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WAR Main Persian Gulf Trouble thread
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  1. #1

    Main Persian Gulf Trouble thread

    This thread is for the crisis developing in the Persian Gulf

  2. #2
    Strait of Hormuz: the world's most important oil artery
    April 23, 2019 / 11:51 AM / Updated 6 hours ago

    LONDON, April 23 (Reuters) - Iran has said it would block the Strait of Hormuz if it was barred from using the strategic waterway through which about a fifth of oil that is consumed globally passes.

    The threat from an Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) commander followed a U.S. announcement on Monday that it would end exemptions granted last year to eight buyers of Iranian oil and demanding they stop purchases by May 1 or face sanctions.

    Oil prices have surged to six-month highs.

    The Strait of Hormuz, a vital shipping route linking Middle East oil producers to markets in Asia, Europe, North America and beyond, has been at the heart of regional tensions for decades

    Iran has made threats to block the waterway in the past, without acting on them.
    Below is some background about the Strait:


    * The waterway separates Iran and Oman, linking the Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea.

    * The Strait is 21 miles (33 km) wide at its narrowest point, but the shipping lane is just two miles (three km) wide in either direction.


    * The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimated that 18.5 million barrels per day (bpd) of seaborne oil passed through the waterway in 2016. That was about 30 percent of crude and other oil liquids traded by sea in 2016.

    * About 17.2 million bpd of crude and condensates were estimated to have been shipped through the Strait in 2017 and about 17.4 million bpd in the first half of 2018, according to oil analytics firm Vortexa.

    * With global oil consumption standing at about 100 million bpd, that means almost a fifth passes through the Strait.

    * Most crude exported from Saudi Arabia, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq — all members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries — is shipped through the waterway.

    * It is also the route used for nearly all the liquefied natural gas (LNG) produced by the world’s biggest LNG exporter, Qatar.

    * During the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war, the two sides sought to disrupt each other’s oil exports in what was known as the Tanker War.

    * The U.S. Fifth Fleet, based in Bahrain, is tasked with protecting the commercial ships in the area.

    * “While the presence of the U.S. Fifth Fleet should ensure that the critical waterway remains open, provocative Iranian military manoeuvres are likely in the immediate offing as is a nuclear restart,” analysts at bank RBC said on April 22.

    * Iran agreed to rein in its nuclear programme in return for an easing of sanctions under a 2015 deal with the United States and five other global powers.

    Washington pulled out of the pact in 2018. Western powers fear Iran wants to make nuclear weapons. Tehran denies this.

    * “All of these geopolitical stories could present a cruel summer scenario for President (Donald) Trump as he seeks to keep oil prices in check,” the RBC analysts said.


    * The UAE and Saudi Arabia have sought to find other routes to bypass the Strait, including building more oil pipelines.

    * The following EIA table shows existing pipelines and proposed projects:


    * In July 1988, the U.S. warship Vincennes shot down an Iranian airliner, killing all 290 aboard, in what Washington said was an accident after crew mistook the plane for a fighter. Tehran said it was a deliberate attack. The United States said the Vincennes was in the area to protect neutral vessels against Iranian navy attacks.

    * In early 2008, the United States said Iranian boats threatened its warships after they approached three U.S. naval ships in the Strait.

    * In June 2008, the then Revolutionary Guards commander-in-chief, Mohammad Ali Jafari, said Iran would impose controls on shipping in the Strait if it was attacked.

    * In July 2010, Japanese oil tanker M Star was attacked in the Strait. A militant group called Abdullah Azzam Brigades, which is linked to al Qaeda, claimed responsibility.

    * In January 2012, Iran threatened to block the Strait in retaliation for U.S. and European sanctions that targeted its oil revenues in an attempt to stop Tehran’s nuclear programme.

    * In May 2015, Iranian ships fired shots at a Singapore-flagged tanker which it said damaged an Iranian oil platform, causing the vessel to flee. It also seized a container ship in the Strait.

    * In July 2018, President Hassan Rouhani hinted Iran could disrupt oil flows through the Strait in response to U.S. calls to reduce Iran’s oil exports to zero. A Revolutionary Guards commander also said Iran would block all exports through the Strait if Iranian exports were stopped.

    Sources: Reuters/Refinitiv/Energy Information Administration

    Reporting by Ahmad Ghaddar Editing by Edmund Blair

  3. #3
    U.S. urges Iran to keep Strait of Hormuz open -State Department
    April 23, 2019 / 11:14 AM / Updated 6 hours ago

    WASHINGTON, April 23 (Reuters) - The United States called on Iran to keep the straits of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab open, a State Department official said on Tuesday after the United States a day earlier demanded that Iran oil buyers halt their purchases by May 1.

    “We call on Iran, and all countries, to respect the free flow of energy and commerce, and freedom of navigation” in the straits, the official said.

    Reporting by Lesley Wroughton Writing by Susan Heavey

  4. #4
    US deploys two carrier strike groups in Mediterranean – first time since 2016

    April 23 2019

    The John C. Stennis and Abraham Lincoln carrier strike groups have joined the US Mediterranean 6th Fleet for the first time in more than two years. This was announced on Monday, April 22, by the 6th Fleet commander, Vice Adm Lisa Franchetti.

    DEBKAfile’s military sources add that this unusual concentration of US naval and air might in the region is intended to convey a warning to Iran against striking back at the US or its allies in the region in retribution for tightened Trump administration sanctions on its oil experts. This level of concentrated strength is capable of countering any Iranian attempt to interfere with the oil tanker shipping plying routes to market from the Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf of Aden or the Red Sea.

    Vice Admiral Franchetti commented that it was a rare opportunity for two strike groups to work together alongside key allies and partners in the region. Our sources say she was referring to British, French and Israeli naval forces.

    The vice admiral, who has served as 6th Fleet commander since early 2018, added: “The dual carrier operations in the Mediterranean showcase the flexibility and scalability maritime forces provide to the joint force, while demonstrating our ironclad commitment to the stability and security of the region.”

  5. #5
    ItaMilRadar‏ @ItaMilRadar · 8h8 hours ago

    The USS John C. Stennis (CNV-74) CSG transited the Suez Canal on April 20 and is now sailing somewhere in the central Mediterranean Sea westbound.

  6. #6
    Strategic Sentinel‏Verified account @StratSentinel · Apr 22

    Any move by #Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz would constitute a global geopolitical crisis

    Strategic Sentinel‏Verified account @StratSentinel · Apr 21

    As of May 2nd, the US will not issue sanction waivers to any country importing Iranian oil, #SecState #Pompeo announces

  7. #7
    EndGameWW3‏ @EndGameWW3 · 3h3 hours ago

    Iran's parliament approves bill labelling US army as 'terrorist' @AJENews

  8. #8
    Ugh-I see the potential for a BIG war in that tiny little strait. The Iranians are hurting bad enough as it is, losing some of their biggest oil buyers as they have done is making Iran's economy tank harder than hard.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    SE Okieland
    Quote Originally Posted by northern watch View Post
    EndGameWW3‏ @EndGameWW3 · 3h3 hours ago

    Iran's parliament approves bill labelling US army as 'terrorist' @AJENews
    They forgot to include nuclear terrorists....


  10. #10
    Bloomberg Opinion‏Verified account @bopinion · Apr 22

    The tension in the Gulf — and especially in the Strait of Hormuz — is rising again, and the echoes of conflicts 30 years ago are getting louder

  11. #11
    Good thing the US is a net exporter of oil and gas. No longer being held over the middle east oil barrel is a nice feeling. Plus with the waivers going out of effect for some countries still buying Iranian oil (South Korea, India and Taiwan come to mind) those countries can now buy oil from us instead.

  12. #12
    Bloomberg Opinion‏Verified account @bopinion · Apr 22

    When Iran officials talk about shutting down the Strait of Hormuz, they mean it.

    They could accomplish it in just 48 to 72 hours, as commercial shipping would opt not to take the risk of passing through the waters

  13. #13

    Main Persian Gulf Trouble thread - Post# 1431 Iran Media Claims British Tanker Seized!

    Agenda Free TV LIVE STEAMING

  14. #14
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Behind Enemy Lines
    NOW the US/Brit attack will come.

  15. #15
    Join Date
    Apr 2013
    Justice League Watchtower
    Quote Originally Posted by Dennis Olson View Post
    NOW the US/Brit attack will come.
    Do you think the British will respond?
    These days, I just feel like everyone is caving and folding on everything going on out there.

    I hope they or both of us DO!
    ~ I stand with Ted to defeat Hillary Clinton. My family and I will be voting for Trump/Pence this November.
    "It took Jimmy Carter to give us Ronald Reagan." - Our country's last best hope in 2016, was Presidential Candidate Ted Cruz

  16. #16
    Yup game on

  17. #17
    Just got back from filling 6 - 5 gallon cans with non ethanol gas. Think I'll head back to the co-op and fill another 6 before the price spikes. Haven't been this proactive with fuel in over 10 years.
    We are apt to shut our eyes against a painful truth... For my part, whatever anguish of spirit it may cost, I am willing to know the whole truth; to know the worst, and to provide for it. --Patrick Henry

  18. #18
    Aleph 🕯️ א 🇸🇬 Retweeted

    ELINT News
    #BREAIKING: UK Prime Minister to chair emergency COBRA meeting Monday morning at 10:30 “to discuss the maintenance of the security of shipping in the Persian Gulf” - via
    4:11 PM · Jul 21, 2019 · Twitter for iPhone

    eamon moffet
    Replying to
    Is uk going to do something stronger than after fridays cobr meeting?

    jackie Dunbar
    Replying to
    And do Fxxk all about it 😡

    Mr Scribble
    Replying to
    The A makes it sound urgent and deadly.

    Hugh Thompson
    Replying to
    The day before she resigns.

    ((( The Totalitarian ))) 🇺🇸
    Replying to
    They said the longer Iran holds the tanker then the more swear words they will add to their strongly worded letter.

    Apollyon the Destroyer
    Replying to
    The third in has many days. #COBRA yes and WTH is #GIJOE you just have to thrown it in I sorry. Really not haha.
    Thoughts are things. Thus I'm careful of the thoughts I think, & the company I keep.


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