WEATHER ARE YOU READY FOR THIS STORM??

[Count the Cost]

Faith,

Are you anywhere near northwest Arkansas? The radar looks like the precip is getting fairly close to the Ft. Smith/Fayetteville region. The kiddos are at school, but if the ice is going to start up soon, I'm going to pick them up and save myself a slick drive later.

Ugh! I dread this, especially if it is a repeat of last year!

Keep safe, everyone!

[blueberry]

Right now, it is just a cold steady rain. But, the temps are supposed to drop all day, and it will turn into freezing rain / snow in a few hours.

Everyone stay safe!

[Count the Cost]

My Weatherbug desktop tool shows that it is 29 degrees in my part of NW Arkansas. My fear is that I won't have much warning between the raindrops starting and the roads getting bad.

Ironic, I'm pulling up more wood to the porch this morning-- it's the same wood we cut up from the damage in our yard from last year's Jan. 28 ice storm.

[Red Baron]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0071
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0701 AM CST THU JAN 28 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS E-CENTRAL/NERN NM...TX PANHANDLE AND
SOUTH-PLAINS REGIONS...WRN-CENTRAL OK.

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 281301Z - 281800Z

EXTENSIVE AND GROWING PRECIP AREA ACROSS ERN NM...W TX AND SRN OK
FCST TO MOVE/EXPAND NWD AND NEWD THROUGH 18Z...RESULTING IN SNOW
RATES 1-2 INCH/HOUR FROM NEAR LVS-SRR LINE NEWD AND EWD ACROSS NRN
PANHANDLE THROUGH 18Z. MEANWHILE FREEZING RAIN ALREADY OBSERVED
INVOF AMA/CVS SHOULD TRANSITION TO AREA OF SLEET THAT EXPANDS IN
PROGRESSIVELY NARROWER ZONE EWD ACROSS PORTIONS WRN/CENTRAL OK NEAR
AND JUST NW OKC. MIXED ZONE OF BOTH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
EXIST FOR MUCH OF REMAINDER MORNING ALONG CORRIDOR FROM E OF CVS
TOWARD CSM/OKC AREAS...WITH FREEZING RAIN BECOMING PREDOMINANT
PRECIP TYPE WITH SWD TO SWD-SHIFTING SFC FREEZING LINE.

PRECIP PLUME WILL BE ENHANCED BY STG LOW LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE
TRANSPORT REGIME ACCOMPANYING BOTH BROAD/35-45 KT SRN/WARM BRANCH OF
LLJ OVER SW TX...AND SIMILARLY STRONG BUT SOMEWHAT NARROWER NRN
BRANCH LLJ ACROSS SWRN OK...SRN PANHANDLE/NRN SOUTH-PLAINS REGION
AND E-CENTRAL NM. MID-UPPER WINDS WILL BE STRONGLY MERIDIONAL WITH
SOME ELY COMPONENT...NE OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS EVIDENT IN
MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY EJECTING NEWD OVER SWRN NM. 12Z AMA RAOB
SHOWS ROUGHLY 2500 FT DEEP WARM NOSE ABOVE STABLE/POSTFRONTAL
BOUNDARY LAYER...SUPPORTING FREEZING RAIN AS OBSERVED...BUT SHOULD
COOL THROUGHOUT REMAINDER MORNING AS TRANSITION OCCURS THROUGH SLEET
TO SNOW. 12Z OUN SOUNDING...WITHOUT ANY ADVECTION OR DYNAMIC
COOLING -- WOULD EXPERIENCE WET-BULB CHANGE TO JUST ABOVE FREEZING.
HOWEVER...CONTINUED CAA AND DRY ADVECTION BENEATH OVERSPREADING
PRECIP PLUME WILL RESULT IN SEVERAL EFFECTS...
1. SFC FREEZING LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE S ACROSS CENTRAL/SWRN
OK AND TX SOUTH-PLAINS REGION THROUGH 18Z...REACHING TO NEAR
ROW-FSI-OKM LINE.
2. EVAPORATIVE EFFECTS...TO SOME EXTENT AND IN A TOP-DOWN
FASHION...WILL BE OFFSET BY DOWNWARD-DIRECTED SENSIBLE HEAT FLUXES
FROM RELATIVELY WARM PRECIP FALLING INTO COLDER AIR. THIS WILL ACT
TO COMPACT ISOTHERMS AND COMPRESS LAYER OF STRONGEST STATIC
STABILITY VERTICALLY. MAIN UNCERTAINTY ATTM IS TO WHAT EXTENT THIS
WILL OCCUR...WHICH WILL AFFECT TRANSITION FROM FREEZING RAIN TO
SLEET IN AND NEAR AFOREMENTIONED TRANSITION ZONE.

..EDWARDS/JEWELL.. 01/28/2010


...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

[O2BNOK]

several semis have rolled over on I-40 in west OK... weatherford area mostly, the wreckers will need room to work, one semi covers the entire east bound roadway. Parts of the interstate are closed to clean up the messes.

eta: no precip here yet, just wind, cold, clouds

[savurselvs]

950 am and it is turning the ground white with sleet/snow.
we only got a 1/4 inch of ice on the trees and such. (luck)

the cold is 4 hours ahead of the projected schedule.

[savurselvs]

just heard from a buddy.
HALF of plainview Texas is without power.
and at 1030 no snow yet.

[Inkywon]

70 miles south of Fort Worth, rain, temp 55 and thundering. Time 10:55 AM
1-28-10

[blueberry]

Pic sent to me from Midland, Texas. Sent from iPhone at 10:44 am

[GarnetRooster]

Here's the Greenville /Greer SC Forecast Discussion:
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByS...ype=discussion

000
FXUS62 KGSP 281526
AFDGSP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1026 AM EST THU JAN 28 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY...AND BECOME STATIONARY SOUTH
OF THE REGION EARLY FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THE GULF
COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SPREADING MOISTURE ACROSS THE CAROLINAS
FROM LATE FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
IN FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE MTNS AS A COLD FRONT DROPS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. CIRRUS WILL BE THE MAIN CLOUD TYPE ELSEWHERE.
OBSERVED THICKNESSES THIS MORNING ARE RIGHT IN LINE WITH THE GOING
FCST HIGHS...SO NO CHANGES THERE. WINDS LOOK TO BE QUITE GUSTY
ACROSS THE RIDGES TODAY WITH SOME LOW END GUSTS ELSEWHERE. HAVE MADE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO WINDS AND SKY TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE TRENDS.
OTHERWISE...LITTLE CHANGE TO THE GOING FCST.

TNGT...POLAR HI PRES BLDS INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO THE MID
ATLC COAST...AS DEEP SRN STREAM S/W DIGS INTO THE SRN PLAINS.
INCREASING CLOUDINESS IS EXPECTED AS THE SYS ORGANIZES UPSTREAM
INVOF E TX. HOWEVER...ANY PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THAT SYS IS
EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER DAYBREAK. MIN TEMPS MAINLY IN THE
20S N TO MID-UPR 30S S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 345 AM THURSDAY...THE SRN STREAM SYSTEM THAT IS GOING TO PLAY
THE MAJOR ROLE IN OUR WX LATE TOMORROW INTO SATURDAY CURRENTLY IS
CONSOLIDATING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE SYSTEM LOOKS QUITE
VIGOROUS ON THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ATTM.

FOR THIS PACKAGE I HAVE EXPANDED TO WINTER STORM WATCH TO COVER MOST
OF THE FA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF ELBERT...ABBEVILLE AND GREENWOOD
COUNTIES. THE NAM AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO BE THE FAVORED SOLUTIONS.
THE GFS HAS A STRONGER WARM NOSE FRI NIGHT THAN THE NAM.
HOWEVER...THE LATEST SREF PLUME DIAGRAMS HAVE TAKEN A TURN FOR THE
COLDER AND THE GFS APPEARS TO BE A WARM OUTLIER.

THE 00 UTC ECMWF WAS ALSO COLDER AND LINES UP WELL WITH THE NAM.
THEIR QPF FORECASTS ARE NEARLY IDENTICAL...CONSIDERING THE
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL RESOLUTION...AND IT APPEARS THAT 1 TO 1.5
INCHES OF QPF IS A VERY GOOD BET FOR THE HEART OF THE FA. AS I
SAID...THE PLUME DIAGRAMS ARE MUCH COLDER...A TREND THAT HAS BEEN
GOING OF FOR 3 RUNS NOW. FOR GREER...THEY CURRENTLY AVERAGE 4 INCHES
OF SNOW...AND AT KCLT THEY AVERAGE 5 INCHES. IN EACH CASE...THE
HEAVIEST P-TYPE IS SNOW WITH SECOND PLACE GOING TO SLEET. AS FOR
PRETTY MUCH ALL OF THE NC MTNS...FOOTHILLS AND AND NW PIEDMONT...IT
LOOKS TO BE JUST ABOUT ALL SNOW. HOWEVER...A FEW OF THE MEMBERS HAVE
DRAMATICALLY HEAVIER SNOW AMOUNTS EVEN FROM GREENVILLE TO CHARLOTTE.
I/VE PULLED THE HEAVIER SNOW AMOUNTS ABOUT 30 MILES SOUTH OF WHERE
THEY WERE BEFORE. I/M MAINTAINING THE PREVIOUS SHIFTS SOLID 8 TO 10
INCH AMOUNTS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40..BUT THE SOUTHWARD ADJUSTMENT
TAKES THEM ACROSS MOST OF THE REST OF THE NC FOOTHILLS AND INTO THE
SC AND GA MTNS. I STAYED CLOSE TO THE PLUME AVERAGES FOR THE
GREENVILLE AND CHARLOTTE METRO AREAS...WHICH MEANS MORE SNOW.
HOWEVER...I/M STILL NERVOUS ABOUT HOW THE MODELS ARE JUMPING AROUND
WITH THE WARM NOSE. THEREFORE...I WOULDN/T ADVERTISE THE SNOW AS A
SLAM DUNK...JUST AN INCREASINGLY LIKELY SOLUTION. SLEET OR FREEZING
RAIN COULD STILL BE OUR PRIMARY P-TYPE IN THESE AREAS.

I/VE DRAWN UP AN AREA OF .25 INCHES OF FREEZING RAIN OVER THE
UPSTATE FROM ANDERSON TO SOUTHERN GREENVILLE COUNTY OVER TO GAFFNEY
AND THE MONROE. FARTHER TO THE SOUTH...IT APPEARS THAT AREAS FROM
ELBERTON TO GREENWOOD WILL JUST BE A COLD RAIN WITH SOME MIX AT THE
BEGINNING AND END.

THE LATEST AVERAGE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE A LITTLE SLOWER AND I HAVE
CAT POPS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF SATURDAY OVER MOST OF NC...TAPERING
OFF FARTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE NAM AND EC CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE A
WEAK DEFORMATION ZONE THAT COULD KEEP SNOW GOING A GOOD BIT OF THE
DAY OVER THE NRN NC COUNTIES.

IT WILL BE COLD AND DRY SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

&&

[Faith]

Originally Posted by Count the Cost

Faith,

Are you anywhere near northwest Arkansas? The radar looks like the precip is getting fairly close to the Ft. Smith/Fayetteville region. The kiddos are at school, but if the ice is going to start up soon, I'm going to pick them up and save myself a slick drive later.

Ugh! I dread this, especially if it is a repeat of last year!

Keep safe, everyone!

No, I'm central Oklahoma 30miles east of OKC just off I-40
It's freezing rain here and the cars are iced over.

The weatherman said this morning that it would depend upon how
much sleet we got would determine how bad the ice would be.
The more sleet the less ice.....so far no sleet just freezing rain Ugh..
I just hope don't lose power..

Stay safe everyone.....

[blueberry]

Originally Posted by Inkywon

70 miles south of Fort Worth, rain, temp 55 and thundering. Time 10:55 AM
1-28-10

A LOT of thunder here, too. What is that old saying? 'Thunder in February means snow in April'

Wonder what thunder in January means...

[Count the Cost]

Originally Posted by blueberry

Wonder what thunder in January means...

Broken power poles
Limbs falling through the roof
The look of a war zone in the front and back yard
No school for 5-7 days
Comfort foods that I stocked up on (it can't all be bad )

[Stormy]

My GF and I left Oklahoma day before yesterday to come home to Colorado so we got out just in time.

Before we left I made sure my elderly parents were well stocked with food, got gas for the generator and lots of firewood in for them. Ice storms are the worst. Everyone stay safe!

[SarahLynn]

The spawnling is home safe. Left two days early. Looks as if he was thinking ahead- PTL!!!

I hope you all stay safe and snug. (((Praying)))

[epaul]

S.W. Oklahoma here. We still have power at our house buy may not last much longer.. The storm started out with rain this morning then about 10 A.M. it changed to freezing rain. .We have a about 1 to 2 inches of ice on everything. At lunch I had to chip ice off of the pickup door to get it open. I closed the office at 2:30 and came home to get the genny ready. I also have a inverter to run our pellet stove if need arises. Lot's of folks here without electric service now. The forcast is calling for snow tonight so wish us luck folks.

[Red Baron]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0074
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1218 PM CST THU JAN 28 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL...SRN...NERN AND N-CENTRAL OK INTO EXTREME
NWRN AR

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 281818Z - 282215Z

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS MUCH
OF CENTRAL OK THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE ALSO SPREADING TOWARD
E-CENTRAL/NERN OK AND EXTREME NWRN AR BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING. ACROSS N-CENTRAL OK...DRY LOW LEVEL AIR WILL EVENTUALLY
MOISTEN WITH TIME...LEADING TO SLEET TRANSITIONING TO SNOW TOWARD
00Z. FARTHER S OVER S-CENTRAL OK...DRY AIR MAY ADVECT INTO THE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON...CAUSING THE WET BULB ZERO LINE TO SHIFT SOUTH
TOWARD THE RED RIVER...WHICH WOULD INCREASE THE PROBABILITY FOR
SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN.

AT 17Z...SFCOA DATA INDICATED THE WET BULB ZERO LINE EXTENDED FROM
ROUGHLY FSM/W-CENTRAL AR TO A LOCATION IMMEDIATELY S OF FSI IN
SWRN/S-CENTRAL OK. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT NELY WINDS
ACROSS MUCH OF OK WILL CONTINUE TO USHER IN DRY LOW LEVEL AIR TOWARD
S-CENTRAL OK...WHICH WOULD FAVOR A SWD PUSH OF THE WET BULB ZERO
LINE TOWARD THE RED RIVER. MEANWHILE...SIGNIFICANT WARM AIR ABOVE
THE SURFACE CONTINUES TO BE DRAWN INTO THE LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ATTENDANT TO THE SWRN CONUS UPPER TROUGH...WITH A
PROMINENT WARM NOSE /5-6 DEG C/ CENTERED NEAR 850 MB PER 15Z OUN
SPECIAL SOUNDING. AS THE SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WARM CONVEYOR BELT CONTINUES TO SPREAD NWD INTO OK...MODEL FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
FREEZING RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL OK...PERHAPS SPREADING SWD
TOWARD THE RED RIVER GIVEN THE RECENT TRENDS IN SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOW LAPSE RATES STEEPENING
TOWARD 00Z OVER S-CENTRAL/CENTRAL OK...WITH A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF
MUCAPE ROOTED NEAR 700 MB SUGGESTIVE OF CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED
PRECIPITATION RATES.

OTHERWISE...AS THE 40-50 KT S-SELY LLJ BEGINS TO SHIFT EWD WITH THE
EMERGING UPPER TROUGH TOWARD EVENING...HEAVIER PRECIPITATION RATES
WILL BEGINS TO SPREAD ACROSS E-CENTRAL/NERN OK INTO EXTREME NWRN
AR...AT WHICH POINT MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICTS RAPID WET BULB COOLING
AND MOISTENING IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...RESULTING IN THE ONSET OF
FREEZING PRECIPITATION PERHAPS MIXED WITH SLEET. FARTHER W FROM
CENTRAL INTO N-CENTRAL OK...FREEZING RAIN MAY TRANSITION TO SLEET
MORE QUICKLY DUE TO COOLER 850 MB TEMPERATURES...WITH SNOW BECOMING
MORE PROBABLE TOWARD 00Z PER SREF GUIDANCE.

..GARNER.. 01/28/2010


...NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

[Red Baron]

Originally Posted by epaul

S.W. Oklahoma here. We still have power at our house buy may not last much longer.. The storm started out with rain this morning then about 10 A.M. it changed to freezing rain. .We have a about 1 to 2 inches of ice on everything. At lunch I had to chip ice off of the pickup door to get it open. I closed the office at 2:30 and came home to get the genny ready. I also have a inverter to run our pellet stove if need arises. Lot's of folks here without electric service now. The forcast is calling for snow tonight so wish us luck folks.

Live WX blog,

http://www.severestudios.com/live

OK being mentioned alot.

Good luck!

[American Rage]

glad I don't have to be out in this crap.


Rage

[Red Baron]

Twitter Updates
Twitter updates from Severe Studios / severestudios.
URL: http://twitter.com/severestudios
Updated: 6 min 32 sec ago

severestudios: Severe T-Storm Watch issued for northcentral TX. Main threat 65+ mph wind. Includes DFW metro - strong storms coming http://bit.ly/aAidPY

27 min 38 sec ago
severestudios: Severe T-Storm Watch issued for northcentral TX. Main threat 65+ mph wind. Includes DFW metro - strong storms coming http://bit.ly/aAidPY

severestudios: RT @TWCi: I-40 is either closed or impassable from NM/TX border to TX/OK border. (TX panhandle)

32 min 43 sec ago
severestudios: RT @TWCi: I-40 is either closed or impassable from NM/TX border to TX/OK border. (TX panhandle)

severestudios: RT @news9wxguy: Power is failing in SW quarter of Oklahoma, spreading northeast..

33 min 2 sec ago
severestudios: RT @news9wxguy: Power is failing in SW quarter of Oklahoma, spreading northeast..

severestudios: The Texas Dept of Transpt. has closed all major roadways out of Amarillo; Secondary roads should be considered impassable. (1/28 2:15pm)

41 min 5 sec ago
severestudios: The Texas Dept of Transpt. has closed all major roadways out of Amarillo; Secondary roads should be considered impassable. (1/28 2:15pm)

severestudios: According to the Oklahoma State Police, I-44 at mile marker 53 is shut down due to down power lines across all four lanes of the interstate.

55 min 58 sec ago
severestudios: According to the Oklahoma State Police, I-44 at mile marker 53 is shut down due to down power lines across all four lanes of the interstate.

severestudios: Supercells possible this afternoon in southwest TX: http://bit.ly/au96uF (1/28)

1 hour 10 min ago
severestudios: Supercells possible this afternoon in southwest TX: http://bit.ly/au96uF (1/28)

severestudios: 60 mph wind reported in Carbon, TX by local law enforcement at 1:26 pm (1/28)

1 hour 15 min ago
severestudios: 60 mph wind reported in Carbon, TX by local law enforcement at 1:26 pm (1/28)

severestudios: Possible tornado touchdown in Cross Plains, TX in southeast Callahan County. (thx @TWCi)

1 hour 25 min ago
severestudios: Possible tornado touchdown in Cross Plains, TX in southeast Callahan County. (thx @TWCi)

severestudios: RT @TWCjerdman: Freezing rain & sleet has begun in the OKC metro area...just 1 day after reaching a high of 65 degrees.

2 hours 8 min ago
severestudios: RT @TWCjerdman: Freezing rain & sleet has begun in the OKC metro area...just 1 day after reaching a high of 65 degrees.

severestudios: Freezing rain has now made it to the Tulsa, OK area. Reports starting to come in. Less than 1/4" so far. (1/28 1pm)

2 hours 8 min ago
severestudios: Freezing rain has now made it to the Tulsa, OK area. Reports starting to come in. Less than 1/4" so far. (1/28 1pm)

severestudios: Tornado Warning for Eastland County in TX until 1:45pm CST.

2 hours 10 min ago
severestudios: Tornado Warning for Eastland County in TX until 1:45pm CST.

severestudios: Latest winter wx mess discussion from the Storm Prediction Center: http://bit.ly/cTv47g (1/28 12:18pm) #okice

2 hours 42 min ago
severestudios: Latest winter wx mess discussion from the Storm Prediction Center: http://bit.ly/cTv47g (1/28 12:18pm) #okice

severestudios: RT @TWCi: Thundersnow being reported on the south side of Lubbock, TX.

4 hours 3 min ago
severestudios: RT @TWCi: Thundersnow being reported on the south side of Lubbock, TX.

severestudios: Detours and closures being reported on eastbnd I-40 east of Amarillo, TX due to jacknifed semis. Portions of I-27 near Lubbock also closed.

4 hours 24 min ago
severestudios: Detours and closures being reported on eastbnd I-40 east of Amarillo, TX due to jacknifed semis. Portions of I-27 near Lubbock also closed.

severestudios: 8 Counties in TX now under an Ice Storm Warning: http://bit.ly/aOHZ0o

4 hours 43 min ago
severestudios: 8 Counties in TX now under an Ice Storm Warning: http://bit.ly/aOHZ0o

severestudios: RT @okem: OK State Emergency Operations Center activated. Numerous disaster agencies working to assist with winter storm. #okice

5 hours 12 min ago
severestudios: RT @okem: OK State Emergency Operations Center activated. Numerous disaster agencies working to assist with winter storm. #okice

[Barry Natchitoches]

This storm could really hurt Memphis and/or the entire West Tennessee area, depending on exactly what turns it takes.


Will be praying for all in the storm's path, and hope that you folks will pray for us in the Memphis area too.

[Red Baron]

KOCO Oklahoma live streaming weather coverage,

http://www.koco.com/video/22363256/index.html

[Red Baron]

Originally Posted by Barry Natchitoches

This storm could really hurt Memphis and/or the entire West Tennessee area, depending on exactly what turns it takes.

Will be praying for all in the storm's path, and hope that you folks will pray for us in the Memphis area too.

Ice storms are the worst. I'll take a foot of snow over an ice storm any day.

Stay safe!

[summerthyme]

We've been getting hammered here all day in western NY state. The temperature was 25 degrees when I got up this morning, and it started dropping fast.. was down to 13° at noon and is 8° now. Steady HARD winds of 30 mph or so, with gusts up to 50 mph mean our wind chills have been well below zero most of the day.

It's all lake effect stuff, which means we can go from blinding, blowing hard snow to sunny blue skies... but it's COLD out there.

Hard to tell how much we've gotten or will get- most of it is plastered onto the west sides of the barns and buildings, or drifting into the low spots.

It's going to be a nice night to snuggle under the down comforter once the outside chores are done!

summerthyme

[Inkywon]

Originally Posted by blueberry

A LOT of thunder here, too. What is that old saying? 'Thunder in February means snow in April'

Wonder what thunder in January means...

LOL Not sure what it means.
Daughter had some high winds, Stephenville, Texas some damage around Tarleton State college, (A rest home was evacuated, roof damage, Tanks ?? from Tractor supply blown few blocks. The winds here on the BOP was high but no damage. Winds rough for a bit.

[buff]

was 66 and sunny here today...

[Imrik]

Bearskin throw... Check
Alternative heating and cooking.... check
Fully stock library.... check
battery powered radio/dvd player.... check
Ribeye steaks... Check.



well.....looks like im ready for part deux.

Having to deal with people today...you would think after last year they would have learned something about preparedness......
: sheep:







Nope.

[SheWoff]

For NW TN................


Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
842 PM CST THU JAN 28 2010

...MAJOR WINTER STORM EXPECTED ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO THE MIDSOUTH FROM THE
NORTH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO BELOW
FREEZING. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TO THE SOUTH OF THE
AREA SPREADING PRECIPITATION INTO THE MIDSOUTH BY LATE TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY. A PROGRESSIVELY SOUTHWARD CHANGEOVER FROM RAIN TO
FREEZING RAIN...SLEET AND SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL LIKELY
ACCOMPANY THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION. THESE WINDS COULD STRESS ICY
TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. WIND CHILLS
WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS BY FRIDAY MORNING OVER PARTS OF THE
AREA.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING OVER MUCH OF THE AREA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AS A RESULT...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW AND
ICE COVERED ROADS MAY OCCUR. TEMPERATURES MAY DROP INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE MIDSOUTH SUNDAY
MORNING.

TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051-291200-
/O.CON.KMEG.WS.W.0001.100129T0600Z-100130T1200Z/
LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-CROCKETT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...
DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON
842 PM CST THU JAN 28 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 6 AM CST SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
6 AM CST SATURDAY.

* THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATION. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM FREEZING RAIN MAY
OCCUR AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PRECIPITATION.

* WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND
PERSIST INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

* ROADS AND BRIDGES WILL LIKELY BECOME SLICK AND DANGEROUS WITH
TRAVEL NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS MAY CREATE
DRIFTING SNOW AND MAY DROP WIND CHILLS INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
FRIDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

[SheWoff]

For SW KY.................


Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
956 PM CST THU JAN 28 2010

...WINTER STORM EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATER TONIGHT
AND MOVE SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST ACROSS THE GULF
COAST STATES. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI LATE THIS EVENING...THEN SPREAD EAST INTO SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THIS EVENT ALONG
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MARBLE HILL MISSOURI TO VIENNA ILLINOIS
TO CALHOUN KENTUCKY. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF THAT
LINE. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATION WILL BE ALONG AND
JUST NORTH OF THE TENNESSEE AND ARKANSAS STATE LINES.

ILZ088>094-KYZ001>013-015>017-020>022-MOZ086-087-100-107>112-114-
291100-
/O.CON.KPAH.WS.W.0002.100129T0600Z-100130T1200Z/
UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-
HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-
CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-
MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...
ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...
CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIEL D...SMITHLAND...
BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRI NCETON...
DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...CALHOUN...GR EENVILLE...
ELKTON...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...
DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...
NEW MADRID
956 PM CST THU JAN 28 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST
SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY.

* SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE
THIS EVENING...THEN SPREAD EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND
WESTERN KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY
EVENING BEFORE TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM MARBLE HILL MISSOURI TO CALHOUN KENTUCKY. CLOSER
TO THE ARKANSAS AND TENNESSEE STATE LINES BORDERING KENTUCKY AND
MISSOURI...AMOUNTS MAY APPROACH 8 TO 10 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY TONIGHT AND
ESPECIALLY FRIDAY...AND REMAIN EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY. VISIBILITY MAY BE POOR WITH GUSTY NORTH
WINDS CREATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
IN THE 20S THROUGH MOST OF THE EVENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

[SheWoff]

Originally Posted by Imrik

Bearskin throw... Check
Alternative heating and cooking.... check
Fully stock library.... check
battery powered radio/dvd player.... check
Ribeye steaks... Check.



well.....looks like im ready for part deux.

Having to deal with people today...you would think after last year they would have learned something about preparedness......
: sheep:







Nope.

Hey Imrik...looks like it's a here we go again moment! Too many of us got hit this same time last year. Hope yall don't get it anywhere near as bad as yall did then!! We have folks just north of us in Murray that are still cutting up the trees that went down from last time.

She

[libtoken]

All the warnings at a glance on the NWS homepage:

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/

For the slower computers, text messages on warnings, watches and advisories are at

http://www.weather.gov/view/validProds.php?prod=WSW

[beardog1]

S E KY, dark clouds in the front yard sun shining in the back yard! still the calm before the storm here,,, expecting up to 10 inches here,,,
: Williamsburg KY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Winter Storm Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
341 AM EST FRI JAN 29 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO AFFECT EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...

.COLD DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE INTO THE REGION TODAY BEHIND A
COLD FRONT WHICH CROSSED THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY ON THURSDAY. LOW
PRESSURE ORGANIZING OVER TEXAS WILL ALSO MOVE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH
TODAY AND SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SPREAD AMPLE MOISTURE FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO NORTHWARD INTO THE COLD AIR MASS LOCATED OVER KENTUCKY
WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW BEING THE RESULT. THE GREATEST SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL NEAR THE VIRGINIA AND TENNESSEE BORDERS.
THE EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY VARY HOWEVER...WHICH
COULD RESULT IN CHANGES TO THE SNOW AMOUNT FORECAST.

KYZ079-080-083>088-115>118-291700-
/O.CON.KJKL.WS.W.0001.100129T1800Z-100131T0000Z/
PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-PERRY-CLAY-
LESLIE-LETCHER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...
MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...HAZARD...MANCHE STER...HYDEN...
WHITESBURG
341 AM EST FRI JAN 29 2010

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY.

* SNOW IS EXPECTED TO START FALLING THIS AFTERNOON SOUTH OF THE HAL
ROGERS PARKWAY AND GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTH AND EAST THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY
EVENING.

* SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY REACH
6 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE WARNING AREA...WITH UP TO A FOOT OVER
THE HIGHER RIDGES ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER.

* PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOWFALL COULD CAUSE HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS
ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE SNOW COULD FALL SO
FAST AT TIMES THAT ROAD CREWS MAY NOT BE ABLE TO KEEP THE ROADS
CLEAR. WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SNOW AS
IT WILL NOT BE AS HEAVY AND WET AS THE DECEMBER 2009 SNOWSTORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

[sassy]

Originally Posted by Faith

Sassy thank your DH ahead of time for us for their help.. I sure hope
we don't need them but the way it sounds we will.

We have freezing rain already here..I had a hard time keeping my
windshield clear this morning..

Everyone stay safe

Not to worry - he LOVES his job and loves helping people

He called last night and said they are in Norman.

[Red Baron]

FWIW It's a whopping 4 degree F in Milwaukee with clear blue skies.

Never got above 10 F yesterday.

[blueberry]

Not too bad here - just a thin layer of ice and snow. Enough to close the schools but not enough to bring down power lines and trees. It could have been much worse.

[Hansa44]

Originally Posted by blueberry

Not too bad here - just a thin layer of ice and snow. Enough to close the schools but not enough to bring down power lines and trees. It could have been much worse.

Are you anywhere near I40? My daughter was going to be driving from AL to AZ today, but will head south and then come across, but I was wondering what the weather is actually like.

[blueberry]

Originally Posted by Hansa44

Are you anywhere near I40? My daughter was going to be driving from AL to AZ today, but will head south and then come across, but I was wondering what the weather is actually like.

No, I am not near there. I think we do have some members in that area - maybe one of them can let you know.

[Red Baron]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0086
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CST FRI JAN 29 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN AR...BOOTHEEL OF MO...MIDDLE AND WRN
TN...AND FAR NRN MS/AL

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 291645Z - 292045Z

WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST ACROSS THE MID MS AND TN
VALLEY REGION. THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE IS EXPECTED TO BE
SNOW OVER NERN AR/BOOTHEEL OF MO AND WRN TN...WHILE A MIXTURE OF
SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER E TOWARD MIDDLE TN. A PERIOD
OF FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW IS ALSO EXPECTED OVER NRN MS/AL
THROUGH EARLY-MID AFTERNOON...BEFORE POSSIBLY TRANSITIONING TO RAIN
AS SLIGHTLY WARMER SURFACE TEMPERATURES ENTER THE REGION.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE TRANSPORTED NWD INTO THE MID
MS AND TN VALLEY REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO A BROAD
LOW LEVEL SLY JET. THIS LLJ IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY SHIFT EWD WITH
TIME IN RESPONSE TO EJECTING SRN PLAINS UPPER TROUGH...WITH STRONG
CONVERGENCE AND WAA FOCUSED ON ITS NOSE...TRANSLATING FROM SRN AR AT
18Z TOWARD NRN MS/NWRN AL THROUGH 00Z. IN ADDITION...12Z UPPER AIR
ANALYSIS INDICATES CONFLUENT MID LEVEL FLOW EXTENDING EWD FROM THE
MID MS VALLEY ACROSS THE OH VALLEY REGION...SUGGESTIVE OF
FRONTOGENESIS WHICH SLOPES TOWARD THE S INTO THE LWR MS VALLEY
REGION...AS DEPICTED IN SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE. FAVORABLE FORCING
FOR ASCENT COMBINED WITH THE MOIST ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN STEADY PRECIPITATION THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON.

SURFACE FREEZING AND WET BULB ZERO LINE AS OF 16Z EXTENDED WWD
ACROSS NRN AL/MS AND INTO CENTRAL-SRN AR. 12Z RAOBS INDICATED A
FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE FOR SLEET ACROSS OK AND AR /REF. OUN
AND LZK 12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS/...WHILE SNOW WAS MORE LIKELY ACROSS
SRN MO INTO CENTRAL TN /PER SGF AND BNA 12Z SOUNDINGS/. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS NERN AR/BOOTHEEL OF MO INTO WRN TN SUGGEST SNOW
WILL REMAIN THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE THROUGH MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON...WITH RATES GENERALLY AOB 1 IN/HR. FARTHER E INTO MIDDLE
TN...A SNOW/SLEET MIX IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET/SNOW IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ACROSS NRN MS/TN THROUGH
EARLY-MID AFTERNOON...THOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SURFACE
TEMPERATURES MAY WARM A DEGREE OR TWO ABOVE FREEZING BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN A CHANGE FROM FREEZING/FROZEN
PRECIPITATION TO LIQUID.

..GARNER.. 01/29/2010

[beardog1]

well it finally got here, wind, lots of snow... burrr

[Dixielee]

I have gotten 8 inches so far just east of Asheville. It is still coming down steadily and they are calling for heavy snow all night. My lights went out a few min ago, but came back quickly. I am as ready as I can get, but I sure don't want to be stuck in this house all week end without power!