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WAR Main Persian Gulf Trouble thread
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  1. #1321
    EndGameWW3
    @EndGameWW3
    There are 5 possible Iranian military boats (red) near the British oil tanker Atlantic Pioneer(blue) in the strait of Hormuz. (link: https://twitter.com/KyleJGlen/status...635008/photo/1) pic.twitter.com/Vi12ZJXyZB

    There are 5 possible Iranian military boats (red) near the British oil tanker Atlantic Pioneer(bl...
    iran.liveuamap.com
    8:33 PM · Jul 11, 2019 ·
    6
    Retweets
    9
    Likes

    The Illusion
    @Arkhorse
    ·
    17m
    Replying to
    @EndGameWW3
    See my tweet, there are 7 in the path, 2 behind.

  2. #1322
    Hey! The B-52 at the Andrews AFB airshow back in May had one of them mounted on the starboard inboard pylon!
    That pod turns the Strike eagle into a B-29 over Tokyo with firebombs capable. Huge bomb load, pinpoint accuracy and supersonic speed.

    Quote Originally Posted by Red Baron View Post
    How to deal with Iranian gunboat swarms?

    The F-15E Strike Eagle ground attack variant is distinguished by having a two person crew and is painted in a darker overall grey than the single seat air superiority fighter plane version.

    ----------
    Nearly All F-15Es Photographed Arriving In Middle East Carried Dragon's Eye Radar Pods

    The radar pods give the F-15E a highly potent surveillance and targeting capability that can peer through clouds, smoke, and dust.

    By Tyler RogowayJuly 10, 2019

    -15E Strike Eagles from the 336th Fighter Squadron, the "Rocketeers," of the 4th Fighter Wing based at Seymour Johnson AFB arrived at Al Dhafra Air Base in the UAE on the 14th of June, 2019. The contingent was part of the bolstering of U.S. forces in the region that began in May after still largely undisclosed intelligence warned of potential Iranian aggression throughout the region. We closely examined the official photos showing the arrival of the detachment of Strike Eagles at Al Dhafra Air Base and came away with a noteworthy observation—five out to the six aircraft photographed are carrying AN/ASQ-236 "Dragon's Eye" Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radar pods on their centerline stations.

    The pod is self-contained and carries a stabilized AESA radar that rotates around the pod's center axis as well as geo-positioning and cooling systems. As such, it can work as a side-looking airborne radar (SLAR), taking high detailed synthetic aperture radar (SAR) maps of an area the Strike Eagle flies parallel too or even over, with near photo-like fidelity. In fact, it is supposedly so sensitive that it can detect roadside and semi-buried IEDs and possibly even groups of people on foot. It is also rumored to be able to generate ground-moving target indicator (GMTI) geolocation data on vehicles, such as trucks and armor, or vessels at sea.

    It's also worth noting that AESA arrays have a secondary ability to act as powerful electronic attack nodes. Considering the AN/ASQ-236 is quite mature, it is possible that they have acquired software that would allow them to work in this mode, even if only against a limited set of enemy emitter types.

    These functions and the jet's multi-role fighter abilities and long-range not only give the F-15E crew the ability to collect very high-quality intelligence in less than friendly neighborhoods, but they can also rapidly acquire very precise targeting information that can be used to sling weapons, like GBU-39 Small Diameter Bombs, at those targets. Above all else, they can do this in any weather and under any battlefield conditions. The radar is not affected by the time of day, smoke, or cloud cover.

    Because of its unique talents and two crew concept of operations, the F-15Es have become manhunters of sorts, able to take out high-value and highly mobile individuals in remote and hostile locales. Their ability to dash at supersonic speed also allows them to reposition and react to changing conditions far quicker than say a MQ-9 Reaper drone.

    The AN/ASQ-236 has been acknowledged officially since 2009, but it had been in limited testing for years before that. Still, we have never seen a single unit brandish so many at one time. From what we know, the pods remain something of a low-density, high-demand asset. In other words, they are not that plentiful, but they provide high-value capabilities that are often requested by combatant commanders. Other aircraft have been tested with the pod, including the F-16, B-52, and AC-130, but it hasn't been officially adopted by any other platform as of yet.

    With even its basic confirmed set of capabilities, it really isn't surprising that the F-15Es equipped with as many Dragon's Eye pods as possible would have been ordered to the region. They provide combatant commanders with a powerful intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance tool that could be deployed around known hotspots or even along the Iranian border. One could see how important the capability could be when monitoring activities in Iranian ports and near and within the volatile Strait of Hormuz. The fact that the F-15E can defend itself and abruptly prosecute ground and surface targets is an even bigger plus. Which begs the question, were the Rocketeers called back to the Middle East primarily for their Dragon's Eye capabilities?

    If this is the case, it was a good call, as just days after their arrival, a defenseless RQ-4 Broad Area Maritime Surveillance Demonstrator (BAMS-D) was shot down by the Iranians as it peered into Iranian territory from international airspace near the strait.

    Although it is unknown if it has been officially deemed operational, SBD II, better known by its nickname Stormbreaker, will feature a tri-mode seeker and network connectivity that will allow it to strike groups of moving targets at standoff ranges. This capability combined with the targeting information gathered by the Dragon's Eye pod, as well as the F-15E's ability carry 20 of these weapons—16 without the centerline station—at one time, as well as two fuel tanks and four air-to-air missiles, could make the Strike Eagle an absolutely devastating weapon for combating small boat swarms under literally any conditions, including dense fog. Once again, we are not aware that this weapon has been made operational at this time, but it was slated to be in the third or fourth quarter of this year. Still, it wouldn't be unheard of for such a munition at the tail end of its development to see pre-operational use due to urgent operational demands.

    It will also be interesting to see what role the AN/ASQ-236 will continue to play once the F-15E gains its own AESA radar in the near future. The AN/APG-82 AESA radar set has already begun replacing the older mechanically scanned array AN/APG-70 in some Strike Eagle Squadrons. This is an incredibly powerful radar and is among the most capable in the world, if not the most capable. Certain capabilities may overlap with the AN/ASQ-236, but there could be new synergies to be leveraged between the two sensors that were not possible with the Strike Eagle's older fire control radar.

    Regardless, the Rocketeers brought Dragon's Eye on their pop-up deployment to the Middle East in a very big way and these incredibly flexible multi-role fighter jets are likely providing key intelligence data on a continuous basis in that very troubled part of the world.

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zon...eye-radar-pods

  3. #1323
    EndGameWW3 Retweeted

    INTEL Junkie
    @TheINTELJunkie
    #Update: As of right now, nothing to be concerned about regarding #Iran|ian military boats near #UK tanker. If anything of importance pops up, I will update.
    Quote Tweet

    The Doge
    @IntelDoge
    · 19m
    I'm gonna stop posting updates, I don't think this is anything of importance the more I look at the shipping lanes. If something else pops up I'll start another thread
    8:41 PM · Jul 11, 2019 ·

  4. #1324
    ELINT News
    @ELINTNews
    🤔
    Quote Tweet

    Marco Rubio
    @marcorubio
    · 52m
    If suddenly naval mines appear & threaten or damage a British merchant vessel in the Straits of Hormuz let there be no doubt only one possible culprit exists #Iran’s IRGC
    8:57 PM · Jul 11, 2019 ·

  5. #1325
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    AL
    Posts
    55,536
    (see ETA at bottom...)

    tons of maps and locations and GIFs etc at link (too many to try to post)
    https://twitter.com/IntelDoge/status...17192561434624



    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    49m49 minutes ago

    #British flagged ship Atlantic Pioneer heading directly for #Iran|ian waters - has around 40 minutes to adjust course before it becomes a concern. Red line indicates maritime border.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    44m44 minutes ago

    It's made a two degree heading change now at 97 degrees. Still heading right for Iranian claimed waters, but has around ~10 minutes to finally adjust course and skirt the border.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    41m41 minutes ago

    I foresee a last minute heading change and the boat pulling a rather risky but calculated maneuver and skirting the line.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    39m39 minutes ago

    Atlantic Pioneer has updated it's position, about 8.7 nautical miles from the claimed waters. ~6 miles to turn away.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    37m37 minutes ago

    Atlantic Pioneer has updated it's heading now to 96 degrees.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    32m32 minutes ago

    At it's current heading and speed it's projected to enter into #Iran|ian claimed waters in less than 30 minutes.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    28m28 minutes ago

    Purple line shows #Iran|ian claimed waters - red line shows the projected path of the ship.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    25m25 minutes ago

    Atlantic Pioneer now 4.5 nautical miles away from #Iran|ian claimed waters. Inching closer to the point of no return, no sign of turning back.



    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    19m19 minutes ago

    Just so I can make this clear, there's no sign that the IRGC will do something. But, if they wanted to get a good jump on a British ship, now is the perfect time.


    Likely no escort, because the chances of a Type 23 sailing into Iranian controlled waters is just 0.1%.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    19m19 minutes ago

    Also I suppose the chance of this being some sort of bait is there as well I suppose.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    17m17 minutes ago

    #UPDATE: Atlantic Pioneer is on pace to enter into #Iran|ian controlled waters - a huge surprise considering the threat from the IRGC regarding British tankers following the incident with GRACE 1 being detained in the Strait of Gibraltar.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    16m16 minutes ago

    ~15 minutes until something very shocking happens, definitely didn't expect this to happen, the other route taken by British tankers seemed much more likely, not this route.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    13m13 minutes ago

    Atlantic Pioneer is 1,082 ft x 196 ft

    It's dead weight is 8,732 tons.

    The displacement on this thing has to be incredible.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    12m12 minutes ago

    ~10 minutes now until it crosses over, just 1.7 nautical miles away.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    9m9 minutes ago

    Atlantic Pioneer now one nautical mile away from breaching into Iranian territorial waters. ~5 minutes.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    8m8 minutes ago


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    6m6 minutes ago

    Atlantic Pioneer now half a nautical mile away.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    4m4 minutes ago

    0.3 nautical miles away now.



    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge

    #BREAKING: Atlantic Pioneer has officially sailed into #Iran|ian waters.


    The Doge
    ‏ @IntelDoge
    1m1 minute ago

    Atlantic Pioneer has officially made it 1 nautical mile into #Iran|ian claimed waters.



    ThreeCalories
    ‏ @ThreeCalories
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    Oops


    Domani Capital
    ‏ @AdaptToReality
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    Let us know when it reaches the #GulfOfTonkin




    dingo
    ‏ @outbackdingo
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    its a setup... bait in the water.... lets see if they bite...


    TheLordMaster
    ‏ @TheOGLord
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    is it world war 3 yet?


    The Stache
    ‏ @Datoneer
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    Looks like war is back on the menu boys

    *I hope not obv



    Tony
    ‏ @Tony88927344
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    Let's see if it's taken to Iran.


    Lumiere
    ‏ @lumiere2016
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    Do we call this the British invasion?



    iRaq osint
    ‏ @iraqosint
    3m3 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    opss


    Johnathan davidson
    ‏ @swooptieman
    2m2 minutes ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    Common Iran do something


    Who What
    ‏ @Who_z_whatis
    1m1 minute ago

    Replying to @IntelDoge

    yep.



    ETA: 11:39 PM CDT


    ELINT News
    ‏ @ELINTNews
    21m21 minutes ago

    Not a provocation at all btw, it’s simply following normal shipping lanes in the Persian Gulf, like hundreds of other tankers currently are. Just pointing this out due to the heightened threat of Iranian interception of specifically British tankers in the Gulf.
    Last edited by Lilbitsnana; 07-11-2019 at 11:48 PM.
    Nana to two "little bits", one not-so-little "little bit" and one 6' college bound "little bit"

  6. #1326
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    OK
    Posts
    6,610
    dupe posting - please delete.
    Last edited by 1911user; 07-12-2019 at 10:04 AM.

  7. #1327
    Join Date
    May 2004
    Location
    AL
    Posts
    55,536
    ELINT News
    ‏ @ELINTNews
    11m11 minutes ago

    ELINT News Retweeted الجزيرة - عاجل

    #BREAKING: Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman calls on Britain to immediately release the Iranian oil tanker (in Gibraltar) and warns of the consequences

    ELINT News added,
    الجزيرة - عاجل
    Verified account @AJABreaking
    عاجل | رويترز: المتحدث باسم الخارجية الإيرانية يدعو بريطانيا للإفراج الفوري عن الناقلة النفطية ويحذرها من العواقبs
    Nana to two "little bits", one not-so-little "little bit" and one 6' college bound "little bit"

  8. #1328
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    A Multi-Demensional Quantum Environment.
    Posts
    52,242
    Quote Originally Posted by mecoastie View Post
    Who gets to crew that vessel of yours? They would be on a one way mission.
    One or two guys to pilot it and have it "Break down", distress call so it is dead in the water out there like a Ripe Plum hanging on the neighbors tree limb that just is within reach of a ten year old.

    A few Cadavers on a life boat-they drop the life boat which has an unfortunate accident that "Killed" the crew while the two guys scube/snorkle away for pickup.

    Theres always some old shits who are dying anyway and think this would be a fine way too go and a good day to die.

    Work out he details once you agree on a game plan, not before.
    "It ain't no secret I didn't get these scars falling over in church."


    "My Shoes are too Tight. But it is ok as I have forgotten how to Dance."

  9. #1329
    EndGameWW3
    @EndGameWW3
    Is the US nudging Britain into dangerous waters with Iran?

    Is the US nudging Britain into dangerous waters with Iran?
    theguardian.com
    2:12 AM · Jul 12, 2019 ·
    https://t.co/t9eQ2f4sMo

  10. #1330
    Britain sends second warship to gulf amid tensions with Iran - Sky

    July 12, 2019 / 7:23 AM / Updated 31 minutes ago

    LONDON, July 12 (Reuters) - Britain is sending a second warship to the Gulf amid growing tensions with Iran after Royal Marines seized an Iranian tanker off the coast of Gibraltar last week, Sky News reported.

    Sky said the destroyer HMS Duncan, which had been earmarked for deployment in the region anyway although not so soon, would sail to the Gulf in the next few days to join the frigate HMS Montrose.

    Britain’s Ministry of Defence had no immediate comment on the report.

    (Reporting by Michael Holden; editing by Stephen Addison)


    https://uk.reuters.com/article/mides...-idUKL9N1Z701K

  11. #1331
    Alistair Bunkall
    ‏Verified account @AliBunkallSKY
    1h1 hour ago

    Duncan has been on NATO exercises in The Black Sea. She was due to go to the Gulf anyway but her deployment has been brought forward. She will give some relief to HMS Montrose who will need to go back into port soon to refuel and resupply


    Alistair Bunkall
    ‏Verified account @AliBunkallSKY
    1h1 hour ago

    BREAKING: The Royal Navy warship, @HMSDuncan, is to be sent to the Gulf amid deepening crisis with Iran.

  12. #1332
    Alistair Bunkall
    ‏Verified account @AliBunkallSKY
    1h1 hour ago

    HMS Duncan passing through the Bosporous en route to the Gulf:

  13. #1333
    Quote Originally Posted by northern watch View Post
    Alistair Bunkall
    ‏Verified account @AliBunkallSKY
    1h1 hour ago

    HMS Duncan passing through the Bosporous en route to the Gulf:
    Tick tick.....

  14. #1334
    Hamdi
    ‏ @HamdiAlkhshali
    3h3 hours ago

    Discussions between the #UK and the US on building up their military presence in the Gulf are “ongoing,” a Downing Street spokesperson confirmed to CNN


    Who is Hamdi?

    CNN International Field & News Desk Producer

  15. #1335
    EndGameWW3
    @EndGameWW3
    Britain will be ‘slapped in the face’ for seizure of Iranian tanker, cleric says (link: https://fxn.ws/2NQl8ea) fxn.ws/2NQl8ea #FoxNews

    Britain will be ‘slapped in the face’ for seizure of Iranian tanker, cleric says
    foxnews.com
    11:17 AM · Jul 12, 2019 ·

  16. #1336
    This is snipped from a Wall Street Journal Article about 2011 when I googled "what does a slap in the face mean in the Middle East?" I asked this because while almost all cultures consider it an insult it can mean grades of insult or expected results - for example, a European Knight allowed himself to be slapped in the face by whoever was making him a knight (usually the King or their mentor knight) as symbolic of "the last time" that would be tolerated from anyone.

    snip...

    In the Middle East too, the insult slap carries enormous symbolic weight, which is probably why the Central Intelligence Agency advocated its use during the interrogation of some terrorism suspects. Iran, meanwhile, has threatened Israel and the U.S. with "a strong slap" if either country launches military strikes to take out its nuclear program.


    https://blogs.wsj.com/indiarealtime/...e-insult-slap/
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  17. #1337
    Quote Originally Posted by danielboon View Post
    EndGameWW3
    @EndGameWW3
    Britain will be ‘slapped in the face’ for seizure of Iranian tanker, cleric says (link: https://fxn.ws/2NQl8ea) fxn.ws/2NQl8ea #FoxNews

    Britain will be ‘slapped in the face’ for seizure of Iranian tanker, cleric says
    foxnews.com
    11:17 AM · Jul 12, 2019 ·
    Who else thinks it's a really bad idea for Britain to be doing this dance with Iran when the Mayor of London is a raghead and the city (and the entire country) is awash with them?

    Whose idea is this and what side are they playing on?

    I ask this because the US will be dragged into this mess all the way to its shores. With our "invader" problem, we are in an equally poor fighting position.

    "U.S. government could 'run out of cash' and default on its debt in just eight weeks says Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin"
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ebt-limit.html

    I see the next eight weeks as a huge opportunity to kick this thing off- 5th columns and all.
    Don't be dismayed by goodbyes. A farewell is necessary before you can meet again. And meeting again, after moments or lifetimes, is certain for those who are friends. --Richard Bach

  18. #1338
    Panama to withdraw flags from more vessels that violate sanctions

    Marianna Parraga, Elida Moreno
    July 12, 2019 / 2:28 PM / Updated 8 hours ago

    PANAMA CITY (Reuters) - Panama will withdraw its flag from more vessels that violate sanctions and international legislation, the country’s maritime authority told Reuters, following the removal of about 60 ships linked to Iran and Syria from the Panamanian registry in recent months.

    After the re-imposition of sanctions on Iran by Washington in 2018, Panama’s former president Juan Carlos Varela gave the green light to remove a fleet of 59 tankers from the country’s registry, according to two sources close to the decision.

    Most of those vessels were owned by Iranian state-run companies but they also included ships linked to oil deliveries to Syria, the sources added.

    A separate supertanker, the Grace 1, made its way to Gibraltar in early July, where it was seized by British Royal Marines on suspicion of violating sanctions against Syria.

    The vessel was fully loaded with crude suspected to be bound for Syria’s Banyas refinery, Gibraltar authorities said.

    The vessel arrived in Gibraltar showing the Panama name at its hull, but the Panamanian government later clarified it had been removed from its registry on May 29.

    “Panama will maintain its flag withdrawal policy,” Rafael Cigarruista, general director of Merchant Marine from Panama’s Maritime Authority, told Reuters in an emailed statement.

    “Our intention is to improve our fleet’s percentage of compliance, not only regarding sanctions by international organizations, but also Panama’s current legislation and maritime security rules,” he added.

    Cigarruista did not provide details on coming action or targeted fleets.

    The exact process leading up to the July detention of the Grace 1 remains unclear. Spain, which does not recognise Britain’s sovereignty over Gibraltar, said it would study whether Britain’s actions violated its territorial water claims.

    Iran called on Britain on Friday to immediately release the Grace 1 and warned of reciprocal measures after three Iranian vessels on Thursday tried to block a British-owned vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz.

    LARGEST SHIPPING FLEET

    As the United States seeks to increase pressure on Iran, Panama says it is trying to maintain its registry clean from sanctioned ships and companies involved in wrongdoing.

    Under international law, every merchant ship must be registered with a country, known as its flag state, which has jurisdiction over the vessel and is responsible for safety inspections and checking the crew’s working conditions. When a vessel loses its flag, it typically triggers lost of insurance and classification if it does not immediately finds another flag.

    Panama has the largest shipping fleet in the world with almost 7,100 vessels registered, according to specialized firm Vessels Value.

    The Central American country offers foreign vessel owners easy registration, the ability to employ foreign labour, and does not tax the income of the foreign owners.

    Even being the world’s largest, the registry has seen a decrease in its number of vessels from over 8,000 in 2017. Liberia now has almost 3,800 registered ship, followed by Marshall Islands with 4,100, according to the Vessels Value data.

    Experts say an outdated and slow mechanism for registering vessels in Panama compared with other flag countries is the culprit of the falling number.

    Panama, which this year announced it will improve the payment mechanism for its registry to speed up the process, is also withdrawing its flag more frequently since the U.S. administration started putting pressure on allied countries to help enforcing unilateral sanctions, the experts added.

    “It’s very important for us as a flag country to preserve existing ties and grow closer to administrations that are members of the International Maritime Organization,” Cigarruista said, when asked if Panama is following U.S. guidance on sanction enforcement.

    Reporting by Elida Moreno and Marianna Parraga; Editing by Daniel Flynn and Marguerita Choy

    https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-mi...-idUKKCN1U72DO

  19. #1339
    ELINT News
    ‏ @ELINTNews
    9h9 hours ago

    ELINT News Retweeted The Brit

    #UPDATE: 3 British tankers heading to Strait of Hormuz right now

    ELINT News
    ‏ @ELINTNews
    9h9 hours ago

    #UPDATE: Royal Navy vessel is heading out with the British tanker ‘Security’, they probably know if the Iranians want to target any of these tankers, it will likely be ‘Security’.

  20. #1340
    The Brit
    ‏ @TheBrit96
    11h11 hours ago

    @HMSDuncan arriving at the Crete Naval Base in Souda Bay, Greece.


    The Brit
    þ @TheBrit96
    10h10 hours ago

    UK flagged tanker "Stena Clear Sky" and "Security", as well as Cayman Islands flagged tanker "Nordic Aquarius" currently on the move.

    "British Warship" appears to be a RN MCMV
    .


    The Brit
    ‏ @TheBrit96
    9h9 hours ago

    Cayman Islands flagged "Mid Osprey" also on the move

  21. #1341
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Posts
    95,547
    Quote Originally Posted by Seeker22 View Post
    Who else thinks it's a really bad idea for Britain to be doing this dance with Iran when the Mayor of London is a raghead and the city (and the entire country) is awash with them?

    Whose idea is this and what side are they playing on?

    I ask this because the US will be dragged into this mess all the way to its shores. With our "invader" problem, we are in an equally poor fighting position.

    "U.S. government could 'run out of cash' and default on its debt in just eight weeks says Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin"
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...ebt-limit.html

    I see the next eight weeks as a huge opportunity to kick this thing off- 5th columns and all.
    The other way to look at it is that those in "loyal opposition " may see this as the only way to break the stranglehold of the PC totalitarians and their Islamic frienemies. The riots of the past against them didn’t burn hot enough to clear out such strangling weeds. If it gets going over this causus belli perhaps this time it will....

  22. #1342
    EndGameWW3 Retweeted

    ELINT News
    @ELINTNews
    #UPDATE: Royal Navy warship, likely frigate HMS Montrose, sitting just inside Iranian waters ensuring British crude oil tanker ‘Security’ passes through without interference. Security now just north of Iran’s Abu Musa island which hosts an IRGCN base containing FIAC & FAC.

    2:10 PM · Jul 14, 2019 ·

    ELINT News
    @ELINTNews
    ·
    8m
    Replying to
    @ELINTNews
    FIAC- Fast inshore attack craft (small craft, contains RPG’s, heavy machine guns and/or unguided artillery rockets, no organic sensors)
    FAC- Fast attack craft (larger craft, guided munitions such as light anti-ship cruise missiles, organic situational awareness)

    Dfghjkl
    @Dfghjkl15893534
    ·
    11m
    Replying to
    @ELINTNews
    Vesselfinder is saying its the HMS Argyll. What is right now?

    Kevin Huckfield
    @KevinHuckfield
    ·
    5m
    Argyll is in the Plymouth area.

  23. #1343
    EndGameWW3


    @EndGameWW3
    6m6 minutes ago
    More
    Rouhani Offers US-Iran Talks for Sanctions Relief
    Pompeo rejects idea, saying similar offer led to nuclear deal

  24. #1344
    ELINT News


    @ELINTNews
    Follow Follow @ELINTNews
    More ELINT News Retweeted المسيرة - عاجل
    #BREAKING: Iranian-backed Houthis announce large air operation using Qasef-2K suicide drones to attack King Khaled Airbase In Khamis Mushait, southern Saudi Arabia

  25. #1345

    4

    EndGameWW3 Retweeted

    ELINT News
    @ELINTNews
    #UPDATE: This is the last known position of the UAE (Panama flagged) oil products tanker in Iranian waters near Iran’s Qeshm island 44 hours ago. CNN’s
    @barbarastarrcnn
    reports US intel belives IRGC Navy may have forced the vessel into Iranian waters, no contact with crew.

    4:52 PM · Jul 15, 2019 ·

    ELINT News
    @ELINTNews
    ·
    9m
    Replying to
    @ELINTNews
    #UPDATE: It’s unclear if the tanker has been boarded and the crew arrested. Iran’s Qeshm Island is known to be home to a number of IRGCN bases. UAE so far has not commented on the incident.

  26. #1346
    BBC HARDtalk
    @BBCHARDtalk
    Iran’s Foreign Minister
    @JZarif
    tells
    @TheZeinabBadawi
    "If there is a war then I do not think anybody will be safe in our region. But let us all try to avoid a war" #Iran #IranSanctions
    />
    0:55
    4:30 PM · Jul 15, 2019 ·

  27. #1347
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
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    95,547
    Hummm......

    For links see article source.....
    Posted for fair use.....
    https://wavellroom.com/2019/07/13/ir...rence-options/

    Iranian Hybrid Warfare

    by Oliver
    July 13, 2019

    The most recent retaliatory strike window looks set to close with more US sanctions being placed on Iran. A short term conclusion to what was very nearly a military strike. Large scale military action against Iran has been touted repeatedly since the start of the War on Terror. Despite the clear threat, Iran has become increasingly influential through its adaptable and bold use of hybrid warfare. Iranian actions have global consequences due to its strategic location dominating access to the Strait of Hormuz, through which a quarter of the world’s oil travels in vulnerable tankers.

    Iranian actions on the world stage can be directly traced back to the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Where an increasingly Westernising US backed monarch was overthrown in favour of an Islamic (Shia) Republic. The political power structure ruling since is seen as complicated; however the supreme leader Ali Khamenei has the ultimate political and religious power. This power is exercised through a web of tightly controlled, unelected councils. The Intelligence Services, Armed Forces and Revolutionary Guards Corps answer directly to the Supreme Leader as Commander in Chief.

    The key to understanding Iranian actions is to look at Iranian grand strategy and foreign policy. Helpfully, this is clearly stated in their constitution. The Iranian constitution states that it’s foreign policy is based on the “rejection of any kind of domination, both its exercise and submission to it; the preservation of the all-inclusive independence of the country and its territorial integrity [and] non-alignment in relation to the domineering powers”. The constitution is one step short of explicitly naming the US and key regional allies of Saudi Arabia and Israel as the domineering powers. But it goes a long way to explain recent actions.

    The bloody taste of conventional warfare with Iraq soon after the revolution has seen Iran move away from trench warfare and human wave attacks to more refined methods in one generation. Iran’s tactics now cover the full spectrum of warfare, from soft to hard power, diplomatic persuasion to military action. Iran’s adaptable playbook allows it to seize the initiative and exploit opportunities to increase Iranian influence and power in the Middle East.
    Role of the Qods Force

    The Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRCG) is being used as a key tool in this effort to export the revolution. The proxy model sees the specialised IRCG Qods Force develop Shia militias into effective fighting forces allied to the Iranian Government. The most successful example of this proxy warfare is the Iranian development of Hezbollah. This proxy tactic has been used to exploit multi-faction uprising and unrest in Iraq, Syria, Sudan, Yemen, and Pakistan. Looking to repeat their success with Hezbollah, the ultimate goal of the Qods is for the Shia militias to work their way into a position of power in the host country. This gives Iran a direct hand in the affairs of other countries whilst at the same time being removed enough to avoid being drawn in.

    Iranian weaponry supports the proxy approach of great reach and standoff distance. Iranian arms development has seen conventional weapons used in unconventional ways. Israel is often viewed as the likely target for Iran’s missiles. However the Qods Force has ensured that proxy forces have benefited the most and Middle Eastern stability the least from Iranian arms. For example, supplying the Houthi rebels in Yemen with missiles capable of disrupting shipping in the strait of Babel Mandeb forced Saudi Arabia, a long term Iranian adversary, to temporarily shut down shipping through the strait.
    Nuclear weapons

    Despite the impact conventional weapons are currently having, it is Iran’s nuclear weapons program that has the potential to threaten Middle Eastern stability the most. Having a nuclear deterrence would give Iran unrivalled confidence to their already bold actions.

    The ‘Nuclear Deal’ intended to prevent this from happening looks set to fall apart with further sanctions as the result. However despite: a lifetime of sanctions, limited surgical strikes, cyber-attacks and a US Navy carrier group on the doorstep, Iranian hybrid warfare continues. This begs the question, what will it take to stop it?
    Deterrence & response

    Countering a hybrid threat requires a hybrid approach. Any British response to Iran needs a strategy in two key areas, deterrence and response. These approaches are far more than simply proactive and reactive activities; they must be integrated and tailored to be compatible across all dimensions and domains (including cyber and cognitive).

    Responses to Iranian hybrid warfare must be carefully calculated. Any response must be coordinated and agreed, with multinational action (particularly from Gulf States) to have the greatest impact. Reliable detection through investigation and monitoring is vital to enabling a swift response. This was well demonstrated in July 19 when Britain seized an Iranian tanker. On this occasion, the tanker was carrying sanction defining oil but could potentially carry Qods weapons in the future. Iran’s long reach is a vulnerability Britain is well equipped to exploit. This method of interception is a response that ensures Iran is unable to achieve their desired effects.

    The deterrence of hybrid threats is achieved through credibility, capabilities and communication. Red lines in the sand do not improve credibility. Instead Britain should focus on strengthening relationships with key regional allies. to build a credible strategy.

    For example, Exercise Saif Sareea 3 – one of the UK’s largest deployments of land forces – demonstrated sincere cooperation with Iran’s neighbour across the Persian Gulf, Oman as well as strategic land reach. Improving credibility through the strengthening of allies denies Iran’s opportunity to exploit instability and internal weakness. This can be also be achieved through extensive use of Specialised Infantry to develop our own counter proxy forces through “up-streaming”; this would be a legitimate counter to the Qods proxy forces.
    Communications

    The more practical capabilities include investment in count drone and missile technologies and posturing from our strategically placed naval base in Bahrain. These methods are useless unless communicated. Effective use of Information Manoeuvre from the tactical to strategic level will show our credibility and capabilities, leading to cognitive and behavioural changes in Iranian and proxy forces.

    Iran’s history of hybrid warfare has proved that it is very hard to predict their next steps. Recent Iranian activity has also shown that responses in the past have not been sufficient to counter the threats posed. However, Britain, now more than ever, is extremely well placed and prepared for a hybrid approach to counter Iran. But Britain cannot act alone. It is perhaps time for a new Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action that focuses on Iran as a whole and not just its nuclear sector. It would allow multinational efforts to form a hybrid approach to stem Iranian influence and increase stability in the region. The only thing that is certain is that whatever Iran’s next move may be, any response must be a hybrid action.

    Cover photo: An RPG missile found in Lebanon with a manufacturing symbol of the Iranian Army displayed by the IDF intelligence branch. Photo used under licence from the Israeli Defence Force.

  28. #1348
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Posts
    95,547
    Hummm......

    For links, graphics and images see article source.....
    Posted for fair use.....
    https://www.realcleardefense.com/art...en_114584.html

    Iran Goes All in for a Game of Nuclear Chicken

    By Matthew Bey
    July 15, 2019


    Highlights

    Iran has taken the provocative step of reaccelerating aspects of its nuclear program, yet its end goal is not necessarily to develop nuclear weapons but to increase its leverage and reenter talks for sanctions relief.
    Unlike North Korea, Iran is not structured to survive as an isolated pariah state, meaning sanctions will hurt Tehran much more than they would hurt Pyongyang.
    Iran has previously refrained from taking the final steps to construct a nuclear bomb, although its strategy has depended on refusing to rule out the possibility entirely. Tehran, accordingly, is likely to resume activities that make those final steps more attainable.
    Both the United States and Iran are walking a tightrope in the latest game of nuclear brinkmanship, but the latter appears to have calculated that it can accept the risk of a potential U.S. — or Israeli — strike inside the country.

    Once again, the United States and Iran find themselves in a familiar position: a high-stakes game of chicken over the Islamic republic's nuclear program. Iran's announcement this week that it had begun enriching uranium to 5 percent, which is above the limits set by the 2015 nuclear accord with the United States and five other global powers, is likely just the start of Iran's move to (re)accelerate its civilian nuclear program. Among other measures, Tehran has said it could increase enrichment to 20 percent, which would drastically shorten the timetable for a nuclear breakout — the moment when a country acquires enough fissile material to construct an atomic bomb.

    Although expanding its nuclear activities will only increase the probability of a military confrontation with the United States — or, at the very least, a limited military strike on its nuclear facilities — Iran has a clear objective in the long term: Restart negotiations with the United States to ultimately reach an agreement that would lift the sanctions while also safeguarding its national security. But with such a hawkish administration in the White House, Tehran's strategy may be fraught with risks — even as escalation may be Tehran's only feasible option for getting what it wants.
    Compensating for Shortcomings

    Tehran views itself as a regional hegemon that wants to project influence in its vicinity. Such a self-regard didn't develop with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Its immediate predecessor, the Pahlavi dynasty, held a similar view — as did previous Persian empires dating back to antiquity. Today, however, Iran is finding the deck stacked against it. Iran may boast a large economy and the biggest population in West Asia, but its conventional military power is limited. Prior to the Islamic Revolution of 1979, Iran relied heavily on its security partnership with the United States for military equipment, spare parts and training. But as a result of the anti-American tinge of the revolution, Washington naturally severed its relations with Tehran, imposing arms embargoes that have left Iran's conventional military arsenal decades behind its regional peers — if not in deep disrepair. Moreover, U.S.-backed Saudi Arabia and Turkey perceive Iran as a regional rival whom they are endlessly seeking to outmaneuver on the Middle Eastern chessboard.

    Unsurprisingly, Iran is attempting to compensate for its conventional military shortcomings through its defense and security strategy. Militarily, this means Iran supports both Sunni and Shiite proxies in the region, such as Hamas and Hezbollah, which harry America's biggest ally in the region, Israel (a strategy that is especially likely to reap rewards in the near future as Israel's relationship with Arab Gulf monarchies becomes more overt); it also means Tehran has sought to directly train militias and provide support in places in Iraq. Furthermore, it explains why Iran has invested so much on ballistic and cruise missiles, cyber warfare and ways to mine and disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Ultimately, through each of these actions, Iran is seeking to increase its strategic deterrence by raising the costs for a regional foe or the United States to take military action against it.

    Of course, such a strategy could culminate with the desire to develop nuclear weapons and build up a small arsenal. In so doing, however, Iran would have to consider the ultimate pros and cons of acquiring even a limited arsenal. Indeed, while Iran possessed a nuclear weapons program in the past (by all accounts, it ended its program in 2003, pursuing only tangential efforts to specifically develop a weapons program since), its actions have shown that it is not particularly willing to aggressively develop nuclear weapons and accept the associated risks — at least in comparison to North Korea.
    Why Iran Isn't Like North Korea

    For Iran, there is a trade-off between pursuing an aggressive nuclear strategy — one that could eventually develop atomic weapons — and coping with the economic costs of the resulting sanctions. And unlike North Korea, Iran is simply not structured to survive as an isolated pariah state in the long term. For one, Iran's political system provides legitimate avenues for the populace to express discontent with the government — a factor that can shape policy. In this, Tehran does not possess an all-pervasive security state that can limit internal dissent to the extent that Pyongyang can. What's more, North Korea is a small country in the shadows of much larger nations — China, Russia and Japan — with little-to-no desire to project regional influence in the same way that Iran wishes to. The lack of a giant neighbor also means Iran has no immediate protector to shield it from the effect of sanctions, as North Korea does with China.

    But perhaps most importantly, Iran's economy is deeply dependent on international trade. The country's oil exports remain the government's most critical source of foreign exchange, which Tehran needs to import half of its food, as well as many industrial products it cannot manufacture at home. Simply put, while Iran does want to limit its connections to the outside world, such as by controlling state media and the internet, the level of isolation that Iran can tolerate is more comparable to that of China than that of North Korea or even Cuba.
    What Iran Hopes to Achieve

    From a tactical perspective, the U.S. strategy to hurt the Iranian economy through sanctions is working. Iran is facing an economic contraction this year that could reach 6 percent of the country's gross domestic product. And inflation, which Iranian President Hassan Rouhani had previously succeeded in taming, is now running at around 50 percent. Nevertheless, the sanctions have yet to trigger a major economic crisis that would propel citizens onto the streets to demand change. Tehran, accordingly, feels like it has years to maneuver before that happens.

    By upping the ante against Washington, Iran is trying to narrow U.S. demands and attain a better bargaining position so that its leaders can make cosmetic concessions during negotiations.

    Still, Tehran knows it must engage with the United States and/or pressure other countries enough to introduce mechanisms that allow Iran to evade U.S. sanctions. Right now, the prospect of engagement with Washington is unappealing, especially as hawkish elements in the Trump White House are still calling for a strike on Iran. Indeed, shortly after the United States abandoned the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in May 2018, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo presented 12 stringent conditions to end the sanctions, demanding that Tehran abandon its nuclear program and radically alter its regional strategy, among other measures; ultimately, from Iran's perspective, the demands were tantamount to calls for regime change. Moreover, even though the vast majority of potential Democratic challengers to President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential elections have promised to rejoin the JCPOA if they win, the U.S. Senate will likely remain in the hands of Republicans who will push for a strong line on Iran. What's more, many of the JCPOA's sunset clauses will have already entered effect, thereby removing or reducing some restrictions on Iran's nuclear activities. In such a situation, any new U.S. president, regardless of party, would almost certainly demand either an extension of the JCPOA or a new deal, rather than merely rejoin the Iranian nuclear deal.

    By reducing its commitments and returning to the nuclear game of chicken reminiscent of the Mahmoud Ahmadinejad era, Tehran's strategy is twofold. First, it is hoping to push the European Union to rapidly provide a mechanism to guarantee Iranian trade or cajole the United States into again extending small-scale waivers for Iran's oil customers. Second, it builds up leverage for future, and likely inevitable, talks with Washington over Iran's nuclear program and other issues. By upping the ante against the United States, the Islamic republic is trying to narrow Washington's demands and attain a better bargaining position so that Iranian leaders can make cosmetic concessions during negotiations, all while obtaining sanctions relief and protecting more essential objectives: supporting regional militias and maintaining its ballistic missile program.

    In fact, Iran effectively succeeded with such a strategy before the JCPOA, as it whittled the Obama administration's position down so that the eventual deal focused solely on Iran's nuclear program, completely omitting any discussions about ballistic missiles. As it is, the agreement permitted Iran to maintain a limited level of uranium enrichment and lifted a U.N. embargo on weapons sales to the country in exchange for robust monitoring.

    For Iran, there have even been signs that the strategy — particularly when coupled with the country's aggressive actions in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman — is working with Trump, if not with all of his advisers. Notably, Pompeo and Trump are no longer demanding that Iran accept the 12 demands outlined last year. In his tweets and statements, Trump has suggested that his main demand is that Iran not develop nuclear weapons. Of course, the goal posts could shift once negotiations start given the presence of figures like national security adviser John Bolton in the White House, yet Iran must prepare for possible negotiations in a potential second Trump term.

    This notwithstanding, there is still a risk that the United States could launch a military strike on Iran, particularly given the many hawks in the White House who have supported such a policy in the recent past. But Iran's actions — both with its nuclear program and its attacks on tankers and an unmanned U.S. aerial vehicle in the past two months — has shown that it is willing to accept that risk. And in some ways, a limited strike on a set of Iranian nuclear facilities could actually reinforce popular support for Iran's leadership at home by allowing it to play the nationalist card in the face of economic pressure.
    Tehran's Next Steps

    In its contest with the United States, Iran will maximize its leverage the closer it comes to a nuclear breakout. To develop a nuclear weapon, Tehran essentially has two routes it can follow: pursue uranium enrichment or acquire plutonium. The former would likely be Iran's easiest course of action. To build one bomb, Iran would need to produce just over 25 kilograms of weapons-grade uranium that is enriched to at least 90 percent. The JCPOA was designed to block this route in several key ways. First, it limited Iran to only enriching uranium to 3.67 percent (mainly for use in power plants) and capped its stockpiles at just 300 kilograms. On July 1, however, Iran announced that its stockpiles had begun to exceed the JCPOA's limits; seven days later, it said it would enrich uranium up to 5 percent. Second, the nuclear deal also capped the number of centrifuges that Iran could use, limiting its operations merely to unreliable, outdated centrifuges. The agreement stipulated that Iran could only use 6,104 IR-1 centrifuges and not more advanced IR-2m, IR-4 or IR-6 centrifuges, which are more efficient at enriching uranium.
    Iran has yet to announce that it will install more centrifuges or use more advanced versions in the future, but it has threatened to increase the level of enrichment to 20 percent — a level that is crucial to enrich uranium to weapons-grade level. Before the JCPOA, Iran had been producing 20 percent enriched uranium (about 250 kilograms of which is needed to produce 25 kilograms of weapons-grade uranium), but the deal barred Iran from continuing to do so.
    Iran may have more difficulty in developing plutonium — which can be obtained by using natural uranium in a heavy water reactor, obtaining the spent fuel and then extracting the pure version of the element through reprocessing — as the JCPOA featured more comprehensive measures to dismantle the necessary facilities and equipment. Iran's Arak Heavy Water Reactor could have produced enough plutonium for about one bomb per year, but as part of the JCPOA, Iran agreed to modify the facility's design so that it would become a light water reactor, which produces far less plutonium in its spent fuel rods, thereby requiring the country to build up years of stockpiles to recover enough material for one device. Iran also agreed to pour cement into the reactor's core, rendering it inoperable. As part of the current standoff, Iran has threatened to alter the Arak reactor's design back to the original, although it has yet to take action. And while it has exceeded its limits on heavy water stockpiles, it would need to conduct more research on reprocessing, obtain assistance from an outside actor and build related facilities if it wished to pursue the plutonium route to construct an atomic bomb.

    Over the past 15 years, Iran has refrained from pursuing a nuclear program that is solely oriented toward the military; nevertheless, the technology it is using is dual-use, while the country is currently taking steps that make a nuclear breakout possible at some point. The JCPOA, however, delayed the timetable for doing so, meaning Iran is at least one to two years away from acquiring enough material for a nuclear test. Moreover, if Iran were to attempt to covertly obtain a sufficient amount of material for a test, it would have to develop a whole nuclear supply chain in secret as the international community continues to strictly monitor Iran's declared nuclear facilities as part of the JCPOA.

    Iran has taken clear, methodical steps that will give it the option of one day developing nuclear weapons but, in contrast to past years in which it concealed its activities, it has acted transparently in communicating its intent to the world. In so doing, Iran is hoping that it will accumulate leverage in a public manner, as it essentially tells the world that it does not intend to develop weapons surreptitiously. But barring a diplomatic breakthrough with the Europeans and the United States agreeing to a partial reduction in sanctions, Iran is likely to continue playing its long-term game of chicken. The question may ultimately center on whether the Trump administration is willing to acquiesce to Iran's activities or strike back. Iran has steeled itself for the latter prospect, but such a strike could ultimately ignite a broader conflict in the Middle East and draw in neighboring countries — and convince Iran to ultimately to take the fateful step to develop nuclear weapons capabilities.

    Matthew Bey is an energy and technology analyst for Stratfor, where he monitors a variety of global issues and trends. In particular, he focuses on energy and political developments in OPEC member states and the consequences of such developments on oil producers and the international oil market. Mr. Bey's work includes studies on the global impact of rising U.S. energy production, the recent fall in oil prices, Russia's political influence on Europe through energy, and long-term trends in energy and manufacturing.

    This article appeared originally at Stratfor Worldview.

  29. #1349
    Gregor Peter‏ @L0gg0l · 2h2 hours ago

    CNN reports IRGC confiscated an UAE (Panama-flagged) tanker RIAH in international waters over the weekend. Last known position was in Iranian waters. Contact to crew lost and gag order in UAE

  30. #1350
    ELINT News
    þ @ELINTNews
    2h2 hours ago

    #UPDATE: There is a known IRGCN base located in the direction the tanker is facing between the cities of Shib Deraz to the southwest & Messen to the northeast. If the tanker was intercepted, this is the likely point of origin where Iranian FIAC & FAC would have come from.

    ELINT News
    ‏ @ELINTNews
    2h2 hours ago

    #UPDATE: The tankers last recorded speed was only 2 knots. There seems to clear explanation as to why the vessel had slowed down to such a speed & turned to faced Iran’s Qeshm island, away from the main shipping lane, other than it possibly being intercepted by IRGCN boats.

    ELINT News
    ‏ @ELINTNews
    2h2 hours ago

    #UPDATE: It’s unclear if the tanker has been boarded and the crew arrested. Iran’s Qeshm Island is known to be home to a number of IRGCN bases. UAE so far has not commented on the incident.

  31. #1351
    Barbara Starr
    þVerified account @barbarastarrcnn
    3h3 hours ago

    CNN has learned: US intel increasingly believes UAE tanker MT RIAH forced into Iranian waters over the weekend by #IRGC naval forces. UAE isn't talking. Some Gulf sources say ship simply broke down/towed by Iran. US says tho no contact with crew. Last location Qesham Island.

  32. #1352
    Uh oh.

    Quote Originally Posted by northern watch View Post
    Gregor Peter‏ @L0gg0l · 2h2 hours ago

    CNN reports IRGC confiscated an UAE (Panama-flagged) tanker RIAH in international waters over the weekend. Last known position was in Iranian waters. Contact to crew lost and gag order in UAE

  33. #1353
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    In CLE again
    Posts
    57,023
    I was SO looking forward to a nice, calm, Q-word week...
    RULE 1:
    THEY want you DEAD.

    PERSEC OPSEC COMMSEC Live or Die by your Tradecraft.


    Should I vanish, only one person here will know.

    The BEST in Life:
    To CRUSH your enemies.
    To see them driven before you
    To listen to the lamentations of their women

  34. #1354
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Posts
    95,547
    Quote Originally Posted by night driver View Post
    I was SO looking forward to a nice, calm, Q-word week...
    Yeah....

  35. #1355
    The Latest: Concern grows over UAE-based oil tanker

    By The Associated Press
    DUBAI, United Arab Emirates — July 16, 2019, 5:46 AM ET

    The Latest on tensions in the Persian Gulf amid a crisis between the United States and Iran (all times local):

    1:40 p.m.

    Tracking data shows an oil tanker based in the United Arab Emirates traveling through the Strait of Hormuz drifted off into Iranian waters and stopped transmitting its location over two days ago, raising concerns about its status amid heightened tensions between Iran and the U.S.

    It's not immediately clear what happened to the Panamanian-flagged oil tanker Riah late on Saturday night
    .

    However, Capt. Ranjith Raja of the data firm Refinitiv told The Associated Press on Tuesday that the tanker hadn't switched off its tracking in three months of trips around the UAE.

    Raja said: "That is a red flag."


    Iranian officials haven't said anything publicly about the ship, nor have officials in the UAE. The U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet, which oversees Mideast waters, declined to immediately comment.

    ———

    12:35 p.m.

    Iran has confirmed it arrested a female researcher with dual French-Iranian nationality.

    The confirmation came during a press conference by Iranian judiciary spokesman Gholamhossein Esmaili on Tuesday. Esmaili was asked by reporters about the fate of Fariba Adelkhah.

    Esmaili said "the person is among suspects who were recently arrested" and that more details about the case would be announced later. That's according to the website of the judiciary.

    France on Monday said it was seeking information about Adelkhah and demanded consular access to her "without delay."

    Iranian opposition websites based abroad have said she disappeared in June in Tehran. Iran occasionally detains dual nationals on security charges.

    Iran also holds Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, arrested in April 2016 on charges of plotting against the Iranian government. Her family denies the allegations.

    Iran doesn't recognize dual nationality.

    ———

    11:20 a.m.

    Iran's foreign minister has for the first time suggested his country's ballistic missile program could be on the table for negotiations with the U.S. — if America stops selling arms to its Gulf allies in the Mideast.

    Mohammad Javad Zarif's comments came in an NBC News interview that aired Monday night.

    Iran long has maintained its ballistic missile program, under the control of its Revolutionary Guard, is for defensive purposes only. The 2015 nuclear deal that Tehran struck with world powers did not include its missile program.

    Zarif says American weaponry "is going into our region, making our region ready to explode. So if they want to talk about our missiles, they need first to stop selling all these weapons."

    Iran long has criticized U.S. arms sales in the region.

    https://abcnews.go.com/International...rticleroll_hed

  36. #1356
    Instant News Alerts


    @InstaNewsAlerts
    2h2 hours ago
    More
    Concern grows over UAE-based oil tanker that stopped transmitting its location over 2 days ago in Strait of Hormuz amid #US-#Iran tensions. (AP)Instant News Alerts


    @InstaNewsAlerts
    2h2 hours ago
    More
    #BREAKING Supreme leader Khamenei: Iran will 'certainly continue' to reduce nuclear commitments. (AFP)

  37. #1357
    Britain to send third warship to Gulf - Times reporter

    July 16, 2019 / 11:04 AM / Updated 2 minutes ago

    LONDON (Reuters) - Britain will send a third warship and a navy tanker to the Persian Gulf but the move is not related to Iran crisis, a reporter at Britain’s Times newspaper reported.

    “Type 23 frigate HMS Kent to deploy in Sept; RFA Wave Knight to arrive next month,” Times reporter Lucy Fisher said on Twitter
    .

    The Ministry of Defence declined immediate comment.

    Reporting by Guy Faulconbridge; editing by Michael Holden

    https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-mi...-idUKKCN1UB1TP

  38. #1358
    CNW
    þ @ConflictsW
    45m45 minutes ago

    An additional Royal Navy frigate (HMS Kent) will be sent to the Persian Gulf in September. RFA Wave Knight resupply ship will deploy to the gulf next month

  39. #1359
    CNW
    ‏ @ConflictsW

    CNW Retweeted واس

    The Saudi government has released evidence showing that Iranian backed Houthi militants in Yemen attempted to use a remote controlled boat filled with explosives to attack a merchant ship in the Red Sea yesterday

  40. #1360
    Lucy Fisher
    þVerified account @LOS_Fisher
    1h1 hour ago

    EXCL: Royal Navy to send a third warship, & a tanker, to Gulf.

    Type 23 frigate HMS Kent to deploy in Sept; RFA Wave Knight to arrive next month.

    Defence sources insist both are part of Operation Kipion, UK's long-standing maritime mission in Gulf, and NOT related to Iran situ

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