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Space Weather/Sun Spot
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  1. #41
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    Apr 2009
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    Quote Originally Posted by Publius View Post
    So at the closing of the year 2016 we had 32 spotless days.

    Under the Rudolf Wolf sun spot count we have so many spotless days and I'm trying to get an acturate count from someone thats keeping track, but it may be somewhere near 100 or more days without sun spots as it does not count the micro spots as a sun spot.


    Pires Corbyn of Weatheraction.com says we have officly entered a mine ice-age and not 2035 or 2020 but 2016 and into the future for who knows how long.
    solarham.com often has year end stats.
    People are quick to confuse and despise confidence as arrogance but that is common amongst those who have never accomplished anything in their lives and who have always played it safe not willing to risk failure.

  2. #42
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
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    Glitter Gluch, LSR
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    777
    Quote Originally Posted by Publius View Post
    So at the closing of the year 2016 we had 32 spotless days.

    Under the Rudolf Wolf sun spot count we have so many spotless days and I'm trying to get an acturate count from someone thats keeping track, but it may be somewhere near 100 or more days without sun spots as it does not count the micro spots as a sun spot.


    Pires Corbyn of Weatheraction.com says we have officly entered a mine ice-age and not 2035 or 2020 but 2016 and into the future for who knows how long.
    for a realistic count on sunspots,
    go to www.landscheidt.info, click on laymans sunspot count, that uses the old way of counting sun spots, not the uber telescope approach that counts specs as sunspots.
    Last edited by fi103r; 12-31-2016 at 06:06 PM. Reason: cut and paste messed up
    "A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly. Specialization is for insects."
    Robert Heinlein

  3. #43
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    The loose buckle of the bible belt
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    10,995
    With such a quiet solar year, we should see associated colder climate effects her on Earth. But we're not. Instead, we're seeing cold in some areas, significant warming in others. Instead, the observed climate for 2016 seems headed for yet another record warm year, with arctic and high-latitude warming more than compensating for moderate cooling in some other areas.

    The recent solar cycle 24 had a sunspot maximum noticeably lower than recent normal sunspot cycles; about as low as the Dalton Minimum of the late 19th/early 20th century, although not as low as seen in the Maunder Minimum of 1645-1715.

    We have about six years to go before we get to see if the maximum of cycle 25 is as low or lower than the last one.

  4. #44
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
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    Central Iowa
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    Quote Originally Posted by FarmerJohn View Post
    With such a quiet solar year, we should see associated colder climate effects her on Earth. But we're not. Instead, we're seeing cold in some areas, significant warming in others. Instead, the observed climate for 2016 seems headed for yet another record warm year, with arctic and high-latitude warming more than compensating for moderate cooling in some other areas.

    The recent solar cycle 24 had a sunspot maximum noticeably lower than recent normal sunspot cycles; about as low as the Dalton Minimum of the late 19th/early 20th century, although not as low as seen in the Maunder Minimum of 1645-1715.

    We have about six years to go before we get to see if the maximum of cycle 25 is as low or lower than the last one.
    Go watch episode 3 of Obit on Netflix as to WHY this is happening. Its ALL related to the monster quakes that have been happening since 2004, the earth's axis has shifted and because the earth's axis has shifted so has both the arctic and antarctic circles. THAT causes the over all climate to change NOT cow farts and driving SUV's.

    That said we really ought not treat the earth like a litter box.
    People are quick to confuse and despise confidence as arrogance but that is common amongst those who have never accomplished anything in their lives and who have always played it safe not willing to risk failure.

  5. #45
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    If the Earth's axis had shifted, every astronomer on earth, professional and amateur, would have noticed.

    I looked for Obit on Netflix; did you mean Orbit? I haven't watched yet, but will.

  6. #46
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    Mar 2007
    Location
    West Virginia
    Posts
    32,857

    OK; a Little Update.

    For the year 2016 acording to Space Weather website a total of 32 days without sun spots.
    As you well know its now the year 2017 and the 23 of March and already had 27 days without sun spots. Now as I see this it could turn out to be a much cooler summer this year.
    I have to inquire as I do not know what the count is under a older system where they do not count the micro sized sun spots.

    Again the link to Space Weather. LINK: http://www.spaceweather.com
    Last edited by Publius; 03-23-2017 at 11:14 PM.

  7. #47
    Join Date
    Aug 2002
    Location
    upstate NY
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    Thank you for the heads up. Gardening is already behind for me as the weather hasn't been condusive for the greenhouse yet. I hope you're wrong obviously.
    "Let your food be your medicine, and your medicine be your food." Hippocrates

    My Music page https://poorboyproductions.bandcamp.com/

    The fact that we have a "Highway To Hell" and a "Stairway To Heaven" says a lot about anticipated traffic numbers.

  8. #48
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    West Virginia
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    Ok; a little update and space weather website is is saying we now have a total of 56 days without sun spots compared to 2016 with 32 days with no spots.
    We have exseeded the 2010 spotless days count of 51. 2009 total was 260 spotless days.

  9. #49
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    Mar 2007
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    West Virginia
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    Ok; The latest on this is we have gone another two days without sun spots and seems to be going for three days in a row. Total number of spotless days for 2017 is 58 day and may offically be 59.
    Last edited by Publius; 10-12-2017 at 01:09 AM.

  10. #50
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    May 2004
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    Aurora's in Alaska
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  11. #51
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    Mar 2007
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    West Virginia
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    Update We have gone a 7 day stretch without sun spots. How much longer we will have to see, it will have an effect on how cold a winter we get.

  12. #52
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    Apr 2009
    Location
    Central Iowa
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    Quote Originally Posted by Publius View Post
    Update We have gone a 7 day stretch without sun spots. How much longer we will have to see, it will have an effect on how cold a winter we get.

    It's going to be COLD, and from the looks of things snowy as well! We've had a ton of rain this past week, here in central Iowa, which is unusual for Iowa during the month of October. This means we're in for a cold snowy winter, and my allergies are celebrating!
    People are quick to confuse and despise confidence as arrogance but that is common amongst those who have never accomplished anything in their lives and who have always played it safe not willing to risk failure.

  13. #53
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    Mar 2007
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    West Virginia
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    Well one micro sun spot has shown up breaking the string of spotless days and now up to 63 days without sun spots for the year.
    Last edited by Publius; Yesterday at 10:02 AM.

  14. #54
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    Mar 2007
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    West Virginia
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    Back to being blank as in no sun spots bringing the total number of spotless days to 64.

  15. #55
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Location
    Central Iowa
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    Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
    Space Weather Prediction Center.
    UPDATED 2017 Oct 17 1230 UTC

    .24 hr Summary...
    Solar activity remained very low. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed
    in available coronagraph imagery.

    .Forecast...
    Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels the next three
    days (17-19 Oct).

    [Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity]

    www.solarham.net
    People are quick to confuse and despise confidence as arrogance but that is common amongst those who have never accomplished anything in their lives and who have always played it safe not willing to risk failure.

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