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The Grand Solar Minimum
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  1. #201
    Join Date
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    British Columbia, Canada
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    http://myzipmail.com/enote/Details/J...1-50b89a376e1d

    John Casey video - 29 mins..... NASA scientist & Space & Science Research Corp......rebuts all the Global Warming morons.

    I took out the "s" and it didn't post.
    True North Strong and Free

  2. #202
    Last edited by von Koehler; 03-08-2018 at 04:04 AM.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  3. #203
    Quote Originally Posted by Laurane View Post
    http://myzipmail.com/enote/Details/J...1-50b89a376e1d

    John Casey video - 29 mins..... NASA scientist & Space & Science Research Corp......rebuts all the Global Warming morons.

    I took out the "s" and it didn't post.
    A trick I learned about posting youtube videos; copy and paste a non-functioning link into your browser. Click on your browser to go there. Often the copied
    youtube address is different from the original URL. Youtube links seem to get corrupted the more generations it's copied out from the original. Use the actual URL from the youtube video.

    This forum's software doesn't like having "s" in https: so remove it from both images and videos.

    Hope this helps.

    von Koehler
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  4. #204
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  5. #205
    Melodi, is the storm past yet? How bad was it? What would you do differently [or the same] to get prepared?

    Based on historical accounts during last Little Ice Age, Ireland suffered through torrential rains during the growing season.

    von Koehler
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  6. #206
    Storm leads to regrettable loss of stock on ‘Greenfield Dairy Farm’
    Sylvester Phelan
    Mar 6, 2018, 11:39am

    Storm leads to regrettable loss of stock on ‘Greenfield Dairy Farm’
    The ‘Greenfield Dairy Farm’ has unfortunately lost a number of animals after it was severely hit by last week’s arctic weather conditions.



    The farm in question, which uses a ‘green-field’ format (with outdoor cubicles) suffered the loss of two cows and six calves during the extreme snow and sub-zero temperatures.

    Releasing a statement on the issue, Teagasc said: “Like many farms in the country the ‘Greenfield Dairy Farm’ was impacted by the extreme weather on Thursday night, with snow and wind disrupting normal operations.

    “Enormous efforts were made on Friday, with additional help brought onto the farm to support the farm manager and staff, to get cows milked and to care for the welfare of the cows and calves.

    The staff ensured that all cows were milked each day and that all animals were provided with adequate feed and water, which is the main animal welfare priority in such situations.

    “The practice on this farm over the years has been to milk cows once a day during the month of February. This was achieved each day during the extreme weather conditions over the last week.”

    The statement added that twice-a-day milking, which normally begins on the farm in March, has since been started.

    “Unfortunately, two cows and six calves from the herd of 365 cows were lost during the period of the [Met Eireann] Status Red weather warning on the farm.

    An investigation to determine the causes of the animals’ deaths is ongoing.

    “The best technical advice has been provided to the development and operation of this farm since it was established in 2009. The focus has always been to operate a sustainable and profitable system, which can only be achieved with good animal welfare.”

    The statement pointed to the statistics of cow mortality and morbidity over the last eight years, noting that these prove that the farm has an “excellent animal welfare record”.
    “The weather conditions last Thursday night were unprecedented and caused enormous hardship on many farms at one of the most critical times of the year.

    “The performance of the ‘Greenfield Dairy Farm’ to-date has always been critically analysed and a detailed analysis of the impact of Storm Emma, and the associated snow storm, will be carried out. This will inform how best to prepare and react to such an event should it ever occur again.”
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  7. #207
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  8. #208
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  9. #209
    The Storm has passed, there are still about 17,000 households without water and Dublin may be under nighttime water restrictions for months; the storm destroyed a lot of old pipes and they are simply spewing water until they can be fixed.

    I am not sure what we would do much differently next time; 2010 was really much worse here at the house, husband was gone but we had a college student staying here and he was able to keep things going for two weeks; thankfully he didn't have to take the horses to the river for water (very dangerous) as we didn't lose power than either but the pond was so frozen he couldn't break it with an axe, this time we could.

    Many parts of Ireland got it MUCH WORSE than we did, we just were in a lucky pocket that only got a few inches of snow enough to make things pretty and block the laneway for two days; but we already had plenty of turf, coal, wood, water, and food for people and animals.

    Next time I would rather have more hay and horse feed, but hay was very scarce this year due to bad weather in the Fall; and Mosey seemed to enjoy the barley mash supplemented with various kitchen stuff like apples, carrots, a few oats for warmth etc.

    I would have like to have had more water, in case things went on for two weeks like they did for some people (some remote villages and farmsteads are still cut off from snow in the higher elevations) and did for us in 2010; but overall I think things went pretty well except for husband being trapped in Dublin and I'm not sure being trapped in a nice hotel is really that big a deal; we always have contigency plans for him to ditch the luggage and walk home (would take him between one to three days, on day on a bike if he could find one) via the back roads.

    That is more for things like a nuclear war or another sudden disaster that left Ireland with no real transportation; much safer to ride things out indoors during snow.

    And "wet years" are a big problem in Ireland even without a Solar Minimum; we have had a number of what I call "Years without a Summer" where it stays about 55 degrees all "Summer" long and rains every day for months; we get a few nice days in the Spring and a few hot days in the Fall (hot being 80 degrees) when the same wind pattern hits from the East that caused the blizzard but in the Summer or Fall it brings up warm air from Spain and causes windy, warm days for a short period.

    I've got a book that has some of the "farming annals" from the 5th through 12th centuries that were kept by monastic centers and you get the idea that Ireland's weather can be ANYTHING; from "and it that year, Winter never came but rain destroyed the harvests and many people and cattle sickened and died" or "that year the snows came to most parts in the Fall and did not release their grip until March; many men and cattle died..."

    In many ways, the worst years are those "warmer" (as in 40 to 60 degrees) years were the worst in terms of sickness and death; because it never got cold enough to kill the germs and that pattern almost always comes with lots of rain; which can make planting nearly impossible in waterlogged fields and then destroy harvests (and hay) if it continues in the Fall.

    We had our local large Country Fair canceled two years in a row recently from severe flooding during such Fall Rains; they finally moved the site from where it had been for nearly 40 years because one more washout and it would probably have been canceled forever due to lost revenue.

    In the mid-2000's, we had a few Summers that were quite warm and dry; we sat outside with Sangeria toasting "Global Warming" but we haven't seen that for years; just those few glorious days in the Spring and Fall most years.
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  10. #210
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  11. #211
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  12. #212
    http://www.spaceweather.com/archive....h=03&year=2018

    SOLAR WIND, INCOMING: A stream of solar wind is expected to brush Earth's magnetic field on March 8th. The gaseous material is flowing from a northern hole in the sun's atmosphere. Although much of the windy stream will sail north of our planet, its grazing effect may nevertheless spark bright auroras around the Arctic circle.

    THE WORSENING COSMIC RAY SITUATION: Cosmic rays are bad–and they're getting worse. That's the conclusion of a new paper just published in the research journal Space Weather. The authors, led by Prof. Nathan Schwadron of the University of New Hampshire, show that radiation from deep space is dangerous and intensifying faster than previously predicted.



    The story begins four years ago when Schwadron and colleagues first sounded the alarm about cosmic rays. Analyzing data from the Cosmic Ray Telescope for the Effects of Radiation (CRaTER) instrument onboard NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO), they found that cosmic rays in the Earth-Moon system were peaking at levels never before seen in the Space Age. The worsening radiation environment, they pointed out, was a potential peril to astronauts, curtailing how long they could safely travel through space.

    This figure from their original 2014 paper shows the number of days a 30-year old male astronaut flying in a spaceship with 10 g/cm2 of aluminum shielding could go before hitting NASA-mandated radiation limits:



    In the 1990s, the astronaut could spend 1000 days in interplanetary space. In 2014 … only 700 days. "That's a huge change," says Schwadron.

    Galactic cosmic rays come from outside the solar system. They are a mixture of high-energy photons and sub-atomic particles accelerated toward Earth by supernova explosions and other violent events in the cosmos. Our first line of defense is the sun: The sun's magnetic field and solar wind combine to create a porous 'shield' that fends off cosmic rays attempting to enter the solar system. The shielding action of the sun is strongest during Solar Maximum and weakest during Solar Minimum–hence the 11-year rhythm of the mission duration plot above.

    The problem is, as the authors note in their new paper, the shield is weakening: "Over the last decade, the solar wind has exhibited low densities and magnetic field strengths, representing anomalous states that have never been observed during the Space Age. As a result of this remarkably weak solar activity, we have also observed the highest fluxes of cosmic rays."

    Back in 2014, Schwadron et al used a leading model of solar activity to predict how bad cosmic rays would become during the next Solar Minimum, now expected in 2019-2020. "Our previous work suggested a ~ 20% increase of dose rates from one solar minimum to the next," says Schwadron. "In fact, we now see that actual dose rates observed by CRaTER in the last 4 years exceed the predictions by ~ 10%, showing that the radiation environment is worsening even more rapidly than we expected." In this plot bright green data points show the recent excess:



    The data Schwadron et al have been analyzing come from CRaTER on the LRO spacecraft in orbit around the Moon, which is point-blank exposed to any cosmic radiation the sun allows to pass. Here on Earth, we have two additional lines of defense: the magnetic field and atmosphere of our planet. Both mitigate cosmic rays.

    But even on Earth the increase is being felt. Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus have been launching space weather balloons to the stratosphere almost weekly since 2015. Sensors onboard those balloons show a 13% increase in radiation (X-rays and gamma-rays) penetrating our planet's atmosphere:



    X-rays and gamma-rays detected by these balloons are "secondary cosmic rays," produced by the crash of primary cosmic rays into Earth's upper atmosphere. They trace radiation percolating down toward our planet's surface. The energy range of the sensors, 10 keV to 20 MeV, is similar to that of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.

    How does this affect us? Cosmic rays penetrate commercial airlines, dosing passengers and flight crews so much that pilots are classified by the International Commission on Radiological Protection as occupational radiation workers. Some research shows that cosmic rays can seed clouds and trigger lightning, potentially altering weather and climate. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias in the general population.

    Cosmic rays will intensify even more in the years ahead as the sun plunges toward what may be the deepest Solar Minimum in more than a century. Stay tuned for updates.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  13. #213
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  14. #214
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  15. #215
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2...-coast/9532938

    Humans thrived in South Africa after catastrophic Toba eruption 74,000 years ago, study suggests

    Reporter Belinda Smith
    Posted yesterday at 13:55



    An erupting volcano.

    Today's volcanic eruptions have nothing on the Toba supervolcano's blowout. (Getty Images: moodboard)
    Beach-side property might be a luxury today, but living by the seaside may have helped modern humans in South Africa survive the biggest supervolcano eruption of the past 2.5 million years.

    Key points:

    Effect of Toba supervolcano eruption on climate and humans remains controversial
    Some scientists believe modern humans almost became extinct after the eruption
    Two South African archaeological sites were found to contain glass shards spat out by the volcano, alongside artefacts
    The work suggests resident humans at these sites flourished during and after the blast
    The Toba supervolcano, on what is now Sumatra, Indonesia, spewed about 3,000 cubic kilometres of ash, rock and glass in a cataclysmic eruption around 74,000 years ago.

    Gases and particles thrust into the atmosphere from the blast blocked the Sun, plunging the planet into a deep winter that lasted years.

    With less sunlight to make food for themselves, plants died. Some scientists think this triggered a domino effect which pushed humans to the brink of extinction, killing off all but a few thousand, and creating a "genetic bottleneck".

    It's a controversial claim, with other researchers finding no evidence for such a climate catastrophe.

    Regardless, at least one part of Africa seemed to shield modern humans from the worst of the winter, a new study suggests.

    An international team led by Curtis Marean, an archaeologist at Arizona State University, excavated sites at Pinnacle Point and Vleesbaai on the south coast of South Africa, where modern humans lived when Toba blew its top.



    Pinnacle Point archaeological sites.

    The Pinnacle Point archaeological sites. Glass shards from Mount Toba were discovered at the PP5-6 location. (Supplied: Erich Fisher)

    They found tiny glass shards — magma fragments flung into the atmosphere by Toba — in sediment layers at the sites.

    And rather than see evidence the resident humans died out, the team found signs these communities flourished at this time, they reported in the journal Nature.

    Beside the seaside

    According to the researchers, this is the first time such shards have been successfully discovered from their volcano of origin 9,000 kilometres away. And finding them was no easy feat.

    The fine glass shards are around the size of a grain of sand, Zenobia Jacobs, an archaeologist at the University of Wollongong and co-author of the study, said.

    A few years ago, a University of Cambridge team found Toba shards in sediment drilled out from under Lake Malawi, around 3,000 kilometres away from the sites.

    "Then, we had an inkling it was possible," Professor Jacobs said.

    As well as the Toba shards, the team found hundreds of stone tools, bones and other signs of modern human life at the two sites, which are nine kilometres apart.

    "[The Pinnacle Point site] is a rock shelter which looks out over the ocean. It's probably where families lived," she said.

    Vleesbaai, among the sand dunes, is an open-air site likely used by the shelter's residents.

    "Like we do today — go and walk along the dunes and sit down, have a picnic — they did something similar and left artefacts behind," Professor Jacobs said.

    'Intense and continuous' habitation

    Toba eruption shards are a handy signpost of time, according to Kira Westaway, a luminescence dating expert at Macquarie University.

    "They have a very distinct geochemical fingerprint," Dr Westaway, who was not involved in the research, said.

    "If you can find it in your sediment, you have what's called a 'marker horizon' where you know it's 74,000 years."



    Volcanic glass shard.

    A volcanic glass shard from the Toba volcano, found at Pinnacle Point. (Supplied: Racheal Johnsen)

    Professor Jacobs and her colleagues used optical luminescence dating, which measures how much time has passed since crystals in sediment layers last saw light, to put together a timeline of human habitation in the area.

    If the volcanic winter drove modern humans to near extinction, she expected to see few to no artefacts in the younger layers above the shard-studded sediment.

    Instead, the team found loads of bones and tools: "intense and continuous" evidence for human habitation before, during, and well after the Toba blowout.

    What's more, the population upgraded their tool-making skills soon after the eruption.

    "Immediately after we see the shards, we see there's significant increase in artefact bones and particularly burning," Professor Jacobs said.

    "That's also when we saw the small bladelets that we know people deliberately heat-treated to improve their strength.

    "So you see this increase in population density, but also the occurrence of interesting technological changes around the changes."

    Right place, right time.

    Dr Westaway said seeing similar patterns in two separate sites lends weight to the findings these communities continued to thrive during the catastrophic event.

    "Instead of painting a picture of global disaster, this [research] puts a new spin on this major event," she said.

    So what shielded those populations from Toba-related starvation?

    Professor Jacobs suspects a seafood-rich diet may have contributed.

    "Shellfish in particular aren't as affected by changes in climate as with terrestrial flora and fauna. It's a reliable resource," she said.

    "But if you're in the middle of the country, and there's extinction or change in flora and fauna, it might be more difficult to find enough food sources, or you have to adapt all the time."

    The researchers said their work raises the question: Was the modern human population on the South African coast the only group to survive the volcanic winter, or did other pockets in Africa make it through too?

    They said this question can now be tackled using the same techniques to check out other African sites.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  16. #216




    Another cold blast headed to Europa but might miss Ireland.

    von Koehler
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  17. #217
    They are predicting it to hit at this time, and probably snow on the Dublin St. Patrick's Day Parade, we plan to have the fireplace ready at the house.
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  18. #218
    Good. I am hoping that advance warnings will help [and motivate!] people to get prepared.

    von Koehler
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  19. #219
    Join Date
    Jul 2003
    Location
    Idaho
    Posts
    12,188
    Quote Originally Posted by von Koehler View Post
    This looks like Milankovitch, and his mathematical works were not proven true for some decades after he wrote them, so was considered a crank. No more.

    Looks like the biggest tax grab that the world ever imagined, and Barry O and Goldman Sachs conjured up in the bowels of Chicago (the International Commodity Exchange) - ICE, which was designed to manage the financial carbon trading, has failed. Lloyd Blankfein leaving GS is pretty much the evidence that the momentum has passed.

    From now on, we'll be plenty busy coping with the climate shifts, which will be extreme if past ice ages, mini or otherwise, are indicating. No more sweet spots that go on and on. Lots of rethinking how we grow our food. This can be a good time. Ice Ages produced glass windows and zippers. Innovation. You know the rest.

  20. #220
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  21. #221
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  22. #222
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  23. #223
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  24. #224
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  25. #225
    Looks like another blast headed to Ireland.

    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  26. #226
    yep, got the stove going; eating popcorn (maybe an Earthquake too lol) already just in case; so far no snow here where we are but the UK got rather hammered and we are getting colder by the hour; it may snow tonight.
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  27. #227


    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKBD3JyN42E

    7:52 minutes

    Is this accurate?

    von Koehler
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  28. #228
    Yep, pretty accurate - as I reported at the time our personal home was not THAT badly affected, though we were snowed in because our laneway was not passable and even if we could have gotten out, all the roads were pretty much closed.

    Also, the "line" for 2 feet of snow was about 7 miles from our house; half our nearest shopping town got two feet of snow; the other half got the about 5 inches that we got.

    The problems were all over the country (not just in one place, so they are not just showing the same places over and over); with pockets totally snowed in and having three to nine-foot drifts in places to areas like our place where I have seen worse snow here in 2010 and before.

    Lots of the Eastern Europeans got out their cross-country skies (including the partner of a close friend - her boyfriend bravely trotted out after her filming her adventures) and cats all over the country who figure out how to walk on snow had bird buffets for breakfast, lunch and dinner (ours did too)because the poor birds are not used to the snow and they would land then couldn't take off.

    Depending on who you listen to, this was either the worst over-all snowstorm in the past 30 years or the past 70 (more or less); there were certainly worse snows during the Little Ice Age, but this one was one for the modern record books.

    While many Northern Europeans and Canadians trapped here (or trapped in the hotel in Dublin with my husband) were a bit surprised at the country totally shutting down; when it became obvious that nothing would be moving for a while, the government decision to ask everyone but first responders, doctors, police etc to stay home made perfect sense.

    So not as bad as say Denver at its worst or Finland during a normal Winter; but considering Ireland can easily go five years in a row with no snow at all, it was an "interesting time," tonight we still don't have any snow yet, just bitter cold and wind.
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  29. #229
    Melodi, maybe you'll have to start knitting those long johns pretty soon. You could be needing them clear into June beginning this year! Bet your husband would like them, too, once the cold gets more severe.

    Glad I made myself six pairs of them, because I imagine doing laundry by hand in even a little ice age would not be very enjoyable.

    Von Koehler, thank you for continuing to post on this thread. I can barely interpret all the charts and graphs, but I do my best and they are very informative.

  30. #230
    Quote Originally Posted by Martinhouse View Post
    Melodi, maybe you'll have to start knitting those long johns pretty soon. You could be needing them clear into June beginning this year! Bet your husband would like them, too, once the cold gets more severe.

    Glad I made myself six pairs of them, because I imagine doing laundry by hand in even a little ice age would not be very enjoyable.

    Von Koehler, thank you for continuing to post on this thread. I can barely interpret all the charts and graphs, but I do my best and they are very informative.
    Interestingly enough I was just looking over patterns for them; busy at the moment knitting small gage knee socks (in mostly wool) that he can wear with dress shoes and still look professional.
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  31. #231
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  32. #232
    Black death and Abrupt earth changes of the 14th century



    A while back, we interviewed Sacha Dobler. His website is abruptearthchanges.com and is chock full of information. His e-book “Black death and Abrupt earth changes in the 14th century” covers the climate, the black death much more historical data from the 14th century. The interesting question it raises is that are illness like the black death connected to these Grand solar minimums. Some of is research says yes… To a degree… Here is the link to his e-book and is highly recommended.

    https://abruptearthchanges.files.wor...th-changes.pdf
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  33. #233
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  34. #234
    [If the USA can't restore power to just one small territory, just imagine what a nation-wide failure would entail. von Koehler]




    "We are now 5 months past Maria and the update is not good. I’ve discovered an article where this reporter took a trip to Puerto Rico to report on the recovery status and what he found was shocking (no pun intended) to say the least. Power lines are still down in many places. Power lines on the ground where kids walk to school! Utility poles that are rigged up with rope tied around trees are actually transferring energy. Puerto Rico is a US territory and I know damn well that we won't see down power lines in Massachusetts five months from now. . But its not all of FEMA’s fault either. Donald Trump faced some harsh criticism when he commented on the pre maria infrastructure of Puerto Rico being in bad shape. He was right though. This reported that there is evidence everywhere that preventive maintenance and other repairs have been neglected when it comes to the power authority there. Things like tree branches not trimmed back or even growing into the lines. Also, workers found a warehouse where things like new power lines were being hoarded by its local government so the had the material need, the just weren’t making the effort to keep up. So many fingers could be pointed at FEMA, but after you read this article, you will realize that there is plenty of blame for this clean up process or lack of, on both FEMA and the local government of Puerto Rico."

    http://www.nj.com/opinion/index.ssf/...ma_in_rem.html
    Last edited by von Koehler; 03-17-2018 at 10:20 PM.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  35. #235
    http://earth.nullschool.net/#current...-82.475,28.934

    Amazing interactive world wide wind gif.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  36. #236
    It is a good thing they had the main St. Patrick's Day Parade's yesterday as all festivities for today (including the homecoming of a victorious sports team) are canceled; this was the view outside our bedroom window a few minutes ago, and we are at the far edge of this (it is worse in Dublin, the East Coast, and the UK)
    expatriate Californian living in rural Ireland with husband, dogs, horses. garden and many, many cats

  37. #237
    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/envi...land-1.3431149

    Beast from the East 2: Orange alert extended as heavy snow falls across Ireland
    Weather warning for snow and ice in place until 6pm
    Sat, Mar 17, 2018, 13:03 Updated: about an hour ago
    Emer Sugrue, Patrick Logue, Jack Power



    Motorists, pedestrians and cyclists are warned to take extra care during Met Éireann’s orange weather alert for snow and ice for much of the east coast.

    Heavy snow has caused travel disruption and cancellations in many parts of Ireland on Sunday amid unseasonably cold weather for March.

    Motorists, pedestrians and cyclists were warned to take extra care as Met Éireann issued an orange weather alert for snow and ice for much of the east coast.

    The alert for Dublin, Carlow, Kildare, Kilkenny, Laois, Louth, Wexford, Wicklow, Meath and Waterford warns of heavy snow showers throughout Sunday, which will lead to “accumulations in places and some drifting”.

    Between 3cm and 7cm of snow had fallen on low-lying areas by 9am on Sunday, according to Met Éireann. Snowfall has continued since then across the 10 counties covered by the warning.

    In areas of higher ground such as the Wicklow Mountains, 11cm of snowfall was reported.

    The level of snowfall has been largely even across the counties under the orange alert.

    Parts of Laois have been worst hit, with Louth “slightly less affected”.

    Snowfall will continue overnight, but will largely be limited to areas along the east coast.



    Snow in Dún Laoghaire, Dublin, on Sunday. Photograph: Collins

    Joan Blackburn, meteorologist with Met Éireann, said the national forecaster would decide on any further extension of the orange warning over the course of Sunday afternoon.

    The warning came into effect at 3am on Sunday and was extended until 6pm. An orange level alert warns the public to prepare themselves in an appropriate way for the anticipated conditions.

    The forecaster also has a yellow alert in place for the rest of the country for the whole weekend warning of very cold conditions with wind chill and icy patches. That alert is in place until 9am on Monday.

    “Snow showers will continue to move westwards across the country but much of the northwest staying dry with good sunshine. The showers will be heavy and thundery in parts of the east,” the forecaster said on Sunday morning.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  38. #238
    [Much, much more at the site; too long to copy here. In 2012, the Earth dodged a Carrington type event by only 2 week's difference in orbit. von Koehler]

    http://www.futurescience.com/emp/emp-protection.html



    EMP-Protection
    Getting Prepared for an
    Electromagnetic Pulse Attack
    or Severe Solar Storm
    © 2009-2017 Jerry Emanuelson

    The science fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke once said:

    "Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."

    This statement is commonly known as Clarke's Third Law. Many people have heard this quotation, but few people really think about its implications.

    We now live in a world that is so completely immersed in advanced technology that we depend upon it for our very survival. Most of the actions that we depend upon for our everyday activities -- from flipping a switch to make the lights come on to obtaining all of our food supplies at a nearby supermarket -- are things that any individual from a century ago would consider magic.

    Very few people in industrialized countries do work that is not directly assisted by electronic computers, although that computerized assistance is often quite invisible to the average person. Few people think about things such as the fact that whenever we buy some food item at a supermarket (and many others are buying the same item), the next time we go to that same supermarket, they still have about the same supplies that they had before. There are invisible infrastructures all around us that are made up of advanced technology. Most of us just take the magic for granted.

    Few people stop to consider what would happen if, in an instant, the magic went away. If our advanced technology were suddenly and completely destroyed, how would we manage to survive? A nuclear EMP could make the magic go away. I hope it never happens, and I don't think that it is at all inevitable. It makes no sense, however, to be blind to the danger. It is both much less likely to happen -- and also less likely to have a catastrophic impact -- if, both as a civilization and as individuals, we are prepared for an attack on our advanced technology. A nuclear EMP would be a seemingly magical attack upon our advanced technology, the technological infrastructure upon which our lives depend.

    Among all of the kinds of electromagnetic disturbances that can occur, though, it is important to keep things in perspective. It is possible that a nuclear EMP may never happen where you live. On the other hand, a severe solar storm that will destroy most of the world's power grids appears nearly inevitable at this point. Protection against the damage of a severe solar storm could be done easily and rather inexpensively by the electrical utilities; however it is not being done, and there are few signs that it will be done. A severe solar storm poses little threat to electronics, but would take down the most important power grids in the world for a period of years. This is a special problem in the United States, and is a severe threat in the eastern United States. So, more important than preparing for a nuclear EMP attack is preparing for all of the ramifications of a severe solar storm which would cause an electrical power outage that would, in most areas, last for a period of years. Most standby power systems would continue to function after a severe solar storm, but supplying the standby power systems with adequate fuel, when the main power grids are offline for years, could become a very critical problem.

    In the mid-20th century, electricity was regarded as a convenience. By the end of that century, electricity had become something that most people literally cannot live without for more than a few weeks. This profound change has happened so gradually that very few people have even noticed.
    Last edited by von Koehler; 03-18-2018 at 05:41 PM.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

  39. #239
    Join Date
    Jul 2003
    Location
    Idaho
    Posts
    12,188
    Von Koehler, Great links. You're right, too long to post but worthwhile. Can't decide which to finish first. Thanks for the many great recent posts.

    Melodi, your image of the view outside is much like our own today. It was different situation here, though. Whew! Just a little snow, the big auction in town should be packed (and it was). Of course, we've got the 4WD and much more snowy preparation in place. Hope you guys stay warm and dry.

  40. #240


    As I once stated, I am not an astronomer or solar physicist but rather just a layman trying to figure out what's causing the world-wide change in climate.

    Al Gore's man-made CO 2 advocacy quickly became apparent to be just another scheme for him to enrich himself. A review of the Greenland ice core studies showed, without exception, rises in CO 2 FOLLOWED rises in temperature, and never before.

    Hence, it cannot be a cause, but rather only a result.

    Currently, in many places there have been serious snow storms which are setting new records or matching past historical records made during previous Solar Minimums.

    The chart above reflects the best current thinking about future Solar cycles: each succeeding period becomes weaker [less Solar energy] and the Earth cools off. Winters start earlier, are harsher, and last longer. The growing season becomes shorter and more variable.

    Some regions will experience torrential rains and hail while other places suffer droughts.

    This has frequently happened before in the history of the Earth, which makes studying the past impacts on Humanity so important and useful for guidance.

    The "you are here" arrow in the above chart indicates the expected time period between the end of the current Solar cycle 24 and the start of the next one. Best guess is that there a gap of 2 to 4 years ahead which implies ever increasingly snowier and colder conditions ahead. You must realize that this only a best "guesstimate" and will become refined as events unfold. The next Solar cycle, number 25, is predicted to be about 25% weaker.

    Note that future Solar cycles are weaker [as evidenced by the predicted number of Sunspots] and the periods between cycles [the coldest times] lengthens.

    Food production will be a major concern and prices could skyrocket as a result. Try pricing real vanilla beans [not petroleum based extracts] recently? Or cocoa butter?

    von Koehler
    Last edited by von Koehler; 03-18-2018 at 05:45 PM.
    Fad saol agat, gob fliuch, agus bás in Éirinn!

    Christianity is the estranged descendent of a bizarre Jewish apocalyptic cult.

    Kein Krieg für Israel!

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