfla

#NeverTrump
Indonesian boy dies of bird flu, official says

24 Sep 2006 09:39:26 GMT
Source: Reuters

JAKARTA, Sept 24 (Reuters) - A nine-year-old Indonesian boy has died of bird flu, an official of the health ministry's bird flu information centre said on Sunday, taking the country's death toll from the disease to 51.

The boy died on Friday at a hospital in Jakarta, Runizar Ruesin, the head of the centre, told Reuters by phone.

"The result came out this morning. It has been confirmed positive," he said.

The boy, a resident of Ciputat Raya in South Jakarta, had suffered from fever, cough, runny nose and pneumonia after he began to get sick on Sept. 13, Ruesin said.

The boy was said to have had contact with a sick bird. Most human cases are known to have followed such contacts.

His death comes after the health ministry said on Friday that bird flu killed an 11-year-old boy from East Java province. The boy died last week after chickens died around his house. The ministry said it was sending a team to investigate the case.

Indonesia has the highest bird flu death toll of any nation. Not including the deaths of the two boys, the H5N1 avian flu virus has killed 144 people worldwide, the World Health Organisation says.

The virus mainly affects birds but experts fear it could mutate into a strain capable of killing millions of people in a global pandemic.

Indonesia has been criticised for not doing enough to combat the disease, endemic in birds in most of the provinces in the archipelago of 17,000 islands, the world's largest. The United Nations bird flu coordinator, David Nabarro, said this month that Indonesia had made progress in its fight against bird flu.

But he expressed disappointment at the slow flow of funds pledged by international donors to Indonesia for the effort.

FAIR USE NOTICE: This site contains copyrighted material the use of which has not always been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. I am making such material available in an effort to advance understanding of foreign events, political, educational, economic, democracy, scientific, and social issues, etc. I believe this constitutes a 'fair use' of any such copyrighted material as provided for in section 107 of the US Copyright Law. In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107, the material on this site is distributed without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes. For more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml.

If you wish to use copyrighted material from this site for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use', you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
 

JPD

Inactive
H5N1 Bird Flu Detection in North America

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09230601/H5N1_North_America.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 24, 2006

A Colorado State University laboratory tested 66 samples taken from Northern pintail ducks in Montana, the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the Interior Department said in a news release. Sixteen of the 66 were sent to the National Veterinary Services Laboratory in Iowa for more tests. Some tested positive for H5, some were positive for N1 and one sample was positive for both.

The Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks collected the samples last Friday at Benton Lake, near Great Falls, during routine work in which bands are placed on migratory birds to help track their movement.

The above comments provide additional information on the screening program in the United States and help explain the differences between reports from Canada, which reported multiple H5 subtypes in 2005, and the United States, which reported only H5N1 in 2006.

In August, 2005, Canada collected swabs as an adjunct to a banding experiment. A few months later they announced the finding of widespread detection of H5 serotypes across southern Canada. H5N1 was detected in Manitoba, but most positives were in British Columbia, where H5N2 and H5N9 was detected. H5N3 was detected in Quebec. Sequences from one of the British Columbia H5N2 isolate were recently released, and although it was most closely related to prior North American low path isolates, it did have some polymorphism found in H5N1 high path isolates from Asia, indicating there had been prior dual infections leading to the acquisition of these sequences via recombination,

This year Canada has said results mirrored last year’s results, but specific breakdown of serotypes has not been released. One report from Quebec describes an H5N2 and H5N6 isolate, bit there have been no details on the frequency of detection of H5N1.

This year however, the United States has reported H5N1 in Michigan, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Montana recently. Thus, it seems likely that the H5 in southern Canada and northern United States would be similar, and the reports from the US may indicate limited sero-typing, as opposed to limited serotypes.

Although each initial announcement from the US warns that the H5 and N1 discoveries may be originating from two different serotypes, cloning of isolates has indicated that H5N1 was present, which has also been characterized as low path North American strain, but no 2006 sequences have been released from Canada or the United States.

However, the failure to find the Qinghai strain of H5N1 in live wild birds does not indicate the absence of H5N1 in North America. Detection of H5N1 in live wild birds is rare. The first reports of the Qinghai strain were from dead bar headed geese at Qinghai Lake in May of 2005. The strain was subsequently detected in Russia, Mongolia, and Kazakhstan, but the detection was again primarily in dead wild birds. Although Russia subsequently detected H5N1 in birds shot by hunters, these detections followed detection in dead birds.

This pattern has held up world-wide. When H5N1 migrated west and was found in the Volga Delta and the Danube Delta, the initial reports were from dead birds. As H5N1 became more widespread, the detection was in dead wild birds or poultry and reports were significantly delayed. Turkey and Romania reported H5N1 in October, but neighboring countries did not acknowledge H5N1 outbreaks until people began to die in Turkey in early 2006. However, the announcement by neighbors and most European countries were linked to H5N1 in dead wild birds.

This detection scheme extended into the Middle East and Africa, were H5N1 was found in dead birds, primarily on farms. Conservation groups failed to find H5N1 in wild birds in Africa, even though the sequences from isolates in Eastern and western Africa indicated infections were due to independent introductions of various versions of the Qinghai strain, as had been seen earlier in Europe and the Middle East.

In North America, the only reports of H5 in dead birds on a farm were reported in June on Prince Edward `Island. Four geese suddenly died with bird flu symptoms. One was tested and H5 was conformed in a PCR test. However, by the time the sample was sent to Winnipeg for virus isolation and sequencing, the sample had degraded and H5 was not recovered. The PCR test on PEI however would generate an insert, and the size of the insert would have indicated if the H5 was high or low path, because high path has 4 additional amino acids, which would have created an insert 12 base pairs larger than low path. Canada declined to comment on the size of the insert.

Thus. although the H5N1 detected in live birds has been characterized as low path and North American, the details on the H5 from dead birds in North America has been withheld. More information on the sequences of H5N1 in both the United States and Canada would be useful.
 

JPD

Inactive
Another Fatal H5N1 Bird Flu Case in Jakarta Indonesia

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09240601/H5N1_South_Jakarta.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 24, 2006

The boy, a resident of Ciputat Raya in South Jakarta, had suffered from fever, cough, runny nose and pneumonia after he began to get sick on Sept. 13, Ruesin said.

The boy was said to have had contact with a sick bird. Most human cases are known to have followed such contacts.

The above wire service comments describe the most recent confirmed cases in Indonesia. Like the vast majority of confirmed cases, the patient is from the Jakarta area. All but one human H5N1 bird flu isolate from the Jakarta area have a novel cleavage site. This novel cleavage site has not been reported in any poultry from the Jakarta area, even though human cases have been reported for well over a year, beginning in July, 2005. The only Java bird isolate with the cleavage site was from Indramyu, but that isolate match a very small subset of human isolates.

The failure to match the human H5N1 to poultry is cause for concern, as are the misleading wire service reports, couple with WHO updates.

These reports continue to misinform the general public on the source of the H5N1 human infections in Indonesia.
 

JPD

Inactive
Third Human Bird Flu Case Retrospectively Confirmed In Iraq

http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/healthnews.php?newsid=52549

Main Category: Bird Flu / Avian Flu News

The Iraq Ministry of Health has confirmed the country's third human infection with the H5N1 bird flu virus strain, says the World Health Organization (WHO). A 3-year-old boy was taken to hospital in Baghdad on March 15th. Fortunately, he made a full recovery.

During its outbreak, which is now considered over, Iraq faced problems in the shipment of specimens for external verification of diagnostic tests. For the retrospectively confirmed case, initial test results were inconclusive, possibly as a result of sample deterioration during shipment. Repeated testing, using different methods, was needed for diagnostic confirmation.

The two cases previously confirmed in Iraq occurred in January 2006. Both cases were fatal.
 

JPD

Inactive
Indonesia Confirms Boy's Bird Flu Death

http://abcnews.go.com/Health/AvianFlu/wireStory?id=2486200

Indonesia Confirms 9-Year-Old Boy Dies From Bird Flu, Bringing Country's Toll to 51
Health Headlines

JAKARTA, Indonesia Sep 24, 2006 (AP)— A 9-year-old boy died from bird flu just hours after being admitted to a hospital in Indonesia, a senior Health Ministry official said Monday.

The death brought to 51 the number of confirmed fatalities from bird flu in Indonesia, the country hardest hit by the virus.

The boy died Friday in a hospital in the capital, Jakarta, nine days after he first showed symptoms of the virus, the ministry official Nyoman Kandun said.

"By the time he arrived at hospital, it was too late," said Kandun, adding he died two hours after being admitted.

The boy had recent contact with chickens infected with the H5N1 strain of bird flu, the health official said. The strain has killed at least 144 people worldwide since it started ravaging poultry stocks in Asia three years ago, according to the World Health Organization.

Most human deaths have been traced to contact with sick birds, but experts fear the virus could mutate into a more transmissible form, potentially causing a deadly global pandemic.

Indonesia, a sprawling island nation of more than 220 million people, has attracted international criticism earlier this year for not doing enough to stamp out the virus in its vast poultry stocks.
 

JPD

Inactive
FluWrap: Monitor 'H5N1 Lite' For Spread

http://www.terradaily.com/reports/FluWrap_Monitor_H5N1_Lite_For_Spread_999.html

by Kate Walker
UPI Correspondent
London (UPI) Sep 20, 2006

One of the major concerns inherent in the possible avian-influenza pandemic is the disease's extraordinarily high death rate, which is more than half of known cases. But officials are now questioning whether this is indeed the case. Both South Korea and Indonesia have recently announced cases of avian-influenza infection in humans that were not identified until after the person in question had been infected by, and had recovered from, the disease.

At the moment, experts say, there has not been enough evidence of mild avian-influenza infection to drastically reduce the disease's mortality rate, nor even to revise it. But, they concur, the possibility merits further study.

Reduced virulence is a possible indicator that avian influenza is preparing itself to become more transmissible -- as this column has noted for the past 11 months, reduced virulence can lead to increased transmissibility, as diseases are less able to infect large swaths of people when they kill their host before the infection has been passed on -- and it is this fact that health officials wish to monitor more closely, especially as the rainy season in Southeast Asia and the autumnal bird migrations are likely to lead to increased reports of both avian and human infections.

Speaking over the weekend and cited by Canada's CBCNews, Dr. Michael Osterholm, avian-influenza expert and director of the University of Minnesota's Center for Infectious Diseases Research and Policy, said: "We need to keep monitoring it.

"Because, frankly, one of the indications that there may be a changing epidemiology with this is, in fact, if we start seeing larger and larger percentages of individuals who are asymptomatic or only mildly ill that we can clearly confirm as having H5N1 infection."

The Indonesian case, which was made public last week, involved a man who had blood tests for H5N1 performed. Although the man was not ill, the test results showed he had been infected with avian influenza, most likely earlier this year, when he cared for his sister, a confirmed bird-flu case.

While looking after his sister, the man had complained of abdominal pain and had suffered from a persistent cough, but his symptoms were so mild that he was not tested for signs of H5N1 infection.

In South Korea five workers who had culled infected poultry between 2003 and 2004 -- out of more than 2,000 who were submitted to blood tests -- were found to have H5N1 antibodies in their blood, a sure sign that they had been infected with the disease at some stage, although none displayed avian-flu symptoms at the time.

While these cases were no doubt lucky to have survived avian flu, and to have suffered from it so mildly, they may in turn be the key to finding a cure for the disease that -- using current rates of infection and mortality -- has killed nearly 60 percent of known cases.

What remains now is for more work to be done into investigating why these lucky few were not only capable of fighting the disease, but did so without even knowing they were infected.

--

The World Health Organization and Indonesia are at odds over what constitutes a human case of avian influenza. The disagreement follows an earlier redefining of human avian-influenza infection in humans by the WHO, which saw the number of confirmed Indonesian cases rise.

The Indonesian Health Ministry has so far abstained from adopting the new definition of bird-flu infection. This refusal will not change the global infection statistics, however, as the official figures are those released by the WHO.

Santoso Soeroso, head of the Health Ministry's avian-influenza verification team, explained that the WHO's definition has been altered so that it is less restrictive, meaning that cases of bird-flu infection can, in theory, be identified and treated earlier.

According to the new WHO standards, those suffering from acute lower respiratory infections -- difficulty breathing, shortness of breath, fever and cough -- should be treated as possible cases of avian influenza.

The Indonesian Health Ministry currently uses acute higher respiratory infection as a sign of possible bird flu.

Soeroso said: "It's like catching fish with big-holed nets. We may be able to identify possible cases when patients reach the stage that the flu is incurable."

--

According to a report in the Financial Times over the weekend, the current Thai political crisis that has resulted in the government being deposed in a bloodless military coup may have contributed to the spread of avian influenza in the country.

Thailand had been working hard to combat the spread of avian influenza in the country's poultry, and until earlier this year it appeared that their efforts had been effective. But an outbreak in poultry along the Mekong River on the Laotian border earlier this summer showed that the virus was still present in a country believed to have defeated it.

Dr. David Nabarro, the United Nations' senior coordinator for avian influenza, told the Financial Times that he thought the changing political face of Thailand -- whose parliament was dissolved earlier this year by former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, who was ousted this week in a bloodless coup -- may have contributed to the disease's re-emergence.

"You don't maintain control over this disease unless there is regular top-level direction from a committed senior political figure that wants to be sure that the necessary activities are being undertaken," Nabarro said.
 

JPD

Inactive
U.S. Government Watches Bird Flu with Worry

http://www.market-day.net/article_28223/20060925/US-Government-Watches-Bird-Flu-with-Worry.php





According to the U.S. Center for Disease Control, of the few avianinfluenza viruses that have crossed the species barrier to infect humans,H5N1 has caused the largest number of detected cases of severe disease anddeath in humans.

"However, it is possible that those cases in the most severely ill peopleare more likely to be diagnosed and reported, while milder cases gounreported," says the CDC website.

Of the human cases associated with the ongoing H5N1 outbreaks in poultryand wild birds in Asia and parts of Europe, the Near East and Africa, morethan half of those people reported infected with the virus have died. Mostcases have occurred in previously healthy children and young adults andhave resulted from direct or close contact with H5N1-infected poultry orH5N1-contaminated surfaces.

Currently H5N1 remains a very rare disease in people, and if a person isinfected, it is very difficult for the virus to spread to another person.

Scientists are concerned that H5N1 virus one day could be able to infecthumans and spread easily from one person to another -- because theseviruses do not commonly infect humans, there is little or no immuneprotection against them in the human population. If H5N1 virus were to gainthe capacity to spread easily from person to person, an influenza pandemic(worldwide outbreak of disease) could begin.

Experts from around the world are watching the H5N1 situation in Asia andEurope very closely and are preparing for the possibility that the virusmay begin to spread more easily and widely from person to person.
 

JPD

Inactive
Thailand confirms new bird flu death

http://www.hemscott.com/news/latest-news/item.do?newsId=36352603302679

BANGKOK (XFN-ASIA) - A 59-year-old man has died of bird flu in northeastern Thailand, bringing the death toll in the country from the deadly H5N1 virus this year to three, a public health ministry official said.

'He died on August 10 at hospital in the northeastern province of Nong Bua Lam Phu and the laboratory test just confirmed the H5N1 virus,' the official said.

Thailand is among the countries hardest hit by the deadly H5N1 virus, recording 25 human cases, 17 of them fatal, since the outbreak began here in 2004.
 

JPD

Inactive
Another Suspect Fatal H5N1 Cluster in Bandung Indonesia

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09240602/H5N1_Bandung_Cluster_2.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 24, 2006

A patient suspect bird flu from Kec. Batununggal, the Bandung City was treated in Handsome Sadikin Space of the Hospital Poinciana Tree (RSHS) Bandung. Beforehand, the patient had the initials T (20) that was treated in RS Saint Yusup Bandung, for two days. The patient T entered Poinciana Tree Space, on Sunday (24/9) struck 13. 30 WIB.

Dr. Hadi explained, the previous day the patient’s older brother T died in RS Saint Yusup. The patient’s older brother T experienced the same sign like the patient T.

The above translation describes another suspect H5N1 bird flu cluster in Bandung. The index case has already died and his younger brother has been transferred into the infectious disease hospital in need of oxygen and Tamiflu. This scenario is repeated time and again in Indonesia and elsewhere. Patients are not transferred or tested until they are near death, and frequently they die without any H5N1 tests. Similarly, those that recover early are not transferred or tested, and most who are transferred and tested have a link to dead or dying birds.

However, the dead or dying birds are usually not tested. Those tested are rarely sent for H5N1 isolation and the H5N1 isolates from birds do not match the human H5N1 sequences.

The number of reported human cases on Java in Indonesia is again beginning to rise. Recent cases in Tulungungu and Jakarta have been confirmed, and the above cluster in Bandung is likely. However, in spite of this increase in human cases on Java and bird cases throughout Indonesia, there have been no strong matches in bird isolates from Java in 2005 and 2006.
 

JPD

Inactive
Canine Link to Suspect Fatal H5N1 Cluster in Bandung

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09250601/H5N1_Bandung_Canine.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 25, 2006

Zakaria Divine Guidance, 20, suspect bird flu that was treated in RS Handsome Sadikin (RSHS) Bandung since Sunday afternoon (24/9), till Monday (25/9) still was critical. On the same day, casualties's older brother, Indra Jayakusuma, 23, died after experiencing the hot sign high and breathless

they the dog breeder that gave ate his kept animal with the chicken died that was bought from the market. The "condition for Divine Guidance very critical, in fact increasingly critical compared to when entering isolation space. His leucocytes descended, now pneumonia on the lungs increasingly spread, so as he suffered breathless difficult and must make use of respiratory aids,

The above translation provides additional detail on the suspect H5N1 bird flu cluster in Bandung. The older brother (23M) has already died, and the condition of the younger brother (20M) is critical. Their status is very similar to an earlier set of siblings who died in Bandung. However, the feeding of dead chickens to dogs is similar to the first cases reported in the Garut cluster. The sequence from H5N1 from one of the fatal cases in the Garut cluster is similar to the H5N1 found in almost all human isolates from Java, but has not been found in poultry on Java.

The failure to match the human sequences with the poultry sequences suggests an alternate reservoir is circulating H5N1. The only other matching sequence on Java was from cat in Jakarta, raising the possibility of a mammalian pet reservoir. H5N1 has been isolated from cats in several countries, including Thailand, Germany, Egypt, and Austria as well as from dogs in Thailand and Azerbaijan. In Thailand, the dog, domestic cat, and several wild cat H5N1 isolates have PB2 E627K, which is also in most human isolates from Vietnam and Thailand, but is not found in the Clade 1 H5N1 bird isolates. Moreover, cats and dogs in Thailand have H5N1 antibodies, signaling non-fatal infections.
 

JPD

Inactive
WHO names flu pandemic panel of experts

http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNe...25/who_flu_060925/20060925?hub=Health&s_name=

Updated Mon. Sep. 25 2006 1:04 PM ET

Associated Press

The World Health Organization has announced the membership of the panel of experts it will turn to for advice if it believes the threat of a flu pandemic is mounting.

The list of 20 or so international disease experts includes leading avian influenza expert Dr. Robert Webster of St. Jude's Research Hospital in Memphis, Tenn., Dr. Ab Osterhaus, a veterinary virologist at the Erasmus University in Rotterdam, and Dr. Nancy Cox, director of the influenza division at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control in Atlanta.

Dr. Theresa Tam, director of the Public Health Agency of Canada's respiratory infections division, is also on the committee, which convened for the first time Monday in Geneva.

The panel's mandate is to advise the director general of the WHO whenever it appears that there has been a change in the risk of a flu pandemic emerging. This group would review the evidence on patterns of infection and possible human-to-human spread and issue a recommendation on whether it believes it is time to change the pandemic staging level.

The final decision on whether to move up - or down - the pandemic alert ladder rests with the director general.

The WHO's pandemic phasing document is a six-step scale from no known pandemic threat (Phase 1) to a full-blown pandemic (Phase 6). The WHO's current assessment is that the world is in Phase 3 - a novel flu virus that has pandemic potential is causing sporadic human cases but only very limited human-to-human spread.

Evidence of some clustering of cases of human infections of H5N1 avian flu virus in Indonesia and elsewhere this year has led to questions from some quarters about whether the WHO ought to raise the pandemic alert level to Phase 4, characterized as "evidence of increased human-to-human transmission."

This new committee would be the body that would advise on that issue, if asked. But Monday's meeting was not called for that purpose, WHO officials have said. Instead, this meeting is a chance for the experts to hammer out a procedural framework for future deliberations.

Membership is drawn from the six administrative regions of the World Health Organization: Africa, the Americas, Southeast Asia, Europe, the Eastern Mediterranean and the Western Pacific.

Other members of the task force include Dr. Maria Zambon from Britain's public health agency; Dr. Martin Cetron, head of the global migration and quarantine division at the CDC; Masato Tashiro, director of Japan's National Institute of Infectious Diseases; and Russian virologist Dmitri Lvov.
 

JPD

Inactive
Progress in search for 'bird-flu herbs'

http://www.nationmultimedia.com/2006/09/26/national/national_30014649.php

Identifying the right herb as an alternative treatment for the bird-flu virus could take years, as it would not be simple to narrow down the list and complete testing, researchers have said.

Until recently, they were concerned about the cost of using the conventional tissue-culture method on 30,000 substances derived from 150 types of herbs to decide which could be effective.

But a new development has been helping in the fight - Kasetsart University's "Chemiebase", an Internet database of herbal extracts which could be used in simulating tests on whether certain herbal substances were worth further trial.

Containing about 100,000 3D chemical structures of herbal substances, the new database allows scientists to find herbal medication to fight bird flu.

With this "virtual screening" of 30,000 structures, it was found that only about 40 were actually worth further investigation, according to Chak Sangma of Kasetsart University's Chemino-fomatic Research Unit said.

This technique has just been introduced to herbal research in Thailand, although the programme has been widely used in the other countries such as China and India where herbal research is very advanced, said Chak, who is involved in Biotec's research.

Out of the 40 likely substances taken from a few types of plants, only one turned out to be effective in suppressing the H5N1 strain of bird flu, said Prof Pilaipan Puthavathana of Siriraj Hospital's Department of Microbiology, who tested the substances for Chak.

"This is the way to go. Even with the help of this programme, it took me several months to finish," she said. "I can't imagine how long and how impractical it would be to do a tissue culture on all of those substances to eventually get only one worth further investigation."

Developed by Kasetsart's Facul-ty of Science, the database is available free of charge at "http://chemiebase.ku.ac.th".

The researchers have decided to withhold the name of the herbal substance which in preliminary tests has proven effective in the fight against the bird-flu virus.

They were also still testing a few other substances which showed promise like the one already tested by Siriraj, according to Chak, who warned: "Don't hold your breath. It's not time to open the champagne just yet."

The researchers also have to bear in mind a drug that can effectively fight the virus in the laboratory might not always work when used on humans. So it could take 10 to 15 years to develop one herbal drug.

Arthit Khwankhom

The Nation
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Bird Flu Death in Thailand Raises Global Tally of Cases to 250

By Anuchit Nguyen and Karima Anjani

Sept. 26 (Bloomberg) -- A bird flu fatality in rural Thailand pushed the global tally of human cases to 250, as doctors in Indonesia treat five more suspected sufferers.

A 60-year-old man from Thailand's northeastern Nong Bua Lamphu province died on Aug. 10, Praj Boonyawongwirojana, the health ministry's permanent secretary, told reporters in Bangkok today. Samples were collected Aug. 12 though a positive test for the H5N1 avian flu strain wasn't confirmed until four days ago.

``This patient, a farmer, was infected by the bird flu virus but his death was caused by complications from a bacterial infection,'' said Thawat Suntrajarn, director general of the ministry's disease control department. ``We could not find the virus in the first few tests.''

Avian influenza deaths worldwide have more than doubled this year as the disease became entrenched in Indonesia, and moved westward to Turkey, Iraq, Azerbaijan and Egypt. Millions could die if the virus mutates to become easily transmissible between people, sparking a lethal pandemic.

Since 2003, H5N1 is known to have infected 249 people in 10 countries, killing 146 of them, the World Health Organization said yesterday. Almost all human H5N1 cases have been linked to close contact with sick or dead birds, such as children playing with them or adults butchering them or plucking feathers, according to the Geneva-based agency.

In Indonesia, which accounts for more than a third of H5N1 fatalities, tests for the virus are pending on five people hospitalized in two provinces.

Brother Died

One of the patients, a 20-year-old man from West Java, is on a respirator at the Hasan Sadikin Hospital. His brother died two days ago though the cause of his death can't be determined because a specimen wasn't collected before burial, said Fatimah Resmiati, an official at the provincial health office. Both men fell ill after feeding a dead chicken to their dog, she said.

Four people, three of whom belong to the same family, are being treated at the Adam Malik Hospital on the island of Sumatra. The patients' symptoms are improving, said Nur Rasyid Lubis, deputy director at the hospital. Two children, also belonging to the family, had been discharged from the hospital, Lubis said.

Thailand's latest confirmed case, the country's 17th reported fatality, occurred 610 kilometers (379 miles) northeast of the capital Bangkok. The farmer was treated with Roche Holding AG's antiviral medicine Tamiflu once doctors suspected avian flu was a possible cause of his illness.

``It took about 14 days after he fell sick before he admitted to having had contact with dead chickens,'' Thawat said. ``He loved his fighting cocks so much that he didn't want the authorities to kill his surviving birds if he reported a large number of dead chickens.''

Fighting Roosters

Thailand's fighting roosters are prized for gambling bouts and fetch as much as 500,000 baht ($13,369).

The latest case in Thailand, the world's fourth-biggest poultry exporter, is part of a fresh round of outbreaks that killed two others in the Southeast Asian country in July and August. Thailand has had 24 confirmed human cases of avian flu.

Thai authorities had four human influenza cases under surveillance as of Sept. 24, according to the Department of Disease Control's Web site. Two are in Kamphaeng Phet province, 358 kilometers north of Bangkok, and one each from Kanchanaburi province, 128 kilometers west of Bangkok, and Suphan Buri province, 100 kilometers northwest of the capital.

To contact the reporters on this story: Anuchit Nguyen in Bangkok at anguyen@bloomberg.net ; Karima Anjani in Jakarta at kanjani@bloomberg.net .

Last Updated: September 26, 2006 03:53 EDT

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601202&sid=aJzXTf2kJXSU&refer=health_care
 

JPD

Inactive
'What we have done so far on bird flu may not be enough'

http://www.thejakartapost.com/detailheadlines.asp?fileid=20060926.A03&irec=2

The government has stepped up its fight against avian influenza with the launch of a mass vaccination campaign earlier this month. The executive chairman of the National Committee for Avian Influenza Control and Pandemic Influenza Preparedness, Bayu Krisnamurthi, recently spoke with The Jakarta Post's Emmy Fitri about measures and plans designed to contain the outbreak of the disease.

The government seems to have responded to the emergence of avian influenza in humans at a snail's pace. Why?

It is a complicated issue here and it is absolutely not true to say the government has done nothing about it. We detected the disease in poultry as far back as 2003. The outbreak paralyzed some poultry centers in Central Java then. We declared the incident an extraordinary situation in poultry. However, the disease only began receiving huge attention after taking a toll on humans. I believe at that time none of us imagined the disease would develop rapidly like today.

Since bird flu broke out in poultry we have adopted measures that meet WHO and FAO standards to cope with the disease. We have culled fowl within a radius of one kilometer of any outbreak and vaccinated birds within a three-kilometer radius.

Why do these measures appear to have been ineffective, as we see the virus continue to spread to other areas?

People here have gradually begun to understand the danger of this virus, thanks to media coverage and local health campaigns. But there is also another aspect that is completely foreign to other countries. I remember quite well how a poultry farmer in Karo, North Sumatra, Pak Simbolon, who was so cooperative with us when we told him that his chickens must be culled. He was willing to take the Rp 12,500 compensation, but then he asked an honest question: What will I do to feed my family if you cull all my chickens? We were confronted with a tough question on the economic survival of these farmers. Here, there are a lot of human dynamics which are very delicate and unique. These aspects are not as simple as people think.

But a policy is a policy, isn't it?

It's true and we did wipe out the chicken population in the neighborhood, but this kind of problem makes us uneasy to move because there is the human aspect there.

What's your approach then?

Principally we are still adopting the same approach as before. First, in general, we are continuing surveillance. This surveillance is ostensibly enough for situations where there are no human fatalities. Once there is a human infection then we will start culling, using standards set by the WHO and FAO.

Basically, we have integrated surveillance to enable us to attack the virus at the source and execute the three programs of vaccination, culling compensation and biosecurity in poultry centers. This virus is smart and swift so we have to be smarter and quicker.

We have heard that even the policy makers are split when speaking about bird flu. How does the committee place itself between differing camps?

That is human nature everywhere. Policy makers are just human beings too. Many respond with a cold shoulder and many others overreact. Ignorant people ask why we are making all this fuss about bird flu while in the last one-and-a-half years only 47 people have died. The number of people killed in traffic accidents is much higher than that. Or endemic dengue fever, which kills 2,000 people a year, not to mention the deaths caused by other diseases.

This is not the right attitude, of course, because with avian influenza the intangible losses are far greater compared to the tangible ones.

However, those who get too panicked do not help either. We are now focusing on an awareness campaign. Our theme is tanggap (responsive), not waspada (alarmed). We want people to exercise personal hygiene, not to sleep near chickens, and if there are any dead chickens to report it to nearby health workers.

Do you think we are ready for a pandemic?

My question is what if a fire razed this building, are we prepared for that?

This country is facing myriad problems, natural disasters, social conflicts and many other unthinkable things, which forces us to only make short-term decisions or actions to address an issue. However, we must believe that a pandemic is possible, but on the other hand it could also be impossible.

It is always better to prepare with preventive measures rather than reactive ones. We have done our best with the knowledge we have, but what we have been doing may not be good enough. I don't want to boast, but we are trying to be prepared.

Do we actually have a contingency plan?

Yes, we do. But I have to be frank, if a pandemic occurs we would be facing huge losses due to our vast territory and population. We were overwhelmed by the tsunami in Aceh, and the fatalities from this disease could be greater than what we saw in Aceh.

We cannot project in any detail the size and extent of any possible pandemic. We may have the statistics but we cannot know if they are accurate. Victims would include not only the dead but those who need treatment. At best, we want to prevent a pandemic.

There has been endless discussion about the stockpiling of Tamiflu. Do we have enough in case of an emergency?

We have such a huge population and our projection is to stockpile 12 million pills. That's enough if there is only one or two incidents, but compared to our population of over 210 million that amount is far from enough. Concerning the stockpiling of drugs, my answer is the same if we were talking about the state budget.

As long as disease management is the sole burden of the government, it will never be enough. When we attended a meeting in Vienna earlier this year to discuss avian influenza, many experts agreed that dealing with this virus is like flying an airplane while making the plane. No one ever comes to totally correct and accurate decisions when dealing with something completely new.
 

JPD

Inactive
Indonesia probes possible bird flu cluster in family

http://today.reuters.com/news/artic...KOC_0_US-BIRDFLU-INDONESIA.xml&archived=False

By Ahmad Pathoni

JAKARTA (Reuters) - Indonesia is investigating a possible cluster of bird flu cases after a man died and his brother and sister were hospitalized, one of them testing positive for bird flu, a doctor said on Tuesday.

The man, 25, died on Sunday with bird flu symptoms after being treated at a Christian hospital in Bandung, the capital of West Java province, said Hadi Yusuf, head of the bird flu ward at the city's Hasan Sadikin hospital.

The dead man's brother, 20, and sister, 15, were being treated in Hasan Sadikin hospital and tests carried out by a government laboratory showed the surviving brother had bird flu, Yusuf said.

It was not clear if samples from the dead brother had been taken for tests when he was treated, the doctor said.

"The condition of the (other) brother is not good. He's on a ventilator," Yusuf told Reuters by telephone.

Results for the girl were expected on Wednesday, he said.

The brothers often bought dead chickens to feed their dog, but the girl had no known history of contact with chickens, the doctor said.

"If it is true that the youngest did not touch chickens at all and she had bird flu, we need to suspect she got it from the brothers," he said.

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), 146 of the 249 people confirmed as infected with H5N1 bird flu have died since 2003.

Those infected have come from countries ranging from China to Iraq to Djibouti. Indonesia, with 51 deaths, has the highest toll of any nation.

In Thailand, a 59-year-old man died of bird flu last month, the country's 17th victim of the virus since it swept through much of Asia in late 2003, a senior Health Ministry official said on Tuesday.

The man died on August 10 in a northeastern province near the Lao border after chickens at his house fell sick and died, the official said.

The virus mainly affects birds but experts fear it could mutate into a strain capable of killing millions of people in a global pandemic.

This fear heightened in May when seven people in an extended family died of bird flu in Indonesia's North Sumatra province.

The WHO has said limited human-to-human transmission is highly likely to have occurred in the Sumatra cases but that the transmission was not sustainable and occurred only during close, prolonged contact, such as a parent looking after an infected child.

Indonesia has been criticized for not doing enough to combat the disease, endemic in birds in most of the provinces in the archipelago of 17,000 islands, the world's largest.

The United Nations bird flu coordinator, David Nabarro, said this month that Indonesia had made progress in its fight against bird flu.

But he expressed disappointment at the slow flow of funds pledged by international donors to Indonesia for the effort.

Health experts and scientists say it is crucial to control the virus from spreading in poultry to limit the chances of more people contracting the disease. The more it spreads, the greater the risks of the virus mutating into a form that can easily pass between humans.
 

JPD

Inactive
Confirmed Fatal H5N1 Cluster in Bandung Indonesia Grows

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09260601/H5N1_Bandung_Grows.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 26, 2006

patient suspect bird flu that was treated in RS Handsome Sadikin (RSHS) Bandung since Sunday night (24/9), Zakaria Divine Guidance, 20, positive was infected by the virus H5N1.

Monday night (25/9), around struck 20.00 WIB, the brother of casualties's youngest child, the precious stone Diamond, 15, (Intan Mustika,)also was run off with to RS Handsome Sadikin Bandung because he complained suffered breathless, had a headache and hot. The "diamond complained was sick sepulang from delivering his older brother's body was buried in Garut."Because frightened of suffering the illness like his two older brothers, he was at once run to RSHS off with, explained the mother of the two casualties, Nurjanah, 43.

The above translation confirms an H5N1 bird flu cluster in Bandung. The index case (23M) has died with symptoms, but no sample was collected for testing. One of his brothers (20M) has now tested positive for H5N1, while another brother (15M) as been hospitalized with milder symptoms.

The index case was buried in Garut, where a dead chicken had been bought and fed to their dog. This cluster is similar to one of three clusters in Cikelet in Garut regency. That cluster also was linked to the feeding of dead chickens to dogs. In those linked clusters, three patients were confirmed, but like the cluster above, several relatives died prior to sample collection, and many additional contacts or relatives developed symptoms. A Tamiflu blanket was applied and most contacts recovered and tested negative for H5N1. However, the Tamiflu treatment may have masked the H5N1. The initial cases developed symptoms at the end of July, so testing of recovered patients for neutralizing H5N1 antibodies would be useful at this time. The cluster exceeded 20 and would be the largest reported to date if these patients tested positive for antibodies, because initial tests were negative, and a positive would signal sero-conversion and the patients would be confirmed cases.

The sequence of the H5N1 from one of the fatal cases in the earlier cluster was similar to the H5N1 found in patients on Java. These sequences have a novel cleavage site and do not match poultry isolates from Java, strongly suggesting an alternate reservoir of H5N1. Testing of dogs and other mammals in the Garut regency would be useful.
 

rcstew

Veteran Member
Confirmed Fatal H5N1 Cluster in Bandung Indonesia Grows

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09260601/H5N1_Bandung_Grows.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 26, 2006


The sequence of the H5N1 from one of the fatal cases in the earlier cluster was similar to the H5N1 found in patients on Java. These sequences have a novel cleavage site and do not match poultry isolates from Java, strongly suggesting an alternate reservoir of H5N1. Testing of dogs and other mammals in the Garut regency would be useful.

This part concerns me the most.

Cheryl
 

JPD

Inactive
Panel prepares for flu pandemic, moral treatment questions

http://www.news-record.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060926/NEWSREC0101/60926008/-1/NEWSREC0201

RALEIGH (AP) — With a flu pandemic inevitable, North Carolina's medical professionals must prepare now for what could be wrenching moral decisions about who will be treated and who won't if the illness overwhelms hospital resources, members of a state task force said.

The Task Force on Ethics and Pandemic Influenza Planning met recently to discuss a strong set of ethical guidelines for the state's doctors and nurses in the event of a global outbreak of a new and more virulent strain of flu virus.

The list would help them decide who gets priority for medical care in the face of a wave of flu-stricken patients that would rapidly outstrip the supply of hospital beds, medicine and equipment.

"It's going to exceed our capacity," Philip Rosoff, director of clinical ethics at Duke Hospital, said during a four-hour meeting of the task force Monday. "The more stringent and robust our guidelines are, the less chance there is for decisions being made for arbitrary and morally unjustifiable reasons."

Medical authorities say the next flu pandemic is long overdue and inevitable, based on the history of three deadly outbreaks in the 20th century: the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918-19, which killed 50 million to 100 million people worldwide; the Asian flu pandemic of 1957; and the Hong Kong flu pandemic of 1968.

Hospitals across North Carolina are already at 85 percent to 90 percent capacity, and even a mild pandemic would force doctors and nurses to ration medicine and equipment.

The 40-member task force, a joint project of the North Carolina Institute of Medicine and the state Division of Public Health that began meeting in May, wrestled with the wisdom of giving children priority for scarce anti-viral drugs and vaccines.

They also worried whether their guidelines would cut off the poor and disadvantaged, or Hispanic immigrants.

They debated a scenario involving three gravely ill patients — a 10-year-old with a 30 percent chance of survival, a 40-year-old doctor with a 25 percent chance and a 65-year-old retiree with a 10 percent chance — who all needed the only ventilator available to help them breathe.

"Let's say I've got a hospital full of 85-year-olds on ventilators and I've got a 20-year-old who needs a ventilator: Do I take an 85-year-old off and give it to the 20-year-old?" Rosoff asked.

The task force settled on two broad guidelines for rationing vaccines, anti-viral drugs and medical equipment during a flu pandemic.

The first is to assure that crucial functions of society aren't disrupted. That means giving priority for vaccines and anti-viral medication to health care workers, police, firefighters and employees of critical industries such as utilities.

The second is to reduce the number of deaths and infections and prevent the spread of the illness.

The panel is due to issue a report in the spring. In earlier meetings, members has discussed the responsibility of doctors and nurses to provide care during a pandemic, along with a hospital's responsibility to make sure those workers are safe, properly trained to handle unfamiliar tasks and paid for service during a crisis.

The panel also has drafted recommendations about the movement of people during a pandemic, including the use of quarantine and the closing of schools, churches and other mass gatherings.

Leaders of the task force have so far resisted issuing strict directives that might hamstring people who find themselves on the front lines when a crisis arrives. But John Morrow, health director for Pitt County, called Monday for a more direct approach.

"We're up here at 30,000 feet making these broad, philosophical statements, but nobody's going to read a paper like that," he said. "We've got folks with 100 doses of vaccine and everybody wants it, and we've got to give them specific guidelines on who gets it and why."
 

JPD

Inactive
Suspect Fatal H5N1 Cluster in Medan North Sumatra

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09260602/H5N1_Medan_Cluster.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 26, 2006

They that is BS, 33 (the father), LT, 31, (the mother), his children, RS, 12, TU 5 and JS, 1,2, that was brought by his family to RS Adam the Owner on Friday (22/9) was based on reconciliation from the Pakam The Deepest Part Hospital.

The suspicion improved when getting information that in their house region was gotten the poultry that died. Moreover, one of his children that other, RS, 11 died, but not yet clear his cause.

The above translation describes six family members who form a suspect H5N1 bird flu cluster in Medan, North Sumatra . The index case has already died, but no sample was collected for testing. The two youngest family members have been discharged. The mother, father, and oldest sibling however, remain hospitalized under Tamiflu treatment. Their fevers have begun to come down and test results have not been reported. However, it is likely that they will test negative for H5N1 by PCR test, because Tamiflu reduces the level of circulating virus.

The profile of this cluster is similar to many clusters in Indonesia and elsewhere. Because of the large number of clusters and high fatality rate, the use of Tamiflu has become more common. However, the extent of H5N1 infections and transmission in Indonesia is clouded because of the lack of data on convalescent antibody levels in recovered contacts.

This pattern became very clear in the Garut cluster. Although three patients did test positive to H5N1, each was linked to patients who died earlier and were not tested, or patients who were aggressively treated with Tamiflu after they developed symptoms. These patients largely tested negative for H5N1, but there has been no reports on neutralizing antibody levels in recovered patients. The antibody levels typically peak 3-4 weeks after symptoms, so testing of these patients at this time would define the size of the cluster, which involved over 20 hospitalized contacts.

The H5N1 from the Garut cluster was similar to the H5N1 from all but one of the human isolates from Java. This sequence does not match poultry isolates on Java.
 

JPD

Inactive
Fatal H5N1 Cluster in Tulungagang Indonesia

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09260603/H5N1_Tulungagung_Cluster.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 26, 2006

Surabaya, Kompas – the regional Public Hospital Dr Soetomo again received the patient with the assumption of suffering bird flu.

the patient was treated in intensive observation space in the Anathesi Building old and was handled by the team of the doctor who was led by Dr Palilingan.

The female patient berisial E (25) arrived, struck 23.00, on Monday (25/9).
The patient was reconciled from RSU Dr Iskhak helped Great because of not having intensive observation space there.

According to Santi, the patient's brother, in the last month dozens of chickens perliharaan their family died suddenly.

Last week the youngest child's brother Santi died after being treated 3 hours in RSU Dr Iskhak.

The above translation appears to be describing the transfer of the sister of the 66th confirmed H5N1 bird flu case in Tulungagung who was brought to Dr Iskak Tulungagung at 19:00 and died at 22:45 on September 18. Samples were collected from 5 family members of the boy’s (11M) family, as well as 20 hospital workers at RSUD Dr Iskak.

The transfer of his sister one week after the death of the confirmed index case is cause for concern. It remains unclear if additional family members are hospitalized at RSUD Dr Iskak or health care workers have shown symptoms, but the collection of 25 serum samples from contacts suggest there were significant concerns over a week ago.

Although the latest WHO update describing the index case mentions the dead poultry of a month ago, it fails to describe the case's hospitalized sister. The withholding of this information is cause for concern.
 

JPD

Inactive
Bird flu experts call for sharing virus samples - WHO

http://za.today.reuters.com/news/Ne...6819_RTRIDST_0_OZATP-BIRDFLU-WHO-20060926.XML

By Stephanie Nebehay

GENEVA (Reuters) - International experts on Tuesday called on countries to share freely all influenza virus samples and genetic sequencing data, key to developing a vaccine against a potential bird flu pandemic.

The appeal was among recommendations issued by the World Health Organisation's (WHO) new influenza pandemic task force, whose experts held a first, closed-door meeting in Geneva.

The 21-member task force was launched last May to advise the WHO's director-general on technical issues amid fears that the H5N1 virus could spark a human pandemic and could kill millions.

"They endorsed proposals for best practices in sharing of influenza viruses and specimens and genetic sequences...," David Heymann, WHO's acting special representative on avian influenza, told a news briefing.

Under WHO's system, virus samples should be shared by laboratories free of charge and any candidate viruses for vaccine production given to drugmakers at no cost.

But health officials have expressed concern that some developing countries are reluctant to release H5N1 animal and human virus information, with China often named as a hold-out.

The viruses remain the property of countries, and before any of the genetic sequence data is made available, the WHO seeks a country's specific permission to have the genetic sequence data posted on publicly accessible websites.

Some developing countries have voiced concerns that they may lose out on lucrative drugs' patents if data is handed over to Western pharmaceuticals.

"There was widespread agreement that this is an absolute critical public health activity for protecting us all against influenza," said Keiji Fukuda, coordinator of WHO's global influenza programme, after the meeting.

The task force will also advise the U.N. agency on issues including raising the phase of pandemic alert, which WHO officials said remained at level three out of six.

"I do want to emphasise that we are at pandemic alert phase three. We have not seen any event to indicate that we should be moving to the next phase," Fukuda said.

Bird flu remains essentially an animal disease, but there have been 249 confirmed human cases in 10 countries since late 2003, including 146 official fatalities, according to the WHO.
 

JPD

Inactive
An Indonesian Family Infected by Bird Flu

http://www.indonesia-relief.org/mod.php?mod=publisher&op=viewarticle&cid=39&artid=1706

Tuesday, 26-September-2006, 22:07:38

Jakarta, Komnas FPBI -- The Health Ministry of Indonesia confirmed today that a 20-year-old man in Bandung, West Java, has H5N1 avian influenza. The man is currently being treated in Hasan Sadikin Hospital in Bandung. This is the 68th and most recent confirmed human case of avian influenza in Indonesia.

According to ministry officials, the man's 15-year-old sister is also in hospital with suspected avian influenza. Specimens from the girl are now being tested at the Ministry of Health National Research and Development Laboratory, also known as Litbangkes. The results are expected later this week. Both the man and his sister are being treated with the anti-viral drug oseltamivir.

A third sibling from the same family, a 24-year-old man, died on Sunday, though the cause of his death has not been confirmed.

The Health Ministry says the Bandung Health Agency is also seeking specimens from other relatives of the confirmed case. The Agriculture Ministry's Avian Influenza Campaign Management Unit is waiting for laboratory results of specimens taken from local poultry to determine if they are infected with H5N1. Limited culling of poultry is taking place as a precautionary measure pending laboratory results.

Officials suspect that the case occurred due to dead chickens that were being brought by one of the siblings to the family's home.

''We encourage everyone to increase awareness and knowledge about avian influenza to protect them from being infected by the deadly virus. And that's why we think our public awareness campaign is very important,'' said Komnas FBPI chief executive officer Bayu Krisnamurti.

A national bird-flu public awareness campaign was launched on 1 September to tell every Indonesian about effective steps they can take to reduce the risk of contracting the H5N1 virus.

Meanwhile, in Pondok Pinang, South Jakarta, chickens are being culled and chicken coops are being sprayed with disinfectant in following the death of a local boy from avian influenza last week.

The 9-year-old boy, a resident of Pondok Pinang, died of H5N1 infection on September 22. The case was announced by the Ministry of Health yesterday.

An integrated government team, consisting of officials from the Health and Agriculture Ministries, the Jakarta Husbandry, Fishery and Marine Agency, as well as the Jakarta Health Agency, has taken sample specimens from poultry living nearby the boy's home. The specimens are now being tested at the Agriculture Ministry's animal health laboratory in Bogor, West Java. The results are expected to come out later this week.

Some close contacts of the boy are being administered the anti-viral drug oseltamivir. Specimens from the close contacts have also been sent for testing.

In Tulung Agung, East Java, where an 11-year-old boy died of avian influenza on 18 September, a provincial response team has found poultry infected with the H5N1 virus. As of Tuesday, the team had culled over 500 chickens as part of the effort to contain the virus.

The Health Ministry and the local Health Agency have also taken some specimens of relatives of the 11-year-old boy and people living in the area who have shown flu-like symptoms.

In Deli Serdang, North Sumatra, investigators are also waiting for the test results of specimen swabs taken from five other suspect cases, all of them members of the same family. The family is being treated at Adam Malik Hospital in Medan, one of the country's 44 hospitals designated as bird flu treatment centers. According to the Ministry of Health, the patients have experienced high fever and flu-like symptoms. They are being administered oseltamivir. The condition of two members of the family is improving.

Although the Deli Serdang cases have not been confirmed, district animal-health surveillance and control teams are investigating for possible sources of infection and are culling local chickens.

H5N1 is a highly pathogenic virus and it has infected poultry in 30 of the country's 33 provinces.

Of Indonesia's 68 confirmed human cases, 51 have been fatal.
 

JPD

Inactive
Nine tests failed to detect H5N1, doctors reveal

http://nationmultimedia.com/2006/09/27/national/national_30014707.php

Nong Bua Lamphu man, 59, becomes the third killed by disease this year

A 59-year-old man from Nong Bua Lamphu was yesterday declared the latest victim of bird flu, bringing Thailand's death toll to 17 since the disease was first detected in 2004.

The man is the third confirmed death from the infection this year. Officials said he was the first to die of complications rather than H5N1 itself.

"This case study has taught us that having the antiviral drug oseltamivir at hand doesn't necessarily mean we can cure it," said Dr Kumnuan Ungchusak, head of the Bureau of Epidemiology.

The case was the first that took almost a month from the day the patient fell ill to his eventual death, compared to past cases in which victims died within a few days of falling sick, Kumnuan said.

The Nong Bua Lumphu man, who lived in Nong Sang district, fell ill on July 14 with high fever and muscular pains. He was treated at the nearby primary care unit, but his condition did not improve, said Dr Prat Boonyawongwiroj, the permanent secretary for Public Health. Before his death, the man had been transferred to the Nong Sang district hospital and then to the Nong Bua Lumphu provincial hospital, where he died on August 10, the doctor said.

At first, doctors treating the man were not aware he had been in contact with sick chickens before falling ill, Dr Thawat Suntrajarn, the director-general of the Disease Control Department, said.

About two weeks after becoming ill, his wife finally told doctors he had touched some sick chickens earlier, Thawat said, explaining that was why doctors suspected he had leptospirosis instead of bird flu.

The patient had nursed about sick 40 chickens and treated some of them with a herbal drug, but most eventually died, Thawat said.

An autopsy revealed the man had succumbed to a drug-resistant bacteria called Acinetobacter, he said, adding the patient was given the antiviral oseltamivir right after his wife told doctors he had been in contact with sick chickens.

When the man was initially taken in for treatment, he was tested for H5N1 even though it was not known at that stage whether he had been in contact with sick poultry, Department of Medical Sciences chief Dr Paijit Warachit said.

The first advanced Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) test detected no signs of the H5N1 virus, nor did several repeat PCRs conducted later after the man's wife finally said that her husband had been in contact with sick chickens, Paijit said.

He was the first person to undergo nine PCR tests, yet the virus was still not detected until an autopsy was conducted on tissue taken from his lungs and faeces, he said.

That PCRs failed to detect the virus could be because of the effects of oseltamivir, which might have prevented the virus from being present in the respiratory-tract areas where swabs were taken for testing, according to Dr Tawee Chotpitayasundond, of the Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health.

The Department of Livestock Development, meanwhile, insisted Nong Bua Lumphu was not on the list of bird-flu districts and past testing on poultry had found no signs of H5N1 there.

There would be no culling of poultry in the province for now, Veterinarian Nirand Auengtrakul, director of the Bureau of Disease Control and Veterinary Services, said.

Governor Phairat Sakolphan has ordered an "X-ray check" across the province for the bird-flu epidemic.

Arthit Khwankhom
 

LA Woman

Membership Revoked
Bird flu remains essentially an animal disease, but there have been 249 confirmed human cases in 10 countries since late 2003, including 146 official fatalities, according to the WHO.

Statistically, this is such a NON-pandemic, there must be a propagandist reason why it still gets press.....

Couldn't you just teach the indigenous populations to wear a mask and wash their hands if they find it necessary to choke their chicken?
 

JPD

Inactive
False Negatives in Fatal H5N1 Case in Thailand Cause Concerns

http://www.recombinomics.com/News/09260604/H5N1_Thailand_False_9.html

Recombinomics Commentary
September 26, 2006

59-year-old man from Nong Bua Lamphu was yesterday declared the latest victim of bird flu

He was the first person to undergo nine PCR tests, yet the virus was still not detected until an autopsy was conducted on tissue taken from his lungs and faeces, he said.

That PCRs failed to detect the virus could be because of the effects of oseltamivir, which might have prevented the virus from being present in the respiratory-tract areas where swabs were taken for testing, according to Dr Tawee Chotpitayasundond, of the Queen Sirikit National Institute of Child Health.

The above comments describe confirmation of a fatal H5N1 infection in a patient in Thailand who died almost a month after being admitted. Although H5N1 was present during the entire time of hospitalization, it was not detected until autopsy in spite of running 9 PCR tests.

The data raise serious questions about the WHO reliance on PCR test to confirm H5N1bird flu infections, especially on samples collected after Tamiflu treatment has begun. The number of false negatives in Thailand is not known, but the number of such negatives in Indonesia is likely to be high, especially in pandemic regions where Tamiflu blankets are applied.

The recent outbreak in Garut in West Java in Indonesia is an example of such false negatives. Patients linked to three separate clusters where H5N1 confirmed, but initial cases died prior to sample collection and subsequent patients were tested after the Tamiflu blanket was applied. Consequently, only three of the more than 20 hospitalized patients were confirmed.

There are three current clusters being reported in Indonesia. In two of the clusters, H5N1 has been confirmed. However, several patients are` improving after initiation of Tamiflu treatment and have not been reported to be H5N1 positive.

The recovered patients should be tested 3-4 weeks after disease onset to determine if they have neutralizing H5N1 antibodies, signaling a recent H5N1 infection. Without these additional tests, the extent of H5N1 spread among contacts of the index cases will remain unclear and the repeated false negatives will create a significant undercount in the number of cluster and length of transmission chains.
 

JPD

Inactive
Australia

Sydney Airport: Suspected bird flu case rushed to hospital

Medics play down man's bird flu fears

http://www.smh.com.au/news/National...-bird-flu-fears/2006/09/27/1159036583162.html

September 27, 2006 - 11:49AM

NSW Health says it is extremely unlikely a man rushed to hospital from an international flight at Sydney Airport on Wednesday morning has bird flu.

The man aged in his 30s was isolated by quarantine officers at Sydney Airport after falling ill on a Vietnam Airways flight from Hanoi via Ho Chi Minh City with flu-like symptoms.

The man whose nationality is unknown has been taken to St George Hospital for bird flu testing.

NSW Health Communicable Diseases director Jeremy McAnulty said the man had been quarantined as a precaution but initial tests showed it was unlikely he was suffering from bird flu.

"It turns out that is a very unlikely diagnosis." Dr McAnulty told reporters.

"But the person's still being assessed in hospital.

"Our concern is whether a person has a quarantinable disease or avian influenza and at this stage it seems very unlikely that that's the case."

The man's recent history of being in an area with chickens in Vietnam and having a previous influenza-like illness had sparked concern, Dr McAnulty said.

Mildly unwell when he boarded the plane, the man had become "difficult to rouse" when the flight touched down in Sydney, Dr McAnulty said.

Quarantine officers wearing protective clothing had boarded the aircraft, isolated the man and escorted him to a waiting ambulance.

He was being assessed by experts but bird flu was "way down the bottom" of the list of possible diagnoses, Dr McAnulty said.

He said the chances of the man's travelling companion or other passengers on the flight being infected were the illness bird flu was extremely low.

"At this stage we think that the likelihood that he'd be infectious to other people is extremely low," he said.

"However, if that changes, then we have mechanisms in place to follow up other passengers, but at this stage we don't believe (there is) any risk."

As a routine precaution, the details of the man's immediate neighbours had been taken and if the risk assessment changed these would be followed up.

Despite the relatively low risk of human transmission, authorities took the threat of bird flu very seriously, Dr McAnulty said.

"It's very rare for people to get infected from avian influenza, even if they have close contact with chickens or other birds that are infected with it," he said.

"But rarely it does occur and if people do get infected with avian influenza they could get seriously unwell, so on balance we take it very seriously."

If the man was diagnosed with bird flu he would be placed on anti-influenza drugs and a communicable disease response activated, Dr McAnulty said.

"From a public health point of view, the risk of person-to-person transmission is extraordinarily low, there's only really been one or two of those possibilities around the world in the past," he said.

"However, as a precaution, we'd be contacting (those who had) close contact."
 

JPD

Inactive
Bird flu case confirmed in possible cluster

http://www.thejakartapost.com/detailheadlines.asp?fileid=20060927.A06&irec=5

The Jakarta Post, Bandung, Jakarta

Health officials said Tuesday they were examining possible intra-human transmission of bird flu in West Java, where a hospitalized 20-year-old male resident of Bandung tested positive for the virus.

It brings bird flu cases to 67 in Indonesia, which holds the world record of 51 deaths, including 40 this year.

The director of Hasan Sadikin General Hospital in Bandung, Cissy Rachiana Prawira, said Tuesday the central laboratory in Jakarta confirmed the young man was infected with H5N1.

His 23-year-old brother had died Sunday afternoon before he could be taken to hospital for testing. Their sister, aged 15, was admitted to the hospital Monday night after developing a fever and cough.

It has led to speculation that it is a cluster infection, with the family possibly infected from the same source.

Hadi Jusuf, who heads the bird flu team at Hasan Sadikin, said the younger brother's condition had not improved since his treatment began in an isolation ward at the hospital.

He remains unconscious and showed signs of respiratory distress, Hadi said. His white blood cell level is still under 2,000.

"He's still on a ventilator and we are watching him closely. The pneumonia which was previously only found on the lower side of his left lung has now spread to both sides."

The parents of the three are still in shock, especially with the investigation into their eldest son's infection with H5N1 focusing on the family's feeding of dead chickens to their dogs.

"I don't want my youngest child to be sick either. That's why when she complained that she had fever, headache and cough, I immediately took her to the hospital," the mother told journalists at home, as the Bandung agriculture office took blood samples of 13 chickens and four ducks they kept to see if the animals were infected with H5N1.

The head of the Bandung health office, Gunadi S. Bhinekas, said his office would increase its public awareness campaigns about bird flu and sanitation to keep the virus from spreading. Poultry infections in Bandung have been found in 14 subdistricts.

"We are working with the agriculture office to closely watch the slaughterhouses and to do mapping of the areas with bird flu cases in poultry."

The head of the Bandung agriculture office, Yogi Supardjo, said his office had difficulty in monitoring the traffic of poultry in the West Java capital.

"We can't monitor it all the time, so we're asking people to take the initiative to vaccinate their poultry and maintain proper sanitation."

Meanwhile, the Indonesian Committee for Bird Flu Control and Influenza Pandemic Preparedness said the government was investigating the latest bird flu fatality, a nine-year-old boy who died Friday in Jakarta.

The boy, believed to have had contact with sick chickens, died in a hospital nine days after he first showed symptoms of the virus, including high fever and difficulty breathing.

In a statement released on Monday night, the committee also urged local figures and leaders to be involved in the campaign to raise public awareness about bird flu.
 

JPD

Inactive
Australia

Bird flu man may have been drug courier

http://www.theage.com.au/news/Natio...en-drug-courier/2006/09/27/1159036583162.html

September 27, 2006 - 11:49AM

A man who sparked a bird flu scare when he became ill on a flight to Sydney from Vietnam may have been a drug courier whose illness was caused by a heroin-filled condom bursting in his stomach.

Neither the Australian Federal Police (AFP) nor the Ambulance Service of NSW would comment on media reports the man was a drug courier trying to smuggle heroin into Sydney.

Ambulance officers saved the man by administering Narcan, which is used to treat heroin overdoses, the reports on the Seven and Nine networks said.

The man, aged in his 30s, was placed in quarantine after being stretchered off a Vietnam Airlines flight which arrived at Sydney Airport from Hanoi via Ho Chi Minh city about 8.30am (AEST).

NSW Health Communicable Diseases director Jeremy McAnulty said initial tests at St George Hospital showed it was very unlikely he had the deadly avian influenza.

NSW Health Minister John Hatzistergos said he did not want to comment on the matter as the AFP had become involved.

The AFP said the man was a person of interest but would not comment on the drug courier allegations.

"This man is now a person of interest to the AFP and investigations are continuing," a spokesman said.

Dr McAnulty said the man's recent history of being in an area with chickens in Vietnam and having a previous influenza-like illness had sparked concern when he arrived in Sydney.

"It turns out that is a very unlikely diagnosis," Dr McAnulty told reporters.

"But the person's still being assessed in hospital.

"Our concern is whether a person has a quarantinable disease or avian influenza and at this stage it seems very unlikely that that's the case."

Mildly unwell when he boarded the plane, the man had become "difficult to rouse" when the flight touched down in Sydney, Dr McAnulty said.

Quarantine officers wearing protective clothing had boarded the aircraft, isolated the man and escorted him to a waiting ambulance.

He said even if the man had contracted avian flu, the chances of his travelling companion or other passengers being infected were extremely low.

"At this stage we think that the likelihood that he'd be infectious to other people is extremely low," he said.

"However, if that changes, then we have mechanisms in place to follow up other passengers, but at this stage we don't believe (there is) any risk.

"... the risk of person-to-person transmission is extraordinarily low. There's only really been one or two of those possibilities around the world in the past."

The federal government has developed a detailed plan to combat the flu if it reaches Australian shores.

About 50 million surgical masks and 40 million syringes have been stockpiled along with mass quantities of anti-virals including Tamiflu, widely regarded as the best drug for combating bird flu.
 
Top