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POL Democrats have a 2020 problem: Trump is good at elections
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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Over there

    Democrats have a 2020 problem: Trump is good at elections

    Democrats have a 2020 problem: Trump is good at elections

    Willie Brown Feb. 9, 2019 Updated: Feb. 9, 2019 7:25 a.m.

    Polling after the State of the Union speech showed that President Trump has once again connected with at least enough voters to make him a 2020 favorite.

    Make no mistake, President Trump’s State of the Union address was the kickoff for his 2020 re-election campaign, and so far I’ve yet to see a Democrat who can beat him.

    During the partial government shutdown over whether to fund Trump’s wall on the southern border, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi suggested that the president deliver the annual address alone, from the Oval Office.

    I can see why.

    Alone, Trump is a frump. In front of a crowd, he’s electric.

    No matter what you think of Trump’s message, his delivery was impressive. He stayed on script and kept referring to everyday heroes in the gallery, thus forcing the Democrats to stand and cheer.

    It was populist theater, where presence and impression trump content.

    And the overnight polling after the speech showed that once again, he connected with voters, at least enough voters to make him a 2020 favorite.

    You can’t say the same for the Democratic contenders. They all have impressive credentials, winning personalities and positive messages, but none displays the “people personality” that our media-savvy president has mastered.

    Nearly four years ago, when Trump announced his candidacy for president, I said he had a winning hand. He still does.

    So we Democrats really have our work cut out for us.

    If he carefully picks his fights, Trump can turn the light back on Democrats and force us to defend our progressive wing’s “socialist” positions like health care for all, housing for all and guaranteed income.

    Our candidates will have to pull further and further to the left to satisfy the party’s activist constituency, much like Republicans did in response to the rise of the Tea Party, and probably with the same results.

    Our congressional efforts in 2018 benefited from Republican candidates’ inability to defend their relationship with Trump. But Trump can defend his relationship with himself very effectively.

    Let’s just hope Democrats can figure out that we need to go beyond the left and motivate voters across the board, just as midterm congressional campaigns did under Nancy Pelosi’s leadership.

    We know we can win California and New York. The question is: Can we win the states we lost in 2016, or do we preach to the choir in an empty church?

    The Franken Rule: The ghost of former Minnesota Sen. Al Franken has descended on Virginia, and there will be hell to pay.

    When Franken was forced to resign by fellow Democrats over a photo of him leering over a sleeping woman taken years before he was elected, it reset the bar for everyone.

    Now, the Democrats in Virginia who were on the threshold of securing that state for the next presidential run are in total disarray.

    They have a governor and attorney general who did themselves up in blackface years before they took office, ancient mistakes by people who apparently have had otherwise exemplary careers. They now find themselves in front of media firing squads, thanks to the Franken Rule.

    The party could survive that, except for a wild card that’s much, much worse: They have a lieutenant governor accused of sexual assaults by two women.

    If all three Democrats go down, a right-wing Republican speaker of the House stands to take over the governor’s office — and who knows where the state goes in 2020.

    For lease: Let’s hope San Francisco Supervisor Aaron Peskin’s call for a vacancy tax can motivate landlords to be a bit more accommodating about all the empty commercial retail space downtown.

    It’s really alarming when a third of the stores on Sutter Street have for-lease signs rather than displays in their windows.

    It’s even worse to see public garages, many of them financed by revenue bonds, with the first-floor retail space vacant because the trustees are acting like for-profit landlords.

    Walking tour: The shutdown of the Richmond-San Rafael Bridge on Thursday turned downtown San Francisco into one big parking lot.

    Every block was crammed with cars and buses. Pedestrians jammed the sidewalks. Even the California Street cable cars shut down.

    Yet, as I walked and walked, I did not hear one shout or horn blast in anger.

    It was truly amazing.

    Almost as amazing as football-size chunks of concrete falling from a state-owned bridge.

    But hey, that’s the Bay Area.

    (In case you don't know who Willie Brown is, he was a powerful Democrat leader here in CFalifornia. He was the one who admitted having an affair with Kamala Harris)

    Willie Brown

    Two-term mayor of San Francisco, renowned speaker of the California Assembly, and widely regarded as the most influential African American politician of the late twentieth century, Willie L. Brown, Jr. has been at the center of California politics, government and civic life for four decades. His career spans the American presidency from Lyndon Johnson to George W. Bush, and he’s worked with every California governor from Pat Brown to Arnold Schwarzenegger. From civil rights to education reform, tax policy, economic development, health care, international trade, domestic partnerships and affirmative action, he’s left his imprimatur on every aspect of politics and public policy in the Golden State. As mayor of California’s most cosmopolitan city, he refurbished and rebuilt the nation’s busiest transit system, pioneered the use of bond measures to build affordable housing, created a model juvenile justice system, and paved the way for a second campus of UCSF to serve as the anchor of a new development that will position the city as a center for the burgeoning field of biotechnology.

    Today, he heads the Willie L. Brown Jr. Institute on Politics and Public Service, where he shares his knowledge and skills with a new generation of California leaders.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Behind Enemy Lines

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Concord, NC
    Between non-White votes and oppressed identity class votes the democratic party is heading towards a majority in this country...........but.

    The combination of everyone making up that party once they knock off the traditional White male conservative vote, will be hard to hold any kind of unity together.............

    Blacks and Brown self interests?...................Muslims and Feminist?

    Overall that party will be like trying to herd cats......

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    'murKKa - FEMA region IV
    lets pray that the demonrats continue their overreaching via nasty pee-lousey and keep moving farther to the left. that's the best form of insurance for DJT's second term
    "Have I not commanded you? Be strong and of good courage; do not be afraid, nor be dismayed, for the Lord your God is with you wherever you go." Joshua 1:9 (NKJV)


    Raging Deplorable - we do NOT forget; we do NOT forgive; we are LEGION

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Where hiking boots go to die
    Don't get me wrong. I like President Trump. Just remember how close the last election was. Considering the reputation of that Dem candidate?? She barely campaigned at all. Don't underestimate the enemy or the ignorance of the young and gullible.
    Patriotism is supporting your country all the time, and your government when it deserves it. - Mark Twain

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Jan 2003
    Central Indiana

    Democrats suddenly realize their Maduro-love will cost them Florida in 2020

    February 11, 2019
    Dumb as a box of rocks: Democrats suddenly realize their Maduro-love will cost them Florida in 2020
    By Monica Showalter

    For years, Democrats have fallen over themselves to defend Latin American communist dictatorships. Who can forget Rep. Maxine Waters's apology to the Castro regime for the U.S. on her pilgrimage to Cuba or Rep. Jim McGovern's secret collaborations with Colombia's Marxist FARC terrorists or New York mayor Bill de Blasio's "help" to the Nicaraguan Sandinistas or Sen. Bernie Sanders's open praise for Hugo Chávez's Venezuela? And don't forget Joe Kennedy's Dial Joe-4-Oil, which was a gusher of propaganda praise for Venezuela's oppressive socialist regime.

    They've always gotten away with it. Until now.

    They suddenly are realizing that the Maduro-lovers and Trump-resisters in their ranks, who happen to be some of their biggest "it" girls with the loudest voices — Rep. Ilhan Omar, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard — have supported Venezuela's detested Maduro regime in recent weeks ... and it's not just them. Other Democrats are also in their tree - think of old dinosaurs such as Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel, who was all worried about the U.S. invading Venezuela, and Silent Ted Deutch representing south Florida in Congress. Supporting a socialist regime just seems to come natural in the Democratic Party. And for that, they're all kissing the purple swing state of Florida goodbye for the Democrats in 2020.

    The New York Times reports this as an alarming development for Democrats:

    Venezuela, not Cuba, now dominates Miami's political conversation. A television anchor not long ago ended a somber segment with a promise to keep praying for the troubled South American country. Venezuelans in the city have gathered for demonstrations to coincide with protests back home. Even the Miami-Dade County Commission, a local body with no control over foreign policy, voted unanimously to recognize the opposition leader Juan Guaidó as Venezuela's interim president.

    The shift has been coming on gradually for years, but it has accelerated in recent weeks as Venezuela has sunk further into crisis and its leftist president, Nicolás Maduro, has clung defiantly to power. The showdown in Caracas is reshaping Latino politics in South Florida, home to the highest concentration of Venezuelans in the United States.

    The change is not a mere demographic curiosity. In Florida, where major elections have repeatedly been decided by tiny margins, an inflection point around Venezuela's leadership could help define a generation of Venezuelan-American voters, who number in the tens of thousands in this state. President Trump is pushing Mr. Maduro to step aside, and if he succeeds, Democrats fear it could transform Venezuelan-Americans into loyal Republicans, much like Cuban-Americans.

    What politician of any smarts couldn't see that happening? In Omar's case, I think Russian sponsorship is worth looking at, but the others just don't seem to think about these politically strategic things at all. To ditzes such as Ocasio-Cortez and Gabbard, Venezuela is a cartoon drawing on a map mainly useful as a chit for beating President Trump with, even if it involves supporting Russia. And as for how Venezuelans feel about these things, well, the place is socialist and they support socialism, so 'nuff said. Not one of these people considers the feelings of the Venezuelans, or considers that there are living, breathing Venezuelans in Florida. Remember those three million Venezuelans who have fled their country? Well, yes, some have ended up in Florida, with a strong enough presence to swing the vote. The Times mentioned that the other Latinos in Florida tend to support them — Colombians, Nicaraguans, Bolivians, Puerto Ricans, Argentines, and of course Cubans, which magnifies their numbers. These people are a critical mass in Florida, and they know the deal in Caracas.

    President Trump could see that and made a smart alliance with GOP senator Marco Rubio, a former GOP rival, and the pair of them worked as a tag team, with Venezuelan-Americans likely advising them on how to achieve the common goal of getting rid of Maduro. Maduro is on his way out due to that master squeeze from the U.S., with Venezuelans cheering (over in Caracas, they are actually cheering Trump) along with almost all of Latin America and Europe. Omar, Ocasio-Cortez, and Gabbard are going to be left with their Maduro endorsements and no Maduro to speak of in coming weeks, which suggests quite an absence of strategy. More important, they are going to lose their fellow Democrats the huge swing state of Florida. In soccer, this is recognized as kicking the ball into your opponent's net to give them the points, an 'own goal.' Talk about an 'own goal.'
    Terri in Indiana

    "Be kind, for everyone you meet is fighting a hard battle." - Plato


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