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The Grand Solar Minimum
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  1. #6561
    Ed Vallee | Empire Weather LLC
    ■Verified account @EdValleeWx
    Nov 5

    Just a little 25 degree (!) departure next Tuesday, 11/12.

    Hope you guys like cold!


  2. #6562
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Oh just ick...DH and I were just talking about how much extra hay to pick up, along with protein tubs, cattle cubes, poultry bedding and feed. Our weather folks are reminding everyone this is an arctic system, not just a cold front - and in strong terms.

    This winter is setting up to be a hummer.

  3. #6563
    Such an absolutely dreadful forecast!

    If I can hold up long enough, it looks like I'll be ready for the super cold when it hits.

    Barely ready, but ready.

    I HATE WINTER!!!!!

  4. #6564
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Great planning on the heaters!

    I'd get your handy guy would really like to get that done before the cold air comes in, too....let's hope so!

  5. #6565
    Has anyone heard prognostications for Thanksgiving week yet?

  6. #6566
    I've heard only up to the 21st, I think it was, when there'll be another round of cold, hitting after this one that comes within the next couple of days here where I am in Arkansas.

  7. #6567
    Quote Originally Posted by Martinhouse View Post
    I've heard only up to the 21st, I think it was, when there'll be another round of cold, hitting after this one that comes within the next couple of days here where I am in Arkansas.
    I live in Northwest Arkansas and that is all I have heard too.

  8. #6568
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
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    Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZvJBD8dh0sY

    Antarctic Sea Ice Gain Causing Global Cooling (908)

    Run time is 6:46

    New article describes how growth of Antarctic sea ice moves ocean circulation currents enough to cause mini ice ages or full blown ice ages, and Antarctic sea ice is growing. Eleven thousand scientists sign petition for climate emergency, but there are heaps of fake names on the list including Mickey Mouse, no kidding. Sunspotless days continue in the solar minimum.....

    Last edited by TxGal; 11-09-2019 at 07:22 AM.

  9. #6569
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Yanasa Ama Ranch has a new podcast out:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SpC3M7f_cSs

    STATE GOVERNORS AGRICULTURAL DISASTER IS UNPRECEDENTED | USDA Changes Outlook

    Run time is 30:24

    Crop losses go beyond corn and soybeans. The USDA changes its long term outlook as Governors across the United States start asking for Agricultural Disaster Relief from the USDA.


  10. #6570
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has two new podcasts out:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iSH7sEyDdIg

    Arctic Blast Is Expected To Break 170 records Due To Global Warming - The Truth Will Astound You!

    Run time is 8:48

    Next week's Arctic blast will be so cold, forecasters expect it to break 170 records across US http://bit.ly/33v6sVb
    Philly’s first official freeze due Saturday; near-record cold possible next week http://bit.ly/34KMENM
    Record Cold Expected in Chicago Next Week http://bit.ly/2pUFibT
    Massive snow conditions call for a big cleanup in Alger County http://bit.ly/2K2Wbbl
    16 inches of snow dumped on northern Michigan in past 24 hours http://bit.ly/2JZ4Rzp
    Widespread Snow Could Fall as Far South as Tennessee Early Next Week https://wxch.nl/36QFo4P
    GFS Model Total Snowfall http://bit.ly/2NWJiAy
    Albedo Map http://bit.ly/33upmLW
    Second Arctic Blast For The Central And Eastern U.S. Set To Arrive Sunday; Western U.S. Temperatures Remain Above Normal https://www.weather.gov/
    European GFS Model Total Snowfall http://bit.ly/2K1f91J
    Arctic Sea ice Thickness http://bit.ly/2qBokiG
    Wildfires Rage In Australian State: 'We've Simply Never Had This Number Of Fires' https://n.pr/2CrfhUn
    Worldwide Volcano News and Updates: http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
    and more




    --------------------------------------------

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MYoqJ2JmIQE

    Arctic Surge = Record November Cold - Deadly Earthquake - Mercury Transit - Largest Volcano Found?

    Run time is 11:02

    Another Arctic Surge to Deliver Record Mid-November Cold Next Week to the Plains, Midwest, South and East https://wxch.nl/36NBmtU
    Approaching cold front will ‘make it feel like fall’ in South Florida http://bit.ly/2WVsVIv
    LAST MONTH OFFICIALLY DECLARED COLDEST OCTOBER EVER IN EAST IDAHO http://bit.ly/2NQzXu9
    Frigid temperatures forecast for central Illinois Thursday night http://bit.ly/34IRMC2
    ‘Extremely hazardous’ conditions in U.P., motorists urged to stay off roads during winter storm http://bit.ly/32xtHMZ
    Lake-effect snow could bring up to 7 inches to northwest Pennsylvania http://bit.ly/2PZKWnR
    GFS Model Total Snowfall http://bit.ly/34GcG4N
    Two Arctic Blasts For Central/Eastern U.S.; Locally Heavy Snow in the Great Lakes Today https://www.weather.gov/
    Iran earthquake: Five killed and hundreds injured https://bbc.in/2NtogdX
    Pinay scientist discovers 'largest caldera' Apolaki in Benham Rise http://bit.ly/2NWl35L
    Worldwide Volcano News and Updates: http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
    Climate explained: why Mars is cold despite an atmosphere of mostly carbon dioxide http://bit.ly/32pEKrP
    On the Apparent Relationship Between Total Solar Irradiance and the Atmospheric Temperature at 1 Bar on Three Terrestrial-type Bodies http://bit.ly/2PBSCMT
    and more



  11. #6571
    Join Date
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    East Central Texas
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    Surviving the Super Grand Solar Minimum has a new blog post out:

    https://survivingthesupergrandsolarm....blogspot.com/

    Surviving the Super Grand Solar Minimum

    Friday, November 8, 2019

    Why Ice Ages?

    If you have followed my blog you have see this graphic below.



    The graphic depicts ice core data that show how cyclic and digital like ice age transitions occur. To repeat and I have talked about in multiple blogs, almost 85% or more of the time this planet has been a cold and icy one. This is a fact and an absolute fact that is impossible to discredit. But the question may remain why this occurs? Note that there are periods of short warming which we are now in and and are descending back into a cold and icy climate. This back and forth has remained a question for many years. Some think (and still do) that it is the orbit of the earth and its cyclic wobble around the sun. While this may cause climate variations, it does not cause ice ages.

    It was not until we started looking at plasma that things made much more sense than a gravity atomic power plant type of sun. The sun is actually a great ball of plasma. Strangely enough for the gravity, atomic power plant model, something was wrong. The suns surface was cooler on the surface than in it's corona. This is not possible in a gravity model. The suns internal temperature would be hugely more hot and cool off the further away you were from the sun. Only a plasma sun will cause what we are seeing with an intensely hot corona.

    So what is happening and why?

    Below is a graphic that I think explains what is causing what is happening on the sun and the coming Ice Age.



    The whole universe is made up of magnetic fields and plasma. Our universe is intensely magnetic and the current streams that cause and power plasma streams and these magnetic fields are caused by Birkeland currents. These currents flow along a twisted magnet field and cause ionization of gases that the current flows through. As you can see from the graphic above, Galaxies and everything in a galaxy is powered by these Plasma streams. This includes our sun.

    So why do we go in and out of warm and very icy and cold periods? It really comes down to the intensity of the plasma streams that power our sun. Intensive plasma streams cause the sun to warm and so does the earth. Weaker plasma streams cause the sun to go into a low glow mode and cools and so does the earth. So where does the cyclic nature come from?

    The answer lies in the fact that our spiral galaxy has a circular movement. Our sun is captured up in this movement as well as our planet and as it moves it goes through weaker and stronger plasma streams casing the sun and the earth to warm or get really cold. At the moment our sun is moving rapidly into one of these reduced plasma streams. Your silly little carbon or CO2 foot print is nothing against the movement of our galaxy unless you are some super CO2 head or something like that.

    Well that's my explanation, and is the reason I am very worried about what I see coming. Read many of my blogs about this and the presented evidence. Not only is there a super grand solar minimum coming but an ice age is just around the corner. Good timing Right?

    Cheers and keep warm
    Dennis

  12. #6572
    Join Date
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    And another new one from Surviving the Super Grand Solar Minimum

    https://survivingthesupergrandsolarm....blogspot.com/

    It Will Not Matter

    Are you a prepper? Are you a take charge type? Are you always ahead of most things? Are you the winning type? Are you really smart and educated and good looking? Are you the nicest person in your state? Are you so mean and tough that people shake from fear when you walk by?

    Well then prepare to fail.



    Is Failure an Option? If you look back in the news before all this CO2 nonsense started, scientist were worried about a coming Ice Age. It was in the news and in scientific papers. It was a worry at that time. It was on the covers of magazines. Well it was a worry until the whole climate thing was hijacked by some very evil people with their own agenda. Because of that we are heading for the greatest failure that humans have ever experienced at least in what we call the modern age. It almost looks like we have chosen to fail as we come closer and closer to that final boundary or shift into the new Ice Age which is a glaciation period of the present Ice Age we live in. Yes we live in an Ice Age, but it is that really short period of warmth that pops up from time-to-time and warms the earth.

    Stupid us believe that this most wonderful warm period is a death sentence but is actually the most productive time we have experienced in the last three hundred years.

    We ignore this knowledge and facts and instead play idiot almost child like games with nuclear weapons, war, greed. war on terror and even burn that yellow stuff we call corn in our cars!.

    While Rome burns we fiddle-faddle. The insanity is almost complete. It looks like collectively we intend to fail and fail as hard and as deep as humanly possible.

    Can we afford this? The answer is a BIG YES. We can afford to destroy everything, at least that is what it looks like. The failure will be intentional and by default. Most won't even know it is coming until it is too late.

    This wonderful little planet is actually an ice planet. As I have talked about in multiple blogs, almost 85% or more of the time this planet has been a cold and icy one. This is a fact and an absolute fact that is impossible to discredit.

    The consequences of this is that all of this (as in now) is at a turning point and that really nice CO2 warm wonderful world of plenty is ending. This ending is not something horrible at least for the earth as it has done this many times. Its just a natural thing. The problem though is that it is a train that is headed our way and we are a warm weather, food loving species that may be run over by all the cold and icy conditions that will return the once pristine unspoiled cold world back to it's other natural state.

    There are very few places for humans in this new state UNLESS they prepare for it.

    If we choose to ignore this then we choose suicide by default.

    The Train



    The consequences of this rapidly approaching train is that Europe, Russia and of course most of the US will eventually become mostly uninhabitable. Intense snow and ice and arctic temperatures will be the problem. So the question is how can you live in an area where where there is no food and would take enormous amounts of energy to live? The answer is you could not no matter how macho you are or how good a prepper you think you are. You can't prep for a cold lasting thousands or more years. During an ice age the earth looses a huge amount of rain (water and water vapor) which is stored up in the ice and snow.

    So all of us human are asleep. We are dreaming of all sorts of things. Endless good crops, CO2 killing us all, the endless glory of war and the huge profits made from killing each other. The world has become completely corrupted and the globalist are pushing their one world agenda

    Soon and very soon all this will end. It will FAIL in a huge catastrophic explosion as everything collapses.

    Is it hopeless as I seem to have described it? Yes it is from an individual standpoint. The world must wake up, It must get ready and prepare for what is coming, and it seems that is not being done.

    So what am I planning on doing? While I am on the edge of of the ???? no mans toss of the dice zone I am going to wait it out but prepare to move much more south perhaps deep into Mexico. That could be a dangerous move but so is freezing and starving.

    Unless the world wakes up, it is my opinion and my alone that it will have to be a community thing and conditions will be very tough and dangerous. As in prepare or move if needed as a community.



    Well so much for all the doom. One thing though is that I actually believe all the above will happen. Weather report here in Central Texas this coming first of the week is the possibility of ice or snow! I absolutely hate the cold and winter is coming!

    Recommendations
    Keep your eyes and ears open. Make your plans and plan wisely.

    Cheers and wishing you the best of of everything from Central Texas
    Dennis

  13. #6573
    Quote Originally Posted by TxGal View Post
    Interesting article - author seems to suggest the USDA is not reporting low yields accurately :-)


    https://agfax.com/2019/11/07/usda-re...ions-for-corn/

    USDA Report Cheat Sheet – Expectations for Corn
    November 7, 2019
    By Markham Dossett, Talon Asset Management, LLC, Waco, Texas

    I have spent the last two days talking to every expert I know about the corn, soybean, wheat, and rice situation.

    First, no one is expecting a 3-5 bushel drop in corn yield on Friday. It is hard to believe that after 11.2 million acres of Prevent Plant, an extremely late crop, and then 3 hard freezes and a lot of snow in October, that USDA would not drop yield by 5 Bushels per acre.

    I have talked to Steve Freed, chief grain analyst at ADMIS , Brian Grady at Pro Farmer, and other professional grain traders and merchandizers. They all believe that USDA will be very reluctant to slash the real yields now.

    We get the final USDA report on the 2019 crop in January. At that time they may show some additional abandoned acres, but probably not the increase that my research indicates is warranted.

    Most of those men I just mentioned believe that we will not get a real accounting of our true grain situation until the March 30, 2020, NASS Stocks report. All this wet grain will be dried down and some will have been ruled unusable; only then we will see that we have a shortfall.

    Next we must consider that we are very close to signing a grain deal with China. However, because the Chile meeting was cancelled, both countries are trying to pick a new meeting location and date. All the political wrangling and maneuvering may delay this yet again by a few weeks.

    Therefore I see little hope that December corn contracts will see any measurable rally at this time. So all holders of December corn should be deciding whether they want to roll to March contracts after the USDA report tomorrow.

    Of course, I could be wrong, it is possible (but not probable) that USDA could drop yield by more than expected and Trump could announce a signing deal with XI in 10 days. If so December corn would rally over $4.00 and set off a round of short covering that would take us to $4.10- 4.20.

    At this time most people believe we will stay in the $3.70 -$4.00 range on December corn.

    When I question USDA on their numbers over the last 10 years , they make it perfectly clear that they are not putting out these reports for farmers or elevators, they are creating them for the Office of Management and Budget, and for Congress.

    We have another Major cold front with snow blowing into the Midwest today. It was seven degrees F in Valentine, Nebraska this morning.

    This crop is getting smaller, we all know that but USDA will not report it.

    WASDE trade estimates. (see link for the charts)
    China being complicit in the illegal ring selling Chinese parts as US made parts to the US military through a company called Adventura Technologies, Inc. (?) who got busted by the FEDS yesterday- may put a put a crimp in the sale of any grain to China. I hope so.

    Edited to add: New York company accused of selling Chinese-made security equipment to U.S. military

    New York — A Long Island, New York, company is accused of illegally importing Chinese-made security equipment and then selling it to U.S. agencies. Federal agents swarmed the facility Thursday morning. Now seven current and former employees are facing charges.

    According to the criminal complaint, since 2006, Aventura Technologies operated a scheme where over 1,000 shipments of network security software and hardware from China were relabeled as American and then sold to the federal government. That includes surveillance systems bought by the U.S. Army, Air Force, Department of Energy and other U.S. agencies. The company allegedly made nearly $90 million.

    U.S. Attorney Richard Donoghue called the fraud scheme a national security threat.

    more at link: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-yor...o-us-military/

    Selling our food survival off to enemies foreign is a security threat too, IMHO. Keep every grain, we'll certainly need it.
    Last edited by Seeker22; 11-09-2019 at 08:43 AM.
    Don't be dismayed by goodbyes. A farewell is necessary before you can meet again. And meeting again, after moments or lifetimes, is certain for those who are friends. --Richard Bach

  14. #6574
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
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    4,219
    Weather-related crop problems in the EU, also, not just here in the US:

    https://www.envirolink.org/2019/11/0...maize-harvest/


    Heavy rains slow EU winter crop sowings, disrupt maize harvest

    Posted on November 8, 2019 by EnviroLink Editor | 0 Comments


    LONDON (Reuters) – Heavy rains have delayed grain sowings in parts of the European Union with the situation particularly severe in Britain where they could trigger a significant shift to spring planted crops.

    FILE PHOTO – Combines harvest wheat in a field in near Sarmzalino, Macedonia July 13, 2018. REUTERS/Ognen Teofilovski

    The rains have also disrupted the harvesting of maize and sugar beet, adding to the challenge faced by farmers who are trying to get winter crops planted.

    “Overall it is estimated that wheat plantings are just about 40-50% complete in the UK. We still have a bit of time but the weather forecast is far from ideal,” said Ben Bodart, Director at CRM AgriCommodities.

    Bodart noted the last time that Britain had significant planting issues was for the 2013/14 campaign when the final wheat area fell by nearly 19%.

    UK wheat futures on ICE have been rising sharply for 2020/21 crop positions with the Nov. 2020 contract climbing to a peak of 160.00 pounds a ton on Thursday, up 10% from a month earlier.

    “Some farmers are already considering rolling their 2019 harvest over to sell it next season,” Bodart said.

    In France, winter barley is most at risk of losing area because of its earlier planting period compared with wheat.

    However, the main threat from rain was to the ongoing maize harvest, with potential for disease in late-gathered crop, analysts and traders said.

    “The rain has hampered winter barley sowing quite a bit in France and the UK, and there will be some sowing intentions that won’t be fulfilled,” Benoit Fayaud of crop analysts Strategie Grains said.

    “It’s also slowing soft wheat sowing but there’s a longer window than for winter barley.”

    French farmers had sown 67% of the expected soft wheat area as of Nov. 4, with sowing now eight days behind the average of the past five years, according to farming agency FranceAgriMer.

    Winter barley sowing was 81% complete and also eight days behind the five-year average.

    German winter grains sowings have also been delayed.

    “It is the winter grain sowings on the harvested maize and sugar fields which are being delayed, earlier sowings went very well,” one German grains analyst said.

    “Currently it is not a very serious problem but it is making estimates of the winter wheat planted area for next summer’s crop difficult as we do not know if some farmers will be compelled to move to planting more spring grains.”

    Poland also had a rainy autumn, but with enough sunny days allowing farmers to sow winter crops, said Wojtek Sabaranski of analysts Sparks Polska.

    “Polish farmers have generally managed to plant winter crops in a timely manner,” Sabaranski said. “Warm weather helped establish winter crops already sown and enabled maize harvesting to run at a pretty good pace.”

    Reporting by Nigel Hunt in London, Gus Trompiz in Paris and Michael Hogan in Hamburg; Editing bby Giles Elgood

  15. #6575
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
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    East Central Texas
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    https://www.sott.net/article/423562-...outh-Northeast

    Temperatures plummet from Midwest to South, Northeast

    ABC News
    Fri, 08 Nov 2019 14:47 UTC



    Heavy rain and snow stretched from Michigan, where drivers had to deal with icy roads, to Pennsylvania, where snow blanketed parts of the state.

    Run time is 2:06


  16. #6576
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Location
    West Virginia
    Posts
    37,945
    Locally farmers are just now harvesting their corn crops and there is many 1000s of acres of various crops and how much there is I have no idea, but at this point and time with whats happening in this country turning it into fuel for cars and trucks would be nuts.

  17. #6577
    Join Date
    May 2001
    Location
    S.W. Mich. near South Bend, IN
    Posts
    6,539
    A dumb question, but is the corn that farmers grow for Ethanol also food grade corn?
    (I suppose it could be ground and used in some manner?)

  18. #6578
    Quote Originally Posted by Michiana MaJo View Post
    A dumb question, but is the corn that farmers grow for Ethanol also food grade corn?
    (I suppose it could be ground and used in some manner?)
    Generally, yes. I don't know the specific rules, but I don't see any reasons damaged/moldy corn couldn't be used for ethanol. But in general, all cone grown in the US *can* be used for human consumption, as long as it is itherwise clean. Corn isn't very high in protein, and can cause a serious nutritional disease if eaten alone (unless it is processed with lye or lime into hominy or parched corn) but it definitely can be eaten by humans.

    Summerthyme

  19. #6579
    When I was a little kid, there was field corn and garden corn. Dad used to plant Golden Bantam in our garden. He never planted any other type. The farm across the road from us planted field corn, some to mature and store in the corn crib for the pigs and the poultry and some to cut green and have chopped and blown into the silo to ferment for winter feed along with baled alfalfa hay and I think a huge hayloft full of loose field hay as well. These farmers had four plow/wagon horses but got a tractor when I was quite young. They used both tractor and horses until they stopped farming and sold the land. All the stuff they raised was for their small dairy herd, not just those horses and pigs.

    I was told back then that one could eat field corn but it had to be picked and eaten when it was still white or barely changing to yellow, as it was too tough and tasteless when it matured. I don't know what variety of corn that farm neighbor grew.
    Last edited by Martinhouse; 11-09-2019 at 06:23 PM.

  20. #6580
    Quote Originally Posted by Martinhouse View Post
    When I was a little kid, there was field corn and garden corn. Dad used to plant Golden Bantam in our garden. He never planted any other type. The farm across the road from us planted field corn, some to mature and store in the corn crib for the pigs and the poultry and some to cut green and have chopped and blown into the silo to ferment for winter feed along with baled alfalfa hay and I think a huge hayloft full of loose field hay as well. These farmers had four plow/wagon horses but got a tractor when I was quite young. They used both tractor and horses until they stopped farming and sold the land. All the stuff they raised was for their small dairy herd, not just those horses and pigs.

    I was told back then that one could eat field corn but it had to be picked and eaten when it was still white or barely changing to yellow, as it was too tough and tasteless when it matured. I don't know what variety of corn that farm neighbor grew.
    You can only really consume sweet corn when you press a kernel and the liquid is milky in color- that is when it is in its peak state for consumption. This used to be only a week or two - now a little longer due to genetic engineering and cross breeding. But once that is over then its pretty much only good for animals or ethanol. Ethanol corn is now different than human consumption corn see http://www.syngenta-us.com/corn/enogen/. We should be using MJ for ethanol not corn - it takes little to no pesticide or herbicides, and far less fertilizer.

  21. #6581
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJds1efX9nE

    Record Cold Descends On The US & Canada Experiences Deep Freeze - Finish Ice Balls - Mercury Transit

    Run time is 30:51

    Cold air from Siberia bringing record frigid temperatures to much of U.S. https://cbsn.ws/2Q1WsyY
    Winter is coming: Snow, record cold will hit Toledo on Monday http://bit.ly/34JH1j0
    First accumulating snow of the season followed by near-record cold http://bit.ly/33zcGUa
    Near-Record Cold Gives Way to Chilly, Pleasant Saturday http://bit.ly/2p8gay0
    Chance of snow for San Antonio area early next week, no accumulations expected, NWS says http://bit.ly/2p8gn4g
    Snow Expected Before Next Week's Record-Breaking Cold http://bit.ly/2QaeXkZ
    Knoxville could see snow, single digit temps as early as Tuesday http://bit.ly/33Cfu2I
    Treacherous travel in Alberta ahead of bitter cold snap http://bit.ly/2K7Dcw4
    GFS Model Total Snowfall US http://bit.ly/2CqT9cJ
    Snow in north and mid Wales making roads 'hazardous' https://bbc.in/32DnP5f
    'I have never seen anything like this': Mysterious ice eggs wash up on beach in Finland http://bit.ly/2K7DjYw
    November 9, 2019, ~ Daytime Eruption ~ Popocatepetl Volcano, Mexico http://bit.ly/2NSfpBu
    Worldwide Volcano News and Updates: http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
    Sheveluch LiveCam http://bit.ly/2keTUQs
    More than 11,000 scientists issue fresh warning: Earth faces a climate emergency https://nbcnews.to/33B5lnc
    Alliance Of World Scientists..LMFAO http://bit.ly/2WYaHX7
    World Scientists’ Warning of a Climate Emergency http://bit.ly/2WLq1pG
    and more



  22. #6582
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    https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/we...t-14820408.php

    Chance of snow for San Antonio area early next week, no accumulations expected, NWS says
    By Priscilla Aguirre Updated 9:07 am CST, Saturday, November 9, 2019

    UPDATE: 9 a.m.

    A mix of rain and freezing rain is expected for the Hill Country Monday night and Tuesday morning with little to no accumulations expected for the San Antonio area, according to the National Weather Service.

    In an update Saturday morning the weather service said the main concern for Tuesday and Wednesday are very cold temperatures, gusty winds, and low wind chills.

    ORIGINAL STORY CONTINUES:

    Those winter coats that have come in handy lately will really be needed early next week.

    There is a slight chance for snow late Monday night into early Tuesday, according to the National Weather Service. Yes, you read that right. The San Antonio area may experience snow in November.

    NWS metrologist Brett Williams, however, said the confidence level for a snow event is low but said to expect a freeze and low temperatures in the 30s.

    "Snow forecasts are tricky as there are a lot of uncertainties," he said.
    On Monday night, the NWS is predicting the coming cold front could produce freezing temperatures and showers, which may lead to wet snowflakes Tuesday morning.

    Rain showers behind the front may briefly transition to a rain/snow mix, but this will be dependent on how quickly the cold air arrives and how long rain lasts behind the cold front, according to the NWS.

    Williams said the strong arctic, cold front will be in the area early Monday morning, bringing rain and possible thunderstorms with it. At around midnight on Tuesday, the temperatures will be in the low 30s and will be close to freezing at around 5 a.m.

    If it snows, Williams said it will be mixed in with rain and will possibly be in San Antonio, primarily in the hill country, at around 3 a.m. to about noon on Tuesday.

    "The chances of snow should become more clear as it gets closer," Williams said.

    "We just have to wait and see but people can expect some temperatures that are pretty dang cold early next week."

    Warmer temperatures are expected to return to San Antonio by Wednesday, Williams said.

  23. #6583
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Martinhouse, how are the preps for the winter storm going at your place? Will the guy show up in time to get the last of the chicken run taskers done?

    This is our last day ahead of the cold front to get outside chores wrapped up. Still clearing some brush along fence lines, putting down ryegrass seed for winter grazing, but there's not a whole lot that we can get into with so short a window. The list of things to do is endless, but we're chipping away at it.

    So far not a whole lot has been posted on the GSM today, Sundays are usually a little quiet. I'll pop in and out today as we take breaks from outside work.

  24. #6584
    TxGal, don't worry if the pickings are slim on Sundays. Goodness knows you find plenty of articles and podcasts for us as it is.

    It looks like the guy can finish up the chicken pen stuff today and my big must-do chore is draining the garden hose and then piling all the insulation (20 cheapo pillows from Walmart, double-bagged in leaf bags, two to a bag) on my outdoor faucet and then covering the whole pile with a tarp and weighing it down with T-posts, the big heavy coils of garden hose, and a couple of concrete blocks. This faucet is on the southeast corner of a big shed and so is fairly well protected from wind, and cold, but I've had frozen lines before and I hope to never deal with that problem again. Tomorrow I'll turn the light on in my super-well-insulated pump house.

    If I have time, there are a few more smaller things I hope to do before then end of the day. Tomorrow I hope to get my kitchen cleaned up so I will feel safe using my space heaters.

    The forecast is now saying rain ALL DAY tomorrow, so I won't have a chance to do any little final outdoor chores after today. And if tomorrow night's temp drops before the rain ends, there will be ice and big problems for me here if/when the power goes out. I'll have a heck of a time keeping warm just with heating my big water pots on the camp stoves out in the greenhouse.

    Then it will all be a matter of enduring the next several months of misery because I hate winter so much.

  25. #6585
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Quote Originally Posted by Martinhouse View Post
    TxGal, don't worry if the pickings are slim on Sundays. Goodness knows you find plenty of articles and podcasts for us as it is.

    It looks like the guy can finish up the chicken pen stuff today and my big must-do chore is draining the garden hose and then piling all the insulation (20 cheapo pillows from Walmart, double-bagged in leaf bags, two to a bag) on my outdoor faucet and then covering the whole pile with a tarp and weighing it down with T-posts, the big heavy coils of garden hose, and a couple of concrete blocks. This faucet is on the southeast corner of a big shed and so is fairly well protected from wind, and cold, but I've had frozen lines before and I hope to never deal with that problem again. Tomorrow I'll turn the light on in my super-well-insulated pump house.

    If I have time, there are a few more smaller things I hope to do before then end of the day. Tomorrow I hope to get my kitchen cleaned up so I will feel safe using my space heaters.

    The forecast is now saying rain ALL DAY tomorrow, so I won't have a chance to do any little final outdoor chores after today. And if tomorrow night's temp drops before the rain ends, there will be ice and big problems for me here if/when the power goes out. I'll have a heck of a time keeping warm just with heating my big water pots on the camp stoves out in the greenhouse.

    Then it will all be a matter of enduring the next several months of misery because I hate winter so much.
    Sounds like you've got a good handle on things!

    Our forecast seems to be changing a bit, I don't want to jinx us, though. I've seen just gentle rain forecasted for most of Monday, but other forecasts say thunderstorms. Two nights look to be in the low 20s...ugh...and 3 in the 30s...ugh. Friday things are supposed to go back to more of a normal pattern. But these forecasts change at least daily, so I'm not trusting it all that much.

    I'm with you...the saving grace so far has been that we've not been stuck in winter temps, just have had to deal with the swings....but they've been deep low swings, and it's only November, for heaven's sake!

  26. #6586
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    SW IA
    Posts
    162
    We are supposed to have snow tonight and tomorrow windy and cold with wind chills around 0░.

    Finshing up a few things today and then done!

  27. #6587
    Flame, I think a lot of us are finishing up a few things today. After reading your forecast, maybe I should stop complaining about mine! (:

    My brother and his wife are here visiting. Next weekend or soon after, they will be going back to Cedar Rapids. By the time they are back home, they might be wishing they could turn around and come right back!

  28. #6588
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
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    SW IA
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    162
    Quote Originally Posted by Martinhouse View Post
    Flame, I think a lot of us are finishing up a few things today. After reading your forecast, maybe I should stop complaining about mine! (:

    My brother and his wife are here visiting. Next weekend or soon after, they will be going back to Cedar Rapids. By the time they are back home, they might be wishing they could turn around and come right back!

    lol, luckily, it is supposed to get back into the 40's by the end of the week, thank goodness.

  29. #6589
    Well, my chicken pen is finished for now. Only problem is there are a lot of nail holes in the used metal on that "new" roof and I didn't have time to fill them. I bought a couple boxes of little short chubby screws to fill the holes. I was told to just tar the roof, but as I answered, screws don't shrink and have to be redone every year or two.

    If there are breaks in the rain tomorrow, I may have to get up top and fix one section of the roof so at least the roost area is free of leaks. I can't have those chickens getting wet during the day before a big temperature drop. If only the rain would hold off one more day! Or at least quit before the freezing temps hit.

    But now, there are no longer the gaps to let in cold west or north wind and the roost itself is partially enclosed within the pen. And there are tons of leaves out there and more to come.

    My garden hose and outdoor faucet are put to sleep for the winter and there is a new light bulb in the pump house. All the leaves were blown off the roof of my house and my big shed and are in piles to put in the pen next Saturday. We ran out of time today.

    This young man is a mechanic and he insisted on checking the fluid levels and the belts and hoses in my truck today. He intends to replace some sort of hose soon, but he said it's nothing urgent yet.

    So I'm as ready as I can be for the next two awful days of cold. But I still have to say...

    I HATE WINTER!!!!!

  30. #6590
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    SW IA
    Posts
    162
    sounds like you are doing just fine Martinhouse, we just had a winter weather advisory called for tonight into tomorrow..sounds like a homemade chili day tomorrow..😁

  31. #6591
    We've got a winter storm watch out, with the possibility of 6-12" of snow tomorrow through tomorrow night. We've started leaving the cattle in the barn at night, which means routine chores have expanded from maybe 90 minutes a day to around 3-4 hours. Sigh...

    We've got a friend coming with his tractor and loader to clean the freestall barn in the morning. Once its cleaned and bedded, we'll be weaning calves and moving them to that barn, which will solve some of the giant mess in the big barn right now! 20 loose big calves (their mothers are all tied) can get into more trouble and make more messes! We had to move all the corn I had hanging (i feed my horses a little ear corn in the cold weather for calories and heat generation), and then "hide" several bushels of apples for the horses in the stairwell to keep it out of reach of the busy little buggers!

    My apples finally got pressed into cider, and we're really happy with it. We pressed 5 bushels, and got 15 gallons of cider, that smells and tastes like we're drinking liquid essence of autumn apples! It cost 50 cents a gallon, and they must have a darned good press, because that was a good yield.

    I canned up 10 gallons today. I'm planning on putting 3 gallons into a carboy and making spiced apple wine, and I'll can up the rest tomorrow. The only thing left of the harvest processing is the several bushels of tomatoes in the freezer... hoping to get those done soon. It will feel good to put all the canning stuff away!... just in time to start messing up the ,kitchen with holiday cooking and baking!

    Winter is coming in quite early... i think we're ready!

    Summerthyme

  32. #6592
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    SW IA
    Posts
    162
    wow, summerthyme, sounds like you have a very chaotic barn right now 😀

    and that is way too much snow for me, I hope the weather cuts you all a little slack..

  33. #6593
    Thanks, Summerthyme, and everyone, really, for sharing winter forecasts, conditions, and activities here. Difficult as it's going to be for me here, knowing what's going on all over the country helps me keep my situation in perspective.

  34. #6594
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Thanks to everyone for posting their weather forecasts/events, it does help!

    Martinhouse, it really sounds great how well things are going with you now. You've found a great guy! We have a bit of that roofing on our little duck house. Options we've seen are to get those roofing screws that have a neoprene washer with them, or just put a bead of caulk in the little hole...there is roofing caulk, or I'd guess any window/door caulk would work, too.

    We are now under a wind advisory for tomorrow, for gusts 35-40 mph with the cold front coming in. Just ick. Should be here around 2pm tomorrow...immediate 20 degree temp drop, strong winds, rain and possibly thunderstorms...more ick, sleet overnight. Just ICK!!

    I hate winter.

  35. #6595
    TxGal, I just use a screw that fits tight. That way I can install and forget. No rubber, tar or silicone to deteriorate and need replacing after a time.

    I've mended a pot this way, too and it never leaks. I don't cook with it any more as I have an electric stove, but I'd use it on the woodstove or on a gas burner. Come to think of it, I can use it on my camp stoves, too. Hmmm. I've had bugs drill tiny round holes in Tupperware storage bins and tiny screws fill those holes, too. Ditto raccoon bites on some Tupperware lids.

    I'm glad I'm not the only one who hates winter but...

    I HATE WINTER!!!!!

    (:

  36. #6596
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
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    East Central Texas
    Posts
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    Makes sense, and I'm getting great ideas from you!

    Joys, our weather guys are now saying we're getting a 'Blue Norther' tomorrow....that's about the worst type of strong, rapid cold front from the north. We got caught in one just after we bought our place. We were outside, far from our truck or decent shelter and had to hunker down under overhanging trees and under a tarp with our old black lab. It was bad.

    Jeez, it's only November....

  37. #6597
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
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    https://www.sott.net/article/423670-...-potato-yields

    Weather likely to cause drop in US potato yields

    Astrid Van Den Broek
    Fresh Plaza
    Wed, 06 Nov 2019 11:04 UTC



    Weather issues in both the upper Midwest and Idaho mean potatoes could be in short supply this year.

    In the Midwest, Minnesota has experienced a number of issues that could cause its volume of potatoes to be lower this season. "We got a late planting—so Wisconsin, Minnesota and North Dakota—and that knocked some yield off of the crop," says Rett Landers of Northern Star Co. in Minneapolis, Minn. He says that while the growing season went well, harvest was wet which also caused issues. "So I'd say in the upper Midwest, the yield will be off probably five per cent," he adds.

    North Dakota saw cold temperatures that affected harvest as well. "There were a number of acres that didn't get harvested before the cold weather hit. I think the red volume will be affected there," Landers says, adding that Minnesota's yields will likely be off between three to five percent.

    Multiple weather events

    Minnesota also saw a delayed harvest due to warm weather and then rains also further affected the ability to harvest. "Most people got done with harvest but it took a longer time because of the warm and wet weather and then the cold weather at the end of harvest," says Landers.

    Over in Idaho, a leading potato growing region, a significant freeze hit mid-October. "The crews were working 20 hours day easy to get the potatoes up and out in Idaho," says Rick Greener of Greener Produce LLC in Ketchum, Idaho. "There's talk of Idaho having short supplies in May and June and people are worried."

    Some estimates are that yields could be down anywhere from 10 to 30 percent.

    Not surprisingly, pricing is already affected, though the holiday push may have also begun. "We're seeing increases weekly on pricing already. Freight pricing is also coming on with holiday pressure," says Greener.

  38. #6598
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
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    https://www.sott.net/article/423673-...now-in-Kashmir

    35 % of apple orchards heavily damaged by 5-feet deep snow in Kashmir


    The Tribune (India)
    Mon, 11 Nov 2019 11:26 UTC


    Snowfall in Kashmir damages apple orchards

    Kashmir's biggest economy — Rs8,000 crore apple industry — received a major jolt, as first snowfall of the season ravaged the apple orchards across the Valley.

    Preliminary reports suggest that the orchards have received "heavy to huge damages" as foliage-laden trees got uprooted or cracked under the weight of 3 to 5-feet snow.

    "As per initial reports, apple orchards suffered 30 to 35 per cent damage. Final figures will be available only when officials of our department and the revenue department will visit the orchards," said Aijaz Ahmad Bhat, director, horticulture, Kashmir.



    Huge damage to the orchards had been reported from Baramulla and Shopian districts while Kulgam, Kupwara, and Budgam also suffered heavy damage, Bhat said. "Pruning of apple trees save them from breakage due to snow in winter season. The early snowfall had caused damage because foliage of trees retained snow," he said.

    Apple growers with their family members were seen wailing in the orchards, as they failed to protect the trees from uprooting amid continuing snowfall.

    "It is a catastrophe. We have not seen devastation of this magnitude in apple orchards earlier," said Javaid Ahmad of north Kashmir's Baramulla district. Ahmad said a majority of the trees in his 60-kanal orchard were uprooted. "I had taken Rs10 lakh loan from an apple trader in New Delhi, for which I have to send him 2,500 apple boxes next year. I don't know how to pay him back now," he said.

    The apple growers have been demanding implementation of crop insurance scheme as changing climatic conditions over the years has adversely affected apple production.

    However, Bhat said implementation of the scheme got delayed because the insurance companies were demanding a premium, which was neither acceptable to the government nor to the apple growers. "We are working on the crop insurance scheme," he said.

    At least 7 lakh families are directly engaged with the apple industry in Kashmir, which annually produces nearly 20 lakh metric tonnes of fresh fruits and 22 lakh metric tonnes of dry fruits.

    The industry suffered huge losses this year following the Central government's decision of August 5 to abrogate Article 370, which provided special status to J&K.

    An official said magnitude of the damage was too high, which was why, it was not announced publicly, as it could have stirred panic among the apple growers.

    At several places, people had not plucked the apples owing to the fear of coming under attack of suspected militants. "I am yet to pluck apples for nearly 300 boxes. Snow played a leveller and we are no more economically rich now," said Ghulam Hassan of south Kashmir's Kulgam district.

    Kashmir is facing major economic crisis as shutdown against the abrogation of Article 370 continued for the 95th day. The export of apple has witnessed a nearly 50 per cent dip since August 5.

  39. #6599
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    East Central Texas
    Posts
    4,219
    Hope everyone is set for the cold front coming in if you're in its path!

    It was forecasted to come in here around 2-3pm, now it's moved up to noon so it may be earlier.

    We'll be taking care of all the livestock in just a while, and getting set for bitter cold, strong gusty winds up to 40 mph, and wintery mix. The forecast keeps changing, and not for the better!

  40. #6600
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    Location
    SW IA
    Posts
    162
    Took the garbage out today..we didnt get only maybe an inch of snow, thank goodness. But the wind chill right now is -7░.

    It's a good day to stay in and read.

    Oh, and tonight it will get down to 2░. Wind chill to be determined at a later date..lol.

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