03/01 | Daily Bird Flu Thread: "Cats may give you bird flu"

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Link to yesterday's thread: http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?t=187903


Since January, 2004 WHO has reported human cases of avian influenza A (H5N1) in the following countries:

* East Asia and the Pacific:
o Cambodia
o China
o Indonesia
o Thailand
o Vietnam

* Europe & Eurasia:
o Turkey

* Near East:
o Iraq
(see preliminary report)

Since December 2003, avian influenza A (H5N1) infections in poultry or wild birds have been reported in the following countries:

* Africa:
o Nigeria

* East Asia & the Pacific:
o Cambodia
o China
o Hong Kong (SARPRC)
o Indonesia
o Japan
o Laos
o Malaysia
o Mongolia
o Thailand
o Vietnam

* Europe & Eurasia:
o Austria
o Azerbaijan
o Bosnia & Herzegovina (H5)
o Bulgaria
o Croatia
o France
o Germany
o Greece
o Italy
o Romania
o Russia
o Slovak Republic
o Slovenia
o Switzerland (H5)
o Turkey
o Ukraine

* Near East:
o Egypt
o Iraq (H5)
o Iran

* South Asia:
o India
o Kazakhstan


For additional information about these reports, visit the
World Organization for Animal Health Web site.

Updated February 27, 2006
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/avian/outbreaks/current.htm#animals

:vik:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Cat may give you bird flu

By JACQUI THORNTON
Health Editor

A CAT has died from bird flu in Germany — sparking panic that pets could spread the dreaded virus.

The grisly news was revealed yesterday amid fears the killer bug may now be less than FIFTY miles from the Channel.

Urgent tests were being carried out on dozens of turkeys found dead on a farm in the village of Ruyaulcourt in north east France.

If the H5N1 flu strain killed them it will be the closest the virus has got to Britain. The village is close to Lille — where Eurostar trains link directly to London. France has already started vaccinating farmed birds.

Yesterday the Government’s chief scientific adviser grimly predicted bird flu — on the march across Europe — will be here within months. Professor Sir David King said he feared the disease could be with us for at least five years — and possibly become “endemic” just as it has in parts of Asia.

Cats have already died of the virus there, but the one killed in Germany is the first such case in Europe. The cat is feared to have eaten an infected bird on the island of Ruegen, off Germany’s northern coast.


The isle is close to Sweden, which yesterday said it had found its first suspected cases of H5N1 in wild ducks.

No human has so far caught bird flu from a cat. But there are fears the virus may mutate into a form which can easily be spread — killing millions of people.

http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006090693,00.html

:vik:
 

JPD

Inactive
2 suspected bird flu patients hospitalized in Jakarta

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-03/01/content_4243792.htm

JAKARTA, March 1 (Xinhuanet) -- Two suspected bird flu patients were admitted to a specialized hospital in Jakarta Wednesday morning, a hospital spokesman said.

Sulianti Saroso Hospital spokesman Dr Sardikin said the two patients were residents of Jakarta identified by their initials as W, 20, and T, 12 months.

"Preliminary observation has to be made to determine whether or not W and T were really infected with the bird flu virus," he was quoted by the Antara news agency as saying.

Sardikin said two other patients, who were admitted to the same hospital earlier, had been permitted to leave the hospital after being tested negative for bird flu.

To date, a total of 133 suspected bird flu patients have been treated at the Sulianti Saroso Hospital. About 24 of them died while 11 others tested positive for the deadly disease. Enditem
 

breezyhill

Veteran Member
so, if the cat ate the chicken and died from an infected bird, then we're safe to still eat cats, as long as they are not infected? i need to know this by suppertime.

:) :0 :)

breezyhill
 

JPD

Inactive
Indonesian With Bird Flu Symptoms Dies; Iraq Finds No New Cases

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000087&sid=akE0NvhLMCQ0&refer=top_world_news

March 1 (Bloomberg) -- An Indonesian boy hospitalized after suffering from bird flu symptoms died, according to Jakarta doctors. Iraq found no trace of the virus after screening suspected infections in fowl.

The 11-year-old boy from East Bekasi in West Java province was earlier treated at a local government hospital before being transferred to Jakarta, said Sardikin Giriputro, a director at Sulianti Saroso, a hospital treating avian influenza cases in the capital. The boy died hours later on Feb. 27.

The spread of the virus in birds creates more opportunity for human infection as people come into contact with poultry during slaughtering, plucking feathers or butchering. Poultry consumption will likely fall by almost 3 million tons to 84.6 million tons this year, as the spread of avian influenza across three continents prompts people to avoid bird meat, the Food and Agriculture Organization said in a statement.

``As unfounded fears of disease transmission reduce consumption and imports, lower domestic prices are forecast to limit production growth,'' FAO said in the statement.

At least 93 of the 173 people known to be infected with the bird flu have died, according to the World Health Organization. Poultry, when properly cooked, is safe to eat, according to the FAO and WHO, which are both United Nations agencies.

The WHO is tracking the spread of the H5N1 bird flu virus in the event it evolves to spread easily from person to person, sparking a pandemic such as the 1918 outbreak that killed 50 million people worldwide. The most recent pandemic in 1968, known as Hong Kong flu, killed 1 million people.

Indonesian Cases

About half of Indonesia's 27 human cases of bird flu are from Jakarta and surrounding areas, the nation's most economically active area. About 30 million village households in Indonesia have 200 million chickens in their backyards, the FAO estimates. The H5N1 bird flu virus has killed at least 20 people in Indonesia.

Sulianti Saroso hospital is also treating a 25-year-old pregnant woman, a resident of West Jakarta, who shows symptoms of bird flu, according to the hospital's Web site. The woman, identified as YM, is on a respiratory assistance unit, the statement said.

A 1-year-old girl from Central Jakarta, showing symptoms of avian influenza, was admitted last night, the hospital said on its Web site. As of Feb. 28, the hospital was treating 11 people suspected of having the bird flu virus, three of whom were in the intensive care unit.

In Iraq, tests on dead fowl found no new bird flu infections, said Ibtisam Aziz, a government spokeswoman, in a statement. Iraq issued a health alert in Diyala to prevent birds from being transported in and out of the city, as a precaution.

European Union

Lethal bird flu reached the European Union last month with cases found in birds in Austria, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, and Slovenia. France confirmed that a 16th swan died from H5N1. The swan was found in the Ain region near the Swiss border, like the other infected birds as well as the turkey farm that was infected by the virus.

German authorities yesterday found the H5N1 virus in a cat in an area of northern Germany where wild birds have died. The WHO said domestic cats aren't considered a ``reservoir'' for the virus.

``There is no present evidence that domestic cats play a role in the transmission cycle of H5N1 viruses,'' the WHO said on its Web site. ``To date, no human case has been linked to exposure to a diseased cat. No outbreaks in domestic cats have been reported.''

Hungarian authorities yesterday said they discovered the H5 subtype of the virus in a swan corpse in the Danube River town of Dunakeszi, just north of Budapest. The 10-kilometer protective zone, where authorities closely watch birds for signs of the disease, extends into northern parts of the capital.

If an H5-infected bird is found within city limits, it could create ``a traffic catastrophe,'' said Chief Veterinarian Miklos Suth said, as police searched cars to make sure they were not transporting poultry. Suth said that it is highly unlikely that the virus could enter poultry stocks in Budapest.
 

JPD

Inactive
Bird flu case confirmed in Chechnya

http://www.interfax.ru/e/B/politics/28.html?menu=1&id_issue=11471997

GROZNY. March 1 (Interfax) - Samples from a dead swan, found in Chechnya's Achkhoi-Martan district, have tested bird flu positive.

"A confirmation of the bird flu case has arrived from the Vladimir Veterinary Laboratory," the Chechen government's Veterinary Department told Interfax on Wednesday.

Chechen veterinary officials doubt, however, that a bird flu epidemic has broken out in Chechnya. No bird deaths have been reported at poultry farms or on private holdings, the department said.

The Chechen government has formed a group that will monitor the situation. "Measures listed in a special plan will be taken, if a threat of bird flu infections arises," Chechen presidential chief of staff Abdulkakhir Izraiilov told Interfax.

Chechen veterinary officials earlier said that the swan had died of starvation. sd
 

JPD

Inactive
Bird flu confirmed in Kabardino-Balkaria

http://www.interfax.ru/e/B/politics/28.html?menu=1&id_issue=11472144

ROSTOV-ON-DON. March 1 (Interfax-South) - The Pyatigorsk Veterinary Laboratory has confirmed the H5N1 virus in wild migrating ducks in Russia's internal republic of Kabardino-Balkaria, the republic Emergency Situations Ministry told Interfax on Wednesday.

"Five dead wild ducks and one dead crow were discovered among wild birds in Kabardino-Balkaria in the middle of February. Samples taken from four birds tested H5N1 positive," a ministry official said.

Preventive measures have been launched in Kabardino-Balkaria.
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Cat owners fear bird flu

First published: 01 Mar 2006, 11:35

The report of a cat dying of the deadly H5N1 strain of bird flu on the German island of Rügen has worried Norwegian pet owners

Animal clinics in Norway have had a regular stream of inquiries about bird flu, and the latest news has not made matters better.

"We get questions daily that show that people are apprehensive," veterinarian Lars Strømmen at the Trøndelag Animal Clinic told newspaper Adresseavisen.

Strømmen admitted that he is unsure what to tell pet owners, but believes it is unrealistic to keep cats indoors. Veterinarian Jon Snøfugl has similar experiences.

In the event of a cat licking someone in the face after carrying a dead bird, Snøfugl advised caution.

"This is basically a bird illness, and we explain that. But we clearly explain that one has to avoid situations like that where people are licked in the face by a cat," Snøfugl said.

If a cat brings home dead birds they fowl should be disposed of, using a plastic bag or something similar to keep the hands clean, the National Veterinary Institute recommends. Carefully washing hands after coming into contact with cat droppings or saliva is also recommended.

(Aftenposten English Web Desk/NTB)

http://www.aftenposten.no/english/local/article1237684.ece

:vik:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Bird flu: young at most risk

By Julie Robotham Medical Editor

March 2, 2006

YOUNG, healthy people are more likely to succumb to bird flu, raising fears that a pandemic may disproportionately kill children and those in early adulthood.

Tony Cunningham, the director of the Westmead Millennium Institute for Medical Research, said an analysis of Asian cases showed that healthy people apparently mounted such a powerful immune response that the resulting inflammation could cause death by overwhelming their lungs and other organs.

He called lung failure, "the most feared complication of bird flu … unless they are supported in intensive care the patient will die very quickly indeed".

Examination of human cases of the H5N1 bird flu in Asia since 2003 showed the virus had killed 90 per cent of infected children under the age of 15, Professor Cunningham told a scientific briefing in Sydney yesterday.

This was the opposite of ordinary seasonal flu, in which older people and others with weakened immunity were more likely to become severely ill.

He said in some people exposure to H5N1 provoked a rapid and massive proliferation of cytokines - a form of inflammation that is usually protective.

It was likely some people were genetically predisposed to such a "cytokine storm" reaction, Professor Cunningham said. It might be possible to treat them with new anti-inflammatory drugs that are used in conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis and Crohn's disease, but this approach had not yet been studied.

Fears of a bird flu pandemic among humans rose this week after the discovery that a cat had become infected in Germany.

Although the infection was relatively unlikely to spread from cats to humans, any transmission between species was of concern, said Ian Barr, the deputy director of the Melbourne-based World Health Organisation's Collaborating Centre for Reference and Research on Influenza.

Dr Barr told the meeting H5N1 probably caused more serious disease "than any flu virus we have ever seen, possibly with the exception of the 1918 [outbreak]".

In the 1918 pandemic, a bird flu virus mutated and spread directly between people - the scenario most feared now. In 1957 and 1958, a bird virus combined with elements of human flu but it was less likely to be fatal.

http://www.smh.com.au/news/national/bird-flu-young-at-most-risk/2006/03/01/1141191732196.html

:vik:
 
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<B><font size==1 color=red><center>French Cat Owners Starting To Abandon Their Pets</font>

Main Category: Veterinary News
Article Date: 01 Mar 2006 - 15:00pm (UK)
<A href="http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/healthnews.php?newsid=38657">www.medicalnewstoday.com</a></center>
The Animal Protection Society in France is concerned that some pet owners are starting to abandon their cats in fear of catching bird flu from them. This is after a bird flu infected dead cat was found in an island off northern Germany. The German cat was infected with the lethal H5N1 bird flu virus strain.

The Animal Protection Society (France) is being inundated with calls from cat owners, wondering what to do with their pets. A spokesman for the society said the panic has started. </b>

In France, bird flu was found in a Turkey farm near Lyon.

Cat owners worry more than dog owners because you can keep a dog on a lead (leash) when you go out - therefore, you have more control on what it touches or eats when outside. Cats, on the other hand, are enthusiastic bird hunters and eaters, that roam their neighbourhoods on their own.
 
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<B><font size=+1 color=brown><center>Blair says UK has taken necessary precautions to combat bird flu</font>

03/01/06
<A href="http://freeserve.advfn.com/news_Blair-says-UK-has-taken-necessary-precautions-to-combat-bird-flu_14414632.html">freeserve.advfn.com</a></center>
LONDON (AFX) - Britain has taken the necessary measures to prepare for any
outbreak of bird flu, Prime Minister Tony Blair told parliament.

Professor Sir David King, the government's top scientific advisor, yesterday
said the virus "will arrive" here and stay for at least five years. He also
warned that it could become endemic in the country.</b>

Blair told MPs he was "satisfied, in so far as it is possible, that we have
got all the necessary precautions in place".

He also discounted vaccinating birds against the virus, saying this would
mask the disease rather than stop it spreading.

Asked by Conservative Party leader David Cameron whether the government had

sufficient quantities of vaccines in case bird flu reached British shores, Blair
said government experts had advised against vaccinations.

"What they say is vaccination is effective to stop birds dying but it is not
effective in stopping the virus spreading and therefore their worry has always
been if you vaccinate then you mask the disease, you don't stop it spreading,"
he said.
newsdesk@afxnews.com
fp/joy
 
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<MB><font size=+1 color=green><center>Distrust Of Authorities Major Barrier In Nigeria Bird Flu Fight</font>

3/1/2006 9:23:52 AM
By DULUE MBACHU
Associated Press Writer
<A href="http://ksdk.com/news/health/healthbeat_article.aspx?storyid=92971">ksdk.com/news</a></center>
JAJI, Nigeria (AP) -- The peasant farm hands were deeply suspicious as they watched the police marksmen trying to control bird flu kill 168 ostriches the farm had reared over eight years. Days later, when the 160 workers were invited for tests to see if they, too, were infected, nearly everyone fled.

"Most of them feared they would end up like the ostriches, to be shot dead for having the virus," said one of the more enlightened of the Sambawa Farms workers, Ibrahim Hassan, who turned up promptly for medical checks.</b>

Almost three weeks after tests confirmed Africa's first cases of the deadly H5N1 bird flu strain at a large plantation here in Jaji, a wall of distrust between the government and most of the population is posing a major obstacle to fighting bird flu in Nigeria. The campaign also is hampered by poor infrastructure, lack of resources and vast distances.

International experts have looked askance at Nigeria, where H5N1 is believed to have spread widely before it was detected and has since cropped up in neighboring Niger.

"The Nigeria authorities took a lot of time to react, allowing the virus to escape," Bernard Vallat, director of the Paris-based World Organization for Animal Health, said Tuesday at a Paris meeting of bird flu experts from some 50 countries. "We won't get out of the crisis in Africa, notably, in a few months. We have to put in at least three years of effort."

Monday, Vallat had told the conference the more the virus spreads around the world, "the greater chance of the virus transforming itself into a virus more dangerous for mankind."

Enlisting the poor in the fight against bird flu is crucial to defeating the disease, the international humanitarian group, Action Aid, said last week. Yet evidence shows the poor are being ignored in many countries, the group said.

In Nigeria, after decades of misrule by corrupt military and civilian regimes, the 70 percent of the population with little education or income has grown wary of all officialdom.

It is the poor who are most at risk from H5N1, which has jumped from chickens to humans in other parts of the world where people, like many Nigerians, live close to their poultry stocks. In Nigeria, more than 60 percent of the poultry is raised in backyards, running freely with goats, sheep and children.

After H5N1 was confirmed in the northern village of Jaji, Kaduna state officials were quick to announce measures, including a policy to exterminate all birds within a 2-mile radius.

Efforts have, however, been concentrated on commercial farms, with little outreach to villages. A similar pattern has been repeated in the entire northern belt of the country where the presence of the virus has been confirmed in eight states in addition to the capital, Abuja.

Three weeks after the virus was discovered at Sambawa farms, no veterinary or health official had visited Birnin Yaro Gari, the village nearest the large commercial operation, said resident Abdulkadir Birnin.

"Our chickens have been dying for a whole month before we heard the problem was from Sambawa," Birnin said. "But until now no one has asked us about our health or that of the birds."

Though government has announced plans for compensation, offering the equivalent of $1.80 per destroyed bird, no officials have come to inquire about the thousands of birds that have died in the village. Villagers insist they will not kill their birds, and instead watch them die.

"When they die we eat them, so that we don't lose everything," said Birnin. "We hear they can give us disease but so far nobody has been sick or dead recently."

Nigerian news media have reported instances of farmers chasing away veterinary teams that came to kill suspect poultry in villages in Bauchi state, where the virus has also been confirmed. The farmers apparently fear they won't be compensated.

In Kano, another affected state, some poultry farmers have declared they will resist any attempts to exterminate their poultry until firm compensation arrangements are put in place.

To get farm workers to turn up for medical checks, Kaduna state officials promised to pay their transport fares to a clinic in Jaji. More workers turned up on the second day -- only to find the transport fare was not ready. An official apologized for the lapse and promised the money would be paid another day.

Afterward Abdulhamid Abubakar, the top Kaduna health official in charge of the government emergency response team for bird flu, praised government efforts as effective and insisted all complaints were being addressed.

"We are doing everything we are supposed to do," he said.

But many of the farmworkers were not impressed.

"You can never trust the people in government," said one who gave his name as Nasiru as he began a 4-mile walk back to his village. "I won't come back here another day."
 
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<B><center>Your Dog And Bird Flu

<font size=+1 color=blue>"the risk to our dogs is low"</font>

March 01 2006
<A href="http://www.k9magazine.com/viewarticle.php?sid=15&&vid=0&npage=&aid=1107">www.k9magazine.com</a></center>
The World Health Organisation has released a statement assuring the general public that the recent infection of two domestic cats with avian influenza represents “no new threat” to humans. Fears that the deadly virus had mutated were allayed by the organisation, "While conclusions are premature... infection in cats is not considered likely to enhance the present risk to human health," the WHO said. </b>

The virus was already capable of infecting domestic felines, the infection of the two domestic cats and a Tiger in Thailand does not signal a mutation, but concerns about the disease ‘jumping’ species are on the rise, especially amongst dog owners.

It is feared in the medical community that should the H5N1 virus mix with the common human influenza virus, that a more resilient mutant form of H5N1 would be able to affect humans, heightening the risk of a pandemic.
As far as dogs are concerned, the present risk of infection is on the same level as humans.

H5N1 does not exist inside the British Isles, but it has appeared in mainland Europe, with highly publicised human fatalities in Turkey and the more recent culling of thousands of Turkeys in France, provoking fears that the virus is capable of reaching our shores.

The Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra has urged pet owners not to feed their pets uncooked chicken meat. A spokesman for the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs commented.

“There is no evidence that any type of avian influenza (AI) has passed from avian species to dogs. So even in the unlikely event that the reported dead birds had died from AI, the risk to your dog would be extremely low. Cases of dog 'flu have been recorded in the USA, but in this case the virus is believed to have originated from horse 'flu.”
 
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<B><font size=+1 color=purple><center>Keep Your Cats Indoors, Germans Told</font>

Main Category: Bird Flu/Avian Flu News
Article Date: 01 Mar 2006 - 15:00pm (UK)
<A href="http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/healthnews.php?newsid=38656">www.mweicalnewstoday.com</a></center>
People who live near areas where bird flu has been found in Germany are being told by authorities to keep their cats indoors and only take their dogs out on a lead (leash).

This is in response to the discovery of a bird flu infected cat found on the Island of Ruegen, just off the northern coast of Germany. Some H5N1 infected swans had also been found on Ruegen Island a few days ago. </b>

Any state in Germany that has had infected birds will implement this order for dogs and cats, said Deputy Agriculture Minister, Gerd Lindermann. He added that there is no suitable vaccine which protects cats from bird flu.

German veterinarians believe the infected cat had eaten parts of a sick bird.

If cats can catch bird flu, this adds a new dimension to the problem of human infection. In Western Europe very few people bring their poultry indoors - but tens of millions of families have a cat at home. If humans can catch bird flu from a cat, this could add a new twist to the spread and development of the virus.
 
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<B><center>Bird flu: your painful death not inevitable
<font size=+1 color=red>Top virus expert launches investigation</font>

By Chris Williams
Published Wednesday 1st March 2006 12:44 GMT
<A href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/03/01/royal_soc_bird_flu/">www.theregister.co.uk</a></center>
A leading virus expert has said that anyone claiming a human pandemic of bird flu is inevitable "is saying more than they can possibly know".

Sir John Skehel made his comments at the Royal Society in London, at the launch of the society's new joint investigation with the Academy of Medical Sciences into the science behind the disease. Part of the mission will be to find out how many and what sort of changes bird flu would need to make to hit human populations.</b>

Since first appearing in Hong Kong in 1997, H5N1 has made it as far as France without developing the ability to pass fom human to human.

It's known the virus would have to mutate or combine with another in order to make the species leap. So far, the two mutations in H5N1 detected from infected people in Turkey have only served to weaken the strain, Sir John explained.

He offered El Reg an alternative to a human pandemic doomsday scenario, though not ideal itself given how deadly the disease is in poultry: that it will remain in birds long-term.

The cross-disciplinary group will report in Summer with advice on short-term UK policies, examining in detail "how closely they are based on science". Improving the models of the disease's spread is a likely outcome.

Reviewing available data on H5N1 and other strains, the panel also hopes to signpost longer term research strategies. The ambition is to identify possible targets for anti-viral therapies, of which there are currently very few. South-East Asian reports that bird flu has developed resistance against the leading weapon, Tamiflu, have worried clinicians.

As ever, prevention is better than cure, and an ultimate aim would be a broad-spectrum flu vaccine that could guard against future outbreaks of avian infuenza. Birds act as a "reservoir" for the influenza virus, where it can continue to evolve into new forms.

Sir John is director of the National Institute for Medical Research Lab at Mill Hill, which has become a global centre for testing for the H5N1 strain. He explained: "No doubt many countries are ill-equiped to characterise viruses in the detail we would like."

Vaccination programmes in China have been effective, he said, since the jabs are manufactued from up-to-date strain, though he expressed concern that the French have been using supplies of a vaccine made from the related but different H5N2 flavour.

In response to a question regarding today's reports of the sad demise of a German cat from H5N1, Sir John stoutly advised UK pet owners to remain calm. ®
 
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<B><font size=+1 color=brown><center>Health officer says Avian flu pandemic inevitable</font>

2006-02-28
by JIM CASEY
<A href="http://www.peninsuladailynews.com/sited/story/html/231363">www.peninauladailynews.com</a></center>
Avian influenza is advancing toward a pandemic like the slow-motion segment of a horror movie, a dreadful progress whose creeping pace may petrify its victims -- or lull them into inaction.

That the H5N1 virus will arrive is almost certain. Just when and how hard it will hit is anybody's guess.

The onset may be as mild as an ordinary flu season, killing one in 1,000 to 10,000 it strikes.</b>

Or it could be as catastrophic as the 1918 flu pandemic that killed 600,000 Americans -- 2.5 percent of its victims -- and scores of millions more around the world.

Dr. Tom Locke, health officer for Clallam and Jefferson counties, said scientists are watching the bird flu virus mutate daily beneath their microscopes. So far the strain has spread among birds, and it has sickened humans who handled infected fowl.

Eventually -- like its World War I-era precursor -- it will mutate to a strain that's contagious among humans.

And if people aren't prepared, they will reap more than a deadly illness. Similar to the aftermath of a hurricane or flood, a pandemic may spawn civil disorder.

Consider these likely results of a pandemic:

* Up to 35 percent of employees could be absent on sick leave or caring for loved ones.

* Schools will be closed, and public gatherings will be banned.

* About 5.000 people may die in Washington state alone.

* Between 500,000 and 1 million people in the state could need outpatient medical care.

* As many as 24,000 people might require hospitalization.

Not enough beds

On the North Olympic Peninsula, the region's four hospitals haven't the beds to accommodate all the victims, Locke said, nor do they have sufficient respirators, medications or IV solutions.

Furthermore, Clallam and Jefferson counties won't be able to ask for outside help. The outsiders will be too sick to respond and too busy coping with their own troubles.
 
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<B><font size=+1 color=green><center>Bird flu fears plague Pilgrim's Pride</font>

01/03/2006 15:30:00
<A href="http://www.whatinvestment.co.uk/newsfeed/article.asp?article_id=630428">www.whatinvestment.co.uk</a></center>
LONDON (ShareCast) - US poultry producer Pilgrim's Pride has withdrawn its profit forecast, despite only making it a month ago as the fear of bird flu continues to eat away at its sales.</b>

At the end of January the group said second-quarter earnings per share would be in a range of between 25 cents to 35 cents while full-year earnings were forecast to be between $2.00 and $2.50 per share.

Analysts had already been disappointed by those outlooks and Pilgrim admitted today that its revised guidance, which it is due to provide in May, will be weaker than expected.

Pilgrim's Pride said its Mexican business was breaking even through February, but warned the US operation sustained a net loss of about $15m.

The company is suffering severely as cases of bird flu continue to be reported throughout the world, sparking health fears about the safety of poultry and driving down prices of chicken portions.
 
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<B><font size=+1 color=blue><center>Pet worries fuel bird flu fears, poultry bans spread</font>

Wed Mar 1, 2006 3:12 PM GMT
By Noah Barkin
<A href="http://today.reuters.co.uk/news/newsarticle.aspx?type=worldNews&storyid=2006-03-01T151152Z_01_L01601685_RTRUKOC_0_UK-BIRDFLU.xml">toady.reuters.co.uk</a></center>
BERLIN (Reuters) - Public alarm over the spread of bird flu grew on Wednesday after Germany reported a dead cat infected with the virus, while France sought to limit restrictions on its poultry exports.

Germany told pet owners to keep their cats indoors and their dogs on a leash in areas hit by bird flu after the discovery of the dead cat on a northern island where the H5N1 virus has been identified in wild birds.</b>

The cat grabbed the headlines in several countries in pet-loving Europe, but the World Health Organisation (WHO) said it did not increase the threat to human health from a virus which has killed at least 93 people since late 2003.

"There is no present evidence that domestic cats play a role in the transmission cycle of H5N1 viruses. To date, no human case has been linked to exposure to a diseased cat," it said.

"Unlike the case in domestic and wild birds, there is no evidence that domestic cats are a reservoir of the virus."

Switzerland reported its second case of bird flu in a dead swan found close to the German border, although further tests were needed to confirm it was the deadly H5N1 strain.

Bird flu has killed or led to the culling of some 200 million birds since it re-emerged in Asia in late 2003 . It remains essentially an animal disease, although people can contract it through close contact with infected birds.

The real fear for human health is that the virus will mutate into a form that passes easily from person to person, sparking a pandemic in which millions could die.

FRENCH TRADE HIT

France, Europe's largest poultry producer, last week became the first country in the European Union to report an outbreak of bird flu on a farm.

As many as 43 countries outside the European Union have since banned or restricted French poultry imports, Trade Minister Christine Lagarde said on Wednesday.

This sharp rise over a matter of days is worrying Paris which is now asking governments to limit the bans to the eastern region of France infected by the deadly strain of bird flu.

The H5N1 virus has been detected in birds in around 20 new countries over the past month alone, crossing into Europe and Africa. The spread is blamed on migratory birds, although some people argue that poultry trade might play a role.

Impoverished Niger, which this week became the second West African country hit by H5N1, appealed for international help on Wednesday to cull poultry.

The government in Niger, one of the poorest nations on earth, has ordered the systematic culling of poultry in affected zones to stop the disease spreading but said it needed equipment such as protective suits and chemicals before it could begin.

"The cull has not started. It will not start until we have the appropriate material," Animal Resources Minister Abdoulaye Jina told Reuters.

"We are expecting the special overalls very shortly."

Experts fear weak detection systems in Africa, which has an estimated 1.1 billion chickens, many in backyard farms, combined with the easy movement of birds across borders and limited awareness about the disease could help its spread.
 
=



<B><font size=+1 color=purple><center>Bird flu detected in 24 settlements in southern Dagestan</font>

01.03.2006, 15.24
<A href="http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=3794072&PageNum=0">www.itar-tass.com</a></center>
MAKHACHKALA, March 1 (Itar-Tass) - An outbreak of bird flu has been registered in 24 settlements of Russia’s southern republic of Dagestan, the chairman of the republican veterinary committee told Itar-Tass on Wednesday.

“The peak of the disease is still ahead, that is why the geography of bird flu is changing every day,” Zaidin Dzhambulatov said. </b>

He said over 700,000 chickens have been already destroyed in the republic. Three among ten major poultry farms have been most hit, including the Eldama poultry farm in the Karabudakhkent district of the republic and the Makhachkalinskaya and Karantaiskaya poultry farms in Buinaksk. Their losses amount to about 150 million roubles.

The first batch of bird flu vaccine is expected to arrive in the republic within the next few days. All in all, the republic will receive four million dozes of the vaccine.

The vaccination will first of all include private households situated near water reservoirs and the poultry farms where no bird flu cases have been registered, Dzhambulatov said.

Wild birds are the source of the disease. Up to 30 percent of wild water-fowl and 50 percent of crows carry the H5N1 strain of bird flu.

Spring hunting has been banned in the republic. So far there have been no bird flu cases among humans.
 

daisy

Inactive
IMPORTANT

Everyone needs to follow these bird flu articles closely, even those who don't think it will be anything big. I WAS one of those people who poo poo'd the idea but NOW.... I am a believer. I believe this thing is going to effect us for a long time to come. You chicken lovers better stock up on frozen and canned chicken SOON!!!!!

And all with cats and dogs better start coming up with a plan to keep the cats inside for a long time. I'd stock up on kitty litter! If this thing hits hard here and they tell you to keep your cats inside then the price of kitty litter will skyrocket IMO. Make sure you've got good leashes for your dogs. Be prepared to scan your yard/property daily for dead birds that your or others animals could get to and become infected.

PS Thank you Flying Dutchman and others for keeping us up to date on this!
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
daisy said:
Everyone needs to follow these bird flu articles closely, even those who don't think it will be anything big. I WAS one of those people who poo poo'd the idea but NOW.... I am a believer. I believe this thing is going to effect us for a long time to come. You chicken lovers better stock up on frozen and canned chicken SOON!!!!!

And all with cats and dogs better start coming up with a plan to keep the cats inside for a long time. I'd stock up on kitty litter! If this thing hits hard here and they tell you to keep your cats inside then the price of kitty litter will skyrocket IMO. Make sure you've got good leashes for your dogs. Be prepared to scan your yard/property daily for dead birds that your or others animals could get to and become infected.

PS Thank you Flying Dutchman and others for keeping us up to date on this!

Thanks Daisy for your encouraging others to pay attention. Most TBers like a hot crisis, but day by day like reading a novel "Avian Influenza" is a slow train wreck that will effect all our lives! That's the point of this thread... from reports of outbreaks, to seeing how officals prep, to the economic effects of BF.

:vik:
 
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PilotFighter

Bomb & Bullet Technician
Boy ami I screwed! Chickens, pheasants, ducks, geese and turkeys all over the back yard, and a dozen cats on the front porch. I'm doomed! Here I am stuck in the middle again...........
 

Kim99

Veteran Member
I hope this is okay to post here, I think this is important. These 2 posts are from CE:

First a post from Shannon:

Georgia asks for medical volunteers
I found this on a flu page

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

http://www.wdef.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=WDEF/MGArticle/DEF_BasicArt icle&c=MGArticle&cid=1137834416598&path=!news!localnews
Medical Reserve Health Corps Seeks Volunteers
Rebecca Cruz
WDEF-TV, A Media General Station
Feb 28, 2006 5:47 PM EST

Georgia health officials seek medical volunteers to help when disaster strikes. The Northwest Georgia Health District needs about five thousand volunteers to join its Medical Reserve Corps. Current and retired medical workers would be trained to aid with a variety of possible natural or man made disasters. Joanne Mauro says that could include pandemic or avian flu outbreaks. Joanne Mauro, Volunteer Coordinator "watching what happened already, and is continuing to happen in Asia, knowing that there's no real way from stopping it from coming to America, we have to be real about it. We have to get serious about, What will we do as a community, if it comes to us?" Medics can learn more about the Medical Reserve Corps March 16th at 5:30 at the Whitfield County Health Department

Then in response to Shannon's post came a post from dikobraz:

Yes, I am a member of the NorthEAST Georgia Medical Reserve Corps (the thing you saw was for the Northwest). I joined because I wanted an "inside" view of what regional and state govs are doing to prepare people (both on staff and in the community) for BF.

Initially, our group of volunteers (56 people, mainly retired nurses) was talked to about smallpox as a bioweapon and how to set up and distribute vaccinations to the general public. Bird flu was mentioned in passing, always in terms of "we are being trainined to respond to threats like bioterrorism and pandemic influenza."

Finally, I asked our organizer (a regional public health official) the following question: "Listen, I'm not trying to be paranoid or anything, but why suddenly the big push to recruit volunteers? If this group was formed in response to 9/11, why the big flurry of activity (training, recruiting) now? Is it because you people have been told by the feds that we are really at risk of a pandemic and need to start taking action?" He replied that he had been told no such thing, but that he was capitalizing on increased awareness of biological threats and a corresponding rise in "political will" to form committees and deliver training. Of course, this rise in awareness has not meant a rise in money for the group. We have literally NO budget because all the federal money set aside for our (federally mandated) group was spent on Katrina.

So our last training event 2 weeks ago finally dealt with the BF. We had a fellow from the state emergency management agency speak to the group about the flu's past and its anticipated development, and let me tell you, I was IMPRESSED. It was as if he had been reading the flu clinic/old agonist boards every day. None of this crap about "no evidence of h2h transmission." He talked about family clusters in Indonesia, and Thailand, and said we could expect more soon. He said that many experts think we have been at stage 4 for a while now. No BS about "you can only get it by kissing chickens." He also admitted that there was no vaccine yet and that anti-virals were either unlikely to work or wouldn't be available. He was straight up about the personal and social ramifications of this event, and suggested that we begin preparing for quarantine (he did not say for how long). He scared the poo out of everyone there except for me (my poo was scared out of me years ago, when BF started spreading in Vietnam and Thailand).

He also said he would rely on our group to be first responders in the event that it goes pandemic. I raised my hand and said, "We've been training for months about how to set up vaccination stations and deliver vaccines to the population. Why have we been training for this? You just told us there is no vaccine. What are you going to expect us to DO in case of BF?"

He looked very upset and said, "Care for the sick in the tent hospitals we set up and dispose of the dead."

So I said, "But we won't have any immunity to the flu. We'll be just as likely to catch it as the people we're caring for."

He looked even more upset and said, "I know."

The entire crowd starting murmuring at this point. I heard "What? And bring it home to my family? No way!" and "I'm staying home," and various other comments.

I felt sorry for the man. But I also felt like the mask was off our group, so to speak. I really think the government folks in Georigia are starting to realize
that this is going to happen unless we are very lucky. And I think they are trying to prepare a cadre of the population for the worst, so maybe we can start educating other people about what's likely to happen. I guarantee you everyone there went and told 5 other people about what they heard. And what they heard was THE REAL DEAL. I think that's the real purpose of this volunteer group. They know very well how few of us will show up to tent hospitals when our own families may be sick (or well). They are not training us for anything. They are using us to get the word out.


Dikobraz
 

daisy

Inactive
http://news.scotsman.com/latest.cfm?id=314722006
Wed 1 Mar 2006
Calls for bird flu military labs
A military-style approach is needed to counter the worldwide threat of H5N1 bird flu, it has been claimed.

US experts want to see a network of rapid-response laboratories set up based on an existing military model established after the Second World War.

The original US Naval Medical Research Units (NAMRUs) were put in place to protect American service men and women from infectious diseases overseas.

Working with host countries and the World Health Organisation (WHO), the laboratories have made important contributions to infection control strategies and the development of vaccines and treatments.

However, only a few of the labs are still operating. Many have been closed, including centres in Panama, Puerto Rico, Brazil, Congo, Uganda, Ethiopia and Malaysia.

The American experts, led by Dr Jean-Paul Chretien and Dr David Blazes, argue that a new network of state-of-the art laboratories mirroring the NAMRU model is now urgently needed.

They wrote in the journal Nature: "The world needs such laboratories now, more than ever, as platforms for sustained epidemic detection and response - for avian influenza, and as-yet unknown diseases.

"The time has come to build on their experience and create a new generation of multilateral, WHO-aligned laboratories as a front-line of defence against future pandemics."

In Britain, a task force of scientists, doctors and industry experts was launched to look at new ways of tackling the bird flu threat.

The deadly H5N1 strain has spread inexorably westwards from eastern Asia and is now becoming established in Europe. Infected birds have been found in at least 10 European Union countries, including France, where the disease was confirmed at a Turkey farm last month.
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
H2H Concerns in Canada

Canada customs screening visitors for bird flu

www.chinaview.cn 2006-03-02 04:48:02

OTTAWA, March 1 (Xinhuanet) -- Fears over the spread of a lethal bird flu strain have prompted Canadian customs officials to beep up inspections for travelers arriving from Europe, local media reported Wednesday.

The Toronto Star reported that Canadian officials are working with border security services to ensure passengers do not import the disease, which is continuing to spread across the European continent.

The most recent cases in Europe include a turkey farm in France, wild ducks in Sweden and a cat in northern Germany -- all have been infected with the deadly H5N1 strain of avian flu.

Animal health experts say the greatest potential for spreading the disease to Canada comes from travelers -- not migratory birds.

"We've asked the customs agency to have a higher awareness of anyone coming from any countries in Europe, not just the ones with isolations that have been identified," Dr. Jim Clark of the Canadian Food Inspection Agency told The Star.

Travelers from a list of 20 countries that have been exposed to the virus face questions by Canadian authorities, including whether they have visited a farm in Europe and whether they have hunted or participated in birding or whether they are importing feathers or other bird products.

Clark said that sniffer dogs at Canadian airport luggage carousels will be looking for any feathers or bird products, as well as detecting bird droppings on the bottom of people's shoes or on their clothing.

Several of Canada's provincial governments are also taking extra precaution. Canadian Television reported Quebec passed legislation recently prohibiting domestic poultry producers from keeping their stocks outdoors. And in Ontario, although there is no law, the province's 1,100 commercial chicken producers all keep their poultry inside, according to local authorities.

On Tuesday, Germany announced that the H5N1 strain was found in a cat in country's northern region, marking the first time the virus has been found in the country in an animal other than a bird, the national lab said.

On the same day, Sweden confirmed two wild ducks had also tested positive for bird flu. It was the first known cases of a deadly strain in the country. Enditem

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2006-03/02/content_4245448.htm

:vik:
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Quebec

Eight Quebec farms quarantined after imports from avian flu-infected France

Wednesday, Mar 01, 2006

MONTREAL (CP) - The Canadian Food Inspection Agency has ordered a quarantine of eight Quebec poultry farms that recently imported live ducks and hatching eggs from France, the latest country hit by a deadly avian influenza virus.

The agency has taken samples to test for the H5N1 virus and results are expected within the next few days.

Agency official Doug Steadman says the birds appear to be in good health and authorities are confident that they're not infected with the highly pathogenic avian influenza virus.

The H5N1 strain is feared largely because it has, in rare cases, infected humans in close contact with infected birds, mostly in southeast Asia, and scientists are concerned the virus could mutate to pass from human to human and spark a human flu pandemic.

The World Health Organization says there have been 174 human cases of avian influenza in seven countries, 94 of them fatal.

Canada has banned all live birds from France as well as poultry products that haven't undergone heat processing.

http://www.mytelus.com/news/article.do?pageID=canada_home&articleID=2185569

:vik:
 

Jim in MO

Inactive
US

http://today.reuters.com/news/newsa...N01380630_RTRUKOC_0_US-BIRDFLU-USA.xml&rpc=22

Bird flu likely in US flocks soon: Health Secretary
Wed Mar 1, 2006 4:17 PM ET



By Richard Cowan

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The lethal avian flu that is spreading rapidly around the world could soon infect wild birds and domesticated flocks in the United States, U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Michael Leavitt said on Wednesday.

In testimony to a congressional panel on his agency's budget for combating a possible avian flu outbreak among humans, Leavitt told senators that no one knows when or if the virus will pose a threat to people. But, he said, "it's just a matter of time -- it may be very soon" when wild birds and possibly poultry flocks contract the disease.

Leavitt said that infection of birds alone in the United States with the H5N1 virus would not create a public health emergency. Such an emergency would occur if the disease mutated so that it became easily transferred from human to human.

The H5N1 disease so far has killed 94 people in seven countries.

Nevertheless, Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee criticized the Bush administration's preparedness, saying not enough federal funds were being allocated for vaccine production, stockpiling other medical supplies, disease detection and community readiness.

"It could be the disaster of our time. Two billion dollars is not enough," North Dakota Sen. Kent Conrad, the senior Democrat on the committee, told Leavitt.

Conrad was referring the $2.3 billion in additional emergency funds the Bush administration has requested from Congress. Late last year, Congress approved a first injection of more than $3 billion in emergency money.

While U.S. poultry flocks have suffered from isolated cases of highly contagious avian flu, they have not yet been hit by the virulent H5N1 strain that has killed or led to the culling of about 200 million birds, mostly in Asia, since late 2003.

Recently, the animal disease has been found in western Europe and worries escalated this week when German authorities said avian flu may have jumped species and killed a cat.

CONTACT WITH SICK BIRDS

So far, human fatalities have largely been limited to people who have had close contact with sick birds.

Leavitt told the committee that by the end of this year, the United States will have about 20 million doses of anti-viral drugs, mostly Tamiflu, stockpiled.

But the development of a vaccine is three to five years away, Leavitt said. He downplayed chances that this timetable could be accelerated significantly and added that even with vaccine technology, it would take drug companies six months after the start of a pandemic to produce an effective one.

"In the first six months of a pandemic we are dependent on basic public health, social distancing; every business, every school, every church, every county to have a plan," Leavitt said, adding, "We are overdue (for a pandemic) and under-protected, but we are moving with dispatch."

Leavitt also was skeptical that the federal government could provide all localities with the full arsenal of basic medical equipment, such as ventilators, masks, gauze and gloves, needed during a pandemic. That surprised Senate Budget Committee Chairman Judd Gregg, a New Hampshire Republican, who said he had thought the billions of dollars being spent would cover such stockpiles.

Instead, Leavitt put the responsibility of local preparedness mostly with local officials
 

PCViking

Lutefisk Survivor
Kim99 said:
I hope this is okay to post here, I think this is important.

Kim99, as TBer's it's 'our' thread... if you find interesting articles... feel free to post.

Your post is powerful... real fuel for real nightmares! Thanks... Saddly most people will only wake-up only when it's in their own family cluster.

:vik:
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
THIS IS A BIG DOT. We now have two, tigers in Thailand and cats in Germany, cases of mammals getting bird flu from eating birds. We have to ASSUME that if a human, ie mammal, eats an infected bird THEY will get bird flu. A=B in my book. I mean just how more CLEAR can it be that we are in a rolling global pandemic?

Second, I saw a little news filler buried in the paper the other day where some mucky mucky was talking about bird flu in Niger, I believe, and he/she/they made the comment about bird flu becoming "endemic" in Africa. EXACTLY MY POINT ALL ALONG.

We are looking at a permanent resovoir of bird flu in the warmer climates.

The Powers that Be have been LYING AND LYING AND LYING SOME MORE FOR MONTHS ON THIS. Now you begin to see why bird to human transmission has been going on for several months. We are, at best, weeks to months for mass HUMAN TO HUMAN TRANSMISSION.

A global bird flu pandemic is a done deal. It will explode during the southern hemisphere fall and winter down there. And then it will explode during our fall and winter up here. Our spring, their fall, begins on March 20th, LESS THAN THREE WEEKS FROM NOW. I seem to recall many posts by Flying Dutchman and others where the "experts" assured us migratory birds wouldn't get it, and we couldn't get it from eating chicken or eggs, yada yada yada.

Enjoy your eggs for they will be lethal by the end of 2006.

This global pandemic will unleash massive social, economic and dietary changes on this planet my fellow tb2kers. Count on it. :dstrs:
 

baw

Inactive
Doomer Doug said:
THIS IS A BIG DOT. . . . A global bird flu pandemic is a done deal. It will explode during the southern hemisphere fall and winter down there. And then it will explode during our fall and winter up here. Our spring, their fall, begins on March 20th, LESS THAN THREE WEEKS FROM NOW. I seem to recall many posts by Flying Dutchman and others where the "experts" assured us migratory birds wouldn't get it, and we couldn't get it from eating chicken or eggs, yada yada yada.

Enjoy your eggs for they will be lethal by the end of 2006.

This global pandemic will unleash massive social, economic and dietary changes on this planet my fellow tb2kers. Count on it. :dstrs:

Damn Doug:shkr: at least give us six months before TEOTWAWKI.
 
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