[DD2K4] -- Disaster Drill Timeline
This is short on details, deliberately...
The main scenarios will come to a head during the drill itself, which will start with the EAS test alert sometime during Tuesday, 31 Aug 2004. The scenarios that require a buildup are being built up starting now and will gather steam until Tuesday.
The primary scenario's timeline:
Sometime between now and Drill Day, Iran will successfully testfire a medium-range ballistic missile. Loads of threats will come from the usual rabblerousers, and culminate in pretty much the worst thing Iran could do right about the start of Drill Day. Things will go downhill from there, in a hurry.
The secondary scenario's timeline:
This one will be on everyone suddenly. Let's just say that the grid's vulnerabilities are about to be exposed. As are the nation's ability to deal with a trifecta of disaster.
1. Expect to see a new tropical storm shortly. It'll make landfall on Drill Day - stay tuned to the DD-post weather "reports" for that one. Some will show up shortly if they haven't already.
2. Expect Canada to have some interesting parallels with China over the next week. As for why/how, let's just say here that Canada's healthcare system isn't ready for what's coming. This one will show up in small snippets and build to Drill Day.
3. Terrorists are opportunistic S.O.B.s. The first reports on that are already showing up. Where and when is anyone's guess (although Drill Day sure is a bad hair day waiting to happen).
4. $49 a barrel for crude is the launch pad. That button gets pushed on Drill Day, and geostationary orbit is the first stopover. But, it might not be for reasons you'd expect.
Basically I can't give anything away without giving everything away, so for now everyone might want to not move too far forward on their own. Instead, let the volunteers build the story for you, and play along with the present so you're not too far into the future when the time comes to deliver Drill Day. A couple folks are already reaching into what we have planned for next week!
Amusingly enough, if left to your own devices, you crazed TBers would easily figure out where we're going based on what was posted so far!
The "perfect storm" is coming on Drill Day, and weather is only a part of it...
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Deja moo - the feeling you've seen this bull before...
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