Intelligence Indications And Warnings Abound On Bush Iran Military Strike

Ed

Inactive
Link: http://rense.com/general69/rrn.htm

Intelligence Indications
And Warnings Abound
On Bush Iran Military Strike

By Wayne Madsen
1-3-5
Intelligence and military sources in the United States and abroad are reporting on various factors that indicate a U.S. military hit on Iranian nuclear and military installations, that may involve tactical nuclear weapons, is in the final stages of preparation. Likely targets for saturation bombing are the Bushehr nuclear power plant (where Russian and other foreign national technicians are present), a uranium mining site in Saghand near the city of Yazd, the uranium enrichment facility in Natanz, a heavy water plant and radioisotope facility in Arak, the Ardekan Nuclear Fuel Unit, the Uranium Conversion Facility and Nuclear Technology Center in Isfahan, the Tehran Nuclear Research Center, the Tehran Molybdenum, Iodine and Xenon Radioisotope Production Facility, the Tehran Jabr Ibn Hayan Multipurpose Laboratories, the Kalaye Electric Company in the Tehran suburbs, a reportedly dismantled uranium enrichment plant in Lashkar Abad, and the Radioactive Waste Storage Units in Karaj and Anarak.



Primary target: Bushehr nuclear reactor and hundreds of Russian technicians

Other first targets would be Shahab-I, II, and III missile launch sites, air bases (including the large Mehrabad air base/international airport near Tehran), naval installations on the Persian Gulf and Caspian Sea, command, control, communications and intelligence facilities. Secondary targets would include civilian airports, radio and TV installations, telecommunications centers, government buildings, conventional power plants, highways and bridges, and rail lines. Oil installations and commercial port facilities would likely be relatively untouched by U.S. forces in order to preserve them for U.S. oil and business interests.

There has been a rapid increase in training and readiness at a number of U.S. military installations involved with the planned primarily aerial attack. These include a Pentagon order to Fort Rucker, Alabama, to be prepared to handle an estimated 50,000 to 60,000 trainees, including civilian contractors, who will be deployed for Iranian combat operations. Rucker is home to the US Army's aviation training command, including the helicopter training school.

In addition, there has been an increase in readiness at nearby Hurlburt Field in Florida, the home of the U.S. Air Force Special Operations Command. The U.S. attack on Iran will primarily involve aviation (Navy, Air Force, Navy-Marine Corps) and special operations assets.

There has also been a noticeable increase in activity at Marine Corps Air Ground Combat Center at Twentynine Palms, California, a primary live fire training activity located in a desert and mountainous environment similar to target areas in Iran.

From European intelligence agencies comes word that the United States has told its NATO allies to be prepared for a military strike on Iranian nuclear development and military installations.

On November 17, 2005, Russian President Vladimir Putin spent seven hours in secret discussions with Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan during the the opening ceremonies in Samsun, Turkey for the Russian-Turkish underwater Blue Stream natural gas pipeline, festivities also attended by Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi.

According to sources knowledgeable about the meeting, Erdogan promised Putin, who has become a close friend, that Turkey would not support the use of its bases by the United States in a military attack on Iran. That brought a series of high level visits to Turkey by Bush administration officials, including CIA chief Porter Goss, FBI Director Robert Mueller, and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

Although Erdogan listened to Goss's and Rice's pleas for Turkish logistical, political, and intelligence help for an attack on Iran and Turkish Army Chief Yasar Buyukanit heard much the same from Pentagon officials during his recent trip to Washington, the word is that Putin now has enough clout in Ankara to scuttle any use of Turkey by the U.S. for an attack on Iran. [Mueller delivered Ankara intelligence "proof" of Iranian backing for Kurdish Workers' Party (PKK) guerrillas in Turkey. Intelligence agencies and business intelligence units around the world are now discounting any intelligence coming from the Bush administration as neocon propaganda invented by think tanks and discredited intelligence agencies in Washington, Tel Aviv-Herzliya, and Jerusalem].




A U.S. Attack on Iran: The Perfect Storm for wider nuclear conflict


U.S. political and military officials have also approached Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Jordan, Oman, and Azerbaijan seeking their support for a U.S. attack on Iran. Ina replay of the phony pre-war intelligence on Iraq, Washington is trying to convince various countries that a link exists between Iran and "Al Qaeda."

Polish intelligence sources report that Poland's Defense Minister Radek Sikorski assured Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld of Poland's support for any U.S. strike against Iran. Sikorski is a former American Enterprise Institute colleague of such neo-cons as Richard Perle, Michael Ledeen, and Lynne Cheney, the so-called "Second Lady" of the United States. Sikorski and Polish Foreign Minister Stefan Meller assured Rumsfeld and Rice, respectively, that Poland would stand by the United States during the split in NATO that will occur as a result of the American strike. Polish intelligence sources, who are unhappy with the arrangement of the new right-wing government in Warsaw with the Bush administration, leaked the information about the recent U.S. demarche to NATO in Brussels about preparation for the attack.

Similar intelligence "leaks" about the U.S. attack plans were also leaked to the German magazine Der Spiegel.

European intelligence sources also report that the recent decision by Putin and Russia's state-owned Gazprom natural gas company to cut supplied of natural gas to Ukraine was a clear warning by Putin to nations like Ukraine, Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, Moldova, France, Austria, Italy, Hungary, Bosnia, Serbia, and Germany that it would do the same if they support the U.S. attack on Iran. Gazprom natural gas is supplied, via pipelines in Ukraine, from Russia and Turkmenistan to countries in Eastern and Western Europe. The Bush administration charged Russia with using gas supplies as a "political tool."

Putin has additional leverage on Western Europe since former German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder accepted an appointment to the board of a joint Russian-German North European Gas Pipeline Consortium that is controlled by Gazprom. The pipeline will bring Russian gas to Scandinavia, Germany, Netherlands, and Britain, giving Putin additional leverage over Washington in Europe.

Southeast Asian intelligence sources report that Burma's (Myanmar's) recent abrupt decision to move its capital from Rangoon (Yangon) to remote Pyinmana, 200 miles to the north, is a result of Chinese intelligence warnings to its Burmese allies about the effects of radiation resulting from a U.S. conventional or tactical nuclear attack on Iranian nuclear facilities. There is concern that a series of attacks on Iranian nuclear installations will create a Chernobyl-like radioactive cloud that would be caught up in monsoon weather in the Indian Ocean.

Rangoon (Yangon) capital moved 200 miles north over fears of monsoon season Iran nuclear fallout?

Low-lying Rangoon lies in the path of monsoon rains that would continue to carry radioactive fallout from Iran over South and Southeast Asia between May and October. Coastal Indian Ocean cities like Rangoon, Dhaka, Calcutta, Mumbai, Chennai, and Colombo would be affected by the radioactive fallout more than higher elevation cities since humidity intensifies the effects of the fallout. Thousands of government workers were given only two days' notice to pack up and leave Rangoon for the higher (and dryer) mountainous Pyinmana.

In neighboring West Bengal, the leftist government and its national leftist allies around the country are planning massive demonstrations during Bush's upcoming trip to India. They are protesting the war in Iraq as well as the threats against Iran.

Reports from Yemen indicate that western oil companies are concerned about U.S. intentions in Iran since the southern Arabian country catches the edge of the monsoon rains that could contain radioactive fallout from an attack, endangering their workers in the country.

The Bush administration aborted last minute plans to attack Iranian nuclear and political installations prior to the 2004 presidential election. On October 9, Rumsfeld met with defense minister colleagues on the now decommissioned USS John F. Kennedy in the Persian Gulf to seek support for the attack. That meeting has been confirmed by the Danish Defense Minister who was in attendance, however, the topic of the meeting was not discussed. According to U.S. naval personnel on board the Kennedy, a special "war room" was set up to coordinate the attack. Britain, Australia, Italy, Netherlands, and Japan did not attend the meeting because of their opposition to the attack plans.

Intelligence and military officials around the world are also bracing for the results of a U.S. attack on Iran. This includes the distinct possibility of a major Shia retaliatory attack in Iraq, the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, Lebanon, and Afghanistan against U.S. military, diplomatic, and economic targets in the region. Radioactive fallout from a conventional or tactical nuclear attack on Iran will result in major problems with Pakistan, India, China, Russia, Japan, and other downwind countries in Asia and the Pacific Rim, possibly including the fall of the Pervez Musharraf government in Pakistan and replacement by a radical Islamist regime having possession of nuclear weapons. That would provoke a military response from nuclear power India.

In a counter-attack, Iran would immediately launch its Shahab I and II missiles at the U.S. Green Zone in Baghdad, the Al Udeid airbase in Qatar, the US Navy base in Bahrain, Camp Doha base in Kuwait, Al Seeb airbase in Oman, Baghdad International Airport, the U.S. base in Kandahar, Afghanistan. Iran would also launch its long-range Shahab III missiles on the Israeli cities of Tel Aviv, Haifa, Beersheba, Eilat, and the Israeli nuclear complex at Dimona. Iranian missiles would also be launched at US naval ships in the Persian Gulf and oil installations in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.

The virtual end of NATO as a viable defense organization may also result from an attack that will drive a final wedge between Washington and Europe. And China may elect to respond financially and militarily against the United States since Iran is China's second largest source of imported Middle East oil after Saudi Arabia and plans to use an Iranian terminal for the export of natural gas from Turkmenistan. [China now imports 60 percent of its oil needs, and Iran represents 17 percent of those imports].

Russia recently participated in, through the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), a three-way military exercise (code named "Indira 2005") between Russia, China, and India to prepare for any new U.S. power projections in Asia, including an attack on Iran, a prospective SCO member. Last August, Russia and China held their first-ever joint land-sea-air military exercises.

Iran also held a large military exercise in early December in Bandar Abbas on the Gulf. An Iranian C-130 carrying Iranian journalists from Mehrabad airport to Bandar to cover the exercise crashed into a Tehran apartment building on December 6, killing at least 116 people, including 68 journalists.

Within the U.S. military and across the globe, there is heightened tension about the intentions of the neocon Bush administration and its allies in Israel.

http://waynemadsenreport.com/
 

stillprepping

Membership Revoked
geesh .. talk about starting the new year off wiht a bang.

while its disturbing to think that we could be using nukes against another nation .. its equally distrubing to realize that even if we dont use them .. the nuclear fallout from destruction of their nuclear sites will be almost as devestating.

furthermore .. the radioactive 'cloud' could have profound effects on all nations surrounding and downwind of iran. for hundreds of years!

having said all that .. i wish there were a way their nuclear threat (*IF* it even exists) could more effectively be 'neutralized' without the political and radioactive fallout.
 
=


The report almost had me 'roped in'.

(untill it began using neo-cons, supposedly "second Lady" etc. words in his report)

So I went and looked, and find, the author a blogger - asking for contributions to help him stay in the belt-way.
 

stillprepping

Membership Revoked
WHY IRAN IS NEXT

some balanced perspective DESPERATELY needs to be added to the equation here. from GoldisMoney:


WHY IRAN IS NEXT: Short, sweet and to the point! The days ahead are going to be very difficult ones, get prepared.

Back off or suffer oil shock: Tehran
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au...5E2703,00.html


WHY IRAN IS NEXT


In recent weeks, the news media has been overflowing with reports on the increasing tension between the U.S. and Iran, supposedly based on the Islamic country’s unwillingness to drop its nuclear programs. A clear-cut case of another tyrannical nation whose government needs to be ousted in order to make the world a safer place, it seems. But WWNK has found information that’s largely been flying under the radar screen of the mainstream press… and that might paint an entirely different picture.

On February 18, Scott Ritter, ex-Marine and former United Nations Special Commission (UNSCOM) weapons inspector who played a major role in Iraq, dropped a bombshell during a speech delivered to an audience in the Capitol Theater in Olympia, WA. The event’s sponsor, United for Peace of Pierce County (UFPPC), a Washington state activist group that nonviolently opposes “the reliance on unilateral military actions rather than cooperative diplomacy”, had invited Ritter and independent war journalist Dahr Jamail to talk about the war in Iraq.

In his speech, Ritter claimed that President George W. Bush has received and signed off on orders for an aerial attack on Iran planned for June 2005, citing an anonymous official as the source of this information who—according to Ritter—was involved in the manipulation of the election outcome in Iraq, which reduced the percentage of the vote received by the United Iraqi Alliance from 56% to 48%. Ritter also stated that “this would soon be reported by a Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist in a major metropolitan magazine”, an allusion to New Yorker reporter Seymour M. Hersh, believes the UFPPC.

In a January 17 article in the New Yorker, Hersh had written that “Strategists at the headquarters of the U.S. Central Command, in Tampa, Florida, have been asked to revise the military’s war plan, providing for a maximum ground and air invasion of Iran.”

But why? Is Iran really such an imminent threat that it would justify invading that country, with a U.S. army already stretched to the max by its commitment in Iraq? Aside from the ‘official’ nuclear-threat argument, there may be other, economic, reasons that seem far more logical.

In October 2004, William Clark, award-winning writer and author of the soon-to-be published book Petrodollar Warfare—Oil, Iraq, and the Future of the Dollar (spring 2005), gave his opinion on the reasons for a pending U.S.-Iran crisis in an essay titled “The Real Reasons Why Iran is the Next Target: The Emerging Euro-denominated International Oil Marker”.

Clark blames “unspoken macroeconomic drivers” for the U.S.’ determination to attack Iran, in particular the fact that the Tehran government plans to open a euro-based oil exchange in 2005 or early 2006, which—if successful—“would solidify the petroeuro as an alternative oil transaction currency, and thereby end the petrodollar’s hegemonic status as the monopoly oil currency.” This, says Clark, would deliver a devastating blow to U.S. corporations, which own both the London’s International Petroleum Exchange (IPE) and the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), the main global oil traders.

All three current oil markers, the West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI), the Norway Brent crude, and the UAE Dubai crude are dollar-denominated. Iran, however, has required payment in euros for its European and Asian/ACU exports since spring 2003. “It would be logical to assume the proposed Iranian Bourse will usher in a fourth crude oil marker—denominated in the euro currency,” predicts Clark… a probable scenario in light of the fact that “the European Union imports more oil from OPEC producers than does the U.S., and the E.U. accounts for 45% of imports into the Middle East.”

In June 2004, the UK Guardian noted that “Some industry experts have warned the Iranians and other OPEC producers that western exchanges are controlled by big financial and oil corporations, which have a vested interest in market volatility.” BP, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, proud owners of the IPE since 2001, refused to comment. In light of the fact that Iran, holder of the second biggest oil reserves worldwide after Saudi Arabia, exports 2.7 million barrels of crude/day and produces 13 million tonnes of petrochemicals/year, the Guardian foresaw bright prospects for the new oil exchange.

That is not the only reason, though: Other recent events indicate that Tehran’s IPE and NYMEX competitor might be just what a large part of the world has been waiting for. Not only has the euro substantially risen against the dollar since late 2002—in May 2004, the countries using the euro as their currency increased from 12 to 22. Within the last two years, notes Clark, Russia as well as China raised their central bank holdings of the euro, “which appears to be a coordinated move to facilitate the anticipated ascendance of the euro as a second World Reserve currency.”

According to a July 2004 article on Rigzone.com, an insider website for the oil and gas industry, Chris Cook, a former IPE executive turned independent consultant, commented that recently the Saudis, too, have declared their interest in the project. Since 9/11, says Rigzone, “Saudi Arabian investors are opting to invest in Iran rather than traditional western markets as the kingdom’s relations with the U.S. have weakened.”

A lot of good reasons for the U.S. government to set their eyes on regime change in Iran, says William Clark. And it wouldn’t be the first time, he says. His award-winning 2003 essay “The Real Reasons for the Upcoming War with Iraq” suggests that Saddam Hussein signed his own death warrant in 2000, when he announced that Iraq would no longer accept US dollars for oil being sold under the UN oil-for-food program, but that the country’s official oil export transaction currency would be switched to the euro.

-END-


Iran: Part 1
http://soj.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/8/5568/27935

Iran: Part 2
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/15/152148/15

UN Oil-for-Food Program: Scams R Us
http://www.thenewamerican.com/tna/20...19-2004/un.htm

Oil exporters' 'shift to euro hurts dollar'
http://www.gulf-daily-news.com/1yr_a...&IssueID=27339

Iran, India, Pakistan push pipeline project
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/SP118899.htm

China-Iran tango threatens US leverage
http://www.energybulletin.net/3411.html

Energy tsunami unleashed
http://www.energybulletin.net/4050.html

Iran-China trade exchange booming
http://www.iranian.ws/iran_news/publ...cle_4859.shtml

CARBON TRADING 2005: READY. . .SET. . .GO
http://www.energymediagroup.com/down...Volume%203.pdf

Iran may switch to euro for crude sale payments
http://www.gasandoil.com/goc/news/ntm23638.htm

Venezuelan Move to Replace US$ with the Euro
Upsetting Washington More than Saddam's Euro Conversion
Last November

http://www.globalpolicy.org/nations/...3/0624euro.htm

The final stroke will come this year when Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez Frias switches to the Petro-Euro
http://mparent7777.blog-city.com/read/1098039.htm

Russian arms sale to Chavez irks U.S.
http://www.washtimes.com/national/20...3420-3113r.htm

Cuba No Longer to Accept Dollars
http://www.globalpolicy.org/nations/...cubadollar.htm

Dropping Report's Iraq Chapter Was Unusual, Economists Say
Concern About Impact on White House's Credibility Cited
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...2005Feb22.html

Syria and Russia want to boost investments
http://www.arabicnews.com/ansub/Dail...005021115.html

Russia Defies U.S. Pressure on International Arms Sales
http://www.mosnews.com/news/2005/02/10/armstrade.shtml

Russia Tells Israel It Will Sell Anti-Aircraft Missiles to Syria
http://www.mosnews.com/news/2005/02/...lessyria.shtml

Russia Says It's Ready to Arm Saudi Arabia
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/storie...02/10/043.html
 

MaxTheKnife

Membership Revoked
What's with this WE stuff, SP? You got a mouse in yer pocket? :groucho:

Only crazy people contemplate nuclear warfare. Or is that nukular? :lol:
 

Robin Hood

Veteran Member
And what then are the implications when Iran stops its oil flow? That would sink the US and European economy. The Genie gets out of the jar and the whole mid east explodes. Iran is and will be the top news in 06. But I don't think that the west can afford the first strike, regardless of the neo cons/Bush doctrine. Iraq did not go the way they thought and it has split the the US populace. If Bush starts something now, the Republicans are burnt toast in 06 and 08. I believe a pensive restraint will prevail while making all kinds of contigency plans for how Irans crazy Mullah behaves. The US IMHO will use a similar plan of containment as it has in North Korea with just as insane leader.

rh
 
Robin Hood said:
And what then are the implications when Iran stops its oil flow? That would sink the US and European economy. The Genie gets out of the jar and the whole mid east explodes. Iran is and will be the top news in 06. But I don't think that the west can afford the first strike, regardless of the neo cons/Bush doctrine. Iraq did not go the way they thought and it has split the the US populace. If Bush starts something now, the Republicans are burnt toast in 06 and 08. I believe a pensive restraint will prevail while making all kinds of contigency plans for how Irans crazy Mullah behaves. The US IMHO will use a similar plan of containment as it has in North Korea with just as insane leader.

rh


IMHO - The deciding factor on how this thing with Iran will play out; is based upon Iran's sponcership of "Terror Dot ORG" groups. Iran has made some of the I.E.D.s which have killed our people in Iraq. Iran has inserted Commando Units into Iraq to train the terrorists on how to construct those IEDs.

Iran is financing the Hizbullah in Lebanon; who in turn are bombarding Israel.

Oh! Stillpreping. And excellent catch with the Thesis.....
 
If they do this

it will CAUSE the destruction of the United States.

It WILL cut off most of the oil, the Arabs, and Persians, and many others will oppose the US as never before, and attack our achilles heel, the oil supply.

We cannot fight the whole world,

and most disturbingly, it runs a VERY REALISTIC threat that Russia will be forced to hit us with everything they have, and may very well have the support of Europe, who will view us a a country gone mad, just like Nazi Germany.

People, if we (and I use that loosely, as I no longer support Bushco or Israel in any way shape or form) use nukes on Iran it will be the end of life as you know it, and very very quickly.

No Arab "government" will stand unless they immediately and decisively join forces against us.

That will mean an immediate or almost so shut off of the oil spiggot. Don't forget those French anti ship missles. And dont imagine that every Arab with a boat and motor won't be shooting up every oil tanker in the Gulf.

This is utter madness and leaving it in the hands of Bush alone is utter madness.

He is NOT KING GEORGE. He is a man and a rather stupid one at that.
 

almost ready

Inactive
I'm a little confused. help.

I am trying to make sense of this, but where does it say Iran will cut off oil to anyone, except in the headline? It is so far removed from the article, it seems to be the wrong headline. Now I've googled this for an hour, trying to find anywhere that Tehran has threatened to cut off oil or embargo and don't see anything.

But it probably has happened. Do you have a link or quote?

Thanks!
 

Doomer Doug

Deceased
Yep, 2006 is going to be an interesting year for sure. :shkr:

Bush and his neocons may well be stupid enough to think they can take out Iran. You have to believe Iran, like Iraq, has calculated on a massive first strike and has taken steps to counter it. For starters, absolutely there are mobile, on alert, missiles in the western Iranian desert targeted for instant launch on ISRAEL. And when that happens TSWHTF. We cannot get these missiles, just like we couldn't get the ones Saddam shot at Israel back in Desert Storm 1.

Think about that while the sabers are being rattled. The current system is ending. The ending is planned by the NWO. They are just too stupid to understand the resulting tsunami will sweep away all their little control freak plans.

And yes gang, when the nukes go off, even one of them, global hysteria will result.
I said before the world is making the case to declare GW a war criminal and take the USA out of the equation. The plan continues. :dstrs:
 
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