DISASTER Cases suggests that H7N9 Bird Flu is currently transmitting human to human sustainably.

China Connection

TB Fanatic
What is SARS?

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome or SARS, which is also known as Atypical Pneumonia is a respiratory illness which originated from Guangdong Province, China in end of 2002. It can be transmitted by respiratory droplets or by contact with a patient's respiratory secretions. This disease causes the alveoli of a human, which is the air sacs in the lungs to well and collapse, reducing the blood supply to the area as well as blocking oxygen transfer.

SARS is caused by a new virus from the coronavirus family with a halo
or crown-like (corona) shape when viewed under a microscope. Coronaviruses are a group of viruses that is a common cause of respiratory illness in humans.

Explore this website to check out the symptoms of SARS, how to avoid it and advisory to the public.


http://www.2sars.com/
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
China reports three new bird flu deaths, toll hits 35

Reuters
9:55 a.m. EDT, May 13, 2013
http://www.orlandosentinel.com/health/sns-rt-us-china-bird-flubre94c0ht-20130513,0,5396927.story?

BEIJING (Reuters) - Three more people have died in China from the new strain of H7N9 bird flu virus, raising the death toll to 35 while the total number of infections rose to 130, state media said on Monday.

Without giving details of the deaths, Xinhua news agency said a new case of the H7N9, described by the World Health Organization as one of the most lethal flu viruses around, was found in China's east Jiangxi province.

There has so far been no evidence of human-to-human transmission of the virus, a point reiterated by Xinhua on Monday, citing health authorities. It noted that 57 of those infected have recovered.

Chinese scientists say the virus has been transmitted to humans from chickens, though the World Health Organization says 40 percent of people infected with H7N9 had no contact with poultry.

Since it was first detected in March, the H7N9 virus has raised alarm and pummeled Chinese demand for poultry as well as prices for livestock.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has said the current strain of bird flu cannot start a pandemic but notes there is no guarantee it will not mutate and cause a serious pandemic.

(Reporting by Koh Gui Qing; Editing by Mark Heinrich)
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
More hmmm!
The fact the Chinese authorities are not admitting any new cases for the last two weeks means the number of deaths will continue to rise. It also means the lethal kill rate will increase as a percentage of the admitted cases. The Chinese say there are 131 documented cases. This is four new ones in the last two weeks. The kill number has gone from 21 two weeks ago to 35 today. 35 is nearly one third of the total admitted cases. This means according to the Chinese the kill rate has gone from 20 percent to over 30 percent in the last two weeks. This has not happened. Assuming the original 20 percent kill rate is still correct, you now get a MINIMUM of 175 total cases. Two weeks ago there were 127 admitted cases. Today there are 131 admitted cases. Assuming the 175 total number of real cases you get a weekly increase of 24 new cases. 24 is a little over 20 percent of 127. This means China Connection the lethal flu virus is increasing at a rate of over 20 percent per week!
There is no reason the kill percent increased from 20 percent to over 30 percent in the last two weeks. The only logical reason is the number of new cases is still going up. The fact the Chinese health authorities are denying this doesn't mean it isn't happening.
 

Lee Penn

Inactive
I note that the kill rate for H7N9 is based on hospital cases. If this stuff goes fully pandemic, and the health care deliivery system is swamped or broken down, what will the lethality be then? To put it a different way: for H7N9 and/or the new coronavirus, what will their kill rates be when the only care available is old-fashioned home care: bed rest, fluids by mouth, and aspirin?

Lee
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
That is a good question. Doomer Doug has no idea what the answer is. The key thing with the 35 dead statistic is ALL of the cases have been hospitalized. All of the cases have had the best care China can provide. The kill rate was 20 percent until 2 weeks ago. The only logical reason for the kill rate increase is not adding any new cases imho. The rate people will start to die at once thousands of cases are involved will still likely be in the 20 percent range. The flu virus will burn out if it kills at a higher rate than that.
Once this flu virus gets into the third world slums there may be no stopping it. The slums will likely have a higher kill rate than 20 percent. The western health care systems have a limited intensive care infrastructure. They will be able to take care of the first 100,000 cases at best. After that, everybody is on their own.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
My guess is that it will kill more in the West than in the slums. This bug is attacking the sick mainly. I don't think it is that strong in reality. If I am right it will get a lot stronger once it gains the ability to spread faster.
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
bump for the night crew.

CC a mutated human to human vectored lethal flu virus is going to spread like wildfire in the crowded, filthy conditions commonly found in the third world. The west will simply shut down and reduce exposure that way. It will be bad everywhere in the world.
 

Mysty

Veteran Member
Rumor, but worth watching (This is rumor, so it could be nothing)

We know Sars is in France now, and there are rumors of it in New York. Posting the 'chat' about it. I cannot find any confirmation. I usually wouldn't post this , but there is just too much danger if this one is true.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HFiJ7lZmtJg&feature=youtu.be
http://beforeitsnews.com/health/201...hospital-7-critical-3-dead-video-2487778.html

St. Luke's University Health Network runs off-site SARS drill at DeSales University - April 29 (ugh)

http://www.lehighvalleylive.com/breaking-news/index.ssf/2013/04/st_lukes_runs_offsite_sars_dri.html
 
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/...ans-hiv-positive/story-e6frea7u-1226642612231

One in 10 South Africans HIV positive


AAP
May 15, 2013 1:43AM



ONE in 10 South Africans is HIV positive but AIDS-related deaths are falling as ramped-up treatment begins to have an impact, the country's official statistics agency says.

After years of dragging its heels on the HIV/AIDS crisis, since 2004 South Africa has developed the world's largest HIV treatment program.

New data indicates that drive is working. The disease will be responsible for 32 per cent of all deaths this year.

While still high, that is a dramatic fall from 48 per cent in 2005.

"Medicine has advanced and people are living with HIV and AIDS," statistician-general Pali Lehohla told AFP, unveiling data that point to a dramatic drop in AIDS-related deaths.

Average life expectancy has also increased to 59.6 years, from just 51.6 in 2005.

But the scale of the problem is huge, with 5.3 million people living with HIV out of a population of nearly 53 million.

The state had 1.9 million people on treatment in April this year.
 

Kathy in FL

Administrator
_______________
I note that the kill rate for H7N9 is based on hospital cases. If this stuff goes fully pandemic, and the health care deliivery system is swamped or broken down, what will the lethality be then? To put it a different way: for H7N9 and/or the new coronavirus, what will their kill rates be when the only care available is old-fashioned home care: bed rest, fluids by mouth, and aspirin?

Lee

The problem is we don't really know how many "out in the wild" have had it or have it and have survived. The only sample group they have are those that got bad enough to hospitalize. The same thing happened with the most recent pandemic. It looked horrendous using hospitalization data but once it went fully "wild" in the general public the death rate dropped dramatically. Pre-existing conditions had a very negative effect but there were enough normal and completely healthy people that got it and got really bad sick that I think, even though it putz'd out, that all of the brouhaha was necessary.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
H7N9 influenza virus host is not poultry

05 15 May 2013 08:58
Source: Science Daily

Science and Technology Daily, Harbin, May 14 (Reporter intern Lili Yun Wang Zhuo) "This year, the popular host of the H7N9 influenza virus is not poultry, accurately named 'subtype H7N9 influenza virus." Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Harbin Veterinary Research the National Avian Influenza Reference Laboratory Research Professor WANG Xiu-rong, declared that the prevention and control of the poultry H7N9 flu news conference held today Harbin.

Harbin Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau party secretary, the Secretary Qinde Liang informed the city's the poultry H7N9 avian influenza prevention and control work-related situation, far, Harbin monitoring sample plume of 2800, by the relevant departments in charge of monitoring all of the samples were negative. Harbin no suspected H7N9 avian influenza outbreaks have been reported, antibody monitoring, poultry in the immune protection status.

National Avian Influenza Reference Laboratory researcher Wang Xiurong informed of the H7N9 subtype of influenza virus monitoring the situation, so far, the lab has detected 52 positive samples of the H7N9 flu virus, mainly from Shanghai, Jiangsu, Anhui, Zhejiang, Henan , Shandong, Guangdong, Fujian and other provinces, other provinces in China has not yet occurred avian H7N9 influenza epidemic. She said that before the end of March, China found that human infection with the H7N9 influenza virus, did not find the virus in the routine monitoring of the avian influenza virus. And laboratory testing of the virus, the influenza viruses of low pathogenicity, limited horizontal transmission capacity in poultry.

WANG Xiu-rong recommends farms to strictly control the movement of persons, strict daily disinfection, closed keeping as much as possible, strict application of the "all in all out" feeding pattern, there is an outbreak or unexplained abnormal increase in the phenomenon of death should be promptly reported. Veterinary and personnel engaged in animal husbandry, capture, slaughter, storage, transportation, business and work, to strengthen self-protection, take the necessary health measures.
WANG Xiu-rong recommend that consumers from the formal market, the supermarket to buy poultry products processing, saved to separate raw and cooked, wash your hands immediately after contact with poultry or poultry products, do not eat dead poultry. Should gradually develop a more scientific and safe eating habits, try to buy the regular poultry slaughtering and processing enterprises production of chilled products.

"Technology Daily" (2013-05-15 version)

http://tech.ifeng.com/discovery/deta...315958_0.shtml
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
The experts say the H7N9 virus accurate name should be the "subtype H7N9 flu virus."

2013 05 15, 2011 08:58 Source: Science and Technology Daily

"This year, the popular host of the H7N9 influenza virus is not poultry, accurate name should be 'subtype H7N9 influenza virus'." Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Harbin Veterinary Research Institute, National Avian Influenza Reference Laboratory Research Professor WANG Xiu-rong, today held in Harbin, prevention and control of the poultry H7N9 flu news conference declared.

Harbin Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau party secretary, the Secretary Qinde Liang informed the city's the poultry H7N9 avian influenza prevention and control work-related situation, far, Harbin monitoring sample plume of 2800, by the relevant departments in charge of monitoring all of the samples were negative. Harbin no suspected H7N9 avian influenza outbreaks have been reported, antibody monitoring, poultry in the immune protection status.

National Avian Influenza Reference Laboratory researcher Wang Xiurong informed of the H7N9 subtype of influenza virus monitoring the situation, so far, the lab has detected 52 positive samples of the H7N9 flu virus, mainly from Shanghai, Jiangsu, Anhui, Zhejiang, Henan , Shandong, Guangdong, Fujian and other provinces, other provinces in China has not yet occurred avian H7N9 influenza epidemic. She said that before the end of March, China found that human infection with the H7N9 influenza virus, did not find the virus in the routine monitoring of the avian influenza virus. And laboratory testing of the virus, the influenza viruses of low pathogenicity, limited horizontal transmission capacity in poultry.

WANG Xiu-rong recommends farms to strictly control the movement of persons, strict daily disinfection, closed keeping as much as possible, strict application of the "all in all out" feeding pattern, there is an outbreak or unexplained abnormal increase in the phenomenon of death should be promptly reported. Veterinary and personnel engaged in animal husbandry, capture, slaughter, storage, transportation, business and work, to strengthen self-protection, take the necessary health measures.
WANG Xiu-rong recommend that consumers from the formal market, the supermarket to buy poultry products processing, saved to separate raw and cooked, wash your hands immediately after contact with poultry or poultry products, do not eat dead poultry. Should gradually develop a more scientific and safe eating habits, try to buy the regular poultry slaughtering and processing enterprises production of chilled products. (Lili Yun Wang Zhuo)

http://scitech.people.com.cn/n/2013/...-21487372.html
 

SusieSunshine

Veteran Member
I didn't see this one posted yet. The bolding is mine.

http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/cidrap/content/other/sars/news/may1413corona.html

Six new Saudi coronavirus cases include 2 health workers

Robert Roos * News Editor


May 14, 2013 (CIDRAP News) – Two healthcare workers are among six new novel coronavirus (nCoV) cases reported in Saudi Arabia since late yesterday, suggesting that the virus might have spread from infected patients to hospital staff members.

The World Health Organization (WHO) today reported four new cases and indicated that they were part of a hospital-centered cluster in the country's Eastern province. One of the four patients died, two were in critical condition, and one has recovered, the agency said. It said the new cases increased the hospital cluster to 19.

On the heels of the WHO statement came a brief statement from the Saudi Ministry of Health (MOH), saying, "MOH would like to point out that two new confirmed cases of Coronavirus have been detected among health practitioners in the Eastern Region, and they are currently still under the medical observation receiving the proper treatment."

The MOH gave no information about where the patients were working or whether they are now considered part of the hospital cluster, which reports have linked to Al-Moosa General Hospital in Hofuf, Eastern province. Nor did the statement give any other details about the health workers or their condition.

An Agence France-Presse (AFP) story today said the Saudi MOH identified the two sick healthcare workers as nurses.

With the six latest cases, the global count of nCoV cases increases to 40, including 20 deaths. Saudi Arabia's case count appears to have reached 30, with at least 15 deaths.

Of the four new Saudi cases reported by the WHO (and previously by the news media), all the patients have or had multiple preexisting conditions, and two of the three surviving patients are in critical condition, the WHO said. The other patient recovered and has been discharged from a hospital.

The WHO described the patients as:
• A 69-year-old woman who became ill on Apr 25 and has died
• A 48-year-old man who got sick on Apr 24 and is in critical condition
• An 81-year-old man who got sick on Apr 26 and is in critical condition
• A 56-year-old man who fell ill on May 7 and has recovered

The WHO did not say where the patients have been treated, whether any of them are related, or how they might have been exposed to the virus, other than to say that the hospital-centered cluster increased to 19 patients. (The cluster was previously said to include 15 cases.) Nor did the WHO give any information on the patients' preexisting medical problems.

Yesterday a Saudi health official said the number of deaths in the hospital cluster had increased by two, for a total of nine. Today's WHO statement likewise listed the number of deaths in the cluster as nine. It wasn't immediately clear why the 69-year-old woman's death didn't increase the death toll in the cluster to 10.

The hospital cluster has added to the evidence that the novel virus can spread among people who are in close contact. Another hospital cluster has been identified in the past week in France, where a hospital roommate of the country's first nCoV case-patient was reported to have the virus 2 days ago.

The hospital cases also have recalled the SARS epidemic of 2003, which involved another species of coronavirus. Hospital outbreaks played a pivotal role in spreading the virus to 30 countries, ultimately killing about 800 people.

In related developments, a leading German virologist expressed concern that Saudi Arabia has not been sharing nCoV samples with European laboratories so they can study it, according to a report today from the German news broadcaster Deutsche Welle. The story quoted Christian Drosten, MD, director of the Institute of Virology at the University of Bonn Medical Center.

"We are all really trying to collaborate and provide materials, diagnostic tests and also assistance," Drosten said. "But what we don't really see is feedback in terms of samples for investigation. Because it's what we really need to do. We need to look at the virus—especially if we are concerned that the virus could evolve. The virus could change and optimize itself and spread more efficiently."

Drosten said it was unclear whether the lack of sample sharing is due to political factors or other reasons. "The solution to the whole thing is of course to establish lab capacity there, in the country, but this is a process," he commented.

Also today, experts told ABC News that vaccines are unlikely to play a role in controlling nCoV, mainly because it's hard to develop vaccines for coronaviruses. Instead, infection control is likely to be the key weapon, as it was in stopping the SARS epidemic, the experts said.

"There was no vaccine for SARS," Robert Atmar, MD, a professor in the departments of medicine and molecular virology and biology at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston, told ABC. "But the public health system was able to control the infection and basically eradicate it. That might also work for this new coronavirus."

Atmar said it's very difficult to devise vaccines for coronaviruses. Some candidate SARS vaccines caused lung damage in mice that were exposed to the virus, and there was concern that the same thing could happen in humans, he explained.
 

Mysty

Veteran Member
First known spread from patient to nurse of the Sars / Coronavirus.

It doesn't say if they were wearing protection.

http://abclocal.go.com/wpvi/story?section=news/health&id=9104116

GENEVA, SWITZERLAND; May 15, 2013 (WPVI) -- Saudi health officials have notified the World Health Organization of 2 more confirmed cases of the SARS-like virus that kills more than half of its victims.

The two latest cases are health care workers who were exposed to patients with the novel Coronavirus (noCoV). One is a 45-year-old man who is in critical condition; the other is a 43-year-old woman with a coexisting health condition. She is in stable condition.
 

SusieSunshine

Veteran Member
Saudi ministry: Six new coronavirus cases detected

Saudi Arabia has detected six new cases of the deadly coronavirus, the health ministry said, raising the number of people infected from the SARS-like virus in the kingdom to 30, half of them fatalities.

Two of the infections were announced on Tuesday, a day after the ministry said four cases had been registered in Eastern Province, which has been gripped by panic after it was shown to be home to most of the cases in the kingdom.

“Two new confirmed infections were registered in Eastern Province,” it said on its website, adding that those infected were nurses and “are receiving needed treatment and medical care”.

The ministry had said late Monday that among the four other new cases, “one of the people has recovered and discharged, while the other three are still being treated”.

Saudi health authorities are now receiving advice from specialists from U.S. and Canadian universities, the ministry added.

Health Minister Abdullah al-Rabia had said on Sunday that 24 people have contracted the coronavirus, and that 15 of them have died.

The World Health Organization had said earlier that 34 cases have been reported worldwide since the virus was first detected in September 2012, with 18 of the victims dying.

While the virus has been deadliest in Saudi Arabia, cases have also been reported in Jordan, Germany, Britain and France where two patients are now in hospital in the northern city of Lille.

The virus is a cousin of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS), which triggered a scare 10 years ago when it erupted in east Asia, leaping to humans from animal hosts and eventually killing some 800 people.

http://english.alarabiya.net/en/New...inistry-Six-new-SARS-like-cases-detected.html
 

SusieSunshine

Veteran Member
http://pandemicinformationnews.blogspot.com/

Coronavirus: Virus "Corona" is no longer under control

Posted: 16 May 2013 04:19 AM PDT

May 16, 2013
Translation

Some officials said the Kingdom was no longer the virus, "Corona", which hit the region Ahsa in Saudi Arabia under control, after an increase in cases of patients and deaths as well. Despite all the precautions taken by the Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia, but the "Corona" could break all the walls of prevention and carried into the bodies of some citizens, increased toll injured to 26 people, 16 of whom died from the "virus" since September so far.

It is interesting to consider the discovery of two cases of medical personnel were wounded yesterday Corona virus, Aramco in private laboratories, which are used by the Ministry of Health to examine the samples.

According to private sources for the "Arab" to the private hospital in the province of Al-Ahsa has closed except for emergency department because disinfected and cleansed, having discovered the 13 cases, 9 of them died and the rest are still under observation, in addition to the discovery of suspected cases did not explain the ministry's. And fear still prevails the eastern region, especially after the deaths did not know people with the deceased for injury only after death, and the increase in suspected cases daily.

For his part, announced the Undersecretary of the Ministry of Health of Saudi Arabia of Preventive Medicine that the ministry is examining a sample 30 new suspected bird flu virus, stressing recording 4 cases in each of Dhahran, Qatif east of the country.

According to the newspaper "Middle East" Saudi Arabia, the newly discovered cases in each of Dhahran, Qatif relationship in one way or another the injured in a hospital Mousa Al-Ahsa province, or the King Fahd Hospital in Hofuf.

http://www.a9d2.com/17584.html
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
My guess is that all hell is going to break out by winter this year.


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////



What is SARS?

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome or SARS, which is also known as Atypical Pneumonia is a respiratory illness which originated from Guangdong Province, China in end of 2002. It can be transmitted by respiratory droplets or by contact with a patient's respiratory secretions. This disease causes the alveoli of a human, which is the air sacs in the lungs to well and collapse, reducing the blood supply to the area as well as blocking oxygen transfer.

SARS is caused by a new virus from the coronavirus family with a halo
or crown-like (corona) shape when viewed under a microscope. Coronaviruses are a group of viruses that is a common cause of respiratory illness in humans.

Explore this website to check out the symptoms of SARS, how to avoid it and advisory to the public.


http://www.2sars.com/


////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

China - "A lot of young and middle-aged" people with atypical ...
www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?p=497339‎
5 days ago - 1 post - 1 author


China - "A lot of young and middle-aged" people with atypical pneumonia in Nanjing - hospital respiratory wards full, Jiangsu province - haze ...
SARS outbreak in Baoding, Hebei province, China a ...
Daily China news July 30, 2008 - October 27, 2008 ...
CHINA - 8.0 earthquake near Chengdu, Sichuan ...
China: EV-71 outbreak Kills 43 Children Nationwide ...
30 posts
30 posts
30 posts
30 posts
23 Feb 2012
31 Jul 2008
23 May 2008
29 Apr 2008
FluTrackers | Facebook
www.facebook.com/pages/FluTrackers/182878223352‎


China - "A lot of young and middle-aged" people with atypical pneumonia in Nanjing - hospital respiratory wards full, Jiangsu province - haze blamed China ...
[PDF]
Reporting Incidence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS ...
www.umass.edu/sts/pdfs/SARS_AChrono.pdf‎


Mandatory case reporting of atypical pneumonia using standard case definition and .... China agrees to become a full partner in the WHO collaborative effort in containing ... statement, reports of hospitals with entire wards of suspected SARS patients emerge on .... Chinese officials in Nanjing order 10,000 into quarantine ...
[PDF]
Severe respiratory disease associated with a novel ... - ECDC - Europa
www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/.../ah7n9-china-rapid-risk-assessment.pdf‎


Apr 3, 2013 – 87 and 27 years old became ill with respiratory infections in mid to late ... days, the patients developed severe pneumonia, progressing rapidly into acute .... 2013, she is in critical condition in Nanjing (Jiangsu Province). ... that they were admitted to a hospital between 14 and 24 February with pneumonia.
[PDF]
Severe respiratory disease associated with a novel influenza H7N9 ...
cms.arztnoe.at/cms/dokumente/.../RRA_ECDC_0130401_EWRS.pdf‎


Apr 1, 2013 – the patients developed severe pneumonia progressing rapidly into acute ... As of 1 April 2013, she is in critical condition at in Nanjing (Jiangsu Province). ... They were admitted to a hospital between February 14 and 24 with pneumonia. .... increase in influenza or atypical pneumonia cases at present, ...
SARS: Clinical Trials on Treatment Using a Combination of ...
www.who.int/medicinedocs/en/d/Js6170e/7.html‎


Expand Document | Expand Chapter | Full TOC | Printable HTML version ... The defervescence time of the 103 patients after treatment in the hospital ... atypical pneumonia, first seen in 2003, as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) (1). ..... All doctors who worked with SARS patients in isolation wards were trained in ...
How much pain the number moved - Best News
www.best-news.us/news-4173310-How-much-pain-the-number-moved....‎


Mar 26, 2013 – As for the 'atypical pneumonia' also is the atypical pneumonia this naming, ... My hardest to forget that it is the nurses of the hospital who fought in the first line: ... Zhang Jianpeng narrow escape unharmed complete the task ... 30% or more merger respiratory failure, multiple deaths. thin body, a graduate ...
CECC: Health and Welfare
www.cecc.gov/pages/virtualAcad/soc/health.php?mode=print...‎


All of these cases were identified retrospectively based on hospital records. .... Some people also experience mild respiratory symptoms. ... First known case of atypical pneumonia occurs in Foshan City, Guangdong Province, .... Union Medical College 12 Jiangwangmiao Street Nanjing 210042 People's Republic Of China ...
atypical pneumonia and ambivalent law and politics: sars - LexisNexis
https://litigation-essentials.lexisnexis.com/.../app?...


The "atypical pneumonia" (or feidian, as it soon came to be called by the shortened version of its full Chinese name) that erupted in southeastern China in ... (severe acute respiratory syndrome), showed the extensive interdependence ...... of a Shanxi hospital emergency ward who breathed his last while "still wearing his ...
[PDF]
Chinese National Security: Decisionmaking Under Stress - Strategic ...
www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pdffiles/pub623.pdf‎


by A Scobell - 2005 - Cited by 6 - Related articles
on and document the full extent of the crackdown ordered by China's communist leaders, my ... respiratory syndrome (SARS) epidemic of 2003 demonstrate, the topic ...... outbreak of the disease during 2003,13 reports of atypical pneumonia ...... April 19 – A ward in Royal Columbian Hospital near Vancouver is closed when ...
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
Evidence Of Host Adaptation Of Avian-Origin Influenza A Virus

Article Date: 17 May 2013 - 0:00 PDT
http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/releases/260574.php

A novel avian-origin reassortant influenza A (H7N9) virus emerged in China in February 2013, and is associated with severe lower respiratory tract diseases. To date, more than 100 human cases of infection, including at least 20 deaths, have been reported in China. Three early cases of infection were described in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China. The general clinical features of the three patients were similar to the previously reported cases in China. Two of the three patients had a history of direct contact with live poultry markets. Interestingly, poultry cage swabs and feces from the free market visited by Patient 2 one week prior to the onset of symptoms were positive for the novel avian influenza A (H7N9) virus. This indicates a direct connection between human infection with the novel H7N9 virus and an environmental source.

Researchers analyzed the DNA sequences from the Hangzhou viruses and other human H7N9 viral sequences available from the databases, together with those from other H7 influenza viruses. This showed that the virus sequenced from Patient 2 was most closely related to the virus derived from the environmental source associated with Patient 2, while Hangzhou/1 and Hangzhou/3 were more divergent. These data suggest that several H7N9 viruses are circulating in Hangzhou. It is uncertain whether the diversity of H7N9 in Hangzhou is the result of host adaptation, or predates the transmission to humans from an avian source.

The pathogenesis of the novel avian-origin H7N9 virus in humans remains unknown, although a series of substitutions that have been confirmed as pathogenicity factors in animal models were found in viruses from Hangzhou. A glutamine to isoleucine substitution was observed at position 226 of the hemagglutinin amino acid sequence in the newly sequenced virus. Isoleucine has similar characteristics to leucine, which was previously shown to be a pivotal amino acid in the binding of avian- or human-type receptor, and might be essential for pathogenicity in cases of airborne viral transmission. This substitution was observed for the first time at this site in H7N9, which may indicate a novel host adaptation feature of the H7 virus.

Findings from the current study implied a rapid evolution of the novel H7N9 virus. This may assist in determining the source and mode of transmission of these infections, and provide a reference for selecting candidate vaccine strains. The receptor binding properties of Q226I and the significance of the substitutions in H7N9 need further exploration, including both in vitro and in vivo experiments, and extensive field surveillance.
_________________
 

Amberglass

Inactive
http://pandemicinformationnews.blogspot.com/

Coronavirus: Virus "Corona" is no longer under control

Posted: 16 May 2013 04:19 AM PDT

May 16, 2013
Translation

Some officials said the Kingdom was no longer the virus, "Corona", which hit the region Ahsa in Saudi Arabia under control, after an increase in cases of patients and deaths as well. Despite all the precautions taken by the Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia, but the "Corona" could break all the walls of prevention and carried into the bodies of some citizens, increased toll injured to 26 people, 16 of whom died from the "virus" since September so far.

It is interesting to consider the discovery of two cases of medical personnel were wounded yesterday Corona virus, Aramco in private laboratories, which are used by the Ministry of Health to examine the samples.

According to private sources for the "Arab" to the private hospital in the province of Al-Ahsa has closed except for emergency department because disinfected and cleansed, having discovered the 13 cases, 9 of them died and the rest are still under observation, in addition to the discovery of suspected cases did not explain the ministry's. And fear still prevails the eastern region, especially after the deaths did not know people with the deceased for injury only after death, and the increase in suspected cases daily.

For his part, announced the Undersecretary of the Ministry of Health of Saudi Arabia of Preventive Medicine that the ministry is examining a sample 30 new suspected bird flu virus, stressing recording 4 cases in each of Dhahran, Qatif east of the country.

According to the newspaper "Middle East" Saudi Arabia, the newly discovered cases in each of Dhahran, Qatif relationship in one way or another the injured in a hospital Mousa Al-Ahsa province, or the King Fahd Hospital in Hofuf.

http://www.a9d2.com/17584.html

Ok... 30 new suspected bird flu cases?
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
Death toll from new bird flu in China rises to 36 - WHO

LONDON | Fri May 17, 2013 4:25pm EDT
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013...dType=RSS&feedName=rbssHealthcareNews&rpc=401

May 17 (Reuters) - Four more people in China have died from a new strain of bird flu, bringing the death toll from the H7N9 virus to 36 from 131 confirmed cases, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Friday.

The United Nations health agency said the four deaths were from cases that had already been identified in laboratories. Since May 8, there have been no new cases of infection with H7N9, it added.

The WHO reiterated that there is no evidence that the new strain of bird flu, which was first detected in patients in China in March, is passing easily from human to human - a feature that, if it emerged, could spark a pandemic.

It cautioned, however, that until the source of infection has been identified and controlled, there are likely to be further cases of human infection with H7N9.

The WHO said Chinese health authorities were continuing with enhanced surveillance, epidemiological investigations, close contact tracing, clinical management, laboratory testing and sharing of samples as well as prevention and control measures.

It added that in past week as the number of new cases has dwindled, some provinces have begun to scale back emergency operations.

(Reporting by Kate Kelland; Editing by Andrew Heavens)
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
H7N9 more likely to transmit among humans than other bird flu

English.news.cn 2013-05-18 21:16:02
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/health/2013-05/18/c_132391839.htm?

BEIJING, May 18 (Xinhua) -- A China, World Health Organization (WHO) joint report said the H7N9 bird flu virus has a higher potential for human-to-human transmission than any other known bird flu virus.

The report, compiled after the WHO's week-long field assessment of the influenza, was publicized by China's National Health and Family Planning Commission on Saturday.

It said, the H7N9 virus, compared with other bird flu virus, has infected more in a shorter time, and some H7N9 virus have shown genetic alterations which means they have adapted to be more contagious than other avian influenza virus.

Besides, the WHO offered the Chinese government several suggestions, including staying alert despite the virus' seasonal weakening during the summer, as the virus poses grave hazards and a lot of its basic information are still not known.

The report admitted there are still uncertainties surrounding this fresh strain of virus, asserting that exposure to live poultry is a major risk factor.

The WHO last month sent a joint mission of experts to China to survey areas affected by H7N9 in Shanghai and Beijing for a week-long assessment of the influenza.

From Late March when the first H7N9 case was reported to May 13, the Chinese mainland had reported a total of 130 confirmed H7N9 cases. Thirty-five of these cases ended in death, and 57 patients have recovered and been discharged from the hospital, according to official statistics.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
"Bird Flu" Similar to Deadly 1918 Flu, Gene Study Finds
Brian Handwerk
for National Geographic News
October 5, 2005

Scientists have reconstructed the genetic code of the deadly 1918 "Spanish flu," which swept the globe and killed an estimated 20 to 40 million people. Among their findings: The 1918 virus strain developed in birds and was similar to the "bird flu" that today has spurred fears of another worldwide epidemic.

By studying the once deadly 1918 virus's genetic information, scientists may become better able to predict future pandemics, or widespread epidemics. It may also aid the development of new vaccines, antiviral medicines, and other treatments to cope with flus.


"The purpose was to get at questions relating to the 1918 pandemic," said Jeffery Taubenberger, of the Armed Forces Institute of Pathology (AFIP) in Rockville, Maryland. Taubenberger co-authored one of several related papers in this week's issues of the journals Nature and Science.

"How did this particular virus form and get into humans? How did a pandemic start?" Taubenberger said. "Why was this particular virus so virulent? And in a broader sense what can we learn from the lessons of 1918 that can help us in the future?"

Influenza viruses were unknown in 1918, so there was no way for doctors or scientists to directly study the flu during or after the outbreak.

But some institutions, like the AFIP, preserved tissue samples from 1918 flu victims. Those 87-year-old samples—and others from a victim who was buried in, and preserved by, Alaskan permafrost—yielded tiny fragments of genetic material that were used to piece together the virus's genetic coding signature.

The final genes of the virus's genome sequence are being published this week. Scientists used the completed, full viral sequence to create a live virus with the eight viral genes of the Spanish flu, named for an early, devastating outbreak in Spain.

Even if somehow released, that virus would be unlikely to cause a pandemic like that of 1918, because humans have likely acquired some immunity in the intervening decades. Nonetheless, it is currently contained at Atlanta, Georgia's Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) under extremely strict security.

A Weapon Against the Next Pandemic?

Many experts warn that the world is overdue, and unprepared, for a global influenza pandemic. The next outbreak could well be as deadly as the Spanish flu, also known as H1N1, and potentially leave tens of millions dead.

Currently experts can't determine exactly which viruses might spark pandemics, though the Spanish flu data may help to identify which strains bear close observation.

H5N1, a strain of avian influenza called the bird flu, is the most likely candidate. The largely Southeast Asian disease is commonly found in birds but also occurs in mammals like pigs, cats, and humans. It has killed several dozen people, but as of yet it cannot be easily transferred from person to person and so has not developed into a pandemic outbreak.

Analysis of the 1918 strain revealed several mutations also found in H5N1. The findings suggest that both strains share an ability to jump directly to humans from other animals without having to first combine with a flu strain already adapted to humans.

"The sequence evidence from 1918 suggests that the virus is from completely avian origins," said Adolfo Garcia-Sastre, a microbiologist at Mount Sinai School of Medicine in New York City.


Human immune systems would likely be caught off guard by a purely avian virus to which they have no acquired immunity.

The century's other great pandemics, of 1957 and 1968, were sparked by hybrid flu viruses—human flus that acquired some genes from an avian source.

"This [finding] suggests that pandemics can form in more than one way, which is an important point," said the AFIP's Taubenberger. "We've been identifying a series of mutations that we believe are important in the way that an avian virus would adapt to become a human virus," Taubenberger added.

Though the evidence is compelling, only pre-1918 samples would allow scientists to be 100 percent sure that no aspects of the Spanish flu were previously present in contemporary human flu strains and that the flu was of completely avian origin.

"What makes a virus able to go from an avian reservoir to humans?" Mount Sanai's Garcia-Sastre asked. "That's important. Influenza is mainly a virus of birds. There are many different strains in birds and only a few affect humans. Pandemics occur when one of these jumps into the human population and can affect people by propagating from person to person."

Deadly Virus May Save Lives

CDC officials are taking extreme care to safeguard the re-created 1918 virus, though it would not likely lead to a major pandemic if the strain spread among the general population.

Tests have shown that mice that had been injected with current flu vaccines were protected from the 1918 strain.

"We know that all documented pandemic episodes have involved the emergence of a completely new strain," Garcia-Sastre said. "That happened in 1918, 1957, and in 1968."

"There is also evidence that people who were 40 years or older in 1918 were spared," he added. "One hypothesis to explain that is that persons 40 years old or older were exposed to an H1 virus before and had some immunity."

Now, decades after its outbreak, the 1918 virus may be a weapon rather than an opponent.

"I think we've been able to unmask the 1918 virus, and it's revealing to us some of the secrets that will help us prepare for the next pandemic," said Julie Gerberding, Director of the CDC.
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
Chinese authorities are saying there have been NO new confirmed cases in over three weeks. This is why the kill percentage keeps going up. 36 out of 131 is a 27 percent kill. If China was still admitting all the new cases that are really happening, the percentage would still be around 20 percent.
It is clear this is going to play out against a backdrop of continued lies from the WHO, the CDC and the Chinese government.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
Bird flu death toll rises in China
http://mwcnews.net/news/asia-pacfic/27003-bird-flu-death.html
18 May 2013

Four more people have died from a new strain of bird flu in China, bringing the death toll from the H7N9 virus to 36 from 131 confirmed cases, the World Health Organisation (WHO) has said.

The United Nations health agency said a written statement on Friday that the four deaths were from cases that had already been identified in laboratories.

It said here had been no new cases of infection with H7N9 Since May 8.

The WHO reiterated that there was no evidence that the new strain of bird flu, which was first detected in patients in China in March, was passing easily from human to human. If such a feature emerged it could spark a pandemic.

But it said: "Until the source of infection has been identified and controlled, it is expected that there will be further cases of human infection with the virus."

Nine labs open

The WHO said that Chinese health authorities had continued with enhanced surveillance, epidemiological investigations, close contact tracing, clinical management, laboratory testing and sharing of samples as well as prevention and control measures.

The number of new cases has dwindled in some provinces and operations

"In the past week, the Shanghai and Zhejiang provincial governments have started to normalise their emergency operations into their routine surveillance and response activities," the health organisation said.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has said that it has dedicated nine extra laboratories to help investigators track a deadly new respiratory virus related to SARS that appears to be centred in the kingdom.

The Health Ministry announcement on Thursday follows its report that two health care workers became ill this month after being exposed to patients with the virus.

Experts were closely studying whether it could spread easily from person to person.

The WHO had been informed of 40 confirmed cases of the virus since September 2012, mostly in Saudi Arabia but also in Europe and Jordan.

At least 20 people have died, including 15 reportedly in Saudi Arabia.

The virus has been compared to SARS, a pneumonia that surfaced in China in late 2002 and killed at least 774 people worldwide.

The WHO, which is closely monitoring the viruses, has said that the bird flu and SARS-like viruses had the potential to cause a global pandemic if they evolved into a form easily spread between people.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
Had an interesting conversation today. I have mentioned that I think the spread agent for H7N9 is probably rats. Well I talked with a person who is working full time with control measures here on H7N9 who was of the same opinion that it is rats. So chicken are out, rats are in.

Can you get it off chickens? Well if the chickens have been rolling in the ground etc where rats have been then it is probably on their feathers.

So I can't see this problem going away.

Today I bought some freshly killed chickens down the street. They cut the feet off and stuck them in the empty stomach. That is the first time I have seen that done.

Don't bother asking me for more details on who I spoke with!
 
Last edited:

Doomer Doug

Deceased
The WHO is delusional. They are STILL saying there is no human to human transmission. There have been SEVERAL documented cases of human to human transmission in China and Taiwan. This killer flu isn't going away in China. It is simmering away quietly and spreading quietly despite all the official denials. No new cases since May 8th? Give Doomer Doug a break!

The Saudi Arabian virus is also simmering away. Doomer Doug is not so sure warm weather will have much of an impact on the spread of the flu virus in either China or the Middle East. These flu viruses are lethal!
Tens of thousands of people fly into and out of China and the Middle East every single day. It is likely some of them will be infected and be asymptomatic.
What happened to all the people overwhelming Shanghai and other Chinese hospitals? There are now hundreds/thousands of "atypical pneumonia" cases in China. How many, if any, of these people were tested for the H79 flu? Doomer Doug thinks NONE of them were. And since they weren't tested they don't show up on the official documented cases list.

At any rate, we may see a lull before the storm scenario. If the vector is rats, then China is screwed. You may be able to kill most of the infected Chickens and other birds. There is no way you can kill all the rats in China!
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
WHO subdued over Middle Eastern nations’ handling of coronavirus

World Health Organization praises China for quick response on latest bird flu outbreak but is concerned over Middle Eastern countries’ handling of SARS-related coronavirus.

By: Jennifer Yang Global health reporter, Published on Tue May 21 2013
http://www.thestar.com/news/world/2...eastern_nations_handling_of_coronavirus.html?

Ten years ago, SARS was spreading around the globe and the World Health Organization was publicly criticizing China for its secrecy around the outbreak.

Today, SARS has virtually disappeared but two worrying new viruses have emerged. This week at the World Health Assembly in Geneva, WHO praised China for its “extraordinary” response to a recent bird flu outbreak. But meanwhile, uncertainty surrounds another government’s handling of a new SARS-related coronavirus, this one in the Middle East.

On Tuesday, the Chinese delegation to the World Health Assembly organized a side event to discuss H7N9, a deadly new bird flu that first emerged in March and has now infected 131 people, 36 of them fatally.

In her introductory remarks, Dr. Margaret Chan, director-general of the World Health Organization, said global public health has “benefited greatly” from the information China has shared on H7N9. One day earlier, she had thanked China during a speech before the assembly’s 194 member states and she reiterated her gratitude toward China for “collecting and communicating such a wealth of data so quickly and for collaborating with the WHO very closely.” {Rolling Eyes China is still withholding 120+ human H7N9 sequences}

Speaking to a packed room of international delegates and journalists, Chan said: “We are here because of our serious concern about the new H7N9 avian influenza virus. But we are also here out of appreciation for the tremendous amount of knowledge we already have about this new disease.” Confused

But WHO officials have refrained from directly commenting on how governments have handled the coronavirus in the Middle East.

Cases have primarily been reported in Saudi Arabia and so far, the virus has infected more than 40 people, killing at least 20 — the latest three were reported Tuesday, a 66-year-old Tunisian man, who reportedly travelled recently to the Middle East, and his two children. According to a WHO spokesperson, the father died before testing positive but the two children, who suffered from mild illnesses and have now recovered, have tested positive.

Speaking at the H7N9 event Wednesday, WHO’s top flu expert, Dr. Keiji Fukuda, warned that the world is not completely prepared for another large severe outbreak. It is also an “unusual global situation” to have two simultaneously emerging viruses with pandemic potential, he said — a predicament not seen since 2003, when an H5N1 bird flu outbreak came on the heels of SARS.

Fukuda also spoke highly of China’s response to the bird flu outbreak. But when a journalist asked how he felt about Saudi Arabia’s handling of the coronavirus, Fukuda’s response was subdued.

“I think similar to China, Saudi Arabia and the other infected countries have been working very hard on the novel coronavirus situation,” Fukuda said. “In certain ways, the novel coronavirus is a bit more complex than H7N9 . . . I think that the amount of investigations going on is really very intense right now.”

The H7N9 event was also attended by officials with China’s national health and family planning commission, including Li Bin, who had only been health minister for a few weeks when the outbreak began.

Audience members also heard from Dr. Juan Lubroth, chief veterinary officer with the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization, who said the bird flu outbreak has cost China more than $6.5 billion (U.S.) in poultry industry losses. He also noted that out of more than 605,000 tests performed on animals and environmental samples in China, only 53 have turned up positive for H7N9 — indicating that much more work is needed to investigate where exactly this virus is lurking.

When asked which of the two viruses, H7N9 or coronavirus, is more concerning to him right now, Fukuda smiled.

“I think they switch back and forth in terms of making my stomach upset,” he said. “All we can say is right now we have two different viruses that we have to monitor very carefully.”
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
China gains international recognition for immediate, effective responses to H7N9

(Xinhua)
13:16, May 22, 2013
http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/90882/8253723.html?

GENEVA, May 21 (Xinhua) -- China has gained international recognition for its immediate and effective responses to the human infections with H7N9 virus, a side event on Influenza A (H7N9) showed Tuesday.

The Chinese delegation to the 66th World Health Assembly and World Health Organization (WHO) convened the side event, which gathered officials and experts from international organizations and relevant countries to exchange information and discuss common methods for the prevention of the epidemic.

Chinese Health Mininster Li Bin briefed the experts and officials on the cases of human infections with H7N9 avian influenza virus in China.

She said the disease, which is of sporadic nature and preventable and controllable, has seen neither qualitative change nor virus mutation.` And no human-to-human transmission was detected and proved based on available evidence, she said.

The minister said that the Chinese government has effectively implemented the International Health Regulations, promptly notified the WHO and relevant countries and regions of the epidemic, and shared the virus strains with international community.

Margaret Chan, Director-General of WHO, said that the H7N9 influenza was an issue that deserved international attention and collaboration to find solutions.

She said that the global public health and research communities have benefited greatly from China' s sharing of genetic sequence data.

Lauding China's prompt response to the new deadly disease and close cooperation with WHO, the WHO chief said that a 50-page report of the joint China-WHO mission on human infection with the new virus has described the Chinese response as extraordinary. Rolling Eyes

Keiji Fukuda, Assistant Director-General of WHO, said that the general model of China's response was quite applicable to any big and complicated outbreak.
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
The PR campaign to show China has acted responsibly in dealing with the ongoing lethal killer flu is a HUGE DOT. You have to watch what these people both do and say. China is reporting there have been NO new cases in over a week. THIS IS A LIE! The CDC and the WHO KNOW THIS IS A LIE. If they didn't realize it was a lie THEY WOULD NOT BE HOLDING A PRESS CONFERENCE TO SAY HOW GREAT CHINA'S RESPONSE IS. The reason they have to hold this spin control press conference is the actual situation in China is much worse than being reported by the CDC and the WHO.
The only reason for the decline in new cases is China has stopped testing for the virus. NO TEST MEANS NO VIRUS TO THE CHINESE HEALTH AUTHORITIES.

This PR dog and pony press conference is the clearest example yet that China is on the verge of a pandemic. China has lied about toxic infant formula. They have lied about drugs so contaminated they killed people. They have lied about toxic pet food. They have lied about toxic candy. They have lied about murdering/executing prisoners and selling their body parts on the black market. The CDC and the WHO think China isn't lying about the current status of H79? Nobody is that stupid.

The PR effort is to help prepare the world for the admission that a new global flu epidemic has started in China due to Chinese government incompetence.

As far as Doomer Doug can tell, there are thousands of sick Chinese currently overwhelming hospitals in several Chinese cities including Shanghai. There are many unofficial reports of a MASSIVE wave of what China is calling "atypical pneumonia." Gee, guess what that is. China has been closing schools. they have been closing hospitals to new patients. They have been saying with a straight face there is no more flu and no more problem. THEY ARE LYING!!!!!

Doomer Doug thinks the Middle Eastern lethal virus will get the news coverage since western media doesn't care what the Arabs think. China is threatening the corporate media and western government health agencies with retribution if they admit the lethal flu virus is out of control The same thing happened with the remake of Red Dawn.

Keep us posted China Connection. Doomer Doug is thinking that at best the flu will lay low for several months until winter starts and it explodes again. Or it may keep bubbling away off the radar of the incompetent Chinese government.
 

Mysty

Veteran Member
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-05-23/chinas-bird-flu-goes-airborne

China's Bird Flu Goes Airborne


As if China was not suffering enough from a slumping economy, the South China Morning Post now reports that the H7N9 'bird flu' virus that has infected 131 people (and killed 36) so far can be transmitted not only by close contact but by airborne exposure. Domestic reports suggest the virus appears to be brought under control largely through restrictions at bird markets but the team at the University of Hong Kong has also found that pigs can be infected (cue 'when pigs can fly' pun). The findings suggest that there may be many more cases that have been detected or reported since "people may be transmitting the virus before they know they've even got it."
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
Precisely Doomer Doug's point. There are hundreds/thousands of infected people running around China. Many of them are asymptomatic and haven't been tested or treated.
The world is going to pay dearly for believing the lies from China, the WHO and the CDC.
 
Top