ALERT Stock Market Crash Alert

My latest blog:

MONDAY, AUGUST 30, 2010

Stock Market Crash Alert

As warned about in my August 11th blog, "WARNING: Crash of Western Civilization may lie dead ahead...", a significant reversal in stock prices and associate mass mood took hold. Today, the DJIA fell 141 points closing nine points above the psychologically important 10,000 mark. As overviewed in my thesis, reversals below psychologically important thousand marks in the DJIA are often associated with sharp drops, sometimes in association with geopolitical shocks.

z


Just as the DJIA looks set to decisively break below the 10,000 benchmark, the Elliott Wave pattern has traced to a wave-3 of multiple degrees of trend at the current juncture. Here's the wave count according to Elliott Wave International's short-term update:

DJIA083010.gif


This suggests a crash of some sort could lie immediately ahead.

These developments, on top of the recent Hindenburg Omen signal and the fact that we are entering the "Fall" season when a series of Spiral Anniversaries will occur, indicate the potential for a stock market crash, possibly in association with a historical shock, in the days ahead.
 

Publius

On TB every waking moment
The guy that was saying this was going to happen (Hindenburg event) has completely pulled out of the stock market just a few days ago.
 

UncurledA

Inactive
Yes, Jay, watchmen such as you provide these mileposts of the progressive judgment occurring in this land ( the land which has been given much, and from which much is therefore required ). The economic slow grind of the last 10 years, two ongoing draggy and costly wars, the debt overhang time bomb, and weird natural phenomena is a phase of His longsuffering and always relatively mild pre-judgment, during which we could have surely repented as a nation of our many wilful shortfalls ( take your pick of about 5 major ones ) and been restored. We refuse; we absolutely refuse to even acknowledge them or any form of judgment on them. So, we are set for the final phase of God's hand, which it appears from recent trends and direct communications, is upon us very soon.

All need to consider their personal relationship with God, seek God the Son, Jesus, and walk with Him in the Spirit, before it is too late. T'was ever thus, even as far back as Enoch.....
 

sssarawolf

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Well so far they are headed back up again on ,GET THIS, strong consumer reports. What a joke. They are so busy trying to pull rabbits out of a hat.
 

mt4design

Has No Life - Lives on TB
It is so controlled I figure the markets will go back up today. If not today, then tomorrow.

Yep, like sara says, the markets were up on some cooked reports but now they are sliding back and gold is way up... meanwhile oil is still going down.

From a layman's POV, everything seems kind of wacky.
 
THE MAGIC EIGHT BALL SAYS...

The market will go up, then it will go down, then it will go up,
then it will go down, then it will go up,
then it will go down, then it will go up,
then it will go down, then it will go up,
then it will go down, then it will go up......
 
We've been peaking above Dow 10K for almost a year:

z


If we fail from 10K in early September, this will be reminiscent of what happened right before 9/11:

DJIA10000.jpg


But why does human history unfold according to stock charts?
 

sssarawolf

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I forgot to add those stupid reports were most likely from consumers getting school supplies and clothes.
 

fairbanksb

Freedom Isn't Free
You guys are a great contra-indicator, please keep up whatever it is you are doing. :spns:

:whistle:You haven't been around here long. That is most always the case with predictions.:lkick: Thee is still time. The so-called Hindenburg Omen says we still have a few weeks. There is another about Israel attacking Iran or Lebanon or both within two weeks. That one is drawing quickly to being another failure.
 

UncurledA

Inactive
Today is only statistical noise in the big picture. Otherwise, we would be way over 14,270 on the Dow, and 1540 on the S&P, now wouldn't we ?
 

Red Baron

Paleo-Conservative
_______________
Sure nailed that one again, didn't I. It's up 237 last I looked. Sheesh. What a joke the markets are.

Good one.

Notice how the DOW is never allowed to linger at or below 10,000 for more than a day or two?
 

fairbanksb

Freedom Isn't Free
Today is only statistical noise in the big picture. Otherwise, we would be way over 14,270 on the Dow, and 1540 on the S&P, now wouldn't we ?


Beats me. I gave up trying to figure out the markets a long time ago. Weren't we in the 6000 range a year and a half or so ago?
 

Bumblepuff

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Eating_Crow.jpg


Today Victor Nomullet decided it was finally time to start wearing his
motorcycle helmet face shield when racing down back country roads.
 

oldtimer

Inactive
The water pump

All pumps must cycle to work.

The interesting thing is that the water comes in from a million tributaries but that that is pumped out leaves in one bucket.

More formally determine the distribution of funds going into the market in relation to the funds leaving the market to "follow the money".
 

buff

Deceased
lets put our money where the mouth is...

everytime y'all post about a crash or economic destruction..y'all give me a buck for every point the market goes up..and I'll give you a buck for every point down..
 

Hfcomms

EN66iq
lets put our money where the mouth is...

everytime y'all post about a crash or economic destruction..y'all give me a buck for every point the market goes up..and I'll give you a buck for every point down..

Perhaps the lesson to be learned is to stop making pointless predictions. Since the markets are pretty rigged (and I agree with that) nobody except God himself knows the day/hour that it's all going to fall apart. When it blows up in our face it does, until it does it hasn't.
 

OddOne

< Yes, I do look like that.
The guy that was saying this was going to happen (Hindenburg event) has completely pulled out of the stock market just a few days ago.

Actually it was the guy who invented the concept and set of rules we know as the Hindenburg Omen, Norman G. Fosback. He reportedly divested himself completely, which to me is arguably as big a warning sign as you could get short of someone like Warren Buffett grabbing a BOB and heading for an island somewhere. When someone that invented a key indicator decides things are scary enough to take the money and run, smart people take notice.
 
My latest blog:

50/50 chance of survival through the Autumn?

Examined the key data this evening and I put the odds of Western Civilization surviving intact through the Autumn at 50/50. It's a long and sordid tale as to why this is the case, but I'll leave it at the common realization that man as a species is insane and a danger to itself and the world we inhabit. Planning an October vacation in the South Pacific might not be out of place. I've almost run out of money, but will try to accumulate some October VIX calls for insurance, not that anyone seems interested in self-preservation at this point (including myself!), but I just don't know what else to do at this point. No one has ever helped me to help them to save ourselves, so I guess we're all just dead.

Read my thesis epilogue:

bipolar1.jpg



See Elliott Wave International:

SPC120090310.gif


ew+projection.gif



Examine Chris Carolan's insights:

autumn_panics.jpg


autumn_panics2.jpg


spiral_oct_2010.gif



Remember what Arch Crawford outlined regarding the "Cardinal Climax":

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVMxeF6WvCQ


Consider Anatoliy Golitsyn's "Final Phase" warning to the West...
 
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energy_wave

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I've had enough of the doom and gloom threads. Imo, no one can predict the stock market crashing. Last month was a bust, yet the market moves on.
 

Dex

Constitutional Patriot
It's going to take something that THEY can't control to cause such a drastic crash...or they will make it happen on purpose. Short of those two things I think at the very least the powers that be will manipulate things to meet the status-quo as they always do but it will almost certainly damage the middle-class that they don't care about and could be the primary goal anyway.

Any earth shaking crash will ultimately be geared towards the global currency system that they all seem to be drooling over these days so can you really call it a crash? Seems more like an orchestration to me.
 

China Connection

TB Fanatic
As soon as WWIII starts they will crash the stock-market so people will join up for a feed. The markets are controlled so it isn't moods or the like. They are trying to bring about the perfect storm to crash life as we know it. These are still the good days compared to where they want to take us.


.
 
It's going to take something that THEY can't control to cause such a drastic crash...or they will make it happen on purpose. Short of those two things I think at the very least the powers that be will manipulate things to meet the status-quo as they always do but it will almost certainly damage the middle-class that they don't care about and could be the primary goal anyway.

Any earth shaking crash will ultimately be geared towards the global currency system that they all seem to be drooling over these days so can you really call it a crash? Seems more like an orchestration to me.

And what of controlling mass e-motion? Maybe this is kind of the point. People can sin and act irresponsibly toward each other, but since we are all essentially one, the feelings which intertwine us become imbalanced until there is a correction.
 
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