05/26 | Daily Bird Flu Thread: Indonesia's local test shows another bird flu cluster

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Indonesia

UPDATED: 07:53, May 26, 2006

Indonesia's local test shows another bird flu cluster death

Two people from one family, who died earlier this week in West Java province, have been tested positive to bird flu virus by a local lab, the Indonesian Health Ministry said in Jakarta Thursday.

"They are brother and sister, both are positively infected," Director of Health and Environmental Health of the Ministry I Nyoman Kandun Kandun told Xinhua.

However, he could not confirm whether the two had contact with fowls.

Their blood samples have been sent to the World Health Organization affiliated laboratory for bird flu test in Hong Kong, he said.

The death of the two came after the biggest bird flu cluster death in North Sumatra province earlier this month.

Indonesia is probing into possible human-to-human transmission.

Experts fear that the virus could mutate to a certain form that can easily transmit from human to human, which can kill millions of people.

The WHO has confirmed 32 people have been killed by the highly pathogenic H5N1 virus in Indonesia.

Source: Xinhua

http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200605/26/eng20060526_268629.html

:vik:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Nigeria

UPDATED: 08:17, May 26, 2006
Nigeria confirms fresh outbreak of bird flu

The Nigerian Veterinary Research Institute (NVRI) on Thursday confirmed another outbreak of bird flu at a poultry farm in Kakara village in the northern state of Kano.

Timothy Obi, leader of the Avian Influenza task force team of the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) , told reporters that the institute said it had diagnosed samples of dead chickens from the farm and found them to be infected with the deadly H5N1 virus.

An official at the Avian Influenza Crisis Management Center who preferred anonymity also confirmed the outbreak.

"The virus was detected on Monday among the over 16,000 chickens on the farm," he said, adding that 11 samples of the dead chickens from the farm were taken to the NVRI for laboratory analysis which later confirmed the virus.

Malam Mohammed Aminu Adamu, chairman of Kano Branch of the Poultry Association of Nigeria (PAN), said that already all birds at Omatiga farm where the outbreak occurred have been culled while the farm had been decontaminated to curtail possible spread.

According to a source at the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, the government is worried at the resurgence of the disease in Kano, a month after it was declared free of the virus was worrisome.

The source said the government, the Nigeria Veterinary Council and the FAO officials were intensifying their surveillance, while the NVRI was continuing with the task of finding ways to stamp out the deadly disease.

The outbreak of avian influenza, otherwise known as bird flu, was first confirmed in the country on Feb.7, 2006. But so far no human being has been infected.

Source: Xinhua

http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200605/26/eng20060526_268732.html

:vik:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Indonesia

Fri 26 May 2006

33 quarantined as bird flu hits Sumatra village

HEALTH experts have asked 33 people in a remote Sumatran village to quarantine themselves after the H5N1 bird flu virus killed up to seven members of a family there. Epidemiologists have failed to track down the source of infection and the World Health Organisation said limited human-to-human transmission might have occurred.

http://news.scotsman.com/index.cfm?id=777862006

:vik:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Iran

WHO seeks details on Iran bird flu tests

Web posted at: 5/26/2006 2:39:9

Source ::: REUTERS

GENEVA • The World Health Organisation (WHO) said yesterday it has asked Iran for details on the tests run on two dead pneumonia patients that the government says were negative for the H5N1 bird flu strain.

An Iranian medical official had on Monday said a brother and sister who died in the northwest city of Kermanshah were found to have the virus, but Iranian Health Minister Kamran Lankarani denied the account, insisting the tests were negative.

WHO spokeswoman Maria Cheng said Iranian officials also told the agency’s regional office in Cairo that the samples were negative for the deadly virus.

She said the WHO’s regional staff members have sought more details from Iran.

“They have asked the ministry of health for further clarification on what kind of tests they ran,” Cheng said.

Iran found the H5N1 strain in wild swans in February, but has not had a confirmed human death from the deadly bird flu. The virus has in recent months killed people in neighbouring countries Turkey, Iraq and Azerbaijan.

http://www.thepeninsulaqatar.com/Di...month=May2006&file=World_News200605262399.xml

:vik:
 

JPD

Inactive
WHO: More Indonesians quarantined, none sick

http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/storypage.aspx?StoryId=39933

GENEVA - Health experts have now asked 54 people in a remote Indonesian village to quarantine themselves at home, up from 33 earlier, but none are reported to have any bird flu symptoms, the World Health Organization (WHO) said on Friday.

The measures were taken after the H5N1 bird flu virus killed as many as seven family members in the Simbelang village in north Sumatra earlier this month.

The United Nations health agency said earlier this week that limited human-to-human transmission between family members might have occurred in the largest known cluster of cases of the deadly disease.

"The number of close contacts under home quarantine has been increased to 54," WHO spokesman Gregory Hartl said in Geneva.

None of the close contacts of the victims had shown any symptoms of the disease, according to the spokesman.

But 39 of them were taking the antiviral Tamiflu, by Swiss drugmaker Roche, as a precaution. The WHO recommends Tamiflu as the frontline drug against the disease.

"All who can take it are. The others are not taking it because they are either pregnant, lactating mothers or children," Hartl said.

The WHO has stressed that even if human-to-human transmission did occur, it was in a very limited way and the infection has not spread beyond the family. Genetic analysis has shown the virus has not mutated into one that can be easily passed among people, according to the agency.

The virus has killed 124 people among 218 stricken with the disease in 10 countries since late 2003, according to the WHO.
Reuters
 

JPD

Inactive
Bird flu outbreak registered in eight villages in Siberia-1

http://en.rian.ru/russia/20060526/48645365.html

MOSCOW, May 26 (RIA Novosti) - New cases of bird flu have been registered in eight villages in three Siberian regions, the agriculture ministry said Friday.

"Fowl infected with avian influenza have been registered in three villages in Novosibirsk Region, four villages in Omsk Region, and one village in Altai Territory," the ministry said in a statement.

None of the infected birds had been vaccinated against the disease, the ministry said.

The Emergency Situations Ministry said last month that around 1.1 million birds had died of the disease in Russia, and that 300,000 had been culled in measures to control the spread of the virus since the beginning of February.

No human cases of bird flu have yet been diagnosed in Russia.
 

JPD

Inactive
75 Bird Flu Outbreaks Confirmed In Romania

http://www.mediafax.ro/english/arti...-Outbreaks-Confirmed-In-Romania-495041-9.html

BUCHAREST, May 26

Seventy-five bird flu outbreaks were confirmed in 10 Romanian counties so far and there are 35 more suspected virus outbreaks in eight counties and in one district of Bucharest, authorities said Friday.

In the capital city Bucharest, the bird flu virus was already confirmed in districts 2 and 4.

Romania’s Health Ministry Thursday banned the quarantine of humans countrywide, based on recommendations from the World Health Organization, or WHO, which said, "Bird flu mainly affects poultry and rarely represents a threat to humans".

Late Wednesday, WHO revised its international regulations concerning bird flu, imposing only traffic measures in virus outbreak areas, said Rodica Costina, director of the Health Ministry’s public health department.

Authorities said the ban on transporting live birds stayed valid.

Thursday, prime minister Calin Popescu Tariceanu appointed a new head of the country’s veterinary authority, after he sacked Ion Agafitei, the former director, last week for negligence that led to the resurgence of the bird flu virus.

On Wednesday, Tariceanu replaced agriculture minister Gheorghe Flutur at the leadership of the joint commission managing the bird flu outbreak, after President Traian Basescu criticized the latter’s handling of the crisis.

Romania must show the European Union by October that it can deal with food safety issues if it wants to join the 25-member block on January 1, 2007. Three of the four still red-flagged issues the country has to solve by fall deal with the agriculture and the veterinary fields.
 

Bill P

Inactive
http://www.birdflubreakingnews.com/...IDST_0_BIRDFLU-INDONESIA-UPDATE-1-PICTURE.XML


UPDATE 1-Poultry dying in Indonesia village likely flu source
Fri May 26, 2006 7:05 AM ET
Printer Friendly | Email Article | Reprints | RSS (Page 1 of 2)
(Adds details)
By Tan Ee Lyn

JAKARTA, May 26 (Reuters) - Chickens are dying in unusually large numbers in a remote area in Indonesia where bird flu killed several members of a family, and experts say the first victim in the cluster was probably infected by a diseased chicken.

For weeks now, health experts have been trying to hunt down the source that introduced the H5N1 bird flu virus to the family in Kubu Sembilang village in north Sumatra, killing as many as seven of them.

The case has drawn immense interest because it is the largest known family cluster involving H5N1 and the World Health Organisation (WHO) said this week that limited human-to-human transmission between members of the family might have occurred.

Tests done on samples from pigs, chickens and ducks in the area have been inconclusive and experts have long maintained that nothing can be ruled out. This is the first time that they have narrowed down the likely source to poultry.

"What we're finding out the longer our team stays up in that area is that there are many, many outbreaks in chickens that always go unreported," Steven Bjorge, a WHO epidemiologist.

"Just in the past couple of weeks they have found a couple of outbreaks of chickens dying in various villages in that area ... that raises the very real possibility that people can come into contact with this virus."

Referring to the first victim in the cluster, a 37-year-old woman who died on May 4, Bjorge said: "The first case has to get it from somewhere. It has to be something environmental."

Asked if sick chickens were responsible for this index case, he said: "We think that it has to be that way."

The WHO has stressed that even if human-to-human transmission did occur, it was in a very limited way and the infection had not spread beyond the initial cluster.

In addition, scientific evidence had shown the virus had not mutated into one that can be easily passed among people -- a necessary precursor for a pandemic to start.


CLOSE CONTACT

Still, human-to-human transmission may have figured largely in the Sumatran cluster after the first woman was in all likelihood infected by chickens.

"We can't rule it (human-to-human transmission) out in most of the cases, because they were all in very close contact in the very same environment. We can't rule in out," Bjorge said.

Although Bjorge said it was up to Indonesia's Agriculture Ministry to find out if the chickens around the Kubu Sembilang village were indeed dying of H5N1, he said Indonesia was awash with the virus.

"Basically, the virus is totally endemic in Indonesia, thoroughly entrenched in backyard chickens. That doesn't mean they are dying every day in the same house. It jumps from place to place," he added.

Since re-emerging in Asia in late 2003, the virus has infected at least 218 people worldwide, killing 124 of them. Most of the cases occurred in places with outbreaks of the disease in poultry and victims were infected after direct contact with sick chickens.

Experts have stressed repeatedly the need to separate poultry from people -- advice many Asian communities ignore.

For centuries, people have reared chickens for food and to earn a living. And in Indonesia, between 30 percent and 50 percent of its one billion chicken population are kept in the backyards of homes.
 

Bill P

Inactive
2006052606391501.jpg


It looks like 2006 will pass all of 2005 soon.
 

Bill P

Inactive
Bill P: This seems to suggest that recombination with more common flu viruses is occuring in Indonesia. If so, the Pandemic is out of the starting gate.

http://www.birdflubreakingnews.com/...et.com/english/2006-05/26/content_4605729.htm

Human-to-human infection of bird flu taking place in Indonesia, expert

www.chinaview.cn 2006-05-26 19:10:49


Special report: Global fight against bird flu

JAKARTA, May 26 (Xinhua) -- Indonesian bird flu researcher CA Nidom MS said he was convinced that human-to-human bird flu infection had been taking place in Indonesia, official news agency Antara reported on Friday.

"I am convinced human-to-human infection has been taking place because studies have found the development of H3N2 and H1N1 strains of bird flu virus which originated from H5N1 virus. Much more, fowl-to-human infection cannot yet be proven since the death of Iwan in Tangerang," he said on the sidelines of a seminar on bird flu in Surabaya, East Java, on Friday.

Nidom, a researcher of the Tropical Disease Centre (TDC) of theUniversity of Airlangga (Unair)'s Medical School, made the remarks in response to a statement by a World Health Organization official that bird flu infection from human to human had been found in the village of Kubu Sembelang, Tanah Karo district, North Sumatra, Indonesia.

According to Nidom, who is also a lecturer at the Unair's Medical School, the WHO official's statement was logical because the avian influenza was just like a common flu so that there was no need to be panicked.

"I have disclosed this conclusion in Pontianak last April," he added.

Seven of the nine dead victims were cluster victims who suffered from the same symptoms, WHO spokesman Peter Cordingley said in Manila on Thursday.

But the WHO conclusion was denied by Health Minister Siti Fadila Supari.

"The cluster bird flu case in Tana Karo cannot yet be said a human-to-human bird flu case because proof on the mutation of virus DNA which is identical with the H5N1 strain of virus that infected the nine victims has not yet been found. And there is no proof of epidemiological human-to-human infection," the minister said.

As the disease expands all over the world, experts fear that the virus can mutate into a certain form that easily transmits from human to human, which will kill millions of people.

Some 27 out of 33 provinces in Indonesia have been contracted with bird flu, while human fatality stands at 32 and infections at 43, according to the WHO.

All over the world, the WHO has raised the confirmed human death toll from the H5N1 bird flu strain to 122, while the total number of confirmed human infections since the current outbreak began in 2003 has reached 216. Enditem
 

BerkshireGrl

Inactive
I'm a little confused here. So there's a brother and sister who died in Indosnesia, AND a brother and sisiter who died in Iraq, although unconfirmed with bird flu??? Boy it sure looks like some more clusters popping up either way. This thing is really spreading. Better really top off the preps now.:shk:


BerkshireGrl
 

New Freedom

Veteran Member
WHO is not raising level 3 to level 4, but they are taking other serious actions 'behind the scenes'........




http://www.iii.co.uk/news/?type=afxnews&articleid=5656593&action=article


WHO governments agree to boost flu alert plans



GENEVA (AFX) - The World Health Organisation's member states agreed to immediately bolster global alert measures to ward off a threatened flu pandemic.

In a resolution adopted unanimously by the WHO's annual assembly, the 192 nations agreed to voluntarily implement international rules to cope with public health emergencies a year early just for influenza.


The move also includes any new subtype of the influenza virus as a disease requiring urgent notification to the WHO under the organisation's International Health Regulations.

The revised regulations were passed in 2005, but are only due to come into effect in June 2007.

The countries agreed to give "transparent and urgent" notice of any probable or confirmed human cases of avian influenza.

All countries will also designate officials who will act as "focal points" in an emergency to smooth the response to an outbreak.


The WHO also pledged to provide financial and other assistance to countries that do not have the means to respond to an avian or pandemic-type flu outbreak.
 

New Freedom

Veteran Member
http://www.futurepundit.com/archives/003481.html


May 25, 2006
H5N1 Bird Flu Human To Human Transmission?


The World Health Organization is pondering whether to raise the level of alert on H5N1 avian influenza.

JAKARTA, Indonesia, May 24 -- The World Health Organization might soon convene an expert panel to decide whether an unprecedented human outbreak of bird flu in Indonesia should trigger a higher global alert for a possible pandemic, health officials said Wednesday.

Why this concern? Suspected Human-To-Human (H2H) transmission of bird flu in 8 members of an Indonesia family got bird flu. Only 1 survived! A strain this lethal would exact a terrible toll if it mutates into a pandemic strain.

Indonesian health authorities this week confirmed that the virus had killed at least six members from one extended family on Sumatra island, including a 32-year-old man Monday. A seventh family member also died from what investigators suspect was bird flu, but she was buried before samples could be taken. Another relative is hospitalized with a confirmed case and is recovering.

Experts fear the bird flu spread in this family from person to person person.

May 24, 2006 (CIDRAP News) – For the first time, evidence suggests that the H5N1 avian influenza virus may have passed from one person to another and on to a third, according to a World Health Organization (WHO) official.

Referring to the extended-family case cluster in Indonesia, the WHO's Maria Cheng told the Canadian Press (CP) yesterday, "This is the first time we have seen cases that have gone beyond one generation of human-to-human spread."

The big fear about bird influenza is that it could mutate so that such human-to-human transmission becomes easy.

Even the first case in this cluster had no easily identifiable animal source of initial exposure.

One of the major puzzles about the cluster, in which human-to-human-to-human transmission is suspected, is the lack of an identifiable animal source of infection for the first case. Steven Bjorge, a WHO epidemiologist in Jakarta, told the AP that the 37-year-old deceased woman who is regarded as the first case-patient might have picked up the virus in her home or workplace. She died April 29 and was buried before samples could be collected for testing, but the WHO believes her illness was avian flu.

"We believe she may have had some contact either with dead or dying chickens in her household or through her activities as a vegetable grower and a seller in a market," Bjorge said of the woman.

The family were exposed to each other and members successively became sick.

On April 29, three people who later fell ill shared a small room with the mother of the family, who was gravely ill and coughing, and has since died. Others who have been stricken cared for family members who were dying. There are no cases reported in the village outside of the family.

The fact that other members of their village have not yet become ill is good news. Hopefully this cluster won't get any larger.

Recombinomics influenza commentator Henry Niman argues that the incubation time of H5N1 bird flu is overestimates by some public health officials and therefore they are underestimating the extent of human-to-human transmission.

WHO assumes that the incubation time for bird flu in humans is 7 to 10 days, longer than that of regular flu, she said.

Henry Niman, who runs recombinomics.com, a Web site tracking the genetics of flu cases, argues that the incubation period is closer to the two to four days of regular flu, so the boy may have been infected by another family member, meaning that the virus may have made three consecutive human-to- human jumps.

But Cheng said the health agency's "working hypothesis" was still that it had jumped only twice.

Niman thinks the number of human-to-human (H2H) clusters has been underestimated due to the overestimate of the H5N1 incubation time. Niman therefore believes that we are already at phase 4 of the development of a pandemic virus strain. Phase 5 would include a much higher level of H2H transmission. Phase 6 would be "it is time to move to that cabin in the country with lots of survivalist supplies".

I do not know if or when H5N1 will mutate into a pandemic strain. I hope it does not. But if it does then you should prepare yourself to rapidly and radically restructure your life to decrease your odds of getting exposed to carriers.
 

New Freedom

Veteran Member
This is an eye-opening interview ! The index case in this cluster might have gotten from another person.......someone who went undetected......imo.....

http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2006/s1648119.htm


WHO concerned over latest bird flu outbreak


The World Today - Friday, 26 May , 2006 12:42:00
Reporter: Simon Lauder

ELEANOR HALL: In responding to the worst single outbreak of bird flu in the entire Asia Pacific region, medical experts in Indonesia have today pointed to the failure of Indonesian Government to deal properly with a bird flu outbreak.

Seven people from a single family died in Sumatra, but already it's feared the Government's mishandling of the incident means there's no chance of determining whether the virus was transferred from human to human.

Simon Lauder reports.

SIMON LAUDER: If the deadly H5N1 strain of bird flu mutates to become contagious among humans, it could become a global pandemic.

Dr Ian Gust is the director of a World Health Organisation research centre in Melbourne. He says a WHO team in north Sumatra has failed to find any infected poultry in the immediate area of an outbreak which has killed seven people at Kubu Sembelang.

IAN GUST: They're studying the outbreak and looking to see if they can tease out how the transmission occurred from individual to individual. They're keeping a significant number of locals under observation, to see whether the infection has been transmitted to them.

I'm not aware as to whether or not they've administered antivirals to them or not.

SIMON LAUDER: Is the WHO now certain that this has been a case of human to human transmission?

IAN GUST: No, they're not. It's always very difficult when you come in cold on a case after a lot of the evidence has gone away to make that distinction between all of them having been infected from a common source, or alternatively for some of the infections to have been transmitted from person to person.

SIMON LAUNDER: That concern about a lack of evidence is echoed by an Australian bird flu expert who's been working in Indonesia for eight years, Dr Andrew Jeremijenko.

ANDREW JEREMIJENKO: A number of suspect cases were released out from the hospital and allowed to go back into the community to cough on people when they were very sick, and then to come back to the hospital to die.

If this had been a test to see whether Indonesia can control a pandemic virus, basically they failed the test.

SIMON LAUDER: Dr Jeremijenko says of the more than 30 confirmed bird flu deaths in Indonesia, no infection source has ever been confirmed.

ANDREW JEREMIJENKO: In Indonesia, because of religious reasons, people like to be very quickly, within the day if possible. Because of this there has been no autopsy done in Indonesia.

SIMON LAUDER: What can be done to overcome this difficulty with a cultural clash of purposes, I suppose?

ANDREW JEREMIJENKO: It's a, it's a difficult issue. I think at some stage someone in a high, a high-ranking official really has to stand in and request that an autopsy is done because of the public need for this information.

SIMON LAUDER: The World Health Organisation says there's no evidence at this stage that the H5N1 bird flu virus has mutated to pass from human to human. Although, Dr Jeremijenko suspects it already is, but he says not everyone is susceptible, only people who share genes.

ANDREW JEREMIJENKO: Around 22 people were in the houses that had infected people, and the only ones of those that got infected were blood relatives, and most of the ones that weren't related by blood did not get infected.

SIMON LAUDER: Indonesia's official bird flu death toll is 33, but Dr Jeremijenko fears it could actually be in the hundreds.

ANDREW JEREMIJENKO: Indonesia has many deaths every day - 300 deaths from tuberculosis every day, 2,000 deaths from acute respiratory infections every day. There is every chance that we are missing bird flu cases.

SIMON LAUDER: With failures to take samples from people who have died, and also to track the source of infections, the WHO's Dr Ian Gust shares concerns that Indonesia is not reacting fast enough to bird flu outbreaks.

IAN GUST: To me, the most important thing about this current episode is it's a kind of a test of the system in Indonesia, a recognition that things need to be done a bit more swiftly.

SIMON LAUDER: Today a senior Indonesian Health Ministry official says one of two siblings admitted to hospital earlier this week in the West Java capital of Bandung has now tested positive to H5N1.

The younger sibling, a 10-year-old girl, died on Tuesday.

ELEANOR HALL: Simon Lauder with that report.
 

New Freedom

Veteran Member
and the stories continue........

The law calls for lengthy jail sentences for anyone hampering government efforts to curb or prevent an epidemic, including those who refuse to submit themselves or their animals to tests to detect the presence of a virus or disease.


http://www.forextelevision.com/FT/AFX/ShowStory.jsp?seq=112062


Two Indonesian siblings die of bird flu, according to local tests

05/26/06 10:28 am (GMT)


-
JAKARTA (XFN-ASIA) - Two Indonesian siblings died of bird flu earlier this week, the health ministry said, citing local tests.
The 18-year-old boy and his 10-year-old sister died on Tuesday after being treated at the state hospital in Bandung, the capital of West Java province.
"Tests carried out by the health ministry confirmed that they died of bird flu," Ahmad Prihatna, a epidemiologist at the health ministry, was quoted by Agence France-Presse as saying.
Samples had been sent to a laboratory accredited by the World Health Organization (WHO) for confirmation. If confirmed, the two would raise Indonesia's bird flu death toll to 35.
The WHO has confirmed 33 deaths in Indonesia from bird flu, out of a total of 124 worldwide since 2003, the vast majority in Asia.
The government warned today it would strictly enforce laws to curb the spread of bird flu, including jailing anyone hindering efforts against the deadly H5N1 strain of the virus.
"The National Commission for the Control of Avian Flu and concerned authorities will use the anti-epidemy law to take necessary action," Welfare Minister Aburizal Bakrie said, according to the state Antara news agency.
Representatives from concerned ministries and institutions met to discuss ways to curb the disease.
Health Minister Siti Fadilah Supari said that the law will provide a legal basis for action.
The law calls for lengthy jail sentences for anyone hampering government efforts to curb or prevent an epidemic, including those who refuse to submit themselves or their animals to tests to detect the presence of a virus or disease.
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Bill P said:
2006052606391501.jpg


It looks like 2006 will pass all of 2005 soon.

H5N1 mortality in 2006 has already surpassed H5N1 mortality for 2005.

The reporting process is quite involved... but it sure look like the mortality rate for H5N1 has increased. Hopefully it's just a matter of less cases being reported? but then that's a bad sign too...

:vik:
 

New Freedom

Veteran Member
Important article on mask protection:

http://www.thestarpress.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20060526/NEWS01/605260305/1002

Masking the flu: Officials believe face masks play only small role in pandemic preparation

By NASEEM SOWTI
nsowti@muncie.gannett.com

MUNCIE -- In an effort to educate and prepare the public for the possibility of a flu pandemic, the Delaware County health department announced last month that it is following the World Health Organization's guidelines for choosing a protective face masks.

"But we walk the line of not making specific recommendations (about stockpiling)," said Jammie Bane, the county public health preparedness supervisor.


The effectiveness of face masks against bird flu is a topic of debate, locally and nationally.

Last month, a 12-person panel of experts was convened by the U.S. government to discuss the importance of face masks.

The panel concluded that face masks alone are not the answer to fighting the flu; rather, they are just part of prevention efforts.


In a recent interview, officials at Ball Memorial Hospital said that they saw no reason for the public to stockpile face masks. And Bane said that "face masks will be a very small part of family's plan," and stockpiling them "should not be a priority."
If you get a mask ...


While it has been proven that frequent hand washing prevents the spread of disease, effectiveness of face masks in protecting against bird flu is virtually unstudied.

Many businesses are taking advantage of flu pandemic's fear factor, however, and are marketing various shapes, colors and prices of masks they call "flu masks." A simple Google search is enough to testify to this budding line of business.

"Most of these masks are not regulated and have no governmental control," Bane said, "and purchasing those masks would be a waste of money."

Bane said that the county is following the guidelines recommended by WHO and choosing a National Institute of Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH)-approved N95-rated mask.

N95-rated masks, which cost from 50 cents or so online to $3-$4 in some stores, are designed to filter out 95 percent of particles that measure about 0.3 micrometers (thousandths of a meter) in diameter. The flu viruses range in size from 0.08 to 0.12 micrometers, although they usually clump together.

Mode of transmission

One issue feeding the argument surrounding the effectiveness of protective face masks against flu has to do with the virus's mode of transmission.

While some believe that flu is transmitted through droplets and contact, others speculate that it might get around through aerosols.

"Research goes both ways. If it's aerosol you need a really good mask. If it's droplet or contact, then a (simple) surgical mask (would do)," Bane said.

If worn correctly, N95-rated masks created a tight seal around the nose and mouth. A surgical mask lacks this property.

Some experts say that while N95-rated masks could be useful in preventing healthy people from becoming infected, surgical masks can prevent infected people from spreading the virus.
Not a simple matter

Currently, N95-rated masks are used infrequently, even at the hospital level. Health care providers usually use surgical masks, "if they come in a three-foot distance of a patient with flu," said Claire Lee, administrative director of quality and safety at BMH.

N95-rated masks are worn only by those who come in very close contact with patients with tuberculosis, chicken pox and measles. "We don't wear (N95) for (seasonal) influenza cases," Lee said. But if there is a flu pandemic, the hospital is planning to follow guidelines provided by the World Health Organization and recommend N95-rated masks to its staff.

Another issue with N95-rated masks, according to the hospital, is wearing them.

Tony Haisley, corporate compliance and Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) security officer at BMH pointed out that N95 masks have to be "fit-tested. It's not something you just give to the public."

The masks, however, are available on the shelves of supermarkets. Bane of the health department said that the masks need to be "fit-tested" only if provided by an employer. "For the public there are no requirements or guidelines to get fitted," Bane said.

He added that even if "N95 type of masks do not fit you well, it works as good as a surgical mask."

"They're unproved either way," Bane said. "So it can't hurt to use them."

The World Health Organization recommends that family members of those infected with avian flu wear N95-rated masks, although it doesn't get to specific about when and for how long the masks should be worn.

Bane said that in case of a flu pandemic, "if you have a sick person at home wear the mask, and wear them when you're around them." But in the end how often you wear the masks "depends on your personal beliefs," Bane said. Disposable N95-rated masks are supposed to be thrown away after they are soiled or become moist from one's breath, according to printed guidelines on the mask's box.

He added that currently there are no guidelines from the health department. "If there's a pandemic tomorrow, you won't see everyone at the health department wearing them."
Focus on prevention

In last month's town hall meeting, local health officials stressed that preparation for a flu pandemic is a work in progress.

Therefore, they advised members of the public to inform themselves as best as they can, prepare and have a plan. History has proven that a flu pandemic happens every 35 to 40 years, and it's about time for the next one.

"Our major focus is prevention," Lee of BMH said later in a phone interview. "Continually keep your hands clean. Hand washing is number one. Cover your mouth. Dispose of your tissue and stay home if you're sick."

It is predicted that as many as 41,000 people in Delaware County -- 35 percent of its 118,000 population -- could be affected by bird flu if it becomes transmissible from human to human and quickly spreads around the world.

Since 2003, there have been 218 confirmed human cases of H5N1 avian influenza. All have been in Asia, Europe and the Middle East. They have resulted in 124 deaths.

In comparison, approximately 200,000 Americans are hospitalized from complications of the current seasonal flu each year, and 36,000 die as a result, according to the CDC.
 

adgal

Veteran Member
SIMON LAUDER: Indonesia's official bird flu death toll is 33, but Dr Jeremijenko fears it could actually be in the hundreds.

ANDREW JEREMIJENKO: Indonesia has many deaths every day - 300 deaths from tuberculosis every day, 2,000 deaths from acute respiratory infections every day. There is every chance that we are missing bird flu cases.

SIMON LAUDER: With failures to take samples from people who have died, and also to track the source of infections, the WHO's Dr Ian Gust shares concerns that Indonesia is not reacting fast enough to bird flu outbreaks.

So, basically, we could be in the midst of a country-wide pandemic outbreak and not know it. :sht: :sht: :sht:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Time is GMT + 8 hours
Posted: 26 May 2006 2327 hrs

US prepares to tackle spreading bird flu

By Channel NewsAsia's US Correspondent Priscilla Huff

WASHINGTON : The world remains at risk from bird flu and from pandemic influenza, according to top US administration officials.

The comments come as the World Health Assembly convenes in Geneva, Switzerland, where avian flu is high on the agenda.

Back in Washington, the Bush administration is emphasising halting the spread of bird flu.

Indonesian officials are refusing to rule out the possibility that bird flu can be transmitted from human to human after a cluster of cases in one family.

There had been hopes the spread of bird flu was slowing.

But many fear, it could still evolve into the first global influenza pandemic of the 21st century.

The Bush administration is worried.

"Our concern is still the same; this is a virus that last year seemed to only affect 20 countries and now over 50. It's one that we have to watch and monitor closely. We believe that taking very effective measures, quick surveillance and good surveillance as well as rapid response is really the key to watching this," said Paula Dobriansky, Undersecretary for Democracy & Global Affairs, US Department of State.

Earlier this month, the Bush administration released its plan on pandemic flu which emphasised on keeping the sick away from the healthy.

One particular focus is a recommendation on quarantine. It aims to halt a pandemic before it spreads across the US by quarantining incoming international flights.

At Dulles Airport outside the American capital, the US Centres for Disease Control has expanded its quarantine offices.


Medical officers already know how they will handle a suspected case on board an international flight.

Said Michael Doney at US Centres for Disease Control: "After the plane has landed, we would board the plane in the company of paramedics, customs and border officials to perform a public health assessment. This would involve interviewing the passenger, determining their symptoms, where they'd been, what their activities had been."

Today's globalised travel is expected to fuel the spread of pandemic influenza but officials know, they can't close the US borders.

That is why they are focusing on ports of entry from likely hot zones such as airports serving flights to and from Asia.

"I think that you can talk about illnesses like pandemic influenza and broaden that discussion to say communicable diseases in general," said Doney.

"The term globalisation, reflecting the increased movement of people around the world, does introduce the idea that illnesses can be spread with rapidity. So having people, the quarantine health system, quarantine health stations at these ports of entry allow us to actively be where the action is, and respond to these reports of illness," he added.

The quarantine health system is intended to isolate the disease to prevent it from spreading, and not to necessarily lock up thousands of potential patients.

Scientists and health officials say just about any influenza virus could spark a global pandemic, but so far, most of the attention has been on bird flu.

"There have been discussions on what steps need to be taken, in airports and specifically investigating and checking for strains of H5N1. Those are measures and steps the international community is working on," said Dobriansky.

"And through the WHO (World Health Organisation), there are a number of protocols. In fact, there is a protocol that's being finalised on containment and I think that we just need to work together, so we can have some standards that can be applicable to all," she said.

And international cooperation is essential because officials are convinced that the pandemic influenza would cause significant economic impact.

In the US alone, the White House plan imagines a worst-case scenario - as many as 2 million Americans killed, with 40 percent of the workforce out sick.

But despite Mr. Bush's promise of more than US$7 billion to combat pandemic influenza, some are already concerned that preparations are inadequate.

"We are currently not prepared for a pandemic, but the good news that steps are being taken now. We are strengthening our efforts, in terms of trying to prevent a virus, to control it if it should break out and also to build the infrastructure for pandemic response," said Dr Susan Blumenthal at Tufts University.

Everyone agrees the threat is real.

According to the most recent report from the World Health Organisation, the death rate from bird flu is over 50 percent.

So far, out of 217 cases, 123 people have died.

US officials hope their preparations will curb the spread of bird flu or another pandemic influenza.

But they are in a wait-and-see mode and no one is predicting if or when a pandemic could bring its deadly path around the world.

- CNA /ls

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/americas/view/210557/1/.html

:vik:
 

Cascadians

Leska Emerald Adams
Any hope of stopping or containing this virus is over. Reading the daily threads, one sees momentous disaster hurtling upon the globe. A scientist (Nibom) is saying the virus is spreading and recombining and infecting people all over; other officials admit there are probably 100s of cases and with all the backyard poultry and total non-cooperation and non-reporting and instant burials there's no way to track the progress of this monster. The farmers and villagers who tore the heads off their chickens and guzzled the raw blood in protest now have chickens dying of H5N1. The now-dead bird flu patients went back into the village while very ill and contaminated who knows who. The witch doctors are busy doing their voodoo thing with animals and humans and the whole big brew is incubating untold variations of this killer virus.

Only a major miracle can save humanimals now.

I'm heading into my final intense spiritual prep mode and count every day still alive as an unexpected blessing. Although modestly and sensibly prepped, I cannot ward off the social mayhem and chaos that will erupt when this thing hits Joe Schmoe's neighborhood. I've had a good very full life, and I'm more than ready to return Home.

What really matters is how we've lived our life. That determines our next existence. I know the next thing is better than this planet. Way better!

Whether or not it's bird flu that is IT that brings down the current system of things is still up in the air since so many possibilities are concurrently competing to propel catastrophe. But breakdown is coming, the signs are everywhere.
 

JPD

Inactive
Reporter's Notebook: A Visit to Village Where Bird Flu Struck Down Family

http://abcnews.go.com/Health/story?id=2009056&page=1

Villagers in This Tiny Indonesian Town Are Angry with Local Officials

A young girl stands with her dog outside her house as a chicken walks past in Kubu Simbelang, a village in North Sumatra, Indonesia, where seven of a family of eight succumbed to bird flu.. (Denny Sitohang/AP Photo)

By LAMA HASAN

KABU SIMBELANG, Indonesia, May 26, 2006 — Getting to Kubu Simbelang — the epicenter of the latest bird flu outbreak — is not easy. It's a grueling four-hour drive from Medan, the closest Indonesian city, and most of the route is on bumpy and narrow winding roads.

As we approach, I notice orange groves adorning the remote village. Kubu Simbelang itself is small, with tiny homes. People live in close proximity to one another. Chickens, ducks, geese and pigs roam between houses and on the streets. It was quickly apparent that the villagers had not taken heed of the official government rule, which is to kill all poultry in this area.

At the beginning of the outbreak, some of the villagers told us they did kill their animals, but they stopped because no sick poultry had been found. It was a little discomforting to think we could have been near infected birds, but we had been given specific instructions not to go near the livestock. As long as we adhered to the rules, we would be OK, we were told.

The villagers took us to a row of three houses belonging to the recent victims. In these houses, seven family members caught bird flu and eventually died from it, although one family member's cause of death remains undetermined.

At the home of the last family member to die, his porch light was still on and his pet bird — still alive — was locked in a cage, chirping. His relative told us no one had returned to the house since his death earlier this week.

How did villagers feel about the local government's response? Most were angry, saying officials only visited them twice. They felt abandoned. While we were there, we never saw any officials — giving weight to the villagers' side of the story.

Many villagers also seemed confused — one member of the victims' family also told us that there was no bird flu virus in the village. If there was, he asked, why weren't they quarantined? Why weren't there more deaths? Or sick birds, or even dead birds?

So many questions, he said, and so few answers.

But what struck me most was the almost carefree attitude of many of the villagers. Almost all the people we spoke to said they were not worried and that there was no threat. Why? Because there have been no more confirmed cases, they said.

They also had their own explanation of why the virus spread in the one family, blaming it on "pyongmoney," which in the local Karo language means "evil spirits." This isn't unusual — these villagers are part of the Karo tribe and the belief in spirits and mysticism is deeply entrenched. While they seemed almost fearless, others from neighboring villages refused to visit Kubu Simbelang, too afraid of catching the virus.

However, it does seem that the Kubu villagers are learning about bird flu. At a tiny and rudimentary clinic we saw brightly colored posters about the virus. Diagrams showed how humans can become infected from poultry.

The local doctor told us that after the cluster in the family was reported, 35 people came for a checkup. The clinic tests for fever and flulike symptoms, and the vilage has set up a support network to look out for and encourage one another to go to the doctor.

For now, the World Health Organization is monitoring people who came into contact with the last victim. No one else has shown symptoms.

And in the village, life continues as normal. Its livestock continues to roam around, as does the poultry. Many Indonesians depend on poultry as a source of food, and many still live close to their animals.
 

JPD

Inactive
US prepares to tackle spreading bird flu

http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/americas/view/210557/1/.html

By Channel NewsAsia's US Correspondent Priscilla Huff

WASHINGTON : The world remains at risk from bird flu and from pandemic influenza, according to top US administration officials.

The comments come as the World Health Assembly convenes in Geneva, Switzerland, where avian flu is high on the agenda.

Back in Washington, the Bush administration is emphasising halting the spread of bird flu.

Indonesian officials are refusing to rule out the possibility that bird flu can be transmitted from human to human after a cluster of cases in one family.

There had been hopes the spread of bird flu was slowing.

But many fear, it could still evolve into the first global influenza pandemic of the 21st century.

The Bush administration is worried.

"Our concern is still the same; this is a virus that last year seemed to only affect 20 countries and now over 50. It's one that we have to watch and monitor closely. We believe that taking very effective measures, quick surveillance and good surveillance as well as rapid response is really the key to watching this," said Paula Dobriansky, Undersecretary for Democracy & Global Affairs, US Department of State.

Earlier this month, the Bush administration released its plan on pandemic flu which emphasised on keeping the sick away from the healthy.

One particular focus is a recommendation on quarantine. It aims to halt a pandemic before it spreads across the US by quarantining incoming international flights.

At Dulles Airport outside the American capital, the US Centres for Disease Control has expanded its quarantine offices.

Medical officers already know how they will handle a suspected case on board an international flight.

Said Michael Doney at US Centres for Disease Control: "After the plane has landed, we would board the plane in the company of paramedics, customs and border officials to perform a public health assessment. This would involve interviewing the passenger, determining their symptoms, where they'd been, what their activities had been."

Today's globalised travel is expected to fuel the spread of pandemic influenza but officials know, they can't close the US borders.

That is why they are focusing on ports of entry from likely hot zones such as airports serving flights to and from Asia.

"I think that you can talk about illnesses like pandemic influenza and broaden that discussion to say communicable diseases in general," said Doney.

"The term globalisation, reflecting the increased movement of people around the world, does introduce the idea that illnesses can be spread with rapidity. So having people, the quarantine health system, quarantine health stations at these ports of entry allow us to actively be where the action is, and respond to these reports of illness," he added.

The quarantine health system is intended to isolate the disease to prevent it from spreading, and not to necessarily lock up thousands of potential patients.

Scientists and health officials say just about any influenza virus could spark a global pandemic, but so far, most of the attention has been on bird flu.

"There have been discussions on what steps need to be taken, in airports and specifically investigating and checking for strains of H5N1. Those are measures and steps the international community is working on," said Dobriansky.

"And through the WHO (World Health Organisation), there are a number of protocols. In fact, there is a protocol that's being finalised on containment and I think that we just need to work together, so we can have some standards that can be applicable to all," she said.

And international cooperation is essential because officials are convinced that the pandemic influenza would cause significant economic impact.

In the US alone, the White House plan imagines a worst-case scenario - as many as 2 million Americans killed, with 40 percent of the workforce out sick.

But despite Mr. Bush's promise of more than US$7 billion to combat pandemic influenza, some are already concerned that preparations are inadequate.

"We are currently not prepared for a pandemic, but the good news that steps are being taken now. We are strengthening our efforts, in terms of trying to prevent a virus, to control it if it should break out and also to build the infrastructure for pandemic response," said Dr Susan Blumenthal at Tufts University.

Everyone agrees the threat is real.

According to the most recent report from the World Health Organisation, the death rate from bird flu is over 50 percent.

So far, out of 217 cases, 123 people have died.

US officials hope their preparations will curb the spread of bird flu or another pandemic influenza.

But they are in a wait-and-see mode and no one is predicting if or when a pandemic could bring its deadly path around the world.
 

Fuzzychick

Membership Revoked
Good to see that quarantines are now becoming the soup du jour.......:rolleyes: Alot of undercurrents here regarding timing and the WHO's response/nonresponse.:shk:
 

Fuzzychick

Membership Revoked
"The Bush administration is worried.

"Our concern is still the same; this is a virus that last year seemed to only affect 20 countries and now over 50. It's one that we have to watch and monitor closely. We believe that taking very effective measures, quick surveillance and good surveillance as well as rapid response is really the key to watching this," said Paula Dobriansky, Undersecretary for Democracy & Global Affairs, US Department of State.

Earlier this month, the Bush administration released its plan on pandemic flu which emphasised on keeping the sick away from the healthy.

One particular focus is a recommendation on quarantine. It aims to halt a pandemic before it spreads across the US by quarantining incoming international flights.

At Dulles Airport outside the American capital, the US Centres for Disease Control has expanded its quarantine offices.

Medical officers already know how they will handle a suspected case on board an international flight.

Said Michael Doney at US Centres for Disease Control: "After the plane has landed, we would board the plane in the company of paramedics, customs and border officials to perform a public health assessment. This would involve interviewing the passenger, determining their symptoms, where they'd been, what their activities had been."

Today's globalised travel is expected to fuel the spread of pandemic influenza but officials know, they can't close the US borders.

That is why they are focusing on ports of entry from likely hot zones such as airports serving flights to and from Asia.

"I think that you can talk about illnesses like pandemic influenza and broaden that discussion to say communicable diseases in general," said Doney.

"The term globalisation, reflecting the increased movement of people around the world, does introduce the idea that illnesses can be spread with rapidity. So having people, the quarantine health system, quarantine health stations at these ports of entry allow us to actively be where the action is, and respond to these reports of illness," he added.

The quarantine health system is intended to isolate the disease to prevent it from spreading, and not to necessarily lock up thousands of potential patients.

Scientists and health officials say just about any influenza virus could spark a global pandemic, but so far, most of the attention has been on bird flu.

"There have been discussions on what steps need to be taken, in airports and specifically investigating and checking for strains of H5N1. Those are measures and steps the international community is working on," said Dobriansky.

"And through the WHO (World Health Organisation), there are a number of protocols. In fact, there is a protocol that's being finalised on containment and I think that we just need to work together, so we can have some standards that can be applicable to all," she said.

And international cooperation is essential because officials are convinced that the pandemic influenza would cause significant economic impact.

In the US alone, the White House plan imagines a worst-case scenario - as many as 2 million Americans killed, with 40 percent of the workforce out sick.

But despite Mr. Bush's promise of more than US$7 billion to combat pandemic influenza, some are already concerned that preparations are inadequate.

"We are currently not prepared for a pandemic, but the good news that steps are being taken now. We are strengthening our efforts, in terms of trying to prevent a virus, to control it if it should break out and also to build the infrastructure for pandemic response," said Dr Susan Blumenthal at Tufts University.

Everyone agrees the threat is real.

According to the most recent report from the World Health Organisation, the death rate from bird flu is over 50 percent.

So far, out of 217 cases, 123 people have died.

US officials hope their preparations will curb the spread of bird flu or another pandemic influenza.

But they are in a wait-and-see mode and no one is predicting if or when a pandemic could bring its deadly path around the world."


And so they should be worried, it just takes one individual travelling to a large HUB, say NY or LA, and we've had it.
 

CanadaSue

Inactive
No controlling it now...

Responding to Cascadiabs' comment:

***Any hope of stopping or containing this virus is over. Reading the daily threads, one sees momentous disaster hurtling upon the globe.***

That hope was lost 2 years ago when Vietnam, at the very least, was unable to eradicate their outbreaks completely. Actually, I don't think there was ever a hope of stopping this calamity - right back to 1997 - just slowing it's inevitable arrival. I pesonally figure that, (parden the grammar), for every place we know it's at, there are at least twice that many places where the virus already IS that we don't know about. I fear the same can be said for species. Who knows how many might be carrying it asymptomatically, spreading it far & wide?

I don't know how long we've got before it hits us hard. HIV/AIDS took decades to make the crucial breakthroughs it needed to go pandemic. But that one is tougher to contract, whereas flu may only be a sneeze away, if you're the 'right' unfortunate person...

It adds to the problems of pinning it down when in so much of the endemic region, death by respiratory causes are farly common anyway. Who knows how many people in small, off the beaten path villages may have already caught it & died without the west noticing at all? The only indication we'll probably get is when it breaks out of the poorer regions of Asia into parts of the world where it's clear transmission is occurring H-H.

Right now, official numbers remain low but I suspect testing criteria is still ridiculously rigid. What the true state of affairs is is anyone's guess. I'm still thinking we're 'okay' through the summer & fall. I don't expect human pandemic until mid-flu season, (here), next year: January or so 2007. I'd really prefer to be off by 10 years - at least - but unless the virus does something just right in the right location at the right time, (it might), I still think we have some months to get ready. Too late for much preparedness at any government level - not the way governments run things! But plenty of time for individuals to be as ready as they can be in terms of supplies, skills, spiritual strength & whatever else they feel they need to get through what may be a truly horrendous period of human history.

Then, there will be the 'after' to somehow muddle through.
 

Fuzzychick

Membership Revoked
"That hope was lost 2 years ago when Vietnam, at the very least, was unable to eradicate their outbreaks completely. Actually, I don't think there was ever a hope of stopping this calamity - right back to 1997 - just slowing it's inevitable arrival. I pesonally figure that, (parden the grammar), for every place we know it's at, there are at least twice that many places where the virus already IS that we don't know about. I fear the same can be said for species. Who knows how many might be carrying it asymptomatically, spreading it far & wide?"

Like I said Sue...it's coming or is already here? Think about it, air travel, large HUBS closely packed together, one sneeze or cough away...I'm being optimistic about fall..In 1918, there was no airtravel, no large hubs, people stayed home when they were ill...then the world flipped opposite...
 

CanadaSue

Inactive
It's not here yet in pandemic form

We'd know that for the very good reasons you stated - fast air travel, crowded planet, all that good stuff.

The way it's manifesting now - well if it keeps up with that rate of severity it will be the equivalent of an overnight pole flip as far as we're concerned. We'll no sooner get over reacting to one bit of information, (no time for action), when something else will slam down hard.

If it's going to arrive in the next 5 year time frame, I give up on ANY effective measures being put in place before it hits. Not anywhere at a viable level.
 

Fuzzychick

Membership Revoked
Sue, don't see a 5yr time frame here...it's gonna hit strong and hard sooner than later...too many clusters, scuttle butt between nations, Tamiflu being sent to Asia, air travel (no advisories posted), close quarters between those afflicted, quarantines...I could go on, but you see where I'm coming from..
 

CanadaSue

Inactive
That was grotesquely optimistic

of me & badly phrased. I simply meant 5 years isn't enough time, the way governments are fiddling now, to even adequately PLAN, never mind do anything. I've always felt we'll see it this coming winter.

And I hope above anything that I'm flat out wrong - that it takes years.

But the odds are stacked against that happening, big time.
 

Fuzzychick

Membership Revoked
Sue, no prob, no worry about the phrasing, but perhaps it will take the boys to come up with a vaccine in that time frame...
 
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