http://fluboard.rhizalabs.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=5&t=2474&start=810
and forward
" ....
BTW, here is some stats from Ukraine from 20 October 2009 regarding the number of ill people with flu or sore throat symptoms
According to the Ukrainian Center of influenza and acute respiratory infections of Health of Ukraine, at 42 weeks, in all 10 control city center morbidity of influenza and ARI were on neepidemichnomu level.
Total per week 45,177 people ill, hospitalized 262 people (including children - 237). Value per 10 thousand population is 46.69.
As you can see there was no sudden jump from 2 cases of H1N1 Ukraine to hundreds of thousands at the end of October, it was an steady rise of the curve.
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From Thursday's Supreme Court of Ukraine resolution "On the situation in connection with epidemic influenza and pandemic influenza A (N1N1), and immediate measures against its spread."
Set on November 1, 2009 medical staff during the period of work for the elimination of epidemics and outbreaks of communicable diseases, as well as in cells of extremely dangerous and dangerous infectious diseases monthly supplement of up to four salaries of such employees and medical staff fee specified by the intensity operation and expansion of health services.
In the period up to December 1, 2009 to provide financial assistance in the amount of 100 000 UAH (~15 000 USD). families of health workers who died of diseases that occurred during the execution of their duties to provide medical care during a flu epidemic, and also decide on such assistance to the families of the death of health workers due to illness that occurred during the execution of their duties to provide medical care during a flu epidemic.
Common official salary for health workers in Ukraine is around 1500 UAH, or 200$.
All Ukrainian medical persons who are at the frontier, dealing with disease, are heroes, I can compare their feat with firemans at 1986 at Chernobyl disaster.
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Flutrends also tracks the rise
http://www.google.org/flutrends/ua/
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There is the new (week 44) EuroFlu report (
http://www.euroflu.org/index.php) available.
Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Friday that his government won't buy vaccines for swine flu that have not been properly tested or from producers who won't take responsibility for possible side effects.
Tusk told reporters that vaccine producers were pressuring governments to buy, but were also demanding that all responsibility and compensation for possible negative side effects fall upon government shoulders.
I think the situation is completly underestimated in Poland. And the big problem is, as I have written earlier in this thread, the incompetence. The polish health departament vice-minister is invoking... the wackadoodlers web sites over the Internet. I have seen that in main polish TV news.
Anyway, in the radio they stopped to repeat that the flu cases situation in Poland is better than in the past years. There are even some reports about increased ILI consulatations rate at some cities. They still continue to report only about 200 of novel A/H1N1 cases. And the prime minister said that we have medical resources (Tamiflu in the stores?) to treat 2 000 000 people (Poland have 38 000 000 population - so it seems that we have antivirals for 5% only).
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This where the first official numbers on 13 Oct 2009
According to the Ukrainian Center of influenza and acute respiratory infections, "Health of Ukraine, at 41 weeks, in all 10 control city center morbidity of influenza and ARI were on epidemiclevel.
Total per week 42,383 people ill, hospitalized 251 per person (including children - 235). 43,8. Score of 10 thousand is 43.8.
In general, all the statistical index recorded a slight increase of incidence (8.19%), compared with the previous week.
In the children's age groups the incidence of influenza and ARI in general to 10 cities, compared with last week increased by 8.19% among children 0-14 years.
There is increased incidence in Ukraine (3.12%), Simferopol (6.77%), Kyiv (10.37%) winery (5.54%), Dnipropetrovsk (13.11%), Donetsk (26.18% ), Odessa (2.81%), Chernigov (3.83%) and Kharkiv (0.55%) along with a tendency to decrease in Zaporozhye (-2.25%) compared to the previous week.
As of 12.10.2009 the situation in the country is stable.
Press Service of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine
Spurce:
http://translate.google.com/translate?p ... ry_state0=
Quote:
Is this the first confirmed case ?
23.09.09r. SES to Kiev from state institutions, "Institute of Epidemiology and Infectious Diseases. L. Gromashevsky Academy of Sciences of Ukraine received information that 18.09.09r. tested by PCR influenza A viruses from patient SP.
Influenza A viruses isolated from virologic laboratory Kiev SES in response hemahlyutynatsiyi not given high titles, that was weakly virulent. Transit material was investigated in imunohromatografichnyh test with weakly positive result (hardly visible band - antigen influenza A).
Then the virus was more passages for raising titles, namely: 16.09.09 - in the reaction hemahlyutynatsiyi in the first test tube - 1:8 titer in the second - 1:2.
Given that the virus was slabovirulentnyy material for confirmation was sent to a laboratory of Virology and AIDS in Central SES Health of Ukraine, which conducted the study material (culture broth) of patient S., on suspicion of variant pandemic strain of influenza virus type A (N1N1).
In accordance with the accompanying sample documents, the virus titer was 1:2, ie, during the confirmation studies using the PCR confirmed the identity of the selected strain of influenza virus of type A (N1N1).
Patient S., born 04.01.1970, citizen of Ukraine, temporarily living in Kiev, rents an apartment in Kiev area, working in private enterprise. Place of residence - Kirovograd.
From 25.07.09 to 03.08.09r. In Istanbul, arrived in Bali via Singapore. Indonesia did not belong to the list of countries where registered cases of pandemic influenza A (N1N1). Among other visitors to Indonesia appeals for medical help was not.
Citizen S. ill 08.08.2009r. (39 temperature, dry cough, chills). I applied for assistance 10.08.09r. and admitted to the Kiev City Clinical Hospital № 7. On the x-ray study revealed pneumonia.
10.08.09р. KMKL moved to number 9, diagnosis: ARI, acute bronchitis, pravostostoronnya nyzhnodoleva plevropnevmoniya? The same day, according to the recommendations of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine, the selected material for virological investigations and sent to the virological laboratory of the city station.
11.08.09р. established clinical diagnosis of bronchitis.
Drawn to categorically insist 13.08.09r patient. in satisfactory condition. Diagnosis: COMMUNITY-ACQUIRED nyzhnodolova pneumonia. Respiratory failure serednovazhkyy course, recommended outpatient treatment. It was observed condition.
22.09.09р. 22.09.09r. examined by a doctor sent for repeat X-ray examination.
23.09.09р. 23.09.09r. conducted X-ray control: thickening of pulmonary pattern, root infiltration in the lungs, sent to consult a pulmonologist.
24.09.09р. 24.09.09r. - S. satisfactory health condition, the temperature is normal, complaints of sweating and weakness.
25.09.09р. 25.09.09r. consulted in pulmonology KMKL number 17, held a diagnosis made repeated swabs for laboratory research. Diagnosis: bronchitis. The patient's condition is satisfactory, is outpatient treatment.
Contacts with neglected, patients were not registered. In S. citizen apartment living one. Among the medical staff, employees virological laboratories, customs, border guards, contact other cases of influenza A (N1N1) is not registered.
In Kirovohrad, according to the patient and data Kirovograd oblSES, S. citizen in August and September did not come.
By last night, under the supervision of representatives of health and quarantine services at the state border (to enter Ukraine) 75 823 missing persons from the spread of influenza A (H1N1), of which the citizens of Ukraine - 36 611, foreign nationals - 39 212; including citizens of Mexico -0.
Results from 30/04 to 28/09/2009 was entered Ukraine 12 249 015, of which the citizens of Ukraine - 5 082 099, foreign nationals - 7 166 916, among them Mexican citizens - 195.
Strengthening anti-epidemic measures at airports and border, as well as monitoring the circulation of pathogens in Ukraine.
State Sanitary and Epidemiological Service of Ukraine continues anti activities of persons who arrive in Ukraine to countries in which the registered cases of influenza A (H1N1).
The situation is under control.
Press Service of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine
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Yes, I was also a bit surprised at the spread of the wakadoodle stories. Yesterday I did an interview on talkradio in Spain. They took a few call ins, and one was on pneumonic plague/martial law in Ukraine. The pneumonic plaque is absurd becasue the plague is caused by a bacterium and of course has nothing to do with H1N1. The caller acknowledged that he didn't know the difference between a virus ad a bacterium, and kept citing what he had read on the internet.
However, the interviewer also asked about the alleged Baxter lab and deliberate release, which again is utter nonsense. The vaccine version of H1N1 is eaily distinguished from the natuiral virus and would have represented "big" changes in 6 of the 8 genes and would be quite obvious.
WHO has already said there were NO big changes, so the deliberate release is nonsense (as are plane drops of a VIRUS).
However, the government decision to withhold vaccine from the country really is getting into criminal neglegence and should not be tolerated. The pandemic vaccine is a no brainer, and politicians blocking the vaccine should be thrown out of office ASAP (and indicted).
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State Sanitary and Epidemiological Service of Ukraine continues anti activities of persons who arrive in Ukraine to countries in which the registered cases of influenza A (H1N1).
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Ukraine is in SERIOUS need of a reality check. They have over 1 MILLION cases of H1N1 INSIDE their borders, and are worried about travelers bringing H1N1 INTO Ukraine!
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Vysne Nemecke, November 6 (TASR) - Slovakia has introduced stricter measures at its Ukrainian border due to the rampant flu outbreak there, Slovak Interior Minister Robert Kalinak said at the Vysne Nemecke (Kosice region) border crossing on Friday.
In accordance with the Schengen Agreement, Slovakia has the right to deny entry to any person suspected of being ill. As of Friday, every passenger crossing the border will need to undergo a medical inspection. "We're not only protecting the Slovak Republic, but as a transit country, we are protecting other European states as well," explained Kalinak.
If the Ukrainian situation – where more 80 people have recently died from flu – doesn't stabilise soon, Kalinak added that the Ministry will consider closing the nearby border crossing at Ubla (Presov region). Kalinak didn't even exclude the possibility of closing the crossing this weekend. "If Ubla gets shut down, the full range of preventive measures will apply to Vysne Nemecke," said Kalinak, adding that this would then be the sole road border-crossing. Currently, medical personnel at both border crossings are monitoring the health of every passenger.
Although the number of travellers has gone down recently, Kalinak still emphatically calls on Slovak citizens to postpone any visit to Ukraine for at least two-three weeks unless absolutely necessary. Kalinak also said that military doctors of the Defence Ministry will be working with the border guards, as the medical service needs to be available round the clock. According to Kalinak, the border villages have sufficient supplies of face masks. If needed, additional masks will be provided by the state.
Since Tuesday (November 3), the border crossing in Velke Slemence has been temporarily closed. Likewise, pedestrians and bicyclists are banned from crossing the border in Ubla. A similar regimen as for motorists crossing at Vysne Nemecke applies for train passengers coming to the country via Cierna nad Tisou.
http://www.tasr.sk/30.axd?k=20091106TBB00531
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From polish media (there is still huge disinformation here):
Ukraine: increased number of flu victims, 25 people died in a day
To 135 in Ukraine has increased the number of dead as a result of influenza and its complications. Only in the last day 25 people died - reported on Saturday, the Ukrainian Ministry of Health.
From October 30 announced the start of the epidemic became ill more than 871 thousand people, including more than 101 thousand cases of illness were recorded during the day.
Hospitals were sent to 39.9 thousand people, 317 people living on the branches of resuscitation.
Influenza epidemic, which initially covered only the west of the country now moves to the east.
In 14 districts the number of cases exceeded the threshold of epidemiological and 9 consecutive been coming to him. As the situation is stable only in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the districts mikołajowskim and chersońskim in southern Ukraine.
Apart from ordinary flu Ukrainians also suffer from influenza A/H1N1. According to data from Friday, a result 14 people have died so far, 32 people are infected.
Thats horrible. I'm tired from reading about "ordinary flu" all around in polish media. Maybe someone should write to polish governement or media? I tried to send citation from weekly CDC and EuroFlu reports (about virological subtyping) to media agencies, but it was ignored (I'm not surprised with it).
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