Just thought I would remind everyone to double check their preps! Even though they're predicting a mild season. You never know.
warty
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Just thought I would remind everyone to double check their preps! Even though they're predicting a mild season. You never know.
warty
Having gone through dozens of 'canes over the decades - including several 'eyes' - they're much easier to prepare for than quakes or tornadoes.
You generally have quite a bit of time to prepare or evacuate before the 'cane hits - unlike the relative suddenness of quakes
and tornadoes...either of which can and do happen at odd times without much warning.
'Course 'canes can stir up tornadoes too - so none of these natural events is fun.
But given a choice of a potential disaster - it'd be 'canes in a hearbeat.
The only difficult choice is to shelter in place or evacuate - best to prepare for BOTH situations.
Forecast, of course they are rarely accurate:
On December 7, 2011, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), a public consortium consisting of experts on insurance, risk management and seasonal climate forecasting at University College London, issued an extended-range forecast predicting an above-average hurricane season. In its report, TSR noted that tropical cyclone activity could be about 49% above the 1950–2010 average, with 14.1 (±4.2) tropical storms, 6.7 (±3.0) hurricanes, and 3.3 (±1.6) major hurricanes anticipated, and a cumulative ACE index of 117 (±58).[2] On December 21, 2011, Weather Services International (WSI) issued an extended-range forecast predicting a near average hurricane season. In its forecast, WSI noted that a cooler North Atlantic Oscillation not seen in a decade, combined with weakening La Niña, would result in a near average season with 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes. They also predicted a near average probability of a hurricane landfall on the USA coastline, with a slightly elevated chance on the Gulf Coast and a slightly reduced chance along the East Coast.[3] On April 4, 2012, Colorado State University (CSU) issued their updated forecast for the season, calling for a below-normal season due to an increased chance for the development of an El Niño during the season. [7]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_At...rricane_season
It Don't Mean Nuthin
FYI, Virginia has a Tax Free weekend every spring for Emergency Preparedness supplies. I would think other coastal states might do something similar. Even if you live inland, you might be able to take advantage of some savings.
When: Friday, May 25, 2012 through Thursday, May 31, 2012
What's Exempt: During this seven-day period, purchases of certain supplies and equipment needed for hurricane preparedness will be exempt from sales tax. Retailers may also choose to absorb the tax on other items during the holiday period, but they are responsible for paying the tax on those items to the Department of Taxation.
Last edited by MrsXtrmst; 05-10-2012 at 08:40 PM. Reason: added details
This may sound strange, but we are hoping for a good rain-maker soon. We can live without the winds, but a good rain-drenching storm would be welcome just about everywhere 'canes play here.
Originally Posted by Seabird
Here too!
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".Life is not a journey to the grave with the intention of arriving in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in, broadside, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming, WOW, What a ride!"
Personal Responsibility..The one thing no one can take away from you
."The only tyrant I accept in this world is the still, small voice within me."
Yes the weekend before June 1 Louisiana has a Tax Free Weekend also
I used to have a handle on life....but then it broke
GOD can turn a MESS into a MESSage, a TEST into a TESTimony, a TRIal into a TRIump, a VICtim into a VICTory. GOD is GOOD...all the time!
After living with hurricanes growing up in SC and living at a beach near Wilmington, NC for a while, riding out Hugo when I moved back to SC I found that western NC wasn't far enough....my final hurricane prep was moving to WV!
What's scary now is that there hasn't been a big hurricane on the east coast in a while. Lot of new people on the beach now and I'm sure that some of them think that they've seen a hurricane because of the hype a few tropical storms got. It's gonna be an awakening when it happens!
“Life is tough, but it's tougher when you're stupid.” Sgt Stryker in "Sands of Iwo Jima" (John Wayne) ; "Never try to teach a pig to sing; it wastes your time and it annoys the pig." (Robert Heinlein) ; "If there are no dogs in Heaven, then when I die I want to go where they went." (Will Rogers) ; "There's only two ways to get along with a woman....too bad nobody knows either of them!" (HBN)
It only takes one to completely turn your world upside down. It only takes one to create so much loss of life and homeless millions. It only takes one to make you see first hand just how much you are indeed on your own in a real SHTF scenario. It only takes one and you realize that you NEVER want to find yourself in a shelter situation unless it is a last alternative.........Just thought I would remind everyone to double check their preps! Even though they're predicting a mild season. You never know.
warty
It really only takes just one!
Has No Life - Lives on TB
boy ,oh boy, are yo uright on with that. I hope it is mild, but IT is better to be safe than sorry, I would also count my ammo, in my preps if I were you.Just thought I would remind everyone to double check their preps! Even though they're predicting a mild season. You never know.
warty
blessings to all momof23goats
We've not had one since Wilma in 2005. I'd feel better if they said it would be an ACTIVE season, given how often forecasts are wrong. Knowing our luck, a slow season will mean *wham!*
No good deed ever goes unpunished.
This year in AL the dates are July 6-8th for disaster preps, batteries, radios, etc.
A
I've been through one hurricane in 2008, it was IKE! The second costliest storm in U.S. history! He was a real bastard here in SW Ohio!! Lost my roof, my hot tub lid, my electric for 7 days, and my frozen foods! Having preps on hand sure helped out! All this and more and it was just wind damage. Higest gust was recorded just 10 miles down the road at 82 mph. Here was Ikes track.
http://articles.cnn.com/2008-09-18/u...enter?_s=PM:US
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...2008_track.png
Last edited by Warthog; 05-11-2012 at 09:16 AM.
Veteran Member
Exactly.
Judy
Two Weeks Now!! Until Season Starts!
Extra gas, batteries, food, water!
Goin' where the lonely go
Wow. Already!
I can handle a small cane or TS but after IVAN came through the ONLY good thing was actually seeing all the stars in the dark night because there was no power drowning them out.
Oh that and realizing how good a hot shower really feels...
There is another type of warfare—new in its intensity, ancient in its origin—war by
guerrillas, subversives, insurgents, assassins; war by ambush instead of by combat, by
infiltration instead of aggression, seeking victory by eroding and exhausting the enemy
instead of engaging him. It preys on unrest. JFK 1962
Not another Ivan please. While no major damage he put two large tree on my roof and took out about 100 ft. of privacy fence. The trees were close to the house so the cane mainly just pushed them over onto the side of the house and after we cut the crowns off the roof there were only a few cracked shingles. Power was out for maybe 18 hrs. We have a lift station at the end of the street so they always try to get the power for that up and running fairly quickly. I took a couple of long days to cut those trees down. They were huge. Had to hire a contractor to put in a new fence which didn't get replaced for about a month. I started my prepping due to hurricanes so we're always prepared for hurricane season.
Rom 10:9 That if thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thine heart that God hath raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved.
Goin' where the lonely go
Our power company is finally taking pre-emptive steps and trimming up the trees and branches around power lines and such. I don't think our power would've been out for a month had they done this from the git-go. And I still don't understand why we don't convert to underground lines...not everywhere but major areas....
There is another type of warfare—new in its intensity, ancient in its origin—war by
guerrillas, subversives, insurgents, assassins; war by ambush instead of by combat, by
infiltration instead of aggression, seeking victory by eroding and exhausting the enemy
instead of engaging him. It preys on unrest. JFK 1962
People that live in Hurricane prone areas and really tell everyone what Prepping is and about and is it nuts are people crazy for doing it?
Last edited by Publius; 05-19-2012 at 01:00 AM.
Heck no people aren't crazy for doing it. First, pre hurricane there is a rush on the stores and gas stations. If you aren't prepped and not quick enough to get to the store there is no more water, bread, milk, eggs, batteries, flashlights, etc. etc. The gas stations run out of gas. The roads get clogged with people leaving the area. During the hurricane you are sheltering. Depending on how close you are to the cane you are likely to lose power. As Vesper experienced, maybe as long as a month. No power means no gas at gas stations, no stores open and those that are only take cash because CC machines don't work. Hurricanes are like dress rehearsals of SHTF situations. Just of shorter duration.
Rom 10:9 That if thou shalt confess with thy mouth the Lord Jesus, and shalt believe in thine heart that God hath raised him from the dead, thou shalt be saved.
Fatboy, you must be VERY near to me. I was out for a little over a month following Rita.
Publius; Your point is very valid. I had a one year stock of every single item my family of 5 used or would need when I lost me home in Rita. I lost it all because I drove a little Nissan 240SX and couldn't fit it into the car and couldn't pull a trailer with that little sports car. This was heartbreaking to say the least.
During Rita, while evacuated, I resolved that little issue and went out and bought a brand new Toyota 4-Runner and Ford 250 as well as a Wells Cargo enclosed trailer, flatbed trailer and an RV which has since been upgraded to a 5th Wheel. I don't need furniture and all that but I'll bet you my stocks and pets come with me this time. I stock up annually beginning in late October and try to use up as much of it as possible by the beginning of hurricane season on June 1st. This way I still have a sufficient amount to weather an extended evacuation yet not a full years worth to tote around. I pray I never have to go through another 3 years of hurricanes back to back but I did learn some amazing life lessons.
Many more eats coastal clingers coming this year. Now get moving!
warty
Beryl: Subtropical Storm Threatens Florida, Georgia And South Carolina Coasts
RUSS BYNUM 05/27/12 04:06 AM ET
SAVANNAH, Ga. — Subtropical storm Beryl crept Sunday toward the Southeast U.S. coastline, threatening to churn up dangerous surf and drenching rains for a soggy close to the long Memorial Day weekend along beaches from northeast Florida to South Carolina.
Tropical storm warnings were in effect for the entire Georgia coastline, as well as parts of Florida and South Carolina, according to the National Hurricane Center. Forecasters at the center in Miami said the cluster of thunderstorms was expected to make landfall sometime Sunday night or Monday in the region.
Beryl was technically considered a "subtropical storm," but the system of thunderstorms was expected to bring winds and rain to the area regardless of its official classification.
At 2 a.m. EDT Sunday, Beryl was centered about 185 miles (300 kilometers) southeast of Charleston, S.C. The hurricane center said the system had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85 kph). It was moving toward the west-southwest at 7 mph (11 kph) and also was about 230 miles (370 km) east of Jacksonville, Fla.
Tropical storm conditions – meaning maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (72 kph) – were expected to reach the coast later Sunday. Three to six inches of rain were forecast for the area. Some coastal flooding also was in the forecast, as the rain could cause high tides.
Dangerous surf conditions are possible from northeast Florida to North Carolina over the holiday weekend, forecasters said.
The southeastern coast is popular with tourists who visit the beaches and wilderness areas.
"A three-day thunderstorm is what it's probably going to be," said Jay Wiggins, emergency management director for Glynn County, which is about 60 miles south of Savannah and includes Brunswick and St. Simons Island in Georgia. "Unfortunately, it's going to ruin a lot of Memorial Day plans."
Wiggins said he expects some flooded roadways and scattered power outages, perhaps some minor flooding in waterfront homes, but otherwise little damage. However, he urged beachgoers to beware of dangerous rip currents.
On Tybee Island, home to Georgia's largest public beach east of Savannah, employees at Amy Gaster's home and condo rental business were making sure arriving guests were aware of the approaching storm during the weekend. Gaster said her 180 rentals were sold out and nobody was canceling plans or asking to check out early.
While Georgia hasn't taken a direct hit from a major hurricane in 114 years, the last time a tropical storm made landfall here was in August 1988. Tropical Storm Chris hit near Savannah but did little damage as it pushed northward into South Carolina.
In South Carolina, Beaufort County Emergency Management deputy director David Zeoli (zee-oli) said Saturday that word went out to first-responders along the coast near the Georgia line to pay attention to the storm's progress.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/0...6pLid%3D164648
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